[extropy-chat] Cold Fusion Survey

[John K Clark]

 "Robin Hanson" <rhanson at gmu.edu>
 
> 1A. The probability that CF excess heat is a real phenomena, as 
> opposed to misleading experimental technique.

One chance in 2 times 10^10

> 2A.  The probability that CF excess heat is a real phenomena, and 
> indicates fundamental new physics, as opposed to a new chemistry 
> detail, such as a unexpected molecular structure.

One chance in 2 times 10^10

> 1B.  The threshold probability for 1A that would justify further 
> research into CF.

One chance in 10^10^10

> 2B.  The threshold probability for 2A that would justify further 
> research into CF.

One chance in 10^10^10

  John K Clark