[ExI] To Aaronson Trump

John Clark johnkclark at gmail.com
Mon Sep 5 14:21:34 UTC 2016


John K Clark Says:
Comment #71 September 4th, 2016 at 9:32 pm
<http://www.scottaaronson.com/blog/?p=2887#comment-1317371>

In the 2012 presidential election Nate Silver correctly predicted how every
state would go, and as of today he says Trump has a 30.9% chance of taking
command of the most powerful nuclear arsenal on the planet in 137 days.
That terrifies me; if I played Russian Roulette I’d only have a 16.6%
chance of losing.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus
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