[extropy-chat] An advance prediction for Tuesday

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky sentience at pobox.com
Tue Nov 7 02:27:11 UTC 2006


Robin Hanson wrote:
> 
> You have assigned no probability to your forecast.   Betting markets
> now give a 20% chance to the Republicans keeping the House, so if
> you assign a higher probability you should expect to make money
> betting on your prediction.

That's fair.  Where would I put a quick bet on my prediction, legally? 
(If you happen to know.)

-- 
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                          http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence



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