[ExI] The Avalanche Threat

Lee Corbin lcorbin at rawbw.com
Fri Sep 14 05:41:43 UTC 2007

Stathis writes

> On 14/09/2007, Lee Corbin <lcorbin at rawbw.com> wrote:
>> Suppose that your neighbor (who's a perfect shot) manages to
>> sting you on the arm or the back of your head with his BB gun
>> once or twice a week.  I dare say that you'd be more concerned
>> about that than you would be about dying in an automobile accident,
>> even though the probability of dying in a car crash vastly outweighs
>> the chance of dying from one of your neighbor's BB gun shots.
>> Why?
>> ...
>> I maintain that there is a parallel here, and that we are designed to
>> react to consciously executed premeditated threats far more than
>> we are to equally dangerous natural phenomena, and for good
>> reason.
> Why "for good reason"? It seems like a bad reason to me.

Other human beings (or agencies, e.g. gods) who form evil intents 
toward an evolutionarily derived entity constitute malign entities
from the point of view of their targets. A neighbor who shoots one
with a BB gun a few times a week poses a grave threat:  today a
BB gun, but who knows what tomorrow?  It *rightfully* worries
one that such a dangerous lunatic is within striking distance.

The same goes for other dangerous opponents.  One capable of
committing an act of "terrorism" that deliberately kills thousands
of people may ingeniously perform any any presently unknown act
in the future. Avalanches, on the other hand, are threats the limit of
whose behavior is easily understood and even avoided.


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