[Paleopsych] Eshel, Pavel, and Paul--a question
HowlBloom at aol.com
HowlBloom at aol.com
Fri Jul 22 05:53:29 UTC 2005
Hi.
Do you remember my big bagel theory of the cosmos, the one I came up with in
1959 when I was working at a cancer research lab?
Back in 1997, it led me to predict a form of negative gravity. The
following year the acceleration of the cosmos was discovered and was explained by
negative gravity--dark energy. Then the Big Bagel theory allowed me to explain
dark energy--negative gravity--in a unique way--as the gravitational
attraction between a standard-matter universe on the bagel's topside and an
anti-matter universe on the bagel's underside.
Now there's more that seems to support the big bagel theory--that the
universe seems directional, not randomly scattered, that the cosmos needs far more
matter than it's got to explain its behavior (the big bagel theory says that
two universes are on opposite sides of the same bagel--so there's twice as
much stuff as we can see), etc.
Does the information in the article below seem to support the big bagel?
And how does Modified Newtonian Dynamics fit into this picture? Howard
___________
Retrieved July 22, 2005, from the World Wide Web
http://www.newscientist.com/article.ns?id=mg18625061.800 Marcus Chown Marcus Chown is the author of
The Universe Next Door published by Headline (2003) Enlarge image Evolution of
the big bang Enlarge image Big bang Universe Enlarge image Cracks in the
big bangWHAT if the big bang never happened? Ask cosmologists this and they'll
usually tell you it is a stupid question. The evidence, after all, is written
in the heavens. Take the way galaxies are scattered across the sky, or
witness the fading afterglow of the big bang fireball. Even the way the atoms in
your body have come into being over the eons. They are all smoking guns that
point to the existence 13.7 billion years ago of an ultra-hot, ultra-dense
state known as the big bang. Or are they? A small band of researchers is
starting to ask the question no one is supposed to ask. Last week the dissidents
met to review the evidence at the first ever Crisis in Cosmology conference in
Monção, Portugal. There they argued that cosmologists' most cherished
theory of the universe fails to explain certain crucial observations. If they are
right, the universe could be a lot weirder than anyone imagined. But before
venturing that idea, say the dissidents, it is time for some serious
investigation into the big bang's validity and its alternatives. "Look at the facts,"
says Riccardo Scarpa of the European Southern Observatory in Santiago,
Chile. "The basic big bang model fails to predict what we observe in the
universe in three major ways." The temperature of today's universe, the expansion of
the cosmos, and even the presence of galaxies, have all had cosmologists
scrambling for fixes. "Every time the basic big bang model has failed to predict
what we see, the solution has been to bolt on something new - inflation,
dark matter and dark energy," Scarpa says. For Scarpa and his fellow dissidents,
the tinkering has reached an unacceptable level. All for the sake of saving
the notion that the universe flickered into being as a hot, dense state.
"This isn't science," says Eric Lerner who is president of Lawrenceville Plasma
Physics in West Orange, New Jersey, and one of the conference organisers.
"Big bang predictions are consistently wrong and are being fixed after the
event." So much so, that today's "standard model" of cosmology has become an ugly
mishmash comprising the basic big bang theory, inflation and a generous
helping of dark matter and dark energy. The fact that the conference went ahead
at all is an important step forward, say its organisers. Last year they wrote
an open letter warning that failure to fund research into big bang
alternatives was suppressing free debate in the field of cosmology (New Scientist, 22
May 2004, p 20). The trouble, says Lerner, who headed the list of more than
30 signatories, is that cosmology is bankrolled by just a few sources, and
the committees that control those purse strings are dominated by supporters of
the big bang. Critics of the standard model of cosmology are not just
uncomfortable about the way they feel it has been cobbled together. They also point
to specific observations that they believe cast doubt on cosmology's
standard model. “Dark matter is turning up in places where it shouldn't exist”Take
the most distant galaxies ever spotted, for example. According to the
accepted view, when we observe ultra-distant galaxies we should see them in their
youth, full of stars not long spawned from gas clouds. This is because light
from these faraway galaxies has taken billions of years to reach us, and so
the galaxies must appear as they were shortly after the big bang. But there is
a problem. "We don't see young galaxies," says Lerner. "We see old ones." He
cites recent observations of high-red-shift galaxies from NASA's Spitzer
space telescope. A galaxy's red shift is a measure of how much the universe has
expanded since it emitted its light. As the light travels through an
expanding universe, its wavelength gets stretched, as if the light wave were drawn on
a piece of elastic. The increase in wavelength corresponds to a shift
towards the red end of the spectrum. The Spitzer galaxies have red shifts that
correspond to a time when the universe was between about 600 million and 1
billion years old. Galaxies this young should be full of newborn stars that emit
blue light because they are so hot. The galaxies should not contain many older
stars that are cool and red. "But they do," says Lerner. Spitzer is the
first telescope able to detect red stars in faraway galaxies because it is
sensitive to infrared light. This means it can detect red light from stars in
high-red-shift galaxies that has been pushed deep into the infrared during its
journey to Earth. "It turns out these galaxies aren't young at all," says
Lerner. "They have pretty much the same range of stars as present-day galaxies."
And that is bad news for the big bang. Among the stars in today's galaxies are
red giants that have taken billions of years to burn all their hydrogen and
reach this bloated phase. So the Spitzer observations suggest that some of
the stars in ultra-distant galaxies are older than the galaxies themselves,
which plunges the standard model of cosmology into crisis. Fog-filled universe
Not surprisingly, cosmologists have panned Lerner's theories. They put the
discrepancy down to large uncertainties in estimating the ages of galaxies. But
Lerner has a reply. He points to other distant objects that appear much
older than they ought to be. "At high red shift, we also observe clusters and
huge superclusters of galaxies," he says, arguing that it would have taken far
longer than a billion years for galaxies to clump together to form such giant
structures. His solution to the puzzle is extreme. Rather than being caused
by the expanding universe, he believes that the red shift is down to some
other mechanism. But at this stage it is only a guess. "I admit I don't know
what that mechanism might be," Lerner says, "though I believe it is intrinsic
to light." To test his idea, he would like to see sensitive experiments on
Earth capable of detecting minute changes in light. One possibility would be
to modify the LIGO detector in Hanford, Washington state. LIGO is designed to
detect gravitational waves, the warps in space-time created by events such
as neutron star collisions. To do this it bounces perpendicular beams of laser
light hundreds of times between mirrors 4 kilometres apart, looking for
subtle shifts in the beams' lengths. With a few tweaks, Lerner believes that LIGO
could be modified to measure any intrinsic red-shifting that light might
undergo. If the experiment ever gets the go-ahead and Lerner is proved right,
the implications would be immense, not least because the tapestry of cosmology
as we know it would unravel. Without an expanding universe, there would be
no need to invoke dark energy to account for the apparent acceleration of that
expansion. Nor would there be any reason to suppose the big bang was the
ultimate beginning. "I can prove that the universe wasn't born 13.7 billion
years ago," says Lerner. "The big bang never happened." However, Lerner's claims
leave plenty of awkward questions. Among them is the matter of the cosmic
microwave background. First detected in 1965, the vast majority of cosmologists
believe that this faint, all-pervading soup of microwaves is the dying glow
of the big bang, and proof of the ultimate beginning. According to big bang
theory, the hot radiation that filled space after the birth of the universe has
been trapped inside ever since because it has nowhere else to go. As the
universe expanded over the past 13.7 billion years, the radiation has cooled to
today's temperature of less than 3 kelvin above absolute zero. So if there
was no big bang, where did the cosmic microwave background come from? Lerner
believes that cosmologists have got the origin of the microwave glow all
wrong. "If you wake up in a tent and everything around you is white, you don't
conclude you've seen the start of the universe," he says. "You conclude you're
in fog." Rather than coming from the big bang, Lerner believes that the cosmic
background radiation is really starlight that has been absorbed and
re-radiated. It is an old idea that was widely promoted by the late cosmologist and
well-known big bang sceptic Fred Hoyle. He believed that starlight was
absorbed by needle-like grains of iron ejected by supernovae and then radiated as
microwaves. But Hoyle never found any evidence to back up his ideas and many
cosmologists dismissed them. “Some of the stars in distant galaxies appear
older than the universe itself”Lerner's idea is similar, though he thinks that
threads of electrically charged gas called plasma are responsible, rather
than iron whiskers. Jets of plasma are squirted into intergalactic space by
highly energetic galaxies known as quasars, and Lerner believes that such plasma
filaments continually fragmented until they filled the universe like fog.
This fog then scattered the infrared light radiated by dust that had in turn
absorbed starlight. By doing so, Lerner believes, the infrared radiation became
uniform in all directions, just as the cosmic microwave background appears to
be. All this is possible, he argues, because standard cosmology theory has
overlooked processes involving plasmas. "All astronomers know that 99.99 per
cent of matter in the universe is in the form of plasma, which is controlled
by electromagnetic forces," he says. "Yet all astronomers insist on
believing that gravity is the only important force in the universe. It is like
oceanographers ignoring hydrodynamics." To make progress, Lerner is calling for
theories that include plasma phenomena as well as gravity, and for more rigorous
testing of theory against observations. Of course, Lerner's ideas are
extremely controversial and few people are convinced, but that doesn't stop other
researchers questioning the standard theory too. They have their own ideas
about what is wrong with it. In Scarpa's case, the mysterious dark matter is at
fault. Dark matter has become an essential ingredient in cosmology's
standard model. That's because the big bang on its own fails to describe how
galaxies could have congealed from the matter forged shortly after the birth of the
universe. The problem is that gas and dust made from normal matter were
spread too evenly for galaxies to clump together in just 13.7 billion years.
Cosmologists fix this problem by adding to their brew a vast amount of invisible
dark matter which provides the extra tug needed to speed up galaxy formation.
The same gravitational top-up helps to explain the rapid motion of outlying
stars in galaxies. Astronomers have measured stars orbiting their galactic
centres so fast that they ought to fly off into intergalactic space. But dark
matter's extra gravity would explain how the galaxies hold onto their speeding
stars. Similarly, dark matter is needed to explain how clusters of galaxies
can hold on to galaxies that are orbiting the cluster's centre so fast they
ought to be flung away. But dark matter may not be the cure-all it seems,
warns Scarpa. What worries him are inconsistencies with the theory. "If you
believe in dark matter, you discover there is too much of it," he says. In
particular, his observations point to dark matter in places cosmologists say it
shouldn't exist. One place no one expects to see it is in globular clusters,
tight knots of stars that orbit the Milky Way and many other galaxies. Unlike
normal matter, the dark stuff is completely incapable of emitting light or any
other form of electromagnetic radiation. This means a cloud of the stuff
cannot radiate away its internal heat, a process vital for gravitational
contraction, so dark matter cannot easily clump together at scales as small as those
of globular clusters.
Scarpa's observations tell a different story, however. He and his colleagues
have found evidence that the stars in globular clusters are moving faster
than the gravity of visible matter can explain, just as they do in larger
galaxies. They have studied three globular clusters, including the Milky Way's
biggest, Omega Centauri, which contains about a million stars. In all three,
they find the same wayward behaviour. So if isn't dark matter, what is going on?
Scarpa's team believes the answer might be a breakdown of Newton's law of
gravity, which says an object's gravitational tug is inversely proportional to
the square of your distance from it. Their observations of globular clusters
suggest that Newton's inverse square law holds true only above some
critical acceleration. Below this threshold strength, gravity appears to dissipate
more slowly than Newton predicts. Exactly the same effect has been spotted in
spiral galaxies and galaxy-rich clusters. It was identified more than 20
years ago by Mordehai Milgrom at the Weizmann Institute in Rehovot, Israel, who
proposed a theory known as modified Newtonian dynamics (MOND) to explain it.
Scarpa points out that the critical acceleration of 10-10 metres per second
per second that was identified for galaxies appears to hold for globular
clusters too. And his work has led him to the same conclusion as Milgrom: "There is
no need for dark matter in the universe," says Scarpa. It is a bold claim
to make. And not surprisingly, MOND has had plenty of critics over the years.
One of cosmologists' biggest gripes is that MOND is not compatible with
Einstein's theory of relativity, so it is not valid for objects travelling close
to the speed of light or in very strong gravitational fields. In practice,
this means MOND has been powerless to make predictions about pulsars, black
holes and, most importantly, the big bang. But this has now been fixed by Jacob
Bekenstein at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem in Israel. Bekenstein's
relativistic version of the theory already appears to be bearing fruit. In May a
team led by Constantinos Skordis of the University of Oxford showed that
relativistic MOND can make cosmological predictions. The researchers have
reproduced both the observed properties of the cosmic microwave background and the
distribution of galaxies throughout the universe
(www.arxiv.org/abs/astro-ph/0505519). Gravity in crisis Scarpa believes that MOND is a crucial body blow
for the big bang. "It means that the law of gravity from which we derive the
big bang is wrong," he says. He insists that cosmologists are interpreting
astronomical observations using the wrong framework. And he urges them to go
back to the drawing board and derive a cosmological model based on MOND. For
now, his plea seems to be falling mostly on deaf ears. Yet there is more
evidence that there could be something wrong with the standard model of cosmology.
And it is evidence that many cosmologists are finding harder to dismiss
because it comes from the jewel in the crown of cosmology instruments, the
Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe. "It could be telling us something fundamental
about our universe, maybe even that the simplest big bang model is wrong,"
says João Magueijo of Imperial College London. Since its launch in 2001,
WMAP has been quietly taking the temperature of the universe from its vantage
point 1.5 million kilometres out in space. The probe measures the way the
temperature of the cosmic microwave background varies across the sky. Cosmologists
believe that the tiny variations from one place to another are an imprint of
the state of the universe about 300,000 years after the big bang, when matter
began to clump together under gravity. Hotter patches correspond to denser
regions, and cooler patches reflect less dense areas. These density
variations began life as quantum fluctuations in the vacuum in the first split second
of the universe's existence, and were subsequently amplified by a brief
period of phenomenally fast expansion called inflation. Because the quantum
fluctuations popped up at random, the hot and cold spots we see in one part of the
sky should look much like those in any other part. And because the cosmic
background radiation is a feature of the universe as a whole rather than any
single object in it, none of the hot or cold regions should be aligned with
structures in our corner of the cosmos. Yet this is exactly what some researchers
are claiming from the WMAP results. Earlier this year, Magueijo and his
Imperial College colleague Kate Land reported that they had found a bizarre
alignment in the cosmic microwave background. At first glance, the pattern of
hot and cold spots appeared random, as expected. But when they looked more
closely, they found something unexpected. It is as if you were listening to an
anarchic orchestra playing some random cacophony, and yet when you picked out
the violins, trombones and clarinets separately, you discovered that they are
playing the same tune. Like an orchestral movement, the WMAP results can be
analysed as a blend of patterns of different spatial frequencies. When
Magueijo and Land looked at the hot and cold spots this way, they noticed a
striking similarity between the individual patterns. Rather than being spattered
randomly across the sky, the spots in each pattern seemed to line up along the
same direction. With a good eye for a newspaper headline, Magueijo dubbed this
alignment the axis of evil. "If it is true, this is an astonishing
discovery," he says. “Without an expanding universe, the big bang was not the
ultimate beginning”That's because the result flies in the face of big bang theory,
which rules out any such special or preferred direction. So could the weird
effect be down to something more mundane, such as a problem with the WMAP
satellite? Charles Bennett, who leads the WMAP mission at NASA's Goddard Space
Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, discounts that possibility. "I have
no reason to think that any anomaly is an artefact of the instrument," he says.
Another suggestion is that heat given off by the Milky Way's dusty disk has
not been properly subtracted from the WMAP signals and mimics the axis of
evil. "Certainly there are some sloppy papers where insufficient attention has
been paid to the signals from the Milky Way," warns Bennett. Others point out
that the conclusions are based on only one year's worth of WMAP signals. And
researchers are eagerly awaiting the next batch, rumoured to be released in
September. Yet Magueijo and Land are convinced that the alignment in the
patterns does exist. "The big question is: what could have caused it," asks
Magueijo. One possibility, he says, is that the universe is shaped like a slab,
with space extending to infinity in two dimensions but spanning only about 20
billion light years in the third dimension. Or the universe might be shaped
like a bagel. Another way to create a preferred direction would be to have a
rotating universe, because this singles out the axis of rotation as different
from all other directions. Bennett admits he is excited by the possibility
that WMAP has stumbled on something so important and fundamental about the
universe. His hunch, though, is that the alignment is a fluke. "However, it's
always possible the universe is trying to tell us something," he says.
Clearly, such a universe would flout a fundamental assumption of all big bang
models: that the universe is the same in all places and in all directions.
"People made these assumptions because, without them, it was impossible to simplify
Einstein's equations enough to solve them for the universe," says Magueijo.
And if those assumptions are wrong, it could be curtains for the standard
model of cosmology. That may not be a bad thing, according to Magueijo. "The
standard model is ugly and embarrassing," he says. "I hope it will soon come to
breaking point." But whatever replaced it would of course have to predict
all the things the standard model predicts. "This would be very hard indeed,"
concedes Magueijo. Meanwhile the axis of evil is peculiar enough that Bennett
and his colleague Gary Hinshaw have obtained money from NASA to carry out a
five-year exhaustive examination of the WMAP signals. That should exclude the
possibilities of the instrumental error and contamination once and for all.
"The alignment is probably just a fluke but I really feel compelled to
investigate it," he says. "Who knows what we will find." Lerner and his fellow
sceptics are in little doubt: "What we may find is a universe that is very
different than the increasingly bizarre one of the big bang theory." From issue
2506 of New Scientist magazine, 02 July 2005, page 30
----------
Howard Bloom
Author of The Lucifer Principle: A Scientific Expedition Into the Forces of
History and Global Brain: The Evolution of Mass Mind From The Big Bang to the
21st Century
Recent Visiting Scholar-Graduate Psychology Department, New York University;
Core Faculty Member, The Graduate Institute
www.howardbloom.net
www.bigbangtango.net
Founder: International Paleopsychology Project; founding board member: Epic
of Evolution Society; founding board member, The Darwin Project; founder: The
Big Bang Tango Media Lab; member: New York Academy of Sciences, American
Association for the Advancement of Science, American Psychological Society,
Academy of Political Science, Human Behavior and Evolution Society, International
Society for Human Ethology; advisory board member: Institute for
Accelerating Change ; executive editor -- New Paradigm book series.
For information on The International Paleopsychology Project, see:
www.paleopsych.org
for two chapters from
The Lucifer Principle: A Scientific Expedition Into the Forces of History,
see www.howardbloom.net/lucifer
For information on Global Brain: The Evolution of Mass Mind from the Big
Bang to the 21st Century, see www.howardbloom.net
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