[ExI] I know we moved on about psi

[Frank McElligott]

So she has won 4 lotteries, almost all scratch type and all  at 50 dollars a pop to play.

These lotteries have a small life period, once the big prize is won most people will not ponie up 50 smackers to scratch a ticket where the prize has been won.
 
The state take 50 percent off the top , 10%  goes for top prize and 40% returned to the player in smaller prizes.

Once the game is put into play by the state she waits until  over half the tickets have been bought and no winner of the top prize.

What she now knows is that the odds have improved(changed) from a sucker bet, which the lottery is,  to a one that she has a good chance of winning., all the tickets bought were losers, and the remaining tickets not yet purchased contain the winner. More important every day that goes by her odds improve.More losinf tickets are bought and removed from the pool. Now if she has kept a record of average days before the winning ticket is bought, throws out the outliers, she will improve her chances even more.  

Only reason this works is the 50 dollar's price, it limits the number of tickets  in the pool (printed) and improves the odds even more. 

Seems Stanford grad's are no dummies,  

intellect always trumps PSI, but luck and fate trumps all

Frank


-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20100718/2cbba151/attachment.html>