[extropy-chat] Inside Vs. Outside Forecasts
rhanson at gmu.edu
Tue Oct 25 19:58:35 UTC 2005
At 03:18 PM 10/25/2005, Hal Finney wrote:
>Further, these four pages said little to justify their arguments and
>relied largely on a single anecdote. The issues that were brought out in
>the discussion here of the difficulty of choosing an appropriate outside
>view were generally ignored in the authors' eagerness to disparage
>people's supposed preferences for inside views. ...
This seems a valid criticism to me. Doesn't mean they are wrong of course.
Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
Associate Professor of Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323
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