[ExI] Fermi's Paradoxical Politburo

Eugen Leitl eugen at leitl.org
Fri Mar 15 18:23:25 UTC 2013


On Fri, Mar 15, 2013 at 01:51:08PM -0400, Rafal Smigrodzki wrote:
> On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 5:13 PM, Dan <dan_ust at yahoo.com> wrote:
> 
>  But look at the Amish! Are there more or less of
> > them now than a hundred years ago?
> 
> ### Massively more. Population in 1920 about 5,000, population today
> about 250,000.

Amish show some selective adoption of technology, and of course
not everybody returns back into the fold after rumpschpringe,
though most do.

No population of agents can be uniform, and no policy can
be 100% enforced. As such sustained containment is arbitrarily
improbable, especially across population of populations with
no common point of origin, across deep time.



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