[extropy-chat] Looks like a Kerry victory

[Hal Finney]

Some interesting mid-day election news.  Drudge (www.drudgereport.com)
is reporting, "Exit poll mania spread through media and campaign
circles Tuesday afternoon after first wave of morning data showed Kerry
competitive in key states.... National Election Pool -- representing
six major news organization -- shows Kerry in striking distance -- with
small lead -- in Florida and Ohio, sources tell DRUDGE... But early
sample was based on a 59- 41 women to men ratio..."

Drudge has a history of leaking exit poll data.  Mainstream media
voluntarily agrees to refrain from publishing these results until the
polls have closed.

Perhaps based on this new data, the betting markets have closed up.
Tradesports, which had Bush at 55, is now at 50.1/50 for Bush/Kerry.
IEM has now put Kerry ahead slightly, for the first time in months,
at 50.5/51.2.  Of course, to play broken record, all this really means
is that the markets still see a coin flip.

Hal