[ExI] Bosch exits Solar business in Germany

[Mirco Romanato]

Il 01/04/2013 17:54, BillK ha scritto:
> On Mon, Apr 1, 2013 at 1:49 PM, Eugen Leitl  wrote:
> <snip>
>> If the net energy graphs are accurate you should see a very
>> significant impact by 2020, and a giant impact 2030.

> The net energy graphs could be correct, but the impact will probably
> not be evenly spread throughout the world. Just as food and energy
> consumption is not evenly spread at present.

> The countries who at present consume the most energy and food will do
> their best to maintain their consumption to avoid affecting their
> standard of living.

> So Rafal, in the town where he lives, might indeed not notice any
> shortage of food or energy, while millions are dying in poorer
> countries. He would be quite correct to say that he didn't notice any
> shortages.

> The big players in energy will only take notice when restrictions
> affect their own standard of living.
> Nothing personal, just business as usual.

This is true both if the causes of the shortages are social or natural.

If the costs of extracting oil / gas  go up because new technologies are
prevented from being developed and deployed with spurious reasons, the
effect will not be so different than natural depletion.

For example, if government subside fuel prices, so the fuel sell under a
true market price, the consumption will stay up until fuel become scarce
and disappear completely from regulated markets.
But, in the same time, there will not be incentives to develop and
deploy any substitute for the depleting resource.

The government simply shift the costs from a group of people to another,
just to make the first happier.

Mirco