[extropy-chat] what is probability?
sjatkins at mac.com
Tue Jan 2 23:48:25 UTC 2007
On Jan 1, 2007, at 10:31 AM, gts wrote:
> On Sun, 31 Dec 2006 20:00:26 -0500, Jef Allbright <jef at jefallbright.net
>> gts wrote:
>>> Which statement is most true?
>>> A) E is frequent because it is probable.
>>> B) E is probable because it is frequent.
Neither. An event that can by its nature only occur once or a very
rarely in a very large period of time may still be quite probable that
it will occur. For instance, it is extremely probable that our sun
will some day exhaust its primary fuel and become a white dwarf.
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