[ExI] hard science

Adrian Tymes atymes at gmail.com
Wed Feb 12 20:56:49 UTC 2014

On Feb 12, 2014 12:16 PM, "BillK" <pharos at gmail.com> wrote:
> The reason all the replies expect much quicker changes is Ray
> Kurzweil's exponential curves.
> Faster and faster, more and more, quicker and quicker.
> Until the Singularity arrives.

Not needed in this case.  Even flat or slightly retarded (from current)
progress rates gets us to where he's projecting in several centuries, tops,
well short of 10,000 years.

Of course, then there is the likelihood of exponential growth to consider.
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