[ExI] Fermi paradox, a solution

[Daniel Wolfson]

I would imagine that far more than half would fail.
Largely in the first few years. I'm not sure how a
society that small could support the infrastructure
for late industrial revolution technology, and hunter
gatherer skills are highly lacking in this day and
age. I'd hope your small group(s) of highly educated
people is made up predominantly of archaeologists who
know important skills like flint knapping, how to make
and wield a spear thrower, and how to get the most out
of an animal carcass.


--- Dagon Gmail <dagonweb at gmail.com> wrote:

> Old story yet not a very good solution. Imagine this
> experiment:
> you kidnap ten million humans, somewhere 2500 years
> ago
> from all over the world, in consistent batches of
> 10.000 of
> the same ethnic and cultural background. Then you'd
> drop them
> with plants and animals on suitable terrestrial
> worlds, scattered
> over the galaxy, and let them consolidate their
> planet.
> 
> Some colonies would fail, for a variety of reasons.
> Yet from a
> sampling of a 1000 colonies quite a few would
> stumble on to an
> industrial civilization, probably within 10.000
> years. If you'd give
> a small number of members a comparably higher
> education,
> chances would shoot up sharply.
> 
> You can easily visualise batches of colonies with a
> starting
> technology of, say, the late industrial-age
> revolution, established on
> hospitable worlds and most of those would move into
> varied
> forms of information age, internet, consumer society
> and
> consequently the consumerist trap you suppose.
> 
> How many of the 1000 colonies audited would fail? I
> think more
> than half would stumble through, one way or another,
> especially
> if you wait 10.000, 20.000 years.
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