[extropy-chat] mathimatical model for the singularity

[Keith Henson]

At 07:14 AM 11/21/2006 +0000, you wrote:
>I was just thinking that I see a lot of people who say things like "the 
>singularity WILL be exponential" and seem to think that the whole of human 
>progress can be described as p=e^kt.
>This seems a little simplistic to say the least. I was going to say that I 
>could come up with a better model, but I'm sure someone must have already 
>done that somewhere....

You can get the same curve by a bunch of stacked S curves.  That's 
certainly what has happened with technology.

Then the question becomes where the final S curve flattens.

Keith