[extropy-chat] US election prediction markets failure

[Brent Neal]

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On Nov 13, 2006, at 10:16, BillK wrote:

> On 11/13/06, Brent Neal wrote:
>> Off topically, I would be intrinsically distrustful of Orlowski's
>> articles, as it has been shown that his intellectual integrity will
>> often take 2nd place to his desire to write sensationalist stories.
>>
>
>
> WHAAAATT !!!! Sensationalist stories in The Register!!  Surely  
> not ???   ;)

LOL
>
> Even ignoring Orlowski's rant, he does seem to have a point in the
> detail he quotes in his article, in this case.
>

Yes, but I still wonder if he's just ranting about what happens when  
you get close to the edge of a step function.  I should go back  
through the Foresight Exchange propositions and see if the accuracy  
is affected by how the question is posed in that sense.

B


- --
Brent Neal
Geek of all Trades
http://brentn.freeshell.org

"Specialization is for insects" -- Robert A. Heinlein


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