[extropy-chat] An advance prediction for Tuesday

[Eliezer S. Yudkowsky]

FYI:  I didn't get around to making the bet, partially because there 
didn't seem to be time, but also because I was looking over the 
historical track records of these markets and was re-impressed by their 
apparent accuracy.  If the assessed probability is 20% that the 
Republicans keep the House, the bettors must not be taking any 
electronic shenanigans into account, and maybe neither should I... I 
guess we'll see.

-- 
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                          http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence