[extropy-chat] Taiwan

Mike Lorrey mlorrey at yahoo.com
Thu Mar 31 14:00:45 UTC 2005


--- Eugen Leitl <eugen at leitl.org> wrote:
> On Thu, Mar 31, 2005 at 01:55:32PM +0100, Dirk Bruere wrote:
> 
> > >Do you have a specific scenario, suggesting how exactly Moore
> (assuming, it
> > >will hold up for the next 15 years) will result in the
> Singularity?
> > >
> > Looking at what's being cooked up in the labs now leads me to
> believe 
> > that Moore's Law (approximately) will continue beyond 15yrs.
> 
> Ok, it *does* look good; I wouldn't bet on it, though. There are some
> unresolved issues (e.g. leak currents and power dissipation density),
> and 
> Moore *will* have a discontinuity around 2012..2015, 
> unless molecular electronics is there just in time to take the torch.

I was under the impression we were going to shift to photonic circuits
within 3-5 years. That alone is a huge reduction in size and power
requirements. What gives?

Mike Lorrey
Vice-Chair, 2nd District, Libertarian Party of NH
"Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom.
It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves."
                                      -William Pitt (1759-1806) 
Blog: http://intlib.blogspot.com


		
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