[ExI] "Reality Check," a book of predictions

Jones Murphy morphy at alumni.caltech.edu
Mon Apr 25 17:54:56 UTC 2011


2011/4/25 John Grigg <possiblepaths2050 at gmail.com>:


> 2013  The book goes digital

About 20 yrs slow on that one.

> Unlikely  End of two party system in the United States

The two "parties" are really coalitions, and this is very obvious with
the Democrats, who are far more ideologically diverse. About 30% of
Dems are similar to Greens. Another 30%, the Blue Dog Democrats, are
very similar to Republicans and would be considered right wingers in
the rest of the West(opposed to abortion rights,
religious/creationist, pro death penalty and so on ). Any multi-party
system is likely to stabilize into roughly balanced coalitions.




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