[ExI] Sigh

John Clark jonkc at bellsouth.net
Sat Jul 3 15:50:02 UTC 2010


On Jul 2, 2010, at 2:27 PM, Damien Broderick wrote:

> your comment evades the point that by your earlier account the states should be screaming with rage if 1 in 1000 guesses is modified by psi.

If the psi effect is that small then there is no way these third rate psi "researchers" could have detected it. And if the psi effect were larger then that then SOMEBODY looking at lottery or casino raw data should be screaming, either in rage or in delight at having discovered something new and exciting about the world. Neither has happened and I'd be willing to bet money neither will.

> But you still haven't told us what difference you think this would make to the number of prize winners, and whether this would necessarily exceed the noise floor.

So let's see, the psi effect is well below the noise floor in lotteries and casinos with their HUGE sample size, but NOT below the noise floor with "researchers" nobody has every heard of and their insignificantly small sample size. That does not compute. 

> You would not be convinced, however, for the same reason I'm not; although 138 data points drawn from nearly a billion guesses is pretty impressive, it's not really enough to be certain that bias factors have washed out.

I have no idea what you mean by "bias factors". These people payed their dollar, made their guess, and then they either won or they did not.

  John K Clark



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