[extropy-chat] silent night

[Harvey Newstrom]

On Dec 22, 2004, at 11:27 PM, Eliezer Yudkowsky wrote:

> Hal Finney wrote:
>> How the heck can you guys say that there is as much as one chance in
>> ten thousand that the sun won't rise tomorrow?  The sun has after all
>> risen for much more than 10,000 days.  That's like 30 years' worth.
>
> That was before people started playing around with AI.  99.99% would 
> correspond to a 50% chance of a rogue AI disassembling the Sun in the 
> next 20 years, with the probability distributed evenly over time 
> (Poisson process).

I will bet any amount of money that the sun will still exist 20 years 
from now.

--
Harvey Newstrom <HarveyNewstrom.com>
CISSP, ISSAP, ISSMP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC