[ExI] who should white shoot?

spike spike66 at att.net
Fri Aug 29 14:22:43 UTC 2008


> -----Original Message-----
> From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org 
> [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of 
> Mike Dougherty
> Subject: Re: [ExI] who should white shoot?
> On Thu, Aug 28, 2008 at 11:06 PM, spike <spike66 at att.net> wrote:
> > Mr. White maximizes his chances of survival by shooting at no one, 
> > intentionally firing into the air.  Reasoning: if White 
> shoots Brown, 
> > then
> I count this the same as shooting at either one of them and missing.

OK cool, credit acknowledged.
> I think we should recalculate using Stuart's suggestion that 
> each man gets one bullet.  ...

Trivial: White shoots at Black, for if he hits Brown then Black is left with
only one target.  Brown also shoots at Black, for if Brown shoots White,
Black is again left with only one target and a deadly aim.  Black shoots at
Brown, for if the remaining two decide to later shoot it out, it improves
his odds.

I wanted numbers tho.  Probabilities.  Caaaallllculate my friends.


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