[ExI] Demography (was: tech influence)

Anders Sandberg anders at aleph.se
Mon Feb 10 00:02:06 UTC 2014


Tara Maya <tara at taramayastales.com> , 9/2/2014 7:33 PM:
 
 I won't claim that my thesis is without controversy, but what I found from studying about 1500 years of European demographic patterns was that historically most women aimed to have two surviving children. Surveys of modern women have found that they aim for…two surviving children. In other words, education and emancipation have actually had NO EFFECT on how many children most women desire. 
Cool model.
What about those natural experiment findings from India and Brazil showing rapid culturally induced shifts in fertility due to television? Are soap opera characters vivid enough to act as counterparts to grandmothers in setting expectations?

Anders Sandberg, Future of Humanity Institute Philosophy Faculty of Oxford University
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