[extropy-chat] and the nano/holo fun goes on...

Kevin Freels megaquark at hotmail.com
Mon Aug 16 01:28:39 UTC 2004

I agree with your point...Yet your point is disturbing. The drive for ever
faster processing speeds and exponential increases in storage capacity was
created by our willingness to pay top dollar for the improvements. What you
are saying is that now, since we no longer have that need, the market for
these improvements in processing speeds and storage is no longer there. (I
have had 40GB for going on 3 years and still only use 9 of it.)

If this is the case, then it is just a matter of time before companies
realize it and stop investing as much into improvements in these areas.
Moore's Law would become a thing of the past and singularity would move even
farther beyond the horizon.

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Dan Clemmensen" <dgc at cox.net>
To: "Emlyn" <emlynoregan at gmail.com>; "ExI chat list"
<extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org>
Sent: Saturday, August 14, 2004 10:55 PM
Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] and the nano/holo fun goes on...

> We joke about this, but the reality is different.
> At some point during the last ten years, most of us crossed a threshold.
> Prior to the threshold, We did not have enough disk space or processing
> power. We spent as much money on a computer as our comfort level
> allowed, and it was not enough. Now, for most of us we have enough. When
> is the last time you checked the percentage of usage of your disk? when
> is the last time you thought "gee this operation is taking too long."
> (not counting problems with viruses and malware.) Think back ten years.
> One of the big deals then was figuring out which disk compression
> software to use.
> Most broadband providers have a cap at 2GB/month. A 1TB disk will hold
> more than 2 years of downloads, at a current cost of about $1000. ($500
> for the disks and $500 for the computer to hold the disks.) A 100TB disk
> would hold 200 years of downloads at today's rates.
> Assuming no monthly cap, look at it another way. An individual can
> probably assimilate <1Mbps for < 8hours/day (average.) that's
> (1Mb/8)*3600*8, or 3.6GB/day. That's 1TB/mo, or 100TB in 8 years.
> Emlyn wrote:
> >Excellent! A couple of those might be able to hold a few weeks of my
> >mailing list and rss feed subscriptions.
> >
> >Emlyn
> >
> >On Sat, 14 Aug 2004 17:47:39 -0500, Damien Broderick
> ><thespike at satx.rr.com> wrote:
> >
> >
> >>Breakthrough Nanotechnology Will Bring 100 Terabyte 3.5-inch Digital
> >>Storage Disks
> >>
> >>http://www.physorg.com/news785.html
> >>
> >>
> >>
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