[Paleopsych] Progressive Policy Institute: Trade Is an Increasing Share of the New Economy
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Trade Is an Increasing Share of the New Economy
http://www.neweconomyindex.org/section1_page03.html
WHY IS THIS IMPORTANT? The dramatic expansion of trade means more
robust competition, which makes constant innovation more critical to
success. For that reason, globalization has accelerated industrial and
occupational restructuring, leading to the decline of some industries
and jobs, and the growth of others. One indicator of the extent of the
trend toward globalization is the growing value of exports and imports
as a share of the economy.
THE TREND: Trade has become an integral part of the United States' and
world economies. U.S. exports and imports have increased from 11
percent of GDP in 1970 to 25 percent in 1997. Moreover, the United
States is increasingly specializing in more complex, higher
value-added goods and services, as reflected in the fact that the
average weight of a dollar's worth of American exports is less than
half of what it was in 1970.
World exports increased from $1.3 trillion in 1970 to $4.3 trillion in
1995, in constant dollars. And globalization may be about to move up
to a new level. Jane Fraser and Jeremy Oppenheim, of the consulting
firm McKinsey & Company, have estimated that the value of the world
economy that is "globally contestable," which is to say open to global
competitors in product, service, or asset ownership markets, will rise
from about $4 trillion in 1995 (approximately a seventh of the world's
output) to more than $21 trillion by 2000 (about half of world
output). According to Fraser and Oppenheim, "We are on the brink of a
major long-term transformation of the world economy from a series of
local industries locked in closed national economies to a system of
integrated global markets contested by global players."^[28]11 This
growth will be driven by global capital markets, reduced economic and
trade barriers, and perhaps most importantly, technological change,
which makes it easier to locate enterprises and sell products and
services almost anywhere. For example, online brokerages like E-Trade
or Charles Schwab are just as accessible from Singapore or New Zealand
as they are from the United States.
THE DATA:^[29]12
References
28. http://www.neweconomyindex.org/endnotes.html#11
29. http://www.neweconomyindex.org/endnotes.html#12
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