From pjmanney at gmail.com Mon Oct 1 00:32:14 2007 From: pjmanney at gmail.com (PJ Manney) Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 17:32:14 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Media and memes, was: "Animal-monitoring modules"? Message-ID: <29666bf30709301732t5cd0982epd1b7b4ed2a0ec13e@mail.gmail.com> On 9/29/07, Mike Dougherty wrote: > I read once that the xenophobic meme phase seems to coincide with > escapist fatasy being a popular entertainment genre. When there is > less fear, science fiction becomes more prevalent in entertainment. > With that in mind (without rigorous proof) I was considering the > recent thread about responsible singularity PR. > > Do we think entertainment media can/should be used to prepare the > general public to accept a higher level of technological possibility? I've never heard about a specific correlation between Fantasy and xenophobic memes (and I'd love to see the actual research), but if you think about it in general, there is definitely a growth in fantasy media during wars, depressions, etc., because people need the mental escape. People needed to see Good triumph over Evil. Comic books, movies, pulp fiction, etc. certainly reflected this in the 20th Century. But fantasy wasn't just relegated to the fantastical. It was equally about economic fantasies, like Fred & Ginger musicals, "Cinderella" stories, etc. We have the nerve to tell the depressing stories, of which SF is usually a part because of its reliance on distopias as a genre, when we're secure enough to hear them. In many ways, it's immaterial whether media can or should be used to prepare the public, because propagandistic intent is usually not part of the motivation to either create or distribute mainstream Fantasy or SF content. The motivation is usually money! However, media prepares the public, regardless. It seems to me the determining factor of its success is how far ahead is the preparation and for what? For instance, SF has always inspired people to create things that don't yet exist. My kids love the show "How William Shatner Changed the World" in which the irrepressible actor shows how "Star Trek" inspired an entire generation of kids to grow up and create real versions of the futuristic technologies they were watching. I think the reason Star Trek was such an effective inspiration was 1) it was in kids' living rooms each week (or daily in syndication); 2) the stories were fun, simple and it took little effort to link the story parallels to the viewers' present (Vietnam/racism/etc.); and 3) it was a soothing, Utopian vision of humanity. We were the good guys and we'd worked most of our speciel crap out before he hit the galaxy to force peaceful co-existence down everyone else's throats. It went down easy. But you only have to look at the history of SF to see how some stories and writers have presaged larger trends and changes. HOWEVER, there is quite a long lead time between the initial publication of someone like Jules Verne and his eventual technological vindication, so most of his futuristic ideas are acknowledge only in retrospect. In my opinion, it's the work of more near-term creators that has any hope of preparing a public for a prompt change. There's a reason Michael Crichton has a larger and more mainstream readership than anyone in the traditional SF pantheon. It's because people don't think they're reading SF. They are reading a "techno-thriller" which by definition employs SF, but it also has as much in common with spy thrillers and combat stories as SF. He writes character-based adventures and the world he describes is here and now, except with genetically-engineered dinosaurs/nano-swarms/cyborgs/fill-in-the-technological-boogieman-blank. Of course, many could say that's nonsense. A single technology does not exist in a vacuum and the advance of technology across the board would make the story, by definition, anachronistic and impossible. But that's not what attracts readers. They want to know about now. Not decades hence. Otherwise, it has no relevance and no immediacy. That means fewer eyeballs, either on screens or on the page. And that makes preparing the public, who won't know about your ideas if they haven't seen/heard/read them, much harder. I know I've said this all before, but there it is. Again. PJ From andres at thoughtware.tv Mon Oct 1 03:40:08 2007 From: andres at thoughtware.tv (Andres Colon) Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 23:40:08 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Question on Vacuum fluctuations and Non-Zero Energy Empty Space: Message-ID: I understand the concept of why empty space has non-zero energy. After being introduced to the casimir effect and quantum fluctuations, I finally decided to ask the list in the hopes that one of the physicist here can answer me this question that has been bothering me. If energetic particles are constantly blinking in and out of existence in empty space...why doesn't this violate the second law of thermodynamics? ..in short: Q. Why don't vacuum fluctuations violate the second law of thermodynamics? Share the answer and enjoy this videoon the conservation of energy at Thoughtware.TV Andr?s, Thoughtware.TV -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From thespike at satx.rr.com Mon Oct 1 03:54:16 2007 From: thespike at satx.rr.com (Damien Broderick) Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 22:54:16 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Question on Vacuum fluctuations and Non-Zero Energy Empty Space: In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <7.0.1.0.2.20070930225254.02227470@satx.rr.com> At 11:40 PM 9/30/2007 -0400, Andr?s wrote: >If energetic particles are constantly blinking >in and out of existence in empty space...why >doesn't this violate the second law of thermodynamics? 1) Because the second law of thermodynamics is statistical. 2) Because the debt is paid back quickly. From lcorbin at rawbw.com Mon Oct 1 04:06:10 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 21:06:10 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? References: <006501c803b1$c2687720$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <008e01c803e0$b1fcc6f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> James writes > Lee; > > Like any issue, there are those whose motives are unimpeachable (whether > they're factually right or wrong), and those whose motives are biased. This > is the sole point of my posting - that neither side is completely free from > bias, and we should avoid making sweeping statements that try to paint > everyone on one side with a single brush. Maybe the media and the > politicians can make use of such mud-slinging, but anyone who has the skills > of critical thinking should be more concerned with uncovering and evaluating > the facts for themselves. Very good. I can hardly ask for more. But I can, actually. While it is great to participate in discussions where people (i) admit their biases when they are able, (ii) sincerely wish to know the truth, (iii) are willing to expend a modicum of effort, THEN some progress can be made. I'm after further ideas and further information. Scanning lists of skeptics or believers does some help, but this thread has so far exposed some weaknesses of relying merely on this. But we can do more. 1. we can give narratives of the formation of our own beliefs; any asymmetries can be revealing 2. we can search for well-pedigreed pundits on this issue (well-pedigreed amounting to having a history of non- ideological and non-political serious inquiry) That's all I've been able to think of right now. I strongly welcome any testimonials of the form (i) and will write one myself. And we (collectively) must surely be able to point to *some* examples of (ii). I suppose that libertarians and conservatives may tend to be on the same side here, because there is a strong and on this issue very relevant common denominator of opposing large government and being very skeptical of programs to be executed by government. (People doubting my bonafides should appreciate that last, just as I explicitly appreciated several of James' points that did not help my own case.) Lee > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Lee Corbin > Sent: Sunday, September 30, 2007 3:29 PM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: Re: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? > > James writes > >> you're not suggesting that there are no financial incentives for >> those who write research papers against Global Warming, are you? See >> >> > http://www.nytimes.com/2006/07/28/science/28climate.html?ex=1311739200&en=00 > d5453101bbc950&ei=5090&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss > > Thanks. Indeed I was not aware that any outside agencies were paying > any scientists who did not support the view that global warming was > being oversold. But you should wince a little at the tone of that article, > which begins > > Utilities Pay Scientist Ally on Warming > >> BY THE ASSOCIATED PRESS >> Published: July 28, 2006 >> WASHINGTON, July 27 - Coal-burning utilities are contributing money to >> one of the few remaining climate scientists openly critical of the broad >> consensus that fossil fuel emissions are intensifying global warming. > > The bias of this lead sentence is large and obvious. The writer is > apparently > someone who would find it somewhat painful to complete any full > sentence without pushing the point of view he personally believes in. > Everything from "few remaining..." to "broad consensus". Now > explain *why* a journalist, indeed writing for the Associated Press, > would have such an agenda? Of course, we do or should be able > to individually acknowledge the general overt bias of western media in > politically related questions, of which this is a sample. > >> There are tremendous amounts of money to be made and lost by corporations > as >> a result of environmental decisions by governments, which under our > current >> structure leads to tremendous pressure by some to retain the status quo, > and >> by others to push for changes and punish their competition. > > Yes (and thank you for admitting that last phrase; we must strive for > objectivity). But you haven't said whether you agree with the point > that the traditional left seems to have a horse in this race that's not > simply scientific. > > The bigger question I'm addressing is the bias itself, from both sides, > and why we think what we think. On a number of occasions, I have > to brag, a desire to explain *this* phenomenon in unbiased terms > has always seemed to be coming much more from my side of the > political spectrum. > > No one has yet addressed either way my contention that the social > idealism (quite apart from literally saving the Earth) of many on the > left---idealism that manifests itself in wanting bigger government > and greater regulation---is behind a great deal of the support for > global warming and a very great amount of support for the belief > in catastrophic global warming. > > One way to address this might be if anyone has attempted to poll > scientists who are entirely unpolitical or ideological (I understand > the difficulty of this). But we may ourselves have some success in > soliciting opinion from well-known extropians who have never > voiced a political opinion. > > Lee > >> -----Original Message----- >> From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org >> [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Lee Corbin >> Sent: Sunday, September 30, 2007 11:04 AM >> To: ExI chat list >> Subject: Re: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? >> >> BillK writes >> >>> On 9/30/07, Lee Corbin wrote: >>>> Be sure to see >>>> >>>> >> http://www.brutallyhonest.org/brutally_honest/2007/06/global-warming-.html >>>> >>>> Global Warming scientist skeptics list is growing... >>>> ... to the absolute chagrin of the kool-aid drinking members of the >> Church of Chicken >>>> Little. Stumbled across this today and thought it worthy of our >> attention: >>> >>> As the last reader comment on that item notes... >>> He also notes that this opposes the thousands of scientists who >>> support the theory that humans are a major part of the cause of global >>> warming. >>> >>> You can probably find more 'scientists' that deny the theory of > evolution. >>> Some even still deny that smoking causes cancer. >> >> There are a number of differences. One is to check if you can be >> suspicious of some prior crackpot element. Clearly in the case >> of evolution we have ample explanation of the motives of some >> of the creationists and so on---religion is a huge force in human >> thinking and motivation. So what would be the analogy here? >> Do a lot of the names on these list jump out at you as being bought >> and paid for by people who can somehow make money if global >> warming is false? >> >> Another is the incredible yet obvious, amazing yet not-so-perplexing >> political component of this scientific issue. >> >> Political component? Now, how could that be? I ask seriously, but >> especially if anyone wishes to make an unbiased stab at answering, >> i.e. answering in such a way that the writer's own biases or political >> allegiances are not patent (though of course all comments welcome). >> >> But being political, one may ask (just as one does in tobacco cases) who >> does the funding? In this case, it's almost entirely governments and > those >> who hope for government grants. Thus we instantly see the especially >> harmful effects of funding that is partly or mainly politically or >> ideologically motivated. >> >> The iron law of government bureaucracies is growth, growth, and more >> growth. A "crisis" real or imagined is damn, damn fine for government >> growth, and is a very convenient truth for those who believe that >> governments ought to be actively improving our lives a lot more than >> they supposedly are already. >> >> Lee > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > From kanzure at gmail.com Mon Oct 1 04:14:46 2007 From: kanzure at gmail.com (Bryan Bishop) Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 23:14:46 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Question on Vacuum fluctuations and Non-Zero Energy Empty Space: In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <200709302314.46134.kanzure@gmail.com> On Sunday 30 September 2007 22:40, Andres Colon wrote: > Q. Why don't vacuum fluctuations violate the second law of > thermodynamics? A friend says: "The uncertainty principle can be applied here. Usually the uncertainty principle has to do with velocity and position. In this case it would deal with energy and time." But I think a more interesting question is "how can we reconcile the localized conservation of energy with our uncertainty as to whether or not energy is conserved on the much larger macroscopic scales of our universe." Thoughts? - Bryan From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Mon Oct 1 04:16:48 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 21:16:48 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? In-Reply-To: <008e01c803e0$b1fcc6f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <006501c803b1$c2687720$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <008e01c803e0$b1fcc6f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: In his discussion on the "Proactionary Principle" at the TransVision 2007 conference, Max More alluded to his acceptance of Global Warming, based on his own reading of the evidence. I would like to hear more about his thoughts, or read any papers he's written on this subject, since he has represented the Libertarian side of the Transhumanist movement for many years. If I'm mistaken about his remarks or the portrayal, then I apologize in advance. Can this be arranged Natasha? James Clement -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Lee Corbin Sent: Sunday, September 30, 2007 9:06 PM To: 'ExI chat list' Subject: Re: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? James writes > Lee; > > Like any issue, there are those whose motives are unimpeachable (whether > they're factually right or wrong), and those whose motives are biased. This > is the sole point of my posting - that neither side is completely free from > bias, and we should avoid making sweeping statements that try to paint > everyone on one side with a single brush. Maybe the media and the > politicians can make use of such mud-slinging, but anyone who has the skills > of critical thinking should be more concerned with uncovering and evaluating > the facts for themselves. Very good. I can hardly ask for more. But I can, actually. While it is great to participate in discussions where people (i) admit their biases when they are able, (ii) sincerely wish to know the truth, (iii) are willing to expend a modicum of effort, THEN some progress can be made. I'm after further ideas and further information. Scanning lists of skeptics or believers does some help, but this thread has so far exposed some weaknesses of relying merely on this. But we can do more. 1. we can give narratives of the formation of our own beliefs; any asymmetries can be revealing 2. we can search for well-pedigreed pundits on this issue (well-pedigreed amounting to having a history of non- ideological and non-political serious inquiry) That's all I've been able to think of right now. I strongly welcome any testimonials of the form (i) and will write one myself. And we (collectively) must surely be able to point to *some* examples of (ii). I suppose that libertarians and conservatives may tend to be on the same side here, because there is a strong and on this issue very relevant common denominator of opposing large government and being very skeptical of programs to be executed by government. (People doubting my bonafides should appreciate that last, just as I explicitly appreciated several of James' points that did not help my own case.) Lee > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Lee Corbin > Sent: Sunday, September 30, 2007 3:29 PM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: Re: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? > > James writes > >> you're not suggesting that there are no financial incentives for >> those who write research papers against Global Warming, are you? See >> >> > http://www.nytimes.com/2006/07/28/science/28climate.html?ex=1311739200&en=00 > d5453101bbc950&ei=5090&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss > > Thanks. Indeed I was not aware that any outside agencies were paying > any scientists who did not support the view that global warming was > being oversold. But you should wince a little at the tone of that article, > which begins > > Utilities Pay Scientist Ally on Warming > >> BY THE ASSOCIATED PRESS >> Published: July 28, 2006 >> WASHINGTON, July 27 - Coal-burning utilities are contributing money to >> one of the few remaining climate scientists openly critical of the broad >> consensus that fossil fuel emissions are intensifying global warming. > > The bias of this lead sentence is large and obvious. The writer is > apparently > someone who would find it somewhat painful to complete any full > sentence without pushing the point of view he personally believes in. > Everything from "few remaining..." to "broad consensus". Now > explain *why* a journalist, indeed writing for the Associated Press, > would have such an agenda? Of course, we do or should be able > to individually acknowledge the general overt bias of western media in > politically related questions, of which this is a sample. > >> There are tremendous amounts of money to be made and lost by corporations > as >> a result of environmental decisions by governments, which under our > current >> structure leads to tremendous pressure by some to retain the status quo, > and >> by others to push for changes and punish their competition. > > Yes (and thank you for admitting that last phrase; we must strive for > objectivity). But you haven't said whether you agree with the point > that the traditional left seems to have a horse in this race that's not > simply scientific. > > The bigger question I'm addressing is the bias itself, from both sides, > and why we think what we think. On a number of occasions, I have > to brag, a desire to explain *this* phenomenon in unbiased terms > has always seemed to be coming much more from my side of the > political spectrum. > > No one has yet addressed either way my contention that the social > idealism (quite apart from literally saving the Earth) of many on the > left---idealism that manifests itself in wanting bigger government > and greater regulation---is behind a great deal of the support for > global warming and a very great amount of support for the belief > in catastrophic global warming. > > One way to address this might be if anyone has attempted to poll > scientists who are entirely unpolitical or ideological (I understand > the difficulty of this). But we may ourselves have some success in > soliciting opinion from well-known extropians who have never > voiced a political opinion. > > Lee > >> -----Original Message----- >> From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org >> [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Lee Corbin >> Sent: Sunday, September 30, 2007 11:04 AM >> To: ExI chat list >> Subject: Re: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? >> >> BillK writes >> >>> On 9/30/07, Lee Corbin wrote: >>>> Be sure to see >>>> >>>> >> http://www.brutallyhonest.org/brutally_honest/2007/06/global-warming-.html >>>> >>>> Global Warming scientist skeptics list is growing... >>>> ... to the absolute chagrin of the kool-aid drinking members of the >> Church of Chicken >>>> Little. Stumbled across this today and thought it worthy of our >> attention: >>> >>> As the last reader comment on that item notes... >>> He also notes that this opposes the thousands of scientists who >>> support the theory that humans are a major part of the cause of global >>> warming. >>> >>> You can probably find more 'scientists' that deny the theory of > evolution. >>> Some even still deny that smoking causes cancer. >> >> There are a number of differences. One is to check if you can be >> suspicious of some prior crackpot element. Clearly in the case >> of evolution we have ample explanation of the motives of some >> of the creationists and so on---religion is a huge force in human >> thinking and motivation. So what would be the analogy here? >> Do a lot of the names on these list jump out at you as being bought >> and paid for by people who can somehow make money if global >> warming is false? >> >> Another is the incredible yet obvious, amazing yet not-so-perplexing >> political component of this scientific issue. >> >> Political component? Now, how could that be? I ask seriously, but >> especially if anyone wishes to make an unbiased stab at answering, >> i.e. answering in such a way that the writer's own biases or political >> allegiances are not patent (though of course all comments welcome). >> >> But being political, one may ask (just as one does in tobacco cases) who >> does the funding? In this case, it's almost entirely governments and > those >> who hope for government grants. Thus we instantly see the especially >> harmful effects of funding that is partly or mainly politically or >> ideologically motivated. >> >> The iron law of government bureaucracies is growth, growth, and more >> growth. A "crisis" real or imagined is damn, damn fine for government >> growth, and is a very convenient truth for those who believe that >> governments ought to be actively improving our lives a lot more than >> they supposedly are already. >> >> Lee > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From thespike at satx.rr.com Mon Oct 1 04:47:21 2007 From: thespike at satx.rr.com (Damien Broderick) Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 23:47:21 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? In-Reply-To: References: <006501c803b1$c2687720$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <008e01c803e0$b1fcc6f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <7.0.1.0.2.20070930233352.021ee238@satx.rr.com> At 09:16 PM 9/30/2007 -0700, JC wrote: >In his discussion on the "Proactionary Principle" at the TransVision 2007 >conference, Max More alluded to his acceptance of Global Warming You've left out a key modifier: anthropogenic. Dyson, e.g., accepts that climate is warming, but thinks it's primarily a cycle in solar oscillations of some sort. Others agree global warming is clearly evident, but regard the human-added factors variously relevant. If vagaries of insolation are responsible for a real effect (as hinted by the synchronous "global warming" on Mars), an obvious technical fix is a soletta-type "umbrella" or "diffuser" at Earth-Sun Lagrange-1. Hardly anyone considers this seriously, least of all those for whom our presumed plight is a wake-up call to moral virtue, technical modesty and belt-tightening. I see some resemblances here to medical and ecclesiastical opposition to anesthetic relief during childbirth--women were *meant* to suffer, damn it! Damien Broderick From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Mon Oct 1 05:15:33 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 22:15:33 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? In-Reply-To: <7.0.1.0.2.20070930233352.021ee238@satx.rr.com> References: <006501c803b1$c2687720$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <008e01c803e0$b1fcc6f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <7.0.1.0.2.20070930233352.021ee238@satx.rr.com> Message-ID: Damien; Without a transcript, or other writings of Max's, I would not be able to say what his views are. I haven't studied the field, and would certainly make no pretense of holding any special knowledge. If indeed the evidence shows there is Global Warming, then it would seem prudent that the Government would be concerned over predicted effects of such, would it not? How the politicians "spin" the issue will depend on their integrity and biases. What will be done about it, should the evidence point to the necessity for action, will likely be a combination of governmental and private action. My object is to learn, not to proselytize. James -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Damien Broderick Sent: Sunday, September 30, 2007 9:47 PM To: ExI chat list Subject: Re: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? At 09:16 PM 9/30/2007 -0700, JC wrote: >In his discussion on the "Proactionary Principle" at the TransVision 2007 >conference, Max More alluded to his acceptance of Global Warming You've left out a key modifier: anthropogenic. Dyson, e.g., accepts that climate is warming, but thinks it's primarily a cycle in solar oscillations of some sort. Others agree global warming is clearly evident, but regard the human-added factors variously relevant. If vagaries of insolation are responsible for a real effect (as hinted by the synchronous "global warming" on Mars), an obvious technical fix is a soletta-type "umbrella" or "diffuser" at Earth-Sun Lagrange-1. Hardly anyone considers this seriously, least of all those for whom our presumed plight is a wake-up call to moral virtue, technical modesty and belt-tightening. I see some resemblances here to medical and ecclesiastical opposition to anesthetic relief during childbirth--women were *meant* to suffer, damn it! Damien Broderick _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From spike66 at att.net Mon Oct 1 05:22:34 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 22:22:34 -0700 Subject: [ExI] macdac's rocket scientists In-Reply-To: <004f01c802dc$48c463f0$6401a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <200710010549.l915nIea010113@andromeda.ziaspace.com> > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Olga Bourlin ... > > My husband - who's known a lot of those fabled "rocket scientists" at > McDonnell Douglas (where he used to work for 15 years) ... found a lot of > them wanting when it came to interdisciplinary thinking (e.g., there were > a couple of them who were creationists)... Olga Ja, Olga, I too have serious doubts about MacDonnnelll Doouglas' rocket scientists. {8^D Oddly enough, creationism is a surprisingly common outlook among "rocket scientists". We have a few of these at Lockheeed. I never have been able to figure out why, but I will offer a theory: one can be a rocket scientist without actually having a deep seated science mindset. If one is really good with the mechanics of mathematics, if one can model a physical object as a system of simultaneous differential equations and solve for any variable therein, one can be a rocket scientist. A rocket scientist is really a very sophisticated technician, in a sense. I don't doubt that super-technicians are smart guys, but they can (and often do) convince themselves of some wacky stuff. New subject: at the risk of rooting for my own competitors, check this: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,298581,00.html U.S. Successfully Tests Missile Defense System Saturday, September 29, 2007 VANDENBERG AIR FORCE BASE, Calif. - A ground-based missile successfully intercepted a target missile Friday in a test of the nation's defense system, the Missile Defense Agency said. An intercontinental ballistic missile interceptor blasted out of an underground silo at Vandenberg Air Force Base shortly after 1:15 p.m., and tracked a target missile that had lifted off from the Kodiak Launch Complex in Alaska, the Boeing Co. said in a statement. The Missile Defense Agency said initial results show the interceptor's rocket motor system and kill vehicle performed as planned. Boeing said the warhead was tracked, intercepted and destroyed. Boeing is the prime contractor for what is formally known as the Ground-Based Midcourse Defense system. The MDA expects to invest $49 billion in ballistic missile defense development and fielding over the next five years. Two operational interceptor missiles are currently based at Vandenberg and there are 11 deployed at Fort Greely, Alaska. I offer my grudging congratulations to Booeing, for this is a competition in which all humanity wins if the rocket scientists win: There were recent disparaging comments here regarding FoxNews. However, Fox was the only mainstream news agency that carried this story (unless I missed it elsewhere or it hasn't shown up yet) outside of my own rocket science news outlets. So without Fox, how would the public hear of this kind of success? This is certainly newsworthy, an extraordinary accomplishment, ja? spike From scerir at libero.it Mon Oct 1 06:17:01 2007 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Mon, 1 Oct 2007 08:17:01 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Question on Vacuum fluctuations and Non-Zero Energy EmptySpace: References: <200709302314.46134.kanzure@gmail.com> Message-ID: <000401c803f2$b157a820$89931f97@archimede> > But I think a more interesting question is "how can we reconcile the > localized conservation of energy with our uncertainty as to whether or > not energy is conserved on the much larger macroscopic scales of our > universe." Thoughts? > > - Bryan Not sure I understand. Radiation energy decreases due to the universal expansion and related red/black shifting, dark energy would increase due to expansion .... It is supposed that total energy (radiation, matter, dark energy, + gravitational field energy) is conserved (by definition, I would say). From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Mon Oct 1 10:18:17 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Mon, 1 Oct 2007 12:18:17 +0200 Subject: [ExI] macdac's rocket scientists In-Reply-To: <200710010549.l915nIea010113@andromeda.ziaspace.com> References: <004f01c802dc$48c463f0$6401a8c0@brainiac> <200710010549.l915nIea010113@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: <580930c20710010318i511a1598jf59c2e6b28eff770@mail.gmail.com> On 10/1/07, Spike wrote: > > for any variable therein, one can be a rocket scientist. A rocket > scientist > is really a very sophisticated technician, in a sense. I don't doubt that > super-technicians are smart guys, but they can (and often do) convince > themselves of some wacky stuff. > In fact, "science" has a rather peculiar usage in English. In Neolatin languages, "rocket scientist" cannot even be literally translated, because engineering, as practical medicine, are considered "know-hows", distinct as such from the sciences they are based on, as speaking a language is distinct from philology... Stefano Vaj -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Mon Oct 1 11:46:39 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Mon, 1 Oct 2007 12:46:39 +0100 Subject: [ExI] macdac's rocket scientists In-Reply-To: <580930c20710010318i511a1598jf59c2e6b28eff770@mail.gmail.com> References: <004f01c802dc$48c463f0$6401a8c0@brainiac> <200710010549.l915nIea010113@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <580930c20710010318i511a1598jf59c2e6b28eff770@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: On 10/1/07, Stefano Vaj wrote: > In fact, "science" has a rather peculiar usage in English. In Neolatin > languages, "rocket scientist" cannot even be literally translated, because > engineering, as practical medicine, are considered "know-hows", distinct as > such from the sciences they are based on, as speaking a language is distinct > from philology... > Hmmm. Well, in French, 'rocket scientist' is 'scientifique de fus?e', which literally is 'scientist of rocket or missile'. 'rocket engineer' translates to 'ing?nieur de fus?e', which literally is 'engineer of rocket or missile'. So I think the phrase can be literally translated. But maybe you are making the subtle distinction, which applies across many languages and societies, that 'scientist' means different things to different people. Just like 'doctor' means something different to an American and a Zulu. BillK From neomorphy at gmail.com Mon Oct 1 12:34:12 2007 From: neomorphy at gmail.com (Olie Lamb) Date: Mon, 1 Oct 2007 22:34:12 +1000 Subject: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? In-Reply-To: <000001c80375$13eb64f0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> References: <46FF2855.30303@pooq.com> <000001c80375$13eb64f0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> Message-ID: Uh, Damien Spikey, There are a lot of people _seriously_ considering the feasibility of affecting the Earth's albedo, such as by setting up very large 'mirrors' in deserts, if warming is strong, incremental, and gradual over the next few decades. Unless the cost of space payloads drop dramatically (yes, a space elevator would change this), the cost of terrestrial reflectors is likely to remain many orders of magnitude lower than those for solar diffusers. (Besides, very lightweight celestial umbrellas would turn into solar sails...) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mitigation_of_global_warming "If vagaries of insolation are responsible for a real effect (as hinted by the synchronous "global warming" on Mars), an obvious technical fix is a soletta-type "umbrella" or "diffuser" at Earth-Sun Lagrange-1. Hardly anyone considers this seriously, least of all those for whom our presumed plight is a wake-up call to moral virtue, technical modesty and belt-tightening" ALSO, On 10/1/07, Gary Miller wrote: > > Jan Veizer, one of Canada's top earth scientists, published a > comprehensive > review of recent findings and concluded, "empirical observations on all > time > scales point to celestial phenomena as the principal driver of climate, > with > greenhouse gases acting only as potential amplifiers." > This statement is either approaching tautological (and so, nearly meaningless), or completely wrong. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clathrate_Gun_Hypothesis http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleocene-Eocene_Thermal_Maximum http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_dimming -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From rpwl at lightlink.com Mon Oct 1 13:09:32 2007 From: rpwl at lightlink.com (Richard Loosemore) Date: Mon, 01 Oct 2007 09:09:32 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Testimonial of the form (i) [WAS Re: Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects?] In-Reply-To: <008e01c803e0$b1fcc6f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <006501c803b1$c2687720$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <008e01c803e0$b1fcc6f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <4700F18C.9050105@lightlink.com> Lee Corbin wrote: > James writes > >> Lee; >> >> Like any issue, there are those whose motives are unimpeachable (whether >> they're factually right or wrong), and those whose motives are biased. This >> is the sole point of my posting - that neither side is completely free from >> bias, and we should avoid making sweeping statements that try to paint >> everyone on one side with a single brush. Maybe the media and the >> politicians can make use of such mud-slinging, but anyone who has the skills >> of critical thinking should be more concerned with uncovering and evaluating >> the facts for themselves. > > Very good. I can hardly ask for more. > > But I can, actually. While it is great to participate in discussions > where people (i) admit their biases when they are able, (ii) sincerely > wish to know the truth, (iii) are willing to expend a modicum of > effort, THEN some progress can be made. > > I'm after further ideas and further information. Scanning lists of > skeptics or believers does some help, but this thread has so far > exposed some weaknesses of relying merely on this. But we > can do more. > > 1. we can give narratives of the formation of our own beliefs; > any asymmetries can be revealing > 2. we can search for well-pedigreed pundits on this issue > (well-pedigreed amounting to having a history of non- > ideological and non-political serious inquiry) > > That's all I've been able to think of right now. I strongly welcome > any testimonials of the form (i) and will write one myself. And we > (collectively) must surely be able to point to *some* examples of (ii). The formation of beliefs, on issues such as the global warming debate, is simple if you use the scientific method: test all the claims made by tracking back to sources and doing some fact-checking and cross-examination. What happens when you do this is that (usually) one set of opinions collapses in self-contradiction and/or lies. Lomborg's book is a perfect example: take any one of his claims, start tracking it back to source, do the cross checking, etc., and you very quickly find the arguments fall apart. The text is replete with exaggerations, extreme distortions, omission of crucial facts, irrelevancies and statistical sleight of hand. Do the same to the data and opinions generated by those who believe that global warming is (likely to be) anthropogenic, and you find that the web of facts surrounding their claims simply does not fall apart, does not contain huge omissions, and gets stronger and more self-consistent the more you look at it. The same can be done with any other issue, scientific or political. Your option (2) above is just comparing the size of megaphones: that's the pseudoscientific method. Richard Loosemore From natasha at natasha.cc Mon Oct 1 14:57:32 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Mon, 01 Oct 2007 09:57:32 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects? In-Reply-To: References: <006501c803b1$c2687720$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <008e01c803e0$b1fcc6f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <200710011457.l91EvtB7008426@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> At 11:16 PM 9/30/2007, JC wrote: >In his discussion on the "Proactionary Principle" at the TransVision 2007 >conference, Max More alluded to his acceptance of Global Warming, based on >his own reading of the evidence. I would like to hear more about his >thoughts, or read any papers he's written on this subject, since he has >represented the Libertarian side of the Transhumanist movement for many >years. You are mixing politics with science and philosophy. And this is quite a narrow-minded statement because Max represented much more than a "Libertarians side of Transhumumanist movement". (I can see the WTA has gotten to you.) Max has represented all sides of transhumanist but the religious and socialist side. >If I'm mistaken about his remarks or the portrayal, then I apologize >in advance. > >Can this be arranged Natasha? You can call him yourself James. In fact, you were supposed call him some weeks ago. Best wishes, Natasha Natasha Vita-More PhD Candidate, Planetary Collegium -University of Plymouth - Faculty of Technology, School of Computing, Communications and Electronics, Centre for Advanced Inquiry in the Interactive Arts If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jonkc at att.net Mon Oct 1 15:24:36 2007 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Mon, 1 Oct 2007 11:24:36 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Global Warming Skeptics as Interview Subjects?. References: <006501c803b1$c2687720$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677><008e01c803e0$b1fcc6f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <7.0.1.0.2.20070930233352.021ee238@satx.rr.com> Message-ID: <001301c8043f$4195b480$5e0a4e0c@MyComputer> "Damien Broderick" > I see some resemblances here to medical and > ecclesiastical opposition to anesthetic relief during > childbirth--women were *meant* to suffer, damn it! Damn, I wish I'd said that! Oh well, undoubtly I will. First rate post Damien, although next time have the courtesy to say something I disagree with so we can argue. John K Clark From pjmanney at gmail.com Mon Oct 1 20:04:57 2007 From: pjmanney at gmail.com (PJ Manney) Date: Mon, 1 Oct 2007 13:04:57 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Futurism in the Geekipedia Message-ID: <29666bf30710011304m208d911cy7e39de1021816bb@mail.gmail.com> Has anyone gotten a look at Wired's Geekipedia? Under the entry "Futurism" is a breakdown of supposed Futurist schools: Capitalists, Socialists, Totalitarians and Apocalyptics. http://www.wired.com/culture/geekipedia/magazine/geekipedia/futurism Here's what they say about people we supposedly resemble: "Totalitarians: Futurists of this variety don't merely forecast or speculate. The have a rigid ideological conviction about what the future holds, and they'll happily force it on anyone within reach. Prominent schemes come from situationists, singularity enthusiasts and transhumanist visionaries who are so desperate to escape the nightmare of history that nobody else can figure out what they're talking about. Major proponent: Project for the New American Century." HUH?! In their wildest imaginings, when did transhumanists or singulartarians become neo-cons???!!! Did I just wake up and you all invaded Iran while I slept??? Some of us may partially resemble the capitalists and some of us the socialists and some both simultaneously (and none ,thank goodness, resemble the Apocalyptics, who are Fundies), but for Pete's sake, do these guys know anything about actual futurism??? PJ From kanzure at gmail.com Mon Oct 1 21:54:13 2007 From: kanzure at gmail.com (Bryan Bishop) Date: Mon, 1 Oct 2007 16:54:13 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Question on Vacuum fluctuations and Non-Zero Energy EmptySpace: In-Reply-To: <000401c803f2$b157a820$89931f97@archimede> References: <200709302314.46134.kanzure@gmail.com> <000401c803f2$b157a820$89931f97@archimede> Message-ID: <200710011654.13514.kanzure@gmail.com> I would agree that energy, by definition, would have to be conserved since we came up with the concept in the first place. However, what about the expansion of space? If there is a finite amount of energy and mass, then the vacuum fluctuations should be increasingly less localized. Right? (Don't call me right off on this- just back from a long day. :)) - Bryan From mmbutler at gmail.com Mon Oct 1 22:08:58 2007 From: mmbutler at gmail.com (Michael M. Butler) Date: Mon, 1 Oct 2007 15:08:58 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Futurism in the Geekipedia In-Reply-To: <29666bf30710011304m208d911cy7e39de1021816bb@mail.gmail.com> References: <29666bf30710011304m208d911cy7e39de1021816bb@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <7d79ed890710011508j3e144a7bybcce371f6ab66a0f@mail.gmail.com> On 10/1/07, PJ Manney wrote: > [F]or Pete's sake, do > these guys know anything about actual futurism??? It's Wired. So the general answer to "[D]o these guys know anything...?" is "...No". -- Michael M. Butler : m m b u t l e r ( a t ) g m a i l . c o m Loneliness is the ultimate poverty. --Abigail Van Buren From extropy at unreasonable.com Tue Oct 2 04:25:38 2007 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Tue, 02 Oct 2007 00:25:38 -0400 Subject: [ExI] The Nanotech opposition Message-ID: <200710020427.l924RIj17561@unreasonable.com> I just received a job posting on one of my lists for a position whose holder is likely to be a public voice in opposition to much that we want to see. -- David. ====================================== Director, Nanotechnology Project Center for the Study of Responsive Law (CSRL) Washington, DC Description: The Nanotechnology Project* seeks a Project Director to develop an independent group working on the oversight of nanotechnology. The mission of the project is to educate the public and policymakers about nanotechnology's risks to human health and the environment. Specific Responsibilities Include: Activities ? Developing and directing public education programs ? Monitoring Congressional action on nanotechnology initiatives ? Developing and maintaining relationships with allied organizations and individuals ? Representing the group and its members at meetings, pubic hearings and other events Writing ? Authoring and editing articles, reports, regulatory comments and news releases ? Developing and producing a short newsletter and information alerts ? Writing and editing grant proposals Group Operations ? Overseeing general operations of the organization ? Overseeing the communications program ? Hiring, training and supervising other staff/interns ? Developing fundraising programs Desired Skills/Qualifications ? Excellent verbal, written and interpersonal communications skills ? Ability to build effective relationships with allied organizations and individuals ? Demonstrated success in project management ? Be a self-starter and highly motivated ? Strong organizational skills and experience managing multiple tasks and projects ? Previous experience with nanotechnology or technology issues highly preferable ? Graduate degree in law, engineering or other relevant field desirable * A project of the Center for the Study of Responsive Law (CSRL). Center for the Study of Responsive Law (CSRL) is a nonprofit Ralph Nader organization that supports and conducts a wide variety of research and educational projects to encourage the political, economic and social institutions of this country to be more aware of the needs of the citizen-consumer. The Center serves to empower citizens, guard the environment, protect consumers and monitor worker health and safety issues. How to Apply: Email resume and cover letter to Adam Tapley, atapley at csrl.org. From sjatkins at mac.com Tue Oct 2 05:12:51 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Mon, 1 Oct 2007 22:12:51 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> On Sep 26, 2007, at 10:34 PM, Emlyn wrote: > This isn't new, but it is interesting, I thought some people mightn't > have seen it. It'll read as pretty strongly partisan, so get past that > if you can. Do you think things are really as bad as she describes? Yes. 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, seriously inside. 2) 911 was then used to curtail civil liberties and all but rubberstamp subsequent government power grabs. 3) 911 is used to justify current and future wars and indeed "war without end". Out of generated and nurtured sustained fear the people go along. 4) Our economy is a tottering house of cards with the dollar fast running off the rails. 5) Peak Oil is real. 6) 4 & 5 and the knowledge thereof and how bad it really is likely explain why (1) was considered justified and why it and subsequent developments raise so little outcry in either major party. 7) Given a coming economy crash and subsequent mass unrest the state wants and has acquired the means to do whatever it wishes to and with the people to perpetuate its own existence or at least the comfort of the power elites. on her (2) I don't think it is an accident that we jail a larger percentage of our citizens than any other government or that much more prison capacity is being planned and built out. I find it very chilling that already signed executive orders give the President authority to have anyone he wants arrested and effectively disappeared without trial or rights simply by applying the label 'enemy combatant' or 'terrorist' without any standard of proof. (4), surveillance, worries me greatly. Past States leaning toward totalitarianism could not dream of the level of surveillance that is technically possible today. With increasingly powerful and ubiquitous surveillance resistance become not merely futile but nearly impossible. She is right on (5) that the definition of "terrorism" is much too loose and fluid. It is easy to label something or someone as terrorist and remove many legal protections and quiet objections. She is right about the dangers and about every specific development she mentions in its dangers and implications. This is a very dangerous situation for we who live on this side of the pond. So why is most of the response here about how much of an intellectual she is or is not and other side matters? Is the heart of the matter so easily dismissed? Or is it simply to disheartening and difficult to take on? Would we really argue about what "fascism" means or strut our intellectual wit while our freedoms and our future are taken away? Perhaps "fascism" is not technically the right word. Perhaps the author does overly inflate. But the subject is far too deadly serious to treat lightly or to distract ourselves with lesser matters from considering. - samantha From mmbutler at gmail.com Tue Oct 2 05:45:26 2007 From: mmbutler at gmail.com (Michael M. Butler) Date: Mon, 1 Oct 2007 22:45:26 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> Message-ID: <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> On 10/1/07, Samantha Atkins wrote: > 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, seriously inside. Ballocks. Makes it very hard to take the rest of what you write seriously, even though I do. Eugene? I tried to quit the list twice already. What does it take? -- Michael M. Butler : m m b u t l e r ( a t ) g m a i l . c o m Loneliness is the ultimate poverty. --Abigail Van Buren From natasha at natasha.cc Tue Oct 2 15:37:11 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Tue, 02 Oct 2007 10:37:11 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Futurism in the Geekipedia In-Reply-To: <29666bf30710011304m208d911cy7e39de1021816bb@mail.gmail.com > References: <29666bf30710011304m208d911cy7e39de1021816bb@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <200710021537.l92FbZfj017389@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> At 03:04 PM 10/1/2007, PJ Manney wrote: >Has anyone gotten a look at Wired's Geekipedia? Under the entry >"Futurism" is a breakdown of supposed Futurist schools: Capitalists, >Socialists, Totalitarians and Apocalyptics. > >http://www.wired.com/culture/geekipedia/magazine/geekipedia/futurism > >Here's what they say about people we supposedly resemble: > >"Totalitarians: >Futurists of this variety don't merely forecast or speculate. The >have a rigid ideological conviction about what the future holds, and >they'll happily force it on anyone within reach. Prominent schemes >come from situationists, singularity enthusiasts and transhumanist >visionaries who are so desperate to escape the nightmare of history >that nobody else can figure out what they're talking about. Major >proponent: Project for the New American Century." > >HUH?! In their wildest imaginings, when did transhumanists or >singulartarians become neo-cons???!!! Did I just wake up and you all >invaded Iran while I slept??? > >Some of us may partially resemble the capitalists and some of us the >socialists and some both simultaneously (and none ,thank goodness, >resemble the Apocalyptics, who are Fundies), but for Pete's sake, do >these guys know anything about actual futurism??? Yes I think they do but in this thing - this pedia - whatever it is - they are ignorantly segregating for effect. Years ago Wired was friendly with transhumanism, especially its philosophy of Extropy. Kevin Kelly, the founder, is a friend and he admires Max and Eric, etc. As I emailed Mike La Torra privately, I have been written up in Wired several times and never criticized or made to look bad. There was no hate, but a genuine fondness and appreciation. Wired had been the darling of futurist ideas for many years. Then little by little things started changing. When Alex Herd wrote about transhumanists for the New York Times in 1999, he was objective and favorable. He later became editor of Wired and things changed. I know he left quickly thereafter. Wired started getting a little mean-spirited. But there was still people like Mark Frauenfedler and Brian Alexander and RU Sirius who were not transhumanists but respected us. Over time, changed continued and some of the writers got snotty. Bruce Sterling still writes for Wired. Bruce does not speak well of transhumanism and he has a loud voice. In short, Wired has changed. Natasha Natasha Vita-More PhD Candidate, Planetary Collegium -University of Plymouth - Faculty of Technology, School of Computing, Communications and Electronics, Centre for Advanced Inquiry in the Interactive Arts If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From sjatkins at mac.com Wed Oct 3 01:32:28 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (=?ISO-8859-1?Q?Samantha=A0_Atkins?=) Date: Tue, 2 Oct 2007 18:32:28 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> On Oct 1, 2007, at 10:45 PM, Michael M. Butler wrote: > On 10/1/07, Samantha Atkins wrote: > >> 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, seriously inside. > > Ballocks. Makes it very hard to take the rest of what you write > seriously, even though I do. It will take a lot more than your say-so to make the official story hold water. - s From sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com Wed Oct 3 00:56:00 2007 From: sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com (Sergio M.L. Tarrero) Date: Wed, 3 Oct 2007 02:56:00 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: The FP e-Alert: Why Climate Change Can't Be Stopped References: Message-ID: Some of you might find some of these articles (my own selection from FP's last e-Alert) interesting... Begin forwarded message: > > > > > > > >> WHY CLIMATE CHANGE CAN'T BE STOPPED > > By Paul J. Saunders and Vaughan Turekian > Environmental advocates have finally managed to put the issue of > global warming at the top of the world's agenda. But the > scientific, economic, and political realities may mean that their > efforts are too little, too late. > > > From the latest issue of FP > > HOW CAPITALISM IS KILLING DEMOCRACY > By Robert B. Reich > JUST SAY NO TO PROHIBITION > By Ethan Nadelmann > HOW TO MAKE A SPY > By Tim Weiner > THE TERRORISM INDEX > > More Web Exclusives Available at ForeignPolicy.com: > > The List > > SPUTNIK PLUS 50 > It's been 50 years since a tiny, bleeping orb named Sputnik > triggered a decades-long competition between the United States and > the Soviet Union to rule the heavens. But if you thought the space > race was over, think again. In this List, FP looks at the five > hottest contests for space dominance. > > > > FIVE POPULATION TRENDS TO WATCH > Military experts have a saying: Amateurs study strategy; > professionals study logistics. When it comes to geopolitics, > professionals study demographics. In this List, FPsurveys the five > population trends that will shape our world in the years to come. > > > > THE WORLD ACCORDING TO JOHN BOLTON > Negotiations with North Korea are on a knife's edge. Rumors of > secret Israeli raids on alleged Syrian nuclear facilities and > possible U.S. airstrikes on Iran are roiling political salons from > Washington to Riyadh. In this Seven Questions, former U.S. > Ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton offers some advice for > those confronted with a dangerous world. > > > > > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com Tue Oct 2 19:52:16 2007 From: sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com (Sergio M.L. Tarrero) Date: Tue, 2 Oct 2007 21:52:16 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> Message-ID: <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> > > A transcript of Sam Harris' recent (controversial) speech at the > Atheist Alliance Conference is now available on the Washington > Post / Newsweekwebsite. > > It can be read here: The Problem with Atheism > This was an important talk, so I'm passing along the link to its transcript. -- Sergio M.L. Tarrero Lifeboat Foundation http://lifeboat.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From scerir at libero.it Tue Oct 2 20:52:00 2007 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Tue, 2 Oct 2007 22:52:00 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Question on Vacuum fluctuations and Non-Zero EnergyEmptySpace: References: <200709302314.46134.kanzure@gmail.com><000401c803f2$b157a820$89931f97@archimede> <200710011654.13514.kanzure@gmail.com> Message-ID: <000601c80536$17e55ee0$a2b81f97@archimede> Bryan: However, what about the expansion of space? If there is a finite amount of energy and mass, then the vacuum fluctuations should be increasingly less localized. Right? # Imagine removing from the universe the matter, the radiation, and the other exotic stuff. The resulting content is vacuum, the unobservable lowest possible energy state. There are many effects which contribute to the total vacuum energy, including vacuum fluctuations (if energy conservation is violated when the particles are created, then all of that energy is restored when they annihilate again, and according to a vacuum conservation theorem, at a classical level the vacuum must be stable against spontaneous matter creation processes). Essentially the effect of vacuum energy is to contribute to the universal expansion, and not to the self-gravity effects. A quintessential possibility is that the vacuum energy changes with time. In this case, the problem of conservation/localization of vacuum energy may find a solution (ecological too). Another possibility is a sort of inflationary scenario. The best possibility seems that the expansion is fueled by our lack of understanding :-) I did not check Ned Wright http://www.astro.ucla.edu/~wright/cosmolog.htm or Sean Carroll http://www.arxiv.org/abs/astro-ph/0004075 http://www.arxiv.org/abs/astro-ph/0310342 maybe you can find something there. From nvitamore at austin.rr.com Wed Oct 3 18:43:14 2007 From: nvitamore at austin.rr.com (nvitamore at austin.rr.com) Date: Wed, 3 Oct 2007 14:43:14 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Mental Floss: Puffed-up virtuosos Message-ID: <380-220071033184314484@M2W032.mail2web.com> Christopher Smith's article for Mental Floss is a good read: "(Mental Floss) -- They say a lot of artistic expression is motivated by self-loathing. But not for these folks! Long before the Material Girl ordered papa to stop preaching, these six puffed-up virtuosos knew darn well how to strike a pose." http://www.cnn.com/2007/LIVING/worklife/09/28/mf.prima.donnas/index.html Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web.com - Microsoft? Exchange solutions from a leading provider - http://link.mail2web.com/Business/Exchange From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Wed Oct 3 19:54:57 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Wed, 3 Oct 2007 21:54:57 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> Message-ID: <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> On 10/3/07, Samantha Atkins wrote: > > On Oct 1, 2007, at 10:45 PM, Michael M. Butler wrote: > > > On 10/1/07, Samantha Atkins wrote: > > > >> 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, seriously inside. > > > > Ballocks. Makes it very hard to take the rest of what you write > > seriously, even though I do. > > It will take a lot more than your say-so to make the official story > hold water. Bottom line: the "inside" part of "inside job" may mean many things (what degree of active or passive involvement? at what level?), but the point is that the burden of proof is on those affirming the official version. And while I doubt that any of those challenging it can claim to know "the truth, all the truth" about 9/11, I think that they have more than successfully shown that the official version is far from being proved beyond a reasonable doubt. Stefano Vaj From scerir at libero.it Wed Oct 3 20:51:17 2007 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Wed, 3 Oct 2007 22:51:17 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Question on Vacuum fluctuations and Non-ZeroEnergyEmptySpace: References: <200709302314.46134.kanzure@gmail.com><000401c803f2$b157a820$89931f97@archimede><200710011654.13514.kanzure@gmail.com> <000601c80536$17e55ee0$a2b81f97@archimede> Message-ID: <001701c805ff$25c388b0$9cbf1f97@archimede> [the questions by Andres and Bryan were interesting (at last to me) so I asked an expert ...] > Is the vacuum energy density constant > in the universe? This depends upon who you talk to --- :-o . Steinhardt came up with an idea that the cosmological constant /\ was dependent (eg no longer constant) upon a field phi, /\ = /\(phi, phi_{,a}), and since the cosmological constant is related to the density and pressure by /\ = 8pi G/c^2(e + p) a cosmological term that varies in time and space means that the energy density e and pressure p will change as well. This idea is called quintessence. Is supect that quintessence is a phase condition for the universe and vacuum, along with dark energy and phantom energy. These have curious analogues to Landau theory of Fermi fluids in solid state physics. > Having in mind the universal expansion, > and if the vacuum energy density is constant, > does it mean there is a continuous production > of vacuum energy caused by the universal expansion, > or causing the universal expansion? This is one reason for dark energy and negative pressure. The equation of state is p = we, for w a particular number. The first law of thermodynamics is dE = -dW + TdS. As you observe if the vacuum density of the universe is a constant then as the volume of the universe increases more energy would be created for free. Yet the total energy of the universe should be zero, so we set dE = 0 and dW = -de, and TdS = dp (units assumed) we have that dE = 0 = de + dp, or in covariant terms nabla_u(E) = 0 = (e + p)U^a_{;a} and so we must have e = -p, or that w = -1. SN1A and WMAP data put w = -1.02 +- .01 or so. Now in this first law view what is happening is that internal energy is being created in the universe, and so to conserve total energy the vacuum absorbs work from the universe. This is why there is negative pressure which we interpret as dark energy. This prevents the expansion of the universe from creating energy in a runaway process. > (I can agree these are maybe little stupid > questions, but I could not find easy answers ...) > s. Not stupid, but what is stupid is why nobody asked these questions before 1997. Before Perlmutter found SN1A luminosities implied an accelerated universe it was known that inflation acted on the universe in much the way I illustrate above. I suppose everyone was sure that /\ = 0. However, once /\ =/= 0 the accelerated universe and dark energy are almost manditory. Why nobody saw this before 10 years ago is almost a mystery. > " One must be able to say > 'tables, chairs, beer-mugs' > each time in place of > 'points, lines, planes' " > -David Hilbert > (returning home to K?rnigsberg from > attending a lecture in Halle, by Hans Wiener, > on the foundations and structure of geometry). From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Oct 3 19:55:31 2007 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 03 Oct 2007 15:55:31 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Party scheduling Message-ID: <200710031957.l93JvBj80965@unreasonable.com> My next party is upcoming, and I want to set tentative dates for 2008. If you are a potential or likely attendee, please let me know which alternative dates work better for you. The actual dates are chosen to best accommodate folks, particularly someone who's rarely in the Boston vicinity. This coming party will probably be scheduled around Joe and Gay Haldeman's availability, since they're only around in the fall. Parties are at my house in southern New Hampshire, on a Saturday, from around 2 pm on. Some people have other commitments and arrive late. We've traditionally gotten a massive Chinese take-out order; last time we went out to the excellent Korean sushi restaurant down the road. Most people leave around 9 or 10; there tends to be a few staying to 1 am or so. Attendees are all smart, with a broad range of interests and an open mind. About half I know from our shared spheres -- extropian, cryonics, libertarian, sf, space advocacy, AI, nanotech, etc. The rest are friends from other circles all of whom can hold their own in conversation. There's usually a ride available for someone car-less, and we've had groups drive up from places like NYC. In planning when to hold the parties, I look at predictable conflicts that I know I or regulars would have -- e.g., holidays, conferences, conventions. This led to these candidates: Next party Oct 20 [most likely], Nov 3, or Nov 10 Winter Jan 26 or Feb 2, 2008 Spring Apr 12 or May 3 Summer Jul 26 or Aug 2 Fall Oct 18 or Oct 25 The summer party is outdoors, extending the invitation to kids and dogs. (But cerebral kids who'd want to participate in the regular gusher of conversation are welcome at any of the parties.) Also, if you can't come but have a friend near here who you think would fit right in, tell me about them. And if you're going to be around here non-adjacent to a party, give a holler. I can probably rustle up a coterie for dinner. -- David. From hkhenson at rogers.com Wed Oct 3 14:54:58 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Wed, 03 Oct 2007 07:54:58 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article In-Reply-To: <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> Message-ID: <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From michaelanissimov at gmail.com Tue Oct 2 14:16:33 2007 From: michaelanissimov at gmail.com (Michael Anissimov) Date: Tue, 2 Oct 2007 07:16:33 -0700 Subject: [ExI] [wta-talk] Futurism in the Geekipedia In-Reply-To: <20071002063147.GS4005@leitl.org> References: <29666bf30710011304m208d911cy7e39de1021816bb@mail.gmail.com> <9ff585550710011349k3688e1f6x7333e0983c3c4517@mail.gmail.com> <29666bf30710011442oed1c285t8854d53b23401c49@mail.gmail.com> <20071002063147.GS4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <51ce64f10710020716ofb019ap8f018798f922c0d6@mail.gmail.com> More evidence that WIRED sucks! It should have been put to bed when the bubble burst. By the way it's funny to see posts from wta-talk and ExI play out in the same thread. Gmail merges them all together. Wta-talk and ExI are "sister lists", isn't that cute? -- Michael Anissimov Lifeboat Foundation http://lifeboat.com http://acceleratingfuture.com -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From msd001 at gmail.com Wed Oct 3 15:06:11 2007 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Wed, 3 Oct 2007 11:06:11 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Question on Vacuum fluctuations and Non-Zero EnergyEmptySpace: In-Reply-To: <000601c80536$17e55ee0$a2b81f97@archimede> References: <200709302314.46134.kanzure@gmail.com> <000401c803f2$b157a820$89931f97@archimede> <200710011654.13514.kanzure@gmail.com> <000601c80536$17e55ee0$a2b81f97@archimede> Message-ID: <62c14240710030806n7bcc07f2xf524518ad213997e@mail.gmail.com> On 10/2/07, scerir wrote: > The best possibility seems that the expansion is fueled > by our lack of understanding :-) armchair physicist thought: Could the expansion be the increase in entropy due to the passage of time. (our awareness of time as a passage) Maybe the information required to reverse computation of this universe is represented in the subspace (to borrow a scifi term) that seems to be expanding space. If plausible, it would suggest that at the 'end of time' the amount of reversal potential would be maximized so another 'big bang' would start a forward process of uncomputing the universe. What if the universal Turing tape is a palindrome written on a moebius strip? From jrd1415 at gmail.com Tue Oct 2 21:04:16 2007 From: jrd1415 at gmail.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Tue, 2 Oct 2007 14:04:16 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> Message-ID: On 10/1/07, Samantha Atkins wrote: > 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, seriously inside. I must agree with Michael Butler, that, depending on what you mean by it, this assertion could seriously diminish your credibility on this matter. Could you elaborate? -- Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles From spike66 at att.net Thu Oct 4 06:08:15 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 3 Oct 2007 23:08:15 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article In-Reply-To: <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: <200710040855.l948t4Sv015726@reva.xtremeunix.com> ________________________________________ From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of hkhenson Sent: Wednesday, October 03, 2007 7:55 AM To: ExI chat list Subject: Re: [ExI] Fwd: New Article At 12:52 PM 10/2/2007, Sergio wrote: A transcript of Sam Harris' recent (controversial) speech at the Atheist Alliance Conference is now available on the Washington Post / Newsweekwebsite. It can be read here: The Problem with Atheism http://newsweek.washingtonpost.com/onfaith/sam_harris/2007/10/the_problem_wi th_atheism.html This is the first time I had read Harris, altho I had heard of him. In some ways I actually like Harris' approach better than Dawkins. I will give this more thought and check back in a week or so. spike From pharos at gmail.com Thu Oct 4 08:56:27 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Thu, 4 Oct 2007 09:56:27 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article In-Reply-To: <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: On 10/3/07, hkhenson wrote: > Of course even understanding the problem may not lead to a solution. And > it may be that the explanation is too bitter a pill. > > If anyone has a way to get Sam Harris' attention, please let me know. > He is making the case that all religions are not equal and the Muslim religion is much more likely to produce jihadist murderers than other religions. So there is also a specific Muslim problem to deal with. Sam Harris has a website with a 'contact the author' page. Obviously he gets a *lot* of email, but you are probably famous enough yourself to get his attention, if you name-drop a bit. ;) BillK From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Wed Oct 3 19:49:02 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Wed, 3 Oct 2007 21:49:02 +0200 Subject: [ExI] [wta-talk] Fwd: The FP e-Alert: Why Climate Change Can't Be Stopped In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <580930c20710031249w54cb297dx7fe76b159eafd21d@mail.gmail.com> On 10/3/07, Sergio M.L. Tarrero wrote: > > Some of you might find some of these articles (my own selection from FP's last e-Alert) interesting... > > WHY CLIMATE CHANGE CAN'T BE STOPPED > By Paul J. Saunders and Vaughan TurekianEnvironmental advocates have finally managed to put the issue of global warming at the top of the world's agenda. But the scientific, economic, and political realities may mean that their efforts are too little, too late. Mmhhh. "Too little, too late" in connection to what? If there were, say, a a global consensus on a 100% chance of life extinction on the planet Earth in two-years' time depending on anthropic emissions of greenhouse gases, does one really believe that the "scientific, economic and political realities" would prevent us to do anything about it? I suspect that most people would kill on sight anybody suspected of such emissions, in spite of any conceivable inertia. The real issue is the break-even point between the expected costs of GW vs. the expected costs of forced gas emission reductions vs. the costs and collateral effects of possible alternative measures. Stefano Vaj From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Thu Oct 4 21:30:43 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Thu, 4 Oct 2007 23:30:43 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article In-Reply-To: References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: <580930c20710041430q58b558ccqa3c52a254b179947@mail.gmail.com> On 10/4/07, BillK wrote: > He is making the case that all religions are not equal and the Muslim > religion is much more likely to produce jihadist murderers than other > religions. On the other hand, one should recognise and remember that Muslims are amongst monotheists the least opposed to H+ and self-determination technologies, including PDG and eugenetic abortion. Stefano Vaj From thespike at satx.rr.com Thu Oct 4 21:56:34 2007 From: thespike at satx.rr.com (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 04 Oct 2007 16:56:34 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> Message-ID: <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> At 02:04 PM 10/2/2007 -0700, Jeff Davis wrote: >Samantha Atkins wrote: > > > 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, seriously inside. > >I must agree with Michael Butler, that, depending on what you mean by >it, this assertion could seriously diminish your credibility Has instantly done so. >on this matter. On any matter, by contagion. Shame; but it's always useful to have these triangulation data. 2 cents. Damien Broderick From hkhenson at rogers.com Thu Oct 4 22:42:28 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Thu, 04 Oct 2007 15:42:28 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article In-Reply-To: References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: <1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net> At 01:56 AM 10/4/2007, BillK wrote: >On 10/3/07, hkhenson wrote: > > > Of course even understanding the problem may not lead to a solution. And > > it may be that the explanation is too bitter a pill. > > > > If anyone has a way to get Sam Harris' attention, please let me know. > > >He is making the case that all religions are not equal and the Muslim >religion is much more likely to produce jihadist murderers than other >religions. >So there is also a specific Muslim problem to deal with. I would disagree with him there. *All* religions can inspire warriors to jump up and down and yell "kill, kill." That's the evolved *function* of religions and if one has drifted away from its function, it can jolly well swim back as needed. Remember the crusades! >Sam Harris has a website with a 'contact the author' page. >Obviously he gets a *lot* of email, but you are probably famous enough >yourself to get his attention, if you name-drop a bit. ;) You overrate my fame. Keith From hkhenson at rogers.com Thu Oct 4 15:51:23 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Thu, 04 Oct 2007 08:51:23 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Dollar a gallon gasoline In-Reply-To: <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.co m> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <1191513007_20699@S1.cableone.net> Dollar gas With enough investment, engineers can do just about anything not forbidden by physical laws. Gasoline is just a form of stored chemical energy. It is compact because 65% of the mass of the reaction products (CO2 and water) comes from oxygen in the air. Gasoline or equal chemical energy sources can be synthesized from air and water at reasonable cost if you have a source of really inexpensive energy. How inexpensive? As a rough estimate, the cost of electrical energy will have to be 10-20% of the cost of the product. The energy in gallon of gasoline is about 40 kWh or at 5 cents a kWh about two dollars, implying that we could make gasoline from electricity today at some $10-20 a gallon. The cost of energy to run a synthetic fuel plant would have to fall to the sub cent per kWh range to expect liquid fuels at a dollar a gallon. Is that possible? Assuming solar, i.e., no cost for fuel, the cost is mostly due to capital costs. There are about 8,000 hours in a year. Taking a 4 year payback, that?s 32,000 hours, which means (selling the power for a cent/kWh) the installed cost of a kW has to be $320 or less. Is *this* possible? At extremely high levels of production, costs approach the cost of materials and energy. The parts of a solar power satellite consist of supporting wings, solar cells, transmitter and ground station. A kW is 2-4 square meters of wing surface. The estimated mass, including the transmitter is 2kg/kW, half of which will probable be Invar. Because of the 35% nickel content of Invar, the material cost of the support structure will be in the range of $10 an installed kW. The cost of solar cells in the extreme case is mostly due to the energy required to reduce sand (zero cost) and purify the silicon. In very high volume, this would be about 40kWh/kg or $4 down to 40 cents at the target energy cost. The space elevator energy cost is about a Gw-day to lift a Gw of capacity, so an installed kW would take 24 kWh, 24 cents at the target energy price. In the limiting case, it seems possible that an installed kW in space could be done for under $200 a kW. There will be some low cost structural mass in the rectennas because it takes 4 square meters to collect a kW. It should take in the order of 100 microwave diodes, but those are already in the sub cent range. Diodes, antenna support, and DC/AC power conversion (based on the cost of PC power supplies) might be in the $100/kW range. (For a sanity check, 1/3kW PC power supplies cost no more than $30 to make.) Land is assumed at zero cost because rectennas can be installed over farmland. So while initial power sat energy would be sold into the market a 5-10 cents a kWh, there are no barriers I can see to the cost of bus bar energy to synthetic fuel plants falling over time into the sub cent per kWh?implying that dollar a gallon (or even less) fuels are within physical reality. Of course, the lower you want to drive cost, the higher the initial investment. Even making use of surplus items such as the Enterprise for the surface anchor, the cost of the space elevator project may be the most expense project ever under taken. It just depends on how much people want dollar gasoline. Keith Henson PS This sort of material really should go on a wiki. Anyone have a wiki site available? From natasha at natasha.cc Thu Oct 4 15:44:31 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Thu, 04 Oct 2007 10:44:31 -0500 Subject: [ExI] SENS 3 talks now online Message-ID: <200710041544.l94FiVLV025461@ms-smtp-02.texas.rr.com> Forwarded from Fabio: >Not to be missed! > >http://www.sens.org/sens3/talks.htm > >Or here for the [excellent!] streaming video versions: > >http://richardjschueler.com/wp-gallery2.php?g2_itemId=56847 -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Thu Oct 4 23:15:44 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 00:15:44 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Dollar a gallon gasoline In-Reply-To: <1191513007_20699@S1.cableone.net> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191513007_20699@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: On 10/4/07, hkhenson wrote: > Dollar gas > > With enough investment, engineers can do just > about anything not forbidden by physical laws. > > So while initial power sat energy would be sold > into the market a 5-10 cents a kWh, there are no > barriers I can see to the cost of bus bar energy > to synthetic fuel plants falling over time into > the sub cent per kWh?implying that dollar a > gallon (or even less) fuels are within physical reality. > > Of course, the lower you want to drive cost, the > higher the initial investment. Even making use > of surplus items such as the Enterprise for the > surface anchor, the cost of the space elevator > project may be the most expense project ever under taken. > > It just depends on how much people want dollar gasoline. > Not that much, is the answer. Yes, it would be nice, but not if it needs much effort to get it. The present US price is around 3 USD per US gallon. Here in the UK we fall about laughing at such a ridiculously cheap price. The UK has just had a tax increase on fuel, making it about 98p per litre. The exchange rate is 2.04 USD to 1 UK pound. I US gallon = 3.785 litres. So, converting, 0.98 x 3.785 x 2.04 = 7.56 USD per US gallon. But there is still little interest in alternative fuels in the UK. Partly because mileage driven is smaller also, and partly because narrower, congested roads encourage the use of smaller cars that use less fuel.. The secret to high fuel prices is to have slow but steady increases. People don't really notice the water getting hotter if it is gradual enough. BillK From msd001 at gmail.com Fri Oct 5 02:04:22 2007 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Thu, 4 Oct 2007 22:04:22 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Dollar a gallon gasoline In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191513007_20699@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: <62c14240710041904m363823bdn4ce3d381dee9b7d6@mail.gmail.com> On 10/4/07, BillK wrote: > The secret to high fuel prices is to have slow but steady increases. > People don't really notice the water getting hotter if it is gradual > enough. Nice, but I don't want to be a boiled frog. You do have a point though about the effort needed to get cheaper energy is what prevents us from doing so. I'm surprised Keith would suggest we would even consider doing real work to get cheaper power. As long as the "haves" retain enough influence to squeeze small amounts of energy from increasingly larger amounts of the "have not," then there is no motivation to risk the status quo. I wonder; even if the metaphorical increase in temperature remains linear will we build the replacement power source before we've exhausted the resources to do so? What will it take to motivate us to make the investment? From hkhenson at rogers.com Fri Oct 5 04:50:09 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Thu, 04 Oct 2007 21:50:09 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Dollar a gallon gasoline In-Reply-To: <62c14240710041904m363823bdn4ce3d381dee9b7d6@mail.gmail.com > References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191513007_20699@S1.cableone.net> <62c14240710041904m363823bdn4ce3d381dee9b7d6@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <1191559734_1056@S1.cableone.net> At 07:04 PM 10/4/2007, Mike Dougherty wrote: >On 10/4/07, BillK wrote: > > The secret to high fuel prices is to have slow but steady increases. > > People don't really notice the water getting hotter if it is gradual > > enough. > >Nice, but I don't want to be a boiled frog. You do have a point >though about the effort needed to get cheaper energy is what prevents >us from doing so. Until the idea of combining space elevators and solar power satellites came along, there really wasn't a known way to get cheaper energy. Well, actually there is, but you probably consider gigadeath undesirable. Perhaps I should post a screed on that. >I'm surprised Keith would suggest we would even consider doing real >work to get cheaper power. As long as the "haves" retain enough >influence to squeeze small amounts of energy from increasingly larger >amounts of the "have not," then there is no motivation to risk the >status quo. I am not adverse to your basic thesis, but I don't see your point. How about some examples? >I wonder; even if the metaphorical increase in temperature remains >linear will we build the replacement power source before we've >exhausted the resources to do so? What will it take to motivate us to >make the investment? Well, the very first thing is to get widespread agreement that space elevators building solar power satellites are even *possible.* I think they are, but is that just wishful thinking? If they are possible, can we make a case for them providing a reasonable (or better an unreasonable) return on investment. Again, that's going to take serious work, far more than what one person can do. There are many ways this could turn out. For example, nanotechnology/uploading could massively reduce the need for energy as could live, power producing roof plants. But if you stick to the sources we are using today, then we are going to be in dire straights as we slide down the back half of peak oil. Keith Henson From hkhenson at rogers.com Fri Oct 5 05:01:31 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Thu, 04 Oct 2007 22:01:31 -0700 Subject: [ExI] The bright side of Gigadeath. Message-ID: <1191560416_1285@S4.cableone.net> Before expounding on the down side of populations in the billions, large populations definitely have some positive points. First is the advantage of large markets. A lot of products, drugs, computer chips, software, movies and cars have high development costs. The cost have to be spread over large production runs to make the cost per unit reasonable. This is an application of extreme specialization (see Adam Smith's description of pin makers). And large populations make for larger number of those 3-6 SD geniuses that drag the rest of the population along in their wake. But large populations are the direct or indirect cause of virtually every problem we have today from global warming and lose of biodiversity to terrorism and wars. Engineering in the broad sense has stayed just ahead of population growth for some decades, but business as usual can't continue on the down slope of peak oil. What we have been doing in the last 4 generations is converting oil into people through food. Running out of oil is the same as running out of food. You can see the leading edge as corn ethanol drives up the price of tortillas in Mexico. Unless something replaces oil in a really big way, the human population will fall along with the available energy. This isn't the first time human populations have been cut way back or even wiped out. Jarrad Diamond in _Collapse_ discusses the Greenland Norse (wiped out), the Easter Island Polynesians and the Mayans. Steven Lablank describes the near total destruction of the southwest corn farmers. It is true that history repeats itself (though never exactly). The reason is that the stone-age mechanisms that lead to war and the death of up to half the adults in some tribal societies still exist. They just don't get turned on as often in places with slow population growth below economic growth. Terrorism is a stunted version of war that occurs when conventional war is inhibited by wide gaps between the ability of a stressed population to wage war and the inhibition (at present) of technically advanced societies to impose "biblical" solutions. The German extermination of the Jews, the bombing of Dresden and Tokyo and the use of nuclear weapons on Japan shows that this inhabitation by advanced societies is a chancy thing. Given how dependant economic activity is on energy, you can see how this couples. It has always been self correcting. With a fall to about 1 billion people, energy problems would go away for a considerable time. Keith Henson From scerir at libero.it Fri Oct 5 07:56:54 2007 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 09:56:54 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Question on Vacuum fluctuations and Non-ZeroEnergyEmptySpace: References: <200709302314.46134.kanzure@gmail.com><000401c803f2$b157a820$89931f97@archimede><200710011654.13514.kanzure@gmail.com><000601c80536$17e55ee0$a2b81f97@archimede> <62c14240710030806n7bcc07f2xf524518ad213997e@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <000301c80725$4e91edf0$6d941f97@archimede> From: "Mike Dougherty" > armchair physicist thought: Could the expansion > be the increase in entropy due to the passage of time. To explain expansion cosmologists use dark, exotic, virtual, phantom matters and processes, and they 'are often wrong, but never in doubt', as Lev Landau declared. So your thought could be a professional cosmologist thought. I have a personal theory, that expansion is caused by the impossibility to delete quantum states (it is called principle of conservation of quantum information, the opposite of the quantum no cloning theorem). In other words there is, everywhere, a toxic quantum spam that inflates the universe :-) ( BTW, principle of conservation of quantum information and second principle of thermodynamics have something in common. http://www.arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0306044 ) From eugen at leitl.org Fri Oct 5 08:32:36 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 10:32:36 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Dollar a gallon gasoline In-Reply-To: <62c14240710041904m363823bdn4ce3d381dee9b7d6@mail.gmail.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191513007_20699@S1.cableone.net> <62c14240710041904m363823bdn4ce3d381dee9b7d6@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <20071005083236.GK4005@leitl.org> On Thu, Oct 04, 2007 at 10:04:22PM -0400, Mike Dougherty wrote: > I wonder; even if the metaphorical increase in temperature remains > linear will we build the replacement power source before we've PV electricity will have crossed over somewhen within the next decade, depending on where, how high fossil will go, and whether CuInSe and CdTe will be there on time. > exhausted the resources to do so? What will it take to motivate us to > make the investment? -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From msd001 at gmail.com Fri Oct 5 14:13:38 2007 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 10:13:38 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Dollar a gallon gasoline In-Reply-To: <1191559734_1056@S1.cableone.net> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191513007_20699@S1.cableone.net> <62c14240710041904m363823bdn4ce3d381dee9b7d6@mail.gmail.com> <1191559734_1056@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: <62c14240710050713mb82d27aheecc483e4007683a@mail.gmail.com> On 10/5/07, hkhenson wrote: > At 07:04 PM 10/4/2007, Mike Dougherty wrote: > >I'm surprised Keith would suggest we would even consider doing real > >work to get cheaper power. As long as the "haves" retain enough > >influence to squeeze small amounts of energy from increasingly larger > >amounts of the "have not," then there is no motivation to risk the > >status quo. > > I am not adverse to your basic thesis, but I don't see your > point. How about some examples? Pharaoh had no reason to enlighten his people. The entire society was so convinced of the legitimacy of Pharaoh's rule that when Ankenaten tried to bring change, he was tolerated for the duration of his reign (as god on earth) then his changes were undone and the old regime was reinstated. Is this an extreme case? Possibly, but it is blatantly obvious. The Indian caste system is another example of how the status quo is defended against change by those who hold power. I'm sure there have been improvements in the public perception of this culture, but the personal biases remain long after the official policy has been made more palatable. European monarchy managed change by granting concessions to feudal lords - giving them a vested interest in preserving the "order" that kept resources flowing up the chain. The average person lived in deplorable conditions while those at the top were in luxury. For example; who would turn down the opportunity to live at Versailles in 18th century France? If not Versailles, consider the Forbidden City in 15th century China. Those who had consolidated power were not about to allow change that would threaten their standard of living. I don't think that basic premise is much different across recorded history. The motivation I asked about being a requirement for a space elevator is probably analogous to finding a sea route to Asian spices and textiles for European entrepreneurs. I believe educated people in Columbus' day knew the world was not flat, but then-common knowledge was that his proposal was incredibly dangerous and probably not worth the risk. Cortez was another opportunist who secured a huge win for those in power in exchange for some of his own. Imagine where we'd be today if European expansionism wasn't so resource-hungry (and damned clever about it) in the 16th century. (I jumped around a lot, citing no sources for my proposition. I hope I can get away with a referral to General Knowledge since I've only referenced the commonly covered history topics that I have been exposed to) From jonkc at att.net Fri Oct 5 16:21:32 2007 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 12:21:32 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks (was: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> Message-ID: <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> "Samantha Atkins" Wrote: > 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, > seriously inside. I won't say that's the stupidest thing I've ever seen, but I do believe the above deserves to be somewhere on the top ten list of the stupidest remarks ever made on the Extropian List. At least the UFO, ESP, Big Foot, and Cold Fusion people's ideas were not vicious. John K Clark From spike66 at att.net Fri Oct 5 19:18:52 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 12:18:52 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks (was: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <200710051945.l95Jjckh012031@andromeda.ziaspace.com> > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of John K Clark > Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks (was: Fascist America,in 10 Easy > Steps) > > "Samantha Atkins" Wrote: > > > 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, > > seriously inside. > > I won't say that's the stupidest thing I've ever seen, but I do believe > the > above deserves to be somewhere on the top ten list of the stupidest > remarks ever made on the Extropian List. At least the UFO, ESP, > Big Foot, and Cold Fusion people's ideas were not vicious. > > John K Clark I propose a different way to look at this, one that might appeal to the mathematically minded among ExIers, which are many methinks. When someone suggests something like number 1 above, we often dismiss it with an "oh, that's silly" or equivalent. Instead, let us assign to it a probability of being true. The group of truthers that recently confronted Geraldo insisting that 911 was an inside job, for instance, would assign a probability of at least .5, otherwise they wouldn't be out there. Some may assign it as high as .95. Few there would rationally suggest such an extraordinary claim would have a greater than 95% chance of being true, ja? But even the most skeptical among us would likely assign some probability, perhaps 1E-6, that 911 was an inside job. I would be comfortable with at least one in a million; I would estimate the chances at about ten in a million, 1E-5. The way Samantha worded her comment number 1, we might estimate her belief in the meme 911 was an inside job, a conspiracy involving top levels of the US government at greater than .8, otherwise she might have stated it as "911 was probably an inside job". As a game or thought experiment, rate comment 1 above. If you think 911 was a conspiracy of US gov (call the meme 911con ala ideas futures) was probably true, then 911con = .6 or if you think it was possibly true, then 911con = .2 and so on. For me, 911con = 1E-5. Now we can derive a constant K(911con) by taking the ratio of another person's Con911 with yours. In this case my K(911con) with respect to Samantha would be K(sp/sa) = (1e-5/8E-1) = 1.2E-5. Then when any meme that is related to this topic is uttered by Samantha, I look up in my database K(sp/sa) and multiply thru by this constant to derive how much that belief will impact my own. Clearly if someone with whom you generally agree utters a comment, that often has influence on ones own thinking. If they espouse memes which you consider silly, then the K goes way down and one is not greatly influenced by their comments. spike From msd001 at gmail.com Fri Oct 5 21:10:51 2007 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 17:10:51 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks (was: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: <200710051945.l95Jjckh012031@andromeda.ziaspace.com> References: <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <200710051945.l95Jjckh012031@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: <62c14240710051410n2fba1479yc2a6f6a9bbc2204f@mail.gmail.com> On 10/5/07, Spike wrote: > Clearly if someone with whom you generally agree utters a comment, that > often has influence on ones own thinking. If they espouse memes which you > consider silly, then the K goes way down and one is not greatly influenced > by their comments. That is exactly why Reasonable People have so little hope of retrieving those who have succumbed to the Religion meme ...and vice versa. From jrd1415 at gmail.com Fri Oct 5 22:30:29 2007 From: jrd1415 at gmail.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 15:30:29 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> Message-ID: On 10/4/07, Damien Broderick wrote: > At 02:04 PM 10/2/2007 -0700, Jeff Davis wrote: > > >Samantha Atkins wrote: > > > > > 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, seriously inside. > > > >I must agree with Michael Butler, that, depending on what you mean by > >it, this assertion could seriously diminish your credibility > > Has instantly done so. > > >on this matter. > > On any matter, by contagion. Shame; but it's always useful to have > these triangulation data. > > 2 cents. > > Damien Broderick Damien, I agree, again. But I have often observed Samantha fighting the good fight, so I wanted to give her an opportunity to explain her position. So many seemingly intelligent, seemingly normal folks have fallen for the "911 Truth" hoohah. Incredible! So, I've returned to the question "What in the human animal makes this "brain/behavioral disease" possible?" My jumping-off-point is tribalism and the peer pressure/echo chamber of the mob, but I want more substance. I would like to hear from the EP folk Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles From hkhenson at rogers.com Fri Oct 5 23:23:03 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Fri, 05 Oct 2007 16:23:03 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks (was: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: <62c14240710051410n2fba1479yc2a6f6a9bbc2204f@mail.gmail.com > References: <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <200710051945.l95Jjckh012031@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <62c14240710051410n2fba1479yc2a6f6a9bbc2204f@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <1191626509_37232@S1.cableone.net> At 02:10 PM 10/5/2007, you wrote: >On 10/5/07, Spike wrote: > > Clearly if someone with whom you generally agree utters a comment, that > > often has influence on ones own thinking. If they espouse memes which you > > consider silly, then the K goes way down and one is not greatly influenced > > by their comments. > >That is exactly why Reasonable People have so little hope of >retrieving those who have succumbed to the Religion meme ...and vice >versa. There is a human trait to be infected by religious memes, but no "the Religion meme." There is a tendency for humans to play games, but no "the game meme" either. Lots of games some related, lots of religions, some of them related. Keith Henson From hkhenson at rogers.com Sat Oct 6 00:13:12 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Fri, 05 Oct 2007 17:13:12 -0700 Subject: [ExI] EP in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> Message-ID: <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> At 03:30 PM 10/5/2007, Jeff Davis wrote: snip >So many seemingly intelligent, seemingly normal folks have fallen for >the "911 Truth" hoohah. Incredible! So, I've returned to the question >"What in the human animal makes this "brain/behavioral disease" >possible?" My jumping-off-point is tribalism and the peer >pressure/echo chamber of the mob, but I want more substance. I would >like to hear from the EP folk I guess I am the resident EP guy, though if there are others, please speak up. You are right about "tribalism and the peer pressure/echo chamber of the mob" but you need to go back even further and think about the genes that built humans with such traits. The basic theory of EP is that if humans have a behavioral trait today it is the result of selection (ultimately of genes) in the EEA. So you need rephrase such questions into how the trait you are thinking about could have made a difference in the reproductive success of our ancestors. You need to watch out for the trait being a side effect of something that was under selection pressure (like drug addiction being a side effect of chemical social brain reward mechanisms). I have seen people make a case (in, for example, _Human Inference_ by Nesbitt and Ross) that making good enough decisions fast was a positively selected trait. Jumping to the conclusion that a bush shaking was due to a bear wasn't a bad idea when there were bears in the bushes. That extended to hearing from someone else there was a bear in the cave or the next valley. This could be corrected by looking to see if the bear had moved on. Now if something like this is an evolved behavior trait in humans, it isn't hard to see how vivid and memorable stories (memes) of bears [class dangerous] could spread among people and how it would be hard to correct them, especially when part of the meme is "don't trust the authorities," and you don't have any personal way to see the bear has left the cave. Belief in these sorts of stories isn't likely to threaten your survival or reproductive success even today. All it's likely to do is downgrade your reputation among a statistically insignificant pool of people. Keith Henson PS One of the persistent stories I have read about is that the feds didn't investigate to find who was behind the well known speculation of AA and UAL stock in the days before 9/11 (and won't let it be privately investigated either). I have no way to verify this story. My own experience with the government has not been good as you are well aware. I don't think our leaders are that competent enough to run 9/11 as an operation. From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Sat Oct 6 00:21:55 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 17:21:55 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Stop Congress from Restricting Access to DHEA Message-ID: The following comes from Ray Kurzweil & Dr. Terry Grossman's "Fantastic Voyage," page 285: DHEA, or dehydroepiandrosterone, is the most abundant steroid hormone produced in the human body. In the past, DHEA was thought to simply be a precursor to other hormones, which no particular physiological function of it's own. But the late William Regelson, M.D., a well-known anti-aging physician-researcher, has referred to DHEA as the "superstar of the super hormones." DHEA levels peak around 25 years of age, then steadily decline by 50 percent in your 40s and fall further to around 5 percent of youthful levels by age 85. Does this mean DHEA could play a role in longevity? Some animal experiments have indeed confirmed that taking DHEA can slow down aging and increase longevity." [citations removed]. Benefits of DHEA include: decrease risk of heart disease, fights stress, boosts immune function, reduces depression, improves memory, relieves symptoms of menopause, prevents bone loss, enhances libido, improves insulin sensitivity and glucose tolerance, and increases lean body mass. In June, 2007, the Life Extension Foundation published an article on the benefits of DHEA as well as their view as to why some drug companies are lobbying Congress to ban DHEA: http://search.lef.org/cgi-src-bin/MsmGo.exe?grab_id=0 &page_id=912&query=dhea&hiword=DHEAA%20DHEAS%20dhea%20 Additional articles discuss DHEA as a weight loss and depression supplement: http://www.life-enhancement.com/article_template.asp?id=1044; and http://www.life-enhancement.com/article_template.asp?ID=1020 Additional Background: In 2004, Congress passed and the President signed into law the Anabolic Steroid Control Act, which provided for the listing of steroid hormone precursors such as androstenedione ("andro") under the Controlled Substances Act. This statute now prohibits the marketing of these substances as dietary supplements by regulating them as Schedule III controlled substances. However, the Anabolic Steroid Control Act contained a provision that exempted the dietary ingredient DHEA, a prohormone with little or no potential for abuse as a performance-enhancing ingredient, but with demonstrated value in supporting normal hormone levels during aging. DHEA offers many benefits and is most frequently used by elderly consumers and others with deficient hormone levels. It has been on the market as a dietary supplement for the last 20 years and currently has sales of about $50 million, almost entirely for uses related to aging. DHEA is not like illegal anabolic steroids such as testosterone or precursors such as androstenedione, which have been the targeted for federal and state restrictions over the last two years. Unlike these other substances, DHEA cannot be used by younger, healthy adults to build muscle mass or enhance performance, nor is there evidence that DHEA would product the negative effects commonly associated with steroid abuse. Acting on false information and understandably concerned about the public outrage over the abuse of steroids, Senators Charles Grassley (Iowa), John McCain (Arizona), and Richard Durbin (Illinois) have introduced S. 762, which would nullify the DHEA exemption contained in the Anabolic Steroid Control Act and effectively place DHEA on the Schedule III controlled substances list. Senate Bill 762 & House Bill 1249 would restrict access to DHEA Your access to DHEA is in jeopardy! The Senate is considering a bill, S. 762, to classify DHEA as an anabolic steroid, adding it to the list of controlled substances and removing it from the market. H.R. 1249 is the companion bill in the U.S. House of Representatives. Your immediate help is needed to keep this safe and effective dietary supplement legal and accessible. DHEA is not an anabolic steroid. It is a naturally occurring hormone that has a wide range of benefits, including maintaining muscle strength and strong bones, boosting immunity, and improving mood and sleep patterns. Further studies suggest that DHEA may be helpful for such conditions as obesity, cancer and Alzheimers disease. DHEA dietary supplements, which have been on the market for over 20 years, are derived from a plant in the wild yam family; for more information. - http://www.capwiz.com/nnfa/issues/bills/?bill=9492216 " We need your help to keep DHEA legal. Send a message to Congress asking your Senators and Representative to oppose S. 762 and H.R. 1249 and any amendment to restrict access to DHEA to minors. Congress should not restrict access to a dietary supplement that has given health to millions of Americans. Take action now! James Clement -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Sat Oct 6 01:05:29 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 18:05:29 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: The reaction which individuals have to statements like "911 was almost certainly an inside job," primarily reflects their personal worldview more than it reflects their rationality. One's worldview will be different if their beliefs include examples of secret government wars, cover-ups, ops, etc. Such a person might rationally view such a statement with less skepticism than someone who's worldview discounted such beliefs. For example, if you grew up in an environment where the Police are looked upon with fear and suspicion, and your only personal experience with them includes being intimidated, roughed up, and degraded by them, then your worldview will result in less skepticism about statements like "the police framed O.J. Simpson" than someone from an opposite background. So, when someone makes a statement like "911 was almost certainly an inside job," we can probably speculate on their worldview with some accuracy. This however, tells us nothing about the veracity of the statement. Rather than condemning someone for making such a statement, IMHO we should either try to understand their worldview or ask them for the facts upon which they base their opinions. Either answer will help broaden our understanding, regardless of the ultimate veracity of the statement. James Clement From msd001 at gmail.com Sat Oct 6 01:39:50 2007 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 21:39:50 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks (was: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: <1191626509_37232@S1.cableone.net> References: <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <200710051945.l95Jjckh012031@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <62c14240710051410n2fba1479yc2a6f6a9bbc2204f@mail.gmail.com> <1191626509_37232@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: <62c14240710051839i58fa61f3scb46101c194bc399@mail.gmail.com> On 10/5/07, hkhenson wrote: > There is a human trait to be infected by religious memes, but no "the > Religion meme." There is a tendency for humans to play games, but no > "the game meme" either. Lots of games some related, lots of > religions, some of them related. noted. Was my point lost by the poor word choice or was there no point to lose? From hibbert at mydruthers.com Sat Oct 6 01:29:50 2007 From: hibbert at mydruthers.com (Chris Hibbert) Date: Fri, 05 Oct 2007 18:29:50 -0700 Subject: [ExI] EP in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <4706E50E.8010105@mydruthers.com> > PS One of the persistent stories I have read about is that the feds > didn't investigate to find who was behind the well known speculation > of AA and UAL stock in the days before 9/11 (and won't let it be > privately investigated either). I have no way to verify this > story. snopes.com to the rescue: http://www.snopes.com/rumors/putcall.asp > Claim: In the days just prior to the 11 September 2001, large > quantities of stock in United and American Airlines were traded by > persons with foreknowledge of the upcoming 9/11 attacks. > > Status: False. Chris -- I think that, for babies, every day is first love in Paris. Every wobbly step is skydiving, every game of hide and seek is Einstein in 1905.--Alison Gopnik (http://edge.org/q2005/q05_9.html#gopnik) Chris Hibbert hibbert at mydruthers.com Blog: http://pancrit.org From jnh at vt11.net Sat Oct 6 04:00:54 2007 From: jnh at vt11.net (Jordan Hazen) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 00:00:54 -0400 Subject: [ExI] EP in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <20071006040054.GL1016@vt11.net> On Fri, Oct 05, 2007 at 05:13:12PM -0700, hkhenson wrote: > PS One of the persistent stories I have read about is that the feds > didn't investigate to find who was behind the well known speculation > of AA and UAL stock in the days before 9/11 (and won't let it be > privately investigated either). I have no way to verify this > story. The 9/11 Commission Report briefly mentions this briefly, but only in a footnote. Note 130, page 499 (p. 516 in the PDF) states: 130. Highly publicized allegations of insider trading in advance of 9/11 generally rest on reports of unusual pre-9/11 trading activity in companies whose stock plummeted after the attacks. Some unusual trading did in fact occur, but each such trade proved to have an innocuous explanation. For example, the volume of put options-- investments that pay off only when a stock drops in price-- surged in the parent companies of United Airlines on September 6 and American Airlines on September 10-- highly suspicious trading on its face. Yet, further investigation has revealed that the trading had no connection with 9/11. A single U.S.-based institutional investor with no conceivable ties to al Qaeda purchased 95 percent of the UAL puts on September 6 as part of a trading strategy that also included buying 115,000 shares of American on September 10. Similarly, much of the seemingly suspicious trading in American on September 10 was traced to a specific U.S.-based options trading newsletter, faxed to its subscribers on Sunday, September 9, which recommended these trades. These examples typify the evidence examined by the investigation. The SEC and the FBI, aided by other agencies and the securities industry, devoted enormous resources to investigating this issue, including securing the cooperation of many foreign governments.These investigators have found that the apparently suspicious consistently proved innocuous. Joseph Cella interview (Sept. 16, 2003; May 7, 2004; May 10-11, 2004); FBI briefing (Aug. 15, 2003); SEC memo, Division of Enforcement to SEC Chair and Commissioners, "Pre-September 11, 2001 Trading Review," May 15, 2002; Ken Breen interview (Apr. 23, 2004); Ed G. interview (Feb. 3, 2004). Notice that they decline to mention the particular institutional investor involved, and don't say anything about the suspicious connection of A. B. Brown / Deutsche Bank to most of these trades. > My own experience with the government has not been good as you are > well aware. I don't think our leaders are that competent enough to > run 9/11 as an operation. Not many think the political leadership as a whole had any involvement. Certain individuals, perhaps. -- Jordan. From jnh at vt11.net Sat Oct 6 03:28:27 2007 From: jnh at vt11.net (Jordan Hazen) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 23:28:27 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <005c01c807b4$fc803ef0$f580bcd0$@com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> <005c01c807b4$fc803ef0$f580bcd0$@com> Message-ID: <20071006032827.GK1016@vt11.net> On Fri, Oct 05, 2007 at 06:05:29PM -0700, James Clement wrote: > The reaction which individuals have to statements like "911 was almost > certainly an inside job," primarily reflects their personal worldview more > than it reflects their rationality. One's worldview will be different if > their beliefs include examples of secret government wars, cover-ups, ops, > etc. Such a person might rationally view such a statement with less > skepticism than someone who's worldview discounted such beliefs. > > For example, if you grew up in an environment where the Police are looked > upon with fear and suspicion, and your only personal experience with them > includes being intimidated, roughed up, and degraded by them, then your > worldview will result in less skepticism about statements like "the police > framed O.J. Simpson" than someone from an opposite background. > > So, when someone makes a statement like "911 was almost certainly an inside > job," we can probably speculate on their worldview with some accuracy. This > however, tells us nothing about the veracity of the statement. Rather than > condemning someone for making such a statement, IMHO we should either try to > understand their worldview or ask them for the facts upon which they base > their opinions. Either answer will help broaden our understanding, > regardless of the ultimate veracity of the statement. Good points. Conversely, coming to accept, or even seriously consider such a hypothesis, however reluctantly, can be enough to cause a shift in one's worldview. There are certainly a lot of ridiculous theories surrounding 9/11, but amidst the inanity, some more reasoned arguments do exist. Here's an interesting paper focusing on the three WTC building collapses, from a physics perspective: http://journalof911studies.com/volume/200609/WhyIndeedDidtheWorldTradeCenterBuildingsCompletelyCollapse.pdf It was written by Dr. Steven E. Jones, formerly of Brigham Young University, and hosted on the BYU website when I first came across it. Since then, political controversity surrounding this subject has forced the author into early retirement. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steven_E._Jones Jones is a devout Mormon, but try to look past that and judge his work on its merits. I'd be interested to hear any reactions to the above paper. > James Clement > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat -- Jordan. From lcorbin at rawbw.com Sat Oct 6 04:13:09 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 21:13:09 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> Message-ID: <01b801c807cf$71c06cc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Jeff writes > So many seemingly intelligent, seemingly normal folks have fallen for > the "911 Truth" hoohah. Incredible! So, I've returned to the question > "What in the human animal makes this "brain/behavioral disease" > possible?" My jumping-off-point is tribalism and the peer > pressure/echo chamber of the mob, but I want more substance. I would > like to hear from the EP folk The only thing I know of that tribalism contributes to people believing strange things is that having an enemy ("them") lends credence to malicious intent. This is actually quite justifiable in EP terms. For when there *is* a malicious element in the environment, indeed it often is the cause of tribulation. (To refer to an earlier thread, this is why having a co-worker zap you once a day with a rubber band behind the ear is more threatening and dangerous than a headache.) But I think that *rationality* is a stronger cause of what you are calling a "brain/behavioral disease"! Take something unlike the 9-11 responsibility that we all here can agree on for an example. What would cause people to endorse the notion that the 1969 trip to Luna was a "moon hoax"? You will find if you talk to people who believe that it was a hoax that they, just like Kennedy Assassination buffs, have long chains of intricate reasoning that they use to bolster their view. I have two claims about this: 1. the long chains of reasoning were not the prior causes. Indeed, often it could be a conscious or unconscious suspicion that certain pre-established enemies ( i.e. "the commies", "the government", whoever) that probably were behind whatever-bad- it-was. And it could even be your tribalism that is contributing here. 2. without the left-hemisphere being able to pump out a lot of rational sentences to back up the suspicion, doubt would creep in and calm the person down. Therefore I submit that when people believe things that seem really peculiar and stupid to you, the chances are good that (in many cases at least) blame should rest on unbridled rationalization. Lee From lcorbin at rawbw.com Sat Oct 6 04:18:31 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 21:18:31 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America in 10 Easy Steps References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> James writes > The reaction which individuals have to statements like "911 was almost > certainly an inside job," primarily reflects their personal worldview more > than it reflects their rationality. One's worldview will be different if > their beliefs include examples of secret government wars, cover-ups, ops, > etc. Such a person might rationally view such a statement with less > skepticism than someone who's worldview discounted such beliefs. That seems quite right to me. But what do you think is behind their having "such [aberrant] beliefs", if anything? That is, what caused them to have unusual beliefs and not you or me? I'd like to know your opinion. > For example, if you grew up in an environment where the Police are looked > upon with fear and suspicion, and your only personal experience with them > includes being intimidated, roughed up, and degraded by them, then your > worldview will result in less skepticism about statements like "the police > framed O.J. Simpson" than someone from an opposite background. Quite right. > So, when someone makes a statement like "911 was almost certainly an inside > job," we can probably speculate on their worldview with some accuracy. This > however, tells us nothing about the veracity of the statement. Rather than > condemning someone for making such a statement, IMHO we should either try to > understand their worldview or ask them for the facts upon which they base > their opinions. Either answer will help broaden our understanding, > regardless of the ultimate veracity of the statement. Of course. But we still want to know *how* they got their views. The ultimate goal, of course, is that we might find a means of judging the likelihood that our *own* views are bonkers. Lee From lcorbin at rawbw.com Sat Oct 6 03:55:59 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 20:55:59 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Damage Due to Religion (was Fwd: New Article) References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler><7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com><1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> <1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: <01af01c807cd$55bbcbc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Keith writes > At 01:56 AM 10/4/2007, BillK wrote: > >> [Sam Harris] is making the case that all religions >> are not equal and the Muslim religion is much >> more likely to produce jihadist murderers than other >> religions. >> So there is also a specific Muslim problem to deal with. > > I would disagree with him there. *All* religions can inspire > warriors to jump up and down and yell "kill, kill." That's the > evolved *function* of religions and if one has drifted away from its > function, it can jolly well swim back as needed. Remember the crusades! One of the crucial and important questions that has been at the forefront of discussions about religion is the actual amount of harm that can be laid at the feet of religion, or very specifically in other words: Just how much of the same harm would have occurred anyway? The data is rather scant, unfortunately. We do have samples of cultures where the religion though present did not have the usual trappings we are familiar with. One example is the Mongol nation during the first part of the second millenium, i.e. 1100 - 1500 AD. Some of their massacres were indeed justified in the name of their religion, which amounted to a worship of Tangri, The Deep Blue Sky. But it seems quite clear, at least to me, that deeper evolutionary forces were actually at work, and the so-called religious sentiments merely a post-hoc rationalization. Sooner or later in the steppes of eastern Asia---as actually happened many times---one tribe will gain dominance over a few nearby tribes. The martial skill and practice thus obtained made further conquests relatively easy. So every so often, as especially indicated in the most famous case (Genghis Khan), an empire is formed. And when it works, *anything* can be evolutionarily favored. The tremendous carnage of the Mongol Empire it seems to me, would have occurred religion or no. So religion in some of these cases clearly had nothing to do with conduct by our standards today utterly cruel and destructive. Yet we have other unmistakeable examples of the very workings of abstract theology serving to accentuate all the worst that societies are otherwise capable of, much in the way that technology *enabled* some modern nations to achieve greater harm than they would have otherwise. But we can see that technology *per se* is not the actual causative agent. Yet this isn't enough to let religion off the hook. I think that we just don't know the relative merits of religion in the world pre-1800. The Aztecs and Maya, for example, justified their ritual torture and human sacrifice by appeal to religion. But are we sure these activities would not have ensued anyway. In reading Will Durant (for example, the earliest pages of "The Reformation") a great deal can be said in favor of the effects of religion in the pre-1800 era. Yet who can say whether the same effects would not have arisen in the absence of religion? I think we have to keep open minds and continue in our reading to rack up the plusses and minuses, insofar as we can guess that certain effects stem from religion alone. Lee From lcorbin at rawbw.com Sat Oct 6 04:34:14 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 21:34:14 -0700 Subject: [ExI] EP in 10 Easy Steps References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <01c101c807d2$40123200$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Keith writes > At 03:30 PM 10/5/2007, Jeff Davis wrote: > >> ...I've returned to the question "What in the human animal >> makes this "brain/behavioral disease possible?" My jumping- >> off-point is tribalism and the peer pressure/echo chamber of >> the mob, but I want more substance. I would >> like to hear from the EP folk > > I guess I am the resident EP guy, though if there are others, please speak up. Okay :-) > You are right about "tribalism and the peer pressure/echo chamber of > the mob" but you need to go back even further and think about the > genes that built humans with such traits. Yes, I like Jeff's comment as well. We may speculate that (especially with the web today) when one has a hunch it's all too easy to find supporting evidence (and, alas, emotionally gratifying substantiation). Though, to be fair to the web, in free countries for a long time it's been possible to find literature that supports your views if you look hard enough, support that seems to offer good explanations that fit with your hunch. Keith writes > So you need rephrase such questions into how the trait you are > thinking about could have made a difference in the reproductive > success of our ancestors... > Jumping to the conclusion that a bush shaking was due to a bear > wasn't a bad idea when there were bears in the bushes. That > extended to hearing from someone else there was a bear in the > cave or the next valley. Yes! The rumors engage our rational facitities because they provide what seem to be good explanations. So the very technique of learning that is *so* useful in other situations, e.g., I myself don't need to serve time in prison if I can learn what the situation is from someone who has and profit thereby, or I don't need to touch a hot stove if I hear my big brother yelp when he does, this useful technique is naturally two-edged, and one simply can pick up a lot of bad info if one is not discriminating and skeptical. > Now if something like this is an evolved behavior trait in humans, it > isn't hard to see how vivid and memorable stories (memes) of bears > [class dangerous] could spread among people and how it would be hard > to correct them, especially when part of the meme is "don't trust the > authorities," and you don't have any personal way to see the bear has > left the cave. > > Belief in these sorts of stories isn't likely to threaten your > survival or reproductive success even today. Yes, but sometimes it's really very *helpful* to believe these stories. As I said, one really needs to develop better and better abilities of discrimination and skepticism, to separate the wheat from the chaff. All I can say is that I hope that over a lifetime one gets better at making such discriminations, because I see no easy black and white answers here. Lee From scerir at libero.it Sat Oct 6 05:13:39 2007 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 07:13:39 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Question on Vacuum fluctuations and Non-Zero Energy EmptySpace: References: <200709302314.46134.kanzure@gmail.com> Message-ID: <002701c807d7$a8c7d250$8e961f97@archimede> 'Vacuum Fluctuations Cannot Mimic a Cosmological Constant' Robert D. Klauber http://www.arxiv.org/abs/0707.2957 Abstract: When the vacuum fluctuation pressure is calculated directly from fundamental principles of quantum field theory, in the same manner as vacuum fluctuation energy density is commonly calculated, one finds it is not equal to the negative of the vacuum fluctuation energy density. Thus, vacuum fluctuations cannot manifest as a cosmological constant of any order. --------------- 'You can't have a bottle of negative-pressure material sitting on your shelf.' -BK From jef at jefallbright.net Fri Oct 5 20:51:26 2007 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 13:51:26 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks (was: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: <200710051945.l95Jjckh012031@andromeda.ziaspace.com> References: <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <200710051945.l95Jjckh012031@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: On 10/5/07, Spike wrote: > > I propose a different way to look at this, one that might appeal to the > mathematically minded among ExIers, which are many methinks. > Clearly if someone with whom you generally agree utters a comment, that > often has influence on ones own thinking. If they espouse memes which you > consider silly, then the K goes way down and one is not greatly influenced > by their comments. For those who are interested, this relates closely to Aumann's agreement theorem and the interactive epistemology associated with my Arrow of Morality thinking. Googling "interactive epistemology" provides links to more formal literature. - Jef From spike66 at att.net Sat Oct 6 05:09:07 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 22:09:07 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <20071006032827.GK1016@vt11.net> Message-ID: <200710060535.l965ZqL5012910@andromeda.ziaspace.com> > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat- > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Jordan Hazen ... > > > Here's an interesting paper focusing on the three WTC building > collapses, from a physics perspective: > > > http://journalof911studies.com/volume/200609/WhyIndeedDidtheWorldTradeCent > erBuildingsCompletelyCollapse.pdf > > It was written by Dr. Steven E. Jones, formerly of Brigham Young > University, and hosted on the BYU website when I first came across it. > Since then, political controversity surrounding this subject has > forced the author into early retirement. > > http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steven_E._Jones > > Jones is a devout Mormon, but try to look past that and judge his work > on its merits. I'd be interested to hear any reactions to the above > paper. > > > James Clement The paper uses enthalpy of reaction of jet fuel in air to calculate a flame temperature of about 650C, but this is an adiabatic flame temperature assuming the reactants start at about room temperature. The fire started at that temperature of course, but as the fire continued, the reactants continued to heat before igniting. So if the reactants start hotter than room temperature, the products end up at higher than 650C. This alone is all that is needed to explain the molten metal in the basement after collapse, and also to explain why the buildings did not collapse immediately but rather only after the fire had burned for some time. A similar effect was seen in the fire that caused the bridge collapse in Oakland after a fuel truck crashed and ignited. http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2007/04/29/BAGVOPHQU46.DTL I expected that event to put an end to the truther movement, but they appear to be making a comeback. Perhaps they will theorize that the bridge was rigged with explosives? Recall that the ancients managed to make molten iron by alternating layers of ore and charcoal, long before modern techniques using electric resistance to heat the ore. Clearly this is a hydrocarbon fire, but still it gets hot enough to melt iron. Perhaps we should ask Dr. Steven E. Jones (no relation) if he believes the ancient ironsmiths used the thermite reaction. spike From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Oct 6 06:08:35 2007 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 23:08:35 -0700 Subject: [ExI] I am creating artificial life ... References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com><1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> <01c101c807d2$40123200$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <000701c807df$565399c0$6401a8c0@brainiac> ... declares US gene pioneer: http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2007/oct/06/genetics.climatechange Olga From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Sat Oct 6 06:56:29 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 23:56:29 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Damage Due to Religion (was Fwd: New Article) In-Reply-To: <01af01c807cd$55bbcbc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler><7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com><1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> <1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net> <01af01c807cd$55bbcbc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: I have a pdf version of William Draper's excellent 1874 book; "The History of the Conflict Between Religion and Science," which I would be happy to email to anyone interested. It starts with the Greeks, in the 4th Century BCE, and progress through the 19th Century. James Clement From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Sat Oct 6 07:29:01 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 00:29:01 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> <01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: Lee Corbin writes > That seems quite right to me. But what do you think is behind their > having "such [aberrant] beliefs", if anything? That is, what caused them > to have unusual beliefs and not you or me? I'd like to know your > opinion. Check out Social Anthropology: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_anthropology A lot of people make what they believe are intelligent statements about the thoughts and motivations of other people. But, IMHO, if you want to learn why other people think the way they do, you have to put yourself in their position (if not literally, then at least figuratively). That is, if you cannot walk in their shoes, then at least read and listen to what they are exposed to. Your framework will never be identical (for one thing your brain is imprinted differently by your environment), but it will help you understand and empathize with their viewpoints. I'm sure some individuals on this list can tell you that not every "conspiracy theory" is a paranoid delusion - take the case of a Church ganging up on an outsider and trying to have him imprisoned or murdered. It would be easy to scoff at such a story. To the people who experience such, their particular viewpoint is forever changed, and may now be "aberrant" (i.e., departing from the "norm"), but that does not make it incorrect. James Clement From lcorbin at rawbw.com Sat Oct 6 13:42:38 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 06:42:38 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Explaining Unusual Beliefs (was Fascist America) References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> <01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <01e001c8081f$448626f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> James writes > Lee Corbin writes > >> But what do you think is behind [some people] >> having "such [aberrant] beliefs", if anything? That is, what caused them >> to have unusual beliefs and not you or me? > > Check out Social Anthropology: > http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_anthropology My brother is a cultural anthropologist and I've been exposed to that point of view a long time. Indeed, the first criticism I had of libertarianism (and I'm still at least half-libertarian) is that it entirely fails to take culture into account. Reading most libertarian literature, you'd think that all of humanity was white, middle-class American. Does much in libertarian writing read as well if you keep Japanese people in mind as you read? Yet the general theses of cultural anthropology have always been very overblown in my view. There is a tendency there to equate all cultures as having equally valid points of view, whereas in general primitive cultures have (for example) an extremely limited scientific view of the world, and views that they have that are in opposition to a scientific understanding---, well, practically everyone I know rejects such views. I certainly do. Moreover, the progress of EP over the last 30 years further diminishes the relevance (and plasibility), it seems to me, of the basic views espoused by cultural anthropologists. There does seem to be a basic *human nature*. We all share a greater amount of behavior than was appreciated 50 years ago. > A lot of people make what they believe are intelligent statements about the > thoughts and motivations of other people. But, IMHO, if you want to learn > why other people think the way they do, you have to put yourself in their > position (if not literally, then at least figuratively). That is, if you > cannot walk in their shoes, then at least read and listen to what they are > exposed to. Well, that's certainly valuable advice. This does have to be checked out before anything. E.g., to take an extreme example, what *made* the mass-murderer go on a rampage? What could cause me to climb a tower and begin picking random people off with a rifle? Who knows, maybe if we listen to her story and try to understand her anger, we can sympathize. But the chances aren't good. > I'm sure some individuals on this list can tell you that not every > "conspiracy theory" is a paranoid delusion - take the case of a Church > ganging up on an outsider and trying to have him imprisoned or murdered. It > would be easy to scoff at such a story. To the people who experience such, > their particular viewpoint is forever changed, and may now be "aberrant" > (i.e., departing from the "norm"), but that does not make it incorrect. That's for damned sure! Still, *after* we've checked out trying to see the situation from someone else's viewpoint, trying to understand the environmental cues to which he responded and the cultural influences to which he was exposed, there are still many unexplained cases. In some cases, the people are just clearly wired very differently. In other extreme cases, people who are otherwise entirely normal have a pronounced tendency to believe almost every conspiracy theory they hear (I'm certainly talking about no one on this list). That's one thing that needs accounting for. Another is a single individual who is almost always sensible from the majority's viewpoint, but has one or two pet-peeves that seem incomprehensible. This latter case evades any comprehensive explanation that I can offer. Lee From hkhenson at rogers.com Sat Oct 6 15:34:36 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Sat, 06 Oct 2007 08:34:36 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Melted steel In-Reply-To: <200710060535.l965ZqL5012910@andromeda.ziaspace.com> References: <20071006032827.GK1016@vt11.net> <200710060535.l965ZqL5012910@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: <1191684803_6315@S3.cableone.net> At 10:09 PM 10/5/2007, Spike wrote: snip >The paper uses enthalpy of reaction of jet fuel in air to calculate a flame >temperature of about 650C, but this is an adiabatic flame temperature >assuming the reactants start at about room temperature. The fire started at >that temperature of course, but as the fire continued, the reactants >continued to heat before igniting. So if the reactants start hotter than >room temperature, the products end up at higher than 650C. This alone is >all that is needed to explain the molten metal in the basement after >collapse, and also to explain why the buildings did not collapse immediately >but rather only after the fire had burned for some time. > >A similar effect was seen in the fire that caused the bridge collapse in >Oakland after a fuel truck crashed and ignited. > >http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2007/04/29/BAGVOPHQU46.DTL > >I expected that event to put an end to the truther movement, but they appear >to be making a comeback. Perhaps they will theorize that the bridge was >rigged with explosives? It's clear from the pictures that there was little or no *melting* in this crash and fire. Not that it mattered, the metal got hot enough it could no longer hold up its own weight and sagged. >Recall that the ancients managed to make molten iron by alternating layers >of ore and charcoal, long before modern techniques using electric resistance >to heat the ore. Clearly this is a hydrocarbon fire, but still it gets hot >enough to melt iron. Perhaps we should ask Dr. Steven E. Jones (no >relation) if he believes the ancient ironsmiths used the thermite reaction. It is certainly possible to melt iron with hydrocarbons, but it takes a rather special setup to do it, forced draft among them. On the other hand the WTC could well have provided that from a chimney effect. Jet fuel pouring down the elevator shafts would result in forced air combustion that could have melted steel or at least got it to yellow heat. That might have caused the interior steel to fail first. It kind of amazes me that the buildings they are putting up look like they would be subject to the same kind of failure if the same thing happened to them. Keith Henson From pharos at gmail.com Sat Oct 6 16:12:33 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 17:12:33 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Melted steel In-Reply-To: <1191684803_6315@S3.cableone.net> References: <20071006032827.GK1016@vt11.net> <200710060535.l965ZqL5012910@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <1191684803_6315@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: On 10/6/07, hkhenson wrote: > It's clear from the pictures that there was little or no *melting* in > this crash and fire. Not that it mattered, the metal got hot enough > it could no longer hold up its own weight and sagged. > > It is certainly possible to melt iron with hydrocarbons, but it takes > a rather special setup to do it, forced draft among them. > > On the other hand the WTC could well have provided that from a > chimney effect. Jet fuel pouring down the elevator shafts would > result in forced air combustion that could have melted steel or at > least got it to yellow heat. That might have caused the interior > steel to fail first. > > It kind of amazes me that the buildings they are putting up look like > they would be subject to the same kind of failure if the same thing > happened to them. > The WTC was a special case. There was very little load-bearing steel in the interior, except around the elevators. The outer walls supported the weight of the building. The WTC didn't use the 'old-fashioned' steel girders and concrete. Quote: The WTC used tubular steel bearing walls, fluted corrugated steel flooring and bent bar steel truss floor supports. Guess what? Tubular steel and corrugated steel weakens much faster than solid steel girders when exposed to a very hot fire. Once one floor gave way, the weight of all the floors above smashing down exceeded the design limits of the floor below and the whole thing collapsed. See: and many others. BillK From jef at jefallbright.net Sat Oct 6 16:36:40 2007 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 09:36:40 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Explaining Unusual Beliefs (was Fascist America) In-Reply-To: <01e001c8081f$448626f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> <01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <01e001c8081f$448626f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: On 10/6/07, Lee Corbin wrote: > My brother is a cultural anthropologist and I've been exposed to that > point of view a long time. Indeed, the first criticism I had of libertarianism > (and I'm still at least half-libertarian) is that it entirely fails to take culture > into account. An astute observation, and one I didn't realize we share. I thought you claimed devout Libertarianism. Further to your point, I'd say it's about blindness to the essential structure supporting their individual efforts. Much as an arrogant software engineer, proud of his creations, might extrapolate to grand visions of what he might achieve if not held back by the regressive forces surrounding him, with little regard for the adaptations baked in to the editors, compilers, OS, microcode, hardware, and the people and institutions (and deeper) from which these grow. On the other hand, which is worse, Libertarian fixation on maximizing personal liberty or the liberal ideal of one agent: one equal vote? Both lack the dimensionality necessary for success in the bigger picture. > Moreover, the progress of EP over the last 30 years further diminishes > the relevance (and plasibility), it seems to me, of the basic views > espoused by cultural anthropologists. There does seem to be a basic > *human nature*. We all share a greater amount of behavior than was > appreciated 50 years ago. Like a tree with roots firmly grounded in its interactions with a consistent (but always only incompletely knowable) "physics", each of the individual leaves can find a basis for pragmatic agreement at some level. Therein lies the seed of a pragmatic politics of private choices and public consequences. > > A lot of people make what they believe are intelligent statements about the > > thoughts and motivations of other people. But, IMHO, if you want to learn > > why other people think the way they do, you have to put yourself in their > > position (if not literally, then at least figuratively). That is, if you > > cannot walk in their shoes, then at least read and listen to what they are > > exposed to. The degenerate case exemplified by the all-to-common practice on these discussion lists of one aiming to attack the points of another, all the while being unable to effectively summarize the other's position. True understanding entails encompassing, rather than undermining, the understanding of another. > Well, that's certainly valuable advice. This does have to be checked out > before anything. E.g., to take an extreme example, what *made* the > mass-murderer go on a rampage? What could cause me to climb a > tower and begin picking random people off with a rifle? Who knows, > maybe if we listen to her story and try to understand her anger, we can > sympathize. But the chances aren't good. > > > I'm sure some individuals on this list can tell you that not every > > "conspiracy theory" is a paranoid delusion - take the case of a Church > > ganging up on an outsider and trying to have him imprisoned or murdered. It > > would be easy to scoff at such a story. To the people who experience such, > > their particular viewpoint is forever changed, and may now be "aberrant" > > (i.e., departing from the "norm"), but that does not make it incorrect. > > That's for damned sure! > > Still, *after* we've checked out trying to see the situation from someone > else's viewpoint, trying to understand the environmental cues to which > he responded and the cultural influences to which he was exposed, there > are still many unexplained cases. In some cases, the people are just clearly > wired very differently. Each person's model of reality is entirely valid, to that person. Thus the protracted debates where one party aims to shoot holes in another's model, while being unable to effectively describe the target. > In other extreme cases, people who are otherwise entirely normal have > a pronounced tendency to believe almost every conspiracy theory they > hear (I'm certainly talking about no one on this list). That's one thing > that needs accounting for. The same non-linear responses tuned in the environment of adaptation are naturally susceptible to being pushed into auto-immune behavior, whether in the body or the mind. > Another is a single individual who is almost > always sensible from the majority's viewpoint, but has one or two > pet-peeves that seem incomprehensible. This latter case evades any > comprehensive explanation that I can offer. Like a child raised in an abusive home becoming a bully in turn? Or perhaps closer to home, one who has been bullied tending to view any sharply pointed criticism as bullying? - Jef From natasha at natasha.cc Sat Oct 6 13:58:23 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sat, 06 Oct 2007 08:58:23 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Damage Due to Religion (was Fwd: New Article) In-Reply-To: References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> <1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net> <01af01c807cd$55bbcbc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <200710061358.l96DwOJa008866@ms-smtp-06.texas.rr.com> At 01:56 AM 10/6/2007, James wrote: >I have a pdf version of William Draper's excellent 1874 book; "The History >of the Conflict Between Religion and Science," which I would be happy to >email to anyone interested. It starts with the Greeks, in the 4th Century >BCE, and progress through the 19th Century. Yes James, please do send me a copy. Thanks! Natasha Vita-More PhD Candidate, CAiiA situated in the Faculty of Technology, School of Computing, Communications and Electronics, University of Plymouth, UK Transhumanist Arts & Culture Thinking About the Future If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From sjatkins at mac.com Sat Oct 6 17:50:20 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 10:50:20 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: On Oct 3, 2007, at 12:54 PM, Stefano Vaj wrote: > On 10/3/07, Samantha Atkins wrote: >> >> On Oct 1, 2007, at 10:45 PM, Michael M. Butler wrote: >> >>> On 10/1/07, Samantha Atkins wrote: >>> >>>> 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, seriously inside. >>> >>> Ballocks. Makes it very hard to take the rest of what you write >>> seriously, even though I do. >> >> It will take a lot more than your say-so to make the official story >> hold water. > > Bottom line: the "inside" part of "inside job" may mean many things > (what degree of active or passive involvement? at what level?), but > the point is that the burden of proof is on those affirming the > official version. > Already well done. Google is your friend. The burden of explanation is on everyone offering an explanation not just those who point out the obvious holes in the official explanation. Those offering the official explanation have by no means produced a fully coherent and well-proven case. So a bit of balance is in order. > And while I doubt that any of those challenging it can claim to know > "the truth, all the truth" about 9/11, I think that they have more > than successfully shown that the official version is far from being > proved beyond a reasonable doubt. > Yes. Here is a small sampling of some of the official story things requiring much better explanation. 1) No steel framed buildings in history before this have ever fallen due to heat softening the infrastructure; 2) The buildings fell is free fall time which is inconsistent with pancake collapse theories; 3) 6 of the claimed terrorists are very much alive and were not anywhere near these events; 4) normal hijacking handling policy on the militaries part was totally suspended on that day which requires complicity from the top; 5) The Pentagon is designed to withstand most non-nuclear attacks including heavy anti-aircraft batteries that will fire on any non military-id craft aggressively approaching it. Yet well after we knew we were under attack it was allowed to be hit by a hijacked craft. This also required a stand down order; 6) Building 7 was on the air admitted to being "pulled" which means it must have been rigged with explosives well beforehand. A question: If you knew beyond reasonable doubt that your government set-up 911 to stampede the country in the direction they wanted, what would you do differently? How would you look at current events and and the "war or terror"? - samantha From adolfoaz at gmail.com Sat Oct 6 17:56:31 2007 From: adolfoaz at gmail.com (Adolfo De Unanue) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 12:56:31 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Damage Due to Religion (was Fwd: New Article) In-Reply-To: <200710061358.l96DwOJa008866@ms-smtp-06.texas.rr.com> References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> <1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net> <01af01c807cd$55bbcbc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <200710061358.l96DwOJa008866@ms-smtp-06.texas.rr.com> Message-ID: <20071006125631.00fad9e9@avatar> Hi James! I want a copy too! Please... Thanks in advance ! Adolfo El Sat, 06 Oct 2007 08:58:23 -0500 Natasha Vita-More escribi?: > At 01:56 AM 10/6/2007, James wrote: > > >I have a pdf version of William Draper's excellent 1874 book; "The > >History of the Conflict Between Religion and Science," which I would > >be happy to email to anyone interested. It starts with the Greeks, > >in the 4th Century BCE, and progress through the 19th Century. > > Yes James, please do send me a copy. Thanks! > > > Natasha Vita-More > PhD Candidate, CAiiA situated in the Faculty of Technology, School of > Computing, Communications and Electronics, > University of Plymouth, UK > Transhumanist Arts & Culture > Thinking About the Future > > If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the > circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what > is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is > an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller > > From msd001 at gmail.com Sat Oct 6 18:02:47 2007 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 14:02:47 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Explaining Unusual Beliefs (was Fascist America) In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> <01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <01e001c8081f$448626f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <62c14240710061102k1fbc44fbx3973238ba399ee82@mail.gmail.com> On 10/6/07, Jef Allbright wrote: > The degenerate case exemplified by the all-to-common practice on these > discussion lists of one aiming to attack the points of another, all > the while being unable to effectively summarize the other's position. > True understanding entails encompassing, rather than undermining, the > understanding of another. This is an important point to highlight. Understanding someone else is much more difficult than restating your own point. Great observation Jef. From sjatkins at mac.com Sat Oct 6 19:03:10 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 12:03:10 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> Message-ID: <749D1696-EF0E-4011-A8D9-F30417BCB70C@mac.com> On Oct 2, 2007, at 2:04 PM, Jeff Davis wrote: > On 10/1/07, Samantha Atkins wrote: > >> 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, seriously inside. > > I must agree with Michael Butler, that, depending on what you mean by > it, this assertion could seriously diminish your credibility on this > matter. Could you elaborate? Here is where the evidence points to the best of my efforts to understand it. The highest levels of government knew of and participated in the staging of this attack. They also participated in stonewalling a full investigation for three years and then doing a tame investigation that avoided many issues and questions that are critical. When I say highest level I mean all the way up to at least Cheney and very likely Bush. I cannot do the case justice in this or any email list. I would recommend the books, video, and online materials from David Griffin as a good source referencing many others for those interested. http://911review.com/articles/griffin/index.html The 9/11 Commission Report: Omissions And Distortions (book) The New Pearl Harbor (book) September Eleventh: Should the truth be revealed or concealed? (video) - samantha -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From sjatkins at mac.com Sat Oct 6 19:04:52 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 12:04:52 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> Message-ID: <13DCBA39-A43D-449F-A2EA-1E1AD238F13C@mac.com> On Oct 4, 2007, at 2:56 PM, Damien Broderick wrote: > At 02:04 PM 10/2/2007 -0700, Jeff Davis wrote: > >> Samantha Atkins wrote: >> >>> 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, seriously inside. >> >> I must agree with Michael Butler, that, depending on what you mean by >> it, this assertion could seriously diminish your credibility > > Has instantly done so. Not except to those who have not bothered to consider the reasonableness of the official story. I am not a fool and I do not make such statements lightly. - samantha From sjatkins at mac.com Sat Oct 6 19:24:13 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 12:24:13 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks (was: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: On Oct 5, 2007, at 9:21 AM, John K Clark wrote: > "Samantha Atkins" Wrote: > >> 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, >> seriously inside. > > I won't say that's the stupidest thing I've ever seen, but I do > believe the > above deserves to be somewhere on the top ten list of the stupidest > remarks ever made on the Extropian List. At least the UFO, ESP, > Big Foot, and Cold Fusion people's ideas were not vicious. > Actually it is the saddest and one of the most difficult to accept conclusions I have ever come to. But if by "stupid" you mean obviously false or silly or frivolous you are very much wrong. If by "stupid" you mean that the conclusion can not be boldly stated without seriously weakening the point then I obviously disagree. I believe the case that we have been lied to and that the greatest treason was committed against the American people is quite strong and that it is past time to shake people out of their complacency. - samantha From hkhenson at rogers.com Sat Oct 6 19:36:14 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Sat, 06 Oct 2007 12:36:14 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Damage Due to Religion ? In-Reply-To: References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> <1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net> <01af01c807cd$55bbcbc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <1191699301_13062@S4.cableone.net> At 11:56 PM 10/5/2007, James Clement wrote: >I have a pdf version of William Draper's excellent 1874 book; "The History >of the Conflict Between Religion and Science," which I would be happy to >email to anyone interested. It starts with the Greeks, in the 4th Century >BCE, and progress through the 19th Century. While there has certainly been memetic competition between memes or meme sets of science and religion, I don't think a case can be made for "damage" as in war damage. The point of the EP model I presented was that the spread of xenophobic memes is a step on the path to war, but not causal, just a consequence of the way human psychological traits were wired up by evolution. BTW, the model is either so obvious that people won't comment about it or so hard to understand that they won't. I can't tell which from near zero responses. Keith From sjatkins at mac.com Sat Oct 6 19:49:19 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 12:49:19 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Melted steel In-Reply-To: References: <20071006032827.GK1016@vt11.net> <200710060535.l965ZqL5012910@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <1191684803_6315@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: <8FA97A98-2608-4EDA-BA56-7A17E5465435@mac.com> On Oct 6, 2007, at 9:12 AM, BillK wrote: > On 10/6/07, hkhenson wrote: >> It's clear from the pictures that there was little or no *melting* in >> this crash and fire. Not that it mattered, the metal got hot enough >> it could no longer hold up its own weight and sagged. >> >> It is certainly possible to melt iron with hydrocarbons, but it takes >> a rather special setup to do it, forced draft among them. >> >> On the other hand the WTC could well have provided that from a >> chimney effect. Jet fuel pouring down the elevator shafts would >> result in forced air combustion that could have melted steel or at >> least got it to yellow heat. That might have caused the interior >> steel to fail first. >> >> It kind of amazes me that the buildings they are putting up look like >> they would be subject to the same kind of failure if the same thing >> happened to them. >> > > The WTC was a special case. There was very little load-bearing steel > in the interior, except around the elevators. The outer walls > supported the weight of the building. > The WTC didn't use the 'old-fashioned' steel girders and concrete. I have heard that it was part of the known design of WTC that it had massive central support structure. I am attempting to find pre-911 details of WTC construction as I don't automatically trust claims on either side afterwards about those details. They should be somewhere on the web. I am looking for clean architectural and engineering documents preferably. - samantha From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Oct 6 20:03:00 2007 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 13:03:00 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fw: Damage Due to Religion (was Fwd: New Article) Message-ID: <001001c80853$e6173ed0$6401a8c0@brainiac> Me, too, James ... please and thanks! Olga fauxever at sprynet.com ----- Original Message ----- From: "Adolfo De Unanue" To: Sent: Saturday, October 06, 2007 10:56 AM Subject: Re: [ExI] Damage Due to Religion (was Fwd: New Article) > Hi James! > > I want a copy too! Please... > Thanks in advance ! > > Adolfo > > El Sat, 06 Oct 2007 08:58:23 -0500 > Natasha Vita-More escribi?: > >> At 01:56 AM 10/6/2007, James wrote: >> >> >I have a pdf version of William Draper's excellent 1874 book; "The >> >History of the Conflict Between Religion and Science," which I would >> >be happy to email to anyone interested. It starts with the Greeks, >> >in the 4th Century BCE, and progress through the 19th Century. >> >> Yes James, please do send me a copy. Thanks! >> >> >> Natasha Vita-More >> PhD Candidate, CAiiA situated in the Faculty of Technology, School of >> Computing, Communications and Electronics, >> University of Plymouth, UK >> Transhumanist Arts & Culture >> Thinking About the Future >> >> If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the >> circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what >> is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is >> an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller >> >> > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > From msd001 at gmail.com Sat Oct 6 21:09:31 2007 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 17:09:31 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Damage Due to Religion ? In-Reply-To: <1191699301_13062@S4.cableone.net> References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> <1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net> <01af01c807cd$55bbcbc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191699301_13062@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <62c14240710061409w6d746eer359db1da03f7dca3@mail.gmail.com> On 10/6/07, hkhenson wrote: > BTW, the model is either so obvious that people won't comment about > it or so hard to understand that they won't. I can't tell which from > near zero responses. It could also be that people don't like to think of themselves as bound by primitive desires over which they have little control even when they're aware. I admit that EP makes a great deal of sense, even if I don't like the conclusions I'm forced to by it. From lcorbin at rawbw.com Sat Oct 6 21:24:44 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 14:24:44 -0700 Subject: [ExI] What is meant here by "fascism"? Message-ID: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Several people, notably Natasha and PJ Manney, are using the term in a way that I don't understand. The latter, in fact, wrote on September 27 "But remember this: even fascists believe they're doing the right thing. They balance what they and the country gain by their actions against what they and the country might lose if they refrained. Hence, their behavior." I would like to know who or what is being described. Yes I do understand that the main target of these remarks, perhaps quite justifiably but perhaps not, is the Bush administration. But what exactly is the meaning of "fascism" here? (No doubt the above was not meant to be defining. If "fascist" were to mean that the *only* considerations the leaders of a country make are whether or not actions benefit/harm their nation, then no country in modern history is fascist, because there are *always* other considerations, e.g., pilfering. But I do understand that the above may be a step towards such a definition.) The answers to even a few of the following "yes and no" type questions will help a lot. 1. Is Russia at the present time a fascist country? 2. Are there countries of Western Europe that are fascist at the present time? 3. Is Mexico or Cuba fascist at the present time? I ask because both the Federalis and Castro's henchmen appear to violate people's liberties almost at will. 4. If two countries have identical profiles of freedom and economic structure, but one is an ally of the United States and one is an enemy, is the former thereby more fascist? 5. Can a country be a little bit fascist? That is, if there has been a single incident of government action that has resulted in a clearly unjustifiable loss of liberty (e.g. Norway), is the country thereby fascist? Or is it a matter of degree? 6. Do the civil liberties of a substantial number of people actually have to be infringed, or is it enough that the laws (or known potential) provide the possibility for such? 7. During what decade did the United States become fascist? Was the U.S. fascist during the McCarthy years? What about during the sixties when the FBI spyed on prominent members of the Civil Rights movement? 8. What other terms of approbation are used which are not employed by anyone to self-describe them? That is, I consider it a great blow against any political term if no one can be found who embraces that term. If everyone says, "I'm not a fascist", then the meaning of the term is made much, much more difficult. Why use a term that no one employs self-descriptively? Thanks, Lee From brent.allsop at comcast.net Sat Oct 6 21:28:57 2007 From: brent.allsop at comcast.net (Brent Allsop) Date: Sat, 06 Oct 2007 15:28:57 -0600 Subject: [ExI] New Wendy's Add? Message-ID: <4707FE19.1010903@comcast.net> Extropians, My entire life, I've always enjoyed the lemmings all jumping off a cliff type ideas in our culture. The most recent great example I've seen is Wendy's new advertisement which can bee seen here: http://usatoday.feedroom.com/index.jsp?fr_story=aa6b272e936328725aefe9438047471199722917 My feeling that everyone is jumping in the grave, when something so much more could be done, is surely the reason for enjoying all these so much. How many of you have real problems going to the funerals of loved ones, where they bury people to rot in the grave, while having these types of images going through your head? I always wish I could just screeeem! Have any of you ever considered the idea of doing something like wearing a black suit, along with a bright pink braided hair set like this guy in this commercial, to a funeral, like I have? Wouldn't it be great if there was some well recognized, something like this, we could all do in such cases? Maybe even something a bit less loud than pink hair braids, but still recognizable? Or must we continue to just watch all this insanity in silence? Anyway, funerals are always hard for me. How many of you have the same problem? And how many of you try to think of schemes that might be a little more socially acceptable than running around screaming and slapping everyone at a funeral trying to shake them out of their primitive insanity? Brent Allsop From lcorbin at rawbw.com Sat Oct 6 21:47:16 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 14:47:16 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Explaining Unusual Beliefs References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> <01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <01e001c8081f$448626f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <020a01c80862$864dc500$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Jef writes (I'm back to reading his posts, just not having a very good ability to hold a grudge) > On 10/6/07, Lee Corbin wrote: > >> My brother is a cultural anthropologist and I've been exposed to that >> point of view a long time. Indeed, the first criticism I had of libertarianism >> (and I'm still at least half-libertarian) is that it entirely fails to take culture >> into account. > > An astute observation, and one I didn't realize we share. I thought > you claimed devout Libertarianism. Please. Our discussions should not be about me. > Further to your point, I'd say it's about blindness to the essential > structure supporting their individual efforts. Much as an arrogant > software engineer, proud of his creations, might extrapolate to grand > visions of what he might achieve... Sorry, but you lost me with the first sentence. Whose individual efforts? > if not held back by the regressive > forces surrounding him, with little regard for the adaptations baked > in to the editors, compilers, OS, microcode, hardware, and the people > and institutions (and deeper) from which these grow. I think that you're saying something like "there can be too much theory with too little adaptation to realities"? > On the other hand, which is worse, Libertarian fixation on maximizing > personal liberty or the liberal ideal of one agent: one equal vote? > Both lack the dimensionality necessary for success in the bigger > picture. I agree that both normally laudable principles are dangerous when carried to extremes. Yes, without principles we'd be entirely lost, but just as you say we should always be careful about their "low dimensionality". >> Moreover, the progress of EP over the last 30 years further diminishes >> the relevance (and plasibility), it seems to me, of the basic views >> espoused by cultural anthropologists. There does seem to be a basic >> *human nature*. We all share a greater amount of behavior than was >> appreciated 50 years ago. > > Like a tree with roots firmly grounded in its interactions with a > consistent (but always only incompletely knowable) "physics", each of > the individual leaves can find a basis for pragmatic agreement at some > level. Therein lies the seed of a pragmatic politics of private > choices and public consequences. Sorry! I have a feeling that I agree with that, but it's a little too abstract. That is, after re-reading a couple of times, I just don't want to speculate on exactly what is meant. In fact, this seems to me to be an example of what we are talking about: unless such description is tied more closely to actual circumstances, its "dimensionality" may be too large or too small. Besides, it seems to blow communication all to hell. Rather than complaining, I probably ought to just remain silent. Sorry. >> > A lot of people make what they believe are intelligent statements about the >> > thoughts and motivations of other people. But, IMHO, if you want to learn >> > why other people think the way they do, you have to put yourself in their >> > position (if not literally, then at least figuratively). That is, if you >> > cannot walk in their shoes, then at least read and listen to what they are >> > exposed to. > > The degenerate case exemplified by the all-to-common practice on these > discussion lists of one aiming to attack the points of another, all > the while being unable to effectively summarize the other's position. > True understanding entails encompassing, rather than undermining, the > understanding of another. An admirable bit of Rogerian psychology. Indeed, if I knew that I was indeed incapable of effectively expressing someone else's position, it would give me grave concern. You're probably right that all too often we just *think* that we could make the same points. But it's an expensive exercise to check some original prose you have written to see if it passes criticism from the person whose views you are trying to successfully articulate. >> Another is a single individual who is almost >> always sensible from the majority's viewpoint, but has one or two >> pet-peeves that seem incomprehensible. This latter case evades any >> comprehensive explanation that I can offer. > > Like a child raised in an abusive home becoming a bully in turn? Or > perhaps closer to home, one who has been bullied tending to view any > sharply pointed criticism as bullying? Are you into discussing your favorite subject, i.e. me, again? I'll not waste my time with that. But I do sincerely thank you for your substantive comments, a few of which were both productive and illuminating. I am not being sarcastic. Lee From dmasten at piratelabs.org Sat Oct 6 21:25:48 2007 From: dmasten at piratelabs.org (David Masten) Date: Sat, 06 Oct 2007 14:25:48 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> On Sat, 2007-10-06 at 10:50 -0700, Samantha Atkins wrote: > Yes. Here is a small sampling of some of the official story things > requiring much better explanation. Actually they don't require better explanation, but better understanding of thermal dynamics and structural design is required of the Truthers. > 1) No steel framed buildings in history before this have ever fallen > due to heat softening the infrastructure; And how many modern high-rise structures have been struck by modern wide body airliners? Or putting it another way - how many buildings with modern elevator shafts and modern HVAC systems have had thousands of gallons of kerosene burning inside them? > 2) The buildings fell is free fall time which is inconsistent with > pancake collapse theories; What is "free fall" time? Please show accelerations and terminal velocity, please. Also please show the assumptions for determining coefficient of drag of debris. Despite that, typical demolitions practice for tall buildings is to cut the structure at key points and allow the upper stories to bring down the stories below it, i.e. the collapse should be nearly identical whether it was a demolition job or weakening from a kerosene fire. > 3) 6 of the claimed terrorists are very much alive and were not > anywhere near these events; What does this have to do with the building collapse? My understanding was that the six were found to not be involved, but were "persons of interest" for other reasons. > 4) normal hijacking handling policy on the militaries part was totally > suspended on that day which requires complicity from the top; When did the aircraft involved start squawking the hijack signal on the transponders? I'll give you the answer - they didn't. No one realized that there were 4 hijackings until it was too late for the first three. Then there is the problem of what exactly is the military's hijack procedure? The standard law enforcement procedure prior to 9/11 was to do nothing to upset the hijackers, which would imply little for the military to do. > 5) The Pentagon is designed to withstand most non-nuclear attacks > including heavy anti-aircraft batteries that will fire on any non > military-id craft aggressively approaching it. Yet well after we > knew we were under attack it was allowed to be hit by a hijacked > craft. This also required a stand down order; This is a truly extraordinary claim. Buildings "designed to withstand attacks" are not invincible, but rather allow the occupants a defensible position with reduced (not zero) casualties from an attack. The damage seen from the airliner is perfectly consistent with this. Also, what AAA unit(s) was assigned to the Pentagon? IIRC, there have not been AAA batteries at the pentagon for decades. The only defense at the Pentagon was a security scheme to prevent unauthorized personnel from wandering around inside. Incompetence and surprise explains 4 and 5 far better than malice. > 6) Building 7 was on the air admitted to being "pulled" which means > it must have been rigged with explosives well beforehand. Cite? I suspect being "pulled" referred to ordering firefighters out of the building. > A question: > > If you knew beyond reasonable doubt that your government set-up 911 to > stampede the country in the direction they wanted, what would you do > differently? How would you look at current events and and the "war > or terror"? Mu. Dave From lcorbin at rawbw.com Sat Oct 6 21:53:41 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 14:53:41 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Damage Due to Religion ? References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler><7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com><1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net><1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net><01af01c807cd$55bbcbc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191699301_13062@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <021001c80863$ed9e05c0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Keith writes > At 11:56 PM 10/5/2007, James Clement wrote: > >>I have a pdf version of William Draper's excellent 1874 book; "The History >>of the Conflict Between Religion and Science," which I would be happy to >>email to anyone interested. It starts with the Greeks, in the 4th Century >>BCE, and progress through the 19th Century. > > While there has certainly been memetic competition between memes or > meme sets of science and religion, I don't think a case can be made > for "damage" as in war damage. That seems right to me. > The point of the EP model I presented was that the spread of xenophobic > memes is a step on the path to war, but not causal, just a consequence of > the way human psychological traits were wired up by evolution. You are now saying that the spread of xenophobic memes is not causal, i.e., does not cause war? That it is just a symptom or signature? If that's what you are saying, then yes, I did miss that (but then, I probably have not attended your writings as much as I could have, due to time constraints). I would have sworn that you saw a causal step in the spread of such memes. > BTW, the model is either so obvious that people won't comment about > it or so hard to understand that they won't. I can't tell which from > near zero responses. Alas, these days on this list one can never tell anything from zero responses. All of the above is in part explained by the difficulties of having to cope with too much information. Lee From natasha at natasha.cc Sat Oct 6 22:08:26 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sat, 06 Oct 2007 17:08:26 -0500 Subject: [ExI] What is meant here by "fascism"? In-Reply-To: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <200710062208.l96M8SFO021492@ms-smtp-06.texas.rr.com> At 04:24 PM 10/6/2007, Lee wrote: >Several people, notably Natasha and PJ Manney, are using >the term in a way that I don't understand. The latter, in fact, >wrote on September 27 What? I said fascism comes in many shapes and sizes and is ugly. I used the term ugly because I had been reflecting on the concept of beauty as used in the authors early writing and in regards to behavior. Natasha Natasha Vita-More PhD Candidate, CAiiA situated in the Faculty of Technology, School of Computing, Communications and Electronics, University of Plymouth, UK Transhumanist Arts & Culture Thinking About the Future If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From sentience at pobox.com Sat Oct 6 22:09:37 2007 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Sat, 06 Oct 2007 15:09:37 -0700 Subject: [ExI] New Wendy's Add? In-Reply-To: <4707FE19.1010903@comcast.net> References: <4707FE19.1010903@comcast.net> Message-ID: <470807A1.7090307@pobox.com> Brent Allsop wrote: > > Anyway, funerals are always hard for me. How many of you have the same > problem? Yo. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Sat Oct 6 22:25:58 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 15:25:58 -0700 Subject: [ExI] New Wendy's Add? In-Reply-To: <470807A1.7090307@pobox.com> References: <4707FE19.1010903@comcast.net> <470807A1.7090307@pobox.com> Message-ID: Brent Allsop wrote: > > Anyway, funerals are always hard for me. How many of you have the same > problem? Yes, I always feel bad that the individual didn't sign up for cryonics! I then think "sometime in the near future children will screw up their faces and ask their parents about the old times when people actually 'died' and never came back." James From thespike at satx.rr.com Sat Oct 6 22:33:39 2007 From: thespike at satx.rr.com (Damien Broderick) Date: Sat, 06 Oct 2007 17:33:39 -0500 Subject: [ExI] What is meant here by "fascism"? In-Reply-To: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <7.0.1.0.2.20071006173040.021f6bd8@satx.rr.com> At 02:24 PM 10/6/2007 -0700, Lee wrote: >Several people, notably Natasha and PJ Manney, are using >the term in a way that I don't understand. The latter, in fact, >wrote on September 27 Go back to the original essay url'd by Emlyn on September 27: From thespike at satx.rr.com Sat Oct 6 22:43:59 2007 From: thespike at satx.rr.com (Damien Broderick) Date: Sat, 06 Oct 2007 17:43:59 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Melted steel In-Reply-To: <8FA97A98-2608-4EDA-BA56-7A17E5465435@mac.com> References: <20071006032827.GK1016@vt11.net> <200710060535.l965ZqL5012910@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <1191684803_6315@S3.cableone.net> <8FA97A98-2608-4EDA-BA56-7A17E5465435@mac.com> Message-ID: <7.0.1.0.2.20071006174253.022adae8@satx.rr.com> > > The WTC was a special case. There was very little load-bearing steel > > in the interior, except around the elevators. The outer walls > > supported the weight of the building. > > The WTC didn't use the 'old-fashioned' steel girders and concrete. > >I have heard that it was part of the known design of WTC that it had >massive central support structure. I am attempting to find pre-911 >details of WTC construction as I don't automatically trust claims on >either side afterwards about those details. They should be somewhere >on the web. I am looking for clean architectural and engineering >documents preferably. > >- samantha Here's the Real Secret Explanation: http://www.superdickery.com/dick/178.html From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Sat Oct 6 22:46:31 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 15:46:31 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> Message-ID: On a related note - I'd like to recommend two books which, IMHO, help explain why and what some followers of "authoritarian conservatism" will do: John Dean's "Conservatives Without Conscience." http://www.amazon.com/Conservatives-Without-Conscience-John-Dean/dp/06700377 45/ref=si3_rdr_bb_product/002-7291230-7455224 and George Crile's "Charlie Wilson's War." http://www.amazon.com/Charlie-Wilsons-War-Extraordinary-Congress/dp/08021412 42/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1/002-7291230-7455224?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1191710260&sr=1-1 There seem to be plenty of fascists in America, who would not blink at taking U.S. citizens out into international waters and torturing them, blowing up buildings, or anything else their superiors "suggested" was in the best interests of the Country... If anyone has suggestions for other books which are related, please let me know. James Clement From jnh at vt11.net Sun Oct 7 00:00:52 2007 From: jnh at vt11.net (Jordan Hazen) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 20:00:52 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Melted steel In-Reply-To: <8FA97A98-2608-4EDA-BA56-7A17E5465435@mac.com> References: <20071006032827.GK1016@vt11.net> <200710060535.l965ZqL5012910@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <1191684803_6315@S3.cableone.net> <8FA97A98-2608-4EDA-BA56-7A17E5465435@mac.com> Message-ID: <20071007000052.GM1016@vt11.net> On Sat, Oct 06, 2007 at 12:49:19PM -0700, Samantha Atkins wrote: > > On Oct 6, 2007, at 9:12 AM, BillK wrote: > > The WTC was a special case. There was very little load-bearing steel > > in the interior, except around the elevators. The outer walls > > supported the weight of the building. > > The WTC didn't use the 'old-fashioned' steel girders and concrete. > > I have heard that it was part of the known design of WTC that it had > massive central support structure. I am attempting to find pre-911 > details of WTC construction as I don't automatically trust claims on > either side afterwards about those details. They should be somewhere > on the web. I am looking for clean architectural and engineering > documents preferably. > > - samantha Scanned copies of the original WTC1 (North Tower) blueprints were leaked earlier this year, and posted to several web sites, one of which converted the raw .TIFF files for easier online viewing: http://911research.wtc7.net/wtc/evidence/plans/frames.html Image quality of these scans isn't the best, and even at 4896x3632 ("Original" resolution) some of the text and fine details are hard to make out, especially on a small monitor. Printing them might help. On 9/11, the damage to this tower from the plane impact (AA 11) affected floors 92 through 98. Some interesting construction details: - Core box columns are very thick near the bottom, gradually tapering towards the top; same with the perimeter columns, which are deeper (but not wider) on the low floors. I've read that the WTC design called for core columns to support 60% of the static gravity load, with perimeter coluns handling 40% of gravity and 100% of lateral loads (side-to-side swaying from wind). - Only one (freight) elevator shaft is contiguous through the entire height of building. Apart from that, Express Elevators linked the bottom level to two "sky lobbies" on the 44th and 78th floors (these went no higher than the 78th), where passengers would switch to a local elevator to reach their final floor. There were heavy mechanical floors above each express elevator as well... this division of each tower into thirds is visible in some exterior photographs also. - Within each of the stacked 1/3rd-tower segments, some local elevator shafts served only the lower floors, allowing for more open floor space on upper levels. See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:World_Trade_Center_Building_Design_with_Floor_and_Elevator_Arrangment.svg although that image appears to mis-label the single freight elevator as an express elevator. - Not all core columns were adjacent to elevator shafts, although most were, and these extended all the way up even where nearby elevator shafts did not. -- Jordan. From natasha at natasha.cc Sat Oct 6 22:22:34 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sat, 06 Oct 2007 17:22:34 -0500 Subject: [ExI] New Wendy's Add? In-Reply-To: <4707FE19.1010903@comcast.net> References: <4707FE19.1010903@comcast.net> Message-ID: <200710062222.l96MMawo028329@ms-smtp-05.texas.rr.com> At 04:28 PM 10/6/2007, Brent wrote: >My entire life, I've always enjoyed the lemmings all jumping off a cliff >type ideas in our culture. The masses following popular behavior toward fatal consequences?! >The most recent great example I've seen is Wendy's new advertisement >which can bee seen here: > >http://usatoday.feedroom.com/index.jsp?fr_story=aa6b272e936328725aefe9438047471199722917 > >My feeling that everyone is jumping in the grave, when something so much >more could be done, is surely the reason for enjoying all these so much. Okay, this I agree with. When I saw the ad for the firs time, I though they were imitating the red braids of Pippi Longstocking or Pippi L?ngstrump (Lindgren 1945). But when I realized they were jumping into their graves I felt v. uncomfortable. >How many of you have real problems going to the funerals of loved ones, >where they bury people to rot in the grave, while having these types of >images going through your head? I always wish I could just screeeem! ... >Anyway, funerals are always hard for me. How many of you have the same >problem? Yes I do. Very difficult. Natasha -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jnh at vt11.net Sun Oct 7 00:54:01 2007 From: jnh at vt11.net (Jordan Hazen) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 20:54:01 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> Message-ID: <20071007005401.GN1016@vt11.net> On Sat, Oct 06, 2007 at 02:25:48PM -0700, David Masten wrote: > On Sat, 2007-10-06 at 10:50 -0700, Samantha Atkins wrote: > > Yes. Here is a small sampling of some of the official story things > > requiring much better explanation. > > Actually they don't require better explanation, but better understanding > of thermal dynamics and structural design is required of the Truthers. > > > 1) No steel framed buildings in history before this have ever fallen > > due to heat softening the infrastructure; Some have partially collapsed, though nothing so complete or sudden as at WTC. The Windsor Tower fire in Madrid is often brought up for comparison: http://www.mace.manchester.ac.uk/project/research/structures/strucfire/CaseStudy/HistoricFires/BuildingFires/default.htm That was a smaller building, but the fire was more widespread, eventually engulfing all of it. After three hours ablaze, parts of the upper facade started falling off. After another two hours, Windsor's upper floors started to collapse. That collapse left the building's core intact, though, and stopped at the first reinforced "technical floor" (itself surrounded by fire) whereas the WTC's much more rapid collapse front didn't even slow down when passing through intact, reinforced floors at the 78th and 45th storeys. > And how many modern high-rise structures have been struck by modern wide > body airliners? Or putting it another way - how many buildings with > modern elevator shafts and modern HVAC systems have had thousands of > gallons of kerosene burning inside them? WTC's HVAC included a damper system, to help slow the spread of fire between floors, and its two-tiered express elevator / local elevator system limited the number of floors served by each elevator shaft. Only one freight elevator served all of the floors directly. In WTC 1, other shafts present on the plane impact floors descended only to the 77th level sky-lobby. > > 2) The buildings fell is free fall time which is inconsistent with > > pancake collapse theories; A little slower than free-fall, actually. Compare the fall times of steel beams ejected horizontally for each building to the advancing collapse wave, which moves a bit slower (still at a tremendous speed, which remains constant even when traversing the heavily-reinforced mechanical floors). > What is "free fall" time? Please show accelerations and terminal > velocity, please. Also please show the assumptions for determining > coefficient of drag of debris. Those making this argument usually start with a "free fall in vacuum" figure, e.g. 1355 ft = 1/2 (32 ft/s^2) t^2 9.2 sec = t Oversimplified as it is, this is still a conservative lower bound, since the neglected air resistance would act only to increase the free-fall time, never to decrease it. In comparison, the observed collapse time was between 12 and 15 seconds. The huge volumes of pulverized material enveloping each tower's base towards the end make it it difficult to pinpoint an exact time. > Despite that, typical demolitions practice for tall buildings is to cut > the structure at key points and allow the upper stories to bring down > the stories below it, i.e. the collapse should be nearly identical > whether it was a demolition job or weakening from a kerosene fire. But achieving a straight-down, symmetrical collapse (implosion) requires precise control over the timing at which individual supports are cut. Demolition companies would never attempt to bring a building down by setting fires. Even at temperatures high enough to assure complete column failure, the sequencing would just be too unpredictable, likely causing the building to topple over onto an adjacent structure. Conventional demolitions are also done bottom-up (like WTC 7); top-down would be much harder. -- Jordan. From hkhenson at rogers.com Sun Oct 7 03:03:20 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Sat, 06 Oct 2007 20:03:20 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Damage Due to Religion ? In-Reply-To: <62c14240710061409w6d746eer359db1da03f7dca3@mail.gmail.com> References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> <1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net> <01af01c807cd$55bbcbc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191699301_13062@S4.cableone.net> <62c14240710061409w6d746eer359db1da03f7dca3@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <1191726128_9590@S1.cableone.net> At 02:09 PM 10/6/2007, you wrote: >On 10/6/07, hkhenson wrote: > > BTW, the model is either so obvious that people won't comment about > > it or so hard to understand that they won't. I can't tell which from > > near zero responses. > >It could also be that people don't like to think of themselves as >bound by primitive desires over which they have little control even >when they're aware. I admit that EP makes a great deal of sense, even >if I don't like the conclusions I'm forced to by it. I don't often like the conclusion either. But if you don't understand your "primitive desires" you are going to be far more "bound" to them than if you don't. The EP/memes/war connection explains a lot, for example why Europe has not had a major war in the last 60 years and why the IRA went out of business. It tells you what won't work and what probably would work with the current Islamic mess. Keith From jef at jefallbright.net Sun Oct 7 06:45:01 2007 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 23:45:01 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Explaining Unusual Beliefs In-Reply-To: <020a01c80862$864dc500$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> <01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <01e001c8081f$448626f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <020a01c80862$864dc500$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: On 10/6/07, Lee Corbin wrote: > Jef writes (I'm back to reading his posts, just not having a very good > ability to hold a grudge) And I'm reminded again of the slightly bizarre flavor of our interactions. Difficult to pin down precisely due to the nature of the medium, but typically and distinctly off. > > On 10/6/07, Lee Corbin wrote: > > > >> My brother is a cultural anthropologist and I've been exposed to that > >> point of view a long time. Indeed, the first criticism I had of libertarianism > >> (and I'm still at least half-libertarian) is that it entirely fails to take culture > >> into account. > > > > An astute observation, and one I didn't realize we share. I thought > > you claimed devout Libertarianism. > > Please. Our discussions should not be about me. I expressed some surprise and interest in your apparently changing Libertarian beliefs, and I think you broached the topic. My interest in the evolution of political processes and beliefs has been ongoing for years and has nothing to do with you personally. > > Further to your point, I'd say it's about blindness to the essential > > structure supporting their individual efforts. Much as an arrogant > > software engineer, proud of his creations, might extrapolate to grand > > visions of what he might achieve if not held back by the regressive > > forces surrounding him, with little regard for the adaptations baked > > in to the editors, compilers, OS, microcode, hardware, and the people > > and institutions (and deeper) from which these grow. > Sorry, but you lost me with the first sentence. Whose individual efforts? Further to your preceding point that Libertarianism "entirely fails to take culture into account", the efforts of those who might act according to that caricature of Libertarianism. > I think that you're saying something like "there can be too much > theory with too little adaptation to realities"? I don't think that's implied by what I wrote. I described a fairly common example of na?ve lack of accounting, not just for surrounding culture [your claim], but for a complex, dynamic, social-technological structure constructed via eons of adaptation. The proud but na?ve programmer in the example sees his lines of code as constituting the value of his product, and in an everyday sense where we don't need to consider the infrastructure, like we don't need to consider the air we breathe, that's quite adequate. But such thinking, all-to-common, is ineffective when applied to the challenges of the larger system, e.g. what it would take to grow social decision-making beyond the present politics of scarcity. That pure radiant ideal of maximizing personal freedom in "politics" is akin to the elegant and ineffective ideal of Solomonoff induction in machine intelligence. Each is like a hair on a pimple on the hiney of a much higher-dimensional beast, and the nature of that beast, however arbitrary, imposes computationally irreducible constraints on the possibility-space of that hair. Would-be extenders tend to ignore the beast. > > On the other hand, which is worse, Libertarian fixation on maximizing > > personal liberty or the liberal ideal of one agent: one equal vote? > > Both lack the dimensionality necessary for success in the bigger > > picture. > > I agree that both normally laudable principles are dangerous > when carried to extremes. Yes, without principles we'd be > entirely lost, but just as you say we should always be careful > about their "low dimensionality". I'm not talking about systems at their extremes. I'm talking about supposed Flatlanders blocked in their road building until they discover that overpasses have always been a possibility. > >> Moreover, the progress of EP over the last 30 years further diminishes > >> the relevance (and plasibility), it seems to me, of the basic views > >> espoused by cultural anthropologists. There does seem to be a basic > >> *human nature*. We all share a greater amount of behavior than was > >> appreciated 50 years ago. > > > > Like a tree with roots firmly grounded in its interactions with a > > consistent (but always only incompletely knowable) "physics", each of > > the individual leaves can find a basis for pragmatic agreement at some > > level. Therein lies the seed of a pragmatic politics of private > > choices and public consequences. > Sorry! I have a feeling that I agree with that, but it's a little too abstract. It is indeed an abstract metaphor, but one I think isn't too obscure for many on this list. I think I'll let it rest for now at that - Jef From jonkc at att.net Sun Oct 7 15:59:07 2007 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 11:59:07 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <001e01c808fb$11843670$00054e0c@MyComputer> "Samantha Atkins" > one of the most difficult to accept > conclusions I have ever come to. I disagree, the UFO and ESP people have conclusions too and they are about equally difficult to accept because they are as STUPID as your idea. However your conclusion has an additional dimension besides idiocy, your crap is vicious. Samantha you have every right to be angry about the war in Iraq, I'm angry too, but you shouldn't let your anger rise to a point where it overwhelms your rationality. If the silly ideas you were pedaling were to become widely believed, (and we both know history is full of silly ideas that were widely believed) then there will be a demand for revenge against the American "traitors" involved in this evil 911 "plot". And that could lead to far worse things than the war in Iraq. You worry about civil rights and I do too, but now you would have American citizens rounded up and put in camps for being involved in an evil 911 conspiracy that in fact never existed. If I don't like your politics I'll put you in the camp too; true I can't prove you had anything to do with the plot, but that is a small point because I can't prove that anybody in the camp had anything to do with it either because there was no plot to be involved in. It turned out that the rational for the war was built on a house of cards, but if you have your way the violent backlash would have an equally shaky foundation. You are doing EXACTLY what George Bush did 5 years ago, letting your emotions run away with you. Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction or he did not, there was an evil American plot to crash airliners into buildings or there was not. Science will not be fooled and that is why policies built on a bullshit premise will lead to disaster. John K Clark From jef at jefallbright.net Sun Oct 7 17:01:21 2007 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 10:01:21 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Explaining Unusual Beliefs In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> <01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <01e001c8081f$448626f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <020a01c80862$864dc500$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: Re-send due to offlist requests from a few people saying that the earlier post was garbled. I dunno, it looks okay to me here in gmail and in the Exi archives at . Could it be something to do with certain email clients and utf-8 encoding? - Jef ---------------------------------- On 10/6/07, Lee Corbin wrote: > Jef writes (I'm back to reading his posts, just not having a very good > ability to hold a grudge) And I'm reminded again of the slightly bizarre flavor of our interactions. Difficult to pin down precisely due to the nature of the medium, but typically and distinctly off. > > On 10/6/07, Lee Corbin wrote: > > > >> My brother is a cultural anthropologist and I've been exposed to that > >> point of view a long time. Indeed, the first criticism I had of libertarianism > >> (and I'm still at least half-libertarian) is that it entirely fails to take culture > >> into account. > > > > An astute observation, and one I didn't realize we share. I thought > > you claimed devout Libertarianism. > > Please. Our discussions should not be about me. I expressed some surprise and interest in your apparently changing Libertarian beliefs, and I think you broached the topic. My interest in the evolution of political processes and beliefs has been ongoing for years and has nothing to do with you personally. > > Further to your point, I'd say it's about blindness to the essential > > structure supporting their individual efforts. Much as an arrogant > > software engineer, proud of his creations, might extrapolate to grand > > visions of what he might achieve if not held back by the regressive > > forces surrounding him, with little regard for the adaptations baked > > in to the editors, compilers, OS, microcode, hardware, and the people > > and institutions (and deeper) from which these grow. > Sorry, but you lost me with the first sentence. Whose individual efforts? Further to your preceding point that Libertarianism "entirely fails to take culture into account", the efforts of those who might act according to that caricature of Libertarianism. > I think that you're saying something like "there can be too much > theory with too little adaptation to realities"? I don't think that's implied by what I wrote. I described a fairly common example of na?ve lack of accounting, not just for surrounding culture [your claim], but for a complex, dynamic, social-technological structure constructed via eons of adaptation. The proud but na?ve programmer in the example sees his lines of code as constituting the value of his product, and in an everyday sense where we don't need to consider the infrastructure, like we don't need to consider the air we breathe, that's quite adequate. But such thinking, all-to-common, is ineffective when applied to the challenges of the larger system, e.g. what it would take to grow social decision-making beyond the present politics of scarcity. That pure radiant ideal of maximizing personal freedom in "politics" is akin to the elegant and ineffective ideal of Solomonoff induction in machine intelligence. Each is like a hair on a pimple on the hiney of a much higher-dimensional beast, and the nature of that beast, however arbitrary, imposes computationally irreducible constraints on the possibility-space of that hair. Would-be extenders tend to ignore the beast. > > On the other hand, which is worse, Libertarian fixation on maximizing > > personal liberty or the liberal ideal of one agent: one equal vote? > > Both lack the dimensionality necessary for success in the bigger > > picture. > > I agree that both normally laudable principles are dangerous > when carried to extremes. Yes, without principles we'd be > entirely lost, but just as you say we should always be careful > about their "low dimensionality". I'm not talking about systems at their extremes. I'm talking about supposed Flatlanders blocked in their road building until they discover that overpasses have always been a possibility. > >> Moreover, the progress of EP over the last 30 years further diminishes > >> the relevance (and plasibility), it seems to me, of the basic views > >> espoused by cultural anthropologists. There does seem to be a basic > >> *human nature*. We all share a greater amount of behavior than was > >> appreciated 50 years ago. > > > > Like a tree with roots firmly grounded in its interactions with a > > consistent (but always only incompletely knowable) "physics", each of > > the individual leaves can find a basis for pragmatic agreement at some > > level. Therein lies the seed of a pragmatic politics of private > > choices and public consequences. > Sorry! I have a feeling that I agree with that, but it's a little too abstract. It is indeed an abstract metaphor, but one I think isn't too obscure for many on this list. I think I'll let it rest for now at that - Jef From jef at jefallbright.net Sun Oct 7 17:39:47 2007 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 10:39:47 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Explaining Unusual Beliefs In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> <01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <01e001c8081f$448626f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <020a01c80862$864dc500$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: On 10/7/07, Jef Allbright wrote: > Re-send due to offlist requests from a few people saying that the > earlier post was garbled. > > I dunno, it looks okay to me here in gmail and in the Exi archives at > . > > Could it be something to do with certain email clients and utf-8 encoding? It turns out that each person experiencing a problem is using Eudora. See the following URI for an explanation and a possible fix for Eudora's non-compliant rendering of standard utf-8 text. The symptoms were apparently triggered by my use of the i diaeresis in "naive" rather than the "naive" spelling of "naive". - Jef From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Sun Oct 7 19:07:17 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 21:07:17 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks (was: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> On 10/5/07, John K Clark wrote: > > "Samantha Atkins" Wrote: > > > 1) 911 almost certainly was an inside job, > > seriously inside. > > I won't say that's the stupidest thing I've ever seen, but I do believe > the > above deserves to be somewhere on the top ten I would submit that the real issues here are "job", "inside" and "seriously". That is, I do not believe anybody can claim certainty on how determinant and active, rather than passive, the "insiders" involvement was, and what level it reached in official, and/or real, US powers that be. Let us say, however, that "some" kind of involvement, at "some" level, seems much more likely a scenario than the opposite. Stefano Vaj -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Sun Oct 7 19:18:22 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 21:18:22 +0200 Subject: [ExI] What is meant here by "fascism"? In-Reply-To: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> On 10/6/07, Lee Corbin wrote: > But what > exactly is the meaning of "fascism" here? I have myself insisted on the idea that the word "fascism" (as "christian", "libertarian", "communist", etc.) should not be employed as some kind of categorical, metaphysical anathema, but rather restricted to what self-defined fascists have themselves identified as their historical identity. For instance, strictly speaking, many Italian fascist intellectuals doubted in the thirties that the Third Reich itself could be considered as a "true" fascist regime. To wonder whether Montezuma or Ramses or Torquemada or Louis XIV or Breznev, or for that matter Bush, are "fascists" in some sense is just bad rethorics, since there are obvious cultural gaps that make the comparison moot, whatever blame their regimes may deserve. Stefano Vaj From andres at thoughtware.tv Sun Oct 7 20:18:09 2007 From: andres at thoughtware.tv (Andres Colon) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 16:18:09 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Malicious Mindware for Reality-Enhancers, Uploads and visual AIs? Message-ID: Reality-enhancers (meaning transhumans that will heavily implement Augmented Reality Technology as an enhancement on a daily basis), AI or Uploads could face threats from malicious mindware. These threats could range from minor annoyances (as the prototype you'll soon see) all the way up to some serious threats. Video link: Malicious Mindware via Augmented Reality This Thoughtware.TV video introduces you to an installation that explores the notion that our virtual identity could be constantly under threat of attack by a swarm of 'bugs' trying to feed off the fabric of our virtual being. Thoughtware.TV asks: How will you protect yourself and others from Malicious Mindware trying to impose or corrupt your perception of Reality? To me these technologies could be so disastrous to our identity, that they could border on what I jokingly consider "sinful software" (sinware)...Its in our best interest as transhumans to take future malware seriously as the technologies we wish to implement and enhance ourselves with approach. Feel free to share any resources that have considered the idea. Andr?s, Thoughtware.TV - "..your pool of Transhuman Memes" -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jonkc at att.net Sun Oct 7 20:25:40 2007 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 16:25:40 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> Stefano Vaj Wrote: > Let us say, however, that "some" kind of involvement, at "some" level, > seems much more likely a scenario than the opposite. As there is no rational reason or the smallest particle of evidence to believe in such a thing I can only conclude that you received this information from the Blessed Virgin in a dream, or perhaps it was miraculously spelled out in pepperonis in a pizza that you bought. There is stupid and then there is Mega Stupid, and that particular conspiracy theory is Mega Stupid! And it's not like I'm the champion for the status quo, I defy you to find anyone on this list who has written more or better anti government screeds than me! But as angry as I got I never became completely insane (OK maybe a little but not completely). Yes I understand it feels very good to imagine that your political opponents are capable of such enormous depravity, and yes it really does make one feel wonderfully virtuous by comparison, but such gross self deceptions can never lead to good things, certainly not to good policy. John K Clark From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Sun Oct 7 20:55:42 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 22:55:42 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <580930c20710071355m26b85424h1ddb25cc0a816a55@mail.gmail.com> On 10/7/07, John K Clark wrote: > Stefano Vaj Wrote: > > > Let us say, however, that "some" kind of involvement, at "some" level, > > seems much more likely a scenario than the opposite. > > As there is no rational reason or the smallest particle of evidence to > believe in such a thing I can only conclude that you received this > information from the Blessed Virgin in a dream, or perhaps it was > miraculously spelled out in pepperonis in a pizza that you bought. Why, I say that "some" involvement (the degree, level and nature thereof remaining debatable) seems very plausible. You say that you know for a fact, with a 100% certainty, that no such thing, in any sense whatsoever, could ever have happened. Yet, you may well be right, and I may be wrong, and I do not believe that this is the right place to discuss the at least circumstantial evidence that encourages me - as well as a significant chunk of even the American public! - to think that a more than reasonable doubt exists. But were I professing such an unwaivering article of faith as you do, I would certainly not characterise any opposite position as "information received from the Virgin Mary" for fear of ridicule. Certainly, the burden of proof is on the official version, not on those remarking where it may be unsatisfactory or inconsistent or insufficient. On the contrary, the number alternative hypotheses, even when they are mutually exclusive, reinforces the idea that such official version is far from being "the truth, all the truth, nothing but the truth". > There is stupid and then there is Mega Stupid, and that particular > conspiracy theory is Mega Stupid! The problem with conspiracies is that conspiracies sometimes... do exist. What is far-fetched and delusional is the idea of an omnipotence of conspirators. On the contrary, it can probably be said that for any events, 9/11 included, there are forces and powers who are directly or indirectly benefitted and other who are harmed. > Yes I > understand it feels very good to imagine that your political opponents are > capable of such enormous depravity, and yes it really does make one feel > wonderfully virtuous by comparison, A "political opponent" such as bin Laden, for instance? Whose ambiguous statements, by the way, never included the smallest evidence that he was actually informed of the attacks beforehand, or that details that only the organisers might know were available to him? Stefano Vaj From rpwl at lightlink.com Sun Oct 7 21:00:02 2007 From: rpwl at lightlink.com (Richard Loosemore) Date: Sun, 07 Oct 2007 17:00:02 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <470948D2.2090402@lightlink.com> John K Clark wrote: > Stefano Vaj Wrote: > > >> Let us say, however, that "some" kind of involvement, at "some" level, >> seems much more likely a scenario than the opposite. > > As there is no rational reason or the smallest particle of evidence to > believe in such a thing I can only conclude that you received this > information from the Blessed Virgin in a dream, or perhaps it was > miraculously spelled out in pepperonis in a pizza that you bought. If this means what I think it means, the your comment puts you in the same bracket as Samantha: pretending that obvious evidence does not exist is just as irrational as gullibly swallowing non-existent evidence. It is quite easy to assemble a prima-facie case for *passive* involvement: that prima facie case simply involves the deliberate avoidance of all efforts to counter a pending terrorist attack, in the hope that the attack would get through and give the administration the excuse it needed for implementing its policies. This is what I assume Stefano meant by "passive involvement". [Stefano: correct me if I am wrong]. There was abundant evidence for that scenario, starting the early position paper written by the Neo-Cons when Bush Senior was in power (after reading their position paper, GHW Bush threw it in the trash in front of a witness and dismissed the authors as lunatics). That position paper basically said that probably the only thing that would allow the proposal to become a reality was the occurrence of a new "Pearl Harbor". Later, of course, there was the extraordinary and mind-boogling go-slow on anti-terrorism activities that started when the present administration first arrived in office, as documented in detail by Richard Clarke and others. The full extent of that go-slow has many components to it, all interlocking into one chilling picture. There does not need to be any suggestion that anyone knew any precise details of the attacks. No conspiracy to do anything at all (and certainly not a conspiracy to blow anything up). And no knowledge of exactly what the attack would be. Just a decision, at some level, that they had to allow the widely expected big attack to get through. The one piece of evidence that counts against this passive involvement scenario is that the administration is so stupid at its highest level that thinking that far ahead is impossible for it. On balance, I think it's fifty-fifty there. If what you were intending, by your remark, John, was to attack some more nefarious meaning of "passive involvement" for which there really is no evidence, then I withdraw paragraph one, above. Richard Loosemore From jrd1415 at gmail.com Sun Oct 7 22:48:57 2007 From: jrd1415 at gmail.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 15:48:57 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <749D1696-EF0E-4011-A8D9-F30417BCB70C@mac.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <749D1696-EF0E-4011-A8D9-F30417BCB70C@mac.com> Message-ID: On 10/6/07, Samantha Atkins wrote: > The highest levels of government... participated in stonewalling a full investigation > for three years and then doing a tame investigation that avoided many issues > and questions that are critical. In this I unreservedly agree. The 9/11 commission report is brazen, transparent, insulting garbage. The resistance to a post-event investigation and the deceitfulness of the eventually coerced report stand as a stark indictment of the entire political class. Going from the 9/11 cover-up to the conclusion that the political elite planned the whole thing, has a certain logical coherence Plus the political elite's proven capacity for evil (lying, stealing, killing) is completely consistent with what would be required of them to plan and execute the entire 9/11 atrocity. Here is the crucial mix that finally tips the balance and persuades otherwise reasonable people to conclude (mistakenly; YMMV) that 9/11 was "an inside job". This, plus a barrage of technical arguments which seem plausible, but only if one lacks the technical sophistication to dispose of them. (Other list members have already done that, so I needn't go into it.) But look to the other side of the argument. The 9/11 report, cover-up that it was, was not about covering up a masterfully planned and executed plot to subvert our republic and establish an empire, but rather a garden variety procedural exercise in domestic political damage control. The elite needed to cover up the glaring fact that the Bushcabal had at best, been asleep at the switch, at worst, abandoned its post. (LIke Bush in the Texas Air National Guard, off somewhere, partying.) But for me, there is the one factor above all others that weighs against a "9/11 inside job": the issue of competence. The Bushcabal hasn't any. Not in the real world. Not in the world outside their imagination. They couldn't have pulled off 9/11 as an inside job if they wanted to. This is the gang that can't, shoot straight. These are people who have their heads up their backsides and think it's nighttime. Fueled by their ambition and blinded by the darkness that comes with believing you're smarter than everyone else, they have launched themselves beyond the surly bonds of reality. And how is that? They have but one area of competence. They are the Guinness Book of World Records champeen liars. And that's saying something, because lying is a very mainstream activity with many a skilled practitioner. Getting to the top of that dung heap is no small accomplishment. But the mastery of serial dishonesty has exacted its toll: a stark disconnect from reality. Believing your own echo chamber, narcissistic, arrogant hogwash propels you past the boundaries of reality. Beyond which there be dragons,...the dragons of incompetence. -- Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Sun Oct 7 23:29:29 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 01:29:29 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <470948D2.2090402@lightlink.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <470948D2.2090402@lightlink.com> Message-ID: <580930c20710071629l2c2b48cdn70625c06f0436723@mail.gmail.com> On 10/7/07, Richard Loosemore wrote: > > > It is quite easy to assemble a prima-facie case for *passive* > involvement: that prima facie case simply involves the deliberate > avoidance of all efforts to counter a pending terrorist attack, in the > hope that the attack would get through and give the administration the > excuse it needed for implementing its policies. This is what I assume Stefano meant by "passive involvement". [Stefano: > correct me if I am wrong]. Correct. Of course, it may go from pure inertia to some forms of "facilitating", and there again it may involve different levels of people and different degrees of knowledge. The one piece of evidence that counts against this passive involvement > scenario is that the administration is so stupid at its highest level > that thinking that far ahead is impossible for it. > Sure. But "inside" simply means American, and need not refer to the administration - that is, ultimately the President - as such. Some theories even suggest that Bush and his immediate staff were to an extent the not-too-reluctant "victims" of forces and groups who were afterwards to see their weight and power significantly enhanced. Not that this alternative possibility definitely excludes the possibility you are taking into consideration. Stefano Vaj -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Sun Oct 7 23:49:20 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 01:49:20 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <749D1696-EF0E-4011-A8D9-F30417BCB70C@mac.com> Message-ID: <580930c20710071649j1489bf68q5c457a6fea3ef224@mail.gmail.com> On 10/8/07, Jeff Davis wrote: > > The 9/11 report, cover-up > that it was, was not about covering up a masterfully planned and > executed plot to subvert our republic and establish an empire, but > rather a garden variety procedural exercise in domestic political > damage control. The elite needed to cover up the glaring fact that > the Bushcabal had at best, been asleep at the switch, at worst, > abandoned its post. (LIke Bush in the Texas Air National Guard, off > somewhere, partying.) > I do not see this idea as too inconsistent with that of an "inside job". To get back to transhumanism, let us say that wanting a divorce I manufacture a Frankenstein monster, let him free in the garden and leave the door of my bride's bedroom open. I may have "forget" it open, for sure I did not organise her murder, but let us say that were I or not aware in advance of the details of what was going to happen it cannot be exactly claim that I am really surprised by, and/or entirely innocent of, the developments. What is exactly the border line? The fact that some federal agent or other, as opposed to purely independent players, were informed in advance of the date? Of the target? Of the techique? Or the fact that a written order signed by the President of the United States was signed or not, indicating the model of plane to be used, and the buildings to attack? Or was not a king of England who once expressed his wishes to be freed by an inconvenient presence by some unspecified occurrence? The chain of command works best not when micromanaging, ? la Nixon, but simply conveying the idea that "what shold be done, should be done", maintaining flexibility and deniability all the way. Stefano Vaj -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jnh at vt11.net Mon Oct 8 00:11:40 2007 From: jnh at vt11.net (Jordan Hazen) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 20:11:40 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <580930c20710071629l2c2b48cdn70625c06f0436723@mail.gmail.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <470948D2.2090402@lightlink.com> <580930c20710071629l2c2b48cdn70625c06f0436723@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <20071008001140.GO1016@vt11.net> On 10/7/07, Richard Loosemore wrote: > > The one piece of evidence that counts against this passive > > involvement scenario is that the administration is so stupid at > > its highest level that thinking that far ahead is impossible for > > it. On Mon, Oct 08, 2007 at 01:29:29AM +0200, Stefano Vaj wrote: > Sure. But "inside" simply means American, and need not refer to the > administration - that is, ultimately the President - as such. Some > theories even suggest that Bush and his immediate staff were to an > extent the not-too-reluctant "victims" of forces and groups who were > afterwards to see their weight and power significantly enhanced. Not > that this alternative possibility definitely excludes the > possibility you are taking into consideration. Have you read Chapter 9 of Tarpley's book, regarding the coded "Angel is Next" message to Air Force One? Although this line of argument involves some speculation, it does fit well with Bush's otherwise very unusual behavior on the day of the attacks. > Stefano Vaj -- Jordan. From kanzure at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 01:17:30 2007 From: kanzure at gmail.com (Bryan Bishop) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 20:17:30 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: Re: BCI lit (was Re: Michael's question) Message-ID: <200710072017.30564.kanzure@gmail.com> Extropians: I posted this over to [wta-talk] and figure it's close enough to be of importance to forward. Any thoughts? .. or anybody already with implants on the list? - Bryan ---------- Forwarded Message ---------- Subject: Re: BCI lit (was Re: Michael's question) Date: Sunday 07 October 2007 20:14 From: Bryan Bishop To: World Transhumanist Association Discussion List Got through some of the papers and typed out some quick notes, found some more and threw them into the directory. So there's new content there. The research is really interesting. One of my favorites is the 5 MB/sec bidirectional optical (infrared) brain-machine interface based on the Utah microelectrode array (10-by-10). There's also Irazoqui's 2003 neurotransceiver based on RF data/power transception into the telencephalon. Kevin Warwick and his wife appear at least once. Experimenters have worked with mice, guinnea pigs, zebra finches, monkeys, and even sharks. I hope this helps facilitate more tech-related discussion on the list. I am tempted to announce my desire to try to attain my own implant, but it's too soon and I do not have any outlines of what I'd have to do to meet up with the right people to make the surgery happen or to make sure my circuits are going to function. - Bryan (who has just picked up "The Singularity is Near" for the first time) On Friday 05 October 2007 17:40, Bryan Bishop wrote: > Also: I have collected some files on BCIs. > http://heybryan.org/docs/neuro/ > > This weekend I will be doing some writeups and reviews ------------------------------------------------------- From natasha at natasha.cc Sun Oct 7 23:16:59 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sun, 07 Oct 2007 18:16:59 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Take Off List (Re: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <749D1696-EF0E-4011-A8D9-F30417BCB70C@mac.com> Message-ID: <200710072317.l97NH10e028113@ms-smtp-03.texas.rr.com> Is there anyone beside Max and me who would like to see this thread be taken off list? Thanks, Natasha Natasha Vita-More PhD Candidate, Planetary Collegium -University of Plymouth - Faculty of Technology, School of Computing, Communications and Electronics, Centre for Advanced Inquiry in the Interactive Arts If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lcorbin at rawbw.com Mon Oct 8 01:25:31 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 18:25:31 -0700 Subject: [ExI] What is meant here by "fascism"? References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Stephano writes > On 10/6/07, Lee Corbin wrote: > > > But what exactly is the meaning of "fascism" here? > > I have myself insisted on the idea that the word "fascism" (as > "christian", "libertarian", "communist", etc.) should not be employed > as some kind of categorical, metaphysical anathema... Evidently the folks using the term on this list deny that it's as you say "categorical metaphysical anathema", but yet they still haven't answered some very basic questions about JUST WHAT THE DEVIL THEY MEAN. I have asked questions like Is Cuba a fascist country? Is Fidel Castro a fascist? and all I get back are claims that there are certain *American* "fascists" who'd "not blink at taking U.S. citizens out into international waters and torturing them, blowing up buildings, or anything else their superiors "suggested" was in the best interests of the Country...". Which leads me to wonder whether people who'd act in such highhanded ways for Cuba, or for Mexico, or for the former U.S.S.R. would properly be called fascists by the people here making great hay with the term. The silence on these questions leads me to conjecture that "fascist" means to them, such the example above might suggest, someone who is an American and who would do these extreme things. Analogously, a "fascist country" would be either (a) America, or (b) an ally of America that denied its citizens certain rights. But in all cases, so I'm surmizing, it simply cannot be the case that a progressive country like Cuba or North Korea is fascist according to their usage. But surely someone who uses the term will answer the above questions and the ones like them in my original post. > but rather restricted to what self-defined fascists have > themselves identified as their historical identity. Now, *that* would be sensible indeed, but would lack political and partisan propaganda utility, I suspect. > For instance, strictly speaking, many Italian fascist intellectuals > doubted in the thirties that the Third Reich itself could be > considered as a "true" fascist regime. > > To wonder whether Montezuma or Ramses or Torquemada or Louis XIV or > Breznev, or for that matter Bush, are "fascists" in some sense is just > bad rethorics, since there are obvious cultural gaps that make the > comparison moot, whatever blame their regimes may deserve. I agree. Lee From lcorbin at rawbw.com Mon Oct 8 01:38:31 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 18:38:31 -0700 Subject: [ExI] New Wendy's Add? References: <4707FE19.1010903@comcast.net> <470807A1.7090307@pobox.com> Message-ID: <025301c8094c$14e055f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Brent wrote > Anyway, funerals are always hard for me. How many of you have the same > problem? Yes, but funerals are hard for almost everyone. Still, many people believe that it's necessary to go anyway. In very early times, it was necessary so that the deceased would have a better time of it on the other side. Now it's a tie between "wanting to show respect" and "getting closure with vis a vis the person's death". So I force myself to go to funerals when I think that very few people will be attending, *and* that my presence will be of some aid to the friends and relatives. I've stopped going if I believe many people will be there, and I've stopped going in the cases where no one cares much about my presence. The wife of our dearly beloved boss was quite upset at me for missing, but I simply didn't have a good reason to go: our boss had hundreds of friends and relatives who did. Lee From andres at thoughtware.tv Mon Oct 8 02:03:59 2007 From: andres at thoughtware.tv (Andres Colon) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 22:03:59 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Thoughtware.TV news: First artificial life form created Message-ID: DNA researcher Craig Venter "has built a synthetic chromosome out of laboratory chemicals and is poised to announce the creation of the first new artificial life form on Earth." The new species is made from an artificial chromosome constructed by a team of 20 leading scientists led by Nobel laureate Hamilton Smith. The chromosome is "381 genes long and contains 580,000 base pairs of genetic code." While this is a Bio-conservative's post on this topic, I figure everyone here will want to read this: http://crunchgear.com/2007/10/06/head-for-the-hills-first-new-artificial-life-form-created/ Related news: http://news.google.com/?ned=us&ncl=1121772484&hl=en&topic=t Andr?s, Thoughtware.TV - "...artificial, but sexy" -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Mon Oct 8 02:04:17 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 19:04:17 -0700 Subject: [ExI] What is meant here by "fascism"? In-Reply-To: <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: Lee; Since you quoted partially from my post, I'll take the bait and say that I think Wikipedia (as usual) does an adequate job of explaining what is meant by Fascism (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fascism ):"Fascism is an authoritarian political ideology (generally tied to a mass movement) that considers individual and other societal interests subordinate to the needs of the state." If you're trying to infer from my post that I only consider America or Americans to be fascist, that would be totally incorrect. In fact I would say that only a small number of Americans would have such statist, authoritarian, anti-individualist leanings... The list of Fascist countries would probably be very long. James Clement -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Lee Corbin Sent: Sunday, October 07, 2007 6:26 PM To: ExI chat list Subject: Re: [ExI] What is meant here by "fascism"? Stephano writes > On 10/6/07, Lee Corbin wrote: > > > But what exactly is the meaning of "fascism" here? > > I have myself insisted on the idea that the word "fascism" (as > "christian", "libertarian", "communist", etc.) should not be employed > as some kind of categorical, metaphysical anathema... Evidently the folks using the term on this list deny that it's as you say "categorical metaphysical anathema", but yet they still haven't answered some very basic questions about JUST WHAT THE DEVIL THEY MEAN. I have asked questions like Is Cuba a fascist country? Is Fidel Castro a fascist? and all I get back are claims that there are certain *American* "fascists" who'd "not blink at taking U.S. citizens out into international waters and torturing them, blowing up buildings, or anything else their superiors "suggested" was in the best interests of the Country...". Which leads me to wonder whether people who'd act in such highhanded ways for Cuba, or for Mexico, or for the former U.S.S.R. would properly be called fascists by the people here making great hay with the term. The silence on these questions leads me to conjecture that "fascist" means to them, such the example above might suggest, someone who is an American and who would do these extreme things. Analogously, a "fascist country" would be either (a) America, or (b) an ally of America that denied its citizens certain rights. But in all cases, so I'm surmizing, it simply cannot be the case that a progressive country like Cuba or North Korea is fascist according to their usage. But surely someone who uses the term will answer the above questions and the ones like them in my original post. > but rather restricted to what self-defined fascists have > themselves identified as their historical identity. Now, *that* would be sensible indeed, but would lack political and partisan propaganda utility, I suspect. > For instance, strictly speaking, many Italian fascist intellectuals > doubted in the thirties that the Third Reich itself could be > considered as a "true" fascist regime. > > To wonder whether Montezuma or Ramses or Torquemada or Louis XIV or > Breznev, or for that matter Bush, are "fascists" in some sense is just > bad rethorics, since there are obvious cultural gaps that make the > comparison moot, whatever blame their regimes may deserve. I agree. Lee _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From lcorbin at rawbw.com Mon Oct 8 04:10:19 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 21:10:19 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com><007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <470948D2.2090402@lightlink.com> Message-ID: <027601c80961$cd248720$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Richard writes > There does not need to be any suggestion that anyone knew any precise > details of the attacks. No conspiracy to do anything at all (and > certainly not a conspiracy to blow anything up). And no knowledge of > exactly what the attack would be. Just a decision, at some level, that > they had to allow the widely expected big attack to get through. A decision, at some level, "to allow the widely expected big attack to get through" would leave traces, no? Again, a conspiracy must be immune to defectors and to people wanting to write a lot of books and become celebrities like John Dean. Now, how many people would have to be involved in that conspiracy? (I honestly ask for estimates.) Do you suppose that the 9-11 pictures, TV shots of people jumping from buildings, and so on, never cause these people remorse or second thoughts? All in all, conspiracies require a lot of evidence to be believed in. Lee From lcorbin at rawbw.com Mon Oct 8 04:29:51 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 21:29:51 -0700 Subject: [ExI] What is meant here by "fascism"? References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> James writes > ...I think Wikipedia (as usual) does an adequate job of explaining what is meant > by Fascism (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fascism ):"Fascism is an > authoritarian political ideology (generally tied to a mass movement) that > considers individual and other societal interests subordinate to the needs > of the state." Fine. > If you're trying to infer from my post that I only consider America or > Americans to be fascist, that would be totally incorrect. Glad to hear it. Then you'll join me, I imagine, in noting how strange it is that the word is never used except as a pejorative against certain patriotic (or hyper-patriotic) Americans and their allies. How strange. Especially since the people in question *never* use the term to describe themselves. Are people on this list really so vocabulary-challenged that for a pejorative they need to reach back to Mussolini's Italy? As the wikipedia article says: Fascist as epithet The word fascist has become a slur throughout the political spectrum following World War II (WWII), and it has been uncommon for political groups to call themselves fascist. In contemporary political discourse, adherents of some political ideologies tend to associate fascism with their enemies, or define it as the opposite of their own views. In the strict sense of the word, Fascism covers movements before WWII, and later movements are described as Neo-fascist. Some have argued that the term fascist has become hopelessly vague over the years and that it has become little more than a pejorative epithet. George Orwell wrote in 1944: "...the word 'Fascism' is almost entirely meaningless. In conversation, of course, it is used even more wildly than in print. I have heard it applied to farmers, shopkeepers, Social Credit, corporal punishment, fox-hunting, bull-fighting, the 1922 Committee, the 1941 Committee, Kipling, Gandhi, Chiang Kai-Shek, homosexuality, Priestley's broadcasts, Youth Hostels, astrology, women, dogs and I do not know what else... almost any English person would accept 'bully' as a synonym for 'Fascist'.[19] Ha! 1944! Orwell would probably be astonished that things had not progressed any during the 63 years since then! Let's face it. It's a code word spoken by liberals/leftists/progressives/ collectivists/... (those labels keep evolving at a high rate, but I do think it appropriate to call people by the descriptions they themselves provide). The code word is used as a signal of solidarity among them to each other---and, equally, as a signal to their adversaries. It's really worse than the , because at least the is often used among the very targeted people themselves! > In fact I would say that only a small number of Americans would > have such statist, authoritarian, anti-individualist leanings... The list > of Fascist countries would probably be very long. Yes, and I do appreciate your calm rationality on the issue. Yet I don't expect to ever hear you use the term to describe any people whatsoever in those countries. And when, next, do you suppose that the leaders of some horribly authoritarian little African state are next going to be described as "fascist"? Lee From jonkc at att.net Mon Oct 8 05:46:23 2007 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 01:46:23 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer><580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com><007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071355m26b85424h1ddb25cc0a816a55@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <005201c8096e$9cacc500$88054e0c@MyComputer> Richard Loosemore > that prima facie case simply involves the deliberate avoidance of all > efforts to counter a pending terrorist attack After ANY intelligence failure, from Peal Harbor to the Kennedy assassination to 911 it is always easy to find things that should have been followed up but were not; but unfortunately it is not nearly as easy to do BEFORE the event. The problem is never too little information but too much, the problem is knowing what is worth more investigation and what is not. Afterwards it's easy to know but not before. Stefano Vaj > You say that you know for a fact, with a 100% certainty, that no such > thing, in any sense whatsoever, could ever have happened. Certainty is a state of mind and I said not one word about it. What I did say is that Samantha's statement is as close to being objectively STUPID as a mere human being is likely to ever encounter. I stand by that. > the burden of proof is on the official version So you do not have to prove I was part of this "plot", I have to prove I was not. Can you say witch hunt? > I do not believe that this is the right place to discuss the at least > circumstantial evidence that encourages me - as well as a significant > chunk of even the American public! You are quite correct, the Extropian list is not the place to discuss your crappy "evidence" and for the same reason we don't discuss a picture of Jesus found in a pizza, it's crappy. As for the American public, yes a significant chunk no doubt believes in some sort of screwy 911 conspiracy. They believe in a pizza Jesus too. > to think that a more than reasonable doubt exists. More than a reasonable doubt? So you think the evidence is good enough right now to put American citizens in gas chambers for this phantom conspiracy. This is what I meant when I said it's not only idiotic it's vicious. Don't embarrass yourself people! John K Clark From lcorbin at rawbw.com Mon Oct 8 06:27:25 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 23:27:25 -0700 Subject: [ExI] The Importance of Clear Writing (was Explaining Unusual Beliefs) References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><7.0.1.0.2.20071004165222.0223f908@satx.rr.com><1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net><01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677><01e001c8081f$448626f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677><020a01c80862$864dc500$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <028b01c80974$ba033d90$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Jef writes > > I think that you're saying something like "there can be too much > > theory with too little adaptation to realities"? (My feeble attempt to conjecture just what you were getting at.) > I don't think that's implied by what I wrote. Okay. > I described a fairly common example of na?ve lack of accounting, not > just for surrounding culture [your claim], but for a complex, dynamic, > social-technological structure constructed via eons of adaptation. Sorry, Jef, but this is just unclear. Accounting of what? Accounting by whom? Which structure? Yes, I'll grant that the structure you probably mean is *society*, and that the actor you probably mean is *libertarianism*, but my last conjecture as to what you meant failed utterly. Suggestion: every time you unload such an abstract sentence, immediately follow it up with an ambiguity-decreaser, another sentence that says essentially the same thing only using different words. (And a good trick is to throw in, in this follow-up sentence, just a tad of new information, so that the redundancy isn't exact and isn't obvious.) All readers make conjectures of what is meant every single time that they read, (a tenet of evolutionary epistemology). And no prose itself perfectly carries meaning, especially to all readers. So anything that enables the reader to parse back the tree of possible conjectures greatly simplifies his task, and makes the writing lucid. > That pure radiant ideal of maximizing personal freedom in "politics" > is akin to the elegant and ineffective ideal of Solomonoff induction > in machine intelligence. Each is like a hair on a pimple on the hiney > of a much higher-dimensional beast, and the nature of that beast, > however arbitrary, imposes computationally irreducible constraints on > the possibility-space of that hair. Would-be extenders tend to ignore > the beast. Perhaps others enjoy parsing such paragraphs, but I sure don't. "Each [ideal?] is like a hair on a pimple on the hiney of a much higher-dimensional beast [whose] nature, however arbitrary, imposes computationally irreducible constraints on the possibility-space of that hair..." I trust that you are not having a big joke here, and are not just trying out a talk-bot. At least I *think* that I can read more meaning into paragraphs like that than any talk-bot can today generate. But is it really necessary to try to *communicate* that way? Why can't you try writing without all the potential ambiguity? I hope that you're not afraid of appearing dumb just because your writing is transparent. Lee From amara at amara.com Mon Oct 8 06:05:55 2007 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 08:05:55 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Using quantum mechanics to sell Ricoh Printers: Message-ID: Here is a remarkable ad, using quantum mechanics to sell Ricoh Printers: Ricoh Printers: Intelligent Model http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=saWCyZupO4U The words, came directly from Scott Aaronson's lectures, without his knowing (or permission), causing some discussion: Australian actresses are plagiarizing my quantum mechanics lecture to sell printers http://scottaaronson.com/blog/?p=277 ... It goes to show... you never know where your words might appear! Amara From eugen at leitl.org Mon Oct 8 07:18:26 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 09:18:26 +0200 Subject: [ExI] META: quoting Message-ID: <20071008071826.GC4005@leitl.org> Folks, I've had enough. Anyone who'll be caught top-posting, and/or not trimming down cited material will go on moderation. And please kill that 9/11 thread as well. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From pharos at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 07:27:51 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 08:27:51 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Take Off List (Re: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: <200710072317.l97NH10e028113@ms-smtp-03.texas.rr.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <749D1696-EF0E-4011-A8D9-F30417BCB70C@mac.com> <200710072317.l97NH10e028113@ms-smtp-03.texas.rr.com> Message-ID: On 10/8/07, Natasha Vita-More wrote: > > Is there anyone beside Max and me who would like to see this thread be > taken off list? > I agree. I don't mind a bit of conspiracy theory nonsense, but this one has gone on long enough. There are thousands of conspiracy sites out there - It's like an internet virus, spreading like the plague. But I don't understand how all these people and sites enjoy knowing about this 'top-secret' information. How can it be 'top-secret' when Google brings up thousands upon thousands of pages of gossip about them? Ref: Michael Shermer book 'Why People Believe Weird Things : Pseudoscience, Superstition & Other Confusions of Our Time'. Shermer's conclusion is very simple. People believe weird things because of wishful thinking and continue to believe in those things despite contrary evidence because they are unwilling to alter preconceived notions. The reasons for the unwillingness to shift paradigms are many. People don't want to admit they are wrong. They sometimes want something comfortable rather than something true (even if they play a game of pretend by calling their fantasies and wishes true). Racism and group think also play major roles. These weird theories are propagated through 'feedback loops' which Shermer explains by using the witch hunts as an example. Numerous other feedback loops have been created recently. The media (especially now with information being so easily exchanged on a national and global basis) has been a major player in starting and defusing these loops. Note: The latest edition includes a new chapter on why *smart* people believe weird things. Video talk here, if you can't get the book BillK From femmechakra at yahoo.ca Mon Oct 8 08:52:14 2007 From: femmechakra at yahoo.ca (Anna Taylor) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 04:52:14 -0400 (EDT) Subject: [ExI] Dumbest? In-Reply-To: <005201c8096e$9cacc500$88054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <622515.40604.qm@web30408.mail.mud.yahoo.com> You are really rude John K Clark, you should look into taking diplomacy classes. Samantha, you fascinate me, I assume you have a really great reason why you think 9/11 was pre-organized but as so far as I've read, there is no proof. As to what John was refering to regarding esp people was that in the effect that there in no (scientific) proof available. That doesn't mean that your conspiracy idea has no claims. It just means that there is no claim proof. Hope I got the basic idea. Anna:) --- John K Clark wrote: > Richard Loosemore > > > that prima facie case simply involves the > deliberate avoidance of all > > efforts to counter a pending terrorist attack > > After ANY intelligence failure, from Peal Harbor to > the Kennedy > assassination to 911 it is always easy to find > things that should have been > followed up but were not; but unfortunately it is > not nearly as easy to do > BEFORE the event. The problem is never too little > information but too > much, the problem is knowing what is worth more > investigation and what > is not. Afterwards it's easy to know but not before. > > Stefano Vaj > > > You say that you know for a fact, with a 100% > certainty, that no such > > thing, in any sense whatsoever, could ever have > happened. > > Certainty is a state of mind and I said not one word > about it. What I did > say is that Samantha's statement is as close to > being objectively STUPID as > a mere human being is likely to ever encounter. I > stand by that. > > > the burden of proof is on the official version > > So you do not have to prove I was part of this > "plot", > I have to prove I was not. Can you say witch hunt? > > > I do not believe that this is the right place to > discuss the at least > > circumstantial evidence that encourages me - as > well as a significant > > chunk of even the American public! > > You are quite correct, the Extropian list is not the > place to discuss your > crappy "evidence" and for the same reason we don't > discuss a picture of > Jesus found in a pizza, it's crappy. As for the > American public, yes a > significant chunk no doubt believes in some sort of > screwy 911 conspiracy. > They believe in a pizza Jesus too. > > > to think that a more than reasonable doubt exists. > > More than a reasonable doubt? So you think the > evidence is good enough right > now to put American citizens in gas chambers for > this phantom conspiracy. > This is what I meant when I said it's not only > idiotic it's vicious. > > Don't embarrass yourself people! > > John K Clark > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > Get news delivered with the All new Yahoo! Mail. Enjoy RSS feeds right on your Mail page. Start today at http://mrd.mail.yahoo.com/try_beta?.intl=ca From mbb386 at main.nc.us Mon Oct 8 10:57:34 2007 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 06:57:34 -0400 (EDT) Subject: [ExI] META: quoting In-Reply-To: <20071008071826.GC4005@leitl.org> References: <20071008071826.GC4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <57811.72.236.102.103.1191841054.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> > > Folks, I've had enough. Anyone who'll be caught top-posting, > and/or not trimming down cited material will go on moderation. > This is fine. I've made similar requests as mod on other lists. > And please kill that 9/11 thread as well. Dang, Eugen. I find that thread interesting. I'm saving some posts, reading them over. I'm trying to understand/enlarge/refine my concept of fascism. I learned things there about buildings and building codes. And about *exceptions* to building codes for certain pseudo-government bodies. So now you say we must kill it? This is the second thread recently that I've found interesting that you've asked to be killed. Maybe I'm on the wrong list. But this is the most interesting list I'm on. :( Regards, MB From spike66 at att.net Wed Oct 3 05:52:36 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 2 Oct 2007 22:52:36 -0700 Subject: [ExI] new email @ Message-ID: <200710030652.l936qdNR002799@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Greetings friends! My old email @ was spike66 at comcast.net and the new email address is spike66 at att.net greg spike jones -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From randall at randallsquared.com Mon Oct 8 11:44:09 2007 From: randall at randallsquared.com (Randall Randall) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 07:44:09 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Doubts and gas chambers In-Reply-To: <005201c8096e$9cacc500$88054e0c@MyComputer> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer><580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com><007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071355m26b85424h1ddb25cc0a816a55@mail.gmail.com> <005201c8096e$9cacc500$88054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: On Oct 8, 2007, at 1:46 AM, John K Clark wrote: > Richard Loosemore >> to think that a more than reasonable doubt exists. > > More than a reasonable doubt? So you think the evidence is good > enough right > now to put American citizens in gas chambers for this phantom > conspiracy. I think you misunderstand that phrase. As usually used, "beyond a reasonable doubt" means *less* than a reasonable doubt, not more than. -- Randall Randall "If I can do it in Alabama, then I'm fairly certain you can get away with it anywhere." -- Dresden Codak From pharos at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 12:55:08 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 13:55:08 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Doubts and gas chambers In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071355m26b85424h1ddb25cc0a816a55@mail.gmail.com> <005201c8096e$9cacc500$88054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: On 10/8/07, Randall Randall wrote: > I think you misunderstand that phrase. As usually > used, "beyond a reasonable doubt" means *less* than > a reasonable doubt, not more than. > No. I think you've got that wrong. "beyond a reasonable doubt" means that you're going to jail. See: The standard of proof is the level of proof required in a legal action to discharge the burden of proof, ie convince the court that a given proposition is true. The degree of proof required depends on the circumstances of the proposition. Typically, most countries have two levels of proof: the balance of probabilities (BOP), called the preponderance of evidence in the U.S., (which is the lowest level, generally thought to be greater than 50%, although numeric approximations are controversial) and beyond a reasonable doubt (which is the highest level, but defies numeric approximation). In addition to these, the U.S. introduced a third standard called clear and convincing evidence, (which is the medium level of proof). In colloquial language you can also say "his guilt was established beyond a shadow of a doubt" when he is caught dead to rights. I think the problem is that English is not Stefano's first language. Stefano wrote (rather confusingly) "to discuss the circumstantial evidence that encourages me to think that a more than reasonable doubt exists". What he could have said was "to discuss the circumstantial evidence that encourages me to think that it is more than reasonable to doubt the official version". BillK From hemm at openlink.com.br Mon Oct 8 13:24:15 2007 From: hemm at openlink.com.br (Henrique Moraes Machado (oplnk)) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 10:24:15 -0300 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> Message-ID: <1b5c01c809ae$86518cb0$fe00a8c0@cpd01> Important theme. However I strongly disagree with Mr Harris in one thing. Basically he's saying to atheists in general to get in the closet. I don't think we should lie or hide anything. We should state clearly our position. To prove my point, let me suggest an exercise. Suppose you're a gay activist fighting for the rights of homossexuals. Now take Sam's text and replace the words "atheist", "humanist", "secularist" etc by "gay", "homosexual", etc. How would you feel about his speech now? Let's NOT get in the closet. ----- Original Message ----- From: Sergio M.L. Tarrero To: World Transhumanist Association Discussion List ; extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org Sent: Tuesday, October 02, 2007 4:52 PM Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article A transcript of Sam Harris' recent (controversial) speech at the Atheist Alliance Conference is now available on the Washington Post / Newsweekwebsite. From stathisp at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 13:33:07 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 23:33:07 +1000 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: On 08/10/2007, John K Clark wrote: > There is stupid and then there is Mega Stupid, and that particular > conspiracy theory is Mega Stupid! And it's not like I'm the champion for the > status quo, I defy you to find anyone on this list who has written more or > better anti government screeds than me! But as angry as I got I never > became completely insane (OK maybe a little but not completely). I put a September 11 conspiracy theorist on antipsychotics once, and he changed his mind. He stopped the antipsychotics, and the conspiracy came back. Then he went back on the antipsychotics and the conspiracy went away again. Presented as an extra piece of empirical data to do with as you please. -- Stathis Papaioannou From msd001 at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 14:01:28 2007 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 10:01:28 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> On 10/8/07, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > I put a September 11 conspiracy theorist on antipsychotics once, and > he changed his mind. He stopped the antipsychotics, and the conspiracy > came back. Then he went back on the antipsychotics and the conspiracy > went away again. Presented as an extra piece of empirical data to do > with as you please. There's a scientific approach. What if I told you I put an unrepentant atheist on antipsychotics and they found god, then they stopped taking drugs to chemically alter their thinking and went back to being an atheist. That's proof, right? Proof that this argument makes no sense. From pgptag at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 14:14:29 2007 From: pgptag at gmail.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 16:14:29 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Transhumanism at CINUM 2007 - Digital Civilizations Message-ID: <470a3c520710080714pba63a10ye51060968819f97c@mail.gmail.com> My report: http://transumanar.com/index.php/site/cinum_2007_digital_civilizations/ From randall at randallsquared.com Mon Oct 8 14:20:14 2007 From: randall at randallsquared.com (Randall Randall) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 10:20:14 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Doubts and gas chambers In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071355m26b85424h1ddb25cc0a816a55@mail.gmail.com> <005201c8096e$9cacc500$88054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: On Oct 8, 2007, at 8:55 AM, BillK wrote: > On 10/8/07, Randall Randall wrote: >> I think you misunderstand that phrase. As usually >> used, "beyond a reasonable doubt" means *less* than >> a reasonable doubt, not more than. > > No. I think you've got that wrong. Actually, I have that quite right (if there is any reasonable doubt, then there's no going to jail...). However, on rereading, it's not clear to me that that was what was meant. > "beyond a reasonable doubt" means that you're going to jail. > See: Right, but the official story is what's "on trial" in the email that Clark quoted. After rereading it, it seems to me that it's not clear whether he meant, as I thought, that the official story was not proven beyond reasonable doubt, or meant, as you and Clark seem to be saying he meant, that the official story was *disproven* beyond a reasonable doubt. These are very different assertions, but I see upon further reflection how you could believe he meant the latter. We need a clarification. :) -- Randall Randall "[K]nock the whole copyright system down! Pitchforks and Torches available to my right!" -- johnnyeponymous From hkhenson at rogers.com Mon Oct 8 15:17:50 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Mon, 08 Oct 2007 08:17:50 -0700 Subject: [ExI] What is meant here by "fascism"? In-Reply-To: <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkhenson at rogers.com Mon Oct 8 15:38:01 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Mon, 08 Oct 2007 08:38:01 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Take Off List (Re: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <749D1696-EF0E-4011-A8D9-F30417BCB70C@mac.com> <200710072317.l97NH10e028113@ms-smtp-03.texas.rr.com> Message-ID: <1191857809_57867@S4.cableone.net> At 12:27 AM 10/8/2007, BillK wrote: snip >Ref: Michael Shermer book > >'Why People Believe Weird Things : >Pseudoscience, Superstition & Other Confusions of Our Time'. > >Shermer's conclusion is very simple. People believe weird things >because of wishful thinking and continue to believe in those things >despite contrary evidence because they are unwilling to alter >preconceived notions. I know Shermer slightly. I should bug him because when "Why people . . . " is written down, any explanation should go back to the EEA if you want to put a scientific, that is EP level, understanding on it. >The reasons for the unwillingness to shift >paradigms are many. People don't want to admit they are wrong. Why? We understand status in social primates. Is admitting being wrong worse for your social status? >They >sometimes want something comfortable rather than something true (even >if they play a game of pretend by calling their fantasies and wishes >true). At least one kind of irrational behavior comes from the interests of a person and their genes diverging. Is this a feature of these mental mechanisms being partly activated? (Like there is a partial activation of the capture-bonding mechanisms in BDSM.) >Racism and group think also play major roles. These weird >theories are propagated through 'feedback loops' which Shermer >explains by using the witch hunts as an example. Numerous other >feedback loops have been created recently. The media (especially now >with information being so easily exchanged on a national and global >basis) has been a major player in starting and defusing these loops. > >Note: The latest edition includes a new chapter on why *smart* people >believe weird things. Being smart doesn't protect you from being a drug addict either. Keith Henson >Video talk here, if you can't get the book > From sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com Mon Oct 8 16:06:34 2007 From: sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com (Sergio M.L. Tarrero) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 18:06:34 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article In-Reply-To: <1b5c01c809ae$86518cb0$fe00a8c0@cpd01> References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1b5c01c809ae$86518cb0$fe00a8c0@cpd01> Message-ID: Henrique, I think the idea of not using the word "atheist" is mainly strategic, since it is proving very hard to convince many people who hate the term "atheist" (who have built a mighty perceptual filter against the term) to seriously pay attention to your arguments, much less become "atheists" themselves, if they associate your person with a (yuck!) lowly ignorant unenglightened "atheist" ("I know God is there because I've felt him... he doesn't, and he'll never understand... he's an ATHEIST, for god's sakes!!!", they tend to think). Because of the stigma associated with the word, they take "atheists" themselves as a crazy cult, (while, however, it is no problem to *use* the word presuasively, like Harris does, in order to help a believer understand the point that "we're all atheists with respect to Thor; or to any of today's religions' gods, from the perspective of another religion"). So, what he's proposing is not using any specific word to label yourself in this regard, while you fight silly ideas where you find them, simply appealing to words like "reason", "logic", "evidence" or "intellectual honesty". If you need a label, maybe you can use the term "rationalist" instead (or others you may prefer), which is harder for anyone to argue against or immediately feel horrified about. So, I don't think you would be "in the closet" for avoiding the word "atheist" (and you will still not feel insulted if someone calls you an "atheist", obviously), since you can still argue that you don't believe in any personal or even creator god. But you can explain that the word doesn't make much sense, it's a pretty useless term - the burden of proof (for god's alleged existence) is more on your opponent and vis outrageous, lofty, miraculous claims, and they have no "proof" for any of this nonsense (except for the grand unified theory of intelligent design, of course... "faith" -irrational blind belief- in ancient books of religious fiction is not proof of anything and, as much as they hate to hear it, they know it is so). I don't go around with a label for being a "non-baseball-fan" since, for me, "baseball doesn't exist" (I no longer live in the US). If your claim is that X doesn't exist (in our case god) you really shouldn't need to label yourself an a-Xer. Even if something exists you don't need to label yourself as a non-something. While you can be an astrologer, the term non-astrologer sounds silly. Now I wonder why the term "non-believer" sounds so natural, so "everyday"... it should sound just as weird. Also, you can say someone is being irrational (about something), but you don't define someone as "an irrational". Or as an "acook". If you're a gay activist (in most places - everyone knows there's no gays in Iran by now...) you can just argue for human rights, and equal rights for all men and women (gay or otherwise). And I guess the main reason some gay people stay "in the closet" (something more uncommon every day in free societies, you must admit) is mainly due to social pressure/stigma (our stupid backwards societies/religions corner these people, quite literally, into a closet). A small but very significant percentage of the population is most obviously inclined to not be "straight", by nature. So, there is a difference. It doesn't make much sense for a homosexual man to argue against the label, I guess, since the definition of homosexual is, pretty much, a man who likes men, romantically/sexually (and if one feels that way, one should of course fight for his basic rights to express this and live his life as he pleases, and a free -albeit backwards- society will, eventually, have to accept it). But the definition of "atheist" as a label for a person is based on the proposed existence or claim of a "god" or "gods". If your claim is that there are no god or gods to be found anywhere, no clear evidence whatsoever for them, then you're a rationalist, or a realist, or whatever. After all, you have a right to insist that you don't like being defined by a word with theological implications!! (since religion is, after all, "the root of all evil") ;-) -- Sergio M.L. Tarrero On Oct 8, 2007, at 3:24 PM, Henrique Moraes Machado (oplnk) wrote: > Important theme. However I strongly disagree with Mr Harris in one > thing. > Basically he's saying to atheists in general to get in the closet. > I don't > think we should lie or hide anything. We should state clearly our > position. > To prove my point, let me suggest an exercise. Suppose you're a gay > activist > fighting for the rights of homossexuals. Now take Sam's text and > replace the > words "atheist", "humanist", "secularist" etc by "gay", > "homosexual", etc. > How would you feel about his speech now? > Let's NOT get in the closet. > > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: Sergio M.L. Tarrero > To: World Transhumanist Association Discussion List ; > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > Sent: Tuesday, October 02, 2007 4:52 PM > Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article > > A transcript of Sam Harris' recent (controversial) speech at the > Atheist > Alliance Conference is now available on the Washington Post / > Newsweekwebsite. > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From jef at jefallbright.net Mon Oct 8 16:09:58 2007 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 09:09:58 -0700 Subject: [ExI] The Importance of Clear Writing Message-ID: On 10/7/07, Lee Corbin wrote: > But is it really necessary to try to *communicate* that way? > Why can't you try writing without all the potential ambiguity? > I hope that you're not afraid of appearing dumb just because > your writing is transparent. No, I'm not concerned that I'd appear stupid if my writing were more concrete and simpler to unpack. My writing on these forums tends to be abstract and metaphorical to a fault. The reason is simple: I'm trying to convey big pictures, but with very limited bandwidth. By bandwidth, I mean the bandwidth of the medium of email discussion lists, constrained by the communication channel as well as human attention, and my own personal bottleneck due to most of my available resources going to my business, my studies, and my relationship with Lizbeth. But I persist in monitoring and occasionally engaging in this and other forums; the payoff being some very rewarding offlist contacts and relationships; the payment being the Pareto problem of dealing with the 80% (or more) that is crap. If you'd like to continue this thread (never mind the aborted thread about the failings of lower-dimensional models of social decision-making) I'd be interested in your thoughts as to the possibility that you habitually approach these discussions as if they were chess games, thus your apparent tactics of disruption, isolation, misdirection and so on. - Jef From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 16:29:43 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 18:29:43 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Take Off List (Re: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: <200710072317.l97NH10e028113@ms-smtp-03.texas.rr.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <749D1696-EF0E-4011-A8D9-F30417BCB70C@mac.com> <200710072317.l97NH10e028113@ms-smtp-03.texas.rr.com> Message-ID: <580930c20710080929p37b45533m87d78119b1ceb41e@mail.gmail.com> On 10/8/07, Natasha Vita-More wrote: > > Is there anyone beside Max and me who would like to see this thread be > taken off list? > I do. I do not even remember what the connection with H+ was, but for sure it was entirely lost many msgs ago... Stefano Vaj -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jef at jefallbright.net Mon Oct 8 16:52:52 2007 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 09:52:52 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: On 10/8/07, Mike Dougherty wrote: > On 10/8/07, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > > I put a September 11 conspiracy theorist on antipsychotics once, and > > he changed his mind. He stopped the antipsychotics, and the conspiracy > > came back. Then he went back on the antipsychotics and the conspiracy > > went away again. Presented as an extra piece of empirical data to do > > with as you please. > > There's a scientific approach. What if I told you I put an > unrepentant atheist on antipsychotics and they found god, then they > stopped taking drugs to chemically alter their thinking and went back > to being an atheist. That's proof, right? > > Proof that this argument makes no sense. Mike, is your argument based on "anti-psychotic medication" simply as "a mind-altering substance", or are you considering the mass of evidence associated with anti-psychotic medications showing its pro-rational effects, or [other]? Probability mass must sum to unity. - Jef From pjmanney at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 17:05:22 2007 From: pjmanney at gmail.com (PJ Manney) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 10:05:22 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Take Off List (Re: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps) In-Reply-To: <200710072317.l97NH10e028113@ms-smtp-03.texas.rr.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <749D1696-EF0E-4011-A8D9-F30417BCB70C@mac.com> <200710072317.l97NH10e028113@ms-smtp-03.texas.rr.com> Message-ID: <29666bf30710081005o543572d4rcb06dbb1d2e857fa@mail.gmail.com> On 10/7/07, Natasha Vita-More wrote: > Is there anyone beside Max and me who would like to see this thread be taken > off list? Did that make us early responders "premature anti-fascists"**? ;-) If so, yes, I'm done. PJ ** the label used by the US government in the 1940s and 50s for the Americans who fought in the Spanish Civil War with the Abraham Lincoln Brigade to fight fascism. Distrusted for their premature beliefs and their links to communism, they were sidelined during WWII and persecuted during McCarthyism. From sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com Mon Oct 8 17:16:59 2007 From: sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com (Sergio M.L. Tarrero) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 19:16:59 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article In-Reply-To: <1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net> References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> <1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: On Oct 5, 2007, at 12:42 AM, hkhenson wrote: > At 01:56 AM 10/4/2007, BillK wrote: >> On 10/3/07, hkhenson wrote: >> >>> Of course even understanding the problem may not lead to a >>> solution. And >>> it may be that the explanation is too bitter a pill. >>> >>> If anyone has a way to get Sam Harris' attention, please let me >>> know. >>> >> He is making the case that all religions are not equal and the Muslim >> religion is much more likely to produce jihadist murderers than other >> religions. >> So there is also a specific Muslim problem to deal with. > > I would disagree with him there. *All* religions can inspire > warriors to jump up and down and yell "kill, kill." That's the > evolved *function* of religions and if one has drifted away from its > function, it can jolly well swim back as needed. Remember the > crusades! I don't think you'll find many jains jumping up and down yelling "kill, kill". I do think the specific set of memes found in a given religion, and how seriously (and literally) hosts take these ideas and the strategies the religion proposes to enhance its survival or growth, to make a difference. You may find jains ganging up to defend themselves, maybe. In the case of islam, though, there is a level of unprovoked belligerance and constant need to expand the "house of allah" (until the whole world is converted or destroyed) that you simply don't find in other creeds. I would also venture that a religion (and certainly some of its offshoots) may lose its evolutionary function until it's unrecognizable (and even unrecoverable). -- Sergio M.L. Tarrero -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jef at jefallbright.net Mon Oct 8 17:24:59 2007 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 10:24:59 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Transhumanism at CINUM 2007 - Digital Civilizations In-Reply-To: <470a3c520710080714pba63a10ye51060968819f97c@mail.gmail.com> References: <470a3c520710080714pba63a10ye51060968819f97c@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: Giulio, I just want to say thanks for this and your other reports. I frequently disagree with aspects of your interpretations and formulations but I always appreciate your efforts and intentions toward a better future. - Jef [Meta: This is an example of appropriate top-quoting, in my opinion.] ---------------------------- On 10/8/07, Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > My report: > > http://transumanar.com/index.php/site/cinum_2007_digital_civilizations/ From msd001 at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 18:46:57 2007 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 14:46:57 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <62c14240710081146i43595e96vaf0c46f5910ff5d9@mail.gmail.com> On 10/8/07, Jef Allbright wrote: > Mike, is your argument based on "anti-psychotic medication" simply as > "a mind-altering substance", or are you considering the mass of > evidence associated with anti-psychotic medications showing its > pro-rational effects, or [other]? > > Probability mass must sum to unity. Actually, my argument is based on a knee-jerk reaction due to Stathis' factoid presented as 'evidence.' To answer your question: both. I doubt medication was given without any reinforcement suggestion (which would cloud the issue of whether it is the medication that produces more rational thinking, or the medication lowers one's ability to ignore the suggestion to 'normative' thinking.) If we have a difference of opinion and I buy you a two martini lunch while I make my case, there is a good chance you will be more "reasonable" or "rational" because you start to see things my way. That does not make a case for alcohol being a 'pro-rational' drug. From hkhenson at rogers.com Mon Oct 8 19:07:23 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Mon, 08 Oct 2007 12:07:23 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com > References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <1191870372_65157@S4.cableone.net> At 07:01 AM 10/8/2007, you wrote: >On 10/8/07, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > > I put a September 11 conspiracy theorist on antipsychotics once, and > > he changed his mind. He stopped the antipsychotics, and the conspiracy > > came back. Then he went back on the antipsychotics and the conspiracy > > went away again. Presented as an extra piece of empirical data to do > > with as you please. Interesting observation which fits in with evolved behavior switch concepts. >There's a scientific approach. What if I told you I put an >unrepentant atheist on antipsychotics and they found god, then they >stopped taking drugs to chemically alter their thinking and went back >to being an atheist. I would find that remarkable. Perhaps not impossible, but if it were shown to get a common phenomena it would take a lot of thinking to come up with a way to account for it. >That's proof, right? It wasn't presented as proof, just an interesting observation. It would be most interesting to do a study about the effect of antipsychotics on irrational beliefs. snip Keith Henson From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 19:10:49 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 21:10:49 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <20071008001140.GO1016@vt11.net> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <470948D2.2090402@lightlink.com> <580930c20710071629l2c2b48cdn70625c06f0436723@mail.gmail.com> <20071008001140.GO1016@vt11.net> Message-ID: <580930c20710081210v52478fefm685719b159761c53@mail.gmail.com> On 10/8/07, Jordan Hazen wrote: > Have you read Chapter 9 of Tarpley's book, regarding the coded "Angel > is Next" message to Air Force One? Although this line of argument > involves some speculation, it does fit well with Bush's otherwise very > unusual behavior on the day of the attacks. No, but it sounds interesting, and I will. Stefano Vaj From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 19:13:40 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 21:13:40 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <580930c20710081213t5c3d5266ydfe95b4e1437d53b@mail.gmail.com> On 10/8/07, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > > On 08/10/2007, John K Clark wrote: > > > There is stupid and then there is Mega Stupid, and that particular > > conspiracy theory is Mega Stupid! And it's not like I'm the champion for > the > > status quo, I defy you to find anyone on this list who has written more > or > > better anti government screeds than me! But as angry as I got I never > > became completely insane (OK maybe a little but not completely). > > I put a September 11 conspiracy theorist on antipsychotics once, and > he changed his mind. > "Conspiracy theorist" being defined as an "Al-Qaeda conspiracy theorist" or a "Bush administration conspiracy theorist"? Or does it work with both? :-) Stefano Vaj -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 19:27:49 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 21:27:49 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Doubts and gas chambers In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071355m26b85424h1ddb25cc0a816a55@mail.gmail.com> <005201c8096e$9cacc500$88054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <580930c20710081227y2a2d1d2cxb62703b5b023844c@mail.gmail.com> To put it very simply: a reasonable doubt is sufficient to consider that one did not make one's case. If the doubt is more than reasonable, i.e., it is not only reasonable but plausible or even compelling, this is of course also true. If any possible doubt is less than reasonable, it does not count, because the case has been proved beyond the threshold of "reasonable". Accordingly, if the official version for 9/11 bears the burden of proof, the existence of one or more reasonable doubts, even inconsistent amongst them, makes it unproved. On 10/8/07, Randall Randall wrote: > On Oct 8, 2007, at 1:46 AM, John K Clark wrote: > > Richard Loosemore > >> to think that a more than reasonable doubt exists. > > > > More than a reasonable doubt? So you think the evidence is good > > enough right > > now to put American citizens in gas chambers for this phantom > > conspiracy. > > I think you misunderstand that phrase. As usually > used, "beyond a reasonable doubt" means *less* than > a reasonable doubt, not more than. > > -- > Randall Randall > "If I can do it in Alabama, then I'm fairly certain you > can get away with it anywhere." -- Dresden Codak > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > From pharos at gmail.com Mon Oct 8 19:53:09 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 20:53:09 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <1191870372_65157@S4.cableone.net> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> <1191870372_65157@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: On 10/8/07, hkhenson wrote: > It wasn't presented as proof, just an interesting observation. It > would be most interesting to do a study about the effect of > antipsychotics on irrational beliefs. > Done already. I am not a medical professional, but Stathis can probably correct where necessary. :) The use of anti psychotic drugs has been widely studied and tested. They are drugs - they have to be tested. But the range of mental illness is very wide. Schizophrenia is one of the most disabling forms of mental illness. But *non-bizarre* irrational beliefs on their own, without any of the other symptoms of schizophrenia, come under the heading of Delusional Disorder. Quote: Delusional disorder refers to a condition associated with one or more non-bizarre delusions of thinking?such as expressing beliefs that occur in real life such as being followed, being poisoned, being loved or deceived, or having an illness, provided no other symptoms of schizophrenia are exhibited. Delusions may seem believable at face value, and patients may appear normal as long as an outsider does not touch upon their delusional themes. ---------------- And, yes, anti psychotic drugs are often very effective in treatment. But there are problems with long-term use of anti psychotics, so treatment can get complicated. BillK From nvitamore at austin.rr.com Mon Oct 8 20:04:57 2007 From: nvitamore at austin.rr.com (nvitamore at austin.rr.com) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 16:04:57 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Conspiracy Theory Posts - Take off List Message-ID: <380-22007101820457839@M2W031.mail2web.com> Please take your discussion of conspiracy theories off this list unless they pertain directly to transhumanism and its philosophy of Extropy. Thank you, Natasha Vita-More -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web LIVE ? Free email based on Microsoft? Exchange technology - http://link.mail2web.com/LIVE From sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com Mon Oct 8 20:28:54 2007 From: sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com (Sergio M.L. Tarrero) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 22:28:54 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article In-Reply-To: <1b5c01c809ae$86518cb0$fe00a8c0@cpd01> References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1b5c01c809ae$86518cb0$fe00a8c0@cpd01> Message-ID: On Oct 8, 2007, at 3:24 PM, Henrique Moraes Machado (oplnk) wrote: > Important theme. However I strongly disagree with Mr Harris in one > thing. > Basically he's saying to atheists in general to get in the closet. > I don't > think we should lie or hide anything. We should state clearly our > position. > To prove my point, let me suggest an exercise. Suppose you're a gay > activist > fighting for the rights of homossexuals. Now take Sam's text and > replace the > words "atheist", "humanist", "secularist" etc by "gay", > "homosexual", etc. > How would you feel about his speech now? > Let's NOT get in the closet. Appropriate as a follow-up to this issue, Sam Harris has posted an additional explanation to his fellow atheists, some of whom have been very critical of his talk, for his rationale... http://www.samharris.org/site/full_text/response-to-my-fellow-atheists/ -- Sergio M.L. Tarrero -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkhenson at rogers.com Mon Oct 8 20:57:25 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Mon, 08 Oct 2007 13:57:25 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article In-Reply-To: References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1191423226_42513@S3.cableone.net> <1191537673_34341@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: <1191876975_66391@S1.cableone.net> An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From lcorbin at rawbw.com Tue Oct 9 02:31:15 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 19:31:15 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Doubts and gas chambers References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer><580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com><007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer><580930c20710071355m26b85424h1ddb25cc0a816a55@mail.gmail.com><005201c8096e$9cacc500$88054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <02b601c80a1c$d2631510$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> On Oct 8, 2007, at 1:46 AM, John K Clark wrote: > Richard Loosemore >> to think that a more than reasonable doubt exists. > > More than a reasonable doubt? So you think the evidence > is good enough right now to put American citizens in gas > chambers for this phantom conspiracy. It sounds to me that you're jumping pretty far here. No one is suggesting that anyone be persecuted without a fair trial. Far more than wanting anyone to be executed for any supposed role in 9-11, our vociferous friends here would prefer an investigation. Many investigations. Investigations day and night. Investigations 24/7. Because investigations---whether they lead anywhere or not is completely immaterial---provide the best propaganda and cast the greatest aspersions. Ultimately it's not about punishing anyone at all, it's about political advantage, and trying to make political adversaries look bad. Lee From desertpaths2003 at yahoo.com Tue Oct 9 02:19:13 2007 From: desertpaths2003 at yahoo.com (John) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 19:19:13 -0700 (PDT) Subject: [ExI] New Wendy's Add? In-Reply-To: <200710062222.l96MMawo028329@ms-smtp-05.texas.rr.com> Message-ID: <70962.62202.qm@web35609.mail.mud.yahoo.com> At 04:28 PM 10/6/2007, Brent wrote: My entire life, I've always enjoyed the lemmings all jumping off a cliff type ideas in our culture. The masses following popular behavior toward fatal consequences?! The most recent great example I've seen is Wendy's new advertisement which can bee seen here: http://usatoday.feedroom.com/index.jsp?fr_story=aa6b272e936328725aefe9438047471199722917 My feeling that everyone is jumping in the grave, when something so much more could be done, is surely the reason for enjoying all these so much. >>>>>>>>>>>> I just finished watching the fantastic Ken Burns documentary, "The War" and it deeply saddens me to consider the statistic that on an average day the United States loses to death roughly 1,000 of it's World War II veterans. I think all that life experience needs to be saved for a world which rapidly forgets its past and lessons learned the hard way. John Grigg : ( P.S. If only society could offer the scenario in John Scalzi's novel, "Old Man's War." Attending the latest Alcor Conference in Scottsdale had me thinking along those lines. Michael West is something else! --------------------------------- Fussy? Opinionated? Impossible to please? Perfect. Join Yahoo!'s user panel and lay it on us. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike66 at att.net Tue Oct 9 02:50:08 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 19:50:08 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> Message-ID: <200710090316.l993Gobx002696@andromeda.ziaspace.com> > > On Sat, 2007-10-06 at 10:50 -0700, Samantha Atkins wrote: ... > > > 4) normal hijacking handling policy on the militaries part was totally > > suspended on that day which requires complicity from the top; This one is easily testable. All you need to do is find any evidence that the normal military procedures were suspended on that day. Has anyone in the military suggested they received such an order? > > 5) The Pentagon is designed to withstand most non-nuclear attacks > > including heavy anti-aircraft batteries that will fire on any non > > military-id craft aggressively approaching it. Yet well after we > > knew we were under attack it was allowed to be hit by a hijacked > > craft. This also required a stand down order;... Samantha Same as above. Are we being asked to believe that every commander who received such orders is now covering it? The US military is having extraordinary difficulty keeping anything secret in these times of steadily increasing transparency. If there were any such orders it would be easy to find out about them. Are you theorizing that the entire military command structure is complicit? spike From lcorbin at rawbw.com Tue Oct 9 03:39:48 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 20:39:48 -0700 Subject: [ExI] What is meant here by "fascism"? References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Keith writes > At 09:29 PM 10/7/2007, Lee wrote: > > > James writes > > > If you're trying to infer from my post that I only consider America or > > > Americans to be fascist, that would be totally incorrect. > > > > Glad to hear it. Then you'll join me, I imagine, in noting how > > strange it is that the word is never used except as a pejorative > > against certain patriotic (or hyper-patriotic) Americans and > > their allies. How strange. Especially since the people in question > > *never* use the term to describe themselves. > > Of course not. But by the above definition it applies to groups that > are facing war or something similar. About 20 years ago I noted: > > "Some memes (for example Nazism) are observed to thrive > during periods of economic chaos just as diseases flourish in > an undernourished population. Thus it is not much of a surprise > that Nazi-related beliefs emerged in the Western farm states > during the recent hard times." If we do use a "base line" of democracy and democratic institutions in the West---which is not unreasonable--- then the Weimar Republic and potentially today the U.S. and other Western nations are logically potentially subject to the same mechanism. In other words, yes, it could happen here too. But I'm a little perplexed about the part of "western farm states". Clearly a reference to the United States, it was apparent that Neo-Nazi activity was stronger in those states than in, say, New York? I don't have any memory of such geographical relatedness. Can you elaborate? (Perhaps I've misunderstood you.) > snip (Fascist as epithet) > > > Let's face it. It's a code word spoken by liberals/leftists/progressives/ > > collectivists/... (those labels keep evolving at a high rate, but I do > > think it appropriate to call people by the descriptions they themselves > > provide). The code word is used as a signal of solidarity among > > them to each other---and, equally, as a signal to their adversaries. > > It's really worse than the , because at least the > > is often used among the very targeted people themselves! > > Solidarity is the correct way to put it. Ha! That's ironic! We might then slightly more abstractly consider all those people who are very prone to use coded political-speak (i.e. all those people whose political allegiance you can tell from their vocabulary) as displaying fascist tendencies! Logically, I suppose, it fits. Signs of such group solidarity would go hand in hand with elevating the goals of the group, and so would clear the way towards making sacrifices for the group, up to and including some people in a democracy persecuting others and depriving them of their ostensible rights. I am reminded of those who on the one hand defend the first amendment and on the other are eager to shout down all opposing voices, drive them off of radio stations, and even shut down newpapers (as FDR did). > The "bundle" of wood bound up made the point that you could > break the individual stick but it was much harder to break a > number of bound up stick or a group of aligned people than > single sticks or people one at a time. > http://www.etymonline.com/index.php?term=fascist > > 1921, from It. partito nazionale fascista, the anti-communist political > movement organized 1919 under Benito Mussolini... The following quote is extremely important, I think, in trying to delineate what "Fascism" means to many people on this list: > "A form of political behavior marked by obsessive preoccupation > with community decline, humiliation or victimhood and by > compensatory cults of unity, energy and purity, in which a > mass-based party of committed.... So far, this would apply to the left as well as the right, but now it gets interesting: > nationalist militants, working in uneasy but effective collaboration > with traditional elites, A key factor I'm beginning to think! Castro can do any number of things to any number of people, but he's not a fascist simply because he was never aligned with the traditional elites! > abandons democratic liberties and pursues with redemptive violence > and without ethical or legal restraints goals of internal cleansing and > external expansion." [Robert O. Paxton, "The Anatomy of Fascism," 2004] Thanks for the quote. > Which is just what you would expect from a stone age tribe about to > go to war because times are looking bleak. Well, yes, but I would say not *exclusively* because times are looking bleak. An attitude marked by "obsessive preoccupation with community decline, humiliation or victimhood" would apply to black militants and reactionary conservatives. But notice! My conjecture is strengthened. The black militants would never be called fascists---and it seems to me that the main reason is that they are not in collusion with traditional elites! So the epithet "fascism" really revolves around an ancient left/right split ever since the French Revolution. Any lamentable activity (again from the standard of Western democracy and Western principles) that is allied with older elites can be called "fascist". The name-calling (again, no current group embraces the label) has the practical effect of making lamentable activies by leftists less visible. Lee From lcorbin at rawbw.com Tue Oct 9 03:50:26 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 20:50:26 -0700 Subject: [ExI] The Importance of Clear Writing References: Message-ID: <02e101c80a28$06cbac80$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Jef writes >> But is it really necessary to try to *communicate* that way? >> Why can't you try writing without all the potential ambiguity? >> I hope that you're not afraid of appearing dumb just because >> your writing is transparent. > > No, I'm not concerned that I'd appear stupid if my writing were more > concrete and simpler to unpack. Good. > My writing on these forums tends to be abstract and metaphorical to a > fault. The reason is simple: I'm trying to convey big pictures, but > with very limited bandwidth. Oh, that's fine. But I suppose that you really are trying to communicate ideas, and not simply engage in a literary art form. If so, then striving for utter transparency and lucidity will be important to you. > If you'd like to continue this thread (never mind the aborted thread > about the failings of lower-dimensional models of social > decision-making) I'd be interested in your thoughts as to the > possibility that you habitually approach these discussions as if they > were chess games, thus your apparent tactics of disruption, isolation, > misdirection and so on. I started this thread to be about *communication*. No, I don't want to get into an analysis of your psychoanalysis of my "apparent tactics". I consider all those charges, above, to be silly and completely wrong- headed. Of all the crap---to happen to have learned that I play chess and so therefore am always trying to play games with ideas with the only goal of *winning*---it's cheap and idiotic, and no I won't discuss it with you. For your own exercise, why don't you carefully read the last email I wrote (just a few minutes ago) and see if you can determine what kind of game-playing I'm engaged in there? "Disruption, isolation, misdirection and so on." Why don't you add larceny, lying, and consorting with the devil to your list? Go ahead, post more insults, I really don't care. You only expose your own foolish tactics of personal assassination to the public. Lee From pjmanney at gmail.com Tue Oct 9 04:31:41 2007 From: pjmanney at gmail.com (PJ Manney) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 21:31:41 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Shall we all take a deep breath and have a giggle? Message-ID: <29666bf30710082131m515b7585j306a9d21ca289a11@mail.gmail.com> I've noticed that there have been some especially heated discussions lately on these lists and thought the following might be a useful intermission, since it appeals to both sides of the fence for their own reasons: Jonathan Coulton's "The Future Soon": http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhwKseS__kE Gotta love a guy who can write songs about H+ geeks, evil geniuses, zombies and self-loathing giant squids. Enjoy! PJ From thespike at satx.rr.com Tue Oct 9 04:33:34 2007 From: thespike at satx.rr.com (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 08 Oct 2007 23:33:34 -0500 Subject: [ExI] UTF8ISO.DLL In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <1191629519_37834@S4.cableone.net> <01bb01c807d0$25e5ac60$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <01e001c8081f$448626f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <020a01c80862$864dc500$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <7.0.1.0.2.20071008232949.021d29e8@satx.rr.com> At 10:39 AM 10/7/2007 -0700, Jef wrote: >It turns out that each person experiencing a problem is using Eudora. >See the following URI for an explanation and a possible fix for >Eudora's non-compliant rendering of standard utf-8 text. > >The symptoms were apparently triggered by my use of the i diaeresis in >"naive" rather than the "naive" spelling of "naive". > > This might affect others as well, so I'll send it to the list: Nearly a year ago I copied UTF8ISO.DLL, from that site, to my Eudora Plugins folder. Nothing changed. When I look now at the list of Message Plug-ins Settings, under the Special dropdown menu, I find it listed but with a red cross through a UTF8 icon. Perhaps it's been automatically disabled. Wtf? Damien Broderick From spike66 at att.net Tue Oct 9 04:35:44 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2007 21:35:44 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Killed thread: 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <200710090316.l993Gobx002696@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: <200710090502.l9952RtU010040@andromeda.ziaspace.com> > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Spike > Subject: Re: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps >... Are you theorizing that the entire military command > structure is complicit? > > spike Apologies, I was away for the weekend, didn't see the request for killthread until after I had read past the post to which I replied. Shows to go ya, when one has been away, one must read everything before posting anything, ja? {8-] spike From hkhenson at rogers.com Tue Oct 9 06:12:45 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Mon, 08 Oct 2007 23:12:45 -0700 Subject: [ExI] [Bulk] Re: What is meant here by "fascism"? In-Reply-To: <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> At 08:39 PM 10/8/2007, Lee wrote: >Keith writes snip > > Of course not. But by the above definition it applies to groups that > > are facing war or something similar. About 20 years ago I noted: > > > > "Some memes (for example Nazism) are observed to thrive > > during periods of economic chaos just as diseases flourish in > > an undernourished population. Thus it is not much of a surprise > > that Nazi-related beliefs emerged in the Western farm states > > during the recent hard times." > >If we do use a "base line" of democracy and democratic >institutions in the West---which is not unreasonable--- >then the Weimar Republic and potentially today the U.S. >and other Western nations are logically potentially subject >to the same mechanism. In other words, yes, it could >happen here too. Exactly. And the bleak future, xenophobic meme, war pattern would be the same. The constant element is humans carrying stone age psychological baggage. >But I'm a little perplexed about the part of "western farm >states". Clearly a reference to the United States, it was >apparent that Neo-Nazi activity was stronger in those >states than in, say, New York? I don't have any memory >of such geographical relatedness. Can you elaborate? >(Perhaps I've misunderstood you.) No, back in the late 1970 there was a pattern. Perhaps because the economic ups and downs hit the farm states worse than the coast cities. In any case, those areas were the strongholds of Neo-Nazi activity. snip > > Which is just what you would expect from a stone age tribe about to > > go to war because times are looking bleak. > >Well, yes, but I would say not *exclusively* because times are looking >bleak. An attitude marked by "obsessive preoccupation with >community decline, humiliation or victimhood" would apply to >black militants and reactionary conservatives. Sure, but "community decline, humiliation or victimhood" are typically what happens to a group that sees bleak future conditions or is under attack. >But notice! My conjecture is strengthened. The black militants would >never be called fascists---and it seems to me that the main reason is >that they are not in collusion with traditional elites! Considering fascism as a typical response to bleak times a-coming, I would say that "collusion with traditional elites" is probably optional in the run up to war or related. >So the epithet "fascism" really revolves around an ancient left/right >split ever since the French Revolution. Any lamentable activity >(again from the standard of Western democracy and Western >principles) that is allied with older elites can be called "fascist". >The name-calling (again, no current group embraces the label) >has the practical effect of making lamentable activies by leftists >less visible. It really doesn't matter which side of the political spectrum wins out. Come the war you are just as dead. Keith From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Tue Oct 9 07:26:38 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 00:26:38 -0700 Subject: [ExI] EP In-Reply-To: <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: Keith write: > The constant element is humans carrying stone age > psychological baggage. If the brain can be looked upon as a combination of interconnected computers running many programs and subroutines, most of which are inherited from our reptile, mammal, and primate ancestors, what can we do to override or reprogram these? I haven't been able to keep up with psychpharmacology; what's going on to alter the brain chemistry of violent criminals, terrorists, etc.? Thanks, James Clement From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Tue Oct 9 09:45:00 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 11:45:00 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article In-Reply-To: References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1b5c01c809ae$86518cb0$fe00a8c0@cpd01> Message-ID: <580930c20710090245y1cc598a7m46b7805f1811be4a@mail.gmail.com> On 10/8/07, Sergio M.L. Tarrero wrote: > I guess, since the definition of homosexual is, > pretty much, a man who likes men, romantically/sexually. No. Actually, it means one that is sexually oriented towards individuals of the same sex (here "homos" is Greek for "same", as in "homogeneity" not Latin "homo, hominis" for "man"). One needs not be a man, nor a human being for that matter. Nor it is necessary that a homosexual actually like, romantically or otherwise, individuals of the same sex - exactly as a perfectly heterosexual man can be a mysoginist. > If your claim is > that there are no god or gods to be found anywhere, no clear evidence > whatsoever for them, then you're a rationalist, or a realist, or > whatever. Dawkins and Dennett suggest the word "bright" to define their brand of (non-)religious approach. Stefano Vaj From stathisp at gmail.com Tue Oct 9 10:13:41 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 20:13:41 +1000 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: On 09/10/2007, Mike Dougherty wrote: > On 10/8/07, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > > I put a September 11 conspiracy theorist on antipsychotics once, and > > he changed his mind. He stopped the antipsychotics, and the conspiracy > > came back. Then he went back on the antipsychotics and the conspiracy > > went away again. Presented as an extra piece of empirical data to do > > with as you please. > > There's a scientific approach. What if I told you I put an > unrepentant atheist on antipsychotics and they found god, then they > stopped taking drugs to chemically alter their thinking and went back > to being an atheist. That's proof, right? Antipsychotics as a test of delusional thinking have a moderately high sensitivity (low false negative rate) but a very high specificity (low false positive rate). If you give them to a well person, all that happens is that they get side-effects. If you give them to a psychotic patient, if anything there will be a reverse placebo effect: delusional patients by definition honestly believe what they claim to believe, and get annoyed at the suggestion that their thinking might be symptomatic of an illness that might be altered by medication, insisting despite any evidence to the contrary that medication has had no effect or has made them worse. The only way you might get a false positive is if someone was pretending to be delusional and then pretended to get better on medication and relapse off medication, for example a criminal trying for a more lenient sentence. > Proof that this argument makes no sense. Fair enough, since even a paranoid person could turn out to be right (mental illness is about cognitive processes, and only incidentally about truth out there in the world). But I thought I'd report that delusions about 9-11 conspiracies are now out there in the psychiatric population. -- Stathis Papaioannou From stathisp at gmail.com Tue Oct 9 10:25:44 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 20:25:44 +1000 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <62c14240710081146i43595e96vaf0c46f5910ff5d9@mail.gmail.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> <62c14240710081146i43595e96vaf0c46f5910ff5d9@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: On 09/10/2007, Mike Dougherty wrote: > To answer your question: both. I doubt medication was given without > any reinforcement suggestion (which would cloud the issue of whether > it is the medication that produces more rational thinking, or the > medication lowers one's ability to ignore the suggestion to > 'normative' thinking.) > > If we have a difference of opinion and I buy you a two martini lunch > while I make my case, there is a good chance you will be more > "reasonable" or "rational" because you start to see things my way. > That does not make a case for alcohol being a 'pro-rational' drug. Antipsychotics are not like alcohol. You have to take them consistently for usually a period of weeks to months before there is any antipsychotic effect, while side-effects manifest immediately. Suggestibility has nothing to do with it, as the patients may be literally violently opposed to any suggestion that they may be experiencing delusions, or any attempt to give them medication. Even after their delusions go away they frequently insist that they just changed their mind - that they were never deluded and the medication had no role to play. This (and dislike of side-effects) is why they keep stopping their medications and relapsing. -- Stathis Papaioannou From alex at ramonsky.com Tue Oct 9 10:18:30 2007 From: alex at ramonsky.com (Alex Ramonsky) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 11:18:30 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Malicious Mindware for Reality-Enhancers, Uploads and visual AIs? References: Message-ID: <470B5576.6020501@ramonsky.com> ..."Malicious Mindware trying to impose or corrupt your perception of Reality?" ...Well there's this light/sound machine, called television... : ) Best, AR ********* Andres Colon wrote: > Reality-enhancers (meaning transhumans that will heavily implement > Augmented Reality Technology as an enhancement on a daily basis), AI > or Uploads could face threats from malicious mindware. These threats > could range from minor annoyances (as the prototype you'll soon see) > all the way up to some serious threats. > > Video link: Malicious Mindware via Augmented Reality > > > This Thoughtware.TV video introduces you to an installation that > explores the notion that our virtual identity could be constantly > under threat of attack by a swarm of 'bugs' trying to feed off the > fabric of our virtual being. > > Thoughtware.TV asks: How will you protect yourself and others from > Malicious Mindware trying to impose or corrupt your perception of > Reality? > > To me these technologies could be so disastrous to our identity, that > they could border on what I jokingly consider "sinful software" > (sinware)...Its in our best interest as transhumans to take future > malware seriously as the technologies we wish to implement and enhance > ourselves with approach. > > Feel free to share any resources that have considered the idea. > > Andr?s, > Thoughtware.TV - ".. your pool of > Transhuman Memes" > >------------------------------------------------------------------------ > >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From stathisp at gmail.com Tue Oct 9 10:50:09 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 20:50:09 +1000 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <1191870372_65157@S4.cableone.net> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> <1191870372_65157@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: On 09/10/2007, hkhenson wrote: > It wasn't presented as proof, just an interesting observation. It > would be most interesting to do a study about the effect of > antipsychotics on irrational beliefs. Alas, antipsychotics do not work on all irrational beliefs, only irrational beliefs due to a mental illness. You can have irrational beliefs because you're gullible, or because you grew up in a community where everyone holds those beliefs and medication will do nothing at all for you. This is noted all the time in people who are treated for a psychotic illness and incidentally have another belief, which on the face of it is just as irrational as the newly-developed delusion, but which they have held for most of their lives. Occasionally it is difficult to decide if a member of a far-out religious group is psychotic or not since all of them claim to hear God speaking to them and so on; but in these cases, the others might point to the mentally person and declare them to be crazy, or at least possessed by a nastier than usual breed of demon. -- Stathis Papaioannou From sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com Tue Oct 9 11:04:57 2007 From: sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com (Sergio M.L. Tarrero) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 13:04:57 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article In-Reply-To: <580930c20710090245y1cc598a7m46b7805f1811be4a@mail.gmail.com> References: <1101831252530.1101378562372.1738.6.5135501@scheduler> <7D4D7C96-D35F-4260-A991-A128AD1587F0@mac.com> <1b5c01c809ae$86518cb0$fe00a8c0@cpd01> <580930c20710090245y1cc598a7m46b7805f1811be4a@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: On Oct 9, 2007, at 11:45 AM, Stefano Vaj wrote: > On 10/8/07, Sergio M.L. Tarrero wrote: >> I guess, since the definition of homosexual is, >> pretty much, a man who likes men, romantically/sexually. > > No. Actually, it means one that is sexually oriented towards > individuals of the same sex (here "homos" is Greek for "same", as in > "homogeneity" not Latin "homo, hominis" for "man"). One needs not be a > man, nor a human being for that matter. Nor it is necessary that a > homosexual actually like, romantically or otherwise, individuals of > the same sex - exactly as a perfectly heterosexual man can be a > mysoginist. > Absolutely. Of course. My bad. >> If your claim is >> that there are no god or gods to be found anywhere, no clear evidence >> whatsoever for them, then you're a rationalist, or a realist, or >> whatever. > > Dawkins and Dennett suggest the word "bright" to define their brand of > (non-)religious approach. Yes. And maybe "super" for the superstitious, Dennett suggests ('or whatever they wanna call themselves'). This has not been very well received, I don't think it's gonna catch on. > > Stefano Vaj > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat -- Sergio M.L. Tarrero From pharos at gmail.com Tue Oct 9 11:06:55 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 12:06:55 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Today's Dilbert Message-ID: http://www.dilbert.com/comics/dilbert/archive/dilbert-20071009.html Anybody here identify with today's cartoon? Oh, everybody! OK, right on! BillK From stathisp at gmail.com Tue Oct 9 11:09:31 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 21:09:31 +1000 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <580930c20710081213t5c3d5266ydfe95b4e1437d53b@mail.gmail.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710081213t5c3d5266ydfe95b4e1437d53b@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: On 09/10/2007, Stefano Vaj wrote: > > I put a September 11 conspiracy theorist on antipsychotics once, and > > he changed his mind. > > > > "Conspiracy theorist" being defined as an "Al-Qaeda conspiracy theorist" or > a "Bush administration conspiracy theorist"? > > Or does it work with both? :-) He was a Bush administration conspiracy theorist, but I guess it would work with both. The striking thing in this case was that he could, quite reasonably, point out that many people around the world share his beliefs. At this point, there would have been no indication to diagnose a mental illness. However, he became increasingly preoccupied with proving his theory to the point where he was neglecting his work and his family, and eventually started thinking that the Americans might try to kill him because he knew too much. It was at this point that treatment was started, but the treatment had the effect that even the more "normal" beliefs became greatly attenuated, thus proving that they were part of a psychotic illness. The point is, psychotic illnesses screw up your thinking so that you are more likely to arrive at a false belief. A belief that changes with antipsychotic medication is therefore a belief that was arrived at due to a psychotic illness, hence a delusional belief (because antipsychotics make no difference to normal reasoning). But just as a belief arrived at through normal reasoning can be false, so a belief that was arrived at through delusional thinking could turn out to be true. It's just that the delusional belief is statistically less likely to be true. -- Stathis Papaioannou From stathisp at gmail.com Tue Oct 9 11:31:13 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 21:31:13 +1000 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> <1191870372_65157@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: On 09/10/2007, BillK wrote: > But *non-bizarre* irrational beliefs on their own, without any of the > other symptoms of schizophrenia, come under the heading of Delusional > Disorder. > > > > Quote: > Delusional disorder refers to a condition associated with one or more > non-bizarre delusions of thinking?such as expressing beliefs that > occur in real life such as being followed, being poisoned, being loved > or deceived, or having an illness, provided no other symptoms of > schizophrenia are exhibited. > Delusions may seem believable at face value, and patients may appear > normal as long as an outsider does not touch upon their delusional > themes. True, but in practice it is almost always obvious even to a layperson that the delusional belief is delusional. The best single test of a delusion (other than a trial of antipsychotic) is to put yourself in the patient's shoes and ask, Could I believe the same things given his background and experience? The other comment about subtypes of psychotic illnesses is that we don't really have a test which can be used to show that these are pathologically distinct entities. Different patterns are recognised, but they all appear to merge seamlessly at the edges: delusional disorder with paranoid schizophrenia, schizophrenia with schizoaffective disorder, schizoaffective disorder with bipolar disorder. The multiple genes implicated in each subtype overlap, and a family history of one predisposes to all of the others. Moreover, they all respond in much the same way to antipsychotic medication. Thus, it may turn out that there is only one psychotic illness with different symptoms in different cases. > And, yes, anti psychotic drugs are often very effective in treatment. > But there are problems with long-term use of anti psychotics, so > treatment can get complicated. True. -- Stathis Papaioannou From sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com Tue Oct 9 12:12:55 2007 From: sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com (Sergio M.L. Tarrero) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 14:12:55 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: New Article in the LA Times References: <1101838194108.1101378562372.1738.6.5032501@scheduler> Message-ID: Begin forwarded message: > Sam Harris and Salman Rushdie have jointly published an op-ed in > today'sLos Angeles Times in support of Ayaan Hirsi Ali: > > Ayaan Hirsi Ali: abandoned to fanatics -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From natasha at natasha.cc Tue Oct 9 14:22:21 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 09:22:21 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Shall we all take a deep breath and have a giggle? In-Reply-To: <29666bf30710082131m515b7585j306a9d21ca289a11@mail.gmail.co m> References: <29666bf30710082131m515b7585j306a9d21ca289a11@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <200710091422.l99EMO4o013184@ms-smtp-05.texas.rr.com> At 11:31 PM 10/8/2007, PJ Manney wrote: >I've noticed that there have been some especially heated discussions >lately on these lists and thought the following might be a useful >intermission, since it appeals to both sides of the fence for their >own reasons: > >Jonathan Coulton's "The Future Soon": > >http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhwKseS__kE Great one! But I have to say I still love http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EwTZ2xpQwpA to lift my spirits :-) Natasha Vita-More PhD Candidate, Planetary Collegium -University of Plymouth - Faculty of Technology, School of Computing, Communications and Electronics, Centre for Advanced Inquiry in the Interactive Arts If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jef at jefallbright.net Tue Oct 9 14:32:27 2007 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 07:32:27 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Today's Dilbert In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On 10/9/07, BillK wrote: > http://www.dilbert.com/comics/dilbert/archive/dilbert-20071009.html > > Anybody here identify with today's cartoon? > > Oh, everybody! OK, right on! Thanks BillK. While petty primate infighting over issues of status is always ongoing, might the apparent recent surge on this and other H+ related groups be indicative of a decline in focus on external objectives? Is there a sense of direction or progress in the transhumanist/singularitarian/AGI/Futurist/Extropian communities? I think there was... - Jef From hkhenson at rogers.com Tue Oct 9 15:30:50 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 08:30:50 -0700 Subject: [ExI] EP In-Reply-To: References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <1191943779_21698@S1.cableone.net> At 12:26 AM 10/9/2007, James Clement wrote: >Keith write: > > > The constant element is humans carrying stone age > > psychological baggage. > >If the brain can be looked upon as a combination of interconnected computers >running many programs and subroutines, most of which are inherited from our >reptile, mammal, and primate ancestors, what can we do to override or >reprogram these? You should approach the subject "override or reprogram" with *great* caution. Perhaps some of these long evolved psychological mechanisms are useless in the present world, but then again you can't be sure and you certainly can't be sure what the future holds. Take the trait of fighting with great vigor when attacked, or by extension when a group sees that it will be attacked, or by even more of an extension when a group sees that it is attack neighbors or starve next winter. Rather than edit out these traits, I would try to keep them turned off. Long term this means population growth at or below economic growth. For some cultures birth control has worked and for others not. The places where it has not already are or will be problems. >I haven't been able to keep up with psychpharmacology; >what's going on to alter the brain chemistry of violent criminals, >terrorists, etc.? Virtually nothing. The problems are not well understood at the brain chemistry level. If they were drug addiction would be a thing of the past. A scientific understanding will be based on evolutionary psychology, and that depends on evolution. At least in the US, sensible policy that is based on evolution is politically unlikely. I may have more to say about this later. Keith Henson From rpwl at lightlink.com Tue Oct 9 16:23:54 2007 From: rpwl at lightlink.com (Richard Loosemore) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 12:23:54 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Doubts and gas chambers In-Reply-To: <02b601c80a1c$d2631510$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer><580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com><007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer><580930c20710071355m26b85424h1ddb25cc0a816a55@mail.gmail.com><005201c8096e$9cacc500$88054e0c@MyComputer> <02b601c80a1c$d2631510$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <470BAB1A.1020008@lightlink.com> Lee Corbin wrote: > On Oct 8, 2007, at 1:46 AM, John K Clark wrote: > >> Richard Loosemore >>> to think that a more than reasonable doubt exists. >> More than a reasonable doubt? So you think the evidence >> is good enough right now to put American citizens in gas >> chambers for this phantom conspiracy. > > It sounds to me that you're jumping pretty far here. No > one is suggesting that anyone be persecuted without a > fair trial. > > Far more than wanting anyone to be executed for any > supposed role in 9-11, our vociferous friends here would > prefer an investigation. Many investigations. Investigations > day and night. Investigations 24/7. > > Because investigations---whether they lead anywhere or > not is completely immaterial---provide the best propaganda > and cast the greatest aspersions. Ultimately it's not about > punishing anyone at all, it's about political advantage, and > trying to make political adversaries look bad. The above quote is being wrongly attributed to me: John Clark made the initial editing mistake. It was originally said by Stefano Vaj. I do agree with Stefano's point, however. As for your comments: it looks like this thread, with John Clark's enthusiastic assistance, has degenerated into a political mudslinging episode, with no relevance to this list. Richard Loosemore From nvitamore at austin.rr.com Tue Oct 9 17:01:09 2007 From: nvitamore at austin.rr.com (nvitamore at austin.rr.com) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 13:01:09 -0400 Subject: [ExI] EP Message-ID: <380-2200710291719180@M2W032.mail2web.com> At 12:26 AM 10/9/2007, James Clement wrote: >If the brain can be looked upon as a combination of interconnected computers >running many programs and subroutines, most of which are inherited from our >reptile, mammal, and primate ancestors, what can we do to override or >reprogram these? This a topic of great interest to me. The inherited reptilian program is dangerous in many environments. One decidedly noticeable environment is when humans interface with machines, especially automobiles. If you sharpen your focus onto the body language and facial expression of drivers, it is exceedingly apparent that they perform like tightly wound aggressors vying for position, as if the urgency of their need entitles them to make abrupt and savage behavior. Of course it is necessary to have internal and external warning systems but I think that humanity cannot overcome many of our current foibles unless and until we manage the hyperemotional disarray our inheritance and enhance our sensory awareness. I remember back in the late 1960s when Maharishi suggested that if 10% of humanity repeated a "Om" mantra, that there would be a rise in consciousness for all. I feel quite deeply that the consciousness of humanity can only be raised if we engineer our brains. More on this if anyone is interested, but I think my paper "Wisdom through AGI / Neural Macrosensing" says it fairly clearly. Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web.com - Microsoft? Exchange solutions from a leading provider - http://link.mail2web.com/Business/Exchange From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Tue Oct 9 19:01:47 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 12:01:47 -0700 Subject: [ExI] EP In-Reply-To: <380-2200710291719180@M2W032.mail2web.com> References: <380-2200710291719180@M2W032.mail2web.com> Message-ID: Natasha; Howard Bloom wrote an excellent book, titled "The Lucifer Principle: A Scientific Expedition into the Forces of History," in which he describes many of these inherited mental mechanisms. I found his description of how "Pecking Order" works in other species and in humans very informative. His theory, which I'm not certain I accept," is that you have to be careful about helping downtrodden groups, since the higher up you are in the Pecking Order, the more they desire to be #1. All in all, however, a very interesting book, which I highly recommend. http://www.amazon.com/Lucifer-Principle-Scientific-Expedition-History/dp/087 1136643/ref=pd_bbs_2/002-7291230-7455224?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1191956514&sr=8 -2 Best regards, James Clement From jonkc at att.net Tue Oct 9 19:54:50 2007 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 15:54:50 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Doubts and gas chambers References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer><580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com><007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer><580930c20710071355m26b85424h1ddb25cc0a816a55@mail.gmail.com><005201c8096e$9cacc500$88054e0c@MyComputer> <02b601c80a1c$d2631510$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <470BAB1A.1020008@lightlink.com> Message-ID: <003201c80aae$4e149c60$e7024e0c@MyComputer> "Richard Loosemore" > John Clark made the initial editing mistake. I made no such mistake. > It was originally said by Stefano Vaj. Yes I know, as I made very clear in my post. > I do agree with Stefano's point, however. So you also think you can prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Americans were involved in the 911 mass murder. You realize I hope that if you can really do that then you can send someone to the gas chamber. But no doubt the proof is similar to the one about my attribution "error". And that's what makes this crap not only idiotic but scary. John K Clark From andrew at ceruleansystems.com Tue Oct 9 20:31:48 2007 From: andrew at ceruleansystems.com (J. Andrew Rogers) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 13:31:48 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Today's Dilbert In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <8B05EE2C-E264-45FC-8DBC-28CAD9FA8075@ceruleansystems.com> On Oct 9, 2007, at 7:32 AM, Jef Allbright wrote: > While petty primate infighting over issues of status is > always ongoing, might the apparent recent surge on this and other H+ > related groups be indicative of a decline in focus on external > objectives? Is there a sense of direction or progress in the > transhumanist/singularitarian/AGI/Futurist/Extropian communities? I > think there was... Individuals with a focus on external objectives do not have time to participate in primate mailing list games, so there is a selection effect. People doing don't have much time for the people talking and no time at all for the people engaged in petty arguments. This is the problem with mailing lists. Those with something worth saying rarely have time to say it. J. Andrew Rogers From kanzure at gmail.com Tue Oct 9 22:04:54 2007 From: kanzure at gmail.com (Bryan Bishop) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 17:04:54 -0500 Subject: [ExI] EP In-Reply-To: <380-2200710291719180@M2W032.mail2web.com> References: <380-2200710291719180@M2W032.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <200710091704.54891.kanzure@gmail.com> On Tuesday 09 October 2007 12:01, nvitamore at austin.rr.com wrote: > At 12:26 AM 10/9/2007, James Clement wrote: > > If the brain can be looked upon as a combination of interconnected > > computers running many programs and subroutines, most of which are > > inherited from our reptile, mammal, and primate ancestors, what can > > we do to override or reprogram these? > > This a topic of great interest to me. (since you pointed out that subsection) I am reminded of the following scene in Neverness: > "We should all know the code of our metaprograms," he said. "Otherwise > we can never be free." - Bryan From hkhenson at rogers.com Tue Oct 9 22:06:53 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 15:06:53 -0700 Subject: [ExI] EP In-Reply-To: <380-2200710291719180@M2W032.mail2web.com> References: <380-2200710291719180@M2W032.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <1191967542_35565@S3.cableone.net> At 10:01 AM 10/9/2007, you wrote: >At 12:26 AM 10/9/2007, James Clement wrote: > > >If the brain can be looked upon as a combination of interconnected >computers > >running many programs and subroutines, most of which are inherited from our > >reptile, mammal, and primate ancestors, what can we do to override or > >reprogram these? > >This a topic of great interest to me. The inherited reptilian program is >dangerous in many environments. Our line parted ways with the reptiles a *long* time ago. Psychological traits that were not conducive to reproductive success in the last few million years when our ancestors lived as hunter gatherers would have been bred out of the line. (Keeping in mind "inclusive fitness.") >One decidedly noticeable environment is >when humans interface with machines, especially automobiles. If you >sharpen your focus onto the body language and facial expression of drivers, >it is exceedingly apparent that they perform like tightly wound aggressors >vying for position, as if the urgency of their need entitles them to make >abrupt and savage behavior. I have not noticed this, but I seldom concentrate on the drivers inside. It has been my experience that most of the time people are fairly cooperative in traffic. There may be wide variations depending on the geographic location though. But given that your observations and inferences of the internal state of drivers are correct, how was it that genes that contributed to this behavior contributed to reproductive success in the lives of our ancestors? >Of course it is necessary to have internal and external warning systems but >I think that humanity cannot overcome many of our current foibles unless >and until we manage the hyperemotional disarray our inheritance and enhance >our sensory awareness. I see your point. I don't think we are going to get far with either unless we understand at least the evolutionary origin of our psychological traits and perhaps it will take understanding even the circuit wiring. However, consider "hyper emotional disarray [of?] our inheritance." Whatever emotional traits we have come from selection. They are not likely to be in disarray in the environment of evolutionary adaptiveness (EEA), at least when considered from the viewpoint of the genes that construct our emotional circuits. If they are in disarray today, it's because the environment (material and memetic culture) has changed and genes have not kept up. How has culture changed? Is the change permanent? If we could, what changes should we make in these traits? (We will have the ability to do it soon, so thinking about this might be rather useful.) "[A]nd enhance our sensory awareness." We are not aware or conscious of everything that goes on. Why? I suspect awareness is a limited and precious mental resource. We probably have a lot of hardwired circuits to focus it on matters of pressing importance, and I think there are mental illness states involving awareness. If we were to enhance our sensory awareness, what would it take? What might it cost in terms of other mental features? >I remember back in the late 1960s when Maharishi suggested that if 10% of >humanity repeated a "Om" mantra, that there would be a rise in >consciousness for all. I feel quite deeply that the consciousness of >humanity can only be raised if we engineer our brains. An analogy that might help is that we have engineered our immune systems since the invention of inoculation. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inoculation http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vaccination You could say that education is brain engineering in the same sense. However, while cowpox really does confer immunity to smallpox, I know of no such programs (even "critical thinking") that have been shown in a scientific test to confer immunity to cults or other kinds of irrational thinking. If anyone has an idea of how such a program could be designed *and* tested, I would be *most* interested. If you want to know why testing is so important, read the criticisms section here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/D.A.R.E. >More on this if >anyone is interested, but I think my paper "Wisdom through AGI / Neural >Macrosensing" says it fairly clearly. Is there a text version or a recording of your talk? Keith Henson From thespike at satx.rr.com Tue Oct 9 22:30:12 2007 From: thespike at satx.rr.com (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 17:30:12 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Self-sufficient space habitat designed Message-ID: <7.0.1.0.2.20071009172624.02195b90@satx.rr.com> fwiw: http://www.cosmosmagazine.com/node/1646 SYDNEY: Australian-led scientists have designed a new space habitat that might one day allow astronauts on the Moon or Mars to be 90 to 95 per cent self-sufficient. The development of such as system could save billions of dollars in shuttle trips to re-supply lunar or space colonies and brings closer the vision of a human habitat on Mars. The technology could also have applications on Earth to develop more sustainable farming techniques and improve recycling processes. Luna Gaia Some systems to recycle water and air have already been developed and rudimentary versions are presently used in the International Space Station (ISS). However, the proposed new lunar habitat "combines our existing knowledge" of physical, chemical and biological processes to provide an "overall picture of how a minibiosphere would work," said James Chartres, aerospace engineer at the University of Adelaide in South Australia. He gave a talk detailing the design at the Australian Space Science Conference held in Sydney last month. [etc etc] ====================== Btw, does the hazy light around the spots in the illustration imply that they have a lot of air escaping? Or is the artist emulating an effect produced by (1) the eye, or (b) photon scattering on film or digital recorder? Damien Broderick From kanzure at gmail.com Tue Oct 9 22:49:57 2007 From: kanzure at gmail.com (Bryan Bishop) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 17:49:57 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Self-sufficient space habitat designed In-Reply-To: <7.0.1.0.2.20071009172624.02195b90@satx.rr.com> References: <7.0.1.0.2.20071009172624.02195b90@satx.rr.com> Message-ID: <200710091749.57774.kanzure@gmail.com> Can anybody get us the schematics / blueprints of this design? Otherwise I think we would all have to admit that it doesn't matter because it's inaccessible. - Bryan (off to go ask the AR mailing list) From nvitamore at austin.rr.com Tue Oct 9 23:03:06 2007 From: nvitamore at austin.rr.com (nvitamore at austin.rr.com) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 19:03:06 -0400 Subject: [ExI] EP Message-ID: <380-2200710292336676@M2W029.mail2web.com> At 10:01 AM 10/9/2007, Keith wrote: >At 12:26 AM 10/9/2007, James Clement wrote: > >If the brain can be looked upon as a combination of interconnected >computers > >running many programs and subroutines, most of which are inherited from our > >reptile, mammal, and primate ancestors, what can we do to override or > >reprogram these? Natasha wrote: >This a topic of great interest to me. The inherited reptilian program is >dangerous in many environments. "Our line parted ways with the reptiles a *long* time ago. My line has its amygdalae. "Psychological traits that were not conducive to reproductive success in the last few million years when our ancestors lived as hunter gatherers would have been bred out of the line. (Keeping in mind 'inclusive fitness.')" http://www.archetypediscoveriesworldwide.com/threebrains.html http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/persuaders/interviews/rapaille .html http://www.2012.com.au/reptilian_brain.html >One decidedly noticeable environment is >when humans interface with machines, especially automobiles. If you >sharpen your focus onto the body language and facial expression of drivers, >it is exceedingly apparent that they perform like tightly wound aggressors >vying for position, as if the urgency of their need entitles them to make >abrupt and savage behavior. "I have not noticed this, but I seldom concentrate on the drivers inside. It has been my experience that most of the time people are fairly cooperative in traffic. There may be wide variations depending on the geographic location though. But given that your observations and inferences of the internal state of drivers are correct, how was it that genes that contributed to this behavior contributed to reproductive success in the lives of our ancestors?" I don't know, genetics is not my expertise. But it's competitive aggression to get ahead of the other guy for getting the food or survival. Getting ahead is not determined by the destination but more from the physical relationship of position and speed. I watch behaviors in a lot of environments. Airports are good too - watching how people come and go and the relationships of people getting on and off planes, etc. Grocery stores are also quite fascinating, especially in different countries and cultures. (Communications / media designers tend to do this as part of our visual narrative.) >Of course it is necessary to have internal and external warning systems but >I think that humanity cannot overcome many of our current foibles unless >and until we manage the hyperemotional disarray our inheritance and enhance >our sensory awareness. "I see your point. I don't think we are going to get far with either unless we understand at least the evolutionary origin of our psychological traits and perhaps it will take understanding even the circuit wiring." "However, consider "hyper emotional disarray [of?] our inheritance. [of?] (Yes, thanks - I'm multi-tasking as I am writing ...) "Whatever emotional traits we have come from selection. They are not likely to be in disarray in the environment of evolutionary adaptiveness (EEA), at least when considered from the viewpoint of the genes that construct our emotional circuits. If they are in disarray today, it's because the environment (material and memetic culture) has changed and genes have not kept up. How has culture changed? Is the change permanent? If we could, what changes should we make in these traits? (We will have the ability to do it soon, so thinking about this might be rather useful.)" You are placing more emphasis on genes and I am placing more emphasis on behavior. I'm not an essentialist, so I have to say that behavior is partially genetic and partially adaptive and influenced by many variables. "'[A]nd enhance our sensory awareness.' We are not aware or conscious of everything that goes on. Why? I suspect awareness is a limited and precious mental resource. We probably have a lot of hardwired circuits to focus it on matters of pressing importance, and I think there are mental illness states involving awareness. If we were to enhance our sensory awareness, what would it take? What might it cost in terms of other mental features?" If not done with elegant science and a very smart control gauge, it would cost a hell of a lot. >I remember back in the late 1960s when Maharishi suggested that if 10% of >humanity repeated a "Om" mantra, that there would be a rise in >consciousness for all. I feel quite deeply that the consciousness of >humanity can only be raised if we engineer our brains. "An analogy that might help is that we have engineered our immune systems since the invention of inoculation. "http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inoculation "http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vaccination >More on this if >anyone is interested, but I think my paper "Wisdom through AGI / Neural >Macrosensing" says it fairly clearly. "Is there a text version or a recording of your talk?" A shortened text version is here: http://www.natasha.cc/consciousnessreframed.htm Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- myhosting.com - Premium Microsoft? Windows? and Linux web and application hosting - http://link.myhosting.com/myhosting From hkhenson at rogers.com Wed Oct 10 00:11:37 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 17:11:37 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Self-sufficient space habitat designed In-Reply-To: <7.0.1.0.2.20071009172624.02195b90@satx.rr.com> References: <7.0.1.0.2.20071009172624.02195b90@satx.rr.com> Message-ID: <1191975026_40239@S3.cableone.net> At 03:30 PM 10/9/2007, you wrote: >fwiw: > >http://www.cosmosmagazine.com/node/1646 snip This is really sad. My ex-wife and I did a better job on a highly closed space farm design in 1975. Even NASA knows you can't feed people much algae (gives them gas). I didn't think the 1975 paper was on the net, but it is if anyone wants to spend $25. Keith Henson From emlynoregan at gmail.com Wed Oct 10 00:34:14 2007 From: emlynoregan at gmail.com (Emlyn) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 10:04:14 +0930 Subject: [ExI] The best thing I've seen all day... Message-ID: <710b78fc0710091734m1e619b58yaf83320f185ec2d1@mail.gmail.com> An animated wi-fi detecting t-shirt http://www.thinkgeek.com/tshirts/generic/991e/ -- Emlyn http://emlynoregan.com From spike66 at att.net Wed Oct 10 03:15:04 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 20:15:04 -0700 Subject: [ExI] EP In-Reply-To: <1191943779_21698@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: <200710100315.l9A3F50U005945@andromeda.ziaspace.com> > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of hkhenson ... > > You should approach the subject "override or reprogram" with *great* > caution. Perhaps some of these long evolved psychological mechanisms > are useless in the present world, but then again you can't be sure > ... what the future holds. Keith Henson Ja, so true. Just because we have a reptilian fear of something does not mean that the something is not dangerous. Imagine this scenario as a Monte Python routine. Man listening to crystal set, President Roosevelt declares, "The only thing we have to feah is feah itself!" The man nods in agreement, switches off the radio, returns complacently to his newspaper. An ad suggests he "Fear This" and soon he gets nervous, which leads to butterflies in the stomach, then a gnawing discomfort, which soon results in palpable anxiety, sweating, jitters, which causes him to startle, which causes him to cry out in nameless fear, which causes more fear in a runaway positive feedback loop, which leads to stark terror, then mindless panic, followed by a massive coronary. If we have nothing to fear but fear itself, this does not mean that fear itself is not to be feared. spike From andres at thoughtware.tv Wed Oct 10 03:21:59 2007 From: andres at thoughtware.tv (Andres Colon) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 23:21:59 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Transhuman Non-Profits should reach the masses Message-ID: "Do you want to connect with your supporters, volunteers, and donors but don't have the funds to launch expensive outreach campaigns?" Transhumanist non-profits, regardless if your goal is the Defeating Aging, bringing about a safe Singularity, igniting optimism towards the future, whatever it is...feel free to make us of this new tool to reach the world: http://www.youtube.com/nonprofits Andr?s, Thoughtware.TV - "...ponder these two memes, rich in H+ vitamins, and call me in the morning. ; )" -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkhenson at rogers.com Wed Oct 10 03:36:14 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 20:36:14 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islamic extremism In-Reply-To: <1191943779_21698@S1.cableone.net> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> <1191943779_21698@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: <1191987303_49712@S4.cableone.net> http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/la-oe-harris9oct09,0,3734484.story?coll=la-opinion-center Ayaan Hirsi Ali: abandoned to fanatics The outspoken former Dutch legislator deserves the protection her country promised before she ran for parliament. By Sam Harris and Salman Rushdie October 9, 2007 As you read this, Ayaan Hirsi Ali sits in a safe house with armed men guarding her door. She is one of the most poised, intelligent and compassionate advocates of freedom of speech and conscience alive today, and for this she is despised in Muslim communities throughout the world. The details of her story bear repeating, as they illustrate how poorly equipped we are to deal with the threat of Muslim extremism in the West. snip It's worth taking the link and reading the rest, but there is no insight to: "How poorly equipped we are to deal with the threat of Muslim extremism in the West." Sam and Salman, it's not just the West, we humans are poorly equipped to deal with any kind of extremism anywhere in the world. We don't even understand why Muslim extremism has become a more serious problem over the last 40 or 50 years. The situation is analogous to the pre-germ theory times when humans were poorly equipped to deal with infectious diseases. In fact, you can make the case that solving infectious diseases is part of what led up to Muslim extremism. Reducing child and infant mortality is a good thing only if accompanied by enough birth control to keep the population out of foreseeing a "bleak future," i.e., the population growth stays below the economic growth. Keith Henson From thespike at satx.rr.com Wed Oct 10 03:55:21 2007 From: thespike at satx.rr.com (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 22:55:21 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Islamic extremism In-Reply-To: <1191987303_49712@S4.cableone.net> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> <1191943779_21698@S1.cableone.net> <1191987303_49712@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <7.0.1.0.2.20071009224741.022be048@satx.rr.com> At 08:36 PM 10/9/2007 -0700, Keith wrote: >Reducing child and infant >mortality is a good thing only if accompanied by enough birth control >to keep the population out of foreseeing a "bleak future," i.e., the >population growth stays below the economic growth. All this is so, but don't neglect the sociological level. Women have to *want* to restrict their fertility and be *able* to bring suitable pressures to bear, and men need an incentive to allow them to rather than kicking their teeth out immediately. I have the impression that all the hotbeds of this insanity are either snookered out of the global economy--or depend on tearing out raw resources, in which case big swinging dick gynophobes rule the roost *because they can*--the nation's wealth doesn't depend on having as many smart humans as possible being productive economic players. Damien Broderick From hkhenson at rogers.com Wed Oct 10 04:47:58 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 21:47:58 -0700 Subject: [ExI] EP In-Reply-To: <380-2200710292336676@M2W029.mail2web.com> References: <380-2200710292336676@M2W029.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <1191991609_49750@S3.cableone.net> An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkhenson at rogers.com Wed Oct 10 05:03:35 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 22:03:35 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islamic extremism In-Reply-To: <7.0.1.0.2.20071009224741.022be048@satx.rr.com> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> <1191943779_21698@S1.cableone.net> <1191987303_49712@S4.cableone.net> <7.0.1.0.2.20071009224741.022be048@satx.rr.com> Message-ID: <1191992545_52273@S4.cableone.net> At 08:55 PM 10/9/2007, you wrote: >At 08:36 PM 10/9/2007 -0700, Keith wrote: > > >Reducing child and infant > >mortality is a good thing only if accompanied by enough birth control > >to keep the population out of foreseeing a "bleak future," i.e., the > >population growth stays below the economic growth. > >All this is so, but don't neglect the sociological level. Women have >to *want* to restrict their fertility and be *able* to bring suitable >pressures to bear, and men need an incentive to allow them to rather >than kicking their teeth out immediately. That's a good point. How the heck *did* women get the idea to strongly restrict the number of kids they had and get the men to go along with it? It happened in a number of cultures/language groups. It seems to have happened in Iran (which is Islamic but not Arab) but not in a number of other places. >I have the impression that >all the hotbeds of this insanity are either snookered out of the >global economy--or depend on tearing out raw resources, in which case >big swinging dick gynophobes rule the roost *because they can*--the >nation's wealth doesn't depend on having as many smart humans as >possible being productive economic players. Maybe. I get the impression that it is more complicated. I sure wish I understood what led to the strong reduction in birth rates. Since women are the major players here I think us males should ask their opinions. Not that I think that's going to give us a solid idea of what really happened because it probably was below the conscious level in both men and women. Keith From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Wed Oct 10 05:12:04 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 22:12:04 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islamic extremism In-Reply-To: <1191992545_52273@S4.cableone.net> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> <1191943779_21698@S1.cableone.net> <1191987303_49712@S4.cableone.net> <7.0.1.0.2.20071009224741.022be048@satx.rr.com> <1191992545_52273@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: Keith; Legalized abortion and birth control pills might be one answer. See Levitt's book; "Freakonomics." James Clement -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of hkhenson Sent: Tuesday, October 09, 2007 10:04 PM To: ExI chat list Subject: Re: [ExI] Islamic extremism At 08:55 PM 10/9/2007, you wrote: >At 08:36 PM 10/9/2007 -0700, Keith wrote: > > >Reducing child and infant > >mortality is a good thing only if accompanied by enough birth control > >to keep the population out of foreseeing a "bleak future," i.e., the > >population growth stays below the economic growth. > >All this is so, but don't neglect the sociological level. Women have >to *want* to restrict their fertility and be *able* to bring suitable >pressures to bear, and men need an incentive to allow them to rather >than kicking their teeth out immediately. That's a good point. How the heck *did* women get the idea to strongly restrict the number of kids they had and get the men to go along with it? It happened in a number of cultures/language groups. It seems to have happened in Iran (which is Islamic but not Arab) but not in a number of other places. >I have the impression that >all the hotbeds of this insanity are either snookered out of the >global economy--or depend on tearing out raw resources, in which case >big swinging dick gynophobes rule the roost *because they can*--the >nation's wealth doesn't depend on having as many smart humans as >possible being productive economic players. Maybe. I get the impression that it is more complicated. I sure wish I understood what led to the strong reduction in birth rates. Since women are the major players here I think us males should ask their opinions. Not that I think that's going to give us a solid idea of what really happened because it probably was below the conscious level in both men and women. Keith _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From spike66 at att.net Wed Oct 10 04:56:36 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 21:56:36 -0700 Subject: [ExI] robugs In-Reply-To: <29666bf30710082131m515b7585j306a9d21ca289a11@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <200710100523.l9A5NGsc025638@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Damien Broderick in his book Transcension, describes bees that are made into robots for the purpose of spying on or otherwise influencing people. According to the Daily Koz, DARPA is already there. http://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/10/9/10118/4071 {8^D spike From hkhenson at rogers.com Wed Oct 10 05:29:21 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 22:29:21 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islamic extremism In-Reply-To: <1191992545_52273@S4.cableone.net> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> <1191943779_21698@S1.cableone.net> <1191987303_49712@S4.cableone.net> <7.0.1.0.2.20071009224741.022be048@satx.rr.com> <1191992545_52273@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <1191994091_50966@S3.cableone.net> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Icke Reptilian humanoids In 1999, Icke wrote and published The Biggest Secret: The Book that Will Change the World, in which he identified the extraterrestrial Prison Warders as reptilians from the constellation Draco. [24]They walk erect and appear to be human, living not only on the planets they come from, but also in caverns and tunnels under the earth. They have cross-bred with humans, which has created "hybrids" who are "possessed" by the full-blooded reptilians. [25] The reptiles' hybrid reptilian-human DNA allows them to change from reptilian to human form if they consume human blood. Icke has drawn parallels with the 1980s science-fiction series V, in which the earth is taken over by reptiloid aliens disguised as humans. According to Icke, the reptilian group includes many prominent people and practically every world leader from Britain's late Queen Mother to George H.W. Bush, Hillary Clinton, Harold Wilson, and Tony Blair. These people are either themselves reptilian, or work for the reptiles as what Icke calls slave-like victims of multiple personality disorder: "The Rothschilds, Rockefellers, the British royal family, and the ruling political and economic families of the U.S. and the rest of the world come from these SAME bloodlines. It is not because of snobbery, it is to hold as best they can a genetic structure ? the reptilian-mammalian DNA combination which allows them to 'shape-shift'." [4] Icke has since published additional books on the same theme. His latest work sees George W. Bush, also a reptilian, playing a key role in what Icke alleges is a 9/11 conspiracy. In Tales From The Time Loop and other works, Icke states that most organized religions, especially Judaism, Christianity, and Islam, are Illuminati creations designed to divide and conquer the human race through endless conflicts. In a similar vein, Icke believes racial and ethnic divisions are an illusion promoted by the reptilians, and that racism fuels the Illuminati agenda. ************* Man does that explain a lot. Keith Henson From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Wed Oct 10 05:32:00 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2007 22:32:00 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islamic extremism In-Reply-To: <1191994091_50966@S3.cableone.net> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> <1191943779_21698@S1.cableone.net> <1191987303_49712@S4.cableone.net> <7.0.1.0.2.20071009224741.022be048@satx.rr.com> <1191992545_52273@S4.cableone.net> <1191994091_50966@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: I think I saw this on a Stargate SG1 episode... James -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of hkhenson Sent: Tuesday, October 09, 2007 10:29 PM To: ExI chat list Subject: Re: [ExI] Islamic extremism http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Icke Reptilian humanoids In 1999, Icke wrote and published The Biggest Secret: The Book that Will Change the World, in which he identified the extraterrestrial Prison Warders as reptilians from the constellation Draco. [24]They walk erect and appear to be human, living not only on the planets they come from, but also in caverns and tunnels under the earth. They have cross-bred with humans, which has created "hybrids" who are "possessed" by the full-blooded reptilians. [25] The reptiles' hybrid reptilian-human DNA allows them to change from reptilian to human form if they consume human blood. Icke has drawn parallels with the 1980s science-fiction series V, in which the earth is taken over by reptiloid aliens disguised as humans. According to Icke, the reptilian group includes many prominent people and practically every world leader from Britain's late Queen Mother to George H.W. Bush, Hillary Clinton, Harold Wilson, and Tony Blair. These people are either themselves reptilian, or work for the reptiles as what Icke calls slave-like victims of multiple personality disorder: "The Rothschilds, Rockefellers, the British royal family, and the ruling political and economic families of the U.S. and the rest of the world come from these SAME bloodlines. It is not because of snobbery, it is to hold as best they can a genetic structure - the reptilian-mammalian DNA combination which allows them to 'shape-shift'." [4] Icke has since published additional books on the same theme. His latest work sees George W. Bush, also a reptilian, playing a key role in what Icke alleges is a 9/11 conspiracy. In Tales From The Time Loop and other works, Icke states that most organized religions, especially Judaism, Christianity, and Islam, are Illuminati creations designed to divide and conquer the human race through endless conflicts. In a similar vein, Icke believes racial and ethnic divisions are an illusion promoted by the reptilians, and that racism fuels the Illuminati agenda. ************* Man does that explain a lot. Keith Henson _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From hkhenson at rogers.com Wed Oct 10 05:39:28 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 09 Oct 2007 22:39:28 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islamic extremism In-Reply-To: References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <580930c20710071218j7159dddfj129e73c8e825fadc@mail.gmail.com> <025201c8094c$14bca150$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <027a01c80963$e7666980$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> <1191943779_21698@S1.cableone.net> <1191987303_49712@S4.cableone.net> <7.0.1.0.2.20071009224741.022be048@satx.rr.com> <1191992545_52273@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <1191994697_53232@S4.cableone.net> At 10:12 PM 10/9/2007, James Clement wrote: >Keith; > >Legalized abortion and birth control pills might be one answer. See >Levitt's book; "Freakonomics." Of course they are one "answer" but you have to get both legalized. Neither are in (for example) Saudi Arabia. Legalized abortion (in the USSR) is probably the reason the cold war never turned hot. Keith From pharos at gmail.com Wed Oct 10 12:00:44 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 13:00:44 +0100 Subject: [ExI] robugs In-Reply-To: <200710100523.l9A5NGsc025638@andromeda.ziaspace.com> References: <29666bf30710082131m515b7585j306a9d21ca289a11@mail.gmail.com> <200710100523.l9A5NGsc025638@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: On 10/10/07, Spike wrote: > > Damien Broderick in his book Transcension, describes bees that are made into > robots for the purpose of spying on or otherwise influencing people. > According to the Daily Koz, DARPA is already there. > > http://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/10/9/10118/4071 > You can take your tin-foil hat off, Spike. They actually were big dragon flies. They are often seen in Washington. Kos was just quoting a rubbish Washington Post article. 1) Why use an expensive experimental insect camera on anti-war protesters? It was a public protest where ordinary cameras (with telephoto lenses if necessary) could legally be used and produce much better quality photos. 2) I thought protesters liked cameras to document police brutality? 3) How come nobody photographed these insect spies? I thought everybody had at least cell-phone cameras nowadays. And, at a protest, surely cameras would be widely used? The article showed stock photos and video from their files, not from the protest. 4) An 'expert' said that several were seen flying in unison and dragonflies never do that. Well, not normally, but they do when they are trying to mate. :) 4) The problem with flapping insect sized experimental drones is that the flight time is very short. Fixed wing, propeller driven drones have longer flight times and are already used in Iraq. 5) Maybe somebody has been to RadioShack? BillK From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Wed Oct 10 12:54:08 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 14:54:08 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710081213t5c3d5266ydfe95b4e1437d53b@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <580930c20710100554j599347ayd4bdaadc782d4d76@mail.gmail.com> On 10/9/07, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > On 09/10/2007, Stefano Vaj wrote: > > > "Conspiracy theorist" being defined as an "Al-Qaeda conspiracy theorist" or > > a "Bush administration conspiracy theorist"? > > > > Or does it work with both? :-) > > He was a Bush administration conspiracy theorist, but I guess it would > work with both. The striking thing in this case was that he could, > quite reasonably, point out that many people around the world share > his beliefs. At this point, there would have been no indication to > diagnose a mental illness. However, he became increasingly preoccupied > with proving his theory to the point where he was neglecting his work > and his family, and eventually started thinking that the Americans > might try to kill him because he knew too much. Why, if it works also with Al-Qaeda/Iraq conspiracy theorists, and one replace "American" with "Muslims", some might argue that Mr. Bush himself would correspond quite well to your description... :-) Stefano Vaj From msd001 at gmail.com Wed Oct 10 13:09:37 2007 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 09:09:37 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Islamic extremism In-Reply-To: <1191994091_50966@S3.cableone.net> References: <020001c8085f$b84a94f0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191856601_54585@S3.cableone.net> <02c401c80a26$9f0fffc0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1191910293_11145@S4.cableone.net> <1191943779_21698@S1.cableone.net> <1191987303_49712@S4.cableone.net> <7.0.1.0.2.20071009224741.022be048@satx.rr.com> <1191992545_52273@S4.cableone.net> <1191994091_50966@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: <62c14240710100609j66cd8747v273f269bfa3e02d0@mail.gmail.com> On 10/10/07, hkhenson wrote: > Reptilian humanoids That sounds a lot like the reptilian creatures some of the subjects experienced under the effects of DMT in Rick Strassman's research experiments. It's an interesting read. Unfortunately the inclusion of "spirit" in the title probably turns off a lot of serious scientific types, but it is written to a more scientific/clinical interest than any other psychedelic investigation I've read. Even if the original point was to laugh at Icke's 'theory' - is there a serious comment to be made about common representation of altered states? For example, the phenomenon of abduction memories being commonly blocked by the memory of an owl looking in the bedroom window. I'm not interested in the truth or fiction of gray aliens as much as the similarity of reports from such a large number of claims. Does this provide some indirect clue to a function of the brain? Same question regarding NDE - it's not about what people believe happens after death, but what physical functions give rise to common perception/reports of the 'mystical' process. [1] http://www.google.com/search?q=Strassman+DMT+molecule From natasha at natasha.cc Wed Oct 10 13:31:18 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 08:31:18 -0500 Subject: [ExI] EP In-Reply-To: <1191991609_49750@S3.cableone.net> References: <380-2200710292336676@M2W029.mail2web.com> <1191991609_49750@S3.cableone.net> Message-ID: <200710101331.l9ADVMjG018886@ms-smtp-05.texas.rr.com> At 11:47 PM 10/9/2007, Keith wrote: >At 04:03 PM 10/9/2007, Natasha wrote: > >>At 10:01 AM 10/9/2007, Keith wrote: >> >> >At 12:26 AM 10/9/2007, James Clement wrote: >> > >If the brain can be looked upon as a combination of interconnected >> >computers >> > >running many programs and subroutines, most of which are inherited from >>our >> > >reptile, mammal, and primate ancestors, what can we do to override or >> > >reprogram these? >> >>Natasha wrote: >> >This a topic of great interest to me. The inherited reptilian program is >> >dangerous in many environments. >> >>"Our line parted ways with the reptiles a *long* time >>ago. >> >>My line has its amygdalae. > >My line has the remnants gill slits of which I can feel in the roof >of my mouth with my tongue. It also has a swim bladder that has >been modified into lungs and three reptile jaw bones that have >become hammer, anvil and stirrup in my ear. Point being is that >over evolutionary time parts can really shift function. I have a another remnant, but it is too privately located to discuss. >>"Psychological traits that were not conducive to reproductive >>success in the last few million years when our ancestors lived as >>hunter gatherers would have been bred out of the line. (Keeping in >>mind 'inclusive fitness.')" >> >>http://www.archetypediscoveriesworldwide.com/threebrains.html > >Badly over simplified. Parts of the medial frontal lobes (cortex in >nature) are considered essential elements of the limbic >system. Modern anatomy of the brain as seen by fMIR recognizes at >least several dozen distinct functional regions. Yes, but has a few good points. >>http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/persuaders/interviews/rapaille.html >> > >Interesting, but it's really hard to ascribe this entirely to >hardware. Is the attractiveness of round headlights on a jeep due >to classing one as an animal or due to all the WW II jeeps seen in movies? I enjoyed his approach. >>http://www.2012.com.au/reptilian_brain.html > >Oh my, David Icke, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Icke quoting >Carlos Castaneda, quoting "Don Juan," the Mexican Yaqui Indian shaman? Haha! I thought it was really kind of funny, actually. I have a thing with Carlos Castaneda. (I lived with the foremost Navajo Indian' Medicine Man known as "Longsalt" and his family before Carlos wrote his famous books. I can tell you first hand that Carlos is a marvelous fiction writer.) >When I was going to the U of A I worked across the street from >Pascua Village in Tucson. So I knew a _great deal_ about the Yaqui >Indians. I also knew the son of the guy who was reputed to be the >prototype for the fictional "Don Juan." This is appealing, popular >material but it is also the kind of material that would tend to turn >off hard science people. Incidentally a hard science question would >be just why Carlos Castaneda had so much appeal. Or others I am now >under legal advice not to mention. Understood. >> >One decidedly noticeable environment is >> >when humans interface with machines, especially automobiles. If you >> >sharpen your focus onto the body language and facial expression of drivers, >> >it is exceedingly apparent that they perform like tightly wound aggressors >> >vying for position, as if the urgency of their need entitles them to make >> >abrupt and savage behavior. >> >>"I have not noticed this, but I seldom concentrate on the drivers >>inside. It has been my experience that most of the time people are >>fairly cooperative in traffic. There may be wide variations >>depending on the geographic location though. But given that your >>observations and inferences of the internal state of drivers are >>correct, how was it that genes that contributed to this behavior >>contributed to reproductive success in the lives of our ancestors?" >> >>I don't know, genetics is not my expertise. But it's competitive >>aggression to get ahead of the other guy for getting the food or survival. > >You might want to consider chimps or the anthropology of primitive >cultures such as the Yanamano. At least with men (or male chimps) >in a tribe, the watchword is (guarded) cooperation. de Waal's books >are an interesting read as are Jane Goodall. > >>Getting ahead is not determined by the destination but more from the >>physical relationship of position and speed. > >Gasoline and testosterone. :-) Men are risk takers. Used to be, >and still is in some places, a high fraction of them died. It's not >a constant though, it is modulated by environmental outlook. Women too, incidentally. Many of the women driving the big SUV's here in Austin are Hispanic. Big SUVs, little roundish ladies and stern looks on their faces. I think it is more of a status symbol for gender though - "My man is a great hunter gatherer and I am taking control of his procurement." >>I watch behaviors in a lot of environments. Airports are good too - >>watching how people come and go and the relationships of people getting on >>and off planes, etc. Grocery stores are also quite fascinating, especially >>in different countries and cultures. (Communications / media designers >>tend to do this as part of our visual narrative.) >> >> >Of course it is necessary to have internal and external warning systems but >> >I think that humanity cannot overcome many of our current foibles unless >> >and until we manage the hyperemotional disarray our inheritance and enhance >> >our sensory awareness. >> >>"I see your point. I don't think we are going to get far with either >>unless we understand at least the evolutionary origin of our >>psychological traits and perhaps it will take understanding even the >>circuit wiring." >> >>"However, consider "hyper emotional disarray [of?] our >>inheritance. >> >>[of?] (Yes, thanks - I'm multi-tasking as I am writing ...) >> >>"Whatever emotional traits we have come from >>selection. They are not likely to be in disarray in the environment >>of evolutionary adaptiveness (EEA), at least when considered from >>the viewpoint of the genes that construct our emotional circuits. If >>they are in disarray today, it's because the environment (material >>and memetic culture) has changed and genes have not kept up. How has >>culture changed? Is the change permanent? If we could, what changes >>should we make in these traits? (We will have the ability to do it >>soon, so thinking about this might be rather useful.)" >> >>You are placing more emphasis on genes and I am placing more emphasis on >>behavior. I'm not an essentialist, so I have to say that behavior is >>partially genetic and partially adaptive and influenced by many variables. > >It depends on the behavior. Ultimately all behavior is the result >of genes that build animals able to behave at all. Some behaviors >are much more hardwired than others. The most hardwired we may not >even be aware of. See the EP explanation of capture-bonding. Can't agree. The senses take on a life of their own. Yes they were engineered to sniff out the environment and protect us, etc., but they also are worthy of so much more. I think this century will be the century of the senses. >>"'[A]nd enhance our sensory awareness.' We are not aware or conscious >>of everything that goes on. Why? I suspect awareness is a limited >>and precious mental resource. We probably have a lot of hardwired >>circuits to focus it on matters of pressing importance, and I think >>there are mental illness states involving awareness. If we were to >>enhance our sensory awareness, what would it take? What might it >>cost in terms of other mental features?" >> >>If not done with elegant science and a very smart control gauge, it would >>cost a hell of a lot. > >Right. Awareness is only one mental time sharing process. Nicely put. Natasha Vita-More PhD Candidate, CAiiA situated in the Faculty of Technology, School of Computing, Communications and Electronics, University of Plymouth, UK Transhumanist Arts & Culture Thinking About the Future If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From natasha at natasha.cc Wed Oct 10 13:33:19 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 08:33:19 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Transhuman Non-Profits should reach the masses In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <200710101333.l9ADXNWe012123@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> At 10:21 PM 10/9/2007, Andres Colon wrote: >"Do you want to connect with your supporters, >volunteers, and donors but don't have the funds >to launch expensive outreach campaigns?" > >Transhumanist non-profits, regardless if your >goal is the Defeating Aging, bringing about a >safe Singularity, igniting optimism towards the >future, whatever it is...feel free to make us of >this new tool to reach the world: Thank you for sending this Andr?s Natasha Vita-More PhD Candidate, Planetary Collegium -University of Plymouth - Faculty of Technology, School of Computing, Communications and Electronics, Centre for Advanced Inquiry in the Interactive Arts If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From natasha at natasha.cc Wed Oct 10 13:34:10 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 08:34:10 -0500 Subject: [ExI] The best thing I've seen all day... In-Reply-To: <710b78fc0710091734m1e619b58yaf83320f185ec2d1@mail.gmail.co m> References: <710b78fc0710091734m1e619b58yaf83320f185ec2d1@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <200710101334.l9ADYDvn026232@ms-smtp-06.texas.rr.com> At 07:34 PM 10/9/2007, you wrote: >An animated wi-fi detecting t-shirt > >http://www.thinkgeek.com/tshirts/generic/991e/ > >-- >Emlyn Cool. Natasha Vita-More PhD Candidate, Planetary Collegium -University of Plymouth - Faculty of Technology, School of Computing, Communications and Electronics, Centre for Advanced Inquiry in the Interactive Arts If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From msd001 at gmail.com Wed Oct 10 13:36:29 2007 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 09:36:29 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> <1191870372_65157@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <62c14240710100636s43fb3c9bh7816bba8a20d28b2@mail.gmail.com> On 10/9/07, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > The other comment about subtypes of psychotic illnesses is that we > don't really have a test which can be used to show that these are > pathologically distinct entities. Different patterns are recognised, > but they all appear to merge seamlessly at the edges: delusional > disorder with paranoid schizophrenia, schizophrenia with > schizoaffective disorder, schizoaffective disorder with bipolar > disorder. The multiple genes implicated in each subtype overlap, and a > family history of one predisposes to all of the others. Moreover, they > all respond in much the same way to antipsychotic medication. Thus, it > may turn out that there is only one psychotic illness with different > symptoms in different cases. You present a clear point, free of emotional bias. I admit my initial post on this thread was completely reactionary. My personal experience with the field of psychiatry was overwhelmingly unfortunate. Perhaps if doctors established some level of trust before prescribing medication, there would be a greater acceptance of their proposed treatment program. I understand that circumstances affect the feasibility of this approach. Where is line drawn for mental health professionals? Is every observable behavior just cause for diagnosis of disorder? In my experience, every glance or body position was scrutinized for some deviation from normal or acceptable (read: statistical average) - so how can someone be more than a standard deviation from the top of the curve and avoid unfavorable psychiatric labels? (My guess would be that most of this list's members would land outside the range of average for most standardized tests) From fauxever at sprynet.com Wed Oct 10 14:06:09 2007 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 07:06:09 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer><580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com><007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer><62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com><1191870372_65157@S4.cableone.net> <62c14240710100636s43fb3c9bh7816bba8a20d28b2@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <000701c80b46$b5b89bd0$6401a8c0@brainiac> From: "Mike Dougherty" To: "ExI chat list" > My personal experience with the field of psychiatry was overwhelmingly > unfortunate. There are far too many different "schools" in psychology/psychiatry - makes one wonder, doesn't it? > Where is line drawn for mental health professionals? They have to be coo-coo themselves. Olga From pharos at gmail.com Wed Oct 10 14:48:31 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 15:48:31 +0100 Subject: [ExI] robugs In-Reply-To: <200710100523.l9A5NGsc025638@andromeda.ziaspace.com> References: <29666bf30710082131m515b7585j306a9d21ca289a11@mail.gmail.com> <200710100523.l9A5NGsc025638@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: On 10/10/07, Spike wrote: > > Damien Broderick in his book Transcension, describes bees that are made into > robots for the purpose of spying on or otherwise influencing people. > According to the Daily Koz, DARPA is already there. > Wired has just published a review of UAVs, with photos. They mention that terrorists might use the larger models to deliver bombs. I suppose that's possible, if they get bored with roadside bombs and suicide bombers. BillK From sjatkins at mac.com Wed Oct 10 18:25:06 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 11:25:06 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> Message-ID: On Oct 6, 2007, at 2:25 PM, David Masten wrote: > On Sat, 2007-10-06 at 10:50 -0700, Samantha Atkins wrote: >> Yes. Here is a small sampling of some of the official story things >> requiring much better explanation. > > Actually they don't require better explanation, but better > understanding > of thermal dynamics and structural design is required of the Truthers. Sorry. Please show me where you get the requisite heat to soften steel sufficiently and why molten metal has been reported at the site afterwards by many observers. Also please show me how softened steel and a purported pancaking of floors can result in nearly free fall collapse time. > > >> 1) No steel framed buildings in history before this have ever fallen >> due to heat softening the infrastructure; > > And how many modern high-rise structures have been struck by modern > wide > body airliners? Or putting it another way - how many buildings with > modern elevator shafts and modern HVAC systems have had thousands of > gallons of kerosene burning inside them? > Irrelevant as many have burned at much higher temperatures for a substantially longer time without collapse. >> 2) The buildings fell is free fall time which is inconsistent with >> pancake collapse theories; > > What is "free fall" time? Please show accelerations and terminal > velocity, please. Also please show the assumptions for determining > coefficient of drag of debris. > Both buildings fell in approximately 10s. Do the math yourself. > Despite that, typical demolitions practice for tall buildings is to > cut > the structure at key points and allow the upper stories to bring down > the stories below it, i.e. the collapse should be nearly identical > whether it was a demolition job or weakening from a kerosene fire. > The cutting is the critical aspect that should have been absent in WTC by the official story. Without it you would not see the same behavior. >> 3) 6 of the claimed terrorists are very much alive and were not >> anywhere near these events; > > What does this have to do with the building collapse? My understanding > was that the six were found to not be involved, but were "persons of > interest" for other reasons. > It has to do with the official story being full of holes of course. >> 4) normal hijacking handling policy on the militaries part was >> totally >> suspended on that day which requires complicity from the top; > > When did the aircraft involved start squawking the hijack signal on > the > transponders? I'll give you the answer - they didn't. No one realized > that there were 4 hijackings until it was too late for the first > three. > Then there is the problem of what exactly is the military's hijack > procedure? The standard law enforcement procedure prior to 9/11 was to > do nothing to upset the hijackers, which would imply little for the > military to do. > The FAA observes all transponder signals and squawks within minutes. The policy for decades has been to scramble fighters as soon as there is a report. Go back and look at the footage on the tube that day. We knew as many as four planes were hijacked much earlier than you are claiming. You are making this stuff up. >> 5) The Pentagon is designed to withstand most non-nuclear attacks >> including heavy anti-aircraft batteries that will fire on any non >> military-id craft aggressively approaching it. Yet well after we >> knew we were under attack it was allowed to be hit by a hijacked >> craft. This also required a stand down order; > > This is a truly extraordinary claim. Buildings "designed to withstand > attacks" are not invincible, but rather allow the occupants a > defensible > position with reduced (not zero) casualties from an attack. The damage > seen from the airliner is perfectly consistent with this. Also, what > AAA > unit(s) was assigned to the Pentagon? IIRC, there have not been AAA > batteries at the pentagon for decades. The only defense at the > Pentagon > was a security scheme to prevent unauthorized personnel from wandering > around inside. > The central point is that the plane would not have normally been allowed anywhere near the Pentagon and certainly not when we knew an attack was in progress. Again you are mistaken about the facts. > Incompetence and surprise explains 4 and 5 far better than malice. > Incompetence on this scale would have brought down major repercussions especially on those charged with defending this nation. >> 6) Building 7 was on the air admitted to being "pulled" which means >> it must have been rigged with explosives well beforehand. > > Cite? I suspect being "pulled" referred to ordering firefighters out > of > the building. > Look it up yourself. >> A question: >> >> If you knew beyond reasonable doubt that your government set-up 911 >> to >> stampede the country in the direction they wanted, what would you do >> differently? How would you look at current events and and the "war >> or terror"? > > Mu. > Clever. NOT. From sjatkins at mac.com Wed Oct 10 18:37:36 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 11:37:36 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <001e01c808fb$11843670$00054e0c@MyComputer> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <001e01c808fb$11843670$00054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: On Oct 7, 2007, at 8:59 AM, John K Clark wrote: > "Samantha Atkins" > >> one of the most difficult to accept >> conclusions I have ever come to. > > I disagree, the UFO and ESP people have conclusions too and they are > about equally difficult to accept because they are as STUPID as your > idea. > However your conclusion has an additional dimension besides idiocy, > your crap is vicious. Thanks a lot for your insightful analysis. NOT. Please stop the personal attacks now. > > > Samantha you have every right to be angry about the war in Iraq, I'm > angry > too, but you shouldn't let your anger rise to a point where it > overwhelms > your rationality. If the silly ideas you were pedaling were to > become widely > believed, (and we both know history is full of silly ideas that were > widely > believed) then there will be a demand for revenge against the American > "traitors" involved in this evil 911 "plot". And that could lead to > far > worse things than the war in Iraq. If 10% of the things wrong with the official explanation were seriously examined we would have many "leaders" on trial for treason. That would be just and utterly necessary if we are going to escape the end of freedom in America. Or don't you believe in finding the truth and punishing those who have done wrong? > > You worry about civil rights and I do too, but now you would have > American citizens rounded up and put in camps for being involved > in an evil 911 conspiracy that in fact never existed. If I don't > like your > politics I'll put you in the camp too; true I can't prove you had > anything > to do with the plot, but that is a small point because I can't prove > that > anybody in the camp had anything to do with it either because there > was no plot to be involved in. > What are you talking about? I advocated no such thing. I advocate reopening the investigation and letting the truth fall where it may. It is the government that has spoken of camps and taking away all rights on their say-so, not I. > It turned out that the rational for the war was built on a house of > cards, > but if you have your way the violent backlash would have an equally > shaky > foundation. You are doing EXACTLY what George Bush did 5 years ago, > letting your emotions run away with you. Saddam Hussein had weapons > of mass destruction or he did not, there was an evil American plot > to crash > airliners into buildings or there was not. Science will not be > fooled and > that is why policies built on a bullshit premise will lead to > disaster. > It was obviously a house of cards. I said so from day 1 and was vilified here with great enthusiasm for doing so. I am doing what Bush did? What kind of empty and utterly spurious argument is that? Show me the science then. I am waiting. - samantha From sjatkins at mac.com Wed Oct 10 18:48:33 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 11:48:33 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <027601c80961$cd248720$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <470948D2.2090402@lightlink.com> <027601c80961$cd248720$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: On Oct 7, 2007, at 9:10 PM, Lee Corbin wrote: > Richard writes > >> There does not need to be any suggestion that anyone knew any precise >> details of the attacks. No conspiracy to do anything at all (and >> certainly not a conspiracy to blow anything up). And no knowledge of >> exactly what the attack would be. Just a decision, at some level, >> that >> they had to allow the widely expected big attack to get through. > > A decision, at some level, "to allow the widely expected big > attack to get through" would leave traces, no? Again, a conspiracy > must be immune to defectors and to people wanting to write a lot > of books and become celebrities like John Dean. > Yes. If an investigation is allowed to look into them. A conspiracy needs to control who knows what and prevent to deep a probing for the facts afterwards and be able to discredit defectors adequately. It does not need to be perfect to succeed. That history is replete with conspiracies only widely believed long after the event should teach us that even large-scale conspiracies do occur. > Now, how many people would have to be involved in that > conspiracy? (I honestly ask for estimates.) A handful of people at the top able to give appropriate commands and true believers to do a few necessary bits of work would be sufficient to create the event. > Do you suppose > that the 9-11 pictures, TV shots of people jumping from > buildings, and so on, never cause these people remorse > or second thoughts? All in all, conspiracies require a lot > of evidence to be believed in. > I have no idea or interest in whether there is remorse or second thoughts. I want a full real investigation into the facts of this great tragic event that changed so much. - samantha From sjatkins at mac.com Wed Oct 10 18:50:38 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 11:50:38 -0700 Subject: [ExI] META: quoting In-Reply-To: <20071008071826.GC4005@leitl.org> References: <20071008071826.GC4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <1B75B959-94BE-4FA7-B3B6-679605F51AE2@mac.com> On Oct 8, 2007, at 12:18 AM, Eugen Leitl wrote: > > Folks, I've had enough. Anyone who'll be caught top-posting, > and/or not trimming down cited material will go on moderation. What? Not that long ago top posting was advised as being less annoying that having to scan through quotes. - s From sjatkins at mac.com Wed Oct 10 19:09:29 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 12:09:29 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <62c14240710080701h12d9f557v62451472ba908a8d@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: This is the last thing I will say on this subject for now. I find it very interesting and telling that many more people here will respectfully respond to and consider opinions that global warming is largely false than will consider the possibility that there is much more to 911 than the official story. Yet global warming is much more deeply and broadly accepted than the official 911 story. But bringing up alternative ideas on 911 subjects me immediately to personal attack and vilification. This leads me to conclude that most people do not think objectively about this subject and react largely emotionally. My apologies for disturbing your slumber. There is no danger most of the frogs here will jump out of the pot before being cooked. - samantha From andrew at ceruleansystems.com Wed Oct 10 19:14:23 2007 From: andrew at ceruleansystems.com (J. Andrew Rogers) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 12:14:23 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> Message-ID: On Oct 10, 2007, at 11:25 AM, Samantha Atkins wrote: > Also please show me how softened steel > and a purported pancaking of floors can result in nearly free fall > collapse time. This is really, really obvious with any kind of rudimentary engineering background. The general engineering core most undergrad engineering students are required to take supply more than adequate knowledge for the "how" of this to be obvious. I have seen this elaborated on ad nauseum elsewhere by engineers, so I don't see the need to elaborate on it here. Since you have clearly spent a lot of time thinking about this, you either refused to believe the basic engineering explanations, did not understand the basic engineering explanations, or are doing all your research from sources so grossly biased that the basic engineering explanation is not even mentioned. Either way, explaining this to your satisfaction will be a waste of time on the part of the list. There may have been a conspiracy, but the way the buildings collapsed provide no evidence of it. J. Andrew Rogers From spike66 at att.net Thu Oct 11 01:31:30 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 18:31:30 -0700 Subject: [ExI] robugs In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <200710111031.l9BAVUk3015084@andromeda.ziaspace.com> > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of BillK > Subject: Re: [ExI] robugs > > On 10/10/07, Spike wrote: > > > > Damien Broderick in his book Transcension, describes bees that are made > into > > robots for the purpose of spying on or otherwise influencing people. > > According to the Daily Koz, DARPA is already there. > > > > http://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/10/9/10118/4071 > > {8^D > > You can take your tin-foil hat off, Spike... Ja, it was a joke. That was why the original post contained a {8^D. I thought it entertaining that these protestors thought themselves interesting enough to deploy expensive surveillance gear. I can see more of them than I care to know about from a safe distance with no optical equipment. > They actually were big dragon flies. They are often seen in Washington... I grew up in Florida, where dragonflies are often huge. Protestors that come to Washington from other parts are often astounded by these monsters. I thought it hilarious in any case. > 1) Why use an expensive experimental insect camera on anti-war > protesters?... Roger that. One of the protestors carried a sign that read "Stop the war now!" Well, we ARE stopping the war now. Wait until they see what happens when we stop stopping the war. spike From lcorbin at rawbw.com Thu Oct 11 14:44:33 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 07:44:33 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <470948D2.2090402@lightlink.com> <027601c80961$cd248720$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <004c01c80c15$a901c090$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Samantha writes > On Oct 7, 2007, at 9:10 PM, Lee Corbin wrote: > >> A decision, at some level, "to allow the widely expected big >> attack to get through" would leave traces, no? Again, a conspiracy >> must be immune to defectors and to people wanting to write a lot >> of books and become celebrities like John Dean. > > Yes. If an investigation is allowed to look into them. What I have in mind are "tell-all" books, trips to the N.Y.T, and late-night TV. > A conspiracy > needs to control who knows what and prevent to deep a probing for the > facts afterwards and be able to discredit defectors adequately. It > does not need to be perfect to succeed. That history is replete with > conspiracies only widely believed long after the event should teach us > that even large-scale conspiracies do occur. It would be helpful if you could think of an example or two of the kind of thing you have in mind. I myself am having a hard time coming up with modern conspiracies at all. (Thanks.) > A handful of people at the top able to give appropriate commands and > true believers to do a few necessary bits of work would be sufficient > to create the event. Yeah, examples like that, I mean. And the necessary example or two should have occurred in western democracies (they're all too easy in dictatorships). Yet one separate problem I have altogether with 9/11 itself is that the temptations on Bush the last few years would have been immense to "allow" another huge event. One 9/11 size event every couple of years would keep the Americans in a war fever. (After all, everyone agrees that without 9/11 in the first place, neither the Patriot Acts nor foreign invasions could have occurred.) So if you believe that (i) the Administration could be so wicked (ii) it really is practical for them to pull off such things without getting caught, then why haven't any terrorist events of any significance happened since? Lee From eugen at leitl.org Thu Oct 11 11:59:49 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 13:59:49 +0200 Subject: [ExI] robugs In-Reply-To: <200710111031.l9BAVUk3015084@andromeda.ziaspace.com> References: <200710111031.l9BAVUk3015084@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: <20071011115949.GJ4005@leitl.org> On Wed, Oct 10, 2007 at 06:31:30PM -0700, Spike wrote: > Ja, it was a joke. That was why the original post contained a {8^D. I > thought it entertaining that these protestors thought themselves interesting UAVs (and even military jets overflight) are becoming common to document and protesters. But mostly to intimidate them. Vee are vatching you, and ve haff vays, you know. Do your guys are as good at demolitioning your constitution as ours? Well, it's a contest that only can't be won by not playing. > enough to deploy expensive surveillance gear. I can see more of them than I UAVs are now cheap enough that a single person can buy one. http://video.google.com/videosearch?q=uav And some people will soon learn to fear the open skies, and jam certain frequencies, GPS included. What fun! What next, IEDs? > care to know about from a safe distance with no optical equipment. You can't build a profile without records. And biometrics is next, and area denial (Raytheon style) next still. Until the streets are clear, and there's law, and order. Well, perhaps not law, but certainly order. > > They actually were big dragon flies. They are often seen in Washington... > > I grew up in Florida, where dragonflies are often huge. Protestors that > come to Washington from other parts are often astounded by these monsters. > I thought it hilarious in any case. That doesn't look like dragonflies to me http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/video/2007/10/04/VI2007100400958.html > > 1) Why use an expensive experimental insect camera on anti-war > > protesters?... > > Roger that. One of the protestors carried a sign that read "Stop the war > now!" Well, we ARE stopping the war now. Wait until they see what happens > when we stop stopping the war. I hope this is another tongue-in-cheek, because you sure can't turn fish soup back into aquarium again. Or can someone raise over a million dead? I don't think so. I do have some opinions about this, but they're illegal in several places, and I don't want to taint y'all by association. From eugen at leitl.org Thu Oct 11 11:31:18 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 13:31:18 +0200 Subject: [ExI] META: quoting In-Reply-To: <1B75B959-94BE-4FA7-B3B6-679605F51AE2@mac.com> References: <20071008071826.GC4005@leitl.org> <1B75B959-94BE-4FA7-B3B6-679605F51AE2@mac.com> Message-ID: <20071011113118.GH4005@leitl.org> Samantha is now on moderation. On Wed, Oct 10, 2007 at 11:50:38AM -0700, Samantha Atkins wrote: > What? Not that long ago top posting was advised as being less > annoying that having to scan through quotes. Whoever was advising it, wasn't speaking for me. Neither excessive quoting nor top-posting, and especially a combination of both will not be tolerated. Same thing for wta-talk@ If you're not happy, complain to the list owners. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From eugen at leitl.org Thu Oct 11 11:32:39 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 13:32:39 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <001e01c808fb$11843670$00054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <20071011113239.GI4005@leitl.org> On Wed, Oct 10, 2007 at 11:37:36AM -0700, Samantha Atkins wrote: > Thanks a lot for your insightful analysis. NOT. Please stop the > personal attacks now. There will be no reply forthcoming from John Clark, because he complied with the killthread. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From stefano.vaj at gmail.com Wed Oct 10 21:52:08 2007 From: stefano.vaj at gmail.com (Stefano Vaj) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 23:52:08 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Doubts and gas chambers In-Reply-To: <003201c80aae$4e149c60$e7024e0c@MyComputer> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071355m26b85424h1ddb25cc0a816a55@mail.gmail.com> <005201c8096e$9cacc500$88054e0c@MyComputer> <02b601c80a1c$d2631510$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <470BAB1A.1020008@lightlink.com> <003201c80aae$4e149c60$e7024e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <580930c20710101452r36e91fb7pa15a17b9400caabb@mail.gmail.com> On 10/9/07, John K Clark wrote: > So you also think you can prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Americans > were involved in the 911 mass murder. You realize I hope that if you can > really do that then you can send someone to the gas chamber. > But no doubt the proof is similar to the one about my attribution "error". > And that's what makes this crap not only idiotic but scary. No, my point is that more than a reasonable doubt exists that the official version is not "the truth, all the truth, nothing but the truth", which is exactly the opposite. But let us stop that here, unless you can find some H+ connection. Stefano Vaj From natasha at natasha.cc Wed Oct 10 13:22:10 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 08:22:10 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks In-Reply-To: <580930c20710100554j599347ayd4bdaadc782d4d76@mail.gmail.com > References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com> <007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer> <580930c20710081213t5c3d5266ydfe95b4e1437d53b@mail.gmail.com> <580930c20710100554j599347ayd4bdaadc782d4d76@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <200710101322.l9ADMDBi022516@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> Please remove this discussions on conspiracy theories off this list. Thank you, Natasha Natasha Vita-More At 07:54 AM 10/10/2007, you wrote: >On 10/9/07, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > > On 09/10/2007, Stefano Vaj wrote: > > > > > "Conspiracy theorist" being defined as an "Al-Qaeda conspiracy > theorist" or > > > a "Bush administration conspiracy theorist"? > > > > > > Or does it work with both? :-) > > > > He was a Bush administration conspiracy theorist, but I guess it would > > work with both. The striking thing in this case was that he could, > > quite reasonably, point out that many people around the world share > > his beliefs. At this point, there would have been no indication to > > diagnose a mental illness. However, he became increasingly preoccupied > > with proving his theory to the point where he was neglecting his work > > and his family, and eventually started thinking that the Americans > > might try to kill him because he knew too much. > >Why, if it works also with Al-Qaeda/Iraq conspiracy theorists, and one >replace "American" with "Muslims", some might argue that Mr. Bush >himself would correspond quite well to your description... :-) > >Stefano Vaj >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > >-- >No virus found in this incoming message. >Checked by AVG Free Edition. >Version: 7.5.488 / Virus Database: 269.14.6/1060 - Release Date: >10/9/2007 4:43 PM Natasha Vita-More PhD Candidate, CAiiA situated in the Faculty of Technology, School of Computing, Communications and Electronics, University of Plymouth, UK Transhumanist Arts & Culture Thinking About the Future If you draw a circle in the sand and study only what's inside the circle, then that is a closed-system perspective. If you study what is inside the circle and everything outside the circle, then that is an open system perspective. - Buckminster Fuller -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jrd1415 at gmail.com Wed Oct 10 21:11:16 2007 From: jrd1415 at gmail.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Wed, 10 Oct 2007 14:11:16 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> Message-ID: Samantha, The passage below says it all, On 10/10/07, J. Andrew Rogers wrote: > Since you have clearly > spent a lot of time thinking about this, you either refused to > believe the basic engineering explanations, did not understand the > basic engineering explanations, or are doing all your research from > sources so grossly biased that the basic engineering explanation is > not even mentioned. and the operative word is "refused". The proof is simple. The consensus among engineering experts who are ideologically and intellectually neutral and who have studied the facts have concluded that the conspiracy narrative is full-throated hoohah. For your point of view to be correct then, either the expertise of these people would have to be thoroughly imaginary, or all these people would have to be part of the consipracy. Ain't happenin'. Too many progressives like yourself have shredded their credibility by falling for this nutzo nonsense. I won't presume tell you which ideas to believe or to give voice to, but if you value in the least your effectiveness in pursuing a more just world, then you should keep your views on this business to yourself -- Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles From jrd1415 at gmail.com Thu Oct 11 23:00:05 2007 From: jrd1415 at gmail.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 16:00:05 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Intel Completes Photonics Trifecta Message-ID: Not suprising. Not all that exciting. Gradually, quietly, behind the scenes, technical progress moves right along. Does anyone know the ballpark of the increased performance specs of photonic computation? Intel Completes Photonics Trifecta http://www.technologyreview.com/Biztech/19500/page1/ -- Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles From nvitamore at austin.rr.com Thu Oct 11 23:07:24 2007 From: nvitamore at austin.rr.com (nvitamore at austin.rr.com) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 19:07:24 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Cloning / Growing Human Organs for Transplanting Message-ID: <380-220071041123724895@M2W030.mail2web.com> Does anyone have references to literature concerning cloning and growing your own organs to be used now (or stored for later) for transplantation into your own body (as an alternative to xenotransplantation (pigs)). Also, if you aware of any companies doing R&D on cloning and growing personalized organs, please let me know. Many thanks, Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web.com ? Enhanced email for the mobile individual based on Microsoft? Exchange - http://link.mail2web.com/Personal/EnhancedEmail From rpwl at lightlink.com Thu Oct 11 20:40:49 2007 From: rpwl at lightlink.com (Richard Loosemore) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 16:40:49 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> Message-ID: <470E8A51.20305@lightlink.com> Jeff Davis wrote: > Samantha, > > The passage below says it all, > > On 10/10/07, J. Andrew Rogers wrote: > >> Since you have clearly >> spent a lot of time thinking about this, you either refused to >> believe the basic engineering explanations, did not understand the >> basic engineering explanations, or are doing all your research from >> sources so grossly biased that the basic engineering explanation is >> not even mentioned. > > and the operative word is "refused". The proof is simple. The > consensus among engineering experts who are ideologically and > intellectually neutral and who have studied the facts have concluded > that the conspiracy narrative is full-throated hoohah. For your point > of view to be correct then, either the expertise of these people would > have to be thoroughly imaginary, or all these people would have to be > part of the consipracy. Ain't happenin'. > > Too many progressives like yourself have shredded their credibility by > falling for this nutzo nonsense. I won't presume tell you which ideas > to believe or to give voice to, but if you value in the least your > effectiveness in pursuing a more just world, then you should keep your > views on this business to yourself > Jeff, Please be careful about using words like "progressives" in discussing this matter, lest you fall prey to the kind of carelessness you are targetting. "Progressives" do not give credence to the conspiracy theories any more than you do, and my understanding is that Samantha is not coming from a "progressive" POV at all. The vast majority of progressives believe that the attacks were a hideous crime, and that the government was negligent in the extreme, but their position is a million miles away from the idea that someone in the government conspired to perpetrate the attacks. Richard Loosemore From andrew at ceruleansystems.com Thu Oct 11 19:53:03 2007 From: andrew at ceruleansystems.com (J. Andrew Rogers) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 12:53:03 -0700 Subject: [ExI] META: Re: Fascist America, in 10 Easy Steps In-Reply-To: References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> Message-ID: <18027E46-5A82-4BCD-8F2E-08506E6E07FF@ceruleansystems.com> FYI, this thread was officially killed. I was remiss in responding to it in the first place, mostly because I didn't notice that it was supposed to be dead. I'm replying here just in case anyone else missed it. J. Andrew Rogers On Oct 10, 2007, at 2:11 PM, Jeff Davis wrote: > Samantha, > > The passage below says it all, > > On 10/10/07, J. Andrew Rogers wrote: > >> Since you have clearly >> spent a lot of time thinking about this, you either refused to >> believe the basic engineering explanations, did not understand the >> basic engineering explanations, or are doing all your research from >> sources so grossly biased that the basic engineering explanation is >> not even mentioned. > > and the operative word is "refused". The proof is simple. The > consensus among engineering experts who are ideologically and > intellectually neutral and who have studied the facts have concluded > that the conspiracy narrative is full-throated hoohah. For your point > of view to be correct then, either the expertise of these people would > have to be thoroughly imaginary, or all these people would have to be > part of the consipracy. Ain't happenin'. > > Too many progressives like yourself have shredded their credibility by > falling for this nutzo nonsense. I won't presume tell you which ideas > to believe or to give voice to, but if you value in the least your > effectiveness in pursuing a more just world, then you should keep your > views on this business to yourself > > -- > Best, Jeff Davis > > "Everything's hard till you > know how to do it." > Ray Charles > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > From andres at thoughtware.tv Thu Oct 11 05:42:53 2007 From: andres at thoughtware.tv (Andres Colon) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 01:42:53 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Thoughtware.TV: New Scientist Video -Quest For Immortality Message-ID: New Scientist is introducing transhumanism to the public. Have you seen the video yet? They have interviewed Nick Bostrom, Anders Sandberg and Aubrey de Grey. Members have already added it at Thoughtware.TV: http://www.thoughtware.tv/videos/show/853 The topics covered are: Uploading, Repair and Reverse of Aging, Transhumanism and common questions regarding these possible scenarios. Come Watch it. If you want to share it just copy the embed code and redistribute it all over the web or share the link. Enjoy! Andres, Thoughtware.TV - " ...take your positive H+ memes, put them in a bag and head out with them in search of adventure" -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From kanzure at gmail.com Fri Oct 12 00:23:42 2007 From: kanzure at gmail.com (Bryan Bishop) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 19:23:42 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Cloning / Growing Human Organs for Transplanting In-Reply-To: <380-220071041123724895@M2W030.mail2web.com> References: <380-220071041123724895@M2W030.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <200710111923.42312.kanzure@gmail.com> Natasha, I went off to search ScienceDirect, SpringerLink, and whatever else Google has picked up in the last two or three years on this research (but not yet Scholar). There's a surprisingly large lack of organ cloning research going on. However, I do have some links on cloning topics in general, perhaps some cross-references over on PubMed Central can help track things down: How to clone a human v1.1 http://www.biofact.com/cloning/human.html "References salient to SCNT" http://home.cfl.rr.com/chaosdriven/references.html Human cloning handbook http://home.cfl.rr.com/chaosdriven/hch.html Growing new organs (2000) http://www.bio.net/bionet/mm/cellbiol/2000-February/012238.html Nature's blueprints to growing organs (2002) http://www.usatoday.com/news/health/2002-01-23-cover-organs.htm Successful lab-grown bladder transplant (2006) http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=06/04/04/1455259 http://www.physorg.com/news63362878.html Lab grown skin? (questionable) (1999) http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=99/10/06/0740209 And I remember finding this weird website one day: http://babytron.com/ - Bryan On Thursday 11 October 2007 18:07, nvitamore at austin.rr.com wrote: > Does anyone have references to literature concerning cloning and > growing your own organs to be used now (or stored for later) for > transplantation into your own body (as an alternative to > xenotransplantation (pigs)). Also, if > you aware of any companies doing R&D on cloning and growing > personalized organs, please let me know. > > Many thanks, > Natasha From lcorbin at rawbw.com Fri Oct 12 01:21:55 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 18:21:55 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Top ten dumbest remarks References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><011b01c8076b$d7df2640$93044e0c@MyComputer><580930c20710071207i36b2538fw4f47538cda88b2ee@mail.gmail.com><007801c80920$6a151870$1d054e0c@MyComputer><580930c20710081213t5c3d5266ydfe95b4e1437d53b@mail.gmail.com><580930c20710100554j599347ayd4bdaadc782d4d76@mail.gmail.com> <200710101322.l9ADMDBi022516@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> Message-ID: <008601c80c6e$d7647500$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Natasha writes > Please remove this discussions on conspiracy theories off this list. Well, that's clearer than your first message. I wasn't real certain just what you were asking be halted. Even so, "this discussions" could still mean this particular thread, or discussion theories in all aspects. I thought that the first warning was with regard to 9-11 details. > Thank you, > Natasha Lee From lcorbin at rawbw.com Fri Oct 12 01:27:19 2007 From: lcorbin at rawbw.com (Lee Corbin) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 18:27:19 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Progressives References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> <470E8A51.20305@lightlink.com> Message-ID: <008901c80c6f$8b9107a0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> I just happened to email Jeff on this same subject, but Richard has now raised my query explicitly. > Please be careful about using words like "progressives" in discussing > this matter, lest you fall prey to the kind of carelessness you are > targetting. > > "Progressives" do not give credence to the conspiracy theories any more > than you do, and my understanding is that Samantha is not coming from a > "progressive" POV at all. > > The vast majority of progressives believe that.... Are most of the people I used to rail against as (American) "liberals" now calling themselves "progressives"? For those who are, is there much consciousness, do you think, of a link with the historical Progressive Movement of 1890 - 1920? (See the wikipedia article.) The very psychology of changing labels---if not orientations---is very interesting and reflects something about our thought processes (or at least about the thought processes of some of us). Lee From eugen at leitl.org Fri Oct 12 06:36:46 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 08:36:46 +0200 Subject: [ExI] META: moderation notice Message-ID: <20071012063646.GY4005@leitl.org> Jeff Davis is now on moderation. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From eugen at leitl.org Fri Oct 12 06:47:56 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 08:47:56 +0200 Subject: [ExI] META: moderation notice Message-ID: <20071012064756.GB4005@leitl.org> Lee Corbin lcorbin at rawbw.com is now on moderation. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From eugen at leitl.org Fri Oct 12 06:49:02 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 08:49:02 +0200 Subject: [ExI] META: moderation notice Message-ID: <20071012064902.GC4005@leitl.org> Stefano Vaj stefano.vaj at gmail.com is now on moderation. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From eugen at leitl.org Fri Oct 12 06:52:44 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 08:52:44 +0200 Subject: [ExI] META: moderation notice Message-ID: <20071012065244.GE4005@leitl.org> Richard Loosemore is now on moderation. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From natasha at natasha.cc Fri Oct 12 14:14:44 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 09:14:44 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Please indicate if you have any one of the following: Message-ID: <200710121414.l9CEEmws001958@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> Last night I had to fill out a form for an MRI. It was a regular, usual form, nothing out of the ordinary. Had a drawing of a body, front and back. The list has such items listed as: electronic implant or device Magnetically-activated implant or device Magnet therapy patch Neurostimulation system Spinal cord stimulator Internal electrodes or wires Bone growth/bone/fusion stimulator Implanted drug infusion device Any type of prosthesis/implant (eye, penile, etc.) Eyelid spring or wire Artificial or prosthetic limb Radiation seeds or implants Tissue expander (and the lists goes on....) When I see it in black and white, written down on a form, I have to laugh at how cyborgization of body is an every day affair. Natasha From eugen at leitl.org Fri Oct 12 15:54:12 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 17:54:12 +0200 Subject: [ExI] META: moderation notification Message-ID: <20071012155412.GY4005@leitl.org> Richard Loosemore has been removed from moderation. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From natasha at natasha.cc Fri Oct 12 14:00:41 2007 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 09:00:41 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Cloning / Growing Human Organs for Transplanting In-Reply-To: <200710111923.42312.kanzure@gmail.com> References: <380-220071041123724895@M2W030.mail2web.com> <200710111923.42312.kanzure@gmail.com> Message-ID: <200710121401.l9CE13As008617@ms-smtp-04.texas.rr.com> At 07:23 PM 10/11/2007, Brian wrote: >I went off to search ScienceDirect, SpringerLink, and whatever else >Google has picked up in the last two or three years on this research >(but not yet Scholar). There's a surprisingly large lack of organ >cloning research going on. > >However, I do have some links on cloning topics in general, perhaps some >cross-references over on PubMed Central can help track things down: > >Growing new organs (2000) >http://www.bio.net/bionet/mm/cellbiol/2000-February/012238.html > >Nature's blueprints to growing organs (2002) >http://www.usatoday.com/news/health/2002-01-23-cover-organs.htm > >Successful lab-grown bladder transplant (2006) >http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=06/04/04/1455259 >http://www.physorg.com/news63362878.html > >Lab grown skin? (questionable) (1999) >http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=99/10/06/0740209 These are great. Thank you. Natasha From hkhenson at rogers.com Fri Oct 12 16:47:40 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 09:47:40 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Please indicate if you have any one of the following: In-Reply-To: <200710121414.l9CEEmws001958@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> References: <200710121414.l9CEEmws001958@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> Message-ID: <1192207592_37972@S4.cableone.net> At 07:14 AM 10/12/2007, Natasha wrote: >Last night I had to fill out a form for an MRI. It was a regular, >usual form, nothing out of the ordinary. Had a drawing of a body, >front and back. > >The list has such items listed as: > >electronic implant or device >Magnetically-activated implant or device >Magnet therapy patch >Neurostimulation system >Spinal cord stimulator >Internal electrodes or wires >Bone growth/bone/fusion stimulator >Implanted drug infusion device >Any type of prosthesis/implant (eye, penile, etc.) >Eyelid spring or wire >Artificial or prosthetic limb >Radiation seeds or implants >Tissue expander > >(and the lists goes on....) > >When I see it in black and white, written down on a form, I have to >laugh at how cyborgization of body is an every day affair. I don't know if the big magnet would rip something magnetic out of a person, but those big magnets are *dangerous.* Few years ago I was talking to a MRI tech who told me about the time someone brought a steel E cylinder into the room in spite of all the warnings to keep iron out. About 15 or 20 feet from the magnet the cylinder ripped loose at 50 g acceleration and went into the magnet bore at about the velocity of an 18th century cannon ball. Fortunately nobody was in the way. Took 6 days to cycle the magnet down, pull out the oxygen cylinder and bring the magnet back up to strength. Keith From brent.allsop at comcast.net Fri Oct 12 18:06:29 2007 From: brent.allsop at comcast.net (Brent Allsop) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 12:06:29 -0600 Subject: [ExI] Please indicate if you have any one of the following: In-Reply-To: <1192207592_37972@S4.cableone.net> References: <200710121414.l9CEEmws001958@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> <1192207592_37972@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <470FB7A5.60209@comcast.net> Natasha, I've got two plates, and a bunch of screws holding my left elbow together. See: http://home.comcast.net/~brent.allsop/04_12_24_elbow1.jpg Also, I am a diabetic, so I take insulin, and use a monitoring device to know how much I need to take. They now have artificial pancreases (for both inside and external to the body) that do parts of this, at least temporarily, already, but I'm looking forward to the day when they perfect something that is as good as the original. For 25 years now, since I was diagnosed with this, they've been claiming they'll have this in another 5 years. Unfortunately, they're still saying about another 5 years. In another 5 years or so, I may start to believe them! I'm not dead yet! ;) Thanks for that fascinating list letting me know that I'm no longer so unique! Brent Allsop From kevin at kevinfreels.com Fri Oct 12 18:33:53 2007 From: kevin at kevinfreels.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 13:33:53 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Please indicate if you have any one of the following: In-Reply-To: <200710121414.l9CEEmws001958@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> References: <200710121414.l9CEEmws001958@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> Message-ID: <470FBE11.20006@kevinfreels.com> It's fascinating. But what concerns me is that as we continue to increase the number and complexity of devices, we may have to find a new way to get the data we now receive from an MRI. Natasha Vita-More wrote: > Last night I had to fill out a form for an MRI. It was a regular, > usual form, nothing out of the ordinary. Had a drawing of a body, > front and back. > > The list has such items listed as: > > electronic implant or device > Magnetically-activated implant or device > Magnet therapy patch > Neurostimulation system > Spinal cord stimulator > Internal electrodes or wires > Bone growth/bone/fusion stimulator > Implanted drug infusion device > Any type of prosthesis/implant (eye, penile, etc.) > Eyelid spring or wire > Artificial or prosthetic limb > Radiation seeds or implants > Tissue expander > > (and the lists goes on....) > > When I see it in black and white, written down on a form, I have to > laugh at how cyborgization of body is an every day affair. > > Natasha > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > From kevin at kevinfreels.com Fri Oct 12 18:36:45 2007 From: kevin at kevinfreels.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 13:36:45 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Please indicate if you have any one of the following: In-Reply-To: <1192207592_37972@S4.cableone.net> References: <200710121414.l9CEEmws001958@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> <1192207592_37972@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <470FBEBD.7030209@kevinfreels.com> There are many excellent videos on youtube that show what happens when someone has a metallic object in the room with an MRI. One is a chair that flies up in the air and gets stuck to it! Neat stuff. hkhenson wrote: > At 07:14 AM 10/12/2007, Natasha wrote: > > >> Last night I had to fill out a form for an MRI. It was a regular, >> usual form, nothing out of the ordinary. Had a drawing of a body, >> front and back. >> >> The list has such items listed as: >> >> electronic implant or device >> Magnetically-activated implant or device >> Magnet therapy patch >> Neurostimulation system >> Spinal cord stimulator >> Internal electrodes or wires >> Bone growth/bone/fusion stimulator >> Implanted drug infusion device >> Any type of prosthesis/implant (eye, penile, etc.) >> Eyelid spring or wire >> Artificial or prosthetic limb >> Radiation seeds or implants >> Tissue expander >> >> (and the lists goes on....) >> >> When I see it in black and white, written down on a form, I have to >> laugh at how cyborgization of body is an every day affair. >> > > I don't know if the big magnet would rip something magnetic out of a > person, but those big magnets are *dangerous.* > > Few years ago I was talking to a MRI tech who told me about the time > someone brought a steel E cylinder into the room in spite of all the > warnings to keep iron out. About 15 or 20 feet from the magnet the > cylinder ripped loose at 50 g acceleration and went into the magnet > bore at about the velocity of an 18th century cannon > ball. Fortunately nobody was in the way. Took 6 days to cycle the > magnet down, pull out the oxygen cylinder and bring the magnet back > up to strength. > > Keith > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jef at jefallbright.net Fri Oct 12 17:30:58 2007 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 10:30:58 -0700 Subject: [ExI] TED | Talks | Hod Lipson: Robots that are "self-aware" (video) In-Reply-To: <22360fa10710121028l2193b9e8mf4f125ed6476c9bb@mail.gmail.com> References: <22360fa10710121028l2193b9e8mf4f125ed6476c9bb@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: Hod Lipson demonstrates a few of his cool little robots, which have the ability to learn, understand themselves and even self-replicate. At the root of this uncanny demo is a deep inquiry into the nature of how humans and living beings learn and evolve, and how we might harness these processes to make things that learn and evolve. TED | Talks | Hod Lipson: Robots that are "self-aware" (video) From brentn at freeshell.org Fri Oct 12 22:34:31 2007 From: brentn at freeshell.org (Brent Neal) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 18:34:31 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Please indicate if you have any one of the following: In-Reply-To: <470FBEBD.7030209@kevinfreels.com> References: <200710121414.l9CEEmws001958@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> <1192207592_37972@S4.cableone.net> <470FBEBD.7030209@kevinfreels.com> Message-ID: On Oct 12, 2007, at 14:36, Kevin Freels wrote: > There are many excellent videos on youtube that show what happens > when someone has a metallic object in the room with an MRI. One is > a chair that flies up in the air and gets stuck to it! Neat stuff. I remember watching Quinn Norton talking about the rare earth magnet she had implanted in her finger that gave her a "sixth sense" for EM fields. (I believe this was her talk to the CCC ) The magnet had shattered in her finger, and her doctor had warned her that if any slivers of it were still in her finger, and she had an MRI done, she'd better make damned sure that none of the rest of her would be between that finger and the magnet... :) B -- Brent Neal http://brentn.freeshell.org From andres at thoughtware.tv Sat Oct 13 00:27:59 2007 From: andres at thoughtware.tv (Andres Colon) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 20:27:59 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Please indicate if you have any one of the following Message-ID: Fascinating! I'm glad you shared this Natasha :-) "...The list has such items listed as: electronic implant or device Magnetically-activated implant or device Magnet therapy patch Neurostimulation system Spinal cord stimulator Internal electrodes or wires Bone growth/bone/fusion stimulator Implanted drug infusion device Any type of prosthesis/implant (eye, penile, etc.) Eyelid spring or wire Artificial or prosthetic limb Radiation seeds or implants Tissue expander (and the lists goes on....) When I see it in black and white, written down on a form, I have to laugh at how cyborgization of body is an every day affair. Natasha" -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike66 at att.net Sat Oct 13 02:37:36 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 19:37:36 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Hey, cool! ...According to the report, "a single kilometer-wide band of geosynchronous earth orbit experiences enough solar flux in one year to nearly equal the amount of energy contained within all known recoverable conventional oil reserves on Earth today." http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,301479,00.html {8-] spike From aiguy at comcast.net Sat Oct 13 03:44:25 2007 From: aiguy at comcast.net (Gary Miller) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 23:44:25 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: <009a01c80d4b$5971aef0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> In what form is the energy being beamed back to Earth? If Microwaves or lasers this sounds like it could easily be used as a war machine making it a high value target in any conflict we are likely to find ourselves in. Also if the targeting system was ever hacked or malfunctioned it could become a more powerful terrorist weapon than an atomic bomb by lighting major cities a blaze or bombarding highly populated areas with intense microwaves. I would love for this form of power be the solution to all of our energy problems but I can't see this happening without major opposition from other countries and skeptics who would fear the worst perhaps with good reason. I understand that the government would build in lots of failsafe mechanisms. But sell other countries and the average American on the infallibility of such a system would be nearly impossible. When I compare this in my mind to new nuclear designs, the nuclear seems a lot less controversial and easier to implement and we're have trouble getting any of those approved. >> Hey, cool! ...According to the report, "a single kilometer-wide band of geosynchronous earth orbit experiences enough solar flux in one year to nearly equal the amount of energy contained within all known recoverable conventional oil reserves on Earth today." http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,301479,00.html {8-] spike _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat No virus found in this incoming message. Checked by AVG Free Edition. Version: 7.5.488 / Virus Database: 269.14.8/1064 - Release Date: 10/11/2007 3:09 PM No virus found in this outgoing message. Checked by AVG Free Edition. Version: 7.5.488 / Virus Database: 269.14.8/1064 - Release Date: 10/11/2007 3:09 PM From hkhenson at rogers.com Sat Oct 13 04:39:48 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 21:39:48 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <009a01c80d4b$5971aef0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <009a01c80d4b$5971aef0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> Message-ID: <1192250321_71738@S1.cableone.net> At 08:44 PM 10/12/2007, you wrote: >In what form is the energy being beamed back to Earth? > >If Microwaves or lasers this sounds like it could easily be used as a war >machine making it a high value >target in any conflict we are likely to find ourselves in. This was developed back in the heart of the cold war, so the design was such that they could not be used as weapons. The microwave beam is only about 1/4 as intense as sunlight for that reason (but the collector are a lot more efficient and less expensive). They can't be focused any better because they are at the diffraction limit for the wavelength being generated by the transmitting antenna. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airy_disk Put in the numbers for the distance to GEO and the wave length and the transmission diameter >Also if the targeting system was ever hacked or malfunctioned it could >become a more powerful terrorist weapon than an >atomic bomb by lighting major cities a blaze or bombarding highly populated >areas with intense microwaves. In order for the power to come down where it is wanted, the designers had to use a pilot beam that phases all the transmitters. If that failed, the transmitter disk went incoherent and the microwaves no longer focused. Now you could capture the beam with a mobile pilot beam transmitter and drive from a rectenna into town dragging the beam along with you. But it's not much of a weapon when it will only add about 25% to the sunlight and can be warded off by a tinfoil hat. Lasers, because they have a *much* shorter wavelength are a different story. I once did a story (though I can't find it now) about someone on a speaking platform who calls for ghod to strike him down if he is not telling the truth. There is a shaft of light from the heavens and a cloud of smoke drift's downwind. >I would love for this form of power be the solution to all of our energy >problems but I can't see this happening without >major opposition from other countries and skeptics who would fear the worst >perhaps with good reason. There is a decent case to be made (I made it here recently) that SPS energy could get down to the point of making dollar a gallon fuel. There is no other carbon free method for making baseload power except nuclear. >I understand that the government would build in lots of failsafe mechanisms. >But sell other countries and the average >American on the infallibility of such a system would be nearly impossible. > >When I compare this in my mind to new nuclear designs, the nuclear seems a >lot less controversial and easier to >implement and we're have trouble getting any of those approved. There is an unrecognized problem with anything that generates neutrons. They can be used with a little plumbing and some depleted uranium to make exceptionally high grade plutonium, stuff you can convert into bombs with the resources of a decent sized street gang. The *big* problem with SPS is getting 2000 tons a day out to GEO. Think 2 Saturn 5 launches an hour. But if you can make a moving cable space elevator, you can do it with a big motor driving the cable. Keith From eugen at leitl.org Sat Oct 13 12:48:25 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 14:48:25 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> On Fri, Oct 12, 2007 at 07:37:36PM -0700, Spike wrote: > ...According to the report, "a single kilometer-wide band of geosynchronous > earth orbit experiences enough solar flux in one year to nearly equal the > amount of energy contained within all known recoverable conventional oil > reserves on Earth today." > > http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,301479,00.html IIRC 0.0001 of total insolation on Earth surface is enough to cover humanity's current energy needs. You don't need to launch your house into space, it can stay right where it is. http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nullenergiehaus http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plusenergiehaus Plenty of links there. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From aiguy at comcast.net Sat Oct 13 14:05:14 2007 From: aiguy at comcast.net (Gary Miller) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 10:05:14 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> Eugene said "You don't need to launch your house into space, it can stay right where it is." Traditional solar energy and solar efficient home designs may be practical for those living in the sunbelt or the desert but for those of us with snow and grey sky much of the year we're still going to have to depend on other sources of power. No virus found in this outgoing message. Checked by AVG Free Edition. Version: 7.5.488 / Virus Database: 269.14.9/1067 - Release Date: 10/12/2007 6:02 PM From sjatkins at mac.com Sat Oct 13 07:07:54 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 00:07:54 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: <147A42E4-92E2-4248-AF9E-2853DBF3A473@mac.com> Does anyone know what the danger is from geosynchronous "space junk"? I would expect most of the junk is in lower orbits but it seems like a good thing to know in planning such a large orbital project. - samantha On Oct 12, 2007, at 7:37 PM, Spike wrote: > > > Hey, cool! > > ...According to the report, "a single kilometer-wide band of > geosynchronous > earth orbit experiences enough solar flux in one year to nearly > equal the > amount of energy contained within all known recoverable conventional > oil > reserves on Earth today." > > http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,301479,00.html > > {8-] > > spike > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From sjatkins at mac.com Fri Oct 12 04:49:58 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 11 Oct 2007 21:49:58 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Progressives In-Reply-To: <008901c80c6f$8b9107a0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> <470E8A51.20305@lightlink.com> <008901c80c6f$8b9107a0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> Message-ID: <1025FED3-32BF-4E65-AB54-E63B1141AAC3@mac.com> Personally I don't use such simplistic labels for myself or anyone else as "progressive". I thought we all claimed "upwinger" or some such anyway. - s From eugen at leitl.org Sat Oct 13 14:48:41 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 16:48:41 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> Message-ID: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> On Sat, Oct 13, 2007 at 10:05:14AM -0400, Gary Miller wrote: > Traditional solar energy and solar efficient home designs may be practical > for those living in the sunbelt or the desert but for those of us with snow Look at the links I sent. Germany and Switzerland can hardly be called the sunbelt. > and grey sky much of the year we're still going to have to depend on other Diffuse light is still light. Good insulation is equally important both for hot and cold climates. In coastal regions/north there's typically plenty of wind, which is also just the big fusion plant in the sky, repackaged. So is hydro, and so is fossil (at a lousy efficiency), and so is biomass. Even fissible elements have been produced in stellar explosions. > sources of power. There are not many people living around the arctic circle. There's plenty of daylight during the summer there, and you have to do something about the winter, agreed. I'm not dissing solar satellites. Far from it. But that's not how you get away from burning dead dinos. Small and cheap and DIY is the ticket. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From eugen at leitl.org Sat Oct 13 14:49:32 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 16:49:32 +0200 Subject: [ExI] META: moderation notice Message-ID: <20071013144932.GS4005@leitl.org> Samantha Atkins is no longer on moderation. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From pharos at gmail.com Sat Oct 13 15:41:12 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 16:41:12 +0100 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: On 10/13/07, Eugen Leitl wrote: > I'm not dissing solar satellites. Far from it. But that's not how > you get away from burning dead dinos. Small and cheap and DIY is > the ticket. > Article in today's Times newspaper: Saving energy at home could take 200 years to repay its cost. The Energy Performance Certificates which are now required with all Home Information Packs for houses with three or more bedrooms list eight measures to secure a high rating of A or B against a poor rating of F or G. But the study from the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors shows that some of the measures, such as solar panels to heat water, would cost ?5,000 to install but reduce average bills by only ?24 a year and would take about 208 years to pay back. ----------------- The RICS Excel spreadsheet is here: ------------------- Some of the comments on the article say that their cost figures seem high. I suspect this is because they have assumed professional installation not DIY. Cavity wall insulation seems to be the only worthwhile enhancement to pay contractors to install. If you are fit, then DIY loft insulation is also worth doing. Legislation in the UK stops DIY work on gas and electrical installations. So solar power has to have a substantial cost reduction before it becomes practical. I keep reading articles predicting cost breakthroughs in solar cells, so hopefully price reductions will be coming soon. BillK From spike66 at att.net Sat Oct 13 17:28:01 2007 From: spike66 at att.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 10:28:01 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <200710131727.l9DHRtns018504@andromeda.ziaspace.com> > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of BillK ... > > But the study from the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors shows > that some of the measures, such as solar panels to heat water, would > cost ?5,000 to install but reduce average bills by only ?24 a year and > would take about 208 years to pay back.... BillK Bill, once interest is taken into account, this is a dead loss, no payback in 200 years or ever. There are conservation measures which have a payback in excess of current interest rates, such as installation of solar water heating and in some cases PV panels. It is actually a threat to renewable energy sources when investments are made which fail to return at least the prime lending rate. We had that situation in the states back in the 70s and early 80s when some state governments subsidized solar collectors, most of which were quietly removed after some time. spike From hkhenson at rogers.com Sat Oct 13 18:03:44 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 11:03:44 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <147A42E4-92E2-4248-AF9E-2853DBF3A473@mac.com> References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <147A42E4-92E2-4248-AF9E-2853DBF3A473@mac.com> Message-ID: <1192298558_88565@S4.cableone.net> At 12:07 AM 10/13/2007, samantha wrote: >Does anyone know what the danger is from geosynchronous "space junk"? >I would expect most of the junk is in lower orbits but it seems like a >good thing to know in planning such a large orbital project. If you are *in* GEO, it's all going the same speed. But re "junk," a critical part of a space elevator project would be to clean up as much as you could, both because you don't want it banging into and cutting the cables and because you *need* the junk for the space elevator counterweight. If you have more junk than you need, you store it at the GEO station. Very large masses at GEO make the consequences of a cable cut less of a problem. Keith From eugen at leitl.org Sat Oct 13 18:35:09 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 20:35:09 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20071013183509.GU4005@leitl.org> On Sat, Oct 13, 2007 at 04:41:12PM +0100, BillK wrote: > Article in today's Times newspaper: > > > Saving energy at home could take 200 years to repay its cost. Bulllllllshit. Saving is all about the costs. http://www.passivhaustagung.de/Passivhaus_D/Graue_Energie_und_Passivhaus_2007.htm This is not just money, this is energy ROI over life time. > The Energy Performance Certificates which are now required with all > Home Information Packs for houses with three or more bedrooms list > eight measures to secure a high rating of A or B against a poor rating > of F or G. > > But the study from the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors shows > that some of the measures, such as solar panels to heat water, would > cost ?5,000 to install but reduce average bills by only ?24 a year and How about 60% less heating costs, every year? > would take about 208 years to pay back. How about after 8 years, worst case? > Some of the comments on the article say that their cost figures seem > high. I suspect this is because they have assumed professional > installation not DIY. 8 years is for professional installation. DIY is probably 3-5 years. > Cavity wall insulation seems to be the only worthwhile enhancement to Insulation is the investment with highest ROI. Solar thermal is the next item. Somewhen much later is lighting. http://www.economist.com/surveys/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9217972 Irrational incandescence indeed. > pay contractors to install. If you are fit, then DIY loft insulation > is also worth doing. > > Legislation in the UK stops DIY work on gas and electrical installations. Sounds like a good thing. Certainly not a show-stopper. > So solar power has to have a substantial cost reduction before it > becomes practical. I keep reading articles predicting cost If I drive around the neighborhood, I would say that solar has become practical a decade ago, at least. Did I mention that the place I rent out is heated by geothermal, Kalina cycle? > breakthroughs in solar cells, so hopefully price reductions will be > coming soon. PV is only about electricity. Crossover outside of niches (it has already occured in temporal and spatial niches) there should happen within the next decade, depending on development of fossil costs and whether the market can meet demand, so that prices don't stay up. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From dmasten at piratelabs.org Sat Oct 13 18:52:09 2007 From: dmasten at piratelabs.org (David Masten) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 11:52:09 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <147A42E4-92E2-4248-AF9E-2853DBF3A473@mac.com> References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <147A42E4-92E2-4248-AF9E-2853DBF3A473@mac.com> Message-ID: <1192301529.23110.10.camel@localhost> On Sat, 2007-10-13 at 00:07 -0700, Samantha Atkins wrote: > Does anyone know what the danger is from geosynchronous "space junk"? > I would expect most of the junk is in lower orbits but it seems like a > good thing to know in planning such a large orbital project. Somewhere between minimal and none. Satellite operators pretty much own their 'slots' in practice so they keep their slots clean - retired satellites are put in a lower junkyard orbit. But this raises an interesting question - what slots are these space solar satellites going to occupy? Most of the useful slots (i.e. the ones visible from industrialized nations) are already filled. Dave From eugen at leitl.org Sat Oct 13 19:22:38 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 21:22:38 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <200710131727.l9DHRtns018504@andromeda.ziaspace.com> References: <200710131727.l9DHRtns018504@andromeda.ziaspace.com> Message-ID: <20071013192238.GY4005@leitl.org> On Sat, Oct 13, 2007 at 10:28:01AM -0700, Spike wrote: > Bill, once interest is taken into account, this is a dead loss, no payback Spike, you took his numbers at face value. The numbers are complete bogus. > in 200 years or ever. There are conservation measures which have a payback If I take interest into account, I'm losing money at 4.5% day account (I'm only keeping a modest sum there because I can pull it out within hours, and the bank is reinsured against bankruptcy). I'm losing money because the real inflation rate is considerably higher than the 2-3% officially reported. Any higher interest requires committing for longer. Sorry, can't do that, Dave. The U.S. dollar is teetring on the brink of the collapse, and once the US economy has tanked (it is currently in the process), the rest of the world is very soon to go boom, like a lead baloon. We used to have discussions here about irrational exhuberance, and the hyperboom market being the outskirts of the Singularity, etc. Several of us here were warning it was a bubble. Well, it was a bubble, and many people here took considerable hits after .bomb. Some people (not necessarily here0 even lost their complete assets they saved up for retirement. Then, we had the housing bubble. It was also quite clear it was a bubble, about to pop. It popped, and will continue deflating for the next year, or so, until the regular niveau (slightly above half, or less of peak) is reached. Okay, I hate to sound like Kassandra, but there is another one coming. And it's nasty. Make your preparations. > in excess of current interest rates, such as installation of solar water I consider me buying a wood/coal oven, investing in insulation and passive solar and geothermy an excellent investment, anticipating a giant hike of methane prices, and quite likely outages. Methane is great, except it comes from a single source, and you can't store it. Oops. > heating and in some cases PV panels. > > It is actually a threat to renewable energy sources when investments are > made which fail to return at least the prime lending rate. We had that > situation in the states back in the 70s and early 80s when some state > governments subsidized solar collectors, most of which were quietly removed > after some time. >From what little I know about, the U.S. technology back then was crud. Solar industry is booming over here (some 300 k jobs there -- this means a lot in the current economy and the small population size). There's probably a reason why it is booming. I'll make another prediction (hey, these are cheap), and wage that burning dead dinos will become a rapidly shrinking item in another decade, tops in in two. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From aiguy at comcast.net Sat Oct 13 19:50:46 2007 From: aiguy at comcast.net (Gary Miller) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 15:50:46 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071013183509.GU4005@leitl.org> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org><00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2><20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <20071013183509.GU4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <00e501c80dd2$5f3d3840$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> >> Insulation is the investment with highest ROI. Solar thermal is the next item. Somewhen much later is lighting There is quite a bit of concern with too much insulation making a house too airtight and causing it to accumulate too high of concentrations of carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, fumes from cleaning chemicals, radon, mold, smoke particles from cooking, fireplaces, and second hand smoke, and even the older types of insulation typical in the 70's itself. http://www.cdc.gov/nasd/docs/d001201-d001300/d001242/d001242.html Some of these contaminents can be removed by HEPA filtration systems but many of units sold are not effective at removing enough of the smaller particles. Ground Pile Geothermal in this article is being quoted as having a 3.8 year payback. http://www.geothermie.de/oberflaechennahe/description_of_ground_source_typ.h tm But back about 5 years ago when I was thinking of converting my traditional electric furnace system to a ground pile system the payback worked out to about 8 years for some reason, so I didn't go foreward with it. No virus found in this outgoing message. Checked by AVG Free Edition. Version: 7.5.488 / Virus Database: 269.14.9/1067 - Release Date: 10/12/2007 6:02 PM From jonkc at att.net Sat Oct 13 20:09:57 2007 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 16:09:57 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org><00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> "Eugen Leitl" > I'm not dissing solar satellites. Far from it. But that's not how you get > away from burning dead dinos. Small and cheap and DIY is the ticket. And I'm not dissing insulation or solar heating or getting rid of incandescent light bulbs, but as you say all these things are very small and if you want to get away from dead dinosaurs somebody is going to have find something HUGE. It would take 84 square miles of photovoltaic cells to equal the energy of one gas station according to the CEO of Exxon. In the USA alone there are about 20,000 gas stations. It seems to me that the only technology able to take a significant chunk out of oil right now is nuclear fission. Fusion maybe someday, although from the 1950's it's always been 30 years away. John K Clark From pharos at gmail.com Sat Oct 13 20:35:37 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 21:35:37 +0100 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071013192238.GY4005@leitl.org> References: <200710131727.l9DHRtns018504@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <20071013192238.GY4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: On 10/13/07, Eugen Leitl wrote: > > Spike, you took his numbers at face value. The numbers are complete bogus. > The numbers are issued by the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors. Every house that is bought and sold in the UK is surveyed and reported on by their members. I doubt that they intend to ruin their reputation by producing rubbish figures. Their spreadsheet says a typical price for a home solar water heater, Thermal Panels, (flat plate type), professionally installed, would be ?5,000. A quick Google of UK prices indicates that this is not a ridiculous figure. They estimate an energy saving of ?24 per year. This is where the finger in the air assumptions enter. Water heating is estimated at 25% to 30% of the total home energy bill. Solar panels may save up to 50% of this, depending on latitude, shade, building alignment, etc. And a solar system uses mains electricity to drive the pumps. There are actually about a dozen variables, with assumptions, that should be included, so really it is anybody's guess. (And fuel prices in the UK are probably different to Germany). But so far, in the UK, it is not at all obvious that everyone should rush out and get solar water heating installed. Wait and see is safer at present. BillK From hkhenson at rogers.com Sat Oct 13 22:56:52 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 15:56:52 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> At 01:09 PM 10/13/2007, John K Clark wrote: >And I'm not dissing insulation or solar heating or getting rid of >incandescent light bulbs, but as you say all these things are very small >and if you want to get away from dead dinosaurs somebody is going to >have find something HUGE. That's why I worked backwards from doing something HUGE, replacing all US coal plants in a year. That's where 2000 tons a day to GEO comes from. >It would take 84 square miles of photovoltaic >cells to equal the energy of one gas station according to the CEO of Exxon. >In the USA alone there are about 20,000 gas stations. > >It seems to me that the only technology able to take a significant chunk out >of oil right now is nuclear fission. Fusion maybe someday, although from >the 1950's it's always been 30 years away. Both fusion and fission generate neutrons. There is a really big problem in that neutrons can be silently diverted into making Pu 239. The problem will only be recognized when a city is terror nuked without warning. Also, the biggest use of oil is transport fuel, and that not easy to displace with fission. It can be done, but the resultant fuel will be very expensive. See my discussion on dollar gasoline here a while back. Keith From ka.aly at luxsci.net Sat Oct 13 22:52:27 2007 From: ka.aly at luxsci.net (Khaled Aly) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 00:52:27 +0200 Subject: [ExI] Progressives References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com><65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com><7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com><43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com><580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com><1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org><470E8A51.20305@lightlink.com><008901c80c6f$8b9107a0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1025FED3-32BF-4E65-AB54-E63B1141AAC3@mac.com> Message-ID: <011801c80deb$bee7d840$5ca367d4@pcd> From: "Samantha Atkins" | Personally I don't use such simplistic labels for myself or anyone | else as "progressive". I thought we all claimed "upwinger" or some | such anyway. | ** Regardless of the original topic where the term has occured, which I couldn't locate- not sure if you're against it in terms of a political direction, or of an overly simplistic labels. I quote once more from the American Heritage dictionary "Progressive: 1. Moving forward; advancing; . . . 2. Promoting or favoring polticial reform ; liberal ... etc. ** I am just curious why you consider it a simplistic label. I'm mainly asking because I happen to strongly believe in the word. The opposite is "bakward thinking". And the neutral non-contrary would be "stallment". I am not American and I have no right to argue naming conventions of political wings, if that's the issue here. But I think if the world, with its east and west, Christian and Moslem and Jewish and other populations and 'faiths', did not think progressively; we will never get out of the current global violence swamp that is indeed going to impact just about every nation on Earth. Easily foresee a third world war developing in southwestern Asia because non of the parties involved (help me count how many) is thinking progressively enough. In my own "poor" interpretation of the very word, that would be getting over minor ritual differences and unyielding conflicts of interest for the overall benefit of humanity. Both (or rather either) of the costs of ongoing wars and/or the wealth gained by the polynomial rise in oil prices could have fixed most of the indecent regimes that gain credibility by their people merely due to their falsely presented economical conditions. Progressive may equal "Don't beat them, don't fight them, educate them". It's much easier and it costs much less. Educate them the basic and applied sciences. Then only they will be able to make qualified about the relation of religion to politics. From: "Lee Corbin" | The very psychology of changing labels---if not orientations---is very interesting | and reflects something about our thought processes (or at least about the thought | processes of some of us). ** Well yes, the thought process is supposed and meant to be evolutionary. Changing labels is probably a psychological reaction to the commonly used labels beginning to lose content, and hence lose value. These are not taboos or stereotypes but expressions of thought and behavior. I feel it is perfectly OK to think outside the mainstream academic realm of social and political terms. The word reflects the culture of inducing changes. Wouldn't you agree that "Change is the only constant"? What was the initial debate about BTW :) Cheers ka From thespike at satx.rr.com Sat Oct 13 23:57:52 2007 From: thespike at satx.rr.com (Damien Broderick) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 18:57:52 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Progressives In-Reply-To: <011801c80deb$bee7d840$5ca367d4@pcd> References: <710b78fc0709262234x7adfb2e2ka70fbdbab29440de@mail.gmail.com> <65223E6E-1066-4A79-9C41-8B3D1FA91C13@mac.com> <7d79ed890710012245w499cf4e1m774b4cc6364cb21b@mail.gmail.com> <43436E2A-C275-4D11-B7E7-4287D33B60B8@mac.com> <580930c20710031254q77f4e6f5vd8d4b9d1e26eb5ae@mail.gmail.com> <1191705948.16540.54.camel@xa-1.prd.terraluna.org> <470E8A51.20305@lightlink.com> <008901c80c6f$8b9107a0$6501a8c0@homeef7b612677> <1025FED3-32BF-4E65-AB54-E63B1141AAC3@mac.com> <011801c80deb$bee7d840$5ca367d4@pcd> Message-ID: <7.0.1.0.2.20071013185427.023a4588@satx.rr.com> At 12:52 AM 10/14/2007 +0200, Khaled Aly wrote: >Progressive may equal "Don't beat them, don't fight them, educate them". >It's much easier and it costs much less. Educate them the basic and applied >sciences. People tried to do that in the USA, but it didn't seem to take very well, or at any rate very widely. It's extremely disheartening to see how many of the major names in US science came from somewhere else. :( >Then only they will be able to make qualified about the relation >of religion to politics. See above. Damien Broderick From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Sun Oct 14 04:03:12 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 21:03:12 -0700 Subject: [ExI] SciFi Realty Progam Looking for Volunteers Message-ID: http://www.scifi.com/braintrust/ Calling all Geniuses! SCI FI is casting a new reality pilot called "Brain Trust"! We're looking for geniuses from all walks of life to become part of Sci Fi's "Brain Trust" -- a super-smart swat team to tackle previously unsolvable problems. But we're leaving global warming and world peace to the other guys -- the "Brain Trust" will solve the every-day, insidious annoyances that vex us all. What's the most efficient strategy to snag the best parking spot at the mall? How can you make it statistically more likely that you'll get some action tonight? SCI FI is going to put the best minds and most original thinkers on the case! We're looking for people from all disciplines and all walks of life -- from rocket scientists to backyard inventors to puzzle fanatics. The only requirements are ingenuity, a knack for out of the box problem solving, and an outgoing personality! Think you're up for it? E-mail casting at idiotboxproductions.com with your name, address, contact info, age, and a recent picture. Plus, provide detailed answers to the following questions: 1. What is your educational background? 2. What do you do for a living? 3. Are you a genius? If so, how has this affected your life? 4. Do you have any intellectually rigorous hobbies? How about not-so-intellectually rigorous hobbies? 5. How would your friends describe your personality? 6. If you could put the greatest minds in the country together to solve a single everyday problem OF NO MAJOR SOCIAL IMPORTANCE (i.e. developing a theory of how to pick the fastest line at the supermarket), what would it be? And what out of the box approach would you use to solve it? Or, if you're feeling creative (and we like creative!), give us your answers on video, and send the DVD to: Idiot Box Productions c/o Casting Department 1419 Wilcox, Suite B Hollywood, Calif. 90028 Casting only lasts for a couple weeks, so send your submissions in ASAP! Posted by James Clement -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jonkc at att.net Sun Oct 14 05:10:47 2007 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 01:10:47 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org><00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2><20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org><001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <012001c80e20$9a5c9440$51054e0c@MyComputer> "hkhenson" > The microwave beam is only about 1/4 as intense as sunlight If you just wanted it to produce enough energy to just run the cars in the USA the solar satellite in Geosynchronous orbit would look larger than the full moon as seen on the Earth, and the receiving antenna would cover several of the larger states in the western USA. Just doesn't sound terribly practical to me. > Both fusion and fission generate neutrons. Not all fusion reactions produce neutrons. The fusion reaction between non radioactive deuterium (Hydrogen 2) and non radioactive Helium 3 produces non radioactive Helium 4, an easily controlled proton, 18.3 mev of energy, and most important of all, no neutrons. Unfortunately you need a higher temperature to achieve it than the deuterium tritium reaction most are talking about. Also, there is not much Helium 3 on the Earth, although there is probably a lot of it that could be mined on comets and on the ice moons of the outer planets. Obviously this is not exactly a short term solution; if regular fusion is always 30 years away then Helium 3 will happen 30 years after that. > neutrons can be silently diverted into making Pu 239. That is true, in fact you don't even need to do any secret diverting, all nuclear power reactors produce Plutonium, it can't be prevented. However as we've already made thousands of tons of the stuff and you only need about 10 pounds to make a bomb the cat is already out of the bag; I'm not sure a little more Plutonium in the world will make things substantially more dangerous than it already is. John K Clark From sjatkins at mac.com Sun Oct 14 05:46:05 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 22:46:05 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> On Oct 13, 2007, at 3:56 PM, hkhenson wrote: > > Both fusion and fission generate neutrons. There is a really big > problem in that neutrons can be silently diverted into making Pu > 239. The problem will only be recognized when a city is terror nuked > without warning. > I have heard it said that such usages to produce Pu 239 is not a simple process and leaves telltales allowing detection. As far as it being possible I think this is very well recognized as it is used as an argument against countries like Iran developing even supposedly peaceful nuclear tecnology. So I doubt very much we are blind to the possibility or require a city being nuked to alert us. > Also, the biggest use of oil is transport fuel, and that not easy to > displace with fission. It can be done, but the resultant fuel will > be very expensive. See my discussion on dollar gasoline here a > while back. > What kind of transport are we talking? Some 60+% of oil used in the US is used by cars and trucks. How many of them could run just fine off of electricity generated by nuclear power? - samantha From sjatkins at mac.com Sun Oct 14 05:49:05 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 22:49:05 -0700 Subject: [ExI] SciFi Realty Progam Looking for Volunteers In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <19A2C7CC-F1CD-428D-8D05-4B7A5424421C@mac.com> On Oct 13, 2007, at 9:03 PM, James Clement wrote: > > > http://www.scifi.com/braintrust/ > > > Calling all Geniuses! > > SCI FI is casting a new reality pilot called "Brain Trust"! > > We're looking for geniuses from all walks of life to become part of > Sci Fi's "Brain Trust" ?? a super?smart swat team to tackle > previously unsolvable problems. But we're leaving global warming and > world peace to the other guys ?? the "Brain Trust" will solve the > every?day, insidious annoyances that vex us all. What's the most > efficient strategy to snag the best parking spot at the mall? How > can you make it statistically more likely that you'll get some > action tonight? SCI FI is going to put the best minds and most > original thinkers on the case! Hopefully such drivel precludes real geniuses from getting involved. YAWN. > Or, if you're feeling creative (and we like creative!), give us your > answers on video, and send the DVD to: > Idiot Box Productions Hehehehe. OK, so it was a joke. Fooled again. :-) - samantha -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkhenson at rogers.com Sun Oct 14 06:34:55 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Sat, 13 Oct 2007 23:34:55 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <012001c80e20$9a5c9440$51054e0c@MyComputer> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <012001c80e20$9a5c9440$51054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <1192343632_15896@S4.cableone.net> An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mfj.eav at gmail.com Sun Oct 14 07:23:35 2007 From: mfj.eav at gmail.com (Morris Johnson) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 00:23:35 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Extropian Politics In-Reply-To: <61c8738e0710130912v2594dbey3832d8a6c80da350@mail.gmail.com> References: <61c8738e0710130912v2594dbey3832d8a6c80da350@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <61c8738e0710140023w7be18ddbpf9739c4a030d9aa@mail.gmail.com> ---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: Morris Johnson Date: Oct 13, 2007 9:12 AM Subject: Extropian Politics To: ExI chat list can the list post the files attached? As you can see I may on November 07 become one of the first politicians with a background covering bioproducts from the food, fuel and pharma areas..... As well being part of the mangerial team overseeing the public medicare system with a view to not just emeliorate but to augment and improve the human condition. I would ask for advice from all interested to suggest how to apply the KISS rule to explain notions like SENS and an integrated food/fuel/pharma bioeconomy to an electorate which generally speaking has very little knowledge of such AND COME OFF AS CREDIBLE AND NO SOME KIND OF UNINTELLIGIBLE GEEKY NUT CAKE. Morris Johnson My cel is the preferred phone number days and the land line PM and weekends -- LIFESPAN PHARMA Inc. Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc. 306-447-4944 701-240-9411 cel Mission: To Preserve, Protect and Enhance Lifespan Plant-based Natural-health Bio-product Bio-pharmaceuticals http://www.angelfire.com/on4/extropian-lifespan http://www.4XtraLifespans.bravehost.com megao at sasktel.net, arla_j at hotmail.com, mfj.eav at gmail.com extropian.pharmer at gmail.com Extreme Life-Extension ..."The most dangerous idea on earth" -Leon Kass , Bioethics Advisor to George Herbert Walker Bush, June 2005 -- LIFESPAN PHARMA Inc. Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc. 306-447-4944 701-240-9411 Mission: To Preserve, Protect and Enhance Lifespan Plant-based Natural-health Bio-product Bio-pharmaceuticals http://www.angelfire.com/on4/extropian-lifespan http://www.4XtraLifespans.bravehost.com megao at sasktel.net, arla_j at hotmail.com, mfj.eav at gmail.com extropian.pharmer at gmail.com Extreme Life-Extension ..."The most dangerous idea on earth" -Leon Kass , Bioethics Advisor to George Herbert Walker Bush, June 2005 -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: johnson-campaign-cards.jpg Type: image/jpeg Size: 89240 bytes Desc: not available URL: From max at maxmore.com Sun Oct 14 06:02:06 2007 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 01:02:06 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Please indicate if you have any one of the following: In-Reply-To: <470FB7A5.60209@comcast.net> References: <200710121414.l9CEEmws001958@ms-smtp-07.texas.rr.com> <1192207592_37972@S4.cableone.net> <470FB7A5.60209@comcast.net> Message-ID: <200710140602.l9E621ff013048@ms-smtp-02.texas.rr.com> Damn. I feel like such a fraud as a transhumanist. At present, I have ZERO implants--unless you can count my contact lenses. Max At 01:06 PM 10/12/2007, you wrote: >Natasha, > >I've got two plates, and a bunch of screws holding my left elbow together. > >See: http://home.comcast.net/~brent.allsop/04_12_24_elbow1.jpg > >Also, I am a diabetic, so I take insulin, and use a monitoring device to >know how much I need to take. [...] > >Brent Allsop Max More, Ph.D. Strategic Philosopher www.maxmore.com max at maxmore.com From hkhenson at rogers.com Sun Oct 14 18:51:13 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 11:51:13 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> Message-ID: <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> At 10:46 PM 10/13/2007, you wrote: >On Oct 13, 2007, at 3:56 PM, hkhenson wrote: > > > > Both fusion and fission generate neutrons. There is a really big > > problem in that neutrons can be silently diverted into making Pu > > 239. The problem will only be recognized when a city is terror nuked > > without warning. > > > >I have heard it said that such usages to produce Pu 239 is not a >simple process and leaves telltales allowing detection. As far as it >being possible I think this is very well recognized as it is used as >an argument against countries like Iran developing even supposedly >peaceful nuclear tecnology. So I doubt very much we are blind to the >possibility or require a city being nuked to alert us. Google "Keith Henson" plutonium > > Also, the biggest use of oil is transport fuel, and that not easy to > > displace with fission. It can be done, but the resultant fuel will > > be very expensive. See my discussion on dollar gasoline here a > > while back. > > > >What kind of transport are we talking? Some 60+% of oil used in the >US is used by cars and trucks. How many of them could run just fine >off of electricity generated by nuclear power? Not very many of them. But even if *half* could, it won't solve the carbon and energy problem. Keith From eugen at leitl.org Sun Oct 14 20:19:00 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 22:19:00 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> On Sat, Oct 13, 2007 at 04:09:57PM -0400, John K Clark wrote: > And I'm not dissing insulation or solar heating or getting rid of > incandescent light bulbs, but as you say all these things are very small They're only small if you're considering them isolated. In terms of existing public momentum they're huge. In terms of ROI solar satellites made from current launchers are ridiculous, even using Ukrainian launchers, which are 7.5 k$/kg for LEO. There will be no solar satellites unless the launch costs have dropped by 2 orders of magnitude. Space elevators don't exist. It is not obvious they will ever exist. They certainly won't exist within next 10-20 years, by which time renewable energy sources will have radically shrunk the fraction of fossil and nuclear energy sources in our global budget. > and if you want to get away from dead dinosaurs somebody is going to > have find something HUGE. It would take 84 square miles of photovoltaic Remember, suburbia would be net energy producer. There would be no longer need for gas stations, or the electric grid (you'd use a local smart grid, which would load-level among local demand cells). Industry would have to care to their own, unless residential surplus will be exported as hydrogen. > cells to equal the energy of one gas station according to the CEO of Exxon. Vehicular applications are but a fraction of total energy use, and personally there's nothing in the physics of transporting 75-90 kg primates which requires several tons worth of metal, plastic, and an ICE. A few weeks ago I've seen an electrical scooter which was recharged with solar panels. The panels were integrated into the vehicle, and unfolded in the back. Effectively, the additional space demand is zero. I don't see why a very performant residential EV vehicle would need more than 1-2 l/100 km diesel equivalent. > In the USA alone there are about 20,000 gas stations. Great, we can get rid of 20 k gas stations, and the infrastructure to supply them. Tankers, refineries, and we can actually use dead dinos for chemistry, not burning them. > It seems to me that the only technology able to take a significant chunk out > of oil right now is nuclear fission. Fusion maybe someday, although from > the 1950's it's always been 30 years away. I'm using fusion right now. It's called PV and solar. Remember, 1/10000th of terrestrial insolation is enough to keep current humanity in business indefinitely. This means there is no need for additional surfaces, just tiling a fraction of our existing structures with PV panels. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From jrd1415 at gmail.com Sun Oct 14 20:45:05 2007 From: jrd1415 at gmail.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 13:45:05 -0700 Subject: [ExI] stem cell aging Message-ID: http://www.stowers-institute.org/WhatsNew/pr2007/PR101007.asp It is widely postulated that a decrease in the number and activity of stem cells contributes to the aging of human tissue. These changes could be fundamental to many symptoms of aging such as wrinkling of skin and decreased organ function. The control of stem cell aging has, until now, been poorly understood, but the Xie Lab has demonstrated that specific factors are associated with an age-dependent decline in the function of stem cells and their microenvironment, called a niche. ... "Inefficient replacement of worn-out cells in adult tissues due to the declining function of stem cells over time may be a primary cause of human aging," says Dr. Xie. "If we learn how to slow down stem cell aging by manipulating functions of stem cells and/or their niche, we may be able to slow down human aging and the progression of age-related degenerative diseases." -- Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles From eugen at leitl.org Sun Oct 14 21:01:00 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 23:01:00 +0200 Subject: [ExI] WTA SL meeting on uvvy, Saturday 20th October 1:00 PM PDT Message-ID: <20071014210100.GI4005@leitl.org> We're trying to revive the WTA activities in Second Life. There will be a meeting on planned new focus on location and type of activities. It would be nice to see a few new avatars there. Location and time: WTA SL meeting on uvvy, Saturday 20th October 1:00 PM PDT (to find it, do a search for uvvy, an teleport to uvvy island). -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From brentn at freeshell.org Sun Oct 14 22:55:46 2007 From: brentn at freeshell.org (Brent Neal) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 18:55:46 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <1192301529.23110.10.camel@localhost> References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <147A42E4-92E2-4248-AF9E-2853DBF3A473@mac.com> <1192301529.23110.10.camel@localhost> Message-ID: On Oct 13, 2007, at 14:52, David Masten wrote: > But this raises an interesting question - what slots are these space > solar satellites going to occupy? Most of the useful slots (i.e. the > ones visible from industrialized nations) are already filled. I'd guess they'd try to piggyback slots - i.e. replace communication satellites with power satellites with communications relays on them. Not like powering the relays would be a problem. :) B -- Brent Neal http://brentn.freeshell.org From jnh at vt11.net Sun Oct 14 23:18:15 2007 From: jnh at vt11.net (Jordan Hazen) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 19:18:15 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <147A42E4-92E2-4248-AF9E-2853DBF3A473@mac.com> <1192301529.23110.10.camel@localhost> Message-ID: <20071014231815.GR1016@vt11.net> On Sun, Oct 14, 2007 at 06:55:46PM -0400, Brent Neal wrote: > > On Oct 13, 2007, at 14:52, David Masten wrote: > > > But this raises an interesting question - what slots are these space > > solar satellites going to occupy? Most of the useful slots (i.e. the > > ones visible from industrialized nations) are already filled. > > I'd guess they'd try to piggyback slots - i.e. replace communication > satellites with power satellites with communications relays on them. > Not like powering the relays would be a problem. :) Many existing comsats already share orbital positions, some operating on different frequency bands (C/Ku/Ka), others serving as on-orbit spares. To make stationkeeping less critical, members of these satellite constellations are usually kept a few hundred km apart, which is only a fraction of a degree's difference from the ground, close enough for one antenna to "see" all of them at once. Such a wide separation might even be enough to squeeze in a large SPS collector. > B > > -- > Brent Neal > http://brentn.freeshell.org > -- Jordan. From jnh at vt11.net Sun Oct 14 23:06:29 2007 From: jnh at vt11.net (Jordan Hazen) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 19:06:29 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> On Sun, Oct 14, 2007 at 10:19:00PM +0200, Eugen Leitl wrote: > I'm using fusion right now. It's called PV and solar. Have you watched your PV system's activity during sudden changes in cloudcover? Mine will drop to 10% of full-sun production as a heavy cloud rolls in, going from net energy export to import within about five seconds, and reversing just as quickly as the sun breaks through. This extreme variability is fine so long as solar amounts to only a small fraction of total grid generation, as it is now. Spinning reserves at nearby power plants instantly make up any sudden shortfalls, keeping frequency and voltage within spec. But, there are limits as to how much non-dispatchable generation existing grids can accomodate. Getting beyond about 20% renewables (still room for 5-10x growth), or trying to use PV & Wind for baseload generation will require very large-scale energy storage-- something better than pumped hydro and lead-acid batteries (even today, PbA is still the best option for off-grid sites, sadly). At least one US utility has been experimenting with large, megawatt-sized NaS batteries, deployed to substations for peak-shaving. These could form part of the solution, perhaps supplemented by super-cap banks and intellient load shedding, but a stable grid will probably always need at least a few large, traditional baseload plants. In Europe, France's existing fleet of nukes might fill this role for a while. Areas with a lot of existing hydro (northwestern US & Canada, Quebec...) may be able to go 100% renewable early on. > Remember, 1/10000th of terrestrial insolation is enough to > keep current humanity in business indefinitely. At 100% collection efficiency? Or the 14% (minus weather effects, shading, and conversion losses) of current-tech PV? -- Jordan. From aiguy at comcast.net Mon Oct 15 00:03:01 2007 From: aiguy at comcast.net (Gary Miller) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 20:03:01 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org><001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer><20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> Message-ID: <016901c80ebe$c06ad0e0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> Jordan said "Have you watched your PV system's activity during sudden changes in cloudcover? Mine will drop to 10% of full-sun production as a heavy cloud rolls in, going from net energy export to import within about five seconds, and reversing just as quickly as the sun breaks through" But isn't the point that if enough users having PV systems then it's not cloudy everywhere at once so they compensate for each other. And even now supposedly if generators in Western PA go out the power grids in Ohio are supposed to kick in and provide the needed electricity to compensate. The batteries would still be necessary to provide night power of course and I still think there would need to be big jump in solar cell efficiency in order for people living in the snowbelt to generate sufficient energy in the winter months. No virus found in this outgoing message. Checked by AVG Free Edition. Version: 7.5.488 / Virus Database: 269.14.9/1069 - Release Date: 10/13/2007 7:26 PM From aiguy at comcast.net Sun Oct 14 23:54:45 2007 From: aiguy at comcast.net (Gary Miller) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 19:54:45 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org><001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer><20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> Message-ID: <016801c80ebd$9bef7af0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Jordan Hazen Sent: Sunday, October 14, 2007 7:06 PM To: ExI chat list Subject: Re: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations On Sun, Oct 14, 2007 at 10:19:00PM +0200, Eugen Leitl wrote: > I'm using fusion right now. It's called PV and solar. Have you watched your PV system's activity during sudden changes in cloudcover? Mine will drop to 10% of full-sun production as a heavy cloud rolls in, going from net energy export to import within about five seconds, and reversing just as quickly as the sun breaks through. This extreme variability is fine so long as solar amounts to only a small fraction of total grid generation, as it is now. Spinning reserves at nearby power plants instantly make up any sudden shortfalls, keeping frequency and voltage within spec. But, there are limits as to how much non-dispatchable generation existing grids can accomodate. Getting beyond about 20% renewables (still room for 5-10x growth), or trying to use PV & Wind for baseload generation will require very large-scale energy storage-- something better than pumped hydro and lead-acid batteries (even today, PbA is still the best option for off-grid sites, sadly). At least one US utility has been experimenting with large, megawatt-sized NaS batteries, deployed to substations for peak-shaving. These could form part of the solution, perhaps supplemented by super-cap banks and intellient load shedding, but a stable grid will probably always need at least a few large, traditional baseload plants. In Europe, France's existing fleet of nukes might fill this role for a while. Areas with a lot of existing hydro (northwestern US & Canada, Quebec...) may be able to go 100% renewable early on. > Remember, 1/10000th of terrestrial insolation is enough to keep > current humanity in business indefinitely. At 100% collection efficiency? Or the 14% (minus weather effects, shading, and conversion losses) of current-tech PV? -- Jordan. _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat No virus found in this incoming message. Checked by AVG Free Edition. Version: 7.5.488 / Virus Database: 269.14.9/1069 - Release Date: 10/13/2007 7:26 PM No virus found in this outgoing message. Checked by AVG Free Edition. Version: 7.5.488 / Virus Database: 269.14.9/1069 - Release Date: 10/13/2007 7:26 PM From thespike at satx.rr.com Mon Oct 15 00:28:19 2007 From: thespike at satx.rr.com (Damien Broderick) Date: Sun, 14 Oct 2007 19:28:19 -0500 Subject: [ExI] solar and storage In-Reply-To: <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> Message-ID: <7.0.1.0.2.20071014192713.02342a08@satx.rr.com> >This extreme variability is fine so long as solar amounts to only a >small fraction of total grid generation, as it is now. Spinning >reserves at nearby power plants instantly make up any sudden >shortfalls, keeping frequency and voltage within spec. Speaking of spinning, flywheels? http://www.answers.com/topic/flywheel-energy-storage From eugen at leitl.org Mon Oct 15 06:59:41 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 08:59:41 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <147A42E4-92E2-4248-AF9E-2853DBF3A473@mac.com> <1192301529.23110.10.camel@localhost> Message-ID: <20071015065941.GJ4005@leitl.org> On Sun, Oct 14, 2007 at 06:55:46PM -0400, Brent Neal wrote: > I'd guess they'd try to piggyback slots - i.e. replace communication > satellites with power satellites with communications relays on them. > Not like powering the relays would be a problem. :) There are advantages in dynamic LEO satellite configurations. You have to maintain a critical density (depends on orbit height) in order to achieve a smooth handover for Earth-side rectenna arrays. There are multiple technologies which allow you to dramatically reduce launch costs (high accelerations/small packages, so unsuitable for large payloads and people), and which get you to LEO. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From eugen at leitl.org Mon Oct 15 07:25:05 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 09:25:05 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> Message-ID: <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> On Sun, Oct 14, 2007 at 07:06:29PM -0400, Jordan Hazen wrote: > Have you watched your PV system's activity during sudden changes in I don't have one yet -- I'm first exhausting all other easy-ROI options, such as lighting, wood/coal oven, insulation, power saving. I'm planning a pilot in a couple of years to run the computers and the LED lighting off it. > cloudcover? Mine will drop to 10% of full-sun production as a heavy Sounds like monocrystalline cells. > cloud rolls in, going from net energy export to import within about > five seconds, and reversing just as quickly as the sun breaks through. Yeah, you need a buffer. Also, long-term there's no weather nor night in space. > This extreme variability is fine so long as solar amounts to only a > small fraction of total grid generation, as it is now. Spinning Don't think the grid, think in terms of powering your home with it. You can buffer local demand spikes by trading with your neighbours, which is a very local, power microgrid. > reserves at nearby power plants instantly make up any sudden > shortfalls, keeping frequency and voltage within spec. But, there are What's wrong with DC? > limits as to how much non-dispatchable generation existing grids can > accomodate. Getting beyond about 20% renewables (still room for 5-10x I agree that current grids are already overloaded with variability of the renewables. We need to get rid of them. Make the power where you consume it, buffer slightly, and do conventional large-scale stuff (which has 2-3 days of thermal inertia, anyway) during the night, for time being. > growth), or trying to use PV & Wind for baseload generation will > require very large-scale energy storage-- something better than pumped > hydro and lead-acid batteries (even today, PbA is still the best Yes, I'm planning to run my computers off it. I already have everything on UPS, so that won't be much of a difference. Properly recycled lead-acid aren't that bad. > option for off-grid sites, sadly). A chicken in every pot, a hybrid/EV in every garage. > At least one US utility has been experimenting with large, > megawatt-sized NaS batteries, deployed to substations for > peak-shaving. These could form part of the solution, perhaps > supplemented by super-cap banks and intellient load shedding, but a > stable grid will probably always need at least a few large, I don't see it happening. What I could see happening is that PV becomes effectively free, and people can afford doing things like water electrolysis/fuel cell, which are currently not cost effective. > traditional baseload plants. In Europe, France's existing fleet of > nukes might fill this role for a while. Areas with a lot of existing > hydro (northwestern US & Canada, Quebec...) may be able to go 100% > renewable early on. > > > Remember, 1/10000th of terrestrial insolation is enough to > > keep current humanity in business indefinitely. > > At 100% collection efficiency? Or the 14% (minus weather effects, Solar thermal has nearly quantitative efficiency. > shading, and conversion losses) of current-tech PV? I presume it's 100% of what hits the bottom of the gravity well, with weather factored in. But whether it's 0.0001 or 0.0002, that's not one heck of a difference. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From stathisp at gmail.com Mon Oct 15 11:12:38 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 21:12:38 +1000 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: On 15/10/2007, Eugen Leitl wrote: > I don't have one yet -- I'm first exhausting all other easy-ROI options, > such as lighting, wood/coal oven, insulation, power saving. I'm planning a pilot > in a couple of years to run the computers and the LED lighting off > it. LED's have made incredible leaps in the past year or two, going from an efficiency of around 40 lumens/watt to 100 lumens/watt or more for devices that can be readily bought for just a few dollars. When you see a flashlight not much bigger than your thumb using one of these things light up a room brighter than a clunky 3D Maglight it is clear that the days of the incandescent lamp are numbered. Stathis Papaioannou From eugen at leitl.org Mon Oct 15 11:29:45 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 13:29:45 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20071015112945.GS4005@leitl.org> On Mon, Oct 15, 2007 at 09:12:38PM +1000, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > LED's have made incredible leaps in the past year or two, going from > an efficiency of around 40 lumens/watt to 100 lumens/watt or more for > devices that can be readily bought for just a few dollars. When you The best LEDs (not yet commercially available) have twice the lumens/Watt of best fluorescents. But the 3 W LED spots you can now buy for 25 EUR are only useful as reading lights and auxiliary lighting, being the equivalent of 20 W halogens in the lit field. However metal halide (HQI) are much more cost effective -- a 70 W WDL Osram ceiling flooder is sufficient for your living room (150 W would be an overkill, though WDL is slightly dimmer than NDL, and you might have a large/absorbent living room), at mere 8 EUR/bulb (good for 12 kHours), and some 120 EUR for the lamp + electronic ballast. I think in another 5 years LEDs will be more cost effective than HQI. > see a flashlight not much bigger than your thumb using one of these > things light up a room brighter than a clunky 3D Maglight it is clear > that the days of the incandescent lamp are numbered. Indeed. And good riddance. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From jnh at vt11.net Mon Oct 15 15:17:59 2007 From: jnh at vt11.net (Jordan Hazen) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 11:17:59 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20071015151759.GS1016@vt11.net> On Mon, Oct 15, 2007 at 09:25:05AM +0200, Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Sun, Oct 14, 2007 at 07:06:29PM -0400, Jordan Hazen wrote: > > > Have you watched your PV system's activity during sudden changes in > > cloudcover? Mine will drop to 10% of full-sun production as a heavy > > Sounds like monocrystalline cells. Mixed mono & polycrystalline array. I've read that thin-film amorphous does better in low-light conditions, but haven't seen any hard numbers, and that type of panel has its own drawbacks. > > This extreme variability is fine so long as solar amounts to only a > > small fraction of total grid generation, as it is now. Spinning > > Don't think the grid, think in terms of powering your home with it. Grid-tie is nice for preventing any waste of PV energy, during times when production exceeds household load... for example, if you're away from home during peak sun hours, with most equipment turned off. At the scale of an individual household, the grid can be treated as an infinite storage battery-- feed it excess joules during the day (turning the meter backwards), and draw them back at night. On the negative side, typical grid-tie systems have no autonomy, their inverters being required to shut down during a utility outage ("anti-islanding"). Some can revert to standalone mode, with batteries for buffering, but at greater cost and lower overall efficiency, as safety requirements in most areas limit DC battery bus voltage to a nominal 48V. > > reserves at nearby power plants instantly make up any sudden > > shortfalls, keeping frequency and voltage within spec. But, there are > > What's wrong with DC? At the low DC voltages commonly used off-grid, I^2R losses over any significant distance (even in house wiring) can be high, unless very thick conductors are used. It can work well for low-wattage loads. For utility-scale transmission and distribution, although DC-DC voltage converters are gradually improving, they still tends to be far more expensive, less efficient, and more vulnerable to surges & spikes, compared to the simple and rugged AC transformer. High-voltage (700kV - 1M V) DC power transmission is already used in a few places, though, and may become more popular over time. For end users, though, there's too much inertia, and legacy equipment tied to AC for customer power standards to change anytime soon. (Interestingly, though, most electronics and CFL lighting is perfectly happy running on DC, at 1.4 times its rated AC line voltage-- i.e. ~160V in 120V countries, or 320V in the EU. Switchmode power supplies in this type of equipment tend to immediately rectify the incoming line, and are sensitive to peak voltage, not RMS. Active power-factor correction circuitry may complicate things...) > > growth), or trying to use PV & Wind for baseload generation will > > require very large-scale energy storage-- something better than pumped > > hydro and lead-acid batteries (even today, PbA is still the best > > Yes, I'm planning to run my computers off it. I already have everything > on UPS, so that won't be much of a difference. Properly recycled > lead-acid aren't that bad. Special power supplies are available for running computers directly from DC. I do this at home, floating most equipment on a 12V bus, and avoiding inverter losses. Just remember the I^2R considerations, and try to keep all low-voltage cabling as short as possible. -- Jordan. From jef at jefallbright.net Mon Oct 15 15:23:13 2007 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 08:23:13 -0700 Subject: [ExI] The Meaning That Immortality Gives to Life In-Reply-To: References: <471302AC.2050506@pobox.com> Message-ID: On 10/15/07, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > On 15/10/2007, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: > > > http://www.singinst.org/blog/2007/10/14/the-meaning-that-immortality-gives-to-life/ > > Very good essay. Bizarre that one should need to spend rhetorical > effort to make the point that BEING HIT ON THE HEAD WITH A BASEBALL > BAT IS BAD. Yes, an excellent essay. Thanks Eliezer! In response to some of the subsequent comments however: It's not bizarre at all that people commonly hold such partially informed and passionately protected beliefs about aging and death, religious authority, evolution, morality, or the primacy of the first-person point of view. Making a mockery of the target worldview, while attractive, is a prescription for memetic failure in the bigger picture, unless one's aim is to strengthen the in-group/out-group distinction. While I agree with the simple statement that "being hit on the head is bad", those who think it's all that simple and obvious might find it edifying to consider the essential role of constraints in any process of growth. - Jef From eugen at leitl.org Mon Oct 15 15:52:36 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 17:52:36 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071015151759.GS1016@vt11.net> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> <20071015151759.GS1016@vt11.net> Message-ID: <20071015155236.GA4005@leitl.org> On Mon, Oct 15, 2007 at 11:17:59AM -0400, Jordan Hazen wrote: > Mixed mono & polycrystalline array. I've read that thin-film > amorphous does better in low-light conditions, but haven't seen any It's less low-light than diffuse vs. direct insolation. > hard numbers, and that type of panel has its own drawbacks. Yes, but the aging is not nearly as bad now. I wonder how CdTe and CuInSe2 does these days. > Grid-tie is nice for preventing any waste of PV energy, during times PV allows you live off the grid, which is otherwise prohibitively expensive. If we think of it, then water electrolysis is much better than letting the electrons idle, even if overall efficiency is much worse than conventional electrochemical storage. > when production exceeds household load... for example, if you're away > from home during peak sun hours, with most equipment turned off. At You can wash the dishes, or run the washing machine, or an air conditioner. Or heat your water tank, for later use. > the scale of an individual household, the grid can be treated as an > infinite storage battery-- feed it excess joules during the day > (turning the meter backwards), and draw them back at night. It sure is nifty, especially since subsidizing panels and selling juice to the grid at artificially marked up prices makes it actually cost effective (IIRC last time I looked it took about 50 years to economicaly ROI at current electricity prices, which is beyond of panel life time). I just don't believe in cheating physics with economics, that's why I omitted that obvious loophole. > On the negative side, typical grid-tie systems have no autonomy, their > inverters being required to shut down during a utility outage > ("anti-islanding"). Some can revert to standalone mode, with I'm thinking about running the prototype autonomous, with no connection to the main grid. The drain would probably be no more than 50 W tops. > batteries for buffering, but at greater cost and lower overall > efficiency, as safety requirements in most areas limit DC battery bus > voltage to a nominal 48V. If I roll my own, I don't have that problem. I would still stay way below 200 V, though. > > What's wrong with DC? > > At the low DC voltages commonly used off-grid, I^2R losses over any I don't see much loss on a neighbourly grid of less than 100 m, if several 100 V or up to kV are being used. > significant distance (even in house wiring) can be high, unless very > thick conductors are used. It can work well for low-wattage loads. I'm quite aware of the requirement. I was thinking of hot-soldering the connectors to minimize lossage and heating. Copper is expensive, but there's not much copper in a short, radial-pattern home setting. > For utility-scale transmission and distribution, although DC-DC > voltage converters are gradually improving, they still tends to be far > more expensive, less efficient, and more vulnerable to surges & > spikes, compared to the simple and rugged AC transformer. DC-DC does great for powering small devices, and it's really efficient these days. > High-voltage (700kV - 1M V) DC power transmission is already used in a > few places, though, and may become more popular over time. Any idea whether 1 kV would be safe in a thinnish, but properly insulated earth cable? > For end users, though, there's too much inertia, and legacy equipment > tied to AC for customer power standards to change anytime soon. Isn't the new automobile standard 48 V, or hereabouts? That could be a kickstarting market. > (Interestingly, though, most electronics and CFL lighting is perfectly Any idea about HQI, with electronic ballast? > happy running on DC, at 1.4 times its rated AC line voltage-- i.e. > ~160V in 120V countries, or 320V in the EU. Switchmode power supplies > in this type of equipment tend to immediately rectify the incoming > line, and are sensitive to peak voltage, not RMS. Active power-factor > correction circuitry may complicate things...) I'm a bit afraid to test it, lest it becomes a real smoke-test. > Special power supplies are available for running computers directly > from DC. I do this at home, floating most equipment on a 12V bus, and I was thinking about going Mac Mini 24/7/365 instead of my current 1/4 kW box. > avoiding inverter losses. Just remember the I^2R considerations, and > try to keep all low-voltage cabling as short as possible. One of the plans is to remove the sea of wall warts, which is ugly as sin, and cumulates the aggregated losses to some 50 W, or more. Thanks for all the interesting info. Much appreciated. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From jonkc at att.net Mon Oct 15 16:23:03 2007 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 12:23:03 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org><001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <015101c80f47$b7f4d670$6a054e0c@MyComputer> "Eugen Leitl" > Vehicular applications are but a fraction of total energy use But that would seem to strengthen my argument not yours. > A few weeks ago I've seen an electrical scooter which was > recharged with solar panels. Yes, and people could ride to work right now on solar electrical scooters, but they don't; even in the third world a bicycle is preferred. People will never want to ride to work on slow, uncomfortable, inconvenient, and dangerous machines unless there was absolutely no alternative. There will always be alternatives. There are limits to of conservation; if somebody invented a cheap gadget that doubled the fuel efficiency of automobiles fuel consumption would not be cut in half because then people would be driving bigger more muscular cars and be taking more and longer trips. The amount of energy used by the human race can only go up over the years, probably dramatically, and florescent or even LED light bulbs won't change that. > Remember, 1/10000th of terrestrial insolation is enough to > keep current > humanity in business indefinitely If that cryptic remark means what I think it does then I'd say it is a very questionable statistic indeed. > This means there is no need for additional surfaces, just tiling a > fraction of our existing structures with PV panels. It means finding a way to make to make PV panels that are dirt cheap, it means PV panels that are so efficient and so durable that they produce more energy over their lifetime than it took to make them, and it means figuring out what to do at night or on cloudy days. It means your use of the word "just" may not be entirely accurate. John K Clark From eugen at leitl.org Mon Oct 15 17:00:41 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 19:00:41 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <015101c80f47$b7f4d670$6a054e0c@MyComputer> References: <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <015101c80f47$b7f4d670$6a054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <20071015170040.GC4005@leitl.org> On Mon, Oct 15, 2007 at 12:23:03PM -0400, John K Clark wrote: > > Vehicular applications are but a fraction of total energy use > > But that would seem to strengthen my argument not yours. It would seem, if you snip the rest of my post. So it would seem. > > A few weeks ago I've seen an electrical scooter which was > > recharged with solar panels. > > Yes, and people could ride to work right now on solar electrical scooters, I just *thought* you would latch on that illustration, and ignore the rest of my points. > but they don't; even in the third world a bicycle is preferred. People will Actually, the electroscooter is huge in the third world. Just not the PV-powered scooter, but that's a cost issue. Make it cheap, and they will come. > never want to ride to work on slow, uncomfortable, inconvenient, and > dangerous machines unless there was absolutely no alternative. There will > always be alternatives. Current EVs have excellent driving characteristics. The bottleneck is traction on the road, not performance. Ranger is not really an issue in a commuter setting, and hybrids and DMFCs can easily beat existing systems. > There are limits to of conservation; if somebody invented a cheap gadget > that doubled the fuel efficiency of automobiles fuel consumption would not > be cut in half because then people would be driving bigger more muscular I guess I'm not people. On the average, the european cars are considerably smaller and more fuel efficient, though there has been some SUV (especially Cayenne) creep here as well. I think the other day I've even seen the pinnacle of primate dominance display, a Hummer. Energy is apparently still way too cheap. Not enough folks hurtin'. > cars and be taking more and longer trips. The amount of energy used by the > human race can only go up over the years, probably dramatically, and It will get up dramatically. But in order for it to go up dramatically, we need solar satellites, and that's a high threshold. Meanwhile, fossil energy is getting more and more expensive year by year. Rural US certainly seems to be hurting, according to what I hear. Here's people with a huge commute, and old clunkers they can't really afford. > > Remember, 1/10000th of terrestrial insolation is enough to > > keep current > humanity in business indefinitely > > If that cryptic remark means what I think it does then I'd say it is a very > questionable statistic indeed. I don't see what is questionable about it. How does 0.6% of Germany sounds like? (Germany is reasonably densely populated, most other places would be negligible). > > This means there is no need for additional surfaces, just tiling a > > fraction of our existing structures with PV panels. > > It means finding a way to make to make PV panels that are dirt cheap, it Right, that's the ticket. > means PV panels that are so efficient and so durable that they produce > more energy over their lifetime than it took to make them, and it means That's a pretty questionable statistic. Even classical PV ROIs energetically within a couple years, or so. It's just financially it would take some 50 years, in Germany at least. I should run the numbers again. Perhaps things have changed meanwhile. > figuring out what to do at night or on cloudy days. It means your use of I don't know what you do at night, but I sleep, or sit at the computer, or watch movies. Cloudy days are not night. > the word "just" may not be entirely accurate. Maybe I live in an alternative reality, but the place I rent out is heated (and partly, powered) by geothermal, via 120 C hot water from a few km depth. I see PV and solar collectors on every second roof, in places. I see farmer barns covered by PV entirely -- they're making a fair money on it, thanks to subsidy, but it's real money for them. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From pharos at gmail.com Mon Oct 15 17:10:55 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 18:10:55 +0100 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <015101c80f47$b7f4d670$6a054e0c@MyComputer> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <015101c80f47$b7f4d670$6a054e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: On 10/15/07, John K Clark wrote: > Yes, and people could ride to work right now on solar electrical scooters, > but they don't; even in the third world a bicycle is preferred. People will > never want to ride to work on slow, uncomfortable, inconvenient, and > dangerous machines unless there was absolutely no alternative. There will > always be alternatives. > See: China 'e' bikes silently drive lead demand. Quote: China produced 19 million battery driven bikes in 2006, and that figure could rise by 30 percent this year, said Zhang Changhai, lead analyst with metals consultancy Antaike in Beijing. > > It means finding a way to make to make PV panels that are dirt cheap, it > means PV panels that are so efficient and so durable that they produce > more energy over their lifetime than it took to make them, and it means > figuring out what to do at night or on cloudy days. It means your use of > the word "just" may not be entirely accurate. > Yup. PV panels are still too expensive. But the price is coming down. And home windmills help too. (If the neighbours or zoning regs don't complain). BillK From cetico.iconoclasta at gmail.com Mon Oct 15 17:27:07 2007 From: cetico.iconoclasta at gmail.com (Henrique Moraes Machado (CI)) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 15:27:07 -0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations References: <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org><015101c80f47$b7f4d670$6a054e0c@MyComputer> <20071015170040.GC4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <004b01c80f50$9ec52660$fe00a8c0@cpd01> I think we waste a lot of opportunities to generate electricity. For instance, I don't know if this already exists, but here's an idea (stupid idea? Please don't laugh that loud...:-)). Make sidewalks generate energy with people's footsteps. I know there are materials that generate electricity when pressed. Take the most crowded sidewalks of any city. The steps of thousands of walkers could probabily generate a good amount of energy. Another stupid idea: A smal generator in a revolving door could charge the battery of an emergency light for a room. From jnh at vt11.net Mon Oct 15 18:12:09 2007 From: jnh at vt11.net (Jordan Hazen) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 14:12:09 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071015155236.GA4005@leitl.org> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> <20071015151759.GS1016@vt11.net> <20071015155236.GA4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20071015181209.GT1016@vt11.net> On Mon, Oct 15, 2007 at 05:52:36PM +0200, Eugen Leitl wrote: > I'm thinking about running the prototype autonomous, with no connection > to the main grid. The drain would probably be no more than 50 W tops. For a 50W constant load, you'll probably want at least 300W of PV. 50W*24 -> 1200 Wh/day, dividing by, say 5 effective sun-hours per day (look up worst-case winter values for your location) would give a 240W minimum, but you want a little extra to allow batteries to gradually recharge after a cloudy day. Battery requirements depend on how many consecutive low-sun days you want to allow for. Four of "golf-cart" size (6V, 220 Ah) would allow two sunless day's operation without dropping below the recommended 50% depth-of-discharge limit. Requirements could be reduced if you're willing to shut down under adverse conditions, or occasionally recharge from the grid. > DC-DC does great for powering small devices, and it's really efficient > these days. Yup. Non-isolated "buck" converters (common ground, voltage reducing) can exceed 96%. > Any idea whether 1 kV would be safe in a thinnish, but properly > insulated earth cable? The insulation on most power wiring in the US is rated for only 600V. I don't know how EU standards compare... your 400V 3-phase would reach 566V peak-to-peak, so perhaps insulation intended for that type of service is thicker. Best double-check, though. > > For end users, though, there's too much inertia, and legacy equipment > > tied to AC for customer power standards to change anytime soon. > > Isn't the new automobile standard 48 V, or hereabouts? That could be > a kickstarting market. They're calling that standard "42V", but it's 36V nominal (18 2V cells in series, equivalent to three 12V batteries), rising to 42V when the alternator's running. 48V (24 cells; 52-55V float) is a commonly used for for telecom equipment. Some countries use a 60V (65-68V float) telco voltage instead. > > (Interestingly, though, most electronics and CFL lighting is perfectly > > Any idea about HQI, with electronic ballast? Don't know... I've never tried that type of lighting. > > happy running on DC, at 1.4 times its rated AC line voltage-- i.e. > > ~160V in 120V countries, or 320V in the EU. Switchmode power supplies > > in this type of equipment tend to immediately rectify the incoming > > line, and are sensitive to peak voltage, not RMS. Active power-factor > > correction circuitry may complicate things...) > > I'm a bit afraid to test it, lest it becomes a real smoke-test. It's best to have a look inside first. Check where the incoming AC line goes-- if it connects to anything but a diode rectifier bridge, don't try it. Measuring resistance across the AC power contacts (while any 'hard' power switch is turned on) can be helpful. Any reading below a few hundred Kohm would be worrying. Above that, it may not work, but shouldn't blow up if you try. Half-wave rectifiers will want a particular polarity; full waves don't care. > > Special power supplies are available for running computers directly > > from DC. I do this at home, floating most equipment on a 12V bus, and > > I was thinking about going Mac Mini 24/7/365 instead of my current 1/4 kW > box. Consider also a mini-ITX board, or laptop w/ automotive adapter. > > avoiding inverter losses. Just remember the I^2R considerations, and > > try to keep all low-voltage cabling as short as possible. > > One of the plans is to remove the sea of wall warts, which is ugly as sin, > and cumulates the aggregated losses to some 50 W, or more. Good idea. I removed the last of those a few months back. A few devices depend on the wall-wart's transformer isolation, and need extra work to avoid conducted interference, ground loops etc. -- Jordan. From jonkc at att.net Mon Oct 15 21:26:24 2007 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 17:26:24 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations References: <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org><015101c80f47$b7f4d670$6a054e0c@MyComputer> <20071015170040.GC4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <003501c80f72$1b1a5ca0$e1024e0c@MyComputer> "Eugen Leitl" > It would seem, if you snip the rest of my post. So it would seem. I have heard others complain about me doing this before, and I am just as baffled now as I was the first time I heard it. If anyone wants to reread your entire post it will take them about .9 seconds to find it. Perhaps they can see what I could not, the thing you said that you think would prove my response to be wrong. When I become ruler of the universe and all wizards fear to speak my name the first thing I will do is pass a law saying if you want to include quoted material you must laboriously type it all in yourself, every god damn word, the respond button would not be allowed. I'll bet then we wouldn't have quotes of quoted of quotes of quotes, of quotes of quotes of quotes. Oh and don't forget the quotes. > Actually, the electroscooter is huge in the third world. Well I don't know about the "electro" part but scooters are big in the third world, because it's better than walking, and it's all they can afford. In America we can afford better so the closest thing you are likely to find to an electric scooter is a Harley-Davidson. And that's not very close. > On the average, the european cars are considerably smaller and > more fuel efficient True, and the reason is that gas is more expensive in Europe because it is more highly taxed; if it were as cheap as it is in America then European cars would get bigger and more powerful because that is the sort of car most people would prefer to have. Until then most (but certainly not all!) European cars will look like toys to American eyes. > Energy is apparently still way too cheap. Too Cheap?! I just would not consider it as a great monument to progress if I had to trade in my 306 hp Lexus for some crappy little 1.5 hp scooter that toped out at 18mph. Call me the devil incarnate if you want but I just would not be a happy man. > Not enough folks hurtin'. Eugen I think I've know you long enough to know it is unlikely that you've suddenly embraced a philosophy common among Christian fundamentalists, that pain and adversity builds character. I really don't think that was the point you were trying to make, but what you were trying to say I have no idea. I just hope you haven't watched Al Gore's movie too many times. > fossil energy is getting more and more expensive year by year. It may take more pictures of George Washington to buy a gallon of gas, but as a fraction of income gas is about as cheap as it has ever been. > the place I rent out is heated (and partly, powered) by geothermal If you live in Iceland geothermal is a no brainer, it is also an option if you live in perhaps .7% of the earth's suffice, otherwise you'd better think of something else. John K Clark From scerir at libero.it Mon Oct 15 21:28:37 2007 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 23:28:37 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations References: <200710131727.l9DHRtns018504@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <20071013192238.GY4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <006f01c80f72$59c0e000$61bc1f97@archimede> Eugen > I consider me buying a wood/coal oven, > investing in insulation and passive solar > and geothermy an excellent investment, don't forget to melanize the backyard http://tinyurl.com/yp73eg From russell.wallace at gmail.com Tue Oct 16 01:46:47 2007 From: russell.wallace at gmail.com (Russell Wallace) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 02:46:47 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Extropian Politics In-Reply-To: <61c8738e0710140023w7be18ddbpf9739c4a030d9aa@mail.gmail.com> References: <61c8738e0710130912v2594dbey3832d8a6c80da350@mail.gmail.com> <61c8738e0710140023w7be18ddbpf9739c4a030d9aa@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: <8d71341e0710151846p4e37f839q41cb39ce6caebed9@mail.gmail.com> On 10/14/07, Morris Johnson wrote: > can the list post the files attached? Seem to have come through okay. > As you can see I may on November 07 become one of the first politicians with > a > background covering bioproducts from the food, fuel and pharma areas..... > As well being part of the mangerial team overseeing the public medicare > system with a view to > not just emeliorate but to augment and improve the human condition. Good luck! > I would ask for advice from all interested to suggest how to apply the KISS > rule > to explain notions like SENS and an integrated food/fuel/pharma > bioeconomy to an electorate which generally speaking has very little > knowledge of such AND COME OFF AS CREDIBLE AND NO SOME KIND OF > UNINTELLIGIBLE GEEKY NUT CAKE. I don't know how an integrated food/fuel/pharma bioeconomy would work, or the issues involved, but as far as SENS goes, it seems to me that the key is to avoid presenting it as immortality, because that's the domain of religion. In the strict sense it really is - there's no scientific evidence for the possibility of literally infinite lifespan. (I'm not claiming to know infinite lifespan to be impossible, only that there's no evidence for it, so belief therein has to come down to faith.) Instead, as others have remarked (I believe there were links posted on the topic awhile ago), SENS should be regarded as a form of medical treatment justified not by unintelligible geeky arguments about what might happen in a million years, but by common sense in the here and now. So I think this is one of the two keys to justification of SENS: If an 8 year old is dying of pneumonia, do we try to treat the disease or let him die because it's the will of God/nature/fate/whatever? Every sane and moral person agrees on the former. If an 80 year old is dying of Alzheimer's, do we try to treat the disease or let him die because it's the will of blah-blah? Every sane and moral person should agree on the former. And it's better to tackle the root cause than only the symptoms. The best way to tackle Alzheimer's, cancer, heart disease and the other myriad conditions of old age, is to slow down or even partly reverse (not fully - that's not on the cards in the foreseeable future - but partly) the deterioration that's the real cause. The second key is disambiguation of the type missed by the fabled sorcerer who wished for eternal life but whose genie didn't by default include eternal youth in the package. Do I want to live to be 100? Frankly as things stand right now, no, I don't. The last yea many years of such a lifespan tend to consist of little but pointless suffering with neither productivity, joy nor hope. Do I want to be alive _and healthy_ at 100? Damn right I do! It's commonplace for people to say they'd turn down a longer lifespan, but how many people over the age of 30 would turn down the opportunity to look and feel younger? Damn few, judging by the market for cosmetic treatments that don't even work. The term "healthspan" has been suggested. Maybe that'll work, maybe not, I'm not a marketing expert, but the point is that what's being advocated isn't immortality, nor additional years tacked onto the end of a life as we currently know it - but the opportunity to stay young and healthy for longer. From hkhenson at rogers.com Tue Oct 16 03:30:40 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 20:30:40 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Power factor correction In-Reply-To: <20071015151759.GS1016@vt11.net> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> <20071015151759.GS1016@vt11.net> Message-ID: <1192505375_16730@S1.cableone.net> At 08:17 AM 10/15/2007, Jordan Hazen wrote: >On Mon, Oct 15, 2007 at 09:25:05AM +0200, Eugen Leitl wrote: > > On Sun, Oct 14, 2007 at 07:06:29PM -0400, Jordan Hazen wrote: snip >On the negative side, typical grid-tie systems have no autonomy, their >inverters being required to shut down during a utility outage >("anti-islanding"). Some can revert to standalone mode, with >batteries for buffering, but at greater cost and lower overall >efficiency, as safety requirements in most areas limit DC battery bus >voltage to a nominal 48V. I have seen it higher, the American Express UPS battery bank was in the several hundred volts range. But that's special industrial, not something you would see in a home very often. > > > reserves at nearby power plants instantly make up any sudden > > > shortfalls, keeping frequency and voltage within spec. But, there are > > > > What's wrong with DC? > >At the low DC voltages commonly used off-grid, I^2R losses over any >significant distance (even in house wiring) can be high, unless very >thick conductors are used. It can work well for low-wattage loads. > >For utility-scale transmission and distribution, although DC-DC >voltage converters are gradually improving, they still tends to be far >more expensive, less efficient, and more vulnerable to surges & >spikes, compared to the simple and rugged AC transformer. > >High-voltage (700kV - 1M V) DC power transmission is already used in a >few places, though, and may become more popular over time. > > >For end users, though, there's too much inertia, and legacy equipment >tied to AC for customer power standards to change anytime soon. > > >(Interestingly, though, most electronics and CFL lighting is perfectly >happy running on DC, at 1.4 times its rated AC line voltage-- i.e. >~160V in 120V countries, or 320V in the EU. Switchmode power supplies >in this type of equipment tend to immediately rectify the incoming >line, and are sensitive to peak voltage, not RMS. Active power-factor >correction circuitry may complicate things...) It might, but having recently designed an active power factor correction circuit for commercial use, and reviewing the schematics I still have on this computer, I think PFC designs could be made to run off DC just fine with few if any modifications. The way they work boosting the rectified line voltage to roughly 10% over the AC waveform peak, using an inductor and a MOSFET that shorts the inductor to ground and a second catch diode that isolates the inductor power. If you are really serious about understanding what Jordan was talking about here is the data sheet for the MC34262 that I used. http://www.onsemi.com/pub/Collateral/MC34262-D.PDF >Special power supplies are available for running computers directly >from DC. I do this at home, floating most equipment on a 12V bus, and >avoiding inverter losses. Just remember the I^2R considerations, and >try to keep all low-voltage cabling as short as possible. Jordan knows what he is talking about here. With respect to up/down conversion loses, transformers give you lower loses than boost/buck circuits. And above about a 6 to one voltage ratio, boost/buck circuits are not as efficient as switching circuits and transformers. Keith Henson From extropy at unreasonable.com Tue Oct 16 03:19:45 2007 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Mon, 15 Oct 2007 23:19:45 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071015112945.GS4005@leitl.org> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> <20071015112945.GS4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <200710160321.l9G3LJj62213@unreasonable.com> Stathis wrote: >see a flashlight not much bigger than your thumb using one of these >things light up a room brighter than a clunky 3D Maglight it is >clear that the days of the incandescent lamp are numbered. Eugen replied: >Indeed. And good riddance. But don't get rid of that MagLite. When my daughter just replaced her stolen car, the first thing I offered to pay for was a MagLite to replace the one I'd gotten her for her old car. That itty bitty LED flashlight ain't gonna do much to protect her. BTW, the Mini MagLite (the AA size flashlight) can also serve as a weapon; Mas Ayoob has a class that's essentially on how to. -- David. From eugen at leitl.org Tue Oct 16 08:52:14 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 10:52:14 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <200710160321.l9G3LJj62213@unreasonable.com> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> <20071015112945.GS4005@leitl.org> <200710160321.l9G3LJj62213@unreasonable.com> Message-ID: <20071016085214.GJ4005@leitl.org> On Mon, Oct 15, 2007 at 11:19:45PM -0400, David Lubkin wrote: > But don't get rid of that MagLite. When my daughter just replaced her > stolen car, the first thing I offered to pay for was a MagLite to > replace the one I'd gotten her for her old car. That itty bitty LED > flashlight ain't gonna do much to protect her. I would move away to a place where cars don't get stolen and streets are safe of nights for women. I'm serious; one of the reasons that I am where I am is because nothing ever happens here. > BTW, the Mini MagLite (the AA size flashlight) can also serve as a > weapon; Mas Ayoob has a class that's essentially on how to. How about a taser, or a gun, and martial arts training? -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From stathisp at gmail.com Tue Oct 16 09:24:20 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 19:24:20 +1000 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071016085214.GJ4005@leitl.org> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> <20071015112945.GS4005@leitl.org> <200710160321.l9G3LJj62213@unreasonable.com> <20071016085214.GJ4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: On 16/10/2007, Eugen Leitl wrote: > > BTW, the Mini MagLite (the AA size flashlight) can also serve as a > > weapon; Mas Ayoob has a class that's essentially on how to. > > How about a taser, or a gun, and martial arts training? I guess flashlights have the advantage of still being legal in most jurisdictions. -- Stathis Papaioannou From eugen at leitl.org Tue Oct 16 10:40:38 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 12:40:38 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <003501c80f72$1b1a5ca0$e1024e0c@MyComputer> References: <20071015170040.GC4005@leitl.org> <003501c80f72$1b1a5ca0$e1024e0c@MyComputer> Message-ID: <20071016104038.GQ4005@leitl.org> On Mon, Oct 15, 2007 at 05:26:24PM -0400, John K Clark wrote: > I have heard others complain about me doing this before, and I am just as > baffled now as I was the first time I heard it. If anyone wants to reread > your entire post it will take them about .9 seconds to find it. Perhaps they It's not about rereading posts. It's about you selectively picking out the irrelevant parts of the conversation, and focusing on them, and nothing else. Conveniently forgetting my other points, as if I never said them. You might be not doing it on purpose, but it's a distinct pattern. > can see what I could not, the thing you said that you think would prove > my response to be wrong. > > > Actually, the electroscooter is huge in the third world. > > Well I don't know about the "electro" part but scooters are big in the third http://news.zdnet.com/2100-9595_22-6212734.html ... "China produced 19 million battery driven bikes in 2006, and that figure could rise by 30 percent this year, said Zhang Changhai, lead analyst with metals consultancy Antaike in Beijing." A drop in the sea, sure, but it's not negligible, and the drive is one of the worst urban pollutions in the world. The e-bike is lightweight, and requires so little power that it can be readily recharged from wall sockets or PV panels, once these have become a cheaper and more reliable power source than the electric grid, assuming there is a grid. Once that infrastructure is established, you can scale up the requirements, until such comfortable, safe systems are in use everywhere in the world. > world, because it's better than walking, and it's all they can afford. In Once again it doesn't matter why they do it, but that they do it. We live on on the bottom of a small gravity well, with pollution knowing no boundaries. A lot of what happens in China crosses the Pacific. We also live in a limited-resource place, because our technology is so pitiful it can't yet close material and energy flow loops, like biology does. Unless we make that work, we have to work within our limits. > America we can afford better so the closest thing you are likely to find to The U.S. is not the whole world, and its fraction of importance is shrinking as developing countries come online in full force. There are great chances in developing technologies which won't doom them to repeat our mistakes. It's in our own best interest to do so, both short- and long-term. > an electric scooter is a Harley-Davidson. And that's not very close. And many are driving a battered F250 truck, and can't afford the fuel for the commute, nevermind a hog. Things are not so rosy outside of urban areas. I don't know how sheltered you are, but things have been rumbling in the workforce. The income disparity has resulted in a very real loss of purchasing capacity (availability of fundamentally new classes of consumables are beside the point) in much of the populace, despite of rosy official figures. > > On the average, the european cars are considerably smaller and > > more fuel efficient > > True, and the reason is that gas is more expensive in Europe because it is The tax rate is some 1/2 to 2/3rds of the final fuel price. Assuming the tax would go into development of renewables and maintaining the infrastructure I don't have problems with it. I do have considerable issues with that being deliberately put into the common pot, removing accountability in the local government. > more highly taxed; if it were as cheap as it is in America then European > cars would get bigger and more powerful because that is the sort of car I don't think the SUV thing is rational. It's not even safe, statistically. As to bigger and more powerful, that's not equivalent to larger motor, and more fossil fuel. The iterative loop of more mass, larger motor, more mass, till equilibrium also works in the reverse. Electromagnetic drives, spike caches and electrochemical energy sources are fundamentally game-changing, and will eventually put the classical ICE out if its misery. As an even more dramatic game-changer is deployment of symmetrical high-bandwith residential networks, and virtual and augmented reality technologies. This took two decades longer than expected, but it finally has started happening. > most people would prefer to have. Until then most (but certainly not all!) > European cars will look like toys to American eyes. There is no such thing as a European car. Most of "European" cars are made in the Far East. The reason U.S. cars don't sell well abroad is frankly a bad reliability record, poor design and atrocious operatoin economics. > > Energy is apparently still way too cheap. > > Too Cheap?! I just would not consider it as a great monument to > progress if I had to trade in my 306 hp Lexus for some crappy little You haven't bought your car because it has 306 hp, or an ICE burning dead dinos in it. You bought it because you wanted to travel quickly in comfort and safety. Carbon composite, regenerative braking and spike cache can give you the speed (not that there's much use in the U.S. for that), acceleration, safety in a much lighter package, driven by electrochemical energy sources and not by a clunky Carnot cycle engine with greenhouse, aerosol and hydrocarbon exhaust. > 1.5 hp scooter that toped out at 18mph. Call me the devil incarnate > if you want but I just would not be a happy man. Nobody asks you to buy a scooter. I wouldn't buy a scooter myself, I have a mountain bike and Far-East car with a very good reliability record that doesn't cost me more than 50 EUR/month in fuel. > Eugen I think I've know you long enough to know it is unlikely that you've > suddenly embraced a philosophy common among Christian > fundamentalists, that pain and adversity builds character. I really don't Clearly there is no pain yet, or people would use sensible technology. As an anarchist, I'm sitting between the chairs of strong government and strong corporation/free market types. I don't like either, and prefer bottom-up organization principle of smart, informed agents. However, in the current reality the agents are neither smart, nor informed, which is why we need both state and corporations, with the state adding the long-term optimization component to the market's short-term optimization, both living in an uneasy truce with each other. This is also an ideal picture we don't see in reality very often. The reality is that powerful lobbies own the government, and old democracies are slowly breaking down into oligarchies, with potentially disastrous slippage into totalitarian regime. > think that was the point you were trying to make, but what you were > trying to say I have no idea. > > I just hope you haven't watched Al Gore's movie too many times. I have absolutely no idea what's in the movie and in general I value my time too much to spend listening to self-promotion PR folks, who have to sell themselves to the lowest common denominator. I'm also not sufficiently interested by the climate issue to spend quality time with primary and secondary literature. My interest with low-footprint and renewables is because they're fundamentally local, and out of control, and will crossover with centralistic/nonrenewables within the next decade outside of spatial and temporal niches. These are technologies which empower individuals (including myself) and small groups of people, instead of maximizing government taxes and revenue of large corporations. > > fossil energy is getting more and more expensive year by year. > > It may take more pictures of George Washington to buy a gallon of gas, > but as a fraction of income gas is about as cheap as it has ever been. Wrong again. Real income has been stagnating since mid 1990s (and insidentally, the GNP minus debt hasn't risen since that time), and most of the inflation is in fossil prices. > > the place I rent out is heated (and partly, powered) by geothermal > > If you live in Iceland geothermal is a no brainer, it is also an option if > you live in perhaps .7% of the earth's suffice, otherwise you'd better I'm not sure where you take these numbers. Notice that southern Bavaria is in general not considered a classical geothermal location. It's not a fluke, however, though I question the economics of the entire pilot, since there were cost overruns which however were absorbed by the drilling company, and not the local community which runs the GmbH operating the plant. > think of something else. See, you're doing it again. I'm sure it would drive you up the wall if I started reciprocating in the same vein. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From pharos at gmail.com Tue Oct 16 11:20:01 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 12:20:01 +0100 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country Message-ID: Interesting article here: The List: World's Healthiest Countries Posted October 2007 Health headlines are more likely to focus on countries that have worsening HIV epidemics or that play host to the latest disease outbreak. But in a select few places, longevity and fitness trump viruses and early deaths. In this week's List, FP examines five countries that boast the cleanest bills of health. ---------------- OK, Japan, France, Iceland and Sweden, fine. But Cuba???? How did they do it? Cuba is a poor country and when people get sick, medicines and medical equipment are often in short supply. Their answer is low-tech preventive medicine. And it works. They have more doctors per capita than any other country. So better child care produces low infant mortality. Lots of doctors means early detection and prevention. And, being poor, they can't afford the American diet. BillK From pharos at gmail.com Tue Oct 16 11:52:39 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 12:52:39 +0100 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071016104038.GQ4005@leitl.org> References: <20071015170040.GC4005@leitl.org> <003501c80f72$1b1a5ca0$e1024e0c@MyComputer> <20071016104038.GQ4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: On 10/16/07, Eugen Leitl wrote: > > My interest with low-footprint and renewables is because they're fundamentally > local, and out of control, and will crossover with centralistic/nonrenewables > within the next decade outside of spatial and temporal niches. These are > technologies which empower individuals (including myself) and small groups > of people, instead of maximizing government taxes and revenue of large > corporations. > Governments never accept reduced income from taxes. If oil runs out, they will find something else to tax. Many countries are looking at 'congestion' taxes if you drive into cities. 'Road-pricing' taxes are also on the way up. Vehicle ownership taxes will go up. Windmills and solar power installations will have to be licensed. There is no end to the invention of new taxes. The only way to avoid government taxes is to do something different to the mass of the tax-paying public. BillK From stathisp at gmail.com Tue Oct 16 12:30:13 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 22:30:13 +1000 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On 16/10/2007, BillK wrote: > Interesting article here: > > OK, Japan, France, Iceland and Sweden, fine. > > But Cuba???? How did they do it? > Cuba is a poor country and when people get sick, medicines and medical > equipment are often in short supply. > > Their answer is low-tech preventive medicine. And it works. > They have more doctors per capita than any other country. > So better child care produces low infant mortality. > Lots of doctors means early detection and prevention. > > And, being poor, they can't afford the American diet. Note also that all these countries apportion the finite health budget according to need, or (equivalently in the ideal case) according to where it will do most good. That requires centralised planning. Unfortunately, some nations' ideological aversion to centralised planning gets as much in the way of an optimal outcome as other nations' ideological commitment to it does. -- Stathis Papaioannou From extropy at unreasonable.com Tue Oct 16 13:37:53 2007 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 09:37:53 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071016085214.GJ4005@leitl.org> References: <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <20071014201900.GH4005@leitl.org> <20071014230629.GQ1016@vt11.net> <20071015072505.GK4005@leitl.org> <20071015112945.GS4005@leitl.org> <200710160321.l9G3LJj62213@unreasonable.com> <20071016085214.GJ4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <200710161340.l9GDeWj96435@unreasonable.com> I wrote: > BTW, the Mini MagLite (the AA size flashlight) can also serve as a > weapon; Mas Ayoob has a class that's essentially on how to. > But don't get rid of that MagLite. When my daughter just replaced her > stolen car, the first thing I offered to pay for was a MagLite to > replace the one I'd gotten her for her old car. That itty bitty LED > flashlight ain't gonna do much to protect her. Eugen replied: >I would move away to a place where cars don't get stolen and >streets are safe of nights for women. > >I'm serious; one of the reasons that I am where I am is because >nothing ever happens here. Ditto. >How about a taser, or a gun, and martial arts training? Stathis replied to Eugen: >I guess flashlights have the advantage of still being legal in most >jurisdictions. Most specifically, a flashlight in a car is legal, reasonable, and useful where there is no defense hazard. It can legitimately be in your hand, ready to go, without arousing suspicion from either authorities or anyone you encounter. It is also a no-brainer gift for people you care about, who may not be willing to go beyond that in preparation. Tasers, guns, and martial arts training have their uses. But bear in mind that police officers, who may have all three along with other defense assets, still carry MagLites. (Tactical flashlights, like SureFire, are also useful to have, but not as weapons in of themselves.) Generalizing, there are three questions that we all need to keep in mind, and should reassess on a regular basis: (1) How can we structure our lives for the best reduction of risk from hazards (earthquakes, taxes, death, time delay, UFAI, ...) that will interfere with our goals? Choosing where to live, as you do, is an obviously useful measure. (But each of us has different criteria for "best" -- Perry chooses to remain in NYC.) (2) What should we do to prepare for when a direct threat comes anyway? (What do you keep in your car for emergencies? Do you have an internist and a criminal defense attorney you trust? Do you know a way to get home that doesn't use highways?) (3) What can we do to safeguard the people we love re (1) and (2)? They will make choices on their own. My general philosophy is that if I feel strongly about a choice that others will make, at work or among friends or family, my duty as a mensch is to (a) make my case, then (b) shut up about it, and (c) where reasonable and appropriate, provide a safety net for them consonant with their choice. (Your boss won't include a feature you think is needed -- design the API so it could be added easily. Your friend lives with an abusive boyfriend -- have a spare room, and let her know she's always welcome.) -- David. From sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com Tue Oct 16 17:54:04 2007 From: sergio.ml.tarrero at mac.com (Sergio M.L. Tarrero) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 19:54:04 +0200 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <84117182-BF29-4B03-974D-BB6A58B8EE43@mac.com> On Oct 16, 2007, at 1:20 PM, BillK wrote: > Interesting article here: > Here's another article, with a link to the full list... http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/health/774434.stm -- Sergio M.L. Tarrero Lifeboat Foundation -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From sjatkins at mac.com Tue Oct 16 18:31:39 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 11:31:39 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> On Oct 14, 2007, at 11:51 AM, hkhenson wrote: > At 10:46 PM 10/13/2007, you wrote: > >> On Oct 13, 2007, at 3:56 PM, hkhenson wrote: >>> >>> Both fusion and fission generate neutrons. There is a really big >>> problem in that neutrons can be silently diverted into making Pu >>> 239. The problem will only be recognized when a city is terror nuked >>> without warning. >>> >> >> I have heard it said that such usages to produce Pu 239 is not a >> simple process and leaves telltales allowing detection. As far as >> it >> being possible I think this is very well recognized as it is used as >> an argument against countries like Iran developing even supposedly >> peaceful nuclear tecnology. So I doubt very much we are blind to the >> possibility or require a city being nuked to alert us. > > Google "Keith Henson" plutonium > >>> Also, the biggest use of oil is transport fuel, and that not easy to >>> displace with fission. It can be done, but the resultant fuel will >>> be very expensive. See my discussion on dollar gasoline here a >>> while back. >>> >> >> What kind of transport are we talking? Some 60+% of oil used in the >> US is used by cars and trucks. How many of them could run just fine >> off of electricity generated by nuclear power? > > Not very many of them. But even if *half* could, it won't solve the > carbon and energy problem. > Why can't all cars and light trucks be electric? And why wouldn't a substantial decrease in oil burned help? - s From sjatkins at mac.com Tue Oct 16 18:55:01 2007 From: sjatkins at mac.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 11:55:01 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <20071015065941.GJ4005@leitl.org> References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <147A42E4-92E2-4248-AF9E-2853DBF3A473@mac.com> <1192301529.23110.10.camel@localhost> <20071015065941.GJ4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: What of the possibility of autonomous and tele-operated robotic mining of near-earth asteroids and space manufacture of some of the larger solar sat components? If possible it would help avoid having to drag so much out of the gravity well. Not to mention that extraction of bullion (!), metals and combustibles is space could generally greatly enhance space opportunities. I heard about such things ages ago but haven't seen a lot since. - samantha On Oct 14, 2007, at 11:59 PM, Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Sun, Oct 14, 2007 at 06:55:46PM -0400, Brent Neal wrote: > >> I'd guess they'd try to piggyback slots - i.e. replace communication >> satellites with power satellites with communications relays on them. >> Not like powering the relays would be a problem. :) > > There are advantages in dynamic LEO satellite configurations. > You have to maintain a critical density (depends on orbit height) > in order to achieve a smooth handover for Earth-side rectenna > arrays. > > There are multiple technologies which allow you to dramatically > reduce launch costs (high accelerations/small packages, so unsuitable > for large payloads and people), and which get you to LEO. > > -- > Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org > ______________________________________________________________ > ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org > 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From pharos at gmail.com Tue Oct 16 19:28:25 2007 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 20:28:25 +0100 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: <84117182-BF29-4B03-974D-BB6A58B8EE43@mac.com> References: <84117182-BF29-4B03-974D-BB6A58B8EE43@mac.com> Message-ID: On 10/16/07, Sergio M.L. Tarrero wrote: > Here's another article, with a link to the full list... > http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/health/774434.stm > That's the year 2000 report. The WHO has now issued the year 2007 statistics. You can download the pdf files here: They provide the stats in alphabetical order and don't provide country rankings, probably for political reasons. But extracting the data for life expectancy at birth for 2005 - male female Japan 79 86 France 77 84 Iceland 79 83 Sweden 79 83 Cuba 75 79 USA 75 80 BillK From eugen at leitl.org Tue Oct 16 19:32:52 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 21:32:52 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: References: <200710130304.l9D34CCb025790@andromeda.ziaspace.com> <147A42E4-92E2-4248-AF9E-2853DBF3A473@mac.com> <1192301529.23110.10.camel@localhost> <20071015065941.GJ4005@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20071016193252.GM4005@leitl.org> On Tue, Oct 16, 2007 at 11:55:01AM -0700, Samantha Atkins wrote: > What of the possibility of autonomous and tele-operated robotic mining > of near-earth asteroids and space manufacture of some of the larger Autonomous self-replication, in a small package is hard. Nobody knows exactly how to do it yet. Even teleoperation with enough relativistic lag (which http://www.molecularassembler.com/KSRM.htm implies distance, and large delta v) is hard. The closest nontrivial amount of extraterrestrial material with low delta-v and negligible (2 s ping-pong) is lunar surface. Even so bootstrapping a fabbing/launch bridghead on the Moon is nontrivial, and might require much cheaper launches than today. A useful package of material to deorbit would seem in some 10-100 kg, which implies of putting a mass of about a ton into LEO (transfer time about half a year). Possible alternative launch methods are a gas gun, or a maglev/scramjet, or carrier/scramjet (anything else?). A ton is a lot for these. 100 kg LEO is more realistic. 100 kg spun int 10 um material goes a long way. > solar sat components? If possible it would help avoid having to drag > so much out of the gravity well. Not to mention that extraction of > bullion (!), metals and combustibles is space could generally greatly At current launch costs, material put to LEO could as well be solid gold. On the other hand suitably sheathed material can be deorbited and aerobraked. This might or might now work out for lunar materials. > enhance space opportunities. I heard about such things ages ago but I don't see how suited or canned monkeys have much of a future in space. The logistics is very much different for solid-state beings which travel to the resources and multiply there. This even applies to people, though less so. > haven't seen a lot since. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From extropy at unreasonable.com Tue Oct 16 18:55:44 2007 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 14:55:44 -0400 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <200710161856.l9GIuvj19304@unreasonable.com> Foreign Policy reported: >Health headlines are more likely to focus on countries that have >worsening HIV epidemics or that play host to the latest disease >outbreak. But in a select few places, longevity and fitness trump >viruses and early deaths. In this week's List, FP examines five >countries that boast the cleanest bills of health. leading Bill K to ask: >OK, Japan, France, Iceland and Sweden, fine. > >But Cuba???? How did they do it? First, the article doesn't say these are the *top* five. If you look at the full list that Sergio pointed us to, Cuba is #33. Which still seems too high, relative to where the US and New Zealand are. I have my suspicions. I spent a few minutes on the WHO site, but can neither confirm nor deny them, and am not inclined to delve further. The press release from WHO doesn't say where they got the numbers from that the report was based on. I suspect that, particularly for a country like Cuba, WHO relies on numbers provided to them from the government. I further suspect that Cuba is lying wildly in any such reporting, given the nature and history of the regime there and the known monumental distortions, exaggerations, and fabrications of similar regimes. (There is no famine in Ukraine. There are no gays in Iran. These are not the drones you're looking for.) -- David. From andrew at ceruleansystems.com Tue Oct 16 19:38:26 2007 From: andrew at ceruleansystems.com (J. Andrew Rogers) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 12:38:26 -0700 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <08F0DDA2-84AE-4BE4-93EC-BB057776E323@ceruleansystems.com> On Oct 16, 2007, at 4:20 AM, BillK wrote: > OK, Japan, France, Iceland and Sweden, fine. > > But Cuba???? How did they do it? > Cuba is a poor country and when people get sick, medicines and medical > equipment are often in short supply. > > Their answer is low-tech preventive medicine. And it works. > They have more doctors per capita than any other country. > So better child care produces low infant mortality. > Lots of doctors means early detection and prevention. I was under the impression that prevention is greatly over-rated both in terms of cost effectiveness and actual value to health, at least when actually studied in economic terms. The level at which it makes a difference is so low that it is not a substantial differentiator in the industrialized world. That said, the reasons US disease survival rates are much better than the rest of the industrialized world have often been argued to be the result of excellent ubiquitous early detection technology and treatment. So if early detection and prevention mattered, the US should be leading the pack but clearly the US is not. > And, being poor, they can't afford the American diet. Genetics and diet are probably responsible for the bulk of the difference in the industrialized world; when you look at the enormous variation in health and life expectancy across the individual US states (perhaps a better control than comparing individual countries) and correlate it with demographics and diet, the patterns make this more obvious. If you remove things like accidents from the death statistics (which are atypically high in the US), you find that Americans are about the longest lived people in the industrialized world. It is not because Americans are particularly healthy, but that the survival rates for many dangerous diseases (and particularly cancer) in the US often dwarf that of the rest of the industrialized world. As an extreme example that was in the news recently, an average person with cancer in the US has a 30-35% higher survival rate than the average person with cancer in the UK. As the population ages, factors like this will matter greatly. Americans in many parts of the country have crap diets, but then compensate with superior early detection and treatment of significant diseases. The healthiness of Americans has nothing to do with the healthcare available to them. Cheers, J. Andrew Rogers From andrew at ceruleansystems.com Tue Oct 16 20:01:36 2007 From: andrew at ceruleansystems.com (J. Andrew Rogers) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 13:01:36 -0700 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <86356DE1-6144-4B22-A853-4370F753AFF0@ceruleansystems.com> To add some statistical references to what I was talking about with regard to US survival rates: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/08/21/ ncancer121.xml UK cancer survival rates are among the lowest in Europe, and all of Europe has significantly lower cancer survival rates than the US. As a general pattern, a "life threatening" illness is significantly less life threatening in the US than elsewhere. There are plenty of other problems in the US, mostly revolving around poor diet/lifestyle and high accident rate (due largely to excessive driving), but the quality of the medical care the average person receives is not one of those problems and actually compensates for a mediocre baseline. Cheers, J. Andrew Rogers From hkhenson at rogers.com Tue Oct 16 20:16:57 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 13:16:57 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> Message-ID: <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> At 11:31 AM 10/16/2007, Samantha wrote: >On Oct 14, 2007, at 11:51 AM, hkhenson wrote: > > > At 10:46 PM 10/13/2007, Samantha wrote: > > > >> On Oct 13, 2007, at 3:56 PM, hkhenson wrote: >snip > >>> Also, the biggest use of oil is transport fuel, and that not easy to > >>> displace with fission. It can be done, but the resultant fuel will > >>> be very expensive. See my discussion on dollar gasoline here a > >>> while back. > >> > >> What kind of transport are we talking? Some 60+% of oil used in the > >> US is used by cars and trucks. How many of them could run just fine > >> off of electricity generated by nuclear power? > > > > Not very many of them. But even if *half* could, it won't solve the > > carbon and energy problem. > >Why can't all cars and light trucks be electric? It's the same reasons we are having so many problems with trying to design and build electric cars now. But you mentioned "trucks." Every calculated how much energy it takes for a big truck to go over the passes in California? The key to hydrocarbons is they are energy dense and 65% of the mass of the products comes from sucking in air. Refueling an automobile from a gas pump is (from memory) 20 MWs thermal. I.e., if you just burned the gas coming out of the pump, the flame would be 20 MW. (For comparison, a large line locomotive at full power might produce 3 MW.) >And why wouldn't a substantial decrease in oil burned help? Because you are not going to get it. Any savings the US might manage are going to be sucked up other places in the world. We have to displace oil and coal with something better. Nuclear power is a relatively short term solution (limited supplies of uranium) and has really horrible risks. If there were no other choice, I would reluctantly support it. It may turn out there is no other choice if there is some engineering/physical reason we can't build SPS. Keith Henson PS, one alternative to abundant energy is some combination of war, starvation and disease that cuts the population back. Oil supplies would last a lot longer if there were far fewer people. From dagonweb at gmail.com Tue Oct 16 20:47:50 2007 From: dagonweb at gmail.com (Dagon Gmail) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 22:47:50 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: The immense difficulty of creating an industry in near-space, with development of lunar or NEAR asteroid ores, as well as harvesting solar energy is so incredibly disheartening it gives me a nauseous feeling. My gut is telling me things are going all wrong. It is all but certain that we will need to take this step, barring a Kurzweilean quantum leap in AI/Nanotech/longevity advances. I am concerned to rely in my expectations on any singularities, it would be just too convenient. I really want to see industry and accompanying economical growth start real fast, as I am really starting to get nervous about the Peak Oil issue. From hkhenson at rogers.com Tue Oct 16 21:54:08 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 14:54:08 -0700 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: <200710161856.l9GIuvj19304@unreasonable.com> References: <200710161856.l9GIuvj19304@unreasonable.com> Message-ID: <1192571584_53601@S1.cableone.net> At 11:55 AM 10/16/2007, David Lubkin wrote: snip >The press release from WHO doesn't say where they got the numbers >from that the report was based on. I suspect that, particularly for a >country like Cuba, WHO relies on numbers provided to them from the >government. I further suspect that Cuba is lying wildly in any such >reporting, given the nature and history of the regime there and the >known monumental distortions, exaggerations, and fabrications of >similar regimes. (There is no famine in Ukraine. There are no gays in >Iran. These are not the drones you're looking for.) Droids. :-) Keith From hkhenson at rogers.com Tue Oct 16 22:23:03 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 15:23:03 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: <1192573319_54829@S1.cableone.net> At 01:47 PM 10/16/2007, "Dagon Gmail" wrote: >The immense difficulty of creating an industry in near-space, >with development of lunar or NEAR asteroid ores, as well as >harvesting solar energy is so incredibly disheartening it gives >me a nauseous feeling. My gut is telling me things are going >all wrong. I agree with you, but I think it is instructive to see why. It isn't because of physical reality, there are probably several ways you could build a huge space industry, the key to all pre nanotech ways is a low cost way to get into space. My favorite is a moving cable, stepped taper, space elevator, partly because it is highly efficient. But really huge lasers for laser launch offer another possibility. The problems are at other levels, in my opinion more intractable levels because they are poorly understood. (In some cases, discount economics gives wrong answers.) >It is all but certain that we will need to take this step, barring >a Kurzweilean quantum leap in AI/Nanotech/longevity advances. >I am concerned to rely in my expectations on any singularities, >it would be just too convenient. I really want to see industry >and accompanying economical growth start real fast, as I >am really starting to get nervous about the Peak Oil issue. With good reason. The consequence of economic growth below population growth leads to those populating becoming xenophobic and war-like. There is a growing realization that solving terrorism (driven now by this underlying situation) will probably require a few billions of people to die. Marvin Cetron discusses this around the edges in an article in the May/June issue of "The Futurist" earlier this year. This situation is likely to come about well before the most thoughtful predictions of the singularity (Ray Kurzweil, mid 2040s). Keith Henson PS I have been working on a description of space elevator and SPS construction in the context of part of a novel. If you want to read it and comment, ask. From matus at matus1976.com Tue Oct 16 23:58:29 2007 From: matus at matus1976.com (matus) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 19:58:29 -0400 Subject: [ExI] Stem cell research vs advocacy Message-ID: <9A889C98287D4A599E523849B36D1734@silverbook> I collected the information of a few organizations which do direct stem cell research and tried to find a breakdown of how much actually goes to research. Results were typically 20% - 40% so far, although one institute, the Bedford Stem Cell Research Foundation - http://www.bedfordresearch.org, according to their director, get 88%-90% to direct research. The director also asked me this, which I thought members of this list might be interested in assisting. "I'm currently working on an article for BioLaw and Business that outlines the role/need for philanthropy in new biomedical research -- I'm trying to come up with the cost to taxpayers of a federal dollar re-cycled to research versus the cost of an individual taxpayer dollar donated directly to a non-profit for the same research. Any thoughts/info on this?" - info at bedfordresearch.org You can find my current list here: http://www.matus1976.com/science/stem_cell_support.htm - Michael F Dickey -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From kanzure at gmail.com Wed Oct 17 00:56:35 2007 From: kanzure at gmail.com (Bryan Bishop) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 19:56:35 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Stem cell research vs advocacy In-Reply-To: <9A889C98287D4A599E523849B36D1734@silverbook> References: <9A889C98287D4A599E523849B36D1734@silverbook> Message-ID: <200710161956.35974.kanzure@gmail.com> On the same thread subject, and I apologize for creating this hijacked subthread, does anybody have any stem cell research articles that they think should be read by the extropians on the list at large? - Bryan From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Wed Oct 17 01:08:09 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 18:08:09 -0700 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: <08F0DDA2-84AE-4BE4-93EC-BB057776E323@ceruleansystems.com> References: <08F0DDA2-84AE-4BE4-93EC-BB057776E323@ceruleansystems.com> Message-ID: J. Andrew wrote: > I was under the impression that prevention is greatly over-rated both > in terms of cost effectiveness and actual value to health, at least > when actually studied in economic terms. The level at which it makes > a difference is so low that it is not a substantial differentiator in > the industrialized world. That said, the reasons US disease survival > rates are much better than the rest of the industrialized world have > often been argued to be the result of excellent ubiquitous early > detection technology and treatment. So if early detection and > prevention mattered, the US should be leading the pack but clearly > the US is not. I'm no doctor, but it seems to me that the "detection and treatment" process doesn't kick in until the condition is acute. IMHO there's a big difference between PREVENTING a disease and waiting until something is terribly wrong and then trying to notice it as soon as possible and then treat it. James Clement From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Wed Oct 17 01:39:04 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 18:39:04 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Pax Romana touted as new Transhumanist Comic Message-ID: http://www.comicbookresources.com/news/newsitem.cgi?id=12132 HICKMAN SAVES THE FUTURE, DESTROYS THE PAST IN "PAX ROMANA" by Andy Khouri, Staff Writer October 16, 2007 - "Pax Romana" #1 on sale November 28 Readers of Image Comics' "The Nightly News" are already familiar with creator Jonathan Hickman's penchant for iconoclasm, both in terms of his startlingly original comic book artwork as well as his exquisite eviscerations of conventional wisdom, authority and more or less anything we tend to consider "truth." Having spilled quite a lot of blood on the newsroom floor in his debut work, Hickman's next subject is one even more complex than The Media itself. Written and lavishly illustrated by Hickman, November's "Pax Romana" continues the author's exploration of cultural and philosophical constructs in an ambitious tale of religious strife, epic wars, time travel across millennia and --simply enough-- how to build a "perfect" society. CBR News reconnected with Hickman to learn all he had to teach us about "Pax Romana." "'Pax Romana' takes place in a future when Islam has overrun Western Europe and monotheism is on the wane in the East and the West," Jonathan Hickman told CBR News. "There's a breakthrough. They discover time travel in a scientific lab that's secretly funded by the Vatican. The pope sends a private army back in time to conquer the world and maintain the dominance of Catholicism. "Obviously, it's a very small, personal story about finding yourself." Into the time of the first Christian emperor, Constantine, go five thousand of the future's most heavily armed and genetically enhanced crusaders, with enough religious zeal to match their enormous guns. Led by cardinals of the Pope's own choosing, the time-traveling Vatican army fights to save the future by destroying the past. "And all of their plans go wrong," Hickman said. Their explicit goal nothing less than to keep the Roman Empire from crumbling to dust, the players of "Pax Romana" are faced with challenges so tremendous and decisions so terrible, to examine them too closely is all but stupefying. But in the best tradition of science fiction, "Pax Romana" seeks to expose in the most meaningful terms why this massive endeavor would or would not work. "What kind of mentality would it take to build a 'perfect society?'" said Hickman of the "Pax Romana" cast, which is a varied group of cardinals, generals, popes, a child emperor and of course Constantine himself. "There aren't any good guys, I didn't write any good guys. [laughs] There are people that believe in things, but it doesn't mean they're believing in the right things. "What starts off as a religious crusade turns into a social experiment, except these guys are deadly serious and they're going to be committed to it for the rest of their lives. Their kids are going to be committed to it. "If you're going to build a 'perfect society' you have to compromise along the way because you can't be concerned with the Individual; with the humans around you. You have to be worried about the larger human group. In other words, would you allow slavery to continue for a period of time because you need to build an infrastructure and a sewage system so you don't get the black plague and stuff like that? 'Pax Romana' is tough questions like that." Hickman was inspired in the creation of "Pax Romana" by the celebrated author Frank Herbet, most specifically his novel "God Emperor of Dune." "That's one of the inspirations for it," Hickman said. "The other one is I just really wanted to do a time travel story!" "The Nightly News" was heavily informed by an intense crash course in journalism, politics and statistics. Hickman has similarly prepared himself for "Pax Romana" with a prodigious study of history, geography, geology and philosophy. "I've been reading a lot of Hegel," Hickman said. "A lot of 'The History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire' by Edward Gibbon, and all the armory books I can get a hold of so I can learn what they used to wear back then and what the social practices were. I've been doing a lot of research about the geographic changes of the state of Rome over the 300-year period of the fall of the Roman Empire and trying to figure out how I would consolidate borders and stuff like that." Given Hickman's highly distinctive art style, comparisons between "Pax Romana" and "The Nightly News" will be inevitable, but Hickman believes his new book surpasses the visual richness of his superlative debut. "'Pax Romana' is going to be, obviously, graphic design-heavy," explained Hickman. "But the 'graphic designy' stuff will be more 'graphic designy' and the art will be more analogue, if that makes sense. So instead of it being just trendy pop graphic design, it's going to be a lot more 'cutting edge' than just black and white line art. It's going to be painted in some places, a multimedia kind of thing, kind of a collage in some spots." In terms of story comparison, Hickman says, "The scope [of 'Pax Romana'] is about the same [as 'The Nightly News']. Even though it may be a grander scale, I think I'm still trying to tell a story on multiple levels. I think that is true. I think I'm trying to tell a story that has multiple themes as well as an overarching narrative." "The Nightly News" represented for Jonathan Hickman a total commitment to professional comicbookery, and the auspicious newcomer has loads more to say. "Pax Romana" debuts barely two months after "The Nightly News" graphic novel collection hit stores; Hickman contributed to Image's hotly anticipated "Popgun" anthology; and as previously reported on CBR News, "A Red Mass for Mars" follows in December, and is Hickman's first work to be illustrated by another artist, the emerging talent Ryan Bodenheim (Hickman will provide color art). And in March of 2008, Hickman plans to release "Transhuman," a comic book mockumentary about the rise of genetic engineering. "'Transhuman' is kind of a comedy," Hickman said. "It's a lot of tongue-in-cheek. It's really sarcastic. Not a lot of 'ha ha!' jokes but there's a lot of stuff that'll make you chuckle. A guy named JM Renguit is drawing it. He's colored some things for BOOM! Studios. He's got a kind of Mike Oeming/Tim Sale thing going." Perhaps paradoxically, most professionals in all facets of the comics industry read fewer and fewer comic books after finding themselves in the business of making and selling them. Just one graphic novel deep, Jonathan Hickman is no exception -- but still better than many at keeping up with some of the medium's best books. "I've become really oversensitive to ripping people off," Hickman remarked. "Not intentionally -- you don't mean to do that. But whatever you read, it kind of filters into what you're doing. I stopped reading a lot of stuff but two of my better buys were 'Batman: Year 100' by Paul Pope and 'Pulphope.' I liked it - a lot. I've been reading 'Fables.' I love 'Fables,' that's very, very good. I also read 'Y: The Last Man.' I've been reading '100 Bullets' lately. That's pretty amazing. I'm a pretty big fan. I didn't even know who Eduardo Risso was but I've become a huge fan overnight." Hickman has plans to continue the mythology of "Pax Romana" after the conclusion of this maiden miniseries. "The whole thing is kind of structured like 'Hellboy' in that it's something that I can revisit once a year or something like that, do a miniseries, and it keeps building on the world," Hickman explained. "I've got a whole lot of that stuff already plotted out and this is just the first little bit. It takes place over 150 years over the first four issues. And it's really about society building. It's what the story's all about." Posted by James Clement From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Oct 17 01:08:47 2007 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 21:08:47 -0400 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: <200710170110.l9H1A3j43769@unreasonable.com> Dagon wrote: >The immense difficulty of creating an industry in near-space, >with development of lunar or NEAR asteroid ores, as well as >harvesting solar energy is so incredibly disheartening it gives >me a nauseous feeling. My gut is telling me things are going >all wrong. > >It is all but certain that we will need to take this step, barring >a Kurzweilean quantum leap in AI/Nanotech/longevity advances. >I am concerned to rely in my expectations on any singularities, >it would be just too convenient. I really want to see industry >and accompanying economical growth start real fast, as I >am really starting to get nervous about the Peak Oil issue. I'm not convinced that the early analyses (Stine's The Third Industrial Revolution, Bova's The High Road, and the more detailed works) were wrong about the technical feasiblilty of and approaches to mining the asteroids. It seems to me that a Paul Allen or Jeff Bezos could (and profitably) fund the start-up out of pocket by themselves. I think the 1970's estimates were around $150 million to bring a decent nickel-iron asteroid back, which translates to about $500 million today. Even off by a factor of ten, it can be funded by one person. I am surprised that none of the tech rich who are putting money in space are talking about asteroids. Maybe (he hoped) they're working on it, but quietly. I do feel very strongly that getting off this planet *asap* is vital, for all manner of reasons, without regard to how easy it would be given other technologies (MNT) that we expect but haven't happened yet. -- David. From jrd1415 at gmail.com Wed Oct 17 01:57:50 2007 From: jrd1415 at gmail.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 18:57:50 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <1192573319_54829@S1.cableone.net> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> <1192573319_54829@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: I've found this thread quite fascinating as, it seems, have many. So I would like pose two questions related to asteroid mining. Ion drives provide impressive gains in performance over chemical propulsion, and seem particularly suited to operation in vacuum and out of an atmosphere-blanketed gravity well. I asked sometime back about using other substances than Xenon for the reaction mass, with an eye to using native asteroid material. Sadly the responses were disappointingly uncreative, emphasizing for example the way bulk iron doesn't present itself as individual atoms but comes all clumped together. Well, duh! Whether you grind it up, oxidize it, or vaporized it, it all boils down to the same thing, you're going to have to work the bulk material into a form suitable for use as reaction mass. That may take equipment and energy, but I doubt it will turn out to be technically daunting. If you're on earth with availability and cost what they are hereabouts, then Xenon is terrific. It's good to go in its native form. But out in the 'roid belt... Anything with mass that can be ionized and propelled out the back can be used as reaction mass. Xenon is probably not all that abundant out in the vicinity of the asteroid belt, so what do you do?. You find something else. Put your thinking caps on folks and help me out here. There's lots of mass out there so some way needs to be found to make it into "fuel". Iron's plentiful, why not use it? Or something else, then. C'mon. Which brings me to my real question. Your ion tug has hooked onto a particularly juicy asteroid fragment, and has set it on course toward earth. Since you're moving "down" the solar gravity well, the ion tug will have to slow you down gradually as you spiral in, or, if your taking a more direct route, you're going to have to find another way to decelerate when you reach your destination. How could you do this? If you had a processing plant on the moon, you could just slam right on in. Could you keep the relative velocity low enough to keep your goods from vaporizing or keep from causing excess environmental damage to the moon? Or perhaps you aim for the earth, grazing the atmosphere but of course avoiding actually grazing the surface. I suspect that some of the folks on earth my look askance at such a method, but hey, we're just talkin' her, right? Anyway, your thoughts on the matter? Oh, one other little question. Does being on moderation mean I'm banned from posting, or just subject to oversight, or ,...what? I guess I'll find out. Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles From jrd1415 at gmail.com Wed Oct 17 02:21:24 2007 From: jrd1415 at gmail.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 19:21:24 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <200710170110.l9H1A3j43769@unreasonable.com> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> <200710170110.l9H1A3j43769@unreasonable.com> Message-ID: On 10/16/07, David Lubkin wrote: > I am surprised that none of the tech rich who are putting > money in space are talking about asteroids. Maybe (he hoped) they're > working on it, but quietly. Or maybe they just don't think it's a reality-based project. To be tech rich might imply feet firmly on the ground. Also, what kind of profitability are we talking about here? What kind of Stuff do you go after first? Surely it's got to be something more valuable that a hunk of iron/nickel. You know, something like gold, platinum, palladium, tungsten. With all that stuff broken up into chunks, what exactly would be considered "the motherload"? Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles From hkhenson at rogers.com Wed Oct 17 02:10:17 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 19:10:17 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <200710170110.l9H1A3j43769@unreasonable.com> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> <200710170110.l9H1A3j43769@unreasonable.com> Message-ID: <1192586954_60110@S3.cableone.net> At 06:08 PM 10/16/2007, David Lubkin wrote: snip > I think the 1970's estimates were around $150 million to >bring a decent nickel-iron asteroid back, which translates to about >$500 million today. Even off by a factor of ten, it can be funded by >one person. You might be off by a factor of ten or even more. It depends entirely on how you do it. >I am surprised that none of the tech rich who are putting >money in space are talking about asteroids. Maybe (he hoped) they're >working on it, but quietly. > >I do feel very strongly that getting off this planet *asap* is vital, >for all manner of reasons, without regard to how easy it would be >given other technologies (MNT) that we expect but haven't happened yet. The consequences of not getting off the planet in a really big way are dire. For the energy structure we can see on the downside of peak oil, billions will die because oil is what keeps them alive. Oil is what grows and transports food to places with oil but not much water. The impressive number (to me) is that a ton of wheat took 1000 tons of water to grow. MNT isn't likely to come along before the oil runs out. Keith Henson From andrew at ceruleansystems.com Wed Oct 17 04:10:36 2007 From: andrew at ceruleansystems.com (J. Andrew Rogers) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 21:10:36 -0700 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: <08F0DDA2-84AE-4BE4-93EC-BB057776E323@ceruleansystems.com> Message-ID: <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> On Oct 16, 2007, at 6:08 PM, James Clement wrote: > I'm no doctor, but it seems to me that the "detection and > treatment" process > doesn't kick in until the condition is acute. IMHO there's a big > difference > between PREVENTING a disease and waiting until something is > terribly wrong > and then trying to notice it as soon as possible and then treat it. Most of, at least, the economics literature I am aware of seems to indicate that prevention does not buy you anything worth the expense beyond the very rudimentary. Aggressive prevention has a very low return on investment any way you calculate it and gives much better return invested in advanced and available treatment. Are you arguing that this is incorrect? Ignoring the whole "healthy lifestyle and diet" thing which is rarely controlled for, it seems that the optimal situation from a healthcare standpoint is basic prevention -- which the entire industrialized world has -- and very advanced and fast treatment of problems as they occur. By the standards of most western countries, the treatment turnaround in the US after a problem is reported is extremely short, which undoubtedly also helps. I was reading something the other day that stated the US has five times as many MRI machines per capita as Canada (and not surprisingly shorter waits for such machines), and at least in US medicine MRI machines are considered essential diagnostic technology that improve treatment performance. But if the Canadian population is doesn't have a crap lifestyle and diet relative to the USians they will still be healthier. The US has perfectly adequate prevention, a crap lifestyle and diet, and superior medical treatment. The crap lifestyle and superior medical treatment essentially cancel each other out and leave the US as an average country statistically. Some European countries have a healthier lifestyle, but get taken down a couple notches because the medical treatment is not as good or available as in the US. If you want spectacular results, combine a healthy lifestyle with US medical treatment performance. There are regional demographics in the US that already outperform any other equivalent demographic in the world. Even among the individual US states the average life expectancy range is 8-9 years(!), so clearly there is a rather large standard deviation at play here that gets lost when averaging the continent. Since we are all individuals rather than averages, individual Americans should take advantage of the superior medical treatment by also leading a healthy lifestyle. Cheers, J. Andrew Rogers From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Wed Oct 17 04:41:16 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 21:41:16 -0700 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> References: <08F0DDA2-84AE-4BE4-93EC-BB057776E323@ceruleansystems.com> <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> Message-ID: Thanks, J. Andrew for your reply: > Most of, at least, the economics literature I am aware of seems to > indicate that prevention does not buy you anything worth the expense > beyond the very rudimentary. Aggressive prevention has a very low > return on investment any way you calculate it and gives much better > return invested in advanced and available treatment. Are you arguing > that this is incorrect? I haven't seen such literature, so I can't comment on their premises or assumptions. Please feel free to send me an example of such. > Ignoring the whole "healthy lifestyle and diet" thing which is rarely > controlled for,... > The US has perfectly adequate prevention, a crap lifestyle and diet, > and superior medical treatment. The crap lifestyle and superior > medical treatment essentially cancel each other out and leave the US > as an average country statistically. Some European countries have a > healthier lifestyle, but get taken down a couple notches because the > medical treatment is not as good or available as in the US. How do you define "prevention"? Here in the States, "healthy lifestyle and diet" are one of the first things one is told is best for prevention, after that, many other things including stress reduction, vitamins/supplements, etc. are encouraged, depending on the individual's genetic and environmental risks (see below). > If you want spectacular results, combine a healthy lifestyle with US > medical treatment performance. There are regional demographics in > the US that already outperform any other equivalent demographic in > the world. Even among the individual US states the average life > expectancy range is 8-9 years(!), so clearly there is a rather large > standard deviation at play here that gets lost when averaging the > continent. Since we are all individuals rather than averages, > individual Americans should take advantage of the superior medical > treatment by also leading a healthy lifestyle. I would agree that lifestyle, which is major aspect of prevention, plays a crucial role in improving health. Over the years, I've read many articles which speculate the savings in disease treatment which could be avoided if certain preventive measures were taken... Here are some examples: http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-122379097.html WASHINGTON, Sept. 22 /PRNewswire/ -- A study released today shows that daily use of calcium would prevent 734,000 hip fractures and save $13.9 billion in health care costs over the next five years. Daily use of folic acid by women would prevent 600 cases of neural tube birth defects yearly, saving $1.3 billion in lifetime medical costs over five years. Omega-3 fatty acids, glucosamine and saw palmetto supplements showed substantial promise for improving health and quality of life and potentially reducing health care costs. ******************** http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-11170765_ITM Industry study boosts case for supplements. COPYRIGHT 2005 The Salt Lake Tribune Byline: Robert Gehrke Nov. 3--WASHINGTON -- Use of two types of dietary supplements could save the country $5.6 billion in health-care costs for seniors alone, according to a study released Wednesday funded by an industry-backed group. The Dietary Supplement Education Alliance, an industry-funded advocacy group said the use of omega-3 fatty acids by seniors could save $3.1 billion by preventing coronary heart disease costs, while lutein and zeaxanthin could save $2.5 million in curbing macular degeneration. ******************** http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn3880-polypill-could-slash-heart-attack s-and-strokes.html A wonder pill that could slash the rate of deaths from heart attack or stroke by over 80 per cent is being proposed by UK researchers. The "Polypill" would contain a cocktail of six existing drugs and should be given to everybody over the age of 55, the researchers argue. It could potentially save 200,000 lives every year in the UK alone, they say. "There's probably no other preventative measure which would have greater impact on public health in the Western world," says Nicholas Wald, research leader and an expert in preventative medicine at the Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, London. "In people who start taking it at 55, about a third would expect to benefit," he says. "Each of these individuals would gain about 12 years extra life - that is enormous." In some cases the increase in longevity might be as much as 20 years, says the proposal. James Clement From hkhenson at rogers.com Wed Oct 17 04:46:50 2007 From: hkhenson at rogers.com (hkhenson) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 21:46:50 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> <200710170110.l9H1A3j43769@unreasonable.com> Message-ID: <1192596347_65847@S4.cableone.net> At 07:21 PM 10/16/2007, Jeff Davis wrote: >On 10/16/07, David Lubkin wrote: > > > I am surprised that none of the tech rich who are putting > > money in space are talking about asteroids. Maybe (he hoped) they're > > working on it, but quietly. > >Or maybe they just don't think it's a reality-based project. To be >tech rich might imply feet firmly on the ground. It's the same exact problem space colonies/SPS had clear back in the 1970s. Human minds just stall out when the number of step to get to a goal exceed some smallish number. That might be correct. When you stack enough tasks in series, each one of which has a significant (or unknown) chance of failing, the whole thing just gets to be impossible looking. >Also, what kind of profitability are we talking about here? What kind >of Stuff do you go after first? One metric Eric Drexler used was the time for a machine to process it's own weight in material. Vapor deposit metal boilers could vaporize their own mass in iron in 8 hours. ~1000 times per year. If you were processing a iron/nickel asteroid for 1 ppm gold with such a plant, a tonne of processing plant would process 1000 tonnes of asteroid a year--giving you a kg of gold for your trouble--which at today's price is in the range of $24,000. Of course you could also get 100 tonnes of nickel, which at $50,000 mt would be worth $5 million--if you could get it back to a market. In both cases, space based production would probably break the market from a few plants starting up and prices would fall to 1/1000 times the present value. At 2kg/kW and $0.10/ kWh, a tonne of SPS parts delivered to GEO will return about $440 a year in electricity sales, with this income stream perhaps falling to $50 per tonne per year over a decade or so. >Surely it's got to be something more >valuable that a hunk of iron/nickel. You know, something like gold, >platinum, palladium, tungsten. With all that stuff broken up into >chunks, what exactly would be considered "the motherload"? There are lots of things to make money on, but I expect that the demand for such materials will dry up about the time the plants come on line. Keith Henson PS. You probably want to use the http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mond_process, to process nickel/iron asteroids. From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Wed Oct 17 04:56:09 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 21:56:09 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <1192596347_65847@S4.cableone.net> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> <200710170110.l9H1A3j43769@unreasonable.com> <1192596347_65847@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: hkhenson, Jeff Davis, David Lubkin, et al. writes: >Also, what kind of profitability are we talking about here? What kind >of Stuff do you go after first? Check out this article: They're Baaacckkk.the Trillion Dollar Asteroid Miners August 4, 2007 http://spacecynic.wordpress.com/2007/08/04/theyre-baaacckkkthe-trillion-doll ar-asteroid-miners/ James Clement From femmechakra at yahoo.ca Wed Oct 17 04:43:54 2007 From: femmechakra at yahoo.ca (Anna Taylor) Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2007 00:43:54 -0400 (EDT) Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> Message-ID: <187000.26244.qm@web30405.mail.mud.yahoo.com> --- "J. Andrew Rogers" wrote: >By the standards of most western countries, the >treatment turnaround in the US after a problem is >reported is extremely short,which undoubtedly also >helps. I was reading something the other day that >stated the US has five times as many MRI machines >per capita as Canada (and not surprisingly shorter >waits for such machines), and at least in US >medicine MRI machines are considered essential >diagnostic technology that improve treatment >performance. I would assume this is in relevant to the fact that Canadians have an unlimited health care system. As a Canadian, i'm proud that every hospital provides some kind of emergency assistance. It can't provide the highest level of manufacturing as it's busy trying to provide for all. I would agree that US may have five times as many MRI machines per capita as Canada and guaranteed shorter waits for such machines but at least they are available to all individuals. Thanks for the thought. Anna:) Be smarter than spam. See how smart SpamGuard is at giving junk email the boot with the All-new Yahoo! Mail at http://mrd.mail.yahoo.com/try_beta?.intl=ca From stathisp at gmail.com Wed Oct 17 05:14:56 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2007 15:14:56 +1000 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> References: <08F0DDA2-84AE-4BE4-93EC-BB057776E323@ceruleansystems.com> <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> Message-ID: On 17/10/2007, J. Andrew Rogers wrote: > Most of, at least, the economics literature I am aware of seems to > indicate that prevention does not buy you anything worth the expense > beyond the very rudimentary. Aggressive prevention has a very low > return on investment any way you calculate it and gives much better > return invested in advanced and available treatment. Are you arguing > that this is incorrect? It's not clear what you are referring to here. Would you say that it easier to detect and treat lung cancer or emphysema than try to reduce the rate of smoking in a country, for example? -- Stathis Papaioannou From sentience at pobox.com Wed Oct 17 05:25:02 2007 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 22:25:02 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> <200710170110.l9H1A3j43769@unreasonable.com> <1192596347_65847@S4.cableone.net> Message-ID: <47159CAE.7040503@pobox.com> James Clement wrote: > hkhenson, Jeff Davis, David Lubkin, et al. writes: > >>Also, what kind of profitability are we talking about here? What kind >>of Stuff do you go after first? > > Check out this article: > > They're Baaacckkk.the Trillion Dollar Asteroid Miners August 4, 2007 > > http://spacecynic.wordpress.com/2007/08/04/theyre-baaacckkkthe-trillion-doll > ar-asteroid-miners/ Better yet, http://www.halfbakery.com/idea/Dig_20up_20the_20Earth_27s_20core -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From stathisp at gmail.com Wed Oct 17 05:35:21 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2007 15:35:21 +1000 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: <187000.26244.qm@web30405.mail.mud.yahoo.com> References: <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> <187000.26244.qm@web30405.mail.mud.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On 17/10/2007, Anna Taylor wrote: > --- "J. Andrew Rogers" > wrote: > > >By the standards of most western countries, the > >treatment turnaround in the US after a problem is > >reported is extremely short,which undoubtedly also > >helps. I was reading something the other day that > >stated the US has five times as many MRI machines > >per capita as Canada (and not surprisingly shorter > >waits for such machines), and at least in US > >medicine MRI machines are considered essential > >diagnostic technology that improve treatment > >performance. > > I would assume this is in relevant to the fact that > Canadians have an unlimited health care system. As a > Canadian, i'm proud that every hospital provides some > kind of emergency assistance. It can't provide the > highest level of manufacturing as it's busy trying to > provide for all. I would agree that US may have five > times as many MRI machines per capita as Canada and > guaranteed shorter waits for such machines but at > least they are available to all individuals. The fact that there are five times as many MRI machines in the US as Canada suggests that there is more profit to be made in MRI's. If it actually turned out that diverting funds from other areas to MRI machines improved health outcomes then why wouldn't bureaucrats in Canada or anywhere else do this? -- Stathis Papaioannou From clementlawyer at hotmail.com Wed Oct 17 05:57:04 2007 From: clementlawyer at hotmail.com (James Clement) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 22:57:04 -0700 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> <187000.26244.qm@web30405.mail.mud.yahoo.com> Message-ID: Stathis wrote: > The fact that there are five times as many MRI machines in the US as > Canada suggests that there is more profit to be made in MRI's. If it > actually turned out that diverting funds from other areas to MRI > machines improved health outcomes then why wouldn't bureaucrats in > Canada or anywhere else do this? I think it would be informative to ask a Canadian hospital diagnostician whether they'd WANT more MRIs if they could just requisition them (i.e., if the bureaucrats didn't limit them, probably because of budgets). There are ads that run on Tv here in San Jose sponsored by the County Hospitals. They say "no one is ever turned away for not being able to pay or not having insurance." Then then go on to say that $8.5 Billion in such services went uncollected last year - that's just for Northern Calif. Most County Hospitals are required to treat you, regardless of abiltiy to pay. As you say, we have already have a form of "free" medical care now, it's just highly inefficient to wait until a problem has reached a critical stage and go to the emergency room for treatment than to try to catch it earlier with local, community health clinics. However, I for one like the idea that each State can experiment with various ways of dealing with this problem without the Federal Government stepping in and mandating a "National" one-size-fits-all policy. James Clement From andrew at ceruleansystems.com Wed Oct 17 06:02:31 2007 From: andrew at ceruleansystems.com (J. Andrew Rogers) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 23:02:31 -0700 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: <187000.26244.qm@web30405.mail.mud.yahoo.com> References: <187000.26244.qm@web30405.mail.mud.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <0E3E10E1-88BA-4960-B93D-C7F71D00A3CB@ceruleansystems.com> On Oct 16, 2007, at 9:43 PM, Anna Taylor wrote: > I would assume this is in relevant to the fact that > Canadians have an unlimited health care system. As a > Canadian, i'm proud that every hospital provides some > kind of emergency assistance. It can't provide the > highest level of manufacturing as it's busy trying to > provide for all. Here is the monkey wrench, and I can't fully explain it so don't ask me to: healthcare outcomes follow roughly the same distribution as a function of individual income as they do in the US. There may be nominal equality of access as far as the Canadian public healthcare systems is concerned, but there is not an equality of outcome for Canadians. Clearly the picture is a bit more complicated and what you have actually bought (even if it is just social righteousness and peace of mind) is not what you seem to think you have bought. > I would agree that US may have five > times as many MRI machines per capita as Canada and > guaranteed shorter waits for such machines but at > least they are available to all individuals. MRIs are available to all individuals in the US as well, though the routes to them may vary depending on your situation. The US has de facto universal healthcare even though it does not have it officially. A lot of the healthcare argument is about whether or not to make the "de facto" into "official". The problem with your reasoning is that you are effectively denying MRI access to a much broader swath of the population than the small minority that hypothetically might be denied in the US. Have you looked at the average wait times for MRIs in Canada? Does it count as "universal access" if you die or suffer permanent injury in the intervening months while waiting for your scheduled MRI because treatment was not possible? Is it "universal access" if I put a million dollars at the bottom of Lake Tahoe for every man, woman, and child in the country that can find it? Technically yes, in reality no. Which may, in fact, help explain why Canadian healthcare outcomes are a function of income the same as they are in the US: a timely MRI is right next door in the US if you don't mind paying for it. Cheers, J. Andrew Rogers From stathisp at gmail.com Wed Oct 17 06:11:10 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2007 16:11:10 +1000 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> <187000.26244.qm@web30405.mail.mud.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On 17/10/2007, James Clement wrote: > Stathis wrote: > > > The fact that there are five times as many MRI machines in the US as > > Canada suggests that there is more profit to be made in MRI's. If it > > actually turned out that diverting funds from other areas to MRI > > machines improved health outcomes then why wouldn't bureaucrats in > > Canada or anywhere else do this? > > I think it would be informative to ask a Canadian hospital diagnostician > whether they'd WANT more MRIs if they could just requisition them (i.e., if > the bureaucrats didn't limit them, probably because of budgets). Of course they couldn't just requisition anything they wanted. I work in the public hospital system in Australia, and everyone is always bitching about not enough beds, not enough staff etc. But there is only a finite amount of money available for health care; the problem is how to allocate this money so that it does the most good, not so that it makes someone the most profit. There are some situations where the free market does not do the best job of allocating resources, and health is one of them, along with education, law enforcement, and defence. -- Stathis Papaioannou From andrew at ceruleansystems.com Wed Oct 17 06:27:35 2007 From: andrew at ceruleansystems.com (J. Andrew Rogers) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 23:27:35 -0700 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: <08F0DDA2-84AE-4BE4-93EC-BB057776E323@ceruleansystems.com> <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> Message-ID: On Oct 16, 2007, at 10:14 PM, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > It's not clear what you are referring to here. Would you say that it > easier to detect and treat lung cancer or emphysema than try to > reduce the rate of smoking in a country, for example? Lifestyle modification is not preventative medicine in the sense that it is usually used when discussing policy. Yes, you could hypothetically legislate all junk food out of the country and mandate regular exercise, but would that be preventative medicine? Note that this is one of the other reasons some people cast a jaundiced eye on expansive mandatory universal preventative medicine -- it is easy to imagine something like this happening because there is precedent under similar auspices. Preventative medicine usually refers to regular checkups, diagnostics, vaccinations, etc. Some of these, like certain vaccines, have an unambiguous net medical benefit. But for many other types of common preventative medicine the total cost to society of universal access significantly exceeds the total cost of not doing it at all. Now, as a wealthy society we have the luxury of individually engaging in economically dubious preventative medicine and we engage in it prodigiously, but if you make it mandatory and universal would it be just to make everyone pay for an economically foolish expenditure? The real tradeoff is this: we can spend lots and lots of money on extensive universal preventative care, or we can spend a lot less money on very basic preventative care and spend the balance on very advanced diagnostics (like all those MRIs) and treatments. In terms of health outcomes, the latter choice is better. But people really like their preventative care even if the benefit is dubious, so it is politically potent, never mind the problem of incentives. The reason this is such a hard issue is that no one wants to make tradeoffs. Are you willing to reduce your own average healthcare outcome in order to help ensure equality of access? Since no one is suggesting massively increasing healthcare spending (and independent of the question of systemic inefficiency), this is the question that needs to be answered. If it would be detrimental to the healthcare outcomes of the majority of people, would it even be just? I am okay with people proposing the universal healthcare, but let's not pretend that it does not have some serious downsides with real consequences for average people. Cheers, J. Andrew Rogers From andrew at ceruleansystems.com Wed Oct 17 06:42:17 2007 From: andrew at ceruleansystems.com (J. Andrew Rogers) Date: Tue, 16 Oct 2007 23:42:17 -0700 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> <187000.26244.qm@web30405.mail.mud.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Oct 16, 2007, at 11:11 PM, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > There are some situations where > the free market does not do the best job of allocating resources, and > health is one of them, along with education, law enforcement, and > defence. Odd. Public universal education in the US (a 20th century invention) did not significantly improve educational outcomes but it *massively* increased cost. Far more tax dollars are spent on education than defense, but an argument could be made that the latter has been much more efficient at producing results. Cheers, J. Andrew Rogers From stathisp at gmail.com Wed Oct 17 06:45:40 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2007 16:45:40 +1000 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: <08F0DDA2-84AE-4BE4-93EC-BB057776E323@ceruleansystems.com> <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> Message-ID: On 17/10/2007, J. Andrew Rogers wrote: > The real tradeoff is this: we can spend lots and lots of money on > extensive universal preventative care, or we can spend a lot less > money on very basic preventative care and spend the balance on very > advanced diagnostics (like all those MRIs) and treatments. In terms > of health outcomes, the latter choice is better. But people really > like their preventative care even if the benefit is dubious, so it is > politically potent, never mind the problem of incentives. With the sort of expensive preventative care that you're suggesting I think the problem is as much a lack of proof of net benefit as an economic one. It might seem that it would be a good idea to do a coronary angiogram on everyone at age 40, for example, but no-one has ever done a study to show that it would in fact do more good than harm, let alone be cost effective. We must use evidence-based practice. -- Stathis Papaioannou From stathisp at gmail.com Wed Oct 17 06:47:07 2007 From: stathisp at gmail.com (Stathis Papaioannou) Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2007 16:47:07 +1000 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: References: <6D01B77F-F300-4183-AD9C-1102A9B67D4C@ceruleansystems.com> <187000.26244.qm@web30405.mail.mud.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On 17/10/2007, J. Andrew Rogers wrote: > > On Oct 16, 2007, at 11:11 PM, Stathis Papaioannou wrote: > > There are some situations where > > the free market does not do the best job of allocating resources, and > > health is one of them, along with education, law enforcement, and > > defence. > > > Odd. Public universal education in the US (a 20th century invention) > did not significantly improve educational outcomes but it *massively* > increased cost. Far more tax dollars are spent on education than > defense, but an argument could be made that the latter has been much > more efficient at producing results. Are you saying that people were just as well educated in the nineteenth century? -- Stathis Papaioannou From eugen at leitl.org Wed Oct 17 06:51:18 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2007 08:51:18 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: <20071017065118.GO4005@leitl.org> On Tue, Oct 16, 2007 at 01:16:57PM -0700, hkhenson wrote: > >Why can't all cars and light trucks be electric? > > It's the same reasons we are having so many problems with trying to > design and build electric cars now. But you mentioned In principle modern cars could be self-guiding, so a PV electrified rail along the highway would work. As a bonus, no more traffic contention. > "trucks." Every calculated how much energy it takes for a big truck > to go over the passes in California? The key to hydrocarbons is they The advantage of electric (and hybrid) drives so that you can regenerate large fraction of the energy in such and similiar (stop-and-go traffic) cases. > are energy dense and 65% of the mass of the products comes from > sucking in air. Refueling an automobile from a gas pump is (from Methanol has only half the energy density of diesel, is low on carbon and rich in hydrogen and the other electrode in fuel cells is also air. The raw efficiency is 2-3 times that of an ICE, even without lightweight structures, regenerative braking and smaller engine and a spike cache. > memory) 20 MWs thermal. I.e., if you just burned the gas coming out > of the pump, the flame would be 20 MW. (For comparison, a large line > locomotive at full power might produce 3 MW.) Very large trucks and newer naval carriers are hybrid. It's only a question of time before fuel cells will force out the ICE and the gas turbines. > >And why wouldn't a substantial decrease in oil burned help? > > Because you are not going to get it. Any savings the US might manage > are going to be sucked up other places in the world. We have to We're going to start saving anyway, because Peak Oil scenario seems to turn out true. It's probably not smart to go nuclear exchange over resources. Nobody's going to win that one. > displace oil and coal with something better. Nuclear power is a > relatively short term solution (limited supplies of uranium) and has Thorium is quite a bit better, but I don't like nuclear power for terrestrial applications. People can't handle radioisotopes, and every mole of free neutrons only aids proliferation. > really horrible risks. If there were no other choice, I would > reluctantly support it. It may turn out there is no other choice if > there is some engineering/physical reason we can't build SPS. As far as I can see the first issue is launch costs, and use of extraterrestrial resources. > Keith Henson > > PS, one alternative to abundant energy is some combination of war, > starvation and disease that cuts the population back. Oil supplies > would last a lot longer if there were far fewer people. Ever the optimist, eh. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From eugen at leitl.org Wed Oct 17 06:58:12 2007 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2007 08:58:12 +0200 Subject: [ExI] pentagon wants orbiting solar power stations In-Reply-To: References: <20071013124825.GM4005@leitl.org> <00bf01c80da2$1a3800c0$6801a8c0@ZANDRA2> <20071013144841.GR4005@leitl.org> <001c01c80dd5$15f7b6d0$ff044e0c@MyComputer> <1192316146_98853@S4.cableone.net> <6410423A-80F2-4062-A42F-305B29C7B100@mac.com> <1192387807_39235@S1.cableone.net> <8415B6B0-BC0F-46F5-990D-2429095D2626@mac.com> <1192565753_50032@S1.cableone.net> Message-ID: <20071017065812.GQ4005@leitl.org> On Tue, Oct 16, 2007 at 10:47:50PM +0200, Dagon Gmail wrote: > The immense difficulty of creating an industry in near-space, > with development of lunar or NEAR asteroid ores, as well as > harvesting solar energy is so incredibly disheartening it gives We *are* already harvesting solar energy. There's four orders of magnitude more energy at the bottom of the gravity well we currently need. Advanced cultures probably don't need more than 10-100 W for a single human equivalent individual. > me a nauseous feeling. My gut is telling me things are going > all wrong. Then go into engineering, or start a business, and make it happen. I'm serious. If you don't yet know what do with your life, that's an interesting and lucrative niche. Before very long, it will become a mature industry, and entry threshold will have become too high for small new players. > It is all but certain that we will need to take this step, barring > a Kurzweilean quantum leap in AI/Nanotech/longevity advances. > I am concerned to rely in my expectations on any singularities, > it would be just too convenient. I really want to see industry > and accompanying economical growth start real fast, as I > am really starting to get nervous about the Peak Oil issue. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl http://leitl.org ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820 http://www.ativel.com http://postbiota.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE From thespike at satx.rr.com Wed Oct 17 07:00:10 2007 From: thespike at satx.rr.com (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2007 02:00:10 -0500 Subject: [ExI] How to get a healthy country In-Reply-To: <0E3E10E1-88BA-4960-B93D-C7F71D00A3CB@ceruleansystems.com> References: <187000.26244.qm@web30405.mail.mud.yahoo.com> <0E3E10E1-88BA-4960-B93D-C7F71D00A3CB@ceruleansystems.com> Message-ID: <7.0.1.0.2.20071017015733.0237ab10@satx.rr.com> At 11:02 PM 10/16/2007 -0700, J. Andrew Rogers wrote: >MRIs are available to all individuals in the US as well, though the >routes to them may vary depending on your situation. The US has de >facto universal healthcare even though it does not have it >officially. A lot of the healthcare argument is about whether or not >to make the "de facto" into "official". > >The problem with your reasoning is that you are effectively denying >MRI access to a much broader swath of the population than the small >minority that hypothetically might be denied in the US. Have you >looked at the average wait times for MRIs in Canada? > >Does it count as "universal access" if you die or suffer permanent >injury in the intervening months while waiting for your scheduled MRI >because treatment was not possible? quoting from somebody on another list: