[ExI] logic puzzle

[spike at rainier66.com]

-----Original Message-----
From: extropy-chat <extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org> On Behalf Of
BillK
Sent: Wednesday, January 30, 2019 8:38 AM
To: ExI chat list <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org>
Subject: Re: [ExI] logic puzzle

On Wed, 30 Jan 2019 at 14:57, spike wrote:
<snip>
> (OK, I follow them up to this point.)
>
>>... Since ABAAX is dependent on the outcome of 4 games instead of 5, it is
twice as likely to occur and can be treated as two possibilities.
> (!)
> (Indeed?)
> (If so, I need to understand the heck outta this concept, otherwise I will
miss every one of these.)
>
>

>...There is a solutions pdf that explains the probabilities in more detail.
Page down to Problem 18.

<http://hub.wastudentmath.org/TestFiles/Amc10/Amc10_2005_Individual_0.10_A_A
.pdf>


BillK




OK cool, thanks BillK that does make sense I suppose.  

Sheesh probability is a crazy thing.

spike