[ExI] tech influence

William Flynn Wallace foozler83 at gmail.com
Sun Feb 9 17:15:19 UTC 2014


Nothing so violates Morgan's Canon as saying things about people.  Yes,
everything is multifactorial.

In the 3rd world, there is a negative correlation between the economy and
birth rates, though how that factors in women and their freedoms and
educations I am not sure.  bill


On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 6:34 AM, BillK <pharos at gmail.com> wrote:

> On Sun, Feb 9, 2014 at 11:46 AM, Anders Sandberg wrote:
> > I started looking for evidence against that, but I found at least one
> paper
> > supporting your view: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24223433 I
> could
> > not get the paper, so no idea how big the effect is. However,
> > http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3291804/ points out that
> things
> > may have changed over time and that social factors do mediate a lot of
> this
> > - the image is slightly confusing. Generally, being overweight does seem
> to
> > be a bit of a problem on the marriage market,
> > http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJM199309303291406 (but see also
> > http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJM199403033300920 ) In the end,
> my
> > guess is that you are likely correct in our current culture, but the
> effect
> > size might not be enormous.
> >
> > In the end, there are a lot of moving parts in our society. Making
> > predictions about the joint socio-psychological-demographic system is
> > surprisingly tricky.
> >
> >
>
> I suspect all these are trivial factors compared to the first world
> drop in birthrate.
>
> Educate and empower women and they stop having children.
>
> The reasons for this are probably multifactorial, though.
>
>
> BillK
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