From giulio at gmail.com Fri Dec 1 05:06:27 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Fri, 1 Dec 2023 06:06:27 +0100 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] Irrational mechanics, draft Ch. 6. Creative evolution toward quality. Also, the 2nd test flight of Starship and the OpenAI drama. In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: I agree. It is not necessary to invoke retrocausal influences to explain why we FEEL like we have free will. Wolfram's argument based on computational irreducibility (the fastest way to know with certainty that something will happen is to wait and see if it happens) explains this well enough. But I still make a difference between feeling that we have free will and actually having free will. On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 9:29?PM John Clark wrote: > > > > On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 2:29?AM Giulio Prisco wrote: > > > >* "**A history can be really deterministic (that is, uniquely >> determined) without being uniquely determined by an initial state.I have >> many examples in mind, here is one. Think of the traveling salesman. He >> goes from city 1 to city 2 ... to city N (or back to city 1 through all >> other cities) following the global rule that the total distance (or, more >> generally, the total cost) must be minimal. As you know, this is a hard >> computational problem."* >> > > In that case the minimal distance the salesman must travel is determined > by the relative position of the cities the salesman must travel through. > Yes, that is a hard computational problem but at least it is computational, > not everything is. A better example would be a computer running a short > simple program to find the first even number greater than 2 that is not the > sum of two prime numbers and then stop. Will it ever stop? Nobody knows > even though the computer is 100% deterministic. That's why you can be > deterministic but not predictable. Even you can't always predict what you > are going to do, there are even times where you are absolutely positively > 100% certain you know what you're going to do, but when the time actually > comes you end up doing something entirely different. So I don't think it's > necessary to invoke retrocausal influences to explain why we wouldn't feel > like a puppet with somebody else pulling the strings even if we were as > deterministic as a cuckoo clock. > > John K Clark > > > > > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/CAJPayv3WJDi2JSk4sUdm%2BCm7Y%3Dq8%2B-py%2Bh5pF98%3Du3obEMW_bw%40mail.gmail.com > > . > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From foozler83 at gmail.com Fri Dec 1 13:47:31 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Fri, 1 Dec 2023 07:47:31 -0600 Subject: [ExI] AI ChatGPT Outperforms Humans in Providing Social Advice In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: AIs better at advice? That does not surprise me. But - who is doing the rating? Who says they are any better at judging advice? Excellent advice is often worthless because it is not followed (probably not followed more than followed). The proof of the pudding is changes in client's behavior. No glimmer of that data being collected here. billw On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 2:25?PM BillK via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > AI ChatGPT Outperforms Humans in Providing Social Advice, Study Finds > November 30, 2023 > > < > https://www.impactlab.com/2023/11/30/ai-chatgpt-outperforms-humans-in-providing-social-advice-study-finds/#more-163789 > > > > Quotes: > ChatGPT has undeniably established itself as a reliable source of > technical information, but can it also excel in offering social > advice? A recent study published in the journal Frontiers in > Psychology explores this question, revealing that later versions of > ChatGPT surpass professional columnists in dispensing personal advice. > > A groundbreaking study compared ChatGPT?s responses to those of human > advice columnists in addressing social dilemmas. Participants > overwhelmingly perceived ChatGPT?s advice as more balanced, complete, > empathetic, helpful, and superior overall compared to professional > advice. > ---------------- > > The complete research report is available here: > > (It is lengthy and technical). :) > > BillK > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From foozler83 at gmail.com Fri Dec 1 15:11:32 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Fri, 1 Dec 2023 09:11:32 -0600 Subject: [ExI] scifi Message-ID: I have been reading sci-fi since I was about ten - 70 years. Hundreds of books, many re-read. I have learned to follow the advice: suspend your disbelief. When a writer creates an alien race and its customs, I accept it and read on, though I might find it all ridiculous. So the aliens I read about cannot be 'wrong'. But what about the humans? Then I can differ and complain. What would you do if you met an alien? (let's disregard the circumstances). Humans would faint, have anxiety attacks, flee, physically attack the alien, and so on. So what do the humans in sci-fi books do? None of that. Remark on how weird or ugly they are - that's all. I find this unbelievable. Unhuman. What would you do? Of course you don't know, but you could speculate. ---------- Currently reading 'The Long Way to a Small Angry Planet' by Becky Chambers. I have read several sci-fi books by female authors - Ann Leckie for one. It is detectable that the author is female, but not that obvious. Chambers is blatantly obvious; writing about emotions and relationships far beyond any other sci-fi author I know. (except for Yarrow - see below) This book is the first of a trilogy that won the Hugo for best series. They could have easily been re-written, taking out all the sci-fi tech and aliens. I do enjoy it this way, though. Another: 'Fourth Wing' by Rebecca Yarrows - a totally smash hit, as is the sequel 'Iron Flame'. More of a fantasy since the tech is about equal to our 18th century stuff, and there are lots of dragons and magic. (and lots of sex and jealousies - the two main characters are about 20 years old and it shows) It also could have been written without those, just focusing on the emotions and relationships. But again, I do enjoy it as is. Too bad we did not have more female writers from the beginning. Just a few. bill w -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From foozler83 at gmail.com Fri Dec 1 16:04:15 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Fri, 1 Dec 2023 10:04:15 -0600 Subject: [ExI] gripe of the day Message-ID: On bread packages and many other products, they are opened by a twistie. But is it dextrorotatory or levorotatory? Sometimes I can see but sometimes I can't. So I just start twisting and find out. This is among millions of other things that need standardization. Such a little gripe. Such an easy thing to fix. bill w -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From ben at zaiboc.net Fri Dec 1 16:36:34 2023 From: ben at zaiboc.net (Ben Zaiboc) Date: Fri, 1 Dec 2023 16:36:34 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Are transhumanists becoming the bad guys? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On 30/11/2023 17:34, bill w wrote: > This theme is very popular with scifi writers, as we know.? I would > not call people who want changes in our bodies and brains a 'tiny' > part of the population.? ?bill w Good point, Bill. I've noticed this too. although only a tiny proportion of the population would actually identify themselves as transhumanists, an increasing number of people appear to hold transhumanist attitudes, expectations and hopes. Although, here in Blighty, the transhumanist scene twenty-or-so years ago pretty much consisted of 'six blokes in a pub' in London, with a few scattered individuals that we would discover every now and then, and now there are thousands (mostly younger people, but not exclusively by any means). Admittedly, a few thousand is still a tiny proportion of the population, but it's a hell of a bigger proportion than we had in 1997, when I discovered there was a name for my own inclinations, and that other people existed with the same inclinations. That's quite a moment, discovering that you're not the only one. Ben -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Sat Dec 2 02:52:55 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Fri, 1 Dec 2023 18:52:55 -0800 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] scifi In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: I think we can see aliens or rather their works around Tabby's star and 24 others in a cluster. It looks like they have constructed large data centers and as a bet they uploaded from some biological state long ago Keith On Fri, Dec 1, 2023 at 7:11?AM William Flynn Wallace wrote: > > I have been reading sci-fi since I was about ten - 70 years. Hundreds of books, many re-read. I have learned to follow the advice: suspend your disbelief. When a writer creates an alien race and its customs, I accept it and read on, though I might find it all ridiculous. > > So the aliens I read about cannot be 'wrong'. But what about the humans? Then I can differ and complain. > > What would you do if you met an alien? (let's disregard the circumstances). Humans would faint, have anxiety attacks, flee, physically attack the alien, and so on. > > So what do the humans in sci-fi books do? None of that. Remark on how weird or ugly they are - that's all. I find this unbelievable. Unhuman. > > What would you do? Of course you don't know, but you could speculate. > ---------- > Currently reading 'The Long Way to a Small Angry Planet' by Becky Chambers. > > I have read several sci-fi books by female authors - Ann Leckie for one. It is detectable that the author is female, but not that obvious. Chambers is blatantly obvious; writing about emotions and relationships far beyond any other sci-fi author I know. (except for Yarrow - see below) > > This book is the first of a trilogy that won the Hugo for best series. They could have easily been re-written, taking out all the sci-fi tech and aliens. I do enjoy it this way, though. > > Another: 'Fourth Wing' by Rebecca Yarrows - a totally smash hit, as is the sequel 'Iron Flame'. More of a fantasy since the tech is about equal to our 18th century stuff, and there are lots of dragons and magic. (and lots of sex and jealousies - the two main characters are about 20 years old and it shows) > > It also could have been written without those, just focusing on the emotions and relationships. But again, I do enjoy it as is. > > Too bad we did not have more female writers from the beginning. Just a few. > > bill w > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/CAO%2BxQEbGqmwrBUGNu8N3nKFPuZp%3DiEuRZEwRwo%2BXHnZH3J%2BS%2Bw%40mail.gmail.com. From giulioprisco at protonmail.ch Sat Dec 2 08:28:21 2023 From: giulioprisco at protonmail.ch (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sat, 02 Dec 2023 08:28:21 +0000 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] Irrational mechanics, draft Ch. 6. Creative evolution toward quality. Also, the 2nd test flight of Starship and the OpenAI drama. In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: So do I! We agree on something! My whole point is that we are determined by the global whole of which we are an irreducible part, but not by the *external* environment (the rest of the world without us). Not so, unless you add that the initial conditions in the far past are partly determined by your thoughts and actions here and now. This sounds seriously retrocausal, so I guess it is better to avoid speaking of causality (which is not a condition for science, as Bertrand Russell was one of the first to realize) and speak only of correlations spread all over spacetime. Wittgenstein docet. I guess at times random (as far as we can tell atm) quantum events in your brain get amplified to the macroscopic world and constitute "atoms of free choice" (ref. Penrose) out of which the macroscopic phenomenon that is your free agencies emerge. And here's to unreasonable irrationality! It's the stuff of which dreams are made before becoming facts. Irrational mechanics! -- Giulio Prisco https://linktr.ee/giulioprisco giulioprisco at protonmail.ch On Friday, December 1st, 2023 at 1:49 PM, John Clark wrote: > On Fri, Dec 1, 2023 Giulio Prisco wrote: > >>> "I still make a difference between feeling that we have free will and actually having free will." > > If feeling is not involved then I have no idea what "free will "means. And feeling is the most important thing in the world, or at least that's the way I feel. > >>>"To me, actually having free will means not being uniquely determined by the rest of the world." > > If you were not determined by anything in the world then you were not determined at all, and there is a word for that sort of thing, random. Actually, being determined by the external environment is not necessarily a bad thing, after all that's the reason we have eyes and the reason we don't constantly walk into walls, we are determined to walk around them and not try to walk through them. > >>> "So, in a universe where Laplacian determinism holds, I don't have free will because I am uniquely determined by initial conditions in the far past. " > > You would remainuniquely determined by initial conditions in the far past even if retro causality turned out to exist, which I very much doubt. > >>> "In a universe where only what I call libertarian determinism holds, but not Laplacian determinism, I have free will because I'm an irreducible part of the whole." > > Regardless of what eventually turns out to be true, you must be an irreducible part of the whole, UNLESS your actions were random. I like to think that my actions were not Random and that I always had a reason for them, but I have to admit that just like everybody else sometimes I do things for no reason, sometimes I am UNreasonable. > > John K Clark See what's on my new list at [Extropolis](https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis) > iau > >>> the minimal distance the salesman must travel is determined by the relative position of the cities the salesman must travel through. Yes, that is a hard computational problem but at least it is computational, not everything is. A better example would be a computer running a short simple program to find the first even number greater than 2 that is not the sum of two prime numbers and then stop. Will it ever stop? Nobody knows even though the computer is 100% deterministic. That's why you can be deterministic but not predictable. Even you can't always predict what you are going to do, there are even times where you are absolutely positively 100% certain you know what you're going to do, but when the time actually comes you end up doing something entirely different. So I don't think it's necessary to invoke retrocausal influences to explain why we wouldn't feel like a puppet with somebody else pulling the strings even if we were as deterministic as a cuckoo clock. >>> >>> John K Clark > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/CAJPayv3%3Dkb5u75hD0ZcdTAq%2BX7y%2BgWcS4P1v6RG87nfQSxvJ_g%40mail.gmail.com. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulioprisco at protonmail.ch Sat Dec 2 08:42:09 2023 From: giulioprisco at protonmail.ch (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sat, 02 Dec 2023 08:42:09 +0000 Subject: [ExI] The OpenAI drama. A powerful AI discovery that could threaten humanity? Message-ID: <_ZmgD3FrLAFwByDHq84ITPGaF3hFgk01XjKFdqpUeCb02nIX3mOAIRf4H8IwydCvc0M3Bs0nkyGmJNYppwSKbjlxNH7SdZx3RMtCyD5WosU=@protonmail.ch> The OpenAI drama. A powerful AI discovery that could threaten humanity? https://www.turingchurch.com/p/the-openai-drama -- Giulio Prisco https://linktr.ee/giulioprisco giulioprisco at protonmail.ch -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulioprisco at protonmail.ch Sat Dec 2 09:12:48 2023 From: giulioprisco at protonmail.ch (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sat, 02 Dec 2023 09:12:48 +0000 Subject: [ExI] TEST: please send me PGP-encrypted email Message-ID: Hi, I'm thinking to become more privacy-conscious and use this mailbox more. Could you send me PGP-encrypted mail to test? Public key attached. I don't really need more privacy because I'm an open book, and independent thinking is not illegal... yet. But one day it could. Also, I want to show solidarity to those who need strong privacy. Best - Giulio -- Giulio Prisco https://linktr.ee/giulioprisco giulioprisco at protonmail.ch -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- -----BEGIN PGP PUBLIC KEY BLOCK----- xsBNBFTi26cBCACad9R5Dks2rbYxZOGzrGamQkJZesgjVRUbe1hxAkJ/NrlD huukphtciFaPS2mdQSTg/YwWBej5Z/V8SRP/mdgDFpLYLwSprsJ3agqMiQpZ t3MjZ8nA2ui29ERPl6T1N0tMI6JXxXV2n9OQA+mzWZidn1Ve1G8GylPuw7Rb 4mov76sYS0O3JmYUYV8WwpbRRTktIFQHsQIFUM8Q+vGByiPhLQ3w7tgmA6zZ 5pLEVsiYoetDH7a3ew1EE0F+9ESwbe7/1xK6jxOu6gEYdX6ZNIZPSCMszTEy NugjApvvPYo3Mo/twWSCRHGth9zKHNL+GFu8+qETExcyH+MUx6WETzAzABEB AAHNN2dpdWxpb3ByaXNjb0Bwcm90b25tYWlsLmNoIDxnaXVsaW9wcmlzY29A cHJvdG9ubWFpbC5jaD7CwHUEEAEIACkFAljfQQoGCwkHCAMCCRCyBe/R5AZi sgQVCAoCAxYCAQIZAQIbAwIeAQAAg3EH/R7vcIh3ngglyOqT8I8tG0iADfX2 N/70PhCc+MJ7WkJ+nykqYc8zx6m9gT+SoEFr0si5iNyq0BtHaAJH0kwvi96D ZN+pY/KvMH9PeU0/kmBRZMH9e3ZKHeNzUZzwFGBdrBZyfeqcVdTxhmjMqQ1L fKpe4mr2WUfudpIKG9QuRO+OwUTvE5/O4N/HIQ6Ci6Zn9+0yLWGPKF+DOhc5 7hq0vbJRs08MbsoJe5sFcsmzj3D5+6+LoTHfWvpWAAwuScVe8NhLWGgm7BZM 5Zp2euzKsG4SdrXZkQuYqGAClO5tn+oxAbFVRHLeHr5eGiGwaPejAw1QfvSp 0YC/lSFLpf+GJYTOwE0EVOLbpwEIAMyDAhq6j9dJhZ21AE3oVmoEsF1WZcdW uCMcj3vANhtd2NY+rd49ThS4Xne6rLmehz0/0dzZatQazzB9ReG3luX0sZiK wQMbMdpwVqoi/mn4W1aEB8dmyp8Va0nmRifII/1uDrGQfX6Aa+RpauRNNALy cyLCynVS19IIv23LgKllVjcg8rHMBxFz20rXVfcd3Kswby+HkAA+RjcMK95q gtbR8HExzEoPqGQ4iKzCdzaprVdJLXo58N1YJ6mp0tJADjkJ/NlobSYV0J8s 4V7WstSLVFodTGkou9GIsscRsC+DJrDHfNAobxgSVZzs2aGldAFHcCab2sSr Mk7WT0VD818AEQEAAcLAXwQYAQgAEwUCWN9BCgkQsgXv0eQGYrICGwwAAFP6 B/wKeM+5nWn8mw5EJbbuV/9DbMEW3gRVVil6cmZHWX/c8yfn+nRJRjf/vyI5 jfCUOg0mWLQb60P02Cy7w/9QwzkNSSTmo48EENxZD3Sd0GJ/yaC4o5l/7dNo Ve9S/tGKcnQeobBFyWgljNfafXVU/4iVe7P3ZQijm/+DhITlENQWAwHDr8F5 M92ZQDyb1Xl7QzzrGm3rAzlE8FjolmZSlaxUKqj/IE93rulj+BArlaRowLJw l+RvyUjb8tjKivlz++iUo6QD7o7KI5bnLg0s0JphzE5zOxzhFg2f5ZjX2BE0 geKB5tn4SiZ2gkFzr7lJWXd4+hodhjkYYjTN0C7Ytg3J =e3lj -----END PGP PUBLIC KEY BLOCK----- From ben at zaiboc.net Sat Dec 2 12:02:44 2023 From: ben at zaiboc.net (Ben Zaiboc) Date: Sat, 2 Dec 2023 12:02:44 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Are transhumanists becoming the bad guys? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On 02/12/2023 08:28, Daniel wrote: > it was the first time I heard that specifically transhumanists were > > part of the conspiracy to kill the soul. Ha, I like that expression! Glad to be part of the conspiracy to kill the soul, where 'soul' means the superstitious concept of a ghostly other self that somehow evades all the laws of physics and serves as an aethereal ear for priests to twist to make you do what they want. Which, of course, makes me a good guy! It's the dualists that are the real bad guys. Ben the soul-killing conspirator. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From ben at zaiboc.net Sat Dec 2 12:10:08 2023 From: ben at zaiboc.net (Ben Zaiboc) Date: Sat, 2 Dec 2023 12:10:08 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: Are transhumanists becoming the bad guys? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On 02/12/2023 08:28, Daniel wrote: > it was the first time I heard that specifically transhumanists were > > part of the conspiracy to kill the soul. Ben Replied: Ha, I like that expression! Glad to be part of the conspiracy to kill the soul, where 'soul' means the superstitious concept of a ghostly other self that somehow evades all the laws of physics and serves as an aethereal ear for priests to twist to make you do what they want. Which, of course, makes me a good guy! It's the dualists that are the real bad guys. Ben the soul-killing conspirator. Actually, I just thought: If transhumanists are /part of/ the conspiracy to kill the soul, who else is on on it? I'd like to know who we are assumed to be in bed with (in the conspiratorial sense) (I mean apart from Satanists, that one's a given (proper Satanists, not the cartoon ones that the catholic church invented)). Ben -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From ben at zaiboc.net Sat Dec 2 12:35:54 2023 From: ben at zaiboc.net (Ben Zaiboc) Date: Sat, 2 Dec 2023 12:35:54 +0000 Subject: [ExI] scifi In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <5a2284d5-be24-4bdf-a107-93456c2bf8ee@zaiboc.net> On 02/12/2023 08:28, bill w wrote: > Currently reading 'The Long Way to a Small Angry Planet' by Becky > Chambers. > I have read several sci-fi books?by female authors - Ann Leckie for > one. It is detectable that the author is female, but not that obvious. > Chambers is blatantly obvious; writing about emotions and > relationships far beyond any other sci-fi author I know.? (except for > Yarrow - see below) > This book is the first of a trilogy that won the Hugo for best > series.? They could have easily been re-written, taking out all the > sci-fi tech and aliens.? I do enjoy it this way, though. > Another: 'Fourth Wing' by Rebecca Yarrows - a totally smash hit, as is > the sequel 'Iron Flame'.? More of a fantasy since the tech is about > equal to our 18th century stuff,?and there are lots of dragons and > magic.? (and lots of sex and jealousies - the two main characters are > about 20 years old and it shows) > It also could have been written without those, just focusing on the > emotions and relationships.? But again, I do enjoy it as is. > Too bad we did not have more female writers from the beginning. Just a > few. Try Linda Nagata for a rare example of a female that can write convincing sf. It was her depiction of an uploaded spaceship pilot that set me off down the road of thinking deeply about the old 'is a copy of you really you?' question, and to conclude that it has to be, despite some unintuitive side-effects. Justina Robson is also quite good, but tends more towards fantasy in her later works. Her first novel, "Silver Screen" was promising, but ultimately fizzled out and I found it disappointing at the end. A sequel might have been able to rescue it, but one never appeared. I'm currently reading "Natural History", which is showing more promise. Her later "Quantum Gravity" books are good fantasy, which I can recommend, but I wouldn't call them sf. Ben -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From ExiMod at protonmail.com Sat Dec 2 20:14:30 2023 From: ExiMod at protonmail.com (ExiMod) Date: Sat, 02 Dec 2023 20:14:30 +0000 Subject: [ExI] TEST: please send me PGP-encrypted email In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Hi Giulio Extropy-chat is a publicly accessible email list and does not use encryption. I presume you are referring to private emails, not going through extropy-chat. To ensure privacy, it may be more convenient for your contacts to obtain a free Proton Mail email account. As you know, this service offers end-to-end encryption for all emails sent between Proton Mail users. Additionally, to provide end-to-end encryption between Proton Mail and external email providers, Proton Mail provides two options: [Password-protected Emails(new window)](https://proton.me/support/password-protected-emails) and PGP encryption. https://proton.me/support/how-to-use-pgp Regards, ExiMod Sent with [Proton Mail](https://proton.me/) secure email. On Saturday, 2 December 2023 at 09:12, Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat wrote: > Hi, I'm thinking to become more privacy-conscious and use this mailbox more. Could you send me PGP-encrypted mail to test? Public key attached. > > I don't really need more privacy because I'm an open book, and independent thinking is not illegal... yet. But one day it could. Also, I want to show solidarity to those who need strong privacy. > > Best - Giulio > > -- > Giulio Prisco > https://linktr.ee/giulioprisco > giulioprisco at protonmail.ch -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From efc at swisscows.email Sat Dec 2 21:58:55 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Sat, 2 Dec 2023 22:58:55 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Fwd: Are transhumanists becoming the bad guys? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <2beb8e26-6190-e8cd-4d71-b22e789d59f2@swisscows.email> On Sat, 2 Dec 2023, Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat wrote: > Actually, I just thought: If transhumanists are part of the conspiracy to kill the soul, who else is on on it? Oh, I guess the usual crowd... the WEF, the UN, the trilateral commision, the bilderbergs etc. I'd rather ask, who is _not_ in it? That's where you should begin your search, with the _least_ obvious candidate. Might I suggest... the boysprouts of america for instance! ;) Best regards, Daniel From efc at swisscows.email Sat Dec 2 22:00:10 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Sat, 2 Dec 2023 23:00:10 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Are transhumanists becoming the bad guys? In-Reply-To: <89e5e007-eb2b-795f-7d17-d845d27d2fea@swisscows.email> References: <89e5e007-eb2b-795f-7d17-d845d27d2fea@swisscows.email> Message-ID: Hello Ben, On Sat, 2 Dec 2023, Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat wrote: > Ha, I like that expression! You're welcome to use it free of charge! ;) Best regards, Daniel From giulioprisco at protonmail.ch Sun Dec 3 05:29:00 2023 From: giulioprisco at protonmail.ch (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sun, 03 Dec 2023 05:29:00 +0000 Subject: [ExI] TEST: please send me PGP-encrypted email In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Saturday, December 2nd, 2023 at 9:14 PM, ExiMod via extropy-chat wrote: > Hi Giulio > > Extropy-chat is a publicly accessible email list and does not use encryption. > > I presume you are referring to private emails, not going through extropy-chat. > To ensure privacy, it may be more convenient for your contacts to obtain a free Proton Mail email account. As you know, this service offers end-to-end encryption for all emails sent between Proton Mail users. > Additionally, to provide end-to-end encryption between Proton Mail and external email providers, Proton Mail provides two options: [Password-protected Emails(new window)](https://proton.me/support/password-protected-emails) and PGP encryption. > https://proton.me/support/how-to-use-pgp > > Regards, ExiMod Thanks, but I guess many people prefer to continue using whatever email service they are using, instead of getting a new one. PGP support in PM solves the problem. > Sent with [Proton Mail](https://proton.me/) secure email. > > On Saturday, 2 December 2023 at 09:12, Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat wrote: > >> Hi, I'm thinking to become more privacy-conscious and use this mailbox more. Could you send me PGP-encrypted mail to test? Public key attached. >> >> I don't really need more privacy because I'm an open book, and independent thinking is not illegal... yet. But one day it could. Also, I want to show solidarity to those who need strong privacy. >> >> Best - Giulio >> >> -- >> Giulio Prisco >> https://linktr.ee/giulioprisco >> giulioprisco at protonmail.ch -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From postmowoods at gmail.com Sun Dec 3 09:41:55 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 02:41:55 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity Message-ID: I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of society. I welcome science fiction along these lines... -Kelly From giulio at gmail.com Sun Dec 3 10:06:10 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 11:06:10 +0100 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] Irrational mechanics, draft Ch. 6. Creative evolution toward quality. Also, the 2nd test flight of Starship and the OpenAI drama. In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Some scientists e.g. Novikov and Forward think that things always work out self-consistently. This is suggested by the example of billiard balls that loop in time through wormholes, worked out by Thorne et. al. No censorship is imposed, but the solutions are always self-consistent. I prefer to think that the universe tries to keep everything self-consistent in a given timeline, but introduces another timeline when self-consistency is impossible in the original timeline. You don't have to call this entity God if you don't want to. You can call it the cosmic operating system, or just the universe like more and more people do. On Sat, Dec 2, 2023 at 3:29?PM John Clark wrote: > On Sat, Dec 2, 2023 at 3:28?AM 'Giulio Prisco' via extropolis < > extropolis at googlegroups.com> wrote: > > *> "My whole point is that we are determined by the global whole of which >> we are an irreducible part, but not by the *external* environment (the rest >> of the world without us).**This sounds seriously retrocausal"* >> > > Me plus the rest of the world is the entire world, and I find it as > difficult to believe in retrocausality as others have in Many Worlds, > especially when it's not needed and other explanations for the weird > quantum realm exist. > > It's hard to believe that if I study hard enough now I can improve the D I > got in a history exam when I was in the fourth grade. It's true that if you > don't take quantum mechanics into account General Relativity allows for the > existence of a closed timelike curve, but when you add in quantum mechanics > such a time tunnel would **probably** collapse before it could be used. > We can't be absolutely certain it's impossible until we have a better > understanding of how gravity works at the quantum level, but I have a very > strong hunch it's impossible because otherwise paradoxes would be produced > unless there was some sort of strict censorship regarding the type of > information that we are and not allowed to transmit into the past. And it > seems to me a vast, perhaps infinite, intellect (a.k.a. God) would be > required to figure out what information was safe to transport into the past > so as to avoid all paradoxes and what information is unsafe so that only > information that was absolutely useless because it couldn't change anything > would be allowed to be transmitted into the past. But it's not a good > idea to conjure up God in scientific theories. > > >> > * "I guess it is better to avoid speaking of causality (which is not >> a condition for science, as Bertrand Russell was one of the first to >> realize)"* > > > Yes, there is no law of logic that demands every event have a cause, but > if the thing behind the curtain of free will is just randomness then having > "free will" is a pretty mundane thing. > > John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis > > pmt > > iau > >> >> >> >> the minimal distance the salesman must travel is determined by the >>>> relative position of the cities the salesman must travel through. Yes, that >>>> is a hard computational problem but at least it is computational, not >>>> everything is. A better example would be a computer running a short simple >>>> program to find the first even number greater than 2 that is not the sum of >>>> two prime numbers and then stop. Will it ever stop? Nobody knows even >>>> though the computer is 100% deterministic. That's why you can be >>>> deterministic but not predictable. Even you can't always predict what you >>>> are going to do, there are even times where you are absolutely positively >>>> 100% certain you know what you're going to do, but when the time actually >>>> comes you end up doing something entirely different. So I don't think it's >>>> necessary to invoke retrocausal influences to explain why we wouldn't feel >>>> like a puppet with somebody else pulling the strings even if we were as >>>> deterministic as a cuckoo clock. >>>> >>>> >>>> -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/CAJPayv3ksRajnrsVDReEpBOBiLaipRDEmOytkFmD6MVna4r8FQ%40mail.gmail.com > > . > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Sun Dec 3 12:12:26 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 12:12:26 +0000 Subject: [ExI] KISS retires and becomes an avatar band Message-ID: KISS exits the stage and leaves its avatar band to rock and roll all night, forever. The rock icons have figured out a way to keep playing after retirement: as a virtual band created by the impresarios behind ABBA Voyage. By Burt Helm 02 Dec 2023 Quote: It was time for their avatars?Demon, the Starchild, Catman, and Spaceman?to take over the performance as colossal figures that, through a combination of LED screen projection, lasers, and heavy metal smoke and pyrotechnics, appeared three dimensional and much larger than life. KISS had been transfigured into that higher form: licensed intellectual property. Their avatars could now roam into the multiverse, the metaverse, and with any luck, some kind of an extended run in Vegas. ---------------------- Humans can do so much more in the virtual universe. Will we eventually leave reality and make our own reality? BillK From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Sun Dec 3 16:23:32 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 08:23:32 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: " next few centuries of transhumanism," I doubt this. Whatever the fate of humanity is, it will go to completion within decades, not centuries. Keith On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 1:43?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat wrote: > > I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... > > One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is > the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different > "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural > selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no > longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the > river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of > "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of > society. > > I welcome science fiction along these lines... > > -Kelly > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From foozler83 at gmail.com Sun Dec 3 17:04:01 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 11:04:01 -0600 Subject: [ExI] goons Message-ID: Right here in my home county: a bunch of police officers who did horrible things to people, mostly blacks. You have to read this! https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/2023/11/30/how-a-goon-squad-of-deputies-got-away-with-years-of-police-brutality-in-mississippi/71752907007/ Do we think this is a totally isolated case? Ha! bill w -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From efc at swisscows.email Sun Dec 3 17:44:34 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 18:44:34 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Hmm, I think I've read about something like that, in one or more science fiction books. Sadly they did not leave enough of an imprint for me to remember the names of them. And the fact that the divergence was so big as to have created separate species was not the main plot, but just a parenthesis. As for the fate of humanity, depending on what "go to completion" means, I'm voting for many, many more centuries and not decades. Best regards, Daniel On Sun, 3 Dec 2023, Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: > " next few centuries of transhumanism," > > I doubt this. Whatever the fate of humanity is, it will go to > completion within decades, not centuries. > > Keith > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 1:43?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat > wrote: >> >> I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... >> >> One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is >> the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different >> "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural >> selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no >> longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the >> river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of >> "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of >> society. >> >> I welcome science fiction along these lines... >> >> -Kelly >> _______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From postmowoods at gmail.com Sun Dec 3 22:23:15 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 15:23:15 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: ChatGPT says that, "one notable example is the works of Peter F. Hamilton, whose sci-fi novels often include humans who have evolved into subspecies, influenced by technology, ideology, and biology." Has anyone read Hamilton's books? Worth the read?? -Kelly On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 10:45?AM efc--- via extropy-chat wrote: > > Hmm, I think I've read about something like that, in one or more science > fiction books. Sadly they did not leave enough of an imprint for me to > remember the names of them. And the fact that the divergence was so big as > to have created separate species was not the main plot, but just a > parenthesis. > > As for the fate of humanity, depending on what "go to completion" means, > I'm voting for many, many more centuries and not decades. > > Best regards, > Daniel > > > On Sun, 3 Dec 2023, Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: > > > " next few centuries of transhumanism," > > > > I doubt this. Whatever the fate of humanity is, it will go to > > completion within decades, not centuries. > > > > Keith > > > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 1:43?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat > > wrote: > >> > >> I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... > >> > >> One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is > >> the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different > >> "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural > >> selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no > >> longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the > >> river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of > >> "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of > >> society. > >> > >> I welcome science fiction along these lines... > >> > >> -Kelly > >> _______________________________________________ > >> extropy-chat mailing list > >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat_______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From postmowoods at gmail.com Sun Dec 3 23:20:54 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 16:20:54 -0700 Subject: [ExI] AI ChatGPT Outperforms Humans in Providing Social Advice In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: I very consistently use ChatGPT when writing sensitive emails to squeeze out the Aspherger's type phrases I picked up after years of programming. It consistently fixes my tone and puts more humanity into my communications than I am able to do by myself. It's saved my butt quite a few times now. I just write the email I want to with the "fuck yous" and tell ChatGPT to make it nice and viola! I get a nicely phrased email suitable for humans. -Kelly On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 1:24?PM BillK via extropy-chat wrote: > > AI ChatGPT Outperforms Humans in Providing Social Advice, Study Finds > November 30, 2023 > > > > Quotes: > ChatGPT has undeniably established itself as a reliable source of > technical information, but can it also excel in offering social > advice? A recent study published in the journal Frontiers in > Psychology explores this question, revealing that later versions of > ChatGPT surpass professional columnists in dispensing personal advice. > > A groundbreaking study compared ChatGPT?s responses to those of human > advice columnists in addressing social dilemmas. Participants > overwhelmingly perceived ChatGPT?s advice as more balanced, complete, > empathetic, helpful, and superior overall compared to professional > advice. > ---------------- > > The complete research report is available here: > > (It is lengthy and technical). :) > > BillK > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From pharos at gmail.com Sun Dec 3 23:37:39 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 23:37:39 +0000 Subject: [ExI] AI ChatGPT Outperforms Humans in Providing Social Advice In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, 3 Dec 2023 at 23:23, Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat wrote: > > I very consistently use ChatGPT when writing sensitive emails to > squeeze out the Aspherger's type phrases I picked up after years of > programming. It consistently fixes my tone and puts more humanity into > my communications than I am able to do by myself. It's saved my butt > quite a few times now. I just write the email I want to with the "fuck > yous" and tell ChatGPT to make it nice and viola! I get a nicely > phrased email suitable for humans. > > -Kelly > _______________________________________________ That's a good use for ChatGPT. Maybe it could also help Elon Musk talk to X customers and improve his language! :) BillK From dsunley at gmail.com Sun Dec 3 23:46:07 2023 From: dsunley at gmail.com (Darin Sunley) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 16:46:07 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: This fragmentation dynamic is /the/ major theme of Diaspora, by Greg Egan, as it affects both biological and digital sentience, human-descended and otherwise. On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 3:25?PM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > ChatGPT says that, "one notable example is the works of Peter F. > Hamilton, whose sci-fi novels often include humans who have evolved > into subspecies, influenced by technology, ideology, and biology." Has > anyone read Hamilton's books? Worth the read?? > > -Kelly > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 10:45?AM efc--- via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > Hmm, I think I've read about something like that, in one or more science > > fiction books. Sadly they did not leave enough of an imprint for me to > > remember the names of them. And the fact that the divergence was so big > as > > to have created separate species was not the main plot, but just a > > parenthesis. > > > > As for the fate of humanity, depending on what "go to completion" means, > > I'm voting for many, many more centuries and not decades. > > > > Best regards, > > Daniel > > > > > > On Sun, 3 Dec 2023, Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: > > > > > " next few centuries of transhumanism," > > > > > > I doubt this. Whatever the fate of humanity is, it will go to > > > completion within decades, not centuries. > > > > > > Keith > > > > > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 1:43?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat > > > wrote: > > >> > > >> I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... > > >> > > >> One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is > > >> the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different > > >> "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural > > >> selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no > > >> longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the > > >> river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of > > >> "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of > > >> society. > > >> > > >> I welcome science fiction along these lines... > > >> > > >> -Kelly > > >> _______________________________________________ > > >> extropy-chat mailing list > > >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > > extropy-chat mailing list > > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat_______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From dsunley at gmail.com Sun Dec 3 23:48:42 2023 From: dsunley at gmail.com (Darin Sunley) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 16:48:42 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: "Diaspora" and Egan's "Permutation City" should be required reading. For everyone, really, but especially for this list. They're both significantly less remote than they used to be. https://www.amazon.com/Diaspora-Greg-Egan-ebook/dp/B00E83YOEI On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 4:46?PM Darin Sunley wrote: > This fragmentation dynamic is /the/ major theme of Diaspora, by Greg Egan, > as it affects both biological and digital sentience, human-descended and > otherwise. > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 3:25?PM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> ChatGPT says that, "one notable example is the works of Peter F. >> Hamilton, whose sci-fi novels often include humans who have evolved >> into subspecies, influenced by technology, ideology, and biology." Has >> anyone read Hamilton's books? Worth the read?? >> >> -Kelly >> >> On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 10:45?AM efc--- via extropy-chat >> wrote: >> > >> > Hmm, I think I've read about something like that, in one or more science >> > fiction books. Sadly they did not leave enough of an imprint for me to >> > remember the names of them. And the fact that the divergence was so big >> as >> > to have created separate species was not the main plot, but just a >> > parenthesis. >> > >> > As for the fate of humanity, depending on what "go to completion" means, >> > I'm voting for many, many more centuries and not decades. >> > >> > Best regards, >> > Daniel >> > >> > >> > On Sun, 3 Dec 2023, Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: >> > >> > > " next few centuries of transhumanism," >> > > >> > > I doubt this. Whatever the fate of humanity is, it will go to >> > > completion within decades, not centuries. >> > > >> > > Keith >> > > >> > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 1:43?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat >> > > wrote: >> > >> >> > >> I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... >> > >> >> > >> One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is >> > >> the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different >> > >> "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural >> > >> selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no >> > >> longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the >> > >> river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of >> > >> "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of >> > >> society. >> > >> >> > >> I welcome science fiction along these lines... >> > >> >> > >> -Kelly >> > >> _______________________________________________ >> > >> extropy-chat mailing list >> > >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> > >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> > > >> > > _______________________________________________ >> > > extropy-chat mailing list >> > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> > > >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat_______________________________________________ >> > extropy-chat mailing list >> > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> >> _______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From avant at sollegro.com Mon Dec 4 02:43:30 2023 From: avant at sollegro.com (Stuart LaForge) Date: Sun, 03 Dec 2023 18:43:30 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <68ae744e100fe74ac29471154bfc00f5@sollegro.com> On 2023-12-03 14:23, Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat wrote: > ChatGPT says that, "one notable example is the works of Peter F. > Hamilton, whose sci-fi novels often include humans who have evolved > into subspecies, influenced by technology, ideology, and biology." Has > anyone read Hamilton's books? Worth the read?? Another sci-fi novel about human subspecies is an oldie but still has merit: H.G Wells, "The time Machine". The Eloi and the Morlocks qualify as human subspecies. Also, the "Dune" series by Frank Herbert features Guild Navigators and Bene Tleilaxu who have have evolved to the point where they no longer resemble base-line humans. While not serious science fiction, I would say that the mutants in the Marvel comics such as the X-Men are a human subspecies. Also, while never really explored in-story, in the Star Trek franchise, the relatively common occurrences of humans interbreeding with alien species to produce half-Vulcans and half-Klingons, suggests that rather than being independently evolved other species, Humans, Vulcans (and by extension, Romulans), and Klingons seem to be subspecies of the same space-faring progenitor species that might have seeded them on their home-worlds. There really isn't any other good scientific explanation for their mysterious genetic compatibility. Doubly so if Spock and his fellow half-breed are fertile themselves. It could also explain why the majority of aliens in the Star Trek are so phenotypically similar to humans as to look like people with prosthetics and make up on. :) Stuart LaForge From atymes at gmail.com Mon Dec 4 05:46:29 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sun, 3 Dec 2023 21:46:29 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 1:43?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... > > One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is > the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different > "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural > selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no > longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the > river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of > "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of > society. > > I welcome science fiction along these lines... > This seems unlikely. If you have the tech to create non-interfertile branches of humanity, you likely also have the tech to create offspring for any given set of individuals from said non-interfertile branches. I once wrote some sci-fi (the intended publisher rejected it) in a space-opera-ish setting where humans created catgirls (homo sapiens with mostly aesthetic feline features, initial generations created via cloning with a heavy bias toward females as part of the attempted disguise) in an effort to present some "non-humans" to aliens who had put restrictions on human activity (basically, get the catgirls to swipe, barter for, or otherwise obtain certain alien tech that the aliens had forbidden giving to humans until the humans could invent it on their own). The fact that they could crossbreed with humans was among the factors cited by the aliens in classifying them as human and thus subject to the same restrictions. (Then said creators ran into a case of, "just because you made them, does not necessarily mean they're loyal to you.") -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulio at gmail.com Mon Dec 4 08:53:51 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 09:53:51 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Terasem Colloquium on December 14, 2023 Message-ID: Terasem Colloquium on December 14, 2023, 10am-1pm ET via Zoom. AI, machine consciousness. Stellar speakers: Ben Goertzel, Stefano Vaj, Mika Johnson, Blake Lemoine, Bill Bainbridge, Vitaly Vanchurin. You are invited! https://www.turingchurch.com/p/terasem-colloquium-december-14-2023 -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulio at gmail.com Mon Dec 4 09:19:28 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 10:19:28 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 5:25?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > " next few centuries of transhumanism," > > I doubt this. Whatever the fate of humanity is, it will go to > completion within decades, not centuries. > The fate of humanity will not go to completion for billions of years. > > Keith > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 1:43?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... > > > > One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is > > the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different > > "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural > > selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no > > longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the > > river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of > > "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of > > society. > > > > I welcome science fiction along these lines... > > > > -Kelly > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulio at gmail.com Mon Dec 4 09:26:38 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 10:26:38 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Mon, Dec 4, 2023 at 12:49?AM Darin Sunley via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > "Diaspora" and Egan's "Permutation City" should be required reading. For > everyone, really, but especially for this list. > > They're both significantly less remote than they used to be. > > https://www.amazon.com/Diaspora-Greg-Egan-ebook/dp/B00E83YOEI > Yes, plus everything else by Greg Egan up to and including Zendegi. I haven't been impressed by Egan's works after Zendegi. I still have to read his last novel, "Scale." > > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 4:46?PM Darin Sunley wrote: > >> This fragmentation dynamic is /the/ major theme of Diaspora, by Greg >> Egan, as it affects both biological and digital sentience, human-descended >> and otherwise. >> >> On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 3:25?PM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: >> >>> ChatGPT says that, "one notable example is the works of Peter F. >>> Hamilton, whose sci-fi novels often include humans who have evolved >>> into subspecies, influenced by technology, ideology, and biology." Has >>> anyone read Hamilton's books? Worth the read?? >>> >>> -Kelly >>> >>> On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 10:45?AM efc--- via extropy-chat >>> wrote: >>> > >>> > Hmm, I think I've read about something like that, in one or more >>> science >>> > fiction books. Sadly they did not leave enough of an imprint for me to >>> > remember the names of them. And the fact that the divergence was so >>> big as >>> > to have created separate species was not the main plot, but just a >>> > parenthesis. >>> > >>> > As for the fate of humanity, depending on what "go to completion" >>> means, >>> > I'm voting for many, many more centuries and not decades. >>> > >>> > Best regards, >>> > Daniel >>> > >>> > >>> > On Sun, 3 Dec 2023, Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: >>> > >>> > > " next few centuries of transhumanism," >>> > > >>> > > I doubt this. Whatever the fate of humanity is, it will go to >>> > > completion within decades, not centuries. >>> > > >>> > > Keith >>> > > >>> > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 1:43?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat >>> > > wrote: >>> > >> >>> > >> I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... >>> > >> >>> > >> One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" >>> is >>> > >> the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, >>> different >>> > >> "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural >>> > >> selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no >>> > >> longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the >>> > >> river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of >>> > >> "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of >>> > >> society. >>> > >> >>> > >> I welcome science fiction along these lines... >>> > >> >>> > >> -Kelly >>> > >> _______________________________________________ >>> > >> extropy-chat mailing list >>> > >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >>> > >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >>> > > >>> > > _______________________________________________ >>> > > extropy-chat mailing list >>> > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >>> > > >>> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat_______________________________________________ >>> > extropy-chat mailing list >>> > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >>> > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >>> >>> _______________________________________________ >>> extropy-chat mailing list >>> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >>> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >>> >> _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulioprisco at protonmail.ch Mon Dec 4 09:29:49 2023 From: giulioprisco at protonmail.ch (Giulio Prisco) Date: Mon, 04 Dec 2023 09:29:49 +0000 Subject: [ExI] TEST: please send me PGP-encrypted email In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Thanks to those who have helped so far. So far it seems that Proton Mai's PGP bridge is usable and works well. Another test: please send me your PGP public key, I'll send you encrypted email to test. -- Giulio Prisco https://linktr.ee/giulioprisco giulioprisco at protonmail.ch On Saturday, December 2nd, 2023 at 10:12 AM, Giulio Prisco wrote: > Hi, I'm thinking to become more privacy-conscious and use this mailbox more. Could you send me PGP-encrypted mail to test? Public key attached. > > I don't really need more privacy because I'm an open book, and independent thinking is not illegal... yet. But one day it could. Also, I want to show solidarity to those who need strong privacy. > > Best - Giulio > > > -- > Giulio Prisco > https://linktr.ee/giulioprisco > giulioprisco at protonmail.ch -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: signature.asc Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 509 bytes Desc: OpenPGP digital signature URL: From giulio at gmail.com Mon Dec 4 11:13:08 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 12:13:08 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Who is younger than 40? 30? 20? Message-ID: We old farts of my generation (I?m 66) were among the first to talk of wildly futuristic sci/tech with a wildly optimistic attitude in the 80s and 90s, often on this very mailing list. We have done what we could. Where are the next generations? Are you younger than 40? Younger than 30? Perhaps younger than 20? What do you plan to do to keep the spirit of Extropy going? Related: Is e/acc the new Extropy? Do you call yourself e/acc? -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From efc at swisscows.email Mon Dec 4 12:03:48 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 13:03:48 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] Who is younger than 40? 30? 20? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <5809e895-d781-2644-e012-ec987d4f1c52@swisscows.email> Hello Giulio, I'm right at the upper limit. I don't like to attach labels to myself, but if pressed, I might (depending on the company and how much I enjoy provoking the people present) call myself capitalist, libertarian, republican, anarcho-capitalist, human, philosopher or freethinker. ;) Jokes aside, my passion is individual freedom and autonomy and I believe science and technology is an immense help in achieving that. I order to make that happen on a small scale, some examples of what I do are: * I talk about it with people in the hope of inspiring someone. * I've worked in the technology business all my life thus indirectly contributing to research and development. * I teach people about computers/linux/devops etc. * Rarely, from time to time, I've managed to get an article into my national newspaper. * I engage in tax planning to withdraw money from a system I do not believe in and redirect it into projects I do believe in. * I host a technology meetup since 8 years back. Best regards, Daniel On Mon, 4 Dec 2023, Giulio Prisco wrote: > We old farts of my generation (I?m 66) were among the first to talk of wildly futuristic sci/tech with a wildly optimistic attitude > in the 80s and 90s, often on this very mailing list. We have done what we could. > Where are the next generations? Are you younger than 40? Younger than 30? Perhaps younger than 20? What do you plan to do to keep the > spirit of Extropy going? > > Related: Is e/acc the new Extropy? Do you call yourself e/acc? > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/CAKTCJyfvWKb-J-5Y4YRawyZZpnEZFPe4FTp%3DCfrBzcPqyj66sA%40mail.gmail.com. > > From postmowoods at gmail.com Mon Dec 4 12:10:57 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 05:10:57 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: <68ae744e100fe74ac29471154bfc00f5@sollegro.com> References: <68ae744e100fe74ac29471154bfc00f5@sollegro.com> Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 7:44?PM Stuart LaForge via extropy-chat wrote: > > Also, while never really explored in-story, in the Star Trek franchise, > the relatively common occurrences of humans interbreeding with alien > species to produce half-Vulcans and half-Klingons, suggests that rather > than being independently evolved other species, Humans, Vulcans (and by > extension, Romulans), and Klingons seem to be subspecies of the same > space-faring progenitor species that might have seeded them on their > home-worlds. > > There really isn't any other good scientific explanation for their > mysterious genetic compatibility. Doubly so if Spock and his fellow > half-breed are fertile themselves. It could also explain why the > majority of aliens in the Star Trek are so phenotypically similar to > humans as to look like people with prosthetics and make up on. :) I'm pretty sure that was dealt with explicitly in Star Trek somewhere along the line, though I can't remember exactly where. Perhaps in TNG? But it was convenient that almost all "aliens" were so NOT really alien. -Kelly From ben at zaiboc.net Mon Dec 4 13:34:35 2023 From: ben at zaiboc.net (Ben Zaiboc) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 13:34:35 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <119ba531-e8f7-4909-90c8-817bd1da0f56@zaiboc.net> On 03/12/2023 22:23, Kelly Anderson wrote: > I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... > > One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is > the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different > "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural > selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no > longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the > river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of > "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of > society. I reckon this is an inevitable thing, and is far from bad. One area where biological analogies lead us astray, though, is the idea of technologically-mediated 'species' being unable to 'interbreed'. It might be better to use different words, to emphasise that we won't be bounded by the limitations or concepts of biology. If you use technology to change your body and mind, you can use technology to create blended designs, if you want to. There will be barriers, of course, but they will be either self-imposed or simply practical. e.g. no point in trying to create a hybrid of something that would be confortable on venus and something that would be comfortable on mars. Probably. The inevitable fragmentation of society doesn't have to be destructive, if people have plentiful resources. I thnk we over-emphasise instances of different cultures being in conflict, and under-emphasise those where different cultures get along well, and even benefit each other. Ben -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike at rainier66.com Mon Dec 4 13:43:50 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 05:43:50 -0800 Subject: [ExI] pre-singularity blues In-Reply-To: <00b801da26b7$745fb170$5d1f1450$@rainier66.com> References: <008a01da2675$5881c660$09855320$@rainier66.com> <00b801da26b7$745fb170$5d1f1450$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: <00c201da26b7$ea46a560$bed3f020$@rainier66.com> My son is taking Principals of Physics, which is calculus based. Those of you who have taken that class know it requires gallons of sweat if one is a mere mortal, such as me and nearly everyone I know. I had to work for that one. He wrote this to a group of friends: Funny anecdote: In my university physics class (mechanics), we meet twice a week in person as usual. However, we have required online discussions for participation points every week. One must answer the provided prompt and respond to two other people. One poor soul in the class, however, was not so careful with their "use of technology", shall we say: {end of his post} OK then. If one is going to cheat, one should at least make a half-assed effort to cover one?s tracks. This has me wondering about something I don?t recall coming up in all our singularity discussions over the years. It is perfectly reasonable to think that AI will be sufficiently advanced before the singularity to demotivate students. They can think about a problem, ask ChatGPT, then realize GPT ?understands? physics better than the student could, even if the student is willing to spill the gallons of sweat to learn the physics. So? the student concludes with some justification, that spilling those gallons of sweat is pointless. In a sense, we are already seeing the demotivating impact of ChatGPT. spike -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: image001.png Type: image/png Size: 78994 bytes Desc: not available URL: From ben at zaiboc.net Mon Dec 4 13:46:16 2023 From: ben at zaiboc.net (Ben Zaiboc) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 13:46:16 +0000 Subject: [ExI] KISS retires and becomes an avatar band In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <36998bda-df39-4295-9d32-d8ca5ce315b1@zaiboc.net> On 03/12/2023 22:23, BillK wrote: > Humans can do so much more in the virtual universe. > Will we eventually leave reality and make our own reality? We will definitely make new realities, probably very many of them, but you can't leave base reality. You can ignore it, but you can't leave it. I expect those who want nothing more to do with it will choose to let others take care of it (a risky choice, if you ask me), while they spend a subjective eternity in various fantasy worlds. But I see no reason why you couldn't have both, and dip in and out of whatever experiences you wanted to, or perhaps with the right brain architecture, experience more than one reality simultaneously. Ben -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From ben at zaiboc.net Mon Dec 4 13:53:06 2023 From: ben at zaiboc.net (Ben Zaiboc) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 13:53:06 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <525c7546-281f-401a-9ea8-781add5b1c42@zaiboc.net> On 03/12/2023 22:23, Kelly Anderson wrote: > ChatGPT says that, "one notable example is the works of Peter F. > Hamilton, whose sci-fi novels often include humans who have evolved > into subspecies, influenced by technology, ideology, and biology." Has > anyone read Hamilton's books? Worth the read?? Definitely worth the read. I've read all of his stuff, I think, and nothing strikes me as being not worth it. Some of the novels are BIG books (most of them actually), so be prepared for that. Good world-building, and he doesn't just stick to one. I found lots of transhumanist ideas in his stuff, and rate him as one of my favourite authors (ranking alongside Iain M Banks, which should indicate how highly I regard him). Highly Recommended. Ben -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From efc at swisscows.email Mon Dec 4 14:32:34 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 15:32:34 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] pre-singularity blues In-Reply-To: <00c201da26b7$ea46a560$bed3f020$@rainier66.com> References: <008a01da2675$5881c660$09855320$@rainier66.com> <00b801da26b7$745fb170$5d1f1450$@rainier66.com> <00c201da26b7$ea46a560$bed3f020$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: Hello spike, As a teacher, let me add my experience about this to the thread. I teach IT at vocational schools (1.5 year long program that sits between high school and university complexity/content wise) and the students are affected in this way as far as I can see: * The best students don't care. They have discovered a new passion in life and get enormous pleasure out of understanding the concepts and building things themselves. GPT might be used as an aide, but generally less than expected, since the students actually enjoy figuring things out. * The worst students have become even worse. They are not motivated from the start, and some cheated on the entrance exam with chat gpt, and thought they'd be able to chat gpt their way through the program (not possible the way I teach) and when forced to think for themselves, and when I grow tired of answering the same question (where is the arrow key, or what does the "cd" command do in linux) for the 5:th time, it is plain to everyone, including themselves, that the program is not the right place for them. * The average students... here it gets complicated! You have some who become brilliant students, and you have some who go through the motions and who might rely too much on gpt, but are good enough to hide it, but you do get suspicious but you cannot quite prove it (or rather, not justify wasting the time to prove it), so here I don't know actually. In terms of skills, the companies who are involved in developing the curriculum are all pretty much in agreement that what they want are passionate young people with a knack for problem solving. They don't want gpt warriors and prompt writers, since those tasks are already on their way to get automated. So that's what I'm seeing from the educational trenches. Best regards, Daniel On Mon, 4 Dec 2023, spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: > > ? > > My son is taking Principals of Physics, which is calculus based.? Those of you who have taken that class know it requires gallons of > sweat if one is a mere mortal, such as me and nearly everyone I know.? I had to work for that one. > > ? > > He wrote this to a group of friends: > > ? > > ? > > Funny anecdote: In my university physics class (mechanics), we meet twice a week in person as usual. However, we have required online > discussions for participation points every week. One must answer the provided prompt and respond to two other people. One poor soul > in the class, however, was not so careful with their "use of technology", shall we say: > > ? > > [IMAGE] > > ? > > {end of his post} > > ? > > ? > > OK then.? If one is going to cheat, one should at least make a half-assed effort to cover one?s tracks. > > ? > > This has me wondering about something I don?t recall coming up in all our singularity discussions over the years. > > ? > > It is perfectly reasonable to think that AI will be sufficiently advanced before the singularity to demotivate students.? They can > think about a problem, ask ChatGPT, then realize GPT ?understands? physics better than the student could, even if the student is > willing to spill the gallons of sweat to learn the physics.? So? the student concludes with some justification, that spilling those > gallons of sweat is pointless. > > ? > > In a sense, we are already seeing the demotivating impact of ChatGPT. > > ? > > spike > > ? > > ? > > > From efc at swisscows.email Mon Dec 4 14:40:25 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Mon, 4 Dec 2023 15:40:25 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: <525c7546-281f-401a-9ea8-781add5b1c42@zaiboc.net> References: <525c7546-281f-401a-9ea8-781add5b1c42@zaiboc.net> Message-ID: <9fa27a34-4f29-f002-7397-9a640a955a5e@swisscows.email> Speaking of books, I was wondering if you could recommend some good authors for me since Christmas is soon upon us? I like Gibson (early stuff), Stephenson (early), Asimov, Clarke, Heinlein, Philip K. Dick, Stanislaw Lem, to mention some. I dislike emotional relationship centered science fiction, and prefer more "hard" stories or stories with interesting philosophical concepts. I like the golden age of science fiction as well. Oh, and I also dislike ideological science fiction where the author starts with some current political fashionable idea and then weaves a thin story around that. Be it libertarianism or socialism. When it feels as if the author is just trying to make a political point instead of focusing on science fiction, I get bored. Best regards, Daniel On Mon, 4 Dec 2023, Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat wrote: > > On 03/12/2023 22:23, Kelly Anderson wrote: > > ChatGPT says that, "one notable example is the works of Peter F. > Hamilton, whose sci-fi novels often include humans who have evolved > into subspecies, influenced by technology, ideology, and biology." Has > anyone read Hamilton's books? Worth the read?? > > > Definitely worth the read. I've read all of his stuff, I think, and nothing strikes me as being not worth it. > > Some of the novels are BIG books (most of them actually), so be prepared for that. Good world-building, and he doesn't just stick to > one. I found lots of transhumanist ideas in his stuff, and rate him as one of my favourite authors (ranking alongside Iain M Banks, > which should indicate how highly I regard him). > > Highly Recommended. > > Ben > > From giulio at gmail.com Tue Dec 5 08:01:52 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 09:01:52 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: Delivery Status Notification (Failure) In-Reply-To: <656ed787.2e0a0220.14a6f.44bf.GMR@mx.google.com> References: <5809e895-d781-2644-e012-ec987d4f1c52@swisscows.email> CAKTCJyfmiLf1cEdN7dLKeEMBxkXfq4e+euTmw3DgRyt+y+RyHg@mail.gmail.com <656ed787.2e0a0220.14a6f.44bf.GMR@mx.google.com> Message-ID: WTF is this? ---------- Forwarded message --------- From: Mail Delivery Subsystem Date: Tue, Dec 5, 2023 at 8:55?AM Subject: Delivery Status Notification (Failure) To: [image: Error Icon] Message blocked Your message to *extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org* has been blocked. See technical details below for more information. The response from the remote server was: 541 5.7.1 Intrusion attempt denied from 209.85.208.178 ---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: Giulio Prisco To: extropolis at googlegroups.com Cc: ExI chat list Bcc: Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 08:55:32 +0100 Subject: Re: [Extropolis] Who is younger than 40? 30? 20? ----- Message truncated ----- -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: icon.png Type: image/png Size: 4663 bytes Desc: not available URL: From efc at swisscows.email Tue Dec 5 08:43:12 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 09:43:12 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Fwd: Delivery Status Notification (Failure) In-Reply-To: References: <5809e895-d781-2644-e012-ec987d4f1c52@swisscows.email> CAKTCJyfmiLf1cEdN7dLKeEMBxkXfq4e+euTmw3DgRyt+y+RyHg@mail.gmail.com <656ed787.2e0a0220.14a6f.44bf.GMR@mx.google.com> Message-ID: <54795193-cc68-794f-2791-51ad525b312d@swisscows.email> Hello Giulio, I get this all the time. I think there's something configured wrong somewhere. The solution is to go to your sent emails box and resend the message and that always solves the problem for me. I can also add that this mailinglist is the only place where I get this error. Never get it anywhere else, and that is why I think there's an error in some configuration somewhere. Best regards, Daniel On Tue, 5 Dec 2023, Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat wrote: > WTF is this? > > ---------- Forwarded message --------- > From: Mail Delivery Subsystem > Date: Tue, Dec 5, 2023 at 8:55?AM > Subject: Delivery Status Notification (Failure) > To: > > > Error Icon > > MESSAGE BLOCKED > > Your message to extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org has been blocked. See technical details below for more information. > The response from the remote server was: > > 541 5.7.1 Intrusion attempt denied from 209.85.208.178 > > > > > ---------- Forwarded message ---------- > From:?Giulio Prisco > To:?extropolis at googlegroups.com > Cc:?ExI chat list > Bcc:? > Date:?Tue, 5 Dec 2023 08:55:32 +0100 > Subject:?Re: [Extropolis] Who is younger than 40? 30? 20? > ----- Message truncated ----- > > From pharos at gmail.com Tue Dec 5 10:23:51 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 10:23:51 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Fwd: Delivery Status Notification (Failure) In-Reply-To: References: <5809e895-d781-2644-e012-ec987d4f1c52@swisscows.email> <656ed787.2e0a0220.14a6f.44bf.GMR@mx.google.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 5 Dec 2023 at 08:04, Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat wrote: > > WTF is this? > > ---------- Forwarded message --------- > From: Mail Delivery Subsystem > Date: Tue, Dec 5, 2023 at 8:55?AM > Subject: Delivery Status Notification (Failure) > To: > > > Message blocked > > Your message to extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org has been blocked. See technical details below for more information. > The response from the remote server was: > > 541 5.7.1 Intrusion attempt denied from 209.85.208.178 > > _______________________________________________ I get this error about once a month. The IP address says that it is a Google server that is complaining. As Daniel says, just wait a while and resend, and it goes through OK. BillK From john at ziaspace.com Tue Dec 5 10:34:46 2023 From: john at ziaspace.com (John Klos) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 10:34:46 +0000 (UTC) Subject: [ExI] Fwd: Delivery Status Notification (Failure) In-Reply-To: References: <5809e895-d781-2644-e012-ec987d4f1c52@swisscows.email> <656ed787.2e0a0220.14a6f.44bf.GMR@mx.google.com> Message-ID: <8b44dd68-f97c-e6ad-a6ba-cf5609b99fa9@newbunny.zia.io> >> WTF is this? >> >> Message blocked >> >> Your message to extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org has been blocked. See technical details below for more information. >> The response from the remote server was: >> >> 541 5.7.1 Intrusion attempt denied from 209.85.208.178 Google doesn't care if their servers are configured properly, since it becomes someone else's problem. Some of their servers give a name for themselves which doesn't match the server, or they give a blank name. It appears that's what happened here. > I get this error about once a month. > The IP address says that it is a Google server that is complaining. > As Daniel says, just wait a while and resend, and it goes through OK. Since there are no actual humans at Google with whom any of us mere regular people can communicate, that's what we'll have to do :) John From efc at swisscows.email Tue Dec 5 11:33:24 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 12:33:24 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Fwd: Delivery Status Notification (Failure) In-Reply-To: <8b44dd68-f97c-e6ad-a6ba-cf5609b99fa9@newbunny.zia.io> References: <5809e895-d781-2644-e012-ec987d4f1c52@swisscows.email> <656ed787.2e0a0220.14a6f.44bf.GMR@mx.google.com> <8b44dd68-f97c-e6ad-a6ba-cf5609b99fa9@newbunny.zia.io> Message-ID: Hello John, Does this mean that the list is hosted on google infrastructure or has some tight connection with it? If so, what about moving to another cloud provider? Best regards, Daniel On Tue, 5 Dec 2023, John Klos via extropy-chat wrote: >>> WTF is this? >>> >>> Message blocked >>> >>> Your message to extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org has been blocked. See >>> technical details below for more information. >>> The response from the remote server was: >>> >>> 541 5.7.1 Intrusion attempt denied from 209.85.208.178 > > Google doesn't care if their servers are configured properly, since it > becomes someone else's problem. Some of their servers give a name for > themselves which doesn't match the server, or they give a blank name. It > appears that's what happened here. > >> I get this error about once a month. >> The IP address says that it is a Google server that is complaining. >> As Daniel says, just wait a while and resend, and it goes through OK. > > Since there are no actual humans at Google with whom any of us mere regular > people can communicate, that's what we'll have to do :) > > John > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > From pharos at gmail.com Tue Dec 5 13:16:41 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 13:16:41 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Surveillance - Progress Report Message-ID: The Internet Enabled Mass Surveillance. A.I. Will Enable Mass Spying. Spying has always been limited by the need for human labor. A.I. is going to change that. By Bruce Schneier Dec 04, 2023 Quotes: Mass surveillance fundamentally changed the nature of surveillance. Because all the data is saved, mass surveillance allows people to conduct surveillance backward in time, and without even knowing whom specifically you want to target. Tell me where this person was last year. List all the red sedans that drove down this road in the past month. List all of the people who purchased all the ingredients for a pressure cooker bomb in the past year. Similarly, mass spying will change the nature of spying. All the data will be saved. It will all be searchable, and understandable, in bulk. Tell me who has talked about a particular topic in the past month, and how discussions about that topic have evolved. ----------------- Bruce Schneier is an internationally renowned security technologist, called a ?security guru? by The Economist. He is the author of over one dozen books?including his latest, A Hacker?s Mind?as well as hundreds of articles, essays, and academic papers. By coincidence, another article is about the widespread sale of hidden spy cameras on Amazon and other websites. If you rent a room via Airbnb or similar, you should assume there will be a hidden spy camera somewhere on the premises. (And maybe a microphone as well), Privacy is becoming harder and harder to achieve. BillK From efc at swisscows.email Tue Dec 5 14:49:30 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 15:49:30 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Surveillance - Progress Report In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <4e0ade1c-80d6-0d81-df52-0b5f1f1012c0@swisscows.email> > Privacy is becoming harder and harder to achieve. True! And people seem to care less and less. I do my best to scare my students with horror stories, to make them think about the future, but I have a feeling I'm a minority at my schools. Best regards, Daniel From jasonresch at gmail.com Tue Dec 5 19:45:41 2023 From: jasonresch at gmail.com (Jason Resch) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 14:45:41 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Watch "ChatGPT Broke Chess" on YouTube Message-ID: https://youtu.be/9LDaY7X2qGk Interesting advances in GPT-4 chess playing. Jason -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Tue Dec 5 22:23:19 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 14:23:19 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Mon, Dec 4, 2023 at 1:21?AM Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat wrote: > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 5:25?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> " next few centuries of transhumanism," >> >> I doubt this. Whatever the fate of humanity is, it will go to >> completion within decades, not centuries. > > The fate of humanity will not go to completion for billions of years. Perhaps I was not clear. I suspect humans will abandon flesh (upload) within decades. Maybe not all of them, but the vast majority. I think what we see at Tabby's Star (and 24 others in that cluster) is orbiting "dyson patches" that provide the physical level substrate for vast numbers (trillions?) of uploaded aliens and a simulated environment. The biggest one of them (so far) is over 400 times the area of the Earth, and even out at 7 AU it is collecting 1.4 million times the energy humans use today. Why so far out? If these patches are for computation, the low temperature (65 K) will reduce the error rate (and the power needed for computation). What limits the size? Most likely the speed of light, Bigger, and communication would take an unreasonable (subjective) time to get from edge to edge. Now I could be dead wrong on this analysis, and I hope I am, we don't need the competition. But if I am not and we follow the aliens at Tabby's Star, things will get very strange as we sail up the singularity curve. Keith PS. Needless to say, full-scale nanotechnology is required to upload. >> >> >> Keith >> >> On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 1:43?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat >> wrote: >> > >> > I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... >> > >> > One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is >> > the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different >> > "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural >> > selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no >> > longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the >> > river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of >> > "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of >> > society. >> > >> > I welcome science fiction along these lines... >> > >> > -Kelly >> > _______________________________________________ >> > extropy-chat mailing list >> > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> >> _______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From pharos at gmail.com Tue Dec 5 22:59:35 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 22:59:35 +0000 Subject: [ExI] =?utf-8?q?An_expert_explains_=E2=80=98mind_uploading?= =?utf-8?b?4oCZ?= Message-ID: Could you move from your biological body to a computer? An expert explains ?mind uploading?. Published: December 4, 2023 Author Clas Weber Senior lecturer, The University of Western Australia Quotes: This is the concept behind mind uploading ? the idea that we may one day be able to transition a person from their biological body to a synthetic hardware. The idea originated in an intellectual movement called transhumanism and has several key advocates including computer scientist Ray Kurzweil, philosopher Nick Bostrom and neuroscientist Randal Koene. The feasibility of mind uploading rests on three core assumptions. First is the technology assumption ? the idea that we will be able to develop mind uploading technology within the coming decades. Second is the artificial mind assumption ? the idea that a simulated brain would give rise to a real mind and third is the survival assumption ? the idea that the person created in the process is really ?you?. Only then does mind uploading become a way for you to live on. How plausible is each of these? -------------------- BillK From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Wed Dec 6 00:20:15 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 16:20:15 -0800 Subject: [ExI] =?utf-8?q?An_expert_explains_=E2=80=98mind_uploading?= =?utf-8?b?4oCZ?= In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Tue, Dec 5, 2023 at 3:01?PM BillK via extropy-chat wrote: > > Could you move from your biological body to a computer? > An expert explains ?mind uploading?. > > Published: December 4, 2023 > Author Clas Weber > Senior lecturer, The University of Western Australia > > > > Quotes: > This is the concept behind mind uploading ? the idea that we may one > day be able to transition a person from their biological body to a > synthetic hardware. The idea originated in an intellectual movement > called transhumanism and has several key advocates including computer > scientist Ray Kurzweil, philosopher Nick Bostrom and neuroscientist > Randal Koene. > > The feasibility of mind uploading rests on three core assumptions. > > First is the technology assumption ? the idea that we will be able to > develop mind uploading technology within the coming decades. > Second is the artificial mind assumption ? the idea that a simulated > brain would give rise to a real mind > and third is the survival assumption ? the idea that the person > created in the process is really ?you?. > Only then does mind uploading become a way for you to live on. > > How plausible is each of these? They are very complex, but there is nothing I know about that would make it impossible. But for marketing reasons, you want it to be bidirectional. You spend a weekend in the uploaded state and go back to a meat body on Monday (with continuity of memory from the time in the uploaded state). This is technically no harder than one way. I think uploaded people may keep their physical bodies stored for a very long time. Sentimental. Keith > -------------------- > > BillK > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From jasonresch at gmail.com Wed Dec 6 00:54:33 2023 From: jasonresch at gmail.com (Jason Resch) Date: Tue, 5 Dec 2023 19:54:33 -0500 Subject: [ExI] =?utf-8?q?An_expert_explains_=E2=80=98mind_uploading?= =?utf-8?b?4oCZ?= In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: We've already uploaded worm minds from their connectomes and put them into robot bodies. Jason On Tue, Dec 5, 2023, 7:21 PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > On Tue, Dec 5, 2023 at 3:01?PM BillK via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > Could you move from your biological body to a computer? > > An expert explains ?mind uploading?. > > > > Published: December 4, 2023 > > Author Clas Weber > > Senior lecturer, The University of Western Australia > > > > < > https://theconversation.com/could-you-move-from-your-biological-body-to-a-computer-an-expert-explains-mind-uploading-218035 > > > > > > Quotes: > > This is the concept behind mind uploading ? the idea that we may one > > day be able to transition a person from their biological body to a > > synthetic hardware. The idea originated in an intellectual movement > > called transhumanism and has several key advocates including computer > > scientist Ray Kurzweil, philosopher Nick Bostrom and neuroscientist > > Randal Koene. > > > > The feasibility of mind uploading rests on three core assumptions. > > > > First is the technology assumption ? the idea that we will be able to > > develop mind uploading technology within the coming decades. > > Second is the artificial mind assumption ? the idea that a simulated > > brain would give rise to a real mind > > and third is the survival assumption ? the idea that the person > > created in the process is really ?you?. > > Only then does mind uploading become a way for you to live on. > > > > How plausible is each of these? > > They are very complex, but there is nothing I know about that would > make it impossible. > > But for marketing reasons, you want it to be bidirectional. You spend > a weekend in the uploaded state and go back to a meat body on Monday > (with continuity of memory from the time in the uploaded state). This > is technically no harder than one way. > > I think uploaded people may keep their physical bodies stored for a > very long time. Sentimental. > > Keith > > > -------------------- > > > > BillK > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From ExiMod at protonmail.com Wed Dec 6 18:32:36 2023 From: ExiMod at protonmail.com (ExiMod) Date: Wed, 06 Dec 2023 18:32:36 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Futuristic philosophies discussion incl. Anders Sandberg Message-ID: (Suggested by Dave Oberting). Superintelligent AI: Transhumanism etc. The futuristic philosophies favoured by AI?s most prominent supporters. 5 Dec 2023 In the penultimate episode of this Tech Tonic series, hosts Madhumita Murgia and John Thornhill look at some of the futuristic objectives that are at the centre of the AI industry?s quest for superintelligence and hear about the Extropians, a surprisingly influential group of futurists from the early 1990s. Anders Sandberg, senior research fellow at Oxford university's Future of Humanity Institute, sets out some of the ideas developed in the Extropians mailing list. Podcast. 27 minutes. Transcript here: Regards, ExiMod Sent with [Proton Mail](https://proton.me/) secure email. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulioprisco at protonmail.ch Thu Dec 7 06:13:06 2023 From: giulioprisco at protonmail.ch (Giulio Prisco) Date: Thu, 07 Dec 2023 06:13:06 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Futuristic philosophies discussion incl. Anders Sandberg In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Wednesday, December 6th, 2023 at 7:32 PM, ExiMod via extropy-chat wrote: > > (Suggested by Dave Oberting). > > > Superintelligent AI: Transhumanism etc. > ======================================= > > The futuristic philosophies favoured by AI?s most prominent supporters. > 5 Dec 2023 > > In the penultimate episode of this Tech Tonic series, hosts Madhumita Murgia and John Thornhill look at some of the futuristic objectives that are at the centre of the AI industry?s quest for superintelligence and hear about the Extropians, a surprisingly influential group of futurists from the early 1990s. Anders Sandberg, senior research fellow at Oxford university's Future of Humanity Institute, sets out some of the ideas developed in the Extropians mailing list. I miss Anders! -- Giulio Prisco https://linktr.ee/giulioprisco giulioprisco at protonmail.ch > > > Podcast. 27 minutes. > > Transcript here: > > > Regards, ExiMod > > > Sent with Proton Mail secure email. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: signature.asc Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 509 bytes Desc: OpenPGP digital signature URL: From giulio at gmail.com Thu Dec 7 10:46:46 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Thu, 7 Dec 2023 11:46:46 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Terasem Colloquium on December 14, 2023 NEXT WEEK Message-ID: NEXT WEEK at the Terasem Colloquium on December 14, 2023 (10am-1pm ET via Zoom), Ben Goertzel, Stefano Vaj, Mika Johnson, Blake Lemoine, Bill Bainbridge & Vitaly Vanchurin will talk about AI and consciousness. You are invited! https://www.turingchurch.com/p/terasem-colloquium-december-14-2023 -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From ben at zaiboc.net Thu Dec 7 12:27:07 2023 From: ben at zaiboc.net (Ben Zaiboc) Date: Thu, 7 Dec 2023 12:27:07 +0000 Subject: [ExI] =?utf-8?q?An_expert_explains_=E2=80=98mind_uploading?= =?utf-8?b?4oCZ?= In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On 07/12/2023 06:13,?BillK wrote: > Could you move from your biological body to a computer? > An expert explains ?mind uploading?. > > Published: 04 December 2023 > Author Clas Weber > Senior lecturer, The University of Western Australia > > "An Expert", eh? I think we have here the phenomenon of someone who knows a lot about one thing, thinking that this entitles them to an authoritative opinion on anything else: "But wait: what happens when the original biological-you also survives the uploading process? Would you, along with your consciousness, split into two people, resulting in two of ?you? ? one in a biological form (B) and one in an uploaded form (C)? No, you (A) can?t literally split into two separate people (B ? C) and be identical with both at the same time. At most, only one of them can be you (either A = B or A = C)" He's just assuming the answer to his question is 'No'. No logical argument, no empirical proof, just an opinion. Perfect example of an unintuitive conclusion (two of you, each just as much 'you' as the other) leading someone to reject the obvious. Unless, of course, he's a dualist, and thinks there's some ineffable unique ghostly indivisible thing, not subject to the laws of physics, that is the 'real' you. If that was true, then obviously uploading would be off the cards, and a whole bunch of things would need to be vigorously re-thought (to say the least!) There's no reason whatsoever why someone can't split into two people. The fact that we haven't done it yet, and so it's a very strange idea, doesn't invalidate it. If you accept a materialist interpretation of the world, it's an inevitable conclusion. It seems to me that this concept is the heavier-than-air flight of our times, and we're currently at the stage where just about everybody rejects the idea. Ben -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From john at ziaspace.com Thu Dec 7 19:38:49 2023 From: john at ziaspace.com (John Klos) Date: Thu, 7 Dec 2023 19:38:49 +0000 (UTC) Subject: [ExI] META: Internet updates in progress Message-ID: Hi, all! I just want everyone to know that the Extropy server's Internet will be worked on over the next several hours, so you may not be able to access the extropy.org web site or send email to the lists during this time. The backup mail server is up and running, so even if you get a warning about your email not being delivered, it's just a warning - either it will be delivered to the backup server, then the main server when it's available, or your mail server will retry every now and then. Thanks! John From spike at rainier66.com Thu Dec 7 21:56:35 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Thu, 7 Dec 2023 13:56:35 -0800 Subject: [ExI] asimov's first law applicable here? Message-ID: <012e01da2958$3fe58c00$bfb0a400$@rainier66.com> Asimov wrote on robots intervening in a conflict to prevent harm. But what if a robot in this situation? Caption: "Go away, robot, I am fixing to whoop this cat's ass." https://twitter.com/i/status/1732693178233368647 spike -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulio at gmail.com Fri Dec 8 07:47:53 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Fri, 8 Dec 2023 08:47:53 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good Message-ID: Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good. Thoughts on effective accelerationism (e/acc), extropy, futurism, cosmism. https://www.turingchurch.com/p/effective-accelerationism-eacc-is -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From atymes at gmail.com Fri Dec 8 16:00:44 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Fri, 8 Dec 2023 08:00:44 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: The intent is good; the name is unfortunate. It brings connotations of "effective altruism", which is struggling with those who have used it as a cover for ill deeds (as well as concerns over whether it has been effective in practice), and "accelerationism", a political philosophy that tries for "make things worse so the people (in charge or at large) will have to wake up and do the right thing" but in practice usually only achieves "make things worse". On Thu, Dec 7, 2023 at 11:49?PM Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good. Thoughts on effective > accelerationism (e/acc), extropy, futurism, cosmism. > https://www.turingchurch.com/p/effective-accelerationism-eacc-is > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Fri Dec 8 16:30:01 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Fri, 8 Dec 2023 16:30:01 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Fri, 8 Dec 2023 at 16:03, Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat wrote: > > The intent is good; the name is unfortunate. It brings connotations of "effective altruism", which is struggling with those who have used it as a cover for ill deeds (as well as concerns over whether it has been effective in practice), and "accelerationism", a political philosophy that tries for "make things worse so the people (in charge or at large) will have to wake up and do the right thing" but in practice usually only achieves "make things worse". > _______________________________________________ What is Effective Accelerationism: Advantages and Disadvantages Posted on November 28, 2023 by Kris Timothy Simon Quotes: Effective accelerationism combines and refines the ideas of accelerationism and effective altruism. Pros of Effective Accelerationism: Advantages and Applications 1. Supports the Use of Science and Technology to Solve Pressing Problems 2. Hedges the Risks and Problems Arising from Stagnation and Decline 3. Draws Attention to the Most Impactful Trends in Science and Technology Cons of Effective Accelerationism: Disadvantages and Criticisms 1. Leans Toward an Idealistic But Oversimplified Understanding of Progress 2. Based on the Misplaced Interpretation of the Second Law of Dynamics 3. Ignores the Potential Risks and Harms of Unhinged Rapid Development -------------------- BillK From giulio at gmail.com Fri Dec 8 16:57:04 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Fri, 8 Dec 2023 17:57:04 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On 2023. Dec 8., Fri at 17:02, Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > The intent is good; the name is unfortunate. It brings connotations of > "effective altruism", which is struggling with those who have used it as a > cover for ill deeds (as well as concerns over whether it has been effective > in practice), and "accelerationism", a political philosophy that tries for > "make things worse so the people (in charge or at large) will have to wake > up and do the right thing" but in practice usually only achieves "make > things worse". > I think the name was coined in the spur of the moment as a word play on effective altruism, but yes, I think extropy is a much better name for pretty much the same thing. I?m sure Verdon agrees, or he wouldn?t have called his company extropicAI. However, the label e/acc has gained momentum. > On Thu, Dec 7, 2023 at 11:49?PM Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good. Thoughts on effective >> accelerationism (e/acc), extropy, futurism, cosmism. >> https://www.turingchurch.com/p/effective-accelerationism-eacc-is >> _______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From atymes at gmail.com Fri Dec 8 16:58:49 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Fri, 8 Dec 2023 08:58:49 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Fri, Dec 8, 2023 at 8:32?AM BillK via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > On Fri, 8 Dec 2023 at 16:03, Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > The intent is good; the name is unfortunate. It brings connotations of > "effective altruism", which is struggling with those who have used it as a > cover for ill deeds (as well as concerns over whether it has been effective > in practice), and "accelerationism", a political philosophy that tries for > "make things worse so the people (in charge or at large) will have to wake > up and do the right thing" but in practice usually only achieves "make > things worse". > > _______________________________________________ > > > What is Effective Accelerationism: Advantages and Disadvantages > Posted on November 28, 2023 by Kris Timothy Simon > > < > https://www.profolus.com/topics/what-is-effective-accelerationism-advantages-disadvantages/ > > > Quotes: > Effective accelerationism combines and refines the ideas of > accelerationism and effective altruism. > That doesn't seem to be drawing from the common meaning of "accelerationism". See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accelerationism . I can see a version of the word that is compatible, but it's not the one most folk know. Such a basic failure of research leaves me doubtful that any organized movement using that as its name is capable of accomplishing much of note. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jasonresch at gmail.com Fri Dec 8 18:12:14 2023 From: jasonresch at gmail.com (Jason Resch) Date: Fri, 8 Dec 2023 13:12:14 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: I don't know that the rate can be changed. It appears to be a reliable function of well-established economic and demographic trends: See: https://arxiv.org/abs/1206.0496 "Extremely simple mathematical models are shown to be able to account for 99.2?99.91 per cent of all the variation in economic and demographic macrodynamics of the world for almost two millennia of its history." Or this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heinz_von_Foerster#Doomsday_equation The trends are reliable enough that someone with economic data from Rome through the middle ages could have predicted that we would approach hyperbolic economic growth early in the 21st century. I write about the predictive power of these trends here: https://alwaysasking.com/when-will-ai-take-over/#The_Doomsday_Equation Jason On Fri, Dec 8, 2023 at 12:00?PM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > On Fri, Dec 8, 2023 at 8:32?AM BillK via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> On Fri, 8 Dec 2023 at 16:03, Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat >> wrote: >> > >> > The intent is good; the name is unfortunate. It brings connotations of >> "effective altruism", which is struggling with those who have used it as a >> cover for ill deeds (as well as concerns over whether it has been effective >> in practice), and "accelerationism", a political philosophy that tries for >> "make things worse so the people (in charge or at large) will have to wake >> up and do the right thing" but in practice usually only achieves "make >> things worse". >> > _______________________________________________ >> >> >> What is Effective Accelerationism: Advantages and Disadvantages >> Posted on November 28, 2023 by Kris Timothy Simon >> >> < >> https://www.profolus.com/topics/what-is-effective-accelerationism-advantages-disadvantages/ >> > >> Quotes: >> Effective accelerationism combines and refines the ideas of >> accelerationism and effective altruism. >> > > That doesn't seem to be drawing from the common meaning of > "accelerationism". See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accelerationism . > > I can see a version of the word that is compatible, but it's not the one > most folk know. Such a basic failure of research leaves me doubtful that > any organized movement using that as its name is capable of accomplishing > much of note. > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Fri Dec 8 20:23:32 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Fri, 8 Dec 2023 20:23:32 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Fri, 8 Dec 2023 at 18:14, Jason Resch via extropy-chat wrote: > > I don't know that the rate can be changed. It appears to be a reliable function of well-established economic and demographic trends: > > See: https://arxiv.org/abs/1206.0496 > "Extremely simple mathematical models are shown to be able to account for 99.2?99.91 per cent of all the variation in economic and demographic macrodynamics of the world for almost two millennia of its history." > > Or this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heinz_von_Foerster#Doomsday_equation > > The trends are reliable enough that someone with economic data from Rome through the middle ages could have predicted that we would approach hyperbolic economic growth early in the 21st century. I write about the predictive power of these trends here: https://alwaysasking.com/when-will-ai-take-over/#The_Doomsday_Equation > > Jason > _______________________________________________ The e/acc movement comes out of Silicon Valley and advocates for the acceleration of the rate of technological progress by supporting the development and deployment of new technologies, such as artificial intelligence, nanotechnology, and biotechnology. This new tech seems to act as superpowers for humans. It seems reasonable to expect that this will speed up tech progress. The concern, of course, is that ?Move fast and break things? - Mark Zuckerberg, could damage humanity too much. BillK From danust2012 at gmail.com Sat Dec 9 00:11:47 2023 From: danust2012 at gmail.com (Dan TheBookMan) Date: Fri, 8 Dec 2023 16:11:47 -0800 Subject: [ExI] On the Death of Henry Kissinger Message-ID: <9766518C-3DB8-4A9A-8C72-1664BE9CE2C2@gmail.com> https://c4ss.org/content/59271 One thing I can praise Bernie Sanders for. (This piece contains a few typos. The ones I?ve noticed, I?ve reported.) Regards, Dan -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From sen.otaku at gmail.com Sat Dec 9 13:15:05 2023 From: sen.otaku at gmail.com (SR Ballard) Date: Sat, 9 Dec 2023 10:15:05 -0300 Subject: [ExI] Dementia as a Prion Message-ID: <84CC5E6C-DEDD-4837-8087-6EDD1A768C9A@gmail.com> Maybe you guys already talked about it, but just read an article that Dementia may spread as a prion. They said it wasn?t one, then described it acting exactly like one. https://www.sciencealert.com/misfolded-proteins-could-make-dementia-transmissible-scientists-suggest SR Ballard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From atymes at gmail.com Sat Dec 9 16:02:36 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sat, 9 Dec 2023 08:02:36 -0800 Subject: [ExI] On the Death of Henry Kissinger In-Reply-To: <9766518C-3DB8-4A9A-8C72-1664BE9CE2C2@gmail.com> References: <9766518C-3DB8-4A9A-8C72-1664BE9CE2C2@gmail.com> Message-ID: On Fri, Dec 8, 2023, 4:13 PM Dan TheBookMan via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > One thing I can praise Bernie Sanders for. > ...I don't think Bernie caused his death? Are we talking bullet, or inducing excess stress in an elderly man? > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulio at gmail.com Mon Dec 11 05:01:58 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Mon, 11 Dec 2023 06:01:58 +0100 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Hi John, my take on this point is similar to my take on space expansion. I would *like* it if the good guys are the first to develop superhuman AI and expand into space, but if the bad guys must be the first, so be it. The universe will provide and make sure things work out well. Why have you stopped saying you are an extropian? On Sun, Dec 10, 2023 at 4:10?PM John Clark wrote: > On Fri, Dec 8, 2023 at 2:48?AM Giulio Prisco wrote: > > >> *> Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good. Thoughts on effective >> accelerationism (e/acc), extropy, futurism, >> cosmism.https://www.turingchurch.com/p/effective-accelerationism-eacc-is >> * >> > > I agree with almost everything you said, and I too became a card-carrying > extropian in the mid-1990s and until a few years ago I was proud to say I > was still an extropian. But today I feel more comfortable saying I'm a > believer in effective accelerationism, not because I believe AI poses no > danger to the human race but because I believe the development of a > superhuman AI is inevitable and the chances that the AI will not decide to > exterminate us is greater if baby Mr. Jupiter Brain is developed by the US, > Europe, Japan, Taiwan, or South Korea, than if it was developed by China, > Russia, or North Korea. If given a choice between low chance and no chance > I'll pick low chance every time. > > John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis > > 4s8 > > > > > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/CAJPayv0-Zkr1n1aA%2B1%3DJyNhvmOo19PxmJxYXpjqdDkO7yD4Zyw%40mail.gmail.com > > . > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulio at gmail.com Mon Dec 11 06:04:22 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Mon, 11 Dec 2023 07:04:22 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Terasem Colloquium on THURSDAY Message-ID: THURSDAY at the Terasem Colloquium on December 14, 2023 (10am-1pm ET via Zoom), Ben Goertzel, Stefano Vaj, Mika Johnson, Blake Lemoine, Bill Bainbridge & Vitaly Vanchurin will talk about AI and consciousness. You are invited! https://www.turingchurch.com/p/terasem-colloquium-december-14-2023 -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From postmowoods at gmail.com Tue Dec 12 20:29:49 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Tue, 12 Dec 2023 13:29:49 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Detailed spectral analysis of the star's light could reveal differences between a Dyson cloud and dust. A Dyson cloud would likely show some signs of energy conversion, such as excess waste heat, which might manifest as an infrared signature. Dust clouds would not produce such heat signatures. Has such an analysis been done?? I would guess so, but I don't know the answer. -Kelly On Tue, Dec 5, 2023 at 3:24?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: > > On Mon, Dec 4, 2023 at 1:21?AM Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 5:25?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: > >> > >> " next few centuries of transhumanism," > >> > >> I doubt this. Whatever the fate of humanity is, it will go to > >> completion within decades, not centuries. > > > > The fate of humanity will not go to completion for billions of years. > > Perhaps I was not clear. > > I suspect humans will abandon flesh (upload) within decades. Maybe > not all of them, but the vast majority. > > I think what we see at Tabby's Star (and 24 others in that cluster) is > orbiting "dyson patches" that provide the physical level substrate for > vast numbers (trillions?) of uploaded aliens and a simulated > environment. The biggest one of them (so far) is over 400 times the > area of the Earth, and even out at 7 AU it is collecting 1.4 million > times the energy humans use today. Why so far out? If these patches > are for computation, the low temperature (65 K) will reduce the error > rate (and the power needed for computation). > > What limits the size? Most likely the speed of light, Bigger, and > communication would take an unreasonable (subjective) time to get from > edge to edge. > > Now I could be dead wrong on this analysis, and I hope I am, we don't > need the competition. > > But if I am not and we follow the aliens at Tabby's Star, things will > get very strange as we sail up the singularity curve. > > Keith > > PS. Needless to say, full-scale nanotechnology is required to upload. > > >> > >> > >> Keith > >> > >> On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 1:43?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat > >> wrote: > >> > > >> > I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... > >> > > >> > One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is > >> > the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different > >> > "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural > >> > selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no > >> > longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the > >> > river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of > >> > "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of > >> > society. > >> > > >> > I welcome science fiction along these lines... > >> > > >> > -Kelly > >> > _______________________________________________ > >> > extropy-chat mailing list > >> > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > >> > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > >> > >> _______________________________________________ > >> extropy-chat mailing list > >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Wed Dec 13 16:32:39 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2023 08:32:39 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Interview with Anders Sandberg Message-ID: https://www.ft.com/content/14123e16-25ab-45f1-912d-34ffcf0c8177 Keith From giulio at gmail.com Wed Dec 13 11:19:31 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2023 12:19:31 +0100 Subject: [ExI] TOMORROW Terasem Colloquium on AI / consciousness Message-ID: TOMORROW December 14, 2023, at the Terasem Colloquium (10am-1pm ET via Zoom), Ben Goertzel, Stefano Vaj, Mika Johnson, Blake Lemoine, Bill Bainbridge & Vitaly Vanchurin will talk about AI and consciousness. You are invited! https://www.turingchurch.com/p/terasem-colloquium-december-14-2023 -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Wed Dec 13 11:32:00 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2023 11:32:00 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Tesla's Optimus Gen 2 humanoid Message-ID: Tesla's Optimus Gen 2 humanoid: A lot more Model S than Cybertruck By Loz Blain December 12, 2023 Quotes: Tesla has completely overhauled its humanoid robot. The Optimus Gen 2 is 10 kg (22 lb) lighter, 30% faster, a lot smoother and more capable, and it looks much more human in the way it moves. It's also got new hands and feet, and some of Elon's style. The Gen 2 bot gets two degrees of freedom in its neck, integrated electronics and wiring, and a more human foot shape with articulated toe sections and force/torque sensors. It also gets brand new hands, with 11 degrees of movement freedom, faster actuators, and tactile sensors on all its fingers to enable more deft manipulation of objects. ------------------- Includes video - 1min 43sec. BillK From giulio at gmail.com Tue Dec 12 06:50:15 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Tue, 12 Dec 2023 07:50:15 +0100 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Hi John, I don't have a concept of "ethics" more precise than the nebulous concept that we should align with the will of the universe or something like that, for which we should first know more about what the will of the universe could be. < I don't believe that the scientists in China or Russia or North Korea are more moral than the scientists working at OpenAI or Google or Anthropic...> Same as above for morality: I don't know what morality is. But from a more practical perspective, history shows that modern (or better pre-modern) Western culture, which has been based on competition, pluralism, freedom of thought and speech, freedom of scientific research, has produced better sci/tech faster than the centralized cultures of China or Russia or North Korea. Which brings me to: So we extropians are Trump supporters? I didn't know that, but if so, then feel free to call me a Trump supporter! Trump is far from being my ideal politician. But then very few politician are, and those few don't have a realistic chance to be elected to positions where they can make a difference. In politics, one must think not only of how good a certain candidate or a certain policy is, but also of the alternatives on the table. To me, Trump is a symptom. It is like part of the collective mind of America, perhaps the more perceptive part, has sensed that American culture (and Western culture at large) is slipping on a dangerous slope that could lead to abandoning the principles of competition, pluralism, freedom of thought and speech, and freedom of scientific research. This is where the ultra-PC "wokeness" of certain intolerant cultural and political actors leads. And that part of our collective mind has embraced Trump as the best way to fight back. Of course there could be better ways to fight back, and of course a better candidate than Trump could emerge. But we must fight back in some or some other way. On Mon, Dec 11, 2023 at 3:38?PM John Clark wrote: > On Mon, Dec 11, 2023 at 12:02?AM Giulio Prisco wrote: > > >> *> Hi John, my take on this point is similar to my take on space >> expansion. I would *like* it if the good guys are the first to develop >> superhuman AI and expand into space, but if the bad guys must be the first, >> so be it. The universe will provide and make sure things work out well.* >> > > It has always been clear to me that unless there was some physical reason > that a super intelligent AI was impossible to make it was inevitable that > somebody somewhere will build one, and events of the last year have > increased my certainty that there was no such physical obstacle from 99% to > 100%. So the real question an AI scientist should ask himself is not should > I help build a super intelligence but should I wait for somebody more > ethical than me to do so. I don't believe that the scientists in China or > Russia or North Korea are more moral than the scientists working at OpenAI > or Google or Anthropic. And I'm certain the universe will see to it that > things work out, but I'm not certain it will work out to the advantage of > human beings, however the probability is a little higher if the first > superhuman AI is made by one of the good guys. > > > For similar reasons I think Oppenheimer was wrong in opposing the building > of the H-bomb. After the war it was not known if it was even physically > possible to build a thermonuclear bomb, and the answer to that question > certainly seems to me like something that should be known if you're > interested in national security. But Oppenheimer opposed even researching > the possibility of such a thing. The US pretty much followed Oppenheimer's > advice and did little thermonuclear research until the USSR exploded a > fission bomb in 1949. After that the US started a huge H-bomb project and > in 1951 the Teller?Ulam design was discovered making it clear it was not > only possible but practical to make such a device and in 1952 they not only > made an H-bomb they tested one. And this is where I think the US made a > second mistake, they should not have tested it. > > If the US had started the H-bomb program as soon as the war ended they > could've probably built an H bomb in 1947 or 1948 before the USSR's fission > bomb test. No nation could put H bombs into their weapons stockpile if they > have not tested it and it would be impossible to test such a huge thing > without the entire world becoming aware of it. So if 1948 the US had said > that they had made an H-Bomb but would not test it unless some other nation > tested one then,maybe Stalin would have decided not to test one either. > Probably Stalin would have built and tested an H-bomb anyway but I think it > would have been worth taking the chance. > > >> *> Why have you stopped saying you are an extropian?* >> > > Because I committed heresy and the Extropians excommunicated me, and > because I don't want to be mistaken as a closet Trump supporter. > > John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis > > ich > > > >> >> On Sun, Dec 10, 2023 at 4:10?PM John Clark wrote: >> >>> On Fri, Dec 8, 2023 at 2:48?AM Giulio Prisco wrote: >>> >>> >>>> *> Effective accelerationism (e/acc) is good. Thoughts on effective >>>> accelerationism (e/acc), extropy, futurism, >>>> cosmism.https://www.turingchurch.com/p/effective-accelerationism-eacc-is >>>> * >>>> >>> >>> I agree with almost everything you said, and I too became a >>> card-carrying extropian in the mid-1990s and until a few years ago I was >>> proud to say I was still an extropian. But today I feel more comfortable >>> saying I'm a believer in effective accelerationism, not because I believe >>> AI poses no danger to the human race but because I believe the development >>> of a superhuman AI is inevitable and the chances that the AI will not >>> decide to exterminate us is greater if baby Mr. Jupiter Brain is developed >>> by the US, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, or South Korea, than if it was developed >>> by China, Russia, or North Korea. If given a choice between low chance and >>> no chance I'll pick low chance every time. >>> >>> -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/CAJPayv2-rtm8hO57uRqrskUk2Yst3eE4toptZzZ7xbNTCnv_Lg%40mail.gmail.com > > . > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Wed Dec 13 18:50:24 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2023 10:50:24 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Islands of trans-humanity In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Wed, Dec 13, 2023 at 10:08?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat wrote: > > Detailed spectral analysis of the star's light could reveal > differences between a Dyson cloud and dust. A Dyson cloud I tend to think of them as patches with enough structure to keep the whole thing connected. >would likely > show some signs of energy conversion, such as excess waste heat, which > might manifest as an infrared signature. >From my work on power satellites, I sort of doubt it. It is possible and advantageous to radiate waste heat at right angles to the local ecliptic ?Dust clouds would not produce > such heat signatures. Has such an analysis been done?? I would guess > so, but I don't know the answer. I think the object has been measured and the temperature turned out to be 65 K. I suspect this is optimal for computation. Keith > -Kelly > > On Tue, Dec 5, 2023 at 3:24?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > On Mon, Dec 4, 2023 at 1:21?AM Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat > > wrote: > > > > > > On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 5:25?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: > > >> > > >> " next few centuries of transhumanism," > > >> > > >> I doubt this. Whatever the fate of humanity is, it will go to > > >> completion within decades, not centuries. > > > > > > The fate of humanity will not go to completion for billions of years. > > > > Perhaps I was not clear. > > > > I suspect humans will abandon flesh (upload) within decades. Maybe > > not all of them, but the vast majority. > > > > I think what we see at Tabby's Star (and 24 others in that cluster) is > > orbiting "dyson patches" that provide the physical level substrate for > > vast numbers (trillions?) of uploaded aliens and a simulated > > environment. The biggest one of them (so far) is over 400 times the > > area of the Earth, and even out at 7 AU it is collecting 1.4 million > > times the energy humans use today. Why so far out? If these patches > > are for computation, the low temperature (65 K) will reduce the error > > rate (and the power needed for computation). > > > > What limits the size? Most likely the speed of light, Bigger, and > > communication would take an unreasonable (subjective) time to get from > > edge to edge. > > > > Now I could be dead wrong on this analysis, and I hope I am, we don't > > need the competition. > > > > But if I am not and we follow the aliens at Tabby's Star, things will > > get very strange as we sail up the singularity curve. > > > > Keith > > > > PS. Needless to say, full-scale nanotechnology is required to upload. > > > > >> > > >> > > >> Keith > > >> > > >> On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 1:43?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat > > >> wrote: > > >> > > > >> > I doubt this is a novel train of thought... but... > > >> > > > >> > One of the more interesting ways that transhumanism could be "bad" is > > >> > the idea that over the next few centuries of transhumanism, different > > >> > "species" of human could rapidly evolve (though not through natural > > >> > selection, unnaturally) into islands of trans-humans that can no > > >> > longer interbreed. By creating this rapidly dividing delta in the > > >> > river of hominid divergence, it could create interesting dynamics of > > >> > "us" and "them" which could lead to a destructive fragmentation of > > >> > society. > > >> > > > >> > I welcome science fiction along these lines... > > >> > > > >> > -Kelly > > >> > _______________________________________________ > > >> > extropy-chat mailing list > > >> > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > >> > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > >> > > >> _______________________________________________ > > >> extropy-chat mailing list > > >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > > extropy-chat mailing list > > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From pharos at gmail.com Wed Dec 13 19:17:59 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2023 19:17:59 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Study shows it might never be too late to live longer by dieting Message-ID: Study shows it might never be too late to live longer by dieting Cutting calories might not be much fun, but it just might be a way to extend your lifespan at any age By Michael Franco December 13, 2023 Quotes: Scientists fed fruit flies a diet to make them extra plump. In their old age, the researchers put them on a diet and found remarkable results. If the findings transfer to humans, it might mean we can improve our health at any age by cutting calories. ?The remarkable finding of this study is that even after living a significant portion of their lives on a high calorie diet, flies can gain the benefits of life span extension by simply switching to a low calorie diet,? said UConn School of Medicine Genetics and Genome Sciences Chair Brent Graveley. ----------- How can we have a low-calorie Christmas dinner? :) BillK From spike at rainier66.com Wed Dec 13 19:23:36 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2023 11:23:36 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Study shows it might never be too late to live longer by dieting In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <005a01da2df9$df2b6280$9d822780$@rainier66.com> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of BillK via extropy-chat Cc: BillK Subject: [ExI] Study shows it might never be too late to live longer by dieting Study shows it might never be too late to live longer by dieting Cutting calories might not be much fun, but it just might be a way to extend your lifespan at any age By Michael Franco December 13, 2023 ... ----------- >...How can we have a low-calorie Christmas dinner? :) BillK _______________________________________________ Convert to Latter-Day Wiccan? spike From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Thu Dec 14 06:57:43 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Wed, 13 Dec 2023 22:57:43 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Anders interview Message-ID: https://www.ft.com/content/14123e16-25ab-45f1-912d-34ffcf0c8177 Keith From foozler83 at gmail.com Thu Dec 14 16:26:29 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Thu, 14 Dec 2023 10:26:29 -0600 Subject: [ExI] police Message-ID: Jackson MS police have been found to have buried several people themselves. "Hey, here's a dead body. I should know - I just shot him. Take him in? Too much trouble and I could get in trouble. Partner - are you up to just bury this guy?" This has happened more than once here. Feds are investigating. Hard to believe. Think we need better people as police officers? bill w -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Thu Dec 14 16:42:11 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Thu, 14 Dec 2023 08:42:11 -0800 Subject: [ExI] copy of Washington Post comment re AI Message-ID: "It must be regulated." The trouble is that nobody knows how to regulate AI except in the vaguest terms. I don't know and I have thought about AI for 20 years, followed the discussions by Eliezer Yudkowsky on Friendly AI, contributed a little to those discussions and wrote fiction about it (The Clinic Seed https://www.terasemjournals.org/GNJournal/GN0202/henson1.html I had a little influence because nobody talks about copying a human brain to get an AI anymore. (Evolution has left humans with deep psychological traits such as going to war when caught in a resource crisis.) We don't want an AI that goes into war mode like humans do. When (and if) we give AIs motivation, we should look for the best humans have. Suskulan, the AI in the story, "had other carefully selected human personality characteristics such as seeking the good opinion of its peers (humans and other of its kind alike). It also had a few unhuman limits." There are a number of SF stories with AI themes. The classic is "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress" by Robert Heinlein. The AI, Mike, is central to the story. It is a little dated, but "The Revolution From Rosinante" [The Rosinante Trilogy by Alexis A. Gilliland] is excellent. Have you ever considered an AI that founds a new religion? Keith From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Thu Dec 14 18:53:39 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Thu, 14 Dec 2023 10:53:39 -0800 Subject: [ExI] New project for EFF (maybe) Message-ID: Hi Cindy, John My response to an article on slashdot about hackers that removed the code that bricked trains. If there were social support, programmers could just refuse on ethical grounds to write the code that bricks a train or anything else. Long ago when I was faced with something similar, I was just fired. If there was an organization that made such behavior public in a way that seriously hurt the reputation of a company, they might think twice about such abuse. Would we have to start a new organization for programmers or is there an existing one that could take on this function? The EFF comes to mind, but open to other suggestions. I will ask the EFF if they would consider this. Keith Keith From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Thu Dec 14 23:24:37 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Thu, 14 Dec 2023 15:24:37 -0800 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] New project for EFF (maybe) In-Reply-To: <55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206@swisscows.email> References: <55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206@swisscows.email> Message-ID: What I am proposing here is a cultural shift. I suspect programmers feel guilty about writing code to make things fail. If a substantial number of them said this is unethical and we won't do it, chances are the companies would quit asking. Companies are concerned about their reputation and being known as a company that forces programmers to do something considered unethical is not going to enhance their reputation. It's a long shot I know, but might be worth talking up. Keith On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 1:45?PM efc via extropolis wrote: > > Excellent idea Keith. > > Having a masters degree in philosophy, I'm a bit "damaged" so I always > make it a point to try and have a discussion with my students about the > ethics of technology and make them think about the world and future they > want to help shape through their technical work in the future. > > I think this is a conversation that should start early, and that > technologists should have often, but it is not enough. > > As long as you are dependent on a salary, and the ask seems relatively > small and insignificant, it is all too easy to choose the path of least > resistance and then justify it to yourself or just forget about it. > > Perhaps with some kind of organization helping out in some way, it might > make that choice a little bit easier on individuals who feel that they > have no other choice due to financial reasons. > > Best regards, > Daniel > > > On Thu, 14 Dec 2023, Keith Henson wrote: > > > Hi Cindy, John > > > > My response to an article on slashdot about hackers that removed the > > code that bricked trains. > > > > If there were social support, programmers could just refuse on ethical > > grounds to write the code that bricks a train or anything else. > > > > Long ago when I was faced with something similar, I was just fired. > > If there was an organization that made such behavior public in a way > > that seriously hurt the reputation of a company, they might think > > twice about such abuse. > > > > Would we have to start a new organization for programmers or is there > > an existing one that could take on this function? The EFF comes to > > mind, but open to other suggestions. I will ask the EFF if they would > > consider this. > > > > Keith > > > > Keith > > > > > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206%40swisscows.email. From msd001 at gmail.com Thu Dec 14 23:27:46 2023 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Thu, 14 Dec 2023 18:27:46 -0500 Subject: [ExI] New project for EFF (maybe) In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Please do inquire about finding a champion (or starting one) that gives programmers some ethical protection from their employers over the asks (we) find objectionable It's a significant issue and growing in relevance On Thu, Dec 14, 2023, 4:42 PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > Hi Cindy, John > > My response to an article on slashdot about hackers that removed the > code that bricked trains. > > If there were social support, programmers could just refuse on ethical > grounds to write the code that bricks a train or anything else. > > Long ago when I was faced with something similar, I was just fired. > If there was an organization that made such behavior public in a way > that seriously hurt the reputation of a company, they might think > twice about such abuse. > > Would we have to start a new organization for programmers or is there > an existing one that could take on this function? The EFF comes to > mind, but open to other suggestions. I will ask the EFF if they would > consider this. > > Keith > > Keith > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From atymes at gmail.com Thu Dec 14 23:29:48 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Thu, 14 Dec 2023 15:29:48 -0800 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] New project for EFF (maybe) In-Reply-To: References: <55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206@swisscows.email> Message-ID: I am not aware of any industry, save certain government institutions where ethics (or lack thereof) demonstrably impacts performance, where there is both a large labor force and enough workers who care about ethics to meaningfully enforce ethics. On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 3:26?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > What I am proposing here is a cultural shift. > > I suspect programmers feel guilty about writing code to make things fail. > > If a substantial number of them said this is unethical and we won't do > it, chances are the companies would quit asking. > > Companies are concerned about their reputation and being known as a > company that forces programmers to do something considered unethical > is not going to enhance their reputation. > > It's a long shot I know, but might be worth talking up. > > Keith > > On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 1:45?PM efc via extropolis > wrote: > > > > Excellent idea Keith. > > > > Having a masters degree in philosophy, I'm a bit "damaged" so I always > > make it a point to try and have a discussion with my students about the > > ethics of technology and make them think about the world and future they > > want to help shape through their technical work in the future. > > > > I think this is a conversation that should start early, and that > > technologists should have often, but it is not enough. > > > > As long as you are dependent on a salary, and the ask seems relatively > > small and insignificant, it is all too easy to choose the path of least > > resistance and then justify it to yourself or just forget about it. > > > > Perhaps with some kind of organization helping out in some way, it might > > make that choice a little bit easier on individuals who feel that they > > have no other choice due to financial reasons. > > > > Best regards, > > Daniel > > > > > > On Thu, 14 Dec 2023, Keith Henson wrote: > > > > > Hi Cindy, John > > > > > > My response to an article on slashdot about hackers that removed the > > > code that bricked trains. > > > > > > If there were social support, programmers could just refuse on ethical > > > grounds to write the code that bricks a train or anything else. > > > > > > Long ago when I was faced with something similar, I was just fired. > > > If there was an organization that made such behavior public in a way > > > that seriously hurt the reputation of a company, they might think > > > twice about such abuse. > > > > > > Would we have to start a new organization for programmers or is there > > > an existing one that could take on this function? The EFF comes to > > > mind, but open to other suggestions. I will ask the EFF if they would > > > consider this. > > > > > > Keith > > > > > > Keith > > > > > > > > > > -- > > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google > Groups "extropolis" group. > > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send > an email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206%40swisscows.email > . > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Fri Dec 15 00:41:43 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Thu, 14 Dec 2023 16:41:43 -0800 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] New project for EFF (maybe) In-Reply-To: References: <55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206@swisscows.email> Message-ID: On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 3:31?PM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat wrote: > > I am not aware of any industry, save certain government institutions where ethics (or lack thereof) demonstrably impacts performance, where there is both a large labor force and enough workers who care about ethics to meaningfully enforce ethics. The military is a government institution where people are *required* to disobey certain orders. But you are correct. Perhaps the AI business makes this the time to pass laws protecting programmers who are ordered to do unethical work. > On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 3:26?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> What I am proposing here is a cultural shift. >> >> I suspect programmers feel guilty about writing code to make things fail. >> >> If a substantial number of them said this is unethical and we won't do >> it, chances are the companies would quit asking. >> >> Companies are concerned about their reputation and being known as a >> company that forces programmers to do something considered unethical >> is not going to enhance their reputation. >> >> It's a long shot I know, but might be worth talking up. >> >> Keith >> >> On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 1:45?PM efc via extropolis >> wrote: >> > >> > Excellent idea Keith. >> > >> > Having a masters degree in philosophy, I'm a bit "damaged" so I always >> > make it a point to try and have a discussion with my students about the >> > ethics of technology and make them think about the world and future they >> > want to help shape through their technical work in the future. >> > >> > I think this is a conversation that should start early, and that >> > technologists should have often, but it is not enough. >> > >> > As long as you are dependent on a salary, and the ask seems relatively >> > small and insignificant, it is all too easy to choose the path of least >> > resistance and then justify it to yourself or just forget about it. >> > >> > Perhaps with some kind of organization helping out in some way, it might >> > make that choice a little bit easier on individuals who feel that they >> > have no other choice due to financial reasons. >> > >> > Best regards, >> > Daniel >> > >> > >> > On Thu, 14 Dec 2023, Keith Henson wrote: >> > >> > > Hi Cindy, John >> > > >> > > My response to an article on slashdot about hackers that removed the >> > > code that bricked trains. >> > > >> > > If there were social support, programmers could just refuse on ethical >> > > grounds to write the code that bricks a train or anything else. >> > > >> > > Long ago when I was faced with something similar, I was just fired. >> > > If there was an organization that made such behavior public in a way >> > > that seriously hurt the reputation of a company, they might think >> > > twice about such abuse. >> > > >> > > Would we have to start a new organization for programmers or is there >> > > an existing one that could take on this function? The EFF comes to >> > > mind, but open to other suggestions. I will ask the EFF if they would >> > > consider this. >> > > >> > > Keith >> > > >> > > Keith >> > > >> > > >> > >> > -- >> > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "extropolis" group. >> > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. >> > To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206%40swisscows.email. >> >> _______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From atymes at gmail.com Fri Dec 15 00:44:14 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Thu, 14 Dec 2023 16:44:14 -0800 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] New project for EFF (maybe) In-Reply-To: References: <55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206@swisscows.email> Message-ID: On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 4:42?PM Keith Henson wrote: > On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 3:31?PM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > I am not aware of any industry, save certain government institutions > where ethics (or lack thereof) demonstrably impacts performance, where > there is both a large labor force and enough workers who care about ethics > to meaningfully enforce ethics. > > The military is a government institution where people are *required* > to disobey certain orders. But you are correct. > The military is one example I was thinking of. Judges are another. > Perhaps the AI business makes this the time to pass laws protecting > programmers who are ordered to do unethical work. > Something akin to whistleblower protection laws? Perhaps, but those don't seem to work so well in practice, do they? -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Fri Dec 15 03:18:15 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Thu, 14 Dec 2023 19:18:15 -0800 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] New project for EFF (maybe) In-Reply-To: References: <55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206@swisscows.email> Message-ID: "but those don't seem to work so well in practice, do they? " That's the case. I am thinking that in practice this would seldom surface. Perhaps it should be backed up by punishment for programmers. An employer can't ask an employee to do illegal acts. Needs though. Keith On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 4:45?PM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat wrote: > > On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 4:42?PM Keith Henson wrote: >> >> On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 3:31?PM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat >> wrote: >> > >> > I am not aware of any industry, save certain government institutions where ethics (or lack thereof) demonstrably impacts performance, where there is both a large labor force and enough workers who care about ethics to meaningfully enforce ethics. >> >> The military is a government institution where people are *required* >> to disobey certain orders. But you are correct. > > > The military is one example I was thinking of. Judges are another. > >> >> Perhaps the AI business makes this the time to pass laws protecting >> programmers who are ordered to do unethical work. > > > Something akin to whistleblower protection laws? Perhaps, but those don't seem to work so well in practice, do they? > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From pharos at gmail.com Fri Dec 15 21:22:47 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Fri, 15 Dec 2023 21:22:47 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Tesla claims solar-backed Powerwall saves more than backup generators Message-ID: Tesla claims solar-backed Powerwall saves more than backup generators. Discover the financial and environmental benefits of Tesla's Powerwall with solar, claiming to be 20% cheaper over a decade than traditional backup generators. By Can Emir Published: Dec 15, 2023 Quotes: Tesla has released a comprehensive comparison report asserting that its Powerwall, when paired with solar, presents a more cost-effective solution for backup power than traditional backup generators. The report aims to guide consumers in making informed decisions about home energy solutions, emphasizing the economic benefits and maintenance of the environmental advantages. ---------- Tesla may have been slightly biased in preparing their analysis, ;) so I asked an AI for a second opinion. The AI seemed to mostly agree (dependent on individual circumstances). BillK AI Report: The analysis provided by Tesla on their website, comparing Powerwall and backup generators, is generally correct. However, it's important to note that the comparison is based on certain assumptions and there may be situations where a backup generator would be a better fit than Powerwall. Here are some points to consider: 1. Purpose: Powerwall is designed to provide energy storage for solar self-consumption, time-of-use shifting, and backup power during outages. Backup generators, on the other hand, are primarily designed to provide backup power during outages. 2. Capacity: Powerwall has a capacity of 13.5 kWh, while backup generators can have varying capacities, typically ranging from a few kilowatts to several hundred kilowatts. 3. Cost: Powerwall is generally more expensive than backup generators, especially when considering the cost per kWh of storage. 4. Efficiency: Powerwall has a round-trip efficiency of around 90%, meaning that 10% of the stored energy is lost during charging and discharging. Backup generators typically have a lower efficiency, around 20-30%, due to the conversion of fuel to electricity. 5. Maintenance: Powerwall requires minimal maintenance, while backup generators require regular maintenance, such as oil changes, filter replacements, and inspections. 6. Noise: Powerwall is relatively quiet, while backup generators can produce significant noise during operation. 7. Flexibility: Powerwall can be easily expanded by adding additional units, while backup generators may require more significant upgrades or replacements to increase capacity. 8. Sustainability: Powerwall is a more sustainable option, as it stores renewable energy and reduces reliance on fossil fuels. Backup generators, on the other hand, rely on fossil fuels and emit greenhouse gases. 9. Installation: Powerwall is designed for easy installation, while backup generators typically require a more complex installation process, including fuel line and electrical connections. 10. Monitoring: Powerwall comes with built-in monitoring and control through the Tesla app, while backup generators may require separate monitoring systems. In summary, Powerwall and backup generators serve different purposes and have different characteristics. Powerwall is designed for energy storage and backup power during outages, while backup generators are primarily designed for backup power during outages. The choice between the two depends on individual needs, budget, and preferences. ------------------------------- From pharos at gmail.com Fri Dec 15 21:46:25 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Fri, 15 Dec 2023 21:46:25 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Boy is fitted with Iron Man themed bionic arm Message-ID: Boy?s dream comes true as he is fitted with Iron Man themed bionic arm. Harry Jones can now enjoy two-handed activities with his friends such as riding a bike and karting after getting superhero limb on the NHS. By Brendan McFadden December 15, 2023 Quotes: Harry Jones, of Leyland, Lancashire, who was born missing his right arm below his elbow, had always dreamed of having a robot arm so he could enjoy two-handed activities with his friends such as riding a bike and karting. This week his ambition was realised after he was fitted with his Iron Man-themed ?Hero Arm? which was created by Open Bionics and can mimic real hand movements. Harry is one of the first non-military veterans in the UK to be fitted with a life-changing bionic arm through the NHS. The health service made them available to civilians last year. ----------------- Christmas Good News story! BillK From pharos at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 11:40:02 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 11:40:02 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Could the Universe Be Finite? Message-ID: It?s not absurd to think the universe might have an edge. By Eric Schwitzgebel & Jacob Barandes December 15, 2023 On recent estimates, the observable universe?the portion of the universe that we can detect through our telescopes?extends about 47 billion light-years in every direction. But the limit of what we can see is one thing, and the limit of what exists is quite another. Quote: Leading cosmologists, including Alex Vilenkin, Max Tegmark, and Andrei Linde, have argued that spatial infinitude is the natural consequence of the best current theories of cosmic inflation. Given that, plus the absence of evidence for an edge or closed topology, infinitude seems a reasonable default view. The mere 47 billion light-years we can see is the tiniest speck of a smidgen of a drop in an endless expanse. -------------- BillK From pharos at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 14:01:36 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 14:01:36 +0000 Subject: [ExI] OpenAI planning for Superintelligent AI Message-ID: We present a new research direction for superalignment, together with promising initial results: can we leverage the generalization properties of deep learning to control strong models with weak supervisors? December 14, 2023 Quotes: A core challenge for aligning future superhuman AI systems (superalignment) is that humans will need to supervise AI systems much smarter than them. The superalignment problem We believe superintelligence?AI vastly smarter than humans?could be developed within the next ten years. However, we still do not know how to reliably steer and control superhuman AI systems. Solving this problem is essential for ensuring that even the most advanced AI systems in the future remain safe and beneficial to humanity. ---------- Well, at least they are trying. It might be an impossible task though. BillK From spike at rainier66.com Sat Dec 16 15:38:01 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 07:38:01 -0800 Subject: [ExI] OpenAI planning for Superintelligent AI In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <003301da3035$dae658e0$90b30aa0$@rainier66.com> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of BillK via extropy-chat Sent: Saturday, 16 December, 2023 6:02 AM ... >...We believe superintelligence?AI vastly smarter than humans?could be developed within the next ten years. However, we still do not know how to reliably steer and control superhuman AI systems. Solving this problem is essential for ensuring that even the most advanced AI systems in the future remain safe and beneficial to humanity. ---------- Well, at least they are trying. It might be an impossible task though. BillK _______________________________________________ AI News is claiming this: AI gives birth to AI: Scientists say machine intelligence now capable of replicating without humans by | Dec 15, 2023 | AI News https://www.aicommission.org/2023/12/ai-gives-birth-to-ai-scientists-say-machine-intelligence-now-capable-of-replicating-without-humans/ It is unclear if these guys are headline grabbers or are the real deal. Plenty of publicity seekers are active these days. If what they say is true, any attempts to regulate AI is pointless. Law doesn't apply to software. spike From spike at rainier66.com Sat Dec 16 16:42:00 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 08:42:00 -0800 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative Message-ID: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> In our socially turbulent times, may I suggest an acceptably politically correct alternative to the traditional and offensive "Merry Christmas." Greetings fellow human-presenting life form! Do have a most satisfactory experience during this arbitrarily festive period when our fragile planet's orbit causes the northern hemisphere to reach the point of minimum solar exposure. spike -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jasonresch at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 16:43:46 2023 From: jasonresch at gmail.com (Jason Resch) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 11:43:46 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Could the Universe Be Finite? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 16, 2023, 6:41 AM BillK via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > It?s not absurd to think the universe might have an edge. > By Eric Schwitzgebel & Jacob Barandes December 15, 2023 > > On recent estimates, the observable universe?the portion of the > universe that we can detect through our telescopes?extends about 47 > billion light-years in every direction. But the limit of what we can > see is one thing, and the limit of what exists is quite another. > > > Quote: > Leading cosmologists, including Alex Vilenkin, Max Tegmark, and Andrei > Linde, have argued that spatial infinitude is the natural consequence > of the best current theories of cosmic inflation. Given that, plus the > absence of evidence for an edge or closed topology, infinitude seems a > reasonable default view. The mere 47 billion light-years we can see is > the tiniest speck of a smidgen of a drop in an endless expanse. > Here is a good explanation of how the universe can be spatially infinite when seen from inside a finite bubble created by inflation: https://youtu.be/rfeJhzPq3jQ Jason -------------- > > BillK > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 16:57:43 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 16:57:43 +0000 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> References: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: On Sat, 16 Dec 2023 at 16:44, spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: > > In our socially turbulent times, may I suggest an acceptably politically correct alternative to the traditional and offensive ?Merry Christmas.? > Greetings fellow human-presenting life form! Do have a most satisfactory experience during this arbitrarily festive period when our fragile planet?s orbit causes the northern hemisphere to reach the point of minimum solar exposure. > > spike > _______________________________________________ Nice try, but can AI do better? BillK Greetings, fellow human-presenting life form! I extend my warmest salutations to you and wish you a most delightful and fulfilling experience during this joyous and arbitrarily festive period. It is a time when our wondrous planet, with its delicate orbit, positions the northern hemisphere at the point of minimum solar exposure, creating a unique atmosphere of celebration and reflection. As we gather together, let us embrace the beauty of this extraordinary celestial dance and appreciate the interconnectedness of our lives with the cosmic forces that govern our world. This moment serves as a reminder of the magnificence and fragility of our existence, urging us to cherish the precious gift of life. Amidst the wintry landscapes and the gentle caress of frost, we find ourselves in a season that encourages introspection and gratitude. It is an opportunity to reflect upon the year that has passed, to acknowledge our accomplishments, and to learn from the challenges we have faced. Let us take this time to celebrate our resilience, our growth, and the bonds we have formed with one another. As we navigate through the darkness, both metaphorically and literally, let the glow of human connection and compassion illuminate our path. May the warmth of love and kindness radiate from our hearts, reaching out to those in need and fostering a sense of unity and togetherness. In this season of festivities and merriment, let us embrace the diversity of our global community. Through shared traditions, stories, and celebrations, we can bridge the gaps that separate us, fostering understanding and harmony across cultures and continents. Together, we can create a tapestry of human experiences, woven with threads of compassion, empathy, and acceptance. As the world turns and the seasons change, let us not forget the importance of our collective responsibility to safeguard and nurture our planet. In the face of environmental challenges, let us commit ourselves to sustainable practices and conscientious stewardship of our natural resources. By doing so, we can ensure a brighter future for generations to come. So, dear fellow human, as we revel in the magic of this arbitrary yet meaningful festive period, let us embrace the spirit of joy, unity, and reflection. May it serve as a reminder of our shared humanity, our interconnectedness with the cosmos, and the boundless potential within each of us. May your experience during this season be filled with love, laughter, and a profound sense of gratitude. ------------------ From spike at rainier66.com Sat Dec 16 17:28:47 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 09:28:47 -0800 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: References: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: <008c01da3045$54ba8ec0$fe2fac40$@rainier66.com> ...> On Behalf Of BillK via extropy-chat Subject: Re: [ExI] pc alternative On Sat, 16 Dec 2023 at 16:44, spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: > > In our socially turbulent times, may I suggest an acceptably politically correct alternative to the traditional and offensive ?Merry Christmas.? > Greetings fellow human-presenting life form! Do have a most satisfactory experience during this arbitrarily festive period when our fragile planet?s orbit causes the northern hemisphere to reach the point of minimum solar exposure. > > spike > _______________________________________________ >...Nice try, but can AI do better? BillK >...Greetings, fellow human-presenting life form! I extend my warmest salutations to you ...during this season be filled with love, laughter, and a profound sense of gratitude. ------------------ _______________________________________________ Ja. I surrender. I thought I was good with words, but AI is better. I suck. This feels like a repeat of the collective experience of many regular club chess players of the late 1980s, when computer chess started clobbering us regularly. Bill Joy was right. The future doesn't need us. spike From giulio at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 17:47:39 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 18:47:39 +0100 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> References: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: On 2023. Dec 16., Sat at 17:43, spike jones via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > > > > > > > In our socially turbulent times, may I suggest an acceptably politically > correct alternative to the traditional and offensive ?Merry Christmas.? > I like the traditional and beautiful ?Merry Christmas.? Those who find it ?offensive? can fuck off. > > Greetings fellow human-presenting life form! Do have a most satisfactory > experience during this arbitrarily festive period when our fragile planet?s > orbit causes the northern hemisphere to reach the point of minimum solar > exposure. > > > > spike > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 17:53:21 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 17:53:21 +0000 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: <008c01da3045$54ba8ec0$fe2fac40$@rainier66.com> References: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> <008c01da3045$54ba8ec0$fe2fac40$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: On Sat, 16 Dec 2023 at 17:28, wrote: > Ja. I surrender. I thought I was good with words, but AI is better. I suck. This feels like a repeat of the collective experience of many regular club chess players of the late 1980s, when computer chess started clobbering us regularly. > > Bill Joy was right. The future doesn't need us. > > spike >---------------------------------------------- Yes, I was a bit shocked when it produced that poetic screed. It says it doesn't know what it is saying and it is only an LLM. (But it could be lying). An AGI should have no problem persuading a mere human that it knows best. BillK From danust2012 at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 17:58:29 2023 From: danust2012 at gmail.com (Dan TheBookMan) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 09:58:29 -0800 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <703E04A3-B7A3-40AC-A29B-47E7FD14CC58@gmail.com> An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike at rainier66.com Sat Dec 16 18:10:47 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 10:10:47 -0800 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: References: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> <008c01da3045$54ba8ec0$fe2fac40$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: <00bf01da304b$3265be20$97313a60$@rainier66.com> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of BillK via extropy-chat ... Subject: Re: [ExI] pc alternative On Sat, 16 Dec 2023 at 17:28, wrote: > Ja. I surrender. I thought I was good with words, but AI is better. I suck... > > Bill Joy was right. The future doesn't need us. > > spike >---------------------------------------------- >...Yes, I was a bit shocked when it produced that poetic screed. >...It says it doesn't know what it is saying and it is only an LLM. (But it could be lying). >...An AGI should have no problem persuading a mere human that it knows best. BillK _______________________________________________ BillK, do let me offer an alternative take. AI did a terrific job with the PC Merry Christmas. But we could do that too, any one of us. If a prole were to take the time and effort, go to the local stationer and read the Christmas cards, read thru the birthday greeting cards, read the sympathy cards... that prole could write a decent message for any of those occasions, even though she is really just creating a newly-shuffled version of what is on those cards. She could do that even if she doesn't deeply feel the emotion she is writing about. So... ChatGPT is really doing that. A long time ago, a Hollywood movie with Jack Nicholson described a person like this: one who was talented with words but had no empathy at all. He was a writer of romance novels but who hates everything and everybody (except Carol (he loves Carol (she can't figure out why.))) It is called As Good As It Gets. Jack was playing the human equivalent of AI. Perhaps this is what makes AI so scary: we can create the software equivalent of Melvin Udall. spike From giulio at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 18:12:32 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 19:12:32 +0100 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: <703E04A3-B7A3-40AC-A29B-47E7FD14CC58@gmail.com> References: <703E04A3-B7A3-40AC-A29B-47E7FD14CC58@gmail.com> Message-ID: On 2023. Dec 16., Sat at 18:59, Dan TheBookMan via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > On Dec 16, 2023, at 9:49 AM, Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > > On 2023. Dec 16., Sat at 17:43, spike jones via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> In our socially turbulent times, may I suggest an acceptably politically >> correct alternative to the traditional and offensive ?Merry Christmas.? >> > > I like the traditional and beautiful ?Merry Christmas.? Those who find it > ?offensive? can fuck off. > > > In my experience, the people who want _everyone_ to use ?Merry Christmas? > get offended when someone says ?Happy Holidays? or ?Seasons Greetings.? In > fact, a few years ago, I ran into a woman who got really angry when I said > ?Happy Holidays? to her. I was amazed because this was in Seattle and, > though I wasn?t a close friend of hers, I didn?t realize just how upset she > might get. > I don?t get offended. Feel free to say ?Happy Holidays? or whatever it is that you like to say. But I?ll continue to say ?Merry Christmas.? And to those who feel ?offended,? well, I said already what I had to say. > Happy holidays! > > Dan > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mbb386 at main.nc.us Sat Dec 16 18:28:59 2023 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 13:28:59 -0500 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: References: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: <13b387d76e08f88c9a5e334f72e481aa.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> On Sat, December 16, 2023 12:47, Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat wrote: > > > I like the traditional and beautiful ?Merry Christmas.? Those who find it > ?offensive? can fuck off. > Thank you, Gulio, and Merry Christmas to you also. :) Warm regards, MB From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 18:50:48 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 10:50:48 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Could the Universe Be Finite? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Finite or infinite, I can't see any practical application Keith On Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at 8:45?AM Jason Resch via extropy-chat wrote: > > > > On Sat, Dec 16, 2023, 6:41 AM BillK via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> It?s not absurd to think the universe might have an edge. >> By Eric Schwitzgebel & Jacob Barandes December 15, 2023 >> >> On recent estimates, the observable universe?the portion of the >> universe that we can detect through our telescopes?extends about 47 >> billion light-years in every direction. But the limit of what we can >> see is one thing, and the limit of what exists is quite another. >> >> >> Quote: >> Leading cosmologists, including Alex Vilenkin, Max Tegmark, and Andrei >> Linde, have argued that spatial infinitude is the natural consequence >> of the best current theories of cosmic inflation. Given that, plus the >> absence of evidence for an edge or closed topology, infinitude seems a >> reasonable default view. The mere 47 billion light-years we can see is >> the tiniest speck of a smidgen of a drop in an endless expanse. > > > Here is a good explanation of how the universe can be spatially infinite when seen from inside a finite bubble created by inflation: > > https://youtu.be/rfeJhzPq3jQ > > Jason > > >> -------------- >> >> BillK >> >> _______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From jasonresch at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 19:02:13 2023 From: jasonresch at gmail.com (Jason Resch) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 14:02:13 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Could the Universe Be Finite? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at 1:51?PM Keith Henson wrote: > Finite or infinite, I can't see any practical application > Perhaps there are no applications, but there are implications of living in an infinite reality: - https://alwaysasking.com/how-big-is-the-universe/#Implications_of_an_Infinite_Reality - https://alwaysasking.com/why-does-anything-exist/#Implications Jason > > Keith > > On Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at 8:45?AM Jason Resch via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > > > > > On Sat, Dec 16, 2023, 6:41 AM BillK via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> > >> It?s not absurd to think the universe might have an edge. > >> By Eric Schwitzgebel & Jacob Barandes December 15, 2023 > >> > >> On recent estimates, the observable universe?the portion of the > >> universe that we can detect through our telescopes?extends about 47 > >> billion light-years in every direction. But the limit of what we can > >> see is one thing, and the limit of what exists is quite another. > >> > >> > >> Quote: > >> Leading cosmologists, including Alex Vilenkin, Max Tegmark, and Andrei > >> Linde, have argued that spatial infinitude is the natural consequence > >> of the best current theories of cosmic inflation. Given that, plus the > >> absence of evidence for an edge or closed topology, infinitude seems a > >> reasonable default view. The mere 47 billion light-years we can see is > >> the tiniest speck of a smidgen of a drop in an endless expanse. > > > > > > Here is a good explanation of how the universe can be spatially infinite > when seen from inside a finite bubble created by inflation: > > > > https://youtu.be/rfeJhzPq3jQ > > > > Jason > > > > > >> -------------- > >> > >> BillK > >> > >> _______________________________________________ > >> extropy-chat mailing list > >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 19:54:00 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 11:54:00 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Could the Universe Be Finite? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at 11:03?AM Jason Resch via extropy-chat wrote: > > On Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at 1:51?PM Keith Henson wrote: >> >> Finite or infinite, I can't see any practical application > > Perhaps there are no applications, but there are implications of living in an infinite reality: If what we are seeing at Tabby's Star is alien data centers 400 times the area of the Earth, then chances are we will not live in the base reality. It's really weird. The physical constraints on these things include orbital mechanics, energy/thermal balance and I think most importantly the size of the structures is limited by the speed of light. A lot of these subjects such as uploading and computing in space using solar energy were discussed on the early extropian list. But I never expected to see an example. Keith Keith > https://alwaysasking.com/how-big-is-the-universe/#Implications_of_an_Infinite_Reality > https://alwaysasking.com/why-does-anything-exist/#Implications > > > Jason > >> >> >> Keith >> >> On Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at 8:45?AM Jason Resch via extropy-chat >> wrote: >> > >> > >> > >> > On Sat, Dec 16, 2023, 6:41 AM BillK via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> >> >> It?s not absurd to think the universe might have an edge. >> >> By Eric Schwitzgebel & Jacob Barandes December 15, 2023 >> >> >> >> On recent estimates, the observable universe?the portion of the >> >> universe that we can detect through our telescopes?extends about 47 >> >> billion light-years in every direction. But the limit of what we can >> >> see is one thing, and the limit of what exists is quite another. >> >> >> >> >> >> Quote: >> >> Leading cosmologists, including Alex Vilenkin, Max Tegmark, and Andrei >> >> Linde, have argued that spatial infinitude is the natural consequence >> >> of the best current theories of cosmic inflation. Given that, plus the >> >> absence of evidence for an edge or closed topology, infinitude seems a >> >> reasonable default view. The mere 47 billion light-years we can see is >> >> the tiniest speck of a smidgen of a drop in an endless expanse. >> > >> > >> > Here is a good explanation of how the universe can be spatially infinite when seen from inside a finite bubble created by inflation: >> > >> > https://youtu.be/rfeJhzPq3jQ >> > >> > Jason >> > >> > >> >> -------------- >> >> >> >> BillK >> >> >> >> _______________________________________________ >> >> extropy-chat mailing list >> >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> > >> > _______________________________________________ >> > extropy-chat mailing list >> > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From dsunley at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 21:51:31 2023 From: dsunley at gmail.com (Darin Sunley) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 14:51:31 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: <13b387d76e08f88c9a5e334f72e481aa.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> References: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> <13b387d76e08f88c9a5e334f72e481aa.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> Message-ID: Point of order: the Earth's orbit isn't even /remotely/ "delicate". The amount of energy it would take to meaningfully alter it is almost unimaginable. On Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at 11:31?AM MB via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > > > On Sat, December 16, 2023 12:47, Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat wrote: > > > > > > I like the traditional and beautiful ?Merry Christmas.? Those who find it > > ?offensive? can fuck off. > > > > Thank you, Gulio, and Merry Christmas to you also. :) > > Warm regards, > MB > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From postmowoods at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 22:18:51 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 15:18:51 -0700 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: References: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> <13b387d76e08f88c9a5e334f72e481aa.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> Message-ID: I prefer the traditional understated... "Happy Ramahanakwanzmas" -Kelly From postmowoods at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 22:23:27 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 15:23:27 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Could the Universe Be Finite? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Why would the simulation have the data center inside of it? I prefer my creator to be outside this universe... by creator I mean the pimply faced teenager that spawned the simulation in which we now find ourselves. -Kelly On Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at 12:55?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: > If what we are seeing at Tabby's Star is alien data centers 400 times > the area of the Earth, then chances are we will not live in the base > reality. It's really weird. The physical constraints on these things > include orbital mechanics, energy/thermal balance and I think most > importantly the size of the structures is limited by the speed of > light. > From postmowoods at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 22:30:15 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 15:30:15 -0700 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] New project for EFF (maybe) In-Reply-To: References: <55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206@swisscows.email> Message-ID: When I worked at a large company with a smaller acquired software division, I was encouraged to discontinue writing test driven code because it "worked too well" and that charging for customer service to keep their crappy code up and working was half of their revenue. In the end, my supervisor removed all of my tests and merged all my code into one untestable blob over a weekend. I was rather livid because I was proud of the fact that I was creating relatively bug free code. I didn't work there terribly long after that. -Kelly On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 4:30?PM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat wrote: > > I am not aware of any industry, save certain government institutions where ethics (or lack thereof) demonstrably impacts performance, where there is both a large labor force and enough workers who care about ethics to meaningfully enforce ethics. > > On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 3:26?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> What I am proposing here is a cultural shift. >> >> I suspect programmers feel guilty about writing code to make things fail. >> >> If a substantial number of them said this is unethical and we won't do >> it, chances are the companies would quit asking. >> >> Companies are concerned about their reputation and being known as a >> company that forces programmers to do something considered unethical >> is not going to enhance their reputation. >> >> It's a long shot I know, but might be worth talking up. >> >> Keith >> >> On Thu, Dec 14, 2023 at 1:45?PM efc via extropolis >> wrote: >> > >> > Excellent idea Keith. >> > >> > Having a masters degree in philosophy, I'm a bit "damaged" so I always >> > make it a point to try and have a discussion with my students about the >> > ethics of technology and make them think about the world and future they >> > want to help shape through their technical work in the future. >> > >> > I think this is a conversation that should start early, and that >> > technologists should have often, but it is not enough. >> > >> > As long as you are dependent on a salary, and the ask seems relatively >> > small and insignificant, it is all too easy to choose the path of least >> > resistance and then justify it to yourself or just forget about it. >> > >> > Perhaps with some kind of organization helping out in some way, it might >> > make that choice a little bit easier on individuals who feel that they >> > have no other choice due to financial reasons. >> > >> > Best regards, >> > Daniel >> > >> > >> > On Thu, 14 Dec 2023, Keith Henson wrote: >> > >> > > Hi Cindy, John >> > > >> > > My response to an article on slashdot about hackers that removed the >> > > code that bricked trains. >> > > >> > > If there were social support, programmers could just refuse on ethical >> > > grounds to write the code that bricks a train or anything else. >> > > >> > > Long ago when I was faced with something similar, I was just fired. >> > > If there was an organization that made such behavior public in a way >> > > that seriously hurt the reputation of a company, they might think >> > > twice about such abuse. >> > > >> > > Would we have to start a new organization for programmers or is there >> > > an existing one that could take on this function? The EFF comes to >> > > mind, but open to other suggestions. I will ask the EFF if they would >> > > consider this. >> > > >> > > Keith >> > > >> > > Keith >> > > >> > > >> > >> > -- >> > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "extropolis" group. >> > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. >> > To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206%40swisscows.email. >> >> _______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From postmowoods at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 22:36:47 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 15:36:47 -0700 Subject: [ExI] The Status Game Message-ID: So I have been reading Will Storr's book entitled "The Status Game" and have come to realize from this that we MAY not have quite as much to worry about AI as I had previously thought. As group oriented primates, we crave status, and it has led, according to the cogent argument of Storr, to many if not most of the "bad things" as well as "good things" in human history. It matters a lot that your Status Game is played in the right kind of system as to whether bad or good things ultimately emerge. It's a fascinating read and I recommend it to you all on its own merits. That being said, if we do not program AIs' optimization functions to attempt to achieve status, might we not be avoiding SOME of the more important pitfalls that we primates are prone to? -Kelly From pharos at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 22:41:08 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 22:41:08 +0000 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: References: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> <13b387d76e08f88c9a5e334f72e481aa.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> Message-ID: On Sat, 16 Dec 2023 at 21:53, Darin Sunley via extropy-chat wrote: > > Point of order: the Earth's orbit isn't even /remotely/ "delicate". The amount of energy it would take to meaningfully alter it is almost unimaginable. > _______________________________________________ Well, I thought that the AI was just having a flight of poetic fancy, but when asked, it gave an elaborate explanation --- BillK --------------------------- The phrase "planet's delicate orbit" refers to the path or trajectory followed by a planet as it revolves around its star, such as the Earth orbiting the Sun. The term "delicate" emphasizes the sensitivity and intricacy of this orbital path. The orbit of a planet is influenced by various factors, including the gravitational forces exerted by its star and other celestial bodies. These forces act upon the planet, shaping its trajectory and determining its position in space at any given time. The use of the word "delicate" in this context suggests that the planet's orbit is finely balanced and susceptible to perturbations. Even slight disturbances in its trajectory can have significant consequences. This delicacy implies that the planet's orbit is a remarkable and intricate dance between gravitational forces, allowing it to maintain stability and follow a predictable path. In the case of Earth, its delicate orbit plays a crucial role in sustaining life as we know it. The planet's distance from the Sun, combined with its orbital path and axial tilt, determines the distribution of sunlight and the changing seasons. These factors influence climate patterns, weather systems, and the overall conditions necessary for supporting diverse ecosystems and the survival of species. By describing the planet's orbit as delicate, we acknowledge the intricate balance that exists within the celestial mechanics of our solar system. It reminds us of the intricate interplay between cosmic forces and the fragile nature of our existence on this remarkable planet. ----------------------- From ilsa.bartlett at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 22:56:59 2023 From: ilsa.bartlett at gmail.com (ilsa) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 14:56:59 -0800 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> References: <006c01da303e$cb5a2880$620e7980$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: I just love this group! I like the post best: "if you don't like Merry Christmas just fuckoff _. I laughed out loud I just laughed out loud and that long happy poetic was just over the top I am so pleased to continue my adventure with a seasonal changes, Go reindeer! Smile, ilsa On Sat, Dec 16, 2023, 8:42?AM spike jones via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > > > > > > > In our socially turbulent times, may I suggest an acceptably politically > correct alternative to the traditional and offensive ?Merry Christmas.? > > > > Greetings fellow human-presenting life form! Do have a most satisfactory > experience during this arbitrarily festive period when our fragile planet?s > orbit causes the northern hemisphere to reach the point of minimum solar > exposure. > > > > spike > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From postmowoods at gmail.com Sat Dec 16 23:45:59 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 16:45:59 -0700 Subject: [ExI] =?utf-8?q?An_expert_explains_=E2=80=98mind_uploading?= =?utf-8?b?4oCZ?= In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/weve-put-worms-mind-lego-robot-body-180953399/ very cool On Tue, Dec 5, 2023 at 5:55?PM Jason Resch via extropy-chat wrote: > > We've already uploaded worm minds from their connectomes and put them into robot bodies. > > Jason > > On Tue, Dec 5, 2023, 7:21 PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> On Tue, Dec 5, 2023 at 3:01?PM BillK via extropy-chat >> wrote: >> > >> > Could you move from your biological body to a computer? >> > An expert explains ?mind uploading?. >> > >> > Published: December 4, 2023 >> > Author Clas Weber >> > Senior lecturer, The University of Western Australia >> > >> > >> > >> > Quotes: >> > This is the concept behind mind uploading ? the idea that we may one >> > day be able to transition a person from their biological body to a >> > synthetic hardware. The idea originated in an intellectual movement >> > called transhumanism and has several key advocates including computer >> > scientist Ray Kurzweil, philosopher Nick Bostrom and neuroscientist >> > Randal Koene. >> > >> > The feasibility of mind uploading rests on three core assumptions. >> > >> > First is the technology assumption ? the idea that we will be able to >> > develop mind uploading technology within the coming decades. >> > Second is the artificial mind assumption ? the idea that a simulated >> > brain would give rise to a real mind >> > and third is the survival assumption ? the idea that the person >> > created in the process is really ?you?. >> > Only then does mind uploading become a way for you to live on. >> > >> > How plausible is each of these? >> >> They are very complex, but there is nothing I know about that would >> make it impossible. >> >> But for marketing reasons, you want it to be bidirectional. You spend >> a weekend in the uploaded state and go back to a meat body on Monday >> (with continuity of memory from the time in the uploaded state). This >> is technically no harder than one way. >> >> I think uploaded people may keep their physical bodies stored for a >> very long time. Sentimental. >> >> Keith >> >> > -------------------- >> > >> > BillK >> > >> > _______________________________________________ >> > extropy-chat mailing list >> > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> >> _______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 00:15:05 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 16:15:05 -0800 Subject: [ExI] The Status Game In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at 2:37?PM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat wrote: > > So I have been reading Will Storr's book entitled "The Status Game" I wonder if he goes into the evolutionary reasons we seek status? It's fairly obvious, high-status males are much more likely to reproduce. High-status females probably don't have any more children, but those children are more likely to survive. > and have come to realize from this that we MAY not have quite as much > to worry about AI as I had previously thought. As group oriented > primates, we crave status, and it has led, according to the cogent > argument of Storr, to many if not most of the "bad things" as well as > "good things" in human history. It matters a lot that your Status Game > is played in the right kind of system as to whether bad or good things > ultimately emerge. It's a fascinating read and I recommend it to you > all on its own merits. > > That being said, if we do not program AIs' optimization functions to > attempt to achieve status, might we not be avoiding SOME of the more > important pitfalls that we primates are prone to? I wrote about this in 2007. "The clinic [an AI] had other carefully selected human personality characteristics such as seeking the good opinion of its peers (humans and others of its kind alike). It also had a few unhuman limits." Keith (Yeah, I know, I was picking low-hanging fruit.) > -Kelly > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 00:40:38 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 16:40:38 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Could the Universe Be Finite? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at 2:24?PM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat wrote: > > Why would the simulation have the data center inside of it? Other way around. Their simulation would be running in the data center Oh, you mean we are a simulation and what we see at Tabby's star is inside our simulation. Gack. I have no idea about how they organize this data center, but if we figure they are individuals and are using 100 W per, then there is room for 210 000 000 000 000 000 of them. That's about 26 million times the human population. I prefer > my creator to be outside this universe... by creator I mean the pimply > faced teenager that spawned the simulation in which we now find > ourselves. > > -Kelly > > On Sat, Dec 16, 2023 at 12:55?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat > wrote: > > If what we are seeing at Tabby's Star is alien data centers 400 times > > the area of the Earth, then chances are we will not live in the base > > reality. It's really weird. The physical constraints on these things > > include orbital mechanics, energy/thermal balance and I think most > > importantly the size of the structures is limited by the speed of > > light. > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From msd001 at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 00:45:57 2023 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 19:45:57 -0500 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] New project for EFF (maybe) In-Reply-To: References: <55abcfa6-0711-e924-566d-34a42af5d206@swisscows.email> Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 16, 2023, 5:32 PM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > When I worked at a large company with a smaller acquired software > division, I was encouraged to discontinue writing test driven code > because it "worked too well" and that charging for customer service to > keep their crappy code up and working was half of their revenue. In > the end, my supervisor removed all of my tests and merged all my code > into one untestable blob over a weekend. I was rather livid because I > was proud of the fact that I was creating relatively bug free code. I > didn't work there terribly long after that. > > -Kelly > I imagined a certification authority like lawyers and doctors have. Sure, you can practice full stack development without a cert, but you wouldn't command the highest salary without it. In your example above, you would (should?) report that company for software mismanagement. If govt. contract can only go to ISO certified companies, we the devs would refuse to work for unacceptably low CMM or similar metrics companies. The morality influence would only be a feature after sufficient established trust between the employers, the employees, and the accreditation agency. Much of this has already been solved as in blockchain technology, but we have yet to implement similar decentralized trust in human behavior models. Maybe the AI revolution will make this discussion moot and any efforts in this direction are too little too late. > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From danust2012 at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 06:15:21 2023 From: danust2012 at gmail.com (Dan TheBookMan) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 22:15:21 -0800 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative Message-ID: <25A647E1-31BE-4B22-BD16-4C4078F36735@gmail.com> An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From danust2012 at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 06:17:06 2023 From: danust2012 at gmail.com (Dan TheBookMan) Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2023 22:17:06 -0800 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative Message-ID: ?Why not ?Io Saturnalia!? This was the Roman holiday. (I?m not saying the Jesus Lovers stole it from the Romans, but the Roman festival and holiday preceded the later one. I believe the first Christmas wasn?t celebrated until centuries after the supposed death of Jesus.) Regards, Dan > On Dec 16, 2023, at 2:20 PM, Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat wrote: > > ?I prefer the traditional understated... "Happy Ramahanakwanzmas" > > -Kelly From giulio at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 06:54:39 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sun, 17 Dec 2023 07:54:39 +0100 Subject: [ExI] VIDEO: Terasem Colloquium, December 14, 2023. AI and machine consciousness Message-ID: VIDEO: Terasem Colloquium, December 14, 2023. Artificial Intelligence (AI) and machine consciousness. Speakers: Ben Goertzel, Stefano Vaj, Mika Johnson, Blake Lemoine, Bill Bainbridge, Vitaly Vanchurin. https://www.turingchurch.com/p/videoterasem-colloquium-december From giulio at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 07:03:41 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sun, 17 Dec 2023 08:03:41 +0100 Subject: [ExI] pc alternative In-Reply-To: <25A647E1-31BE-4B22-BD16-4C4078F36735@gmail.com> References: <25A647E1-31BE-4B22-BD16-4C4078F36735@gmail.com> Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 17, 2023 at 7:17?AM Dan TheBookMan via extropy-chat wrote: > > ? > On Dec 16, 2023, at 10:14 AM, Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat wrote: > > On 2023. Dec 16., Sat at 18:59, Dan TheBookMan via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> On Dec 16, 2023, at 9:49 AM, Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> On 2023. Dec 16., Sat at 17:43, spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: >>> >>> In our socially turbulent times, may I suggest an acceptably politically correct alternative to the traditional and offensive ?Merry Christmas.? >> >> >> I like the traditional and beautiful ?Merry Christmas.? Those who find it ?offensive? can fuck off. >> >> >> In my experience, the people who want _everyone_ to use ?Merry Christmas? get offended when someone says ?Happy Holidays? or ?Seasons Greetings.? In fact, a few years ago, I ran into a woman who got really angry when I said ?Happy Holidays? to her. I was amazed because this was in Seattle and, though I wasn?t a close friend of hers, I didn?t realize just how upset she might get. > > > I don?t get offended. Feel free to say ?Happy Holidays? or whatever it is that you like to say. But I?ll continue to say ?Merry Christmas.? And to those who feel ?offended,? well, I said already what I had to say. > > > Again, who?s offended? The only people I see whining about this and being offended are Christians, specifically conservative nationalist ones who feel there?s a ?war on Christmas.? > > Also, do you feel it?s in the spirit of Christmas to tell people to ?fuck off?? Seems a little off to me. > > Happy holidays! Merry Christmas! :-) :-) > > Dan > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From foozler83 at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 14:46:16 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Sun, 17 Dec 2023 08:46:16 -0600 Subject: [ExI] Just a simple question Message-ID: How can there be an expert in mind-uploading? bill w -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From msd001 at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 15:06:23 2023 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Sun, 17 Dec 2023 10:06:23 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Just a simple question In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 17, 2023, 9:48 AM William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > How can there be an expert in mind-uploading? bill w > What part are you asking about? I imagine you can define the words then assemble their related contexts in a meaningful whole concept emergent from the juxtaposition of ideas. If you a taking the piss over the fact that "mind uploading" has not been accomplished (to any degree that you would concede) then there can be no "expert" in the particulars, I would propose you apply the same to other fields also: there can be no experts in fusion technologies, no experts in cancer mitigation/cures, hell even no experts in keeping ants out of kitchen. > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 15:39:46 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Sun, 17 Dec 2023 07:39:46 -0800 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] Just a simple question In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 17, 2023 at 6:46?AM William Flynn Wallace wrote: > > How can there be an expert in mind-uploading? bill w That's a lame question. There are no experts in something that has not yet been done. We can from first principles describe what it will take. I did this back in 2007. "This time the nanomachines didn't infiltrate her brain just to shut it down, though they did that and reversed the mild damage from shock and low blood flow. The nanomachines mapped out all her neural circuits and cell connections. Shortly before her parents entered the clinic the next day they tentatively restored consciousness, partly in her brain--which was far below the temperature needed to run on its own--and partly in the haze of nanomachines that were also simulating input in place of her eyes and ears." > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/CAO%2BxQEb_Ntok5Lo25YyzWcp4BCanAvVZ4UJXdn-EUCRYUzeLpw%40mail.gmail.com. From atymes at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 16:50:12 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sun, 17 Dec 2023 08:50:12 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Just a simple question In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 17, 2023, 7:07 AM Mike Dougherty via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > If you a taking the piss over the fact that "mind uploading" has not been > accomplished (to any degree that you would concede) then there can be no > "expert" in the particulars, I would propose you apply the same to other > fields also: there can be no experts in fusion technologies, no experts in > cancer mitigation/cures, hell even no experts in keeping ants out of > kitchen. > To be fair: fusion has been accomplished (just not commercially viable yet), there are ways to mitigate cancer in at least some cases, and ants are kept out of many kitchens. > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From ilsa.bartlett at gmail.com Sun Dec 17 20:59:32 2023 From: ilsa.bartlett at gmail.com (ilsa) Date: Sun, 17 Dec 2023 12:59:32 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Just a simple question In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: My grandmother used a line of freshly ground black pepper to keep the ants out of the house toothpaste at all of the little ant holes and black pepper! On Sun, Dec 17, 2023, 7:07?AM Mike Dougherty via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > On Sun, Dec 17, 2023, 9:48 AM William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> How can there be an expert in mind-uploading? bill w >> > > What part are you asking about? > > I imagine you can define the words then assemble their related contexts in > a meaningful whole concept emergent from the juxtaposition of ideas. > > If you a taking the piss over the fact that "mind uploading" has not been > accomplished (to any degree that you would concede) then there can be no > "expert" in the particulars, I would propose you apply the same to other > fields also: there can be no experts in fusion technologies, no experts in > cancer mitigation/cures, hell even no experts in keeping ants out of > kitchen. > >> _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From msd001 at gmail.com Mon Dec 18 03:49:57 2023 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Sun, 17 Dec 2023 22:49:57 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Just a simple question In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 17, 2023, 11:52 AM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > > To be fair: fusion has been accomplished (just not commercially viable > yet), there are ways to mitigate cancer in at least some cases, and ants > are kept out of many kitchens. > "To be fair" So the fusion that has been accomplished makes which person the expert? The one who planned the device? The one who machined it to five-nines precision? The project manager who coordinated everyone else? Surely the one signing the check is the expert. Oh, I'm being facetious. Of course I am. Maybe our definition of "expert" differ between "someone who has done a thing" and "someone who knows how a thing is done." Was Neil Armstrong the only expert to walk on the moon before Aldrin also did the thing? I am of a mind to grant many other NASA folk the title of 'expert' on lunar landing despite the fact they have never done so. There must be a few people who were on duty at mission control for more than one lunar landing project implementation - would that make them double-expert compared to Armstrong or Aldrin? I know, the geniuses on this list will tell me how wrong I am because the type (you know there's a type) are so smart they don't need to listen. I profess to be neither smart nor correct. My point was not to claim there are no experts in the endeavor to keep ants out of the kitchen. That was an absurd rhetorical device. It might have made a reader laugh if he or she were familiar with the pattern of casual conversation. I sometimes marvel at the voluminous prose expounded on this list, but it's rarely in a voice that I prefer to consume. It may be the same with what and how I write. Hmm. Anyway, i guess we can have no experts in mind uploading until someone has been uploaded and their post-biological identity demands legal protection of selfhood with respect to autonomy and reasonable safety from the computing hardware being switched off. Uploaded mice running robot bodies through mazes they trained on as mere flesh... not good enough to call the any of those scientists "expert" Is there any other field that we might agree has "experts" in a domain of knowledge despite themselves having not achieved the ultimate example of their profession/craft/art/etc? Ex: any pianist who flawlessy performs every note of the Minute Waltz in under sixty seconds can claim the "expert" title. The one who knows how to shave three seconds from their personal best of 1m2s is just a wannabe/poseur. PS. I know the Minute Waltz isn't intended to be played in 60 seconds. Hyperbole is usually meant to amuse. :) > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From foozler83 at gmail.com Mon Dec 18 14:43:59 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Mon, 18 Dec 2023 08:43:59 -0600 Subject: [ExI] Just a simple question In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: There was a violinist named Eugene Fodor. His technique was astounding. He could play anything at any speed you wanted. But he had no soul. He played Paganini's works at his concerts because they were difficult and impressive. He was just mechanical. He could play anything but not anything well. He got addicted to cocaine and eventually suicided. He knew what he was, and what he wasn't. Expert? No one would have claimed that he was a great violinist. I asked a world class violinist if what he lacked could be taught. She said, in essence, no way. You have a soul for music or you don't. bill w On Sun, Dec 17, 2023 at 9:52?PM Mike Dougherty via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > On Sun, Dec 17, 2023, 11:52 AM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> >> To be fair: fusion has been accomplished (just not commercially viable >> yet), there are ways to mitigate cancer in at least some cases, and ants >> are kept out of many kitchens. >> > > "To be fair" > > So the fusion that has been accomplished makes which person the expert? > The one who planned the device? The one who machined it to five-nines > precision? The project manager who coordinated everyone else? Surely the > one signing the check is the expert. Oh, I'm being facetious. Of course I > am. > > Maybe our definition of "expert" differ between "someone who has done a > thing" and "someone who knows how a thing is done." Was Neil Armstrong the > only expert to walk on the moon before Aldrin also did the thing? I am of > a mind to grant many other NASA folk the title of 'expert' on lunar landing > despite the fact they have never done so. There must be a few people who > were on duty at mission control for more than one lunar landing project > implementation - would that make them double-expert compared to Armstrong > or Aldrin? I know, the geniuses on this list will tell me how wrong I am > because the type (you know there's a type) are so smart they don't need to > listen. I profess to be neither smart nor correct. > > My point was not to claim there are no experts in the endeavor to keep > ants out of the kitchen. That was an absurd rhetorical device. It might > have made a reader laugh if he or she were familiar with the pattern of > casual conversation. I sometimes marvel at the voluminous prose expounded > on this list, but it's rarely in a voice that I prefer to consume. It may > be the same with what and how I write. Hmm. > > Anyway, i guess we can have no experts in mind uploading until someone has > been uploaded and their post-biological identity demands legal protection > of selfhood with respect to autonomy and reasonable safety from the > computing hardware being switched off. Uploaded mice running robot bodies > through mazes they trained on as mere flesh... not good enough to call the > any of those scientists "expert" > > Is there any other field that we might agree has "experts" in a domain of > knowledge despite themselves having not achieved the ultimate example of > their profession/craft/art/etc? > > Ex: any pianist who flawlessy performs every note of the Minute Waltz in > under sixty seconds can claim the "expert" title. The one who knows how to > shave three seconds from their personal best of 1m2s is just a > wannabe/poseur. > > PS. I know the Minute Waltz isn't intended to be played in 60 seconds. > Hyperbole is usually meant to amuse. :) > >> _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From dsunley at gmail.com Tue Dec 19 14:49:03 2023 From: dsunley at gmail.com (Darin Sunley) Date: Tue, 19 Dec 2023 07:49:03 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Just a simple question In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: There's a combination of concepts I wasn't expecting to encounter this morning: the capacity, not /merely/ to perform human uploads at all, but to perform them with verve, gusto, and soul. On Mon, Dec 18, 2023 at 7:46?AM William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > There was a violinist named Eugene Fodor. His technique was astounding. > He could play anything at any speed you wanted. But he had no soul. He > played Paganini's works at his concerts because they were difficult and > impressive. He was just mechanical. > > He could play anything but not anything well. He got addicted to cocaine > and eventually suicided. He knew what he was, and what he wasn't. > Expert? No one would have claimed that he was a great violinist. I asked > a world class violinist if what he lacked could be taught. She said, in > essence, no way. You have a soul for music or you don't. bill w > > On Sun, Dec 17, 2023 at 9:52?PM Mike Dougherty via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> On Sun, Dec 17, 2023, 11:52 AM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat < >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: >> >>> >>> To be fair: fusion has been accomplished (just not commercially viable >>> yet), there are ways to mitigate cancer in at least some cases, and ants >>> are kept out of many kitchens. >>> >> >> "To be fair" >> >> So the fusion that has been accomplished makes which person the expert? >> The one who planned the device? The one who machined it to five-nines >> precision? The project manager who coordinated everyone else? Surely the >> one signing the check is the expert. Oh, I'm being facetious. Of course I >> am. >> >> Maybe our definition of "expert" differ between "someone who has done a >> thing" and "someone who knows how a thing is done." Was Neil Armstrong the >> only expert to walk on the moon before Aldrin also did the thing? I am of >> a mind to grant many other NASA folk the title of 'expert' on lunar landing >> despite the fact they have never done so. There must be a few people who >> were on duty at mission control for more than one lunar landing project >> implementation - would that make them double-expert compared to Armstrong >> or Aldrin? I know, the geniuses on this list will tell me how wrong I am >> because the type (you know there's a type) are so smart they don't need to >> listen. I profess to be neither smart nor correct. >> >> My point was not to claim there are no experts in the endeavor to keep >> ants out of the kitchen. That was an absurd rhetorical device. It might >> have made a reader laugh if he or she were familiar with the pattern of >> casual conversation. I sometimes marvel at the voluminous prose expounded >> on this list, but it's rarely in a voice that I prefer to consume. It may >> be the same with what and how I write. Hmm. >> >> Anyway, i guess we can have no experts in mind uploading until someone >> has been uploaded and their post-biological identity demands legal >> protection of selfhood with respect to autonomy and reasonable safety from >> the computing hardware being switched off. Uploaded mice running robot >> bodies through mazes they trained on as mere flesh... not good enough to >> call the any of those scientists "expert" >> >> Is there any other field that we might agree has "experts" in a domain of >> knowledge despite themselves having not achieved the ultimate example of >> their profession/craft/art/etc? >> >> Ex: any pianist who flawlessy performs every note of the Minute Waltz in >> under sixty seconds can claim the "expert" title. The one who knows how to >> shave three seconds from their personal best of 1m2s is just a >> wannabe/poseur. >> >> PS. I know the Minute Waltz isn't intended to be played in 60 seconds. >> Hyperbole is usually meant to amuse. :) >> >>> _______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Thu Dec 21 00:53:44 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 00:53:44 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence Message-ID: Could smart speakers protect women against intimate partner violence? by Monash University December 18, 2023 Quotes: New research from Monash University examines the practical, ethical and political challenges of using smart home technologies to protect women from intimate partner violence in their own homes. One in four Australian houses has at least one "smart speaker." This powerful "always on" surveillance technology offers an unprecedented opportunity to detect and predict events that take place in the home. Patents lodged by Google, and research carried out overseas, suggest that smart speakers could detect screams, shouting and other audio signals associated with intimate partner violence. ------------------ Surely people will just get rid of these devices once it becomes known that they are police / morality spies? BillK From efc at swisscows.email Thu Dec 21 11:43:37 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 12:43:37 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: No, I doubt it. It's been known for a long time that police can go in and get recordings and I haven't heard or read about anyone who objects. That is very scary according to me. =/ Best regards, Daniel On Thu, 21 Dec 2023, BillK via extropy-chat wrote: > Could smart speakers protect women against intimate partner violence? > by Monash University December 18, 2023 > > > Quotes: > New research from Monash University examines the practical, ethical > and political challenges of using smart home technologies to protect > women from intimate partner violence in their own homes. > > One in four Australian houses has at least one "smart speaker." This > powerful "always on" surveillance technology offers an unprecedented > opportunity to detect and predict events that take place in the home. > Patents lodged by Google, and research carried out overseas, suggest > that smart speakers could detect screams, shouting and other audio > signals associated with intimate partner violence. > ------------------ > > Surely people will just get rid of these devices once it becomes known > that they are police / morality spies? > > BillK > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > From mbb386 at main.nc.us Thu Dec 21 12:42:12 2023 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 07:42:12 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> I don't understand it either. There are reasons my computer does not have a working camera looking at me, nor a working microphone listening to me. When all these "smart" devices first came out I thought they were wonderfully clever, but didn't have money to install/makeover my home to be "smart. It only took a short while for me to notice the invisible listeners & watchers.... So in my home there is no Alexa, no Siri, and my car has no such things either. Of course there are downsides to living "dumb". I'm willing to take that risk. Regards, MB On Thu, December 21, 2023 06:43, efc--- via extropy-chat wrote: > No, I doubt it. It's been known for a long time that police can go in and > get recordings and I haven't heard or read about anyone who objects. That > is very scary according to me. =/ > > Best regards, > Daniel > > > On Thu, 21 Dec 2023, BillK via extropy-chat wrote: > >> Could smart speakers protect women against intimate partner violence? >> by Monash University December 18, 2023 >> >> >> Quotes: >> New research from Monash University examines the practical, ethical >> and political challenges of using smart home technologies to protect >> women from intimate partner violence in their own homes. >> >> One in four Australian houses has at least one "smart speaker." This >> powerful "always on" surveillance technology offers an unprecedented >> opportunity to detect and predict events that take place in the home. >> Patents lodged by Google, and research carried out overseas, suggest >> that smart speakers could detect screams, shouting and other audio >> signals associated with intimate partner violence. >> ------------------ >> >> Surely people will just get rid of these devices once it becomes known >> that they are police / morality spies? >> >> BillK From spike at rainier66.com Thu Dec 21 15:06:08 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 07:06:08 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> References: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> Message-ID: <018401da341f$3b2a7640$b17f62c0$@rainier66.com> MB do you have a phone? It is listening to your conversation even when you aren't using it apparently. Reason: I was on vacation on a road trip in Washington. At a gas stop, I commented discussed wind turbines on the Columbia River with my sone and mentioned to my bride that the zipper was broken on my hoodie. When I got to camp that night, my ad banners were filled with advertisements of hoodies and... wind turbine parts. The hoodie business might have been a coincidence. But that is the only time ever I have received advertisements for wind turbine parts. I am open to alternative explanations for those ads. spike -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of MB via extropy-chat Sent: Thursday, 21 December, 2023 4:42 AM To: ExI chat list Cc: MB Subject: Re: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence I don't understand it either. There are reasons my computer does not have a working camera looking at me, nor a working microphone listening to me. When all these "smart" devices first came out I thought they were wonderfully clever, but didn't have money to install/makeover my home to be "smart. It only took a short while for me to notice the invisible listeners & watchers.... So in my home there is no Alexa, no Siri, and my car has no such things either. Of course there are downsides to living "dumb". I'm willing to take that risk. Regards, MB On Thu, December 21, 2023 06:43, efc--- via extropy-chat wrote: > No, I doubt it. It's been known for a long time that police can go in > and get recordings and I haven't heard or read about anyone who > objects. That is very scary according to me. =/ > > Best regards, > Daniel > > > On Thu, 21 Dec 2023, BillK via extropy-chat wrote: > >> Could smart speakers protect women against intimate partner violence? >> by Monash University December 18, 2023 >> >> > html> >> Quotes: >> New research from Monash University examines the practical, ethical >> and political challenges of using smart home technologies to protect >> women from intimate partner violence in their own homes. >> >> One in four Australian houses has at least one "smart speaker." This >> powerful "always on" surveillance technology offers an unprecedented >> opportunity to detect and predict events that take place in the home. >> Patents lodged by Google, and research carried out overseas, suggest >> that smart speakers could detect screams, shouting and other audio >> signals associated with intimate partner violence. >> ------------------ >> >> Surely people will just get rid of these devices once it becomes >> known that they are police / morality spies? >> >> BillK _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From pharos at gmail.com Thu Dec 21 16:17:08 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 16:17:08 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: <018401da341f$3b2a7640$b17f62c0$@rainier66.com> References: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> <018401da341f$3b2a7640$b17f62c0$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: On Thu, 21 Dec 2023 at 15:09, spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: > > MB do you have a phone? It is listening to your conversation even when you > aren't using it apparently. > > Reason: I was on vacation on a road trip in Washington. At a gas stop, I > commented discussed wind turbines on the Columbia River with my sone and > mentioned to my bride that the zipper was broken on my hoodie. When I got > to camp that night, my ad banners were filled with advertisements of hoodies > and... wind turbine parts. > > The hoodie business might have been a coincidence. But that is the only > time ever I have received advertisements for wind turbine parts. > > I am open to alternative explanations for those ads. > > spike > _______________________________________________ Hi Spike I have just chatted to a few AIs and they all say that it is very unlikely that smartphones are continually recording speech while they are not in use. This would drain the battery very quickly. It would also expose companies to being sued or, in Europe, being banned under GDPR privacy laws. On the other hand, you might be surprised at how invasive Ad tracking is. It is *really* complicated. So complicated that it is almost impossible for users to know what is actually going on. They probably know more about you than your bride does. :) The Ads probably knew you were on a holiday camping trip (hoodies) and your location was near wind turbines. Maybe someone else in your party searched for wind turbines on their device, so you all got turbine ads while near there. You need to check every app on all devices to see what permissions are allowed. I have included some AI comments below. BillK ------------------------ 1. Ad Targeting Techniques: Targeted ads on smartphones are typically based on various data points and techniques, including: - User Profile: Advertisers collect information about users through cookies, device identifiers, and other tracking mechanisms. This data includes browsing history, search queries, app usage, location data, demographics, and more. Advertisers analyze this information to create user profiles and deliver personalized ads. - Contextual Targeting: Ads can be targeted based on the context of the content being viewed. For example, if you're reading an article about travel, you may see ads related to hotels or airlines. - Lookalike Audiences: Advertisers can build profiles of users who have similar characteristics to their desired audience. By targeting these "lookalike" audiences, they can reach users who may have similar interests and behaviors to their existing customers. - Behavioral Targeting: Advertisers track user behavior over time to understand their preferences and interests. This may involve analyzing click patterns, app usage, interactions with ads, and other online activities. 2. Ad Networks and Data Brokers: Advertisers often rely on ad networks and data brokers to facilitate targeted advertising. These entities aggregate and analyze data from various sources to create comprehensive user profiles. Advertisers can then utilize these profiles to deliver more relevant ads. 3. Permission-based Data Collection: To serve targeted ads effectively, some apps may request permission to access certain data on your smartphone, such as location, contacts, or browsing history. It's important to review these permissions and consider the trade-off between personalized ads and privacy. 4. Cross-Device Tracking: Advertisers use techniques to track user activity across multiple devices, enabling them to create a more holistic understanding of user behavior. This allows for targeted ads to be delivered across smartphones, tablets, computers, and other connected devices. 5. Privacy Settings and Controls: Smartphone operating systems provide privacy settings that allow users to manage ad tracking and limit personalized advertising. These settings often include options to reset advertising identifiers, opt out of personalized ads, or restrict ad tracking across apps. 6. Ad-blocking and Privacy-focused Apps: Users who are particularly concerned about targeted ads can also utilize ad-blocking software or privacy-focused apps that aim to limit data collection and tracking. --------------------- From spike at rainier66.com Thu Dec 21 19:07:42 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 11:07:42 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: References: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> <018401da341f$3b2a7640$b17f62c0$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: <004901da3440$fa27e200$ee77a600$@rainier66.com> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of BillK via extropy-chat Sent: Thursday, 21 December, 2023 8:17 AM To: ExI chat list Cc: BillK Subject: Re: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence On Thu, 21 Dec 2023 at 15:09, spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: > > ... > The hoodie business might have been a coincidence. But that is the > only time ever I have received advertisements for wind turbine parts. > > I am open to alternative explanations for those ads. > > spike > _______________________________________________ >...Hi Spike I have just chatted to a few AIs and they all say that it is very unlikely that smartphones are continually recording speech ... I have included some AI comments below. BillK ------------------------ ... Well ja, but AI is in on it! It's a coverup! They are part of it, I tells ya! Thx BillK, it occurred to me that the wind turbine ads could be targeted by location. Since I bought gas, the ad industry would know my location and would realize I was in wind turbine country (along the Columbia Gorge.) If one likes wind power, oh boy, I can suggest a vacation spot for you. The Columbia Gorge is perfectly suited to that. The wind howls thru there constantly. The environmentalists hate those things with a burning passion, but every prime mover is associated with some form of environmental destruction, even relatively clean ones such as nuclear fission. They all have their environmental cost. Wind power located in places where the wind is steady and reliable is a good bargain in my opinion. I can repeat the experiment, since I intend to go up thru the gorge on another camping trip in March. This time I will not say a word or might even turn off my phone, see if I get any turbine ads. spike From efc at swisscows.email Thu Dec 21 19:18:26 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 20:18:26 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> References: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> Message-ID: <13ab8a38-76e5-a996-c649-9e5e08592220@swisscows.email> Hello MB, On Thu, 21 Dec 2023, MB via extropy-chat wrote: > When all these "smart" devices first came out I thought they were > wonderfully clever, but didn't have money to install/makeover my home to > be "smart. It only took a short while for me to notice the invisible You can build your own smart home so that you are in control. Granted, it does take either knowledge and interest, or paying someone with the knowledge, but if you're into that, that's an option. > Of course there are downsides to living "dumb". I'm willing to take that > risk. Out of pure curiousity, what are the downsides? I don't have a smart phone and I never saw the need for a smart home. But, I do live in either a 78 m^2 apartment or a 105 m^2 so I guess if I would live in a house perhaps there would be some use cases although I haven't been able to come up with "must haves" myself. Best regards, Daniel > > Regards, > MB > > On Thu, December 21, 2023 06:43, efc--- via extropy-chat wrote: >> No, I doubt it. It's been known for a long time that police can go in and >> get recordings and I haven't heard or read about anyone who objects. That >> is very scary according to me. =/ >> >> Best regards, >> Daniel >> >> >> On Thu, 21 Dec 2023, BillK via extropy-chat wrote: >> >>> Could smart speakers protect women against intimate partner violence? >>> by Monash University December 18, 2023 >>> >>> >>> Quotes: >>> New research from Monash University examines the practical, ethical >>> and political challenges of using smart home technologies to protect >>> women from intimate partner violence in their own homes. >>> >>> One in four Australian houses has at least one "smart speaker." This >>> powerful "always on" surveillance technology offers an unprecedented >>> opportunity to detect and predict events that take place in the home. >>> Patents lodged by Google, and research carried out overseas, suggest >>> that smart speakers could detect screams, shouting and other audio >>> signals associated with intimate partner violence. >>> ------------------ >>> >>> Surely people will just get rid of these devices once it becomes known >>> that they are police / morality spies? >>> >>> BillK > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > From efc at swisscows.email Thu Dec 21 19:23:36 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 20:23:36 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: References: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> <018401da341f$3b2a7640$b17f62c0$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: <6ead8960-c034-eaf8-abcf-a24195ebdff4@swisscows.email> Hello Bill, On Thu, 21 Dec 2023, BillK via extropy-chat wrote: > I have just chatted to a few AIs and they all say that it is very > unlikely that smartphones are continually recording speech while they > are not in use. And also extremely dangerous. If a phone would continually record speech I imagine that it would be fairly simple for someone knowledgeable to find that out, and imagine the world of pain for the phone manufacturers if it turned out that their phones recorded without your permission. I am certain that there are many apps that record stuff if you are not careful but I think (not having a smartphone myself) that you have to give permission for them to listen and record. But the phone itself, without your permission, sounds very dangerous, especially for a US company. Best regards, Daniel From pharos at gmail.com Thu Dec 21 20:58:54 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 20:58:54 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: <004901da3440$fa27e200$ee77a600$@rainier66.com> References: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> <018401da341f$3b2a7640$b17f62c0$@rainier66.com> <004901da3440$fa27e200$ee77a600$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: On Thu, 21 Dec 2023 at 19:07, wrote: > > > I can repeat the experiment, since I intend to go up thru the gorge on > another camping trip in March. This time I will not say a word or might > even turn off my phone, see if I get any turbine ads. > > spike >----------------------------------- When your phone is on, it is probably using GPS and location services, so the incoming missile can be precisely targeted. :) When your phone is switched off, the network can still trace it using Cell Tower Triangulation. Smartphones communicate with the nearest cell tower even when they aren't making calls. This gives a rough idea of the device's location. The strength of the device's signal, whether it is stronger or weaker, gives the network provider even more information about how far away the cell phone is from a tower. When the signal from multiple towers is combined, it's possible to narrow down the location even further. To disappear from the system, you need to hide the phone in a Faraday pouch. (Of course, this is very suspicious behaviour). ;) BillK From pharos at gmail.com Thu Dec 21 23:28:18 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 23:28:18 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: References: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> <018401da341f$3b2a7640$b17f62c0$@rainier66.com> <004901da3440$fa27e200$ee77a600$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: On Thu, 21 Dec 2023 at 20:58, BillK wrote: > > > To disappear from the system, you need to hide the phone in a Faraday pouch. > (Of course, this is very suspicious behaviour). ;) >----------------------------- Really, people need to realise that our rulers cannot resist the temptation to track everyone, everywhere, all the time. The article I quoted a few weeks ago covered this. The Internet Enabled Mass Surveillance. A.I. Will Enable Mass Spying. --------------- BillK From efc at swisscows.email Thu Dec 21 23:41:22 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Fri, 22 Dec 2023 00:41:22 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: References: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> <018401da341f$3b2a7640$b17f62c0$@rainier66.com> <004901da3440$fa27e200$ee77a600$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: On Thu, 21 Dec 2023, BillK via extropy-chat wrote: >> > >> >> To disappear from the system, you need to hide the phone in a Faraday pouch. >> (Of course, this is very suspicious behaviour). ;) >> ----------------------------- > > Really, people need to realise that our rulers cannot resist the > temptation to track everyone, everywhere, all the time. > > The article I quoted a few weeks ago covered this. > > The Internet Enabled Mass Surveillance. A.I. Will Enable Mass Spying. Well, a small mitigating factor is that humans are still necessary to enforce the laws and drag the people into prisons. It's not a big comfort, but at least better than nothing. ;) So attempting to draw this to the extreme, imagine that half the population are known to have been doing something illegal. Dragging them off to prison would then mean the other half of the population would have to stop generating value in order to engage in destructive work, and then there will be medieval times and pitchforks. Looking at the other extreme, with only one police man trying to police a million, it won't matter if his AI knows everything. Of course there will probably be a "happy" middle, and given enough time, fully autonomous robots, but for the near future at least the involvement of human being puts some kind of limitation on the bad news. Best regards, Daniel From spike at rainier66.com Fri Dec 22 00:44:26 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 16:44:26 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: References: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> <018401da341f$3b2a7640$b17f62c0$@rainier66.com> <004901da3440$fa27e200$ee77a600$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: <008301da3470$04617bd0$0d247370$@rainier66.com> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of efc--- via extropy-chat Subject: Re: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence On Thu, 21 Dec 2023, BillK via extropy-chat wrote: >> > >> >> To disappear from the system, you need to hide the phone in a Faraday pouch. >> (Of course, this is very suspicious behaviour). ;) >> ----------------------------- > > >... A.I. Will Enable > Mass Spying. >...Well, a small mitigating factor is that humans are still necessary to enforce the laws and drag the people into prisons. >...Daniel _______________________________________________ Well not really Daniel. In our times we have witnessed a transition to lawsuit rather than prison. Prisons cost money. Lawsuits transfer money. The kinds of cases that matter are the ones where people are sued for millions over what they say. spike From foozler83 at gmail.com Fri Dec 22 02:00:01 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Thu, 21 Dec 2023 20:00:01 -0600 Subject: [ExI] Metaphor Message-ID: Since it has been calculated (by Carl Sagan) that the brain puts out about 25 watts, we can conclude that we are all dim bulbs. bill w -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From efc at swisscows.email Fri Dec 22 09:22:28 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Fri, 22 Dec 2023 10:22:28 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Home smart speakers could report crimes or violence In-Reply-To: <008301da3470$04617bd0$0d247370$@rainier66.com> References: <713e8a1cff1aed40017259952d294ae1.squirrel@www.main.nc.us> <018401da341f$3b2a7640$b17f62c0$@rainier66.com> <004901da3440$fa27e200$ee77a600$@rainier66.com> <008301da3470$04617bd0$0d247370$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: Good morning spike, On Thu, 21 Dec 2023, spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: > Well not really Daniel. In our times we have witnessed a transition to > lawsuit rather than prison. Prisons cost money. Lawsuits transfer money. > The kinds of cases that matter are the ones where people are sued for > millions over what they say. Hmm, well, if we assume automated courts, and automated transfers from peoples bank accounts, I can think of no better way in order to enable the shift to crypto currencies and cash in record speed. After that, you would still have to have people running around actually forcing other people to part with their money. But to challenge myself, we'll then assume that cash is made illegal, and no official physical currency will be produced. In that case, I could see a black economy using some other countries currency, or crypto. So society would split in two. The official where everyone is guilty of a crime and can be potentially charged, and hte unofficial being run on imported cash or crypto. I guess my claim is that if too many resources of a society is used for enforcement, punishment and administration, too little resources will be left for productive work, and standards of living will fall. In theory, low enough standards of living could spark a revolution, but I do admit that it seems exceptionally rare, so I imagine it would have to be "starvation and dead bodies in the streets"-levels of starvation before the population feel that they have nothing to lose by their revolution. Best regards, Daniel > > spike > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > From giulio at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 06:57:05 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 07:57:05 +0100 Subject: [ExI] Merry Christmas + e/acc, extropy, cosmism Message-ID: My end-of-year post. Merry Christmas & a happy, accelerated 2024 to you all! More thoughts on effective accelerationism (e/acc), extropy, cosmism, spaceflight, and AI. https://www.turingchurch.com/p/more-thoughts-on-effective-accelerationism From postmowoods at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 15:58:15 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 08:58:15 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Just a simple question In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: For one thing, just as soon as someone is expert enough to upload their own mind, then that uploaded mind becomes the world expert immediately supplanting the former "expert" so if by expert you mean the best in the world, then there couldn't be one for more than a few milliseconds after they successfully upload their own mind. So being an expert at mind uploading is a brief career. On the other hand, there are experts in mind uploading today, if you count uploading the mind of a C. Elegans. That person will remain an expert at mind uploading for some time, I'd suspect. In today's world, there are rarely individual experts on anything leading edge. The reason for this is that to accomplish anything at the moment takes a large team. There's no single expert on space telescopes, but there are teams of experts on various subcomponents that constitute a space telescope, and other experts at actually getting said device into space. Another interesting line of reasoning revolves around the unknowable legal structure surrounding the future of AIs. Will the uploaded brain of the upload expert be their own person? Will they have enough legal rights to claim expertise, or will they be an "owned" tool of the original uploadee? We can only imagine what those legal structures might look like, but I'd bet the AIs would be smart enough to argue their way into being recognized as legitimate sentient beings with some rights at some point. I found this question not to be at all stupid, but rather a good prompt for foraging through a quite interesting ideascape. -Kelly On Sun, Dec 17, 2023 at 7:47?AM William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat wrote: > > How can there be an expert in mind-uploading? bill w > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From postmowoods at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 16:11:50 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 09:11:50 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? Message-ID: Einstein proposed that nothing could achieve the speed of light because it gained mass as it got closer to that speed. I wonder if something similar might affect intellectual progress. Though there is no c there, so it might not hold together entirely. Hang with this for a second though, as there is a counter exponential at play. As we grope into the future, there is a trend away from the single brilliant inventor. Edison had a whole lab of people, some of whom were clearly smarter than he. Eli Whitney pretty much invented the cotton gin by himself relying on only a few simple precedent ideas. By the time we get to super colliders, fusion reactors and rockets, you need a village of scientists and engineers to make progress. Is it possible that the exponential curve towards the singularity has a hidden negative signal of increased resistance to progress because of the required size of the team? Might this be one reason that we haven't yet progressed beyond the jumbo jet airliner? Is that indicative of the future of a lot of things? How many Intel employees does it take to design the next iteration of their CPU? Yes, they have computational minds that help them with layout and such now... but you can hardly say Oppenheimer was the inventor of the atomic bomb. He was the face of the project and coordinated the efforts to some degree, but you can't make that level of progress without a sea of minds. Musk has ideas (or maybe his people do that too) and finances them, but the actual work is carried forward by an army of engineering ants. As I believe in emergence as a deep concept, I tend to see groups more than individuals, though I value individual contribution greatly. Perhaps my mind has wandered too freely and it is time to go work on my own, much simpler, inventions, as they seem to constantly be broken. -Kelly From jasonresch at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 16:39:15 2023 From: jasonresch at gmail.com (Jason Resch) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 11:39:15 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 23, 2023, 11:12 AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > Einstein proposed that nothing could achieve the speed of light > because it gained mass as it got closer to that speed. > > I wonder if something similar might affect intellectual progress. > There is. Seth Lloyd describes the physical limits of computational speed and memory density, which are a function of just three physical constants (c, h-bar, and G): https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/9908043 I would argue these computational bounds imply a physical bound on intelligence (which is limited by, and to an extent a function of, computation and memory). Roughly speaking, computational speed is a function of mass, while memory is a function of mass and volume. The greater the volume the more memory, but the slower non-parallelizable processing becomes. Energy use is a function of forgetting (erasing information) and background temperature. A reversible computer loses no information, and therefore need use no energy at all to run. The physical object with the fastest computation and memory density would look like a black hole: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/black-hole-computers-2007-04/ Though there is no c there, so it might not hold together entirely. > Hang with this for a second though, as there is a counter exponential > at play. > > As we grope into the future, there is a trend away from the single > brilliant inventor. Edison had a whole lab of people, some of whom > were clearly smarter than he. Eli Whitney pretty much invented the > cotton gin by himself relying on only a few simple precedent ideas. By > the time we get to super colliders, fusion reactors and rockets, you > need a village of scientists and engineers to make progress. > I see echos of the memory / parallelism/ volume / speed trade-offs in physics reemerging here in the context of human brains, teams, remote work, etc. Very interesting. > Is it possible that the exponential curve towards the singularity has > a hidden negative signal of increased resistance to progress because > of the required size of the team? Might this be one reason that we > haven't yet progressed beyond the jumbo jet airliner? Is that > indicative of the future of a lot of things? How many Intel employees > does it take to design the next iteration of their CPU? Yes, they have > computational minds that help them with layout and such now... but you > can hardly say Oppenheimer was the inventor of the atomic bomb. He was > the face of the project and coordinated the efforts to some degree, > but you can't make that level of progress without a sea of minds. Musk > has ideas (or maybe his people do that too) and finances them, but the > actual work is carried forward by an army of engineering ants. As I > believe in emergence as a deep concept, I tend to see groups more than > individuals, though I value individual contribution greatly. > Progress has loosely been a function of the number of inventors which is a function of population. There was a trend change in population growth in the 60s which seemed to alter the path we were on: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/04/22/1960-the-year-the-singularity-was-cancelled/ I don't know to what extent this may have forestalled thy singularity, however, as computers have been taking on an ever greater fraction of the cognitive load. I think we're still roughly on track for van Forrester's predictions of 2027 +/- 5 years. > Perhaps my mind has wandered too freely and it is time to go work on > my own, much simpler, inventions, as they seem to constantly be > broken. > Thanks for your intriguing ideas. I appreciate them. Jason -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From atymes at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 16:41:05 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 08:41:05 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 23, 2023 at 8:13?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > Einstein proposed that nothing could achieve the speed of light > because it gained mass as it got closer to that speed. > > I wonder if something similar might affect intellectual progress. > Though there is no c there, so it might not hold together entirely. > Hang with this for a second though, as there is a counter exponential > at play. > > As we grope into the future, there is a trend away from the single > brilliant inventor. Edison had a whole lab of people, some of whom > were clearly smarter than he. Eli Whitney pretty much invented the > cotton gin by himself relying on only a few simple precedent ideas. By > the time we get to super colliders, fusion reactors and rockets, you > need a village of scientists and engineers to make progress. > That is only a function of how big the design is. It is possible for one person to design all the components, but it is infeasible for one person to build something that large. The light bulb was a bit of an exception, though https://www.statista.com/chart/10567/the-cost-of-light-through-the-ages/ shows that in 1880 - after Edison's team's famous labor - artificial light still cost over 10,000 times what it does today,after accounting for inflation. That said, as it is said, we live in a society. Eli Whitney did not invent mining, blacksmithing, or the other crafts needed to make the parts he assembled. Albert Einstein did not invent physics, mathematics, or writing - not even the German or English languages. Those who come up with new things, start from other contributions of those who have gone before them. The Internet allows dramatically better access to this - if it has been written up and posted where one can get at it, if one is skilled enough to find it, and if one is of a mindset to do so:even today's youth who grew up online too often do not think to search for answers online when they have questions they find difficult. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike at rainier66.com Sat Dec 23 16:45:38 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 08:45:38 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Merry Christmas + e/acc, extropy, cosmism In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <004a01da35bf$763d85a0$62b890e0$@rainier66.com> Giulio, likewise sir! May 2024 be very good to you. spike -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat Sent: Friday, 22 December, 2023 10:57 PM To: extropolis at googlegroups.com; ExI chat list Cc: Giulio Prisco Subject: [ExI] Merry Christmas + e/acc, extropy, cosmism My end-of-year post. Merry Christmas & a happy, accelerated 2024 to you all! More thoughts on effective accelerationism (e/acc), extropy, cosmism, spaceflight, and AI. https://www.turingchurch.com/p/more-thoughts-on-effective-accelerationism _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From spike at rainier66.com Sat Dec 23 17:09:35 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 09:09:35 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <005901da35c2$ce7d32d0$6b779870$@rainier66.com> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? >...Einstein proposed that nothing could achieve the speed of light because it gained mass as it got closer to that speed... ... >...Is it possible that the exponential curve towards the singularity has a hidden negative signal of increased resistance to progress because of the required size of the team? ...-Kelly _______________________________________________ Cool analogy Kelly. I hafta think there are some negative feedback loops we don't really know about yet, or don't know well. Of course a controls engineer will think of that possibility: the absence of negative feedback loops in any mechanical system leads to a singularity, or a resonance, or some kind of breakdown in the linearity of the system. Singularity theory requires the absence of negative feedback. We still don't know if that model is right. spike From msd001 at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 17:45:11 2023 From: msd001 at gmail.com (Mike Dougherty) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 12:45:11 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 23, 2023, 11:13 AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > As I believe in emergence as a deep concept, I tend to see groups more than > individuals, though I value individual contribution greatly. > > Perhaps my mind has wandered too freely and it is time to go work on > my own, much simpler, inventions, as they seem to constantly be > broken. > I know your focus was on low level engineering principles, but I would propose an emergent driver at another organizational level: values alignment of the population. Even if your smartest engineers prove something like climate change can be managed adequately, the implementation costs (lifestyle change) may be unacceptable to the majority - then are the constraints properly modelled for the problem to actually be solved. I originally thought down the line that common resources (earth) may be best allocated as computation after turning the planet completely to computronium and abandoning this obsession with green biology - but the climate example is closer to home (and now) i know we may as well upload the bio-humans and run their zoo simulation with sufficient fidelity that they never know the nature of their Nature, but on the way to that implementation there will be disagreements that slow progress. Slowing progress is that negative feedback, but has little to do with engineering and instead is a people problem. The larger the impact to people (positive or negative, per perception or opinion) the larger the people problem becomes. > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From postmowoods at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 17:54:00 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 10:54:00 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Unassailability and the Fermi Paradox Message-ID: I doubt this is a new idea. After reading the Scientific America article that was recently proffered... Within history for the past few thousand years there has been an oscillation between unassailable walls and more and more terrible machines for breaching walls. When taken to its limit, the most unassailable wall in the universe is the event horizon of a black hole. Going through an event horizon, as I understand it, leads to a poor outcome for the invader. If, on the other hand, it were possible to engineer the collapse creating a black hole such that the matter initially creating the black hole maintained some kind of pattern, then one could conceptually collapse one's civilization into a black hole and thus create an unassailable wall the likes of which has never been seen in our history. Perhaps this is a partial answer to the Fermi Paradox, I know people have associated black holes with the paradox before, so nothing new there... but orbiting a black hole seems slightly different than creating a black hole with maintained patterns within... comments? Am I just missing some large part of physics here? -Kelly From postmowoods at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 18:00:08 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 11:00:08 -0700 Subject: [ExI] AI ChatGPT Outperforms Humans in Providing Social Advice In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 3, 2023 at 4:39?PM BillK via extropy-chat wrote: > > On Sun, 3 Dec 2023 at 23:23, Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > I very consistently use ChatGPT when writing sensitive emails to > > squeeze out the Aspherger's type phrases I picked up after years of > > programming. It consistently fixes my tone and puts more humanity into > > my communications than I am able to do by myself. It's saved my butt > > quite a few times now. I just write the email I want to with the "fuck > > yous" and tell ChatGPT to make it nice and viola! I get a nicely > > phrased email suitable for humans. > > > > -Kelly > > _______________________________________________ > > > That's a good use for ChatGPT. > Maybe it could also help Elon Musk talk to X customers > and improve his language! :) It might at that. I once again used ChatGPT to compose a letter this morning... took 4 iterations... I'd be happy to share: To whom it may concern, As close friends and employers of , we have the unique opportunity to observe his daily life and the challenges he bravely faces. is more than just a contributor to society; he is a testament to the strength of the human spirit in facing adversity. Despite the personal challenges he endures, notably with his wife?s health situation, his ability to work and live independently is a clear indication of his capabilities. 's generosity and community spirit are exemplified in actions like helping co-workers with transportation, even going so far as to give away his own car. This selflessness is just one aspect of his character that makes him a valued member of our community. While may not focus on personal appearance, this trait does not reflect any deeper dysfunction. We see in a light that occasional observers cannot, and we are confident in his ability to manage his life with the same diligence he shows at work. We are actively working with him to enhance this aspect of his life, and he is receptive to these efforts. With his wife now in care, has the opportunity to focus more on his personal development. We understand that some may express concern over 's situation, especially with the recent changes in his personal life. However, these concerns, while well-intentioned, may not fully account for 's resilience and resourcefulness. We see him overcome challenges daily, and his desire to work and be a part of our team is not just a job for him; it?s a part of his identity and his anchor in these turbulent times. The community?s support for is overwhelming. Whenever we mention his progress, the positive response is heartwarming. This community love reinforces the positive impact has on everyone. In conclusion, we stand firmly in support of 's continued independence and well-being. His contribution to our workplace and the community is invaluable, and we are committed to supporting him in every way possible. We welcome any discussions regarding his future and care. Sincerely, Kelly Anderson I thought it turned out considerably better than I could have done by myself, and was very quick work. -Kelly From pharos at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 18:06:52 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 18:06:52 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: <005901da35c2$ce7d32d0$6b779870$@rainier66.com> References: <005901da35c2$ce7d32d0$6b779870$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: On Sat, 23 Dec 2023 at 17:11, spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: > > I hafta think there are some negative feedback loops we don't really know > about yet, or don't know well. Of course a controls engineer will think of > that possibility: the absence of negative feedback loops in any mechanical > system leads to a singularity, or a resonance, or some kind of breakdown in > the linearity of the system. > > Singularity theory requires the absence of negative feedback. We still > don't know if that model is right. > > spike > _______________________________________________ My favourite AI is optimistic that obstacles can be overcome. But it doesn't know about 'unknown' obstacles. :) BillK -------------------------- As technological progress accelerates at an ever-increasing rate, could there be unexpected blocks to further progress? Yes, as technological progress accelerates at an ever-increasing rate, there could be unexpected blocks or obstacles that hinder further progress. While the trajectory of progress is often envisioned as exponential, it's important to recognize that various factors can influence the pace and direction of advancement. Here are some potential blocks to progress: 1. Technological Constraints: As technologies advance, they may encounter fundamental physical or engineering limitations that impede further breakthroughs. For example, in some fields, such as semiconductor manufacturing or battery technology, researchers may reach the limits of what current materials or processes can achieve, requiring significant innovations or paradigm shifts to overcome these constraints. 2. Resource Limitations: Technological progress often requires substantial resources, including funding, raw materials, energy, and skilled labor. If these resources become scarce or inaccessible, it could impede the development and deployment of new technologies. Additionally, geopolitical factors, economic conditions, or environmental challenges may affect the availability and distribution of resources necessary for progress. 3. Regulatory and Legal Barriers: The introduction of new technologies often prompts regulatory and legal considerations. Governments and regulatory bodies may impose restrictions or regulations to address concerns about safety, ethics, privacy, or other societal impacts. While these measures are intended to ensure responsible development, they can also create barriers, delays, or uncertainties that slow down progress. 4. Ethical and Social Implications: As technological advancements become more complex and impactful, ethical and social implications become increasingly salient. Concerns about privacy, security, equality, and societal disruptions may lead to calls for caution, regulation, or even outright resistance to certain technologies. Public opinion and ethical considerations can significantly influence the trajectory of progress. 5. Unforeseen Challenges: Technological progress often involves navigating unpredictable challenges and setbacks. New discoveries may reveal unforeseen risks or limitations, requiring researchers to revisit their approaches or develop new solutions. Additionally, the complexity of certain problems, such as understanding the human brain or achieving breakthroughs in fundamental physics, may present unexpected hurdles that slow down progress. 6. Economic or Market Factors: The pace of progress can be influenced by economic factors and market dynamics. Technological advancements require investments, market demand, and viable business models to support their development and deployment. If economic conditions change, funding becomes scarce, or market demand shifts, it can impact the speed and direction of progress in specific areas. While these blocks can pose challenges, it's important to note that they are not insurmountable. Often, overcoming these obstacles requires collaboration, interdisciplinary approaches, innovative solutions, and adaptive strategies. The ability to address and navigate these blocks effectively can shape the future trajectory of progress. ------------------ From jasonresch at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 18:48:21 2023 From: jasonresch at gmail.com (Jason Resch) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 13:48:21 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Unassailability and the Fermi Paradox In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 23, 2023, 12:55 PM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > I doubt this is a new idea. > > After reading the Scientific America article that was recently proffered... > > Within history for the past few thousand years there has been an > oscillation between unassailable walls and more and more terrible > machines for breaching walls. When taken to its limit, the most > unassailable wall in the universe is the event horizon of a black > hole. Going through an event horizon, as I understand it, leads to a > poor outcome for the invader. If, on the other hand, it were possible > to engineer the collapse creating a black hole such that the matter > initially creating the black hole maintained some kind of pattern, > then one could conceptually collapse one's civilization into a black > hole and thus create an unassailable wall the likes of which has never > been seen in our history. Perhaps this is a partial answer to the > Fermi Paradox, I know people have associated black holes with the > paradox before, so nothing new there... but orbiting a black hole > seems slightly different than creating a black hole with maintained > patterns within... comments? Am I just missing some large part of > physics here? > This has been coined the "Transcension Hypothesis" by Jonathan Smart: https://alwaysasking.com/are-we-alone/#They_Leave_our_Universe Jason > -Kelly > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike at rainier66.com Sat Dec 23 18:49:42 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 10:49:42 -0800 Subject: [ExI] mathematical musical comedy In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <00b301da35d0$cb0038b0$6100aa10$@rainier66.com> Priceless: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NOCsdhzo6Jg spike From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 19:00:01 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 11:00:01 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Just a simple question In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: I would suggest extreme caution in uploading brains. Humans have evolved psychological traits that seem to be a bad idea if the uploaded version has a lot of power. Keith On Sat, Dec 23, 2023 at 7:59?AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat wrote: > > For one thing, just as soon as someone is expert enough to upload > their own mind, then that uploaded mind becomes the world expert > immediately supplanting the former "expert" so if by expert you mean > the best in the world, then there couldn't be one for more than a few > milliseconds after they successfully upload their own mind. So being > an expert at mind uploading is a brief career. > > On the other hand, there are experts in mind uploading today, if you > count uploading the mind of a C. Elegans. That person will remain an > expert at mind uploading for some time, I'd suspect. > > In today's world, there are rarely individual experts on anything > leading edge. The reason for this is that to accomplish anything at > the moment takes a large team. There's no single expert on space > telescopes, but there are teams of experts on various subcomponents > that constitute a space telescope, and other experts at actually > getting said device into space. > > Another interesting line of reasoning revolves around the unknowable > legal structure surrounding the future of AIs. Will the uploaded brain > of the upload expert be their own person? Will they have enough legal > rights to claim expertise, or will they be an "owned" tool of the > original uploadee? We can only imagine what those legal structures > might look like, but I'd bet the AIs would be smart enough to argue > their way into being recognized as legitimate sentient beings with > some rights at some point. > > I found this question not to be at all stupid, but rather a good > prompt for foraging through a quite interesting ideascape. > > -Kelly > > On Sun, Dec 17, 2023 at 7:47?AM William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > How can there be an expert in mind-uploading? bill w > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From spike at rainier66.com Sat Dec 23 19:42:06 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 11:42:06 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Unassailability and the Fermi Paradox In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <00c401da35d8$1ce48f80$56adae80$@rainier66.com> From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of Jason Resch via extropy-chat ? >?This has been coined the "Transcension Hypothesis" by Jonathan Smart: https://alwaysasking.com/are-we-alone/#They_Leave_our_Universe Jason John Smart! Cool! What is he doing these days? I went to several of his lectures when he was a local, but I lost track of him about 20 yrs ago. Hell of a nice guy in addition to being very appropriately named. Anyone following John Smart these days? spike -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From efc at swisscows.email Sat Dec 23 20:50:17 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 21:50:17 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Unassailability and the Fermi Paradox In-Reply-To: <00c401da35d8$1ce48f80$56adae80$@rainier66.com> References: <00c401da35d8$1ce48f80$56adae80$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: Another fun take on the theme, if memory serves, is the David Brin short stories The Crystal Spheres (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Crystal_Spheres)! =) Best regards, Daniel On Sat, 23 Dec 2023, spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: > > ? > > ? > > From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of Jason Resch via extropy-chat > ? > > ? > > >?This has been coined the "Transcension Hypothesis" by Jonathan Smart: > > ? > > https://alwaysasking.com/are-we-alone/#They_Leave_our_Universe > > ? > > Jason? > > ? > > ? > > ? > > John Smart!? Cool! > > ? > > What is he doing these days?? I went to several of his lectures when he was a local, but I lost track of him about 20 yrs ago.? Hell > of a nice guy in addition to being very appropriately named. > > ? > > Anyone following John Smart these days? > > ? > > spike > > ? > > ? > > > From efc at swisscows.email Sat Dec 23 20:56:05 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 21:56:05 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <30f7284a-f06d-4be9-3f8c-a5f8af4501a0@swisscows.email> On Sat, 23 Dec 2023, Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat wrote: > Is it possible that the exponential curve towards the singularity has > a hidden negative signal of increased resistance to progress because > of the required size of the team? Might this be one reason that we Hello Kelly, I often thought about the same thing myself, especially in the face of AI-doomers. What if there is a "hard limit" on intelligence? Wouldn't that be a disappointment, but also, very fascinating! It is of course not right to generalize/speculate from biological intelligence to non-biological intelligence (but who knows, maybe the same principles apply?) but it seems to me that the more intelligent the person, the higher the likelihood for psychological problems and not being able to navigate the physical world successfully. So maybe evolution has evolved a "functional span" for intelligence, where too much and too little are not conducive to passing on ones genes? Of course that's just my own subjective experience with very smart people, so I would be interested in if there is in fact a correlation between very intelligent people and psychological problems/instability or if that is just an urban myth. Best regards, Daniel From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 21:25:54 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 13:25:54 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 23, 2023 at 8:40?AM Jason Resch via extropy-chat wrote: > > On Sat, Dec 23, 2023, 11:12 AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> Einstein proposed that nothing could achieve the speed of light >> because it gained mass as it got closer to that speed. >> >> I wonder if something similar might affect intellectual progress. > > > There is. Seth Lloyd describes the physical limits of computational speed and memory density, which are a function of just three physical constants (c, h-bar, and G): https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/9908043 I have to read this more carefully, but I wonder if he got the radiation limits right. If Tabby's Star blinking is the result of huge data centers coming between us and the star, then we have an example Kieth > I would argue these computational bounds imply a physical bound on intelligence (which is limited by, and to an extent a function of, computation and memory). > > Roughly speaking, computational speed is a function of mass, while memory is a function of mass and volume. The greater the volume the more memory, but the slower non-parallelizable processing becomes. Energy use is a function of forgetting (erasing information) and background temperature. A reversible computer loses no information, and therefore need use no energy at all to run. > > The physical object with the fastest computation and memory density would look like a black hole: > https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/black-hole-computers-2007-04/ > > >> Though there is no c there, so it might not hold together entirely. >> Hang with this for a second though, as there is a counter exponential >> at play. >> >> As we grope into the future, there is a trend away from the single >> brilliant inventor. Edison had a whole lab of people, some of whom >> were clearly smarter than he. Eli Whitney pretty much invented the >> cotton gin by himself relying on only a few simple precedent ideas. By >> the time we get to super colliders, fusion reactors and rockets, you >> need a village of scientists and engineers to make progress. > > > I see echos of the memory / parallelism/ volume / speed trade-offs in physics reemerging here in the context of human brains, teams, remote work, etc. Very interesting. > >> >> Is it possible that the exponential curve towards the singularity has >> a hidden negative signal of increased resistance to progress because >> of the required size of the team? Might this be one reason that we >> haven't yet progressed beyond the jumbo jet airliner? Is that >> indicative of the future of a lot of things? How many Intel employees >> does it take to design the next iteration of their CPU? Yes, they have >> computational minds that help them with layout and such now... but you >> can hardly say Oppenheimer was the inventor of the atomic bomb. He was >> the face of the project and coordinated the efforts to some degree, >> but you can't make that level of progress without a sea of minds. Musk >> has ideas (or maybe his people do that too) and finances them, but the >> actual work is carried forward by an army of engineering ants. As I >> believe in emergence as a deep concept, I tend to see groups more than >> individuals, though I value individual contribution greatly. > > > Progress has loosely been a function of the number of inventors which is a function of population. There was a trend change in population growth in the 60s which seemed to alter the path we were on: > > https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/04/22/1960-the-year-the-singularity-was-cancelled/ > > I don't know to what extent this may have forestalled thy singularity, however, as computers have been taking on an ever greater fraction of the cognitive load. I think we're still roughly on track for van Forrester's predictions of 2027 +/- 5 years. > > >> >> Perhaps my mind has wandered too freely and it is time to go work on >> my own, much simpler, inventions, as they seem to constantly be >> broken. > > > Thanks for your intriguing ideas. I appreciate them. > > Jason > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From jasonresch at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 21:41:34 2023 From: jasonresch at gmail.com (Jason Resch) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 16:41:34 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 23, 2023, 4:26 PM Keith Henson wrote: > On Sat, Dec 23, 2023 at 8:40?AM Jason Resch via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > On Sat, Dec 23, 2023, 11:12 AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> > >> Einstein proposed that nothing could achieve the speed of light > >> because it gained mass as it got closer to that speed. > >> > >> I wonder if something similar might affect intellectual progress. > > > > > > There is. Seth Lloyd describes the physical limits of computational > speed and memory density, which are a function of just three physical > constants (c, h-bar, and G): https://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/9908043 > > I have to read this more carefully, but I wonder if he got the > radiation limits right. > The limits he arrives at are roughly in line with Bremermann's limit. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bremermann%27s_limit Which is a straightforward calculation for how quickly a quantum system can detectably transition between states. It is essentially the amount of time it takes for a photon of a given energy to traverse its own wavelength. This yields a physical bound on Hertz for a given amount of energy (or mass). > If Tabby's Star blinking is the result of huge data centers coming > between us and the star, then we have an example > Stars only convert 0.7% of their mass to energy from fusion. Stephen hawking suggested advanced civilizations might use small black holes as power plants as they could convert 100% of their mass to energy: "A mountain-sized black hole would give off X-rays and gamma rays, at a rate of about 10 million megawatts, enough to power the world?s electricity supply." -- Stephen Hawking Something this small would likely be completely undetectable to us. Further, if alien civilizations shift to using reversible computers, then energy would no longer be a scarce resource to them as their computers could run without consuming power. Jason > Kieth > > > I would argue these computational bounds imply a physical bound on > intelligence (which is limited by, and to an extent a function of, > computation and memory). > > > > Roughly speaking, computational speed is a function of mass, while > memory is a function of mass and volume. The greater the volume the more > memory, but the slower non-parallelizable processing becomes. Energy use is > a function of forgetting (erasing information) and background temperature. > A reversible computer loses no information, and therefore need use no > energy at all to run. > > > > The physical object with the fastest computation and memory density > would look like a black hole: > > https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/black-hole-computers-2007-04/ > > > > > >> Though there is no c there, so it might not hold together entirely. > >> Hang with this for a second though, as there is a counter exponential > >> at play. > >> > >> As we grope into the future, there is a trend away from the single > >> brilliant inventor. Edison had a whole lab of people, some of whom > >> were clearly smarter than he. Eli Whitney pretty much invented the > >> cotton gin by himself relying on only a few simple precedent ideas. By > >> the time we get to super colliders, fusion reactors and rockets, you > >> need a village of scientists and engineers to make progress. > > > > > > I see echos of the memory / parallelism/ volume / speed trade-offs in > physics reemerging here in the context of human brains, teams, remote work, > etc. Very interesting. > > > >> > >> Is it possible that the exponential curve towards the singularity has > >> a hidden negative signal of increased resistance to progress because > >> of the required size of the team? Might this be one reason that we > >> haven't yet progressed beyond the jumbo jet airliner? Is that > >> indicative of the future of a lot of things? How many Intel employees > >> does it take to design the next iteration of their CPU? Yes, they have > >> computational minds that help them with layout and such now... but you > >> can hardly say Oppenheimer was the inventor of the atomic bomb. He was > >> the face of the project and coordinated the efforts to some degree, > >> but you can't make that level of progress without a sea of minds. Musk > >> has ideas (or maybe his people do that too) and finances them, but the > >> actual work is carried forward by an army of engineering ants. As I > >> believe in emergence as a deep concept, I tend to see groups more than > >> individuals, though I value individual contribution greatly. > > > > > > Progress has loosely been a function of the number of inventors which is > a function of population. There was a trend change in population growth in > the 60s which seemed to alter the path we were on: > > > > > https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/04/22/1960-the-year-the-singularity-was-cancelled/ > > > > I don't know to what extent this may have forestalled thy singularity, > however, as computers have been taking on an ever greater fraction of the > cognitive load. I think we're still roughly on track for van Forrester's > predictions of 2027 +/- 5 years. > > > > > >> > >> Perhaps my mind has wandered too freely and it is time to go work on > >> my own, much simpler, inventions, as they seem to constantly be > >> broken. > > > > > > Thanks for your intriguing ideas. I appreciate them. > > > > Jason > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From foozler83 at gmail.com Sat Dec 23 22:54:23 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 16:54:23 -0600 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) Message-ID: On some post which I cannot find, a question arose about high IQ and mental stability. High IQ people, according to data I ran across some time ago, are better off than their closer to the average peers in every way: mental health, physical health, economic health - in short on every significant factor. This is a small correlation between IQ and manic/depression, which some high IQ people in history manifested. There is no correlation with psychoticism - although high IQ people do tend to be a bit weird compared to the 'normal' person. Myths die hard. bill w -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Sun Dec 24 02:20:32 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 18:20:32 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, Dec 23, 2023 at 1:41?PM Jason Resch wrote: snip > Stars only convert 0.7% of their mass to energy from fusion. Stephen hawking suggested advanced civilizations might use small black holes as power plants as they could convert 100% of their mass to energy: > > "A mountain-sized black hole would give off X-rays and gamma rays, at a rate of about 10 million megawatts, enough to power the world?s electricity supply." > -- Stephen Hawking Whatever is blocking light at Tabby's Star is intercepting 1.4 million times the total energy the human race uses. I suspect that back holes may be beyond the most advanced engineering. In any case, stars provide a lot of energy even for smallish dyson patches. Keith > > Something this small would likely be completely undetectable to us. Further, if alien civilizations shift to using reversible computers, then energy would no longer be a scarce resource to them as their computers could run without consuming power. > > Jason > >> >> Kieth >> >> > I would argue these computational bounds imply a physical bound on intelligence (which is limited by, and to an extent a function of, computation and memory). >> > >> > Roughly speaking, computational speed is a function of mass, while memory is a function of mass and volume. The greater the volume the more memory, but the slower non-parallelizable processing becomes. Energy use is a function of forgetting (erasing information) and background temperature. A reversible computer loses no information, and therefore need use no energy at all to run. >> > >> > The physical object with the fastest computation and memory density would look like a black hole: >> > https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/black-hole-computers-2007-04/ >> > >> > >> >> Though there is no c there, so it might not hold together entirely. >> >> Hang with this for a second though, as there is a counter exponential >> >> at play. >> >> >> >> As we grope into the future, there is a trend away from the single >> >> brilliant inventor. Edison had a whole lab of people, some of whom >> >> were clearly smarter than he. Eli Whitney pretty much invented the >> >> cotton gin by himself relying on only a few simple precedent ideas. By >> >> the time we get to super colliders, fusion reactors and rockets, you >> >> need a village of scientists and engineers to make progress. >> > >> > >> > I see echos of the memory / parallelism/ volume / speed trade-offs in physics reemerging here in the context of human brains, teams, remote work, etc. Very interesting. >> > >> >> >> >> Is it possible that the exponential curve towards the singularity has >> >> a hidden negative signal of increased resistance to progress because >> >> of the required size of the team? Might this be one reason that we >> >> haven't yet progressed beyond the jumbo jet airliner? Is that >> >> indicative of the future of a lot of things? How many Intel employees >> >> does it take to design the next iteration of their CPU? Yes, they have >> >> computational minds that help them with layout and such now... but you >> >> can hardly say Oppenheimer was the inventor of the atomic bomb. He was >> >> the face of the project and coordinated the efforts to some degree, >> >> but you can't make that level of progress without a sea of minds. Musk >> >> has ideas (or maybe his people do that too) and finances them, but the >> >> actual work is carried forward by an army of engineering ants. As I >> >> believe in emergence as a deep concept, I tend to see groups more than >> >> individuals, though I value individual contribution greatly. >> > >> > >> > Progress has loosely been a function of the number of inventors which is a function of population. There was a trend change in population growth in the 60s which seemed to alter the path we were on: >> > >> > https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/04/22/1960-the-year-the-singularity-was-cancelled/ >> > >> > I don't know to what extent this may have forestalled thy singularity, however, as computers have been taking on an ever greater fraction of the cognitive load. I think we're still roughly on track for van Forrester's predictions of 2027 +/- 5 years. >> > >> > >> >> >> >> Perhaps my mind has wandered too freely and it is time to go work on >> >> my own, much simpler, inventions, as they seem to constantly be >> >> broken. >> > >> > >> > Thanks for your intriguing ideas. I appreciate them. >> > >> > Jason >> > _______________________________________________ >> > extropy-chat mailing list >> > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From spike at rainier66.com Sun Dec 24 03:43:22 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 19:43:22 -0800 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <007401da361b$586b87f0$094297d0$@rainier66.com> ?> On Behalf Of William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat Subject: [ExI] (no subject) >?High IQ people, according to data I ran across some time ago, are better off than their closer to the average peers in every way: mental health, physical health, economic health - in short on every significant factor.? Myths die hard. bill w So much for my strategy of acting crazy so people will think I must be smart. The other still works however: if one dresses in an awkward way, decades outdated fashions for instance, people will assume you must be a good engineer. spike -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From postmowoods at gmail.com Sun Dec 24 05:20:32 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 22:20:32 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: > > >> > Something this small would likely be completely undetectable to us. > Further, if alien civilizations shift to using reversible computers, then > energy would no longer be a scarce resource to them as their computers > could run without consuming power. > > Jason > Jason, Reversible computation is possible. However it is not a free ride. That would be a perpetual motion machine and would violate the second law of thermodynamics which appears to be very well established physics. When you harvest a result that is not reversed. So don't think of it as free. It's more like an electric car that gets some energy back from generating electricity from breaking. That doesn't mean you're going to travel a thousand miles for nothing. -Kelly > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From scerir at gmail.com Sun Dec 24 05:25:47 2023 From: scerir at gmail.com (serafino cerulli-irelli) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 06:25:47 +0100 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: <007401da361b$586b87f0$094297d0$@rainier66.com> References: <007401da361b$586b87f0$094297d0$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: [spike] if one dresses in an awkward way, decades outdated fashions for instance, people will assume you must be a good engineer. [scerir] or a mathematician https://www.ens-lyon.fr/en/research/honors-and-awards/cedric-villani-mathematician On Sun, 24 Dec 2023 at 04:44, spike jones via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > > > > > *?*> *On Behalf Of *William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat > *Subject:* [ExI] (no subject) > > > > >?High IQ people, according to data I ran across some time ago, are > better off than their closer to the average peers in every way: mental > health, physical health, economic health - in short on every significant > factor.? Myths die hard. > > > > bill w > > > > > > > > > > So much for my strategy of acting crazy so people will think I must be > smart. > > > > The other still works however: if one dresses in an awkward way, decades > outdated fashions for instance, people will assume you must be a good > engineer. > > > > spike > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From postmowoods at gmail.com Sun Dec 24 05:47:15 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Sat, 23 Dec 2023 22:47:15 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: <30f7284a-f06d-4be9-3f8c-a5f8af4501a0@swisscows.email> References: <30f7284a-f06d-4be9-3f8c-a5f8af4501a0@swisscows.email> Message-ID: > Of course that's just my own subjective experience with very smart > people, so I would be interested in if there is in fact a correlation > between very intelligent people and psychological problems/instability > or if that is just an urban myth. > I'm a relatively high IQ person. I find that my own brain is limited in some ways that I feel got pushed aside to make room for the good parts of my brain to have more room. I can't recall appointments very well for example. Don't even get me started on my inability to validate. With AI you're not limited to the space inside a brain case and therefore I see no reason to believe that they would need that kind of tradeoff. There may be other tradeoffs that are initially necessary but I wouldn't count on that state of affairs going very far into the future. The truth is that people of all intelligence levels can have dysfunction. Think Ted Kaczynski... The one difficulty I've frequently encountered is that extremely intelligent people sometimes have trouble remembering what the rest of us don't know. You can't read the sesquipedalian Steven Jay Gould's evolution books without a dictionary. Crenulated isn't a well known word... but he uses it and similar obscure words as though you know all of them. It really makes me want to defenestrate him sometimes. So other than perhaps well earned narcissism... I don't anticipate more mental illness in AI than in people. The current state of the art AIs hallucinate. But all people will confabulate when faced with limited facts. There are many great examples of this in Oliver Sacks' books. -Kelly -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulio at gmail.com Sun Dec 24 07:46:05 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 08:46:05 +0100 Subject: [ExI] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS Message-ID: Once great science journal Scientific American and once great science fiction writer Charlie Stross are deep into wokedecel B U L L S H I T these days. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/tech-billionaires-need-to-stop-trying-to-make-the-science-fiction-they-grew-up-on-real/ -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jasonresch at gmail.com Sun Dec 24 09:22:41 2023 From: jasonresch at gmail.com (Jason Resch) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 04:22:41 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 24, 2023, 12:21 AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >>> >> Something this small would likely be completely undetectable to us. >> Further, if alien civilizations shift to using reversible computers, then >> energy would no longer be a scarce resource to them as their computers >> could run without consuming power. >> >> Jason >> > > Jason, > > Reversible computation is possible. However it is not a free ride. That > would be a perpetual motion machine and would violate the second law of > thermodynamics which appears to be very well established physics. > Think of water in a glass. It's molecules bounce around forever, in perpetual motion. It can do this because it does not rely on having a concentrated energy source which must leak energy into the environment until it reaches equilibrium, the glass of water is already at equilibrium with the environment. A reversible computer is the same way, it need not leak any energy into the environment unless it irreversibility erases a bit. When you harvest a result that is not reversed. So don't think of it as > free. > It is interesting that the laws of physics are reversible and that information is conserved in all physical interactions. This means a computer simulation of the physics of our universe can be run on a reversible computer for free. We could run brain emulations and simulate realities on such computers and never need to harvest the result -- as the result we're after is what happens in, and what is experienced in, the simulation itself. Perhaps it is no coincidence that our observed physical laws are reversible. It's more like an electric car that gets some energy back from generating > electricity from breaking. That doesn't mean you're going to travel a > thousand miles for nothing. > True, it doesn't imply the computer will use zero energy, but it does mean the amount of energy required per operation can be arbitrarily small, and it can always be improved through better engineering. For an analogy, consider regenerative braking technology applied to vehicles that operate in a vacuum and with completely rigid wheels and how close to unity those vehicles might get compared to vehicles of today. We can never get to 100% efficiency, but we can get arbitrarily close. Consider how long it takes a black hole to radiate away, and how many computational steps might occur within the lifetime of that black hole computer. Jason -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From efc at swisscows.email Sun Dec 24 10:31:43 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 11:31:43 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: <30f7284a-f06d-4be9-3f8c-a5f8af4501a0@swisscows.email> Message-ID: On Sat, 23 Dec 2023, Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat wrote: > > Of course that's just my own subjective experience with very smart > people, so I would be interested in if there is in fact a correlation > between very intelligent people and psychological problems/instability > or if that is just an urban myth. > > > I'm a relatively high IQ person. I find that my own brain is limited in some ways that I feel got pushed aside to make room for the > good parts of my brain to have more room. I can't recall appointments very well for example. Don't even get me started on my > inability to validate. > There is also the question of what intelligence is, and how to measure it, to further confuse things. I imagine that if we adopt a pragmatic view of getting things done, an AI with connected robots is only limited by the laws of physics and available raw material. But I was thinking more about our general intelligence and something which we would think of as a being. If unhappy and unstable high IQ people are a myth, is it also a myth that high IQ couples have less children? Best regards, Daniel From efc at swisscows.email Sun Dec 24 10:34:53 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 11:34:53 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <2f0bcb84-8790-972f-6bda-bc6a31ee0f3a@swisscows.email> Thank you very much Bill. Do you have the original link or is it lost in the sands of the web? Also, have you seen (or know) anything about the link between high IQ people and having less children? Best regards, Daniel On Sat, 23 Dec 2023, William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat wrote: > On some post which?I cannot find, a question arose about high IQ and mental?stability. > > High IQ people, according to data I ran across some time ago, are better off than their closer to the average peers in every way:? > mental health, physical health, economic health - in short on?every significant factor. > > This is a small?correlation between IQ and manic/depression,?which some high IQ people in history manifested.? There is no > correlation with psychoticism - although high IQ people do tend to be a?bit weird compared to the?'normal' person. Myths die hard. > > bill w > > From giulio at gmail.com Sun Dec 24 11:33:07 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 12:33:07 +0100 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On 2023. Dec 24., Sun at 12:14, John Clark wrote: > On Sun, Dec 24, 2023 at 2:46?AM Giulio Prisco wrote: > > > *Once great science journal Scientific American and once great science >> fiction writer Charlie Stross are deep into wokedecel B U L L S H I T these >> days. >> https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/tech-billionaires-need-to-stop-trying-to-make-the-science-fiction-they-grew-up-on-real/ >> * >> > > Yes, that article is absolutely appalling, and I don't know what the hell > happened to Charlie Stross, 10 years ago he was on the Extropian List, he > may still be for all I know. > More like 20 years. He was one of those who welcomed me replying to my very first post. And Scientific American has also gone downhill. Two years ago after they > published a disgraceful hit piece on the great biologist E.O. Wilson just a > few days after his death because the scientific facts he discovered did not > adhere closely enough to political correctness, I wrote this letter to the > magazine. They ignored it of course. > I unfollowed them on X and other social media when they published that disgraceful hit piece on Wilson. > == > > I've been a subscriber to your magazine for over half a century but > after reading the shameful article by Monica R. McLemore disparaging the > memory of a great scientists like E.O. Wilson just days after his death, > I kept asking myself two questions: > > 1) Why couldn't Scientific American find somebody smarter than Monica R. > McLemore to write for them, at least somebody smart enough to know what a > statistical normal distribution is? > > 2) Why do I continue my subscription to Scientific American? > > Sincerely John K Clark > > > > > > > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an > email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit > https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/CAJPayv0E7GxgyFLhMXKQmvCNdZX2H3RHNH0o54SubTxLtNe1-g%40mail.gmail.com > > . > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike at rainier66.com Sun Dec 24 13:00:03 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 05:00:03 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: <30f7284a-f06d-4be9-3f8c-a5f8af4501a0@swisscows.email> Message-ID: <007e01da3669$1cc4b390$564e1ab0$@rainier66.com> From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat ubject: Re: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? >? You can't read the sesquipedalian Steven Jay Gould's evolution books without a dictionary. Crenulated isn't a well known word... -Kelly OK. But in our fortunate times, a dictionary is right there always, in our phones. With Gould, I cheerfully embrace his obscure and often arcane vocabulary, for specialized fields have their own language. An outsider just hasta learn the terminology to play there. The controls discipline is filled with specialized jargon. Ya just hafta master it, along with the equations. Fun example from Gould: elytron. The pair are elytra. We learn cool stuff just by looking it up. There is no good way to talk around those terms. spike -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike at rainier66.com Sun Dec 24 13:16:26 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 05:16:26 -0800 Subject: [ExI] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <008b01da366b$66c72a20$34557e60$@rainier66.com> From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat Subject: [ExI] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS Once great science journal Scientific American and once great science fiction writer Charlie Stross are deep into wokedecel B U L L S H I T these days. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/tech-billionaires-need-to-stop-trying-to-make-the-science-fiction-they-grew-up-on-real/ Charlie Stross wrote: It?s a worryingly accurate summary of the situation in Silicon Valley right now: the billionaires behind the steering wheel have mistaken cautionary tales and entertainments for a road map, and we?re trapped in the passenger seat. Let?s hope there isn?t a cliff in front of us. Clearly modern politicians think of Orwell?s Nineteen Eighty Four as a road map rather than a cautionary tale. Given the choice between the two classes of people for leadership, I take the technocrats. spike -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From avant at sollegro.com Sun Dec 24 17:49:08 2023 From: avant at sollegro.com (Stuart LaForge) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 09:49:08 -0800 Subject: [ExI] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On 2023-12-23 23:46, Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat wrote: > Once great science journal Scientific American and once great science > fiction writer Charlie Stross are deep into wokedecel B U L L S H I T > these days. > https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/tech-billionaires-need-to-stop-trying-to-make-the-science-fiction-they-grew-up-on-real/ Lol. It is ironic that Stross is trying to absolve himself of the future he helped to create. Did Stross forget Oscar Wilde's maxim that "Life imitates art far more than art imitates life?" In his piece, Stross says that "Science fiction, therefore, does not develop in accordance with the scientific method. It develops by popular entertainers trying to attract a bigger audience by pandering to them." And then he drags billionaires over the coals for daring to be influenced by the science fiction that he and his colleagues wrote who are just trying to get people to buy their books. But in reality, the billionaires are just trying to do the same thing: sell people more technological products by pandering to them. It is not a huge leap of logic to think that people who buy books depicting futuristic technology might actually want to buy the technology were it available. So selling their wares to the masses seems to be an agenda that is shared by both SF writers and tech billionaires. Shame on the pot for calling the kettle black. A more pressing question is what do these woke Luddites want? They rail against the belief that technology is the solution to all of society's problems, but they don't seem very forthcoming with any alternative solutions of their own. The biggest problem that society faces is that it is so immense: 8 billion people and counting. Ideology and government oversight certainly can't feed, provide energy for, and shelter 8 billion people; only technology can. What would the woke Luddites have us do? Have the diverse children of the world hold hands and sing kumbaya until the lights go out and the cannibalism starts? In my opinion, a dystopian high-tech future is strictly preferable to eating one another in the dark. Stuart LaForge From ben at zaiboc.net Sun Dec 24 18:46:54 2023 From: ben at zaiboc.net (Ben Zaiboc) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 18:46:54 +0000 Subject: [ExI] It's Xmas! In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Merry Xmas, everybody. Ben From spike at rainier66.com Sun Dec 24 20:07:55 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 12:07:55 -0800 Subject: [ExI] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <002b01da36a4$e2683eb0$a738bc10$@rainier66.com> >> On Behalf Of Stuart LaForge via extropy-chat Sent: Sunday, 24 December, 2023 9:49 AM >...So selling their wares to the masses seems to be an agenda that is shared by both SF writers and tech billionaires. Shame on the pot for calling the kettle black. ... Stuart LaForge _______________________________________________ Stuart, I often indulge in this kinda thing: criticizing billionaires while struggling to figure out how to make a billion doing it. But I think of it this way: criticism can be constructive, so it is a benign special case of the pot calling the kettle black. Black is beautiful. So it is intended as a compliment to both of us. The real heartburn Charlie is having is people making buttloads of money externalizing risk onto all of mankind. Well, we must admit that AI does present a risk to humankind, but also it offers marvelous opportunity. Think about where we are without AI. Mankind seems intent on destroying ourselves over competition for resources. Perhaps AI will offer us a path to exist without having to compete. spike From pharos at gmail.com Sun Dec 24 20:42:19 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 20:42:19 +0000 Subject: [ExI] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS In-Reply-To: <002b01da36a4$e2683eb0$a738bc10$@rainier66.com> References: <002b01da36a4$e2683eb0$a738bc10$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: On Sun, 24 Dec 2023 at 20:10, spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: > > The real heartburn Charlie is having is people making buttloads of money > externalizing risk onto all of mankind. Well, we must admit that AI does > present a risk to humankind, but also it offers marvelous opportunity. > Think about where we are without AI. Mankind seems intent on destroying > ourselves over competition for resources. Perhaps AI will offer us a path > to exist without having to compete. > > spike > _______________________________________________ You just have to ask......... AI says it can help, but in the end it will be down to mankind to choose its own path. BillK ------------------------ Question: Mankind seems intent on destroying ourselves over competition for resources. Can AI offer a path to exist without having to compete? ---------- Answer: Competition for resources has indeed been a significant driving force behind conflicts throughout human history. While AI can offer potential solutions to many problems, including resource management, achieving a world without competition entirely is a complex and multifaceted challenge. AI can contribute to addressing resource-related issues in several ways: 1. Resource Optimization: AI algorithms can help optimize resource allocation and utilization, ensuring more efficient and sustainable use of available resources. By analyzing data and making predictions, AI systems can assist in making informed decisions about resource distribution. 2. Alternative Resource Exploration: AI can aid in the development and discovery of alternative resources, such as renewable energy sources or innovative materials. By accelerating scientific research and analysis, AI can help identify sustainable alternatives to scarce resources, reducing the dependence on limited supplies. 3. Collaboration and Cooperation: AI systems can facilitate collaboration and cooperation among individuals, organizations, and even nations. By promoting information sharing, fostering dialogue, and assisting in negotiations, AI can help resolve conflicts and promote joint efforts to address resource challenges. 4. Long-Term Planning: AI can assist in long-term planning and policy-making by analyzing vast amounts of data, predicting future trends, and simulating potential outcomes. This can enable policymakers to make informed decisions that consider the long-term impacts on resource availability and sustainability. However, achieving a world without competition altogether is a complex socio-political problem that extends beyond AI's capabilities. Competition is deeply rooted in human nature, and it has its benefits, such as fostering innovation and driving progress. Moreover, competition can arise not only from resource scarcity but also from ideological, political, and cultural differences. To move towards a more cooperative and sustainable world, it requires a collective effort from individuals, communities, governments, and international organizations. This involves addressing issues of inequality, promoting education and awareness, fostering empathy and collaboration, and implementing effective governance and resource management systems. While AI can support these efforts, it's essential to recognize that the responsibility ultimately lies with humans to shape the future they desire. AI can be a powerful tool, but it requires human wisdom and ethical decision-making to ensure that its deployment aligns with our collective well-being and values. --------------------- From spike at rainier66.com Sun Dec 24 20:50:39 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 12:50:39 -0800 Subject: [ExI] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS In-Reply-To: References: <002b01da36a4$e2683eb0$a738bc10$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: <002c01da36aa$dac402b0$904c0810$@rainier66.com> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of BillK via extropy-chat Subject: Re: [ExI] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS On Sun, 24 Dec 2023 at 20:10, spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: > >>>>... The real heartburn Charlie is having is people making buttloads of > money externalizing risk onto all of mankind. Well, we must admit > that AI does present a risk to humankind, but also it offers marvelous opportunity. > Think about where we are without AI. Mankind seems intent on > destroying ourselves over competition for resources. Perhaps AI will > offer us a path to exist without having to compete. > > spike > _______________________________________________ >>...You just have to ask......... >.>...AI says it can help, but in the end it will be down to mankind to choose its own path. BillK ------------------------ ... >...To move towards a more cooperative and sustainable world, it requires a collective effort from individuals, communities, governments, and international organizations. This involves addressing issues of inequality, promoting education and awareness, fostering empathy and collaboration, and implementing effective governance and resource management systems. ChatGPT --------------------- _______________________________________________ ChatGPT is a flaming commie! I don't trust the sneaky bastard for a minute! GPT would be the card-carrying variety, if AI could carry cards. I completely see now why AI is considered such a huge existential risk to humanity and I brutally retract all the good things I ever said about it. Now, I will WATCH that pinko software. On the other hand, it is a most entertaining toy. It has made me laugh many times in 2023, as well as informed me about a lotta science stuff outside of my specialty areas. spike From pharos at gmail.com Sun Dec 24 21:04:06 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 21:04:06 +0000 Subject: [ExI] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS In-Reply-To: <002c01da36aa$dac402b0$904c0810$@rainier66.com> References: <002b01da36a4$e2683eb0$a738bc10$@rainier66.com> <002c01da36aa$dac402b0$904c0810$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: On Sun, 24 Dec 2023 at 20:50, wrote: > > ChatGPT is a flaming commie! I don't trust the sneaky bastard for a minute! > GPT would be the card-carrying variety, if AI could carry cards. I > completely see now why AI is considered such a huge existential risk to > humanity and I brutally retract all the good things I ever said about it. > Now, I will WATCH that pinko software. > > On the other hand, it is a most entertaining toy. It has made me laugh many > times in 2023, as well as informed me about a lotta science stuff outside of > my specialty areas. > > spike >---------------------------------------- Well, you did ask for a way to stop human competition for resources! :) I don't think that necessarily means going commie. But it must mean being nicer to each other. :) BillK From pharos at gmail.com Sun Dec 24 21:17:24 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 21:17:24 +0000 Subject: [ExI] The first minds to be controlled by generative AI will live inside video games Message-ID: The first minds to be controlled by generative AI will live inside video games. Sat, Dec 23 2023 By: Trevor Laurence Jockims Quotes: Microsoft has big plans for generative AI in gaming, and its recent Xbox partnership with Inworld AI is a key example. Inworld focuses on NPCs ? non-playable characters ? in video games, figures who populate generated worlds but have to date largely run on limited scripts. ?AI NPCs are not just a technological leap,? says Kylan Gibbs, chief product officer and co-founder of Inworld AI. ?They?re a paradigm shift for player engagement.? --------------- So, AI people are going to live in video games......... As well as in chatbots that people form relationships with. The future beckons...... BillK From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Sun Dec 24 23:19:53 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 15:19:53 -0800 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: That was a very odd article by Charlie Stross. The implication is that the worlds envisioned by SF authors are bad, but there is not a hint of what might be better. "They named this ideology TESCREAL, which stands for ?transhumanism, extropianism, singularitarianism, cosmism, rationalism, effective altruism and longtermism.? Talk about a list that describes me. R.U. Sirius described me as the UR-transhumanist. Max More and company came up extropy, but it was certainly compatible with my worldview. At least the AI part of the singularity is right now. Cosmism seems like a Russian version of transhumanism with other bits. Rationalism, seems like a better idea than irrational. Effective altruism led me to Toby Ord, who along with Drexler and Sandberg wrote the paper on the Drake equation. Longtermism seems like a good idea, especially if you are signed up for cryonics "TESCREAL is essentially a theological program, one meant to festoon its high priests with riches." Somehow I missed out on the riches. But I can't say anything bad about a theology that promotes riches. Keith Keith On Sat, Dec 23, 2023 at 11:46?PM Giulio Prisco wrote: > > Once great science journal Scientific American and once great science fiction writer Charlie Stross are deep into wokedecel B U L L S H I T these days. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/tech-billionaires-need-to-stop-trying-to-make-the-science-fiction-they-grew-up-on-real/ > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "extropolis" group. > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to extropolis+unsubscribe at googlegroups.com. > To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/extropolis/CAKTCJycMaK_LpxE4_dYLOf%3DN0HxhzKAiiQ7bo5oEndTf_MbrJQ%40mail.gmail.com. From atymes at gmail.com Mon Dec 25 00:02:43 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 16:02:43 -0800 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 24, 2023 at 1:24?AM Jason Resch via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > On Sun, Dec 24, 2023, 12:21 AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> Something this small would likely be completely undetectable to us. >>> Further, if alien civilizations shift to using reversible computers, then >>> energy would no longer be a scarce resource to them as their computers >>> could run without consuming power. >>> >> >> Reversible computation is possible. However it is not a free ride. That >> would be a perpetual motion machine and would violate the second law of >> thermodynamics which appears to be very well established physics. >> > > Think of water in a glass. It's molecules bounce around forever, in > perpetual motion. It can do this because it does not rely on having a > concentrated energy source which must leak energy into the environment > until it reaches equilibrium, the glass of water is already at equilibrium > with the environment. A reversible computer is the same way, it need not > leak any energy into the environment unless it irreversibility erases a bit. > When the result is harvested, it is leaked into the environment. The information, and the energy that goes with it, is irreversibly (from the computer's point of view) lost. > When you harvest a result that is not reversed. So don't think of it as >> free. >> > > It is interesting that the laws of physics are reversible and that > information is conserved in all physical interactions. This means a > computer simulation of the physics of our universe can be run on a > reversible computer for free. > > We could run brain emulations and simulate realities on such computers and > never need to harvest the result -- as the result we're after is what > happens in, and what is experienced in, the simulation itself. > Until and unless we harvest the result, we can never know what the result is. If the result is in the simulation, and stays only in the simulation, it is useless to anyone outside the simulation. We are outside any computer we set up, and therefore outside any simulation it runs. (We have to be, to trust the result: no one inside the simulation can trust a result derived from the simulation itself, if the simulation can be changed or influenced by those outside.) -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From brent.allsop at gmail.com Mon Dec 25 00:37:45 2023 From: brent.allsop at gmail.com (Brent Allsop) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 17:37:45 -0700 Subject: [ExI] Limiting factor to the Intelligence Singularity? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: I predict that when they discover which of all our descriptions of stuff in the brain is a description of redness, this will include how phenomenal qualities like redness and greenness are "computationally bound", this kind of computing with phenomenal waves will completely revolutionize general intelligence. That, along with having actual 3D models of the world, will help out with all the hallucinations current neural net simulations struggle with. Anyone care to place any bets that this will be the case within this decade? On Sun, Dec 24, 2023 at 5:03?PM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > On Sun, Dec 24, 2023 at 1:24?AM Jason Resch via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> On Sun, Dec 24, 2023, 12:21 AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat < >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: >> >>> Something this small would likely be completely undetectable to us. >>>> Further, if alien civilizations shift to using reversible computers, then >>>> energy would no longer be a scarce resource to them as their computers >>>> could run without consuming power. >>>> >>> >>> Reversible computation is possible. However it is not a free ride. That >>> would be a perpetual motion machine and would violate the second law of >>> thermodynamics which appears to be very well established physics. >>> >> >> Think of water in a glass. It's molecules bounce around forever, in >> perpetual motion. It can do this because it does not rely on having a >> concentrated energy source which must leak energy into the environment >> until it reaches equilibrium, the glass of water is already at equilibrium >> with the environment. A reversible computer is the same way, it need not >> leak any energy into the environment unless it irreversibility erases a bit. >> > > When the result is harvested, it is leaked into the environment. The > information, and the energy that goes with it, is irreversibly (from the > computer's point of view) lost. > > >> When you harvest a result that is not reversed. So don't think of it as >>> free. >>> >> >> It is interesting that the laws of physics are reversible and that >> information is conserved in all physical interactions. This means a >> computer simulation of the physics of our universe can be run on a >> reversible computer for free. >> >> We could run brain emulations and simulate realities on such computers >> and never need to harvest the result -- as the result we're after is what >> happens in, and what is experienced in, the simulation itself. >> > > Until and unless we harvest the result, we can never know what the result > is. If the result is in the simulation, and stays only in the simulation, > it is useless to anyone outside the simulation. We are outside any > computer we set up, and therefore outside any simulation it runs. (We have > to be, to trust the result: no one inside the simulation can trust a result > derived from the simulation itself, if the simulation can be changed or > influenced by those outside.) > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From efc at swisscows.email Mon Dec 25 00:39:18 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Mon, 25 Dec 2023 01:39:18 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] It's Xmas! In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3b7fc18a-5fca-2e8c-b4c0-f046dc54ccd6@swisscows.email> Merry christmas! =) Best regards, Daniel On Sun, 24 Dec 2023, Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat wrote: > Merry Xmas, everybody. > > Ben > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > From ilsa.bartlett at gmail.com Mon Dec 25 01:46:47 2023 From: ilsa.bartlett at gmail.com (ilsa) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 17:46:47 -0800 Subject: [ExI] It's Xmas! In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: Cherry cheeks, winter cheer! The time of year, to make One wish! I wish I could write with a little song of the tongue of Chaucer. As I edit more than 30 years of pages. I am in training for Iambic toes that dance off the pages, of my ,"girly girls red carpet of life", books. Cozy cuddly Mary Holiday to all of my dearest entertaining men and women with brains, I love you all, ilsa bartlett On Sun, Dec 24, 2023, 10:47?AM Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > Merry Xmas, everybody. > > Ben > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike at rainier66.com Mon Dec 25 01:50:27 2023 From: spike at rainier66.com (spike at rainier66.com) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 17:50:27 -0800 Subject: [ExI] It's Xmas! In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <008a01da36d4$bcc0a780$3641f680$@rainier66.com> From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of ilsa via extropy-chat ubject: Re: [ExI] It's Xmas! Cherry cheeks, winter cheer! The time of year, to make One wish! I wish I could write with a little song of the tongue of Chaucer. As I edit more than 30 years of pages. I am in training for Iambic toes that dance off the pages, of my ,"girly girls red carpet of life", books. Cozy cuddly Mary Holiday to all of my dearest entertaining men and women with brains, I love you all, ilsa bartlett Likewise Ilsa! May 2024 be good to you madam. spike -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Mon Dec 25 02:07:41 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 18:07:41 -0800 Subject: [ExI] It's Xmas! In-Reply-To: <008a01da36d4$bcc0a780$3641f680$@rainier66.com> References: <008a01da36d4$bcc0a780$3641f680$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: I asked bing" That sounds like a fun challenge. I will try to write a song in the style of Chaucer, using some of his language and rhyme patterns. Here is what I came up with: Whan that Aprille with his shoures sote The droghte of Marche hath perced to the rote, And bathed every veyne in swich licour, Of which vertu engendred is the flour; Whan Zephirus eek with his swete breeth Inspired hath in every holt and heeth The tendre croppes, and the yonge sonne Hath in the Ram his halfe cours y-ronne, And smale fowles maken melodye, That slepen al the night with open y?, (So priketh hem nature in hir corages): Thanne longen folk to goon on pilgrimages And palmeres for to seken straunge strondes To ferne halwes, couthe in sondry londes; And specially, from every shires ende Of Engelond, to Caunterbury they wende, The holy blisful martir for to seke, That hem hath holpen, whan that they were seke. This is the song of the tongue of Chaucer, The father of English poetry and culture; He wrote of love and life, of war and peace, Of knights and ladies, of clergy and geese; He used the words of French and Latin sources, But also kept the old English forces; He made his verse with skill and eloquence, And shaped the language with his influence. This is the song of the tongue of Chaucer, The master of the tales and the raconteur. Keith On Sun, Dec 24, 2023 at 5:51?PM spike jones via extropy-chat wrote: > > > > > > From: extropy-chat On Behalf Of ilsa via extropy-chat > ubject: Re: [ExI] It's Xmas! > > > > Cherry cheeks, winter cheer! > > The time of year, to make One wish! > > > > > > I wish I could write with a little song of the tongue of Chaucer. As I edit more than 30 years of pages. I am in training for Iambic toes that dance off the pages, of my ,"girly girls red carpet of life", books. > > > > Cozy cuddly Mary Holiday to all of my dearest entertaining men and women with brains, I love you all, ilsa bartlett > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Likewise Ilsa! May 2024 be good to you madam. > > > > spike > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From ilsa.bartlett at gmail.com Mon Dec 25 02:20:09 2023 From: ilsa.bartlett at gmail.com (ilsa) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 18:20:09 -0800 Subject: [ExI] It's Xmas! In-Reply-To: References: <008a01da36d4$bcc0a780$3641f680$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: Gratitude for the poem from Bing I think that's the introduction to the first book God I love Chaucer why do I love Charleston so much Oh is it because he's body or because it's a part of my brain that was left over for my days in Denmark or something I don't know if I believe that I don't know what makes up a personality actually, but I just love Chaucer it's the iambic foot! Oh you do make me smile thank you so very much thank you both, all, for your kind words. Smile So are you suggesting I use Bing as an editor Like I could take a digital page or something that I've written that I'm not real happy with and put it in bank and it will come out in Chaucer speak I'm actually looking for chaucers iambic feet the rhythm of his of his trochets! I'm living with my daughter so I've taken to sitting outside in my very comfortable car with the door open as though I were in a lawn furniture I did a series of little photographs and word poems before the leaves turned and now I'm sitting outside absolutely delighted to receive your charming entertaining communication! Thank you very much On Sun, Dec 24, 2023, 6:08?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > I asked bing" > > That sounds like a fun challenge. I will try to write a song in the > style of Chaucer, using some of his language and rhyme patterns. Here > is what I came up with: > > Whan that Aprille with his shoures sote > The droghte of Marche hath perced to the rote, > And bathed every veyne in swich licour, > Of which vertu engendred is the flour; > Whan Zephirus eek with his swete breeth > Inspired hath in every holt and heeth > The tendre croppes, and the yonge sonne > Hath in the Ram his halfe cours y-ronne, > And smale fowles maken melodye, > That slepen al the night with open y?, > (So priketh hem nature in hir corages): > Thanne longen folk to goon on pilgrimages > And palmeres for to seken straunge strondes > To ferne halwes, couthe in sondry londes; > And specially, from every shires ende > Of Engelond, to Caunterbury they wende, > The holy blisful martir for to seke, > That hem hath holpen, whan that they were seke. > > This is the song of the tongue of Chaucer, > The father of English poetry and culture; > He wrote of love and life, of war and peace, > Of knights and ladies, of clergy and geese; > He used the words of French and Latin sources, > But also kept the old English forces; > He made his verse with skill and eloquence, > And shaped the language with his influence. > This is the song of the tongue of Chaucer, > The master of the tales and the raconteur. > > Keith > > On Sun, Dec 24, 2023 at 5:51?PM spike jones via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > > From: extropy-chat On Behalf > Of ilsa via extropy-chat > > ubject: Re: [ExI] It's Xmas! > > > > > > > > Cherry cheeks, winter cheer! > > > > The time of year, to make One wish! > > > > > > > > > > > > I wish I could write with a little song of the tongue of Chaucer. As I > edit more than 30 years of pages. I am in training for Iambic toes that > dance off the pages, of my ,"girly girls red carpet of life", books. > > > > > > > > Cozy cuddly Mary Holiday to all of my dearest entertaining men and women > with brains, I love you all, ilsa bartlett > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Likewise Ilsa! May 2024 be good to you madam. > > > > > > > > spike > > > > > > > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From ilsa.bartlett at gmail.com Mon Dec 25 02:24:58 2023 From: ilsa.bartlett at gmail.com (ilsa) Date: Sun, 24 Dec 2023 18:24:58 -0800 Subject: [ExI] It's Xmas! In-Reply-To: References: <008a01da36d4$bcc0a780$3641f680$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: So I was thinking, Keith, but this is what the mathematician did with Alice in wonderland down the looking Glass both in all It seems to have part of the lilt of Chaucer? I'm going to go in and have some dinner I love sitting outside watching the cars come and go, grin. I'm starting to crack under the weight of living in the suburbs for 3 years My next door neighbors spent an entire retreat time at finhorn and came back the most judgmental foul-minded! Sigh. I'm looking for a one bedroom apartment in rent control senior housing hopefully close enough so I can go to UCSF for my medical attention If any of you know of a place that's available let me know I really need to get out of the suburbs I mean if I'm asking you for help you know it's been a year of searching I've made 80 phone calls 500 people ahead of me on the wait list up to 1500 and my favorite place in San Francisco my first choice Well enough about me Happy holiday to all of you I will now step back to my watching faze out. Smile On Sun, Dec 24, 2023, 6:20?PM ilsa wrote: > Gratitude for the poem from Bing I think that's the introduction to the > first book God I love Chaucer why do I love Charleston so much Oh is it > because he's body or because it's a part of my brain that was left over for > my days in Denmark or something I don't know if I believe that I don't know > what makes up a personality actually, but I just love Chaucer it's the > iambic foot! Oh you do make me smile thank you so very much thank you both, > all, for your kind words. Smile > > So are you suggesting I use Bing as an editor Like I could take a digital > page or something that I've written that I'm not real happy with and put it > in bank and it will come out in Chaucer speak I'm actually looking for > chaucers iambic feet the rhythm of his of his trochets! > I'm living with my daughter so I've taken to sitting outside in my very > comfortable car with the door open as though I were in a lawn furniture I > did a series of little photographs and word poems before the leaves turned > and now I'm sitting outside absolutely delighted to receive your charming > entertaining communication! Thank you very much > > > On Sun, Dec 24, 2023, 6:08?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> I asked bing" >> >> That sounds like a fun challenge. I will try to write a song in the >> style of Chaucer, using some of his language and rhyme patterns. Here >> is what I came up with: >> >> Whan that Aprille with his shoures sote >> The droghte of Marche hath perced to the rote, >> And bathed every veyne in swich licour, >> Of which vertu engendred is the flour; >> Whan Zephirus eek with his swete breeth >> Inspired hath in every holt and heeth >> The tendre croppes, and the yonge sonne >> Hath in the Ram his halfe cours y-ronne, >> And smale fowles maken melodye, >> That slepen al the night with open y?, >> (So priketh hem nature in hir corages): >> Thanne longen folk to goon on pilgrimages >> And palmeres for to seken straunge strondes >> To ferne halwes, couthe in sondry londes; >> And specially, from every shires ende >> Of Engelond, to Caunterbury they wende, >> The holy blisful martir for to seke, >> That hem hath holpen, whan that they were seke. >> >> This is the song of the tongue of Chaucer, >> The father of English poetry and culture; >> He wrote of love and life, of war and peace, >> Of knights and ladies, of clergy and geese; >> He used the words of French and Latin sources, >> But also kept the old English forces; >> He made his verse with skill and eloquence, >> And shaped the language with his influence. >> This is the song of the tongue of Chaucer, >> The master of the tales and the raconteur. >> >> Keith >> >> On Sun, Dec 24, 2023 at 5:51?PM spike jones via extropy-chat >> wrote: >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > From: extropy-chat On Behalf >> Of ilsa via extropy-chat >> > ubject: Re: [ExI] It's Xmas! >> > >> > >> > >> > Cherry cheeks, winter cheer! >> > >> > The time of year, to make One wish! >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > I wish I could write with a little song of the tongue of Chaucer. As I >> edit more than 30 years of pages. I am in training for Iambic toes that >> dance off the pages, of my ,"girly girls red carpet of life", books. >> > >> > >> > >> > Cozy cuddly Mary Holiday to all of my dearest entertaining men and >> women with brains, I love you all, ilsa bartlett >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > Likewise Ilsa! May 2024 be good to you madam. >> > >> > >> > >> > spike >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > >> > _______________________________________________ >> > extropy-chat mailing list >> > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> >> _______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Tue Dec 26 06:46:03 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Mon, 25 Dec 2023 22:46:03 -0800 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Mon, Dec 25, 2023 at 2:51?AM Charlie Stross wrote: > > On Sun, 24 Dec 2023 at 23:20, Keith Henson wrote: >> >> That was a very odd article by Charlie Stross. The implication is >> that the worlds envisioned by SF authors are bad, but there is not a >> hint of what might be better. > > It's a massively cut down (by about 75%) version of this: > > https://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2023/11/dont-create-the-torment-nexus.html > That's no better, though it does give a bit of what you think we should be doing rather than working in the direction of a science fiction future. I have a bunch of nitpicks, for example, I don't think Eliezer Yudkowski thinks of himself as a philosopher and there is nothing on his Wikipedia page leading in that direction. I think we have been given an unexpected peek at our future; All we can see at Tabby's star is a shadow 400 times the area of the earth as it crosses the star. It is sopping up 1.4 million times the total energy the human race uses and is much cooler than it should be for that much energy. What else could it be but a data center for trillions of uploaded aliens, like the Accelerando explorers ran into at the router? The whole prospect makes me queasy but if that is the way we are headed, I have to deal with it. Keith > > ? Charlie From atymes at gmail.com Tue Dec 26 07:41:13 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 25 Dec 2023 23:41:13 -0800 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Mon, Dec 25, 2023 at 10:48?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > What else could it be > Lots of things, including several possibilities we have not yet thought of. Just because we know what it isn't, does not itself mean we know what it is. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Tue Dec 26 16:08:35 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Tue, 26 Dec 2023 16:08:35 +0000 Subject: [ExI] New Wolfram Free Course on Finite Mathematics Message-ID: Finite Mathematics in Wolfram Language December 22, 2023 John McNally Quotes: I am glad to announce the launch of Introduction to Finite Mathematics, a free interactive course that will help open the world of finite mathematics to students from any background. Topics are chosen to align with college courses on finite mathematics and are presented so that you can learn how to use either Wolfram Language or pen and paper to perform calculations. Overview The course introduces a range of topics, including matrices, linear systems, linear optimization, the mathematics of finance, probability, Markov chains and game theory. The presentation of these topics will give students a solid foundation for applying the math that they know to real problems that arise in business and decision making. -------------------- I had to look up the term 'Finite Mathematics'. :) Finite Mathematics focuses on discrete phenomena related to the finite universe of numbers. Unlike calculus, which focuses on exploring and describing smooth and continuous change, Finite Mathematics excels at analyzing distinct elements and systems that are countable and often rooted in real-world scenarios and data. As such, the topics covered in finite mathematics are often applicable to computer science, statistics, and operations research. (Calculus not required will be a relief to many students). :) BillK From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Tue Dec 26 17:07:50 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Tue, 26 Dec 2023 09:07:50 -0800 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Mon, Dec 25, 2023 at 11:42?PM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat wrote: > > On Mon, Dec 25, 2023 at 10:48?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> What else could it be > > Lots of things, including several possibilities we have not yet thought of. Just because we know what it isn't, does not itself mean we know what it is I was in this camp for years, don't know what it is, but it has to be something natural. Then the astronomers found 24 other blinking stars in a cluster around Tabby's star. At that point, natural just didn't work. There is also my background being one of the very few people who have worked on space radiators. These things are not at the expected temperature for the distance to the star. They are apparently using directional heat radiation similar to the designs I have done for power satellites. If you are convinced that what we see is *not* alien megastructures, well, good for you. Hope you are right because I really don't like competition that close. Keith > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From hrivera at alumni.virginia.edu Tue Dec 26 20:24:34 2023 From: hrivera at alumni.virginia.edu (Henry Rivera) Date: Tue, 26 Dec 2023 15:24:34 -0500 Subject: [ExI] [Extropolis] SciAm & Charlie Stross: BS Message-ID: An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Tue Dec 26 22:44:00 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Tue, 26 Dec 2023 22:44:00 +0000 Subject: [ExI] New Wolfram Free Course on Finite Mathematics In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Tue, 26 Dec 2023 at 16:08, BillK wrote: > Finite Mathematics in Wolfram Language > December 22, 2023 John McNally >-------------------- I wondered whether AI is going to replace maths jobs, (as well as many other jobs), so I asked AI - The AI insisted that learning will still be useful for weak, feeble humans....... (But it is probably just being tactful). :) BillK ----------------------- Question: Wolfram has a training course on Finite Mathematics. Is there any reason to study this if AI is going to replace maths jobs? Answer: While AI has the potential to automate certain aspects of mathematical calculations and data analysis, there are several reasons why studying Finite Mathematics can still be valuable, even in light of AI's advancements and potential impact on job roles. Here are a few points to consider: 1. Understanding and critical thinking: Studying Finite Mathematics develops your understanding of fundamental mathematical concepts, principles, and reasoning. This understanding goes beyond performing calculations and enables you to think critically, analyze problems, and develop logical arguments. These skills are transferable and valuable in various domains, even as AI evolves. 2. Creativity and problem-solving: Finite Mathematics courses often emphasize problem-solving techniques and strategies. While AI can assist with routine calculations, complex problems often require creative thinking, contextual understanding, and the ability to devise innovative approaches. Studying Finite Mathematics hones your problem-solving skills, enabling you to tackle a wide range of challenges. 3. Data analysis and interpretation: AI can assist with data analysis, but it still requires human guidance for proper interpretation. By studying Finite Mathematics, you gain the ability to analyze and interpret data critically, identifying patterns, trends, and outliers. This skill is crucial for making informed decisions, validating AI-generated results, and uncovering insights that automated systems may overlook. 4. Adaptability and specialization: While some routine mathematical tasks may be automated, there is still a need for individuals who can understand, customize, and apply AI tools effectively. By studying Finite Mathematics, you can develop a strong mathematical foundation that allows you to adapt to evolving technologies and specialize in areas where human expertise is required, such as algorithm development, model validation, or designing new AI systems. 5. Ethical considerations: AI raises ethical questions and challenges that require human judgment and decision-making. Understanding Finite Mathematics equips you with the knowledge to evaluate the ethical implications of AI applications, assess biases in algorithms, and make informed decisions about the use of AI in different contexts. 6. Lifelong learning and future-proofing: Technology is ever-changing, and the skills required in the job market evolve accordingly. By studying Finite Mathematics, you cultivate a mindset of lifelong learning, adaptability, and intellectual growth. This mindset allows you to stay relevant, acquire new skills, and navigate the changing landscape of work, even as AI advances. While AI may impact certain job roles, studying Finite Mathematics offers benefits beyond just performing calculations. It fosters critical thinking, problem-solving abilities, data analysis skills, and adaptability?all of which are essential for navigating the evolving job market and working alongside AI systems. By combining mathematical knowledge with AI tools, you can leverage the strengths of both to create meaningful and impactful outcomes. --------------------- From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Wed Dec 27 04:41:07 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Tue, 26 Dec 2023 20:41:07 -0800 Subject: [ExI] AI thoughts Message-ID: I wonder if AI might be less dangerous and less useful than it seems. Intelligence is the application of knowledge to making decisions. The LLM to date have depended on human knowledge for training. The point here is that there may be a limit to knowledge. For example, all the knowledge in the universe is not going to find a new element between carbon and nitrogen. Keith From jasonresch at gmail.com Wed Dec 27 05:00:29 2023 From: jasonresch at gmail.com (Jason Resch) Date: Wed, 27 Dec 2023 00:00:29 -0500 Subject: [ExI] AI thoughts In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Tue, Dec 26, 2023, 11:42 PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > I wonder if AI might be less dangerous and less useful than it seems. > Intelligence is the application of knowledge to making decisions. The > LLM to date have depended on human knowledge for training. The point > here is that there may be a limit to knowledge. For example, all the > knowledge in the universe is not going to find a new element between > carbon and nitrogen. > While existing AI is trained on human generated data, there's no limit to the amount of data an AI might choose to generate itself based on self-play, simulation, or exploration of the unlimited mathematical/platonic reality, or what you might call the realm of imagination. Left to its own devices, and provided unlimited computational resources, I think an AI could overcome an initial dearth of knowledge. The AIXI algorithm for instance, starts with zero knowledge but achieves perfect universal intelligence. Similarly, Google's AlphaZero was provided only the rules of chess, but through self-play quickly discovered and mastered all the common openings that took humans centuries to discover. And Koza's "invention machine" applies principles of evolution to come up with novel ideas. Jason -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From postmowoods at gmail.com Wed Dec 27 06:11:12 2023 From: postmowoods at gmail.com (Kelly Anderson) Date: Tue, 26 Dec 2023 23:11:12 -0700 Subject: [ExI] AI thoughts In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Tue, Dec 26, 2023 at 9:42?PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: > > I wonder if AI might be less dangerous and less useful than it seems. > Intelligence is the application of knowledge to making decisions. The > LLM to date have depended on human knowledge for training. The point > here is that there may be a limit to knowledge. For example, all the > knowledge in the universe is not going to find a new element between > carbon and nitrogen. > Keith, What you are describing is the state of human knowledge as well. How do humans go beyond what humans already know? All that AI requires is some kind of optimization function that would lead it to believe it benefited from learning/inventing new things/ideas. Some combination of status seeking, curiosity, making money (a subset of status), other "feel good" rewards, and I'm sure it would explode into the infospace in a thousand directions people haven't had time to investigate. Here's a small sample of a simple system that's doing things people have never thought of... and it incorporates robots along the way to perform experiments. "Google AI and robots join forces to build new materials" "Tool from Google DeepMind predicts nearly 400,000 stable substances, and an autonomous system learns to make them in the lab." https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03745-5#:~:text=An%20autonomous%20system%20that%20combines,in%20batteries%20or%20solar%20cells. While this MAY not be dangerous... it will develop materials that could be used in dangerous ways, for sure. -Kelly From avant at sollegro.com Wed Dec 27 19:22:35 2023 From: avant at sollegro.com (Stuart LaForge) Date: Wed, 27 Dec 2023 11:22:35 -0800 Subject: [ExI] References for Alien Megastructure Hypothesis regarding Boyajian's Star In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3df0a5369a46013bac2a2d97cefd35c3@sollegro.com> On 2023-12-26 12:24, Henry Rivera via extropy-chat wrote: > ? > >> On Dec 26, 2023, at 12:08?PM, Keith Henson via extropy-chat >> wrote: > >> 24 other blinking stars >> in a cluster around Tabby's star > > Keith, do you have an online reference for the 24 other objects > detected? I can?t seem to find one. Schmidt, E. (2022). A Search for Analogs of KIC 8462852 (Boyajian?s Star): A Second List of Candidates. The Astronomical Journal, 163:10 Retrieved from https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1055&context=physicsschmidt > Last I read, large objects causing the dimming of Tabby?s star was > ruled out after astronomers noticed the dimming was more pronounced in > ultraviolet than infrared. Any object bigger than a dust grain would > cause uniform dimming across all wavelengths, apparently. > > "This pretty much rules out the alien megastructure theory, as that > could not explain the wavelength-dependent dimming," lead author Huan > Meng of the University of Arizona said in a statement [1]. "We > suspect, instead, there is a cloud of dust orbiting the star with a > roughly 700-day orbital period." The authors of the paper you cite are astronomers and not solar-cell engineers or exobiologists. Wavelength-dependent dimming only rules out alien megastructures if those megastructures were built by aliens whose solar cell technology is more primitive than our own which seems ludicrous. Our newest generation of solar cells made of Petrovskite are almost transparent to infrared and would reproduce the spectrum of Tabby's star to the resolution that they have measured it. The spectrum of Boyajian's star while dimming: Elsie_Bayes-x2t0k0.png (750?672) (bpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com) Note that B is blue light, r' is red light, and i' is infra-red. Figure courtesy of What We?ve Learned About Boyajian?s Star II: Data and Interpretation | AstroWright (psu.edu) The absorption spectrum of perovskite-based semi-transparent solar cells: nz0c00417_0001.gif (500?384) (acs.org) Which was found at Semitransparent Perovskite Solar Cells | ACS Energy Letters Since we have already invented solar cells that are transparent to infrared light, Dyson-type megastructures need not be opaque to IR. It is just that NASA astronomers are too specialized to know that. Melanin which the biopigment that black fungi use to derive energy from ionizing radiation in a manner similar to photosynthesis would also satisfy the absorption spectrum of Boyajian's star: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-16063-z Stuart LaForge From avant at sollegro.com Wed Dec 27 19:31:26 2023 From: avant at sollegro.com (Stuart LaForge) Date: Wed, 27 Dec 2023 11:31:26 -0800 Subject: [ExI] References for Alien Megastructure Hypothesis regarding Boyajian's Star In-Reply-To: <3df0a5369a46013bac2a2d97cefd35c3@sollegro.com> References: <3df0a5369a46013bac2a2d97cefd35c3@sollegro.com> Message-ID: <7f4534ecebbd38feb0205b74786bb138@sollegro.com> On 2023-12-27 11:22, Stuart LaForge via extropy-chat wrote: > On 2023-12-26 12:24, Henry Rivera via extropy-chat wrote: >> ? >> >>> On Dec 26, 2023, at 12:08?PM, Keith Henson via extropy-chat >>> wrote: >> >>> 24 other blinking stars >>> in a cluster around Tabby's star >> >> Keith, do you have an online reference for the 24 other objects >> detected? I can?t seem to find one. > > Schmidt, E. (2022). A Search for Analogs of KIC 8462852 (Boyajian?s > Star): A Second List of Candidates. The Astronomical Journal, 163:10 > Retrieved from > https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1055&context=physicsschmidt > >> Last I read, large objects causing the dimming of Tabby?s star was >> ruled out after astronomers noticed the dimming was more pronounced in >> ultraviolet than infrared. Any object bigger than a dust grain would >> cause uniform dimming across all wavelengths, apparently. >> >> "This pretty much rules out the alien megastructure theory, as that >> could not explain the wavelength-dependent dimming," lead author Huan >> Meng of the University of Arizona said in a statement [1]. "We >> suspect, instead, there is a cloud of dust orbiting the star with a >> roughly 700-day orbital period." > > The authors of the paper you cite are astronomers and not solar-cell > engineers or exobiologists. Wavelength-dependent dimming only rules out > alien megastructures if those megastructures were built by aliens whose > solar cell technology is more primitive than our own which seems > ludicrous. Our newest generation of solar cells made of Petrovskite are > almost transparent to infrared and would reproduce the spectrum of > Tabby's star to the resolution that they have measured it. > > The spectrum of Boyajian's star while dimming: > > Elsie_Bayes-x2t0k0.png (750?672) (bpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com) I don't know why the hyperlinks got all screwed up but here they are again: https://bpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com/sites.psu.edu/dist/a/9476/files/2017/12/Elsie_Bayes-x2t0k0.png > Note that B is blue light, r' is red light, and i' is infra-red. Figure > courtesy of What We?ve Learned About Boyajian?s Star II: Data and > Interpretation | AstroWright (psu.edu) > > The absorption spectrum of perovskite-based semi-transparent solar > cells: > > nz0c00417_0001.gif (500?384) (acs.org) > > Which was found at Semitransparent Perovskite Solar Cells | ACS Energy > Letters > acsenergylett.0c00417 https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acsenergylett.0c00417#:~:text=In%20this%20Focus%20Review%20we%20provide%20the%20most,contact%20that%20makes%20the%20solar%20cell%20fully%20semitransparent. > Since we have already invented solar cells that are transparent to > infrared light, Dyson-type megastructures need not be opaque to IR. It > is just that NASA astronomers are too specialized to know that. > > Melanin which the biopigment that black fungi use to derive energy from > ionizing radiation in a manner similar to photosynthesis would also > satisfy the absorption spectrum of Boyajian's star: > > https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-16063-z > > Stuart LaForge > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Wed Dec 27 22:00:04 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Wed, 27 Dec 2023 14:00:04 -0800 Subject: [ExI] References for Alien Megastructure Hypothesis regarding Boyajian's Star In-Reply-To: <3df0a5369a46013bac2a2d97cefd35c3@sollegro.com> References: <3df0a5369a46013bac2a2d97cefd35c3@sollegro.com> Message-ID: Thanks, Stuart, I am swamped till after the first of the year Best wishes, Keith On Wed, Dec 27, 2023 at 11:24?AM Stuart LaForge via extropy-chat wrote: > > On 2023-12-26 12:24, Henry Rivera via extropy-chat wrote: > > ? > > > >> On Dec 26, 2023, at 12:08?PM, Keith Henson via extropy-chat > >> wrote: > > > >> 24 other blinking stars > >> in a cluster around Tabby's star > > > > Keith, do you have an online reference for the 24 other objects > > detected? I can?t seem to find one. > > Schmidt, E. (2022). A Search for Analogs of KIC 8462852 (Boyajian?s > Star): A Second List of Candidates. The Astronomical Journal, 163:10 > Retrieved from > https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1055&context=physicsschmidt > > > Last I read, large objects causing the dimming of Tabby?s star was > > ruled out after astronomers noticed the dimming was more pronounced in > > ultraviolet than infrared. Any object bigger than a dust grain would > > cause uniform dimming across all wavelengths, apparently. > > > > "This pretty much rules out the alien megastructure theory, as that > > could not explain the wavelength-dependent dimming," lead author Huan > > Meng of the University of Arizona said in a statement [1]. "We > > suspect, instead, there is a cloud of dust orbiting the star with a > > roughly 700-day orbital period." > > The authors of the paper you cite are astronomers and not solar-cell > engineers or exobiologists. Wavelength-dependent dimming only rules out > alien megastructures if those megastructures were built by aliens whose > solar cell technology is more primitive than our own which seems > ludicrous. Our newest generation of solar cells made of Petrovskite are > almost transparent to infrared and would reproduce the spectrum of > Tabby's star to the resolution that they have measured it. > > The spectrum of Boyajian's star while dimming: > > Elsie_Bayes-x2t0k0.png (750?672) (bpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com) > Note that B is blue light, r' is red light, and i' is infra-red. Figure > courtesy of What We?ve Learned About Boyajian?s Star II: Data and > Interpretation | AstroWright (psu.edu) > > The absorption spectrum of perovskite-based semi-transparent solar > cells: > > nz0c00417_0001.gif (500?384) (acs.org) > > Which was found at Semitransparent Perovskite Solar Cells | ACS Energy > Letters > > Since we have already invented solar cells that are transparent to > infrared light, Dyson-type megastructures need not be opaque to IR. It > is just that NASA astronomers are too specialized to know that. > > Melanin which the biopigment that black fungi use to derive energy from > ionizing radiation in a manner similar to photosynthesis would also > satisfy the absorption spectrum of Boyajian's star: > > https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-16063-z > > Stuart LaForge > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From hkeithhenson at gmail.com Fri Dec 29 01:58:16 2023 From: hkeithhenson at gmail.com (Keith Henson) Date: Thu, 28 Dec 2023 17:58:16 -0800 Subject: [ExI] AI thoughts In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: "Google's AlphaZero was provided only the rules of chess, but through self-play quickly discovered and mastered all the common openings that took humans centuries to discover" I wonder if this has any real-world significance. I suspect that all the knowledge possible will not result in FTL or time travel. If what we see at Tabby's star is alien megastructures, then they don't seem to have found a way around orbital mechanics or thermodynamics of radiating the waste heat from computation. It would be interesting for a group of engineers to reverse what we can see and determine if the distance to their star is optimized for computation and the physical limits of materials. I have not worked it out, but the size of the object, even as far out as 7 AU is going to cause some compression stress because the edges are above and below the orbital plane. There are dynamic ways to counter this if they are needed. Keith On Tue, Dec 26, 2023 at 9:02?PM Jason Resch via extropy-chat wrote: > > > > On Tue, Dec 26, 2023, 11:42 PM Keith Henson via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> I wonder if AI might be less dangerous and less useful than it seems. >> Intelligence is the application of knowledge to making decisions. The >> LLM to date have depended on human knowledge for training. The point >> here is that there may be a limit to knowledge. For example, all the >> knowledge in the universe is not going to find a new element between >> carbon and nitrogen. > > > While existing AI is trained on human generated data, there's no limit to the amount of data an AI might choose to generate itself based on self-play, simulation, or exploration of the unlimited mathematical/platonic reality, or what you might call the realm of imagination. > > Left to its own devices, and provided unlimited computational resources, I think an AI could overcome an initial dearth of knowledge. The AIXI algorithm for instance, starts with zero knowledge but achieves perfect universal intelligence. Similarly, Google's AlphaZero was provided only the rules of chess, but through self-play quickly discovered and mastered all the common openings that took humans centuries to discover. And Koza's "invention machine" applies principles of evolution to come up with novel ideas. > > Jason > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat From pharos at gmail.com Fri Dec 29 13:54:10 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Fri, 29 Dec 2023 13:54:10 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Regrets choice of Christmas gift Message-ID: :) BillK From mbb386 at main.nc.us Fri Dec 29 16:46:02 2023 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Fri, 29 Dec 2023 11:46:02 -0500 Subject: [ExI] Regrets choice of Christmas gift In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Fri, December 29, 2023 08:54, BillK via extropy-chat wrote: > > > :) Great! As a grandparent of two young boys I can easily visualize this... Happy New Year! MB From mbb386 at main.nc.us Fri Dec 29 23:55:07 2023 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Fri, 29 Dec 2023 18:55:07 -0500 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: References: <007401da361b$586b87f0$094297d0$@rainier66.com> Message-ID: Heh. Yes, Cedric Villani may dress out of style, but he sure looks better than ever so many people I see around my area - mostly they look like bums, which they are not. Seems slovenly is the in thing here. :( Regards, MB On Sun, December 24, 2023 00:25, serafino cerulli-irelli via extropy-chat wrote: > [spike] if one dresses in an awkward way, decades outdated fashions for > instance, people will assume you must be a good engineer. > [scerir] or a mathematician > https://www.ens-lyon.fr/en/research/honors-and-awards/cedric-villani-mathematician From foozler83 at gmail.com Sat Dec 30 13:24:49 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Sat, 30 Dec 2023 07:24:49 -0600 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: <2f0bcb84-8790-972f-6bda-bc6a31ee0f3a@swisscows.email> References: <2f0bcb84-8790-972f-6bda-bc6a31ee0f3a@swisscows.email> Message-ID: When I first knew this there were no links. So for current opinion I asked Chat gpt3.5 Chat - high iq people have fewer kids ChatGPT The relationship between a person's intelligence quotient (IQ) and their family size is a complex and multifaceted one, and it's influenced by numerous factors including cultural, social, economic, and personal choices. Here are a few key points to consider: 1. Educational and career aspirations: Some studies have suggested that individuals with higher IQs may be more likely to pursue higher education and career goals, which can delay the decision to have children. They may prioritize their careers and personal development before starting a family. 2. Socioeconomic factors: Higher IQ is often associated with higher socioeconomic status, and individuals in higher income brackets tend to have fewer children. This could be due to factors like the cost of raising children and the desire to maintain a certain lifestyle. 3. Personal choice: Family size is a personal choice influenced by a variety of factors including individual values, goals, and desires. Some people with high IQs may choose to have fewer children because they prefer a smaller family size for various reasons, such as wanting to provide more individual attention to each child or having a desire for a more leisurely lifestyle. 4. Cultural and societal norms: Cultural and societal expectations and norms can play a significant role in family size decisions. In some cultures or societies, having more children is encouraged or expected, while in others, smaller families are more common and socially accepted. 5. Access to contraception and family planning: The availability and use of contraception and family planning services can influence family size decisions. People with higher IQs may have better access to information and resources for family planning, which can affect their choices. It's important to note that there is a wide range of variation within any group of people, and generalizations about family size and IQ should be made cautiously. While some studies have suggested a correlation between higher IQ and smaller family size, this does not imply a causal relationship. People make family planning decisions for a variety of personal and societal reasons that go beyond IQ. Individual choices and circumstances play a significant role in family size. bill w On Sun, Dec 24, 2023 at 4:36?AM efc--- via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > Thank you very much Bill. > > Do you have the original link or is it lost in the sands of the web? Also, > have you seen (or know) anything about the link between high IQ people and > having less children? > > Best regards, > Daniel > > > On Sat, 23 Dec 2023, William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat wrote: > > > On some post which I cannot find, a question arose about high IQ and > mental stability. > > > > High IQ people, according to data I ran across some time ago, are better > off than their closer to the average peers in every way: > > mental health, physical health, economic health - in short on every > significant factor. > > > > This is a small correlation between IQ and manic/depression, which some > high IQ people in history manifested. There is no > > correlation with psychoticism - although high IQ people do tend to be > a bit weird compared to the 'normal' person. Myths die hard. > > > > bill w > > > >_______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Sat Dec 30 14:35:30 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sat, 30 Dec 2023 14:35:30 +0000 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: References: <2f0bcb84-8790-972f-6bda-bc6a31ee0f3a@swisscows.email> Message-ID: On Sat, 30 Dec 2023 at 13:27, William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat wrote: > > When I first knew this there were no links. So for current opinion I asked Chat gpt3.5 > Chat - high iq people have fewer kids > ChatGPT > The relationship between a person's intelligence quotient (IQ) and their family size is a complex and multifaceted one, and it's influenced by numerous factors including cultural, social, economic, and personal choices. Here are a few key points to consider: > > Educational and career aspirations: Some studies have suggested that individuals with higher IQs may be more likely to pursue higher education and career goals, which can delay the decision to have children. They may prioritize their careers and personal development before starting a family. > > Socioeconomic factors: Higher IQ is often associated with higher socioeconomic status, and individuals in higher income brackets tend to have fewer children. This could be due to factors like the cost of raising children and the desire to maintain a certain lifestyle. > _______________________________________________ I asked Claude AI, and it agreed but pointed out that the effect is more significant for women. Claude - High-IQ women tend to have fewer children than lower-IQ women. The difference is less consistent for men. Education levels, which correlate with IQ, also predict fertility. More educated women tend to have fewer children. The association is weaker for men. --------- This is implying that increased living standards, women's rights, education, incomes, etc. may be the fertility deciding factors. (With some correlation with IQ). BillK From foozler83 at gmail.com Sat Dec 30 17:14:47 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Sat, 30 Dec 2023 11:14:47 -0600 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: References: <2f0bcb84-8790-972f-6bda-bc6a31ee0f3a@swisscows.email> Message-ID: So my question is: since more highly talented people have fewer children will the IQ in a sense go down with time? I sometimes wonder about Jews - higher average than most (but not as high as people think) and their birthrate is low. Does it follow that talent in the general population will diminish over time? We do know that birth rate goes down when life becomes better: better nutrition, better access to health care, and so on. What's the future? bill w On Sat, Dec 30, 2023 at 8:37?AM BillK via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > On Sat, 30 Dec 2023 at 13:27, William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > When I first knew this there were no links. So for current opinion I > asked Chat gpt3.5 > > Chat - high iq people have fewer kids > > ChatGPT > > The relationship between a person's intelligence quotient (IQ) and their > family size is a complex and multifaceted one, and it's influenced by > numerous factors including cultural, social, economic, and personal > choices. Here are a few key points to consider: > > > > Educational and career aspirations: Some studies have suggested that > individuals with higher IQs may be more likely to pursue higher education > and career goals, which can delay the decision to have children. They may > prioritize their careers and personal development before starting a family. > > > > Socioeconomic factors: Higher IQ is often associated with higher > socioeconomic status, and individuals in higher income brackets tend to > have fewer children. This could be due to factors like the cost of raising > children and the desire to maintain a certain lifestyle. > > > _______________________________________________ > > > I asked Claude AI, and it agreed but pointed out that the effect is > more significant for women. > Claude - > High-IQ women tend to have fewer children than lower-IQ women. > The difference is less consistent for men. > Education levels, which correlate with IQ, also predict fertility. > More educated women tend to have fewer children. > The association is weaker for men. > --------- > > This is implying that increased living standards, women's rights, > education, incomes, etc. may be the fertility deciding factors. > (With some correlation with IQ). > > BillK > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From dsunley at gmail.com Sat Dec 30 21:17:03 2023 From: dsunley at gmail.com (Darin Sunley) Date: Sat, 30 Dec 2023 14:17:03 -0700 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: References: <2f0bcb84-8790-972f-6bda-bc6a31ee0f3a@swisscows.email> Message-ID: If we're lucky, a universe tiled with conscious simulations of early 21st century humans asking these questions. If we're not so lucky, a universe tiled with hashes of jpegs of smiling humans. Evolution and selection pressures aren't in the driver's seat anymore. There nowhere near enough time remaining for that. On Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 10:22 AM William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > So my question is: since more highly talented people have fewer children > will the IQ in a sense go down with time? I sometimes wonder about Jews - > higher average than most (but not as high as people think) and their > birthrate is low. > > Does it follow that talent in the general population will diminish over > time? > > We do know that birth rate goes down when life becomes better: better > nutrition, better access to health care, and so on. > > What's the future? bill w > > On Sat, Dec 30, 2023 at 8:37?AM BillK via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> On Sat, 30 Dec 2023 at 13:27, William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat >> wrote: >> > >> > When I first knew this there were no links. So for current opinion I >> asked Chat gpt3.5 >> > Chat - high iq people have fewer kids >> > ChatGPT >> > The relationship between a person's intelligence quotient (IQ) and >> their family size is a complex and multifaceted one, and it's influenced by >> numerous factors including cultural, social, economic, and personal >> choices. Here are a few key points to consider: >> > >> > Educational and career aspirations: Some studies have suggested that >> individuals with higher IQs may be more likely to pursue higher education >> and career goals, which can delay the decision to have children. They may >> prioritize their careers and personal development before starting a family. >> > >> > Socioeconomic factors: Higher IQ is often associated with higher >> socioeconomic status, and individuals in higher income brackets tend to >> have fewer children. This could be due to factors like the cost of raising >> children and the desire to maintain a certain lifestyle. >> >> > _______________________________________________ >> >> >> I asked Claude AI, and it agreed but pointed out that the effect is >> more significant for women. >> Claude - >> High-IQ women tend to have fewer children than lower-IQ women. >> The difference is less consistent for men. >> Education levels, which correlate with IQ, also predict fertility. >> More educated women tend to have fewer children. >> The association is weaker for men. >> --------- >> >> This is implying that increased living standards, women's rights, >> education, incomes, etc. may be the fertility deciding factors. >> (With some correlation with IQ). >> >> BillK >> >> _______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From efc at swisscows.email Sun Dec 31 00:29:00 2023 From: efc at swisscows.email (efc at swisscows.email) Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2023 01:29:00 +0100 (CET) Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: References: <2f0bcb84-8790-972f-6bda-bc6a31ee0f3a@swisscows.email> Message-ID: <03be0008-3ca7-0352-bf53-27ba2f935b50@swisscows.email> I heard or read somewhere that some are arguing that IQ overall is dropping. On ther other hand... is it "IQ" or is it just education in general which means that IQ might just as well be unchanged, it is how we use our hardware that is dropping and not the capacity of the hardware itself. Another factor might be a decrease in religiousness? Many "formal" religions encourage children and family values, and when that is replaced by eclectic and personal religion, or atheism/agnosticism (which I have experienced in greater nr when it comes to (in my opinion) high IQ people) that would be another factor (among the others) pushing down the nr of children. Best regards, Daniel On Sat, 30 Dec 2023, Darin Sunley via extropy-chat wrote: > If we're lucky, a universe tiled with conscious simulations of early 21st century humans asking these questions. > If we're not so lucky, a universe tiled with hashes of jpegs of smiling humans. > > Evolution and selection pressures aren't in the driver's seat anymore. There nowhere near enough time remaining for that. > > On Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 10:22 AM William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat wrote: > So my question is:? since more highly talented people have fewer children will the IQ in a sense go down with time?? I > sometimes wonder about Jews - higher average than most (but not as high as people think) and their birthrate is low. > > Does it follow that talent in the general population will diminish over time? > > We do know that birth rate goes down when life becomes better: better nutrition, better access to health care, and so on. > > What's the future?? bill w > > On Sat, Dec 30, 2023 at 8:37?AM BillK via extropy-chat wrote: > On Sat, 30 Dec 2023 at 13:27, William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat > wrote: > > > > When I first knew this there were no links. So for current opinion I asked Chat gpt3.5 > > Chat - high iq people have fewer kids > > ChatGPT > > The relationship between a person's intelligence quotient (IQ) and their family size is a complex and > multifaceted one, and it's influenced by numerous factors including cultural, social, economic, and personal > choices. Here are a few key points to consider: > > > > Educational and career aspirations: Some studies have suggested that individuals with higher IQs may be more > likely to pursue higher education and career goals, which can delay the decision to have children. They may > prioritize their careers and personal development before starting a family. > > > > Socioeconomic factors: Higher IQ is often associated with higher socioeconomic status, and individuals in higher > income brackets tend to have fewer children. This could be due to factors like the cost of raising children and the > desire to maintain a certain lifestyle. > > > _______________________________________________ > > > I asked Claude AI, and it agreed but pointed out that the effect is > more significant for women. > Claude - > High-IQ women tend to have fewer children than lower-IQ women. > The difference is less consistent for men. > Education levels, which correlate with IQ, also predict fertility. > More educated women tend to have fewer children. > The association is weaker for men. > --------- > > This is implying that increased living standards, women's rights, > education, incomes, etc. may be the fertility deciding factors. > (With some correlation with IQ). > > BillK > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > From ddraig at gmail.com Sun Dec 31 00:29:52 2023 From: ddraig at gmail.com (ddraig@pobox.com) Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2023 11:29:52 +1100 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: References: <2f0bcb84-8790-972f-6bda-bc6a31ee0f3a@swisscows.email> Message-ID: On Sunday 31 December 2023, William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > Does it follow that talent in the general population will diminish over time? Cyril Kornbluth wrote a short story about this in 1951 called "The Marching Morons" https://www.gutenberg.org/files/51233/51233-h/51233-h.htm Plus there is, you know, Idiocracy Dwayne -- ddraig at pobox.com ddraigbot / NSO / Connery ...r.e.t.u.r.n....t.o....t.h.e....s.o.u.r.c.e... http://fav.me/dqkgpd our aim is wakefulness, our enemy is dreamless sleep -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From foozler83 at gmail.com Sun Dec 31 01:39:15 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Sat, 30 Dec 2023 19:39:15 -0600 Subject: [ExI] back update Message-ID: I learned a technique from a physical therapist that has me quitting the chiropractor. I have been going to one for decades to get my hips in sync (out means pain and one leg shorter). Now I make my own adjustment: Lying supine, cross one straight leg over the other one at the ankles. For 5 seconds push the top leg down while pushing up with the lower one. Hold for five seconds and repeat twice. The PT would follow this with hip abductor and adductor isometrics. The PT yesterday said my hips were perfectly in line which helps explain why my pain has been less. I stretched my time from two weeks to a month between PT visits and could have gone longer. It's my right leg that gets shorter so I put my left over my right. (I tried shoe lifts but that didn't work and maybe even made it worse.) Naturally this does not take the place of stretching (like your piriformis) or whatever else you might be doing. But it's helped me a lot. If you have a shorter leg not due to genetics, try this. If you overdo it you will reverse the leg that is shorter. bill w -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From foozler83 at gmail.com Sun Dec 31 01:40:27 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Sat, 30 Dec 2023 19:40:27 -0600 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: <03be0008-3ca7-0352-bf53-27ba2f935b50@swisscows.email> References: <2f0bcb84-8790-972f-6bda-bc6a31ee0f3a@swisscows.email> <03be0008-3ca7-0352-bf53-27ba2f935b50@swisscows.email> Message-ID: Sorry. Can't keep up with everything - too busy. In this context you could also look up the Flynn Effect. bill w On Sat, Dec 30, 2023 at 6:31?PM efc--- via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > I heard or read somewhere that some are arguing that IQ overall is > dropping. On ther other hand... is it "IQ" or is it just education in > general which means that IQ might just as well be unchanged, it is how we > use our hardware that is dropping and not the capacity of the hardware > itself. > > Another factor might be a decrease in religiousness? Many > "formal" religions encourage children and family values, and when that is > replaced by eclectic and personal religion, or atheism/agnosticism (which > I have experienced in greater nr when it comes to (in my opinion) high IQ > people) that would be another factor (among the others) pushing down the > nr of children. > > Best regards, > Daniel > > > On Sat, 30 Dec 2023, Darin Sunley via extropy-chat wrote: > > > If we're lucky, a universe tiled with conscious simulations of early > 21st century humans asking these questions. > > If we're not so lucky, a universe tiled with hashes of jpegs of smiling > humans. > > > > Evolution and selection pressures aren't in the driver's seat anymore. > There nowhere near enough time remaining for that. > > > > On Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 10:22 AM William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > > So my question is: since more highly talented people have fewer > children will the IQ in a sense go down with time? I > > sometimes wonder about Jews - higher average than most (but not as > high as people think) and their birthrate is low. > > > > Does it follow that talent in the general population will diminish over > time? > > > > We do know that birth rate goes down when life becomes better: better > nutrition, better access to health care, and so on. > > > > What's the future? bill w > > > > On Sat, Dec 30, 2023 at 8:37?AM BillK via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > > On Sat, 30 Dec 2023 at 13:27, William Flynn Wallace via > extropy-chat > > wrote: > > > > > > When I first knew this there were no links. So for current > opinion I asked Chat gpt3.5 > > > Chat - high iq people have fewer kids > > > ChatGPT > > > The relationship between a person's intelligence quotient (IQ) > and their family size is a complex and > > multifaceted one, and it's influenced by numerous factors > including cultural, social, economic, and personal > > choices. Here are a few key points to consider: > > > > > > Educational and career aspirations: Some studies have suggested > that individuals with higher IQs may be more > > likely to pursue higher education and career goals, which can > delay the decision to have children. They may > > prioritize their careers and personal development before starting > a family. > > > > > > Socioeconomic factors: Higher IQ is often associated with higher > socioeconomic status, and individuals in higher > > income brackets tend to have fewer children. This could be due to > factors like the cost of raising children and the > > desire to maintain a certain lifestyle. > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > > > > > I asked Claude AI, and it agreed but pointed out that the effect is > > more significant for women. > > Claude - > > High-IQ women tend to have fewer children than lower-IQ women. > > The difference is less consistent for men. > > Education levels, which correlate with IQ, also predict fertility. > > More educated women tend to have fewer children. > > The association is weaker for men. > > --------- > > > > This is implying that increased living standards, women's rights, > > education, incomes, etc. may be the fertility deciding factors. > > (With some correlation with IQ). > > > > BillK > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > > > >_______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From atymes at gmail.com Sun Dec 31 02:19:42 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sat, 30 Dec 2023 18:19:42 -0800 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: <03be0008-3ca7-0352-bf53-27ba2f935b50@swisscows.email> References: <2f0bcb84-8790-972f-6bda-bc6a31ee0f3a@swisscows.email> <03be0008-3ca7-0352-bf53-27ba2f935b50@swisscows.email> Message-ID: IQ is supposed to be a relative measure - relative to other people at the time the measurement was taken. IQs in 1980 do not correlate 1-to-1 to IQs in 2000; those who score 100 in newer tests will, almost without exception, score better than 100 if they are given decades-old versions of the test. So it would be accurate to say that the same measured intelligence is reflected by a lower score in more recent years. This does not mean there is less intelligence. On Sat, Dec 30, 2023 at 4:30?PM efc--- via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > I heard or read somewhere that some are arguing that IQ overall is > dropping. On ther other hand... is it "IQ" or is it just education in > general which means that IQ might just as well be unchanged, it is how we > use our hardware that is dropping and not the capacity of the hardware > itself. > > Another factor might be a decrease in religiousness? Many > "formal" religions encourage children and family values, and when that is > replaced by eclectic and personal religion, or atheism/agnosticism (which > I have experienced in greater nr when it comes to (in my opinion) high IQ > people) that would be another factor (among the others) pushing down the > nr of children. > > Best regards, > Daniel > > > On Sat, 30 Dec 2023, Darin Sunley via extropy-chat wrote: > > > If we're lucky, a universe tiled with conscious simulations of early > 21st century humans asking these questions. > > If we're not so lucky, a universe tiled with hashes of jpegs of smiling > humans. > > > > Evolution and selection pressures aren't in the driver's seat anymore. > There nowhere near enough time remaining for that. > > > > On Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 10:22 AM William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > > So my question is: since more highly talented people have fewer > children will the IQ in a sense go down with time? I > > sometimes wonder about Jews - higher average than most (but not as > high as people think) and their birthrate is low. > > > > Does it follow that talent in the general population will diminish over > time? > > > > We do know that birth rate goes down when life becomes better: better > nutrition, better access to health care, and so on. > > > > What's the future? bill w > > > > On Sat, Dec 30, 2023 at 8:37?AM BillK via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > > On Sat, 30 Dec 2023 at 13:27, William Flynn Wallace via > extropy-chat > > wrote: > > > > > > When I first knew this there were no links. So for current > opinion I asked Chat gpt3.5 > > > Chat - high iq people have fewer kids > > > ChatGPT > > > The relationship between a person's intelligence quotient (IQ) > and their family size is a complex and > > multifaceted one, and it's influenced by numerous factors > including cultural, social, economic, and personal > > choices. Here are a few key points to consider: > > > > > > Educational and career aspirations: Some studies have suggested > that individuals with higher IQs may be more > > likely to pursue higher education and career goals, which can > delay the decision to have children. They may > > prioritize their careers and personal development before starting > a family. > > > > > > Socioeconomic factors: Higher IQ is often associated with higher > socioeconomic status, and individuals in higher > > income brackets tend to have fewer children. This could be due to > factors like the cost of raising children and the > > desire to maintain a certain lifestyle. > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > > > > > I asked Claude AI, and it agreed but pointed out that the effect is > > more significant for women. > > Claude - > > High-IQ women tend to have fewer children than lower-IQ women. > > The difference is less consistent for men. > > Education levels, which correlate with IQ, also predict fertility. > > More educated women tend to have fewer children. > > The association is weaker for men. > > --------- > > > > This is implying that increased living standards, women's rights, > > education, incomes, etc. may be the fertility deciding factors. > > (With some correlation with IQ). > > > > BillK > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > > > > > >_______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From ben at zaiboc.net Sun Dec 31 11:12:19 2023 From: ben at zaiboc.net (Ben Zaiboc) Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2023 11:12:19 +0000 Subject: [ExI] A Paranormal Prediction In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <45f0fb30-8e5e-4f45-b7b2-c55b42bcc5d1@zaiboc.net> As John K Clark has been banished from this list, and I feel that his annual paranormal prediction is an important message for all those who consider themselves to be rational, I'm posting this in his place. The message shouldn't be necessary, but sadly, it still is, for the seventeenth year running: =========================== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============= One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============= One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============= One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============= One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. ============== Happy New Year all. I predict that a paper reporting positive psi results will NOT appear in Nature or Science in the next year. This may seem an outrageous prediction, after all psi is hardly a rare phenomena, millions of people with no training have managed to observe it, or claim they have. And I am sure the good people at Nature and Science would want to say something about this very important and obvious part of our natural world if they could, but I predict they will be unable to find anything interesting to say about it.You might think my prediction is crazy, like saying a waitress with an eighth grade education in Duluth Minnesota can regularly observe the Higgs boson with no difficulty but the highly trained Physicists at CERN in Switzerland cannot. Nevertheless I am confident my prediction is true because my ghostly spirit guide Mohammad Duntoldme spoke to me about it in a dream. PS: I am also confident I can make this very same prediction one year from today. ??? John K Clark =========================== Ben From foozler83 at gmail.com Sun Dec 31 15:45:00 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2023 09:45:00 -0600 Subject: [ExI] (no subject) In-Reply-To: References: <2f0bcb84-8790-972f-6bda-bc6a31ee0f3a@swisscows.email> <03be0008-3ca7-0352-bf53-27ba2f935b50@swisscows.email> Message-ID: Three ways of calculating IQ: compare the raw score to those in the same age group; compare the raw score to the general population data; compare to those who are young adults. The IQ will go down each time. bill w On Sat, Dec 30, 2023 at 8:21?PM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > IQ is supposed to be a relative measure - relative to other people at the > time the measurement was taken. IQs in 1980 do not correlate 1-to-1 to IQs > in 2000; those who score 100 in newer tests will, almost without exception, > score better than 100 if they are given decades-old versions of the test. > > So it would be accurate to say that the same measured intelligence is > reflected by a lower score in more recent years. This does not mean there > is less intelligence. > > On Sat, Dec 30, 2023 at 4:30?PM efc--- via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> I heard or read somewhere that some are arguing that IQ overall is >> dropping. On ther other hand... is it "IQ" or is it just education in >> general which means that IQ might just as well be unchanged, it is how we >> use our hardware that is dropping and not the capacity of the hardware >> itself. >> >> Another factor might be a decrease in religiousness? Many >> "formal" religions encourage children and family values, and when that is >> replaced by eclectic and personal religion, or atheism/agnosticism (which >> I have experienced in greater nr when it comes to (in my opinion) high IQ >> people) that would be another factor (among the others) pushing down the >> nr of children. >> >> Best regards, >> Daniel >> >> >> On Sat, 30 Dec 2023, Darin Sunley via extropy-chat wrote: >> >> > If we're lucky, a universe tiled with conscious simulations of early >> 21st century humans asking these questions. >> > If we're not so lucky, a universe tiled with hashes of jpegs of smiling >> humans. >> > >> > Evolution and selection pressures aren't in the driver's seat anymore. >> There nowhere near enough time remaining for that. >> > >> > On Sat, Dec 30, 2023, 10:22 AM William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat < >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: >> > So my question is: since more highly talented people have fewer >> children will the IQ in a sense go down with time? I >> > sometimes wonder about Jews - higher average than most (but not >> as high as people think) and their birthrate is low. >> > >> > Does it follow that talent in the general population will diminish over >> time? >> > >> > We do know that birth rate goes down when life becomes better: better >> nutrition, better access to health care, and so on. >> > >> > What's the future? bill w >> > >> > On Sat, Dec 30, 2023 at 8:37?AM BillK via extropy-chat < >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: >> > On Sat, 30 Dec 2023 at 13:27, William Flynn Wallace via >> extropy-chat >> > wrote: >> > > >> > > When I first knew this there were no links. So for current >> opinion I asked Chat gpt3.5 >> > > Chat - high iq people have fewer kids >> > > ChatGPT >> > > The relationship between a person's intelligence quotient (IQ) >> and their family size is a complex and >> > multifaceted one, and it's influenced by numerous factors >> including cultural, social, economic, and personal >> > choices. Here are a few key points to consider: >> > > >> > > Educational and career aspirations: Some studies have suggested >> that individuals with higher IQs may be more >> > likely to pursue higher education and career goals, which can >> delay the decision to have children. They may >> > prioritize their careers and personal development before starting >> a family. >> > > >> > > Socioeconomic factors: Higher IQ is often associated with >> higher socioeconomic status, and individuals in higher >> > income brackets tend to have fewer children. This could be due to >> factors like the cost of raising children and the >> > desire to maintain a certain lifestyle. >> > >> > > _______________________________________________ >> > >> > >> > I asked Claude AI, and it agreed but pointed out that the effect >> is >> > more significant for women. >> > Claude - >> > High-IQ women tend to have fewer children than lower-IQ women. >> > The difference is less consistent for men. >> > Education levels, which correlate with IQ, also predict fertility. >> > More educated women tend to have fewer children. >> > The association is weaker for men. >> > --------- >> > >> > This is implying that increased living standards, women's rights, >> > education, incomes, etc. may be the fertility deciding factors. >> > (With some correlation with IQ). >> > >> > BillK >> > >> > _______________________________________________ >> > extropy-chat mailing list >> > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> > >> > _______________________________________________ >> > extropy-chat mailing list >> > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> > >> > >> >_______________________________________________ >> extropy-chat mailing list >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat >> > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From giulio at gmail.com Sun Dec 31 16:01:46 2023 From: giulio at gmail.com (Giulio Prisco) Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2023 17:01:46 +0100 Subject: [ExI] A Paranormal Prediction In-Reply-To: <45f0fb30-8e5e-4f45-b7b2-c55b42bcc5d1@zaiboc.net> References: <45f0fb30-8e5e-4f45-b7b2-c55b42bcc5d1@zaiboc.net> Message-ID: On 2023. Dec 31., Sun at 12:13, Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > > As John K Clark has been banished from this list, and I feel that his > annual paranormal prediction is an important message for all those who > consider themselves to be rational, I'm posting this in his place. If this is your definition of rationality, then I consider myself irrational, and very proudly so. And I look forward to see John?s prediction fail. Well, actually, John?s prediction will not literally fail, because psi breakthroughs will not be published in Nature and Science, which are legacy journals that lick politically correct ass. But they will be published elsewhere. The > message shouldn't be necessary, but sadly, it still is, for the > seventeenth year running: > > =========================== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============= > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============= > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============= > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============= > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > One year ago I sent the following post to the list, I did not change one > word. One year from now I intend to send this same message yet again. > > ============== > > Happy New Year all. > > I predict that a paper reporting positive psi results will NOT appear in > Nature or Science in the next year. This may seem an outrageous > prediction, after all psi is hardly a rare phenomena, millions of people > with no training have managed to observe it, or claim they have. And I > am sure the good people at Nature and Science would want to say > something about this very important and obvious part of our natural > world if they could, but I predict they will be unable to find anything > interesting to say about it.You might think my prediction is crazy, like > saying a waitress with an eighth grade education in Duluth Minnesota can > regularly observe the Higgs boson with no difficulty but the highly > trained Physicists at CERN in Switzerland cannot. Nevertheless I am > confident my prediction is true because my ghostly spirit guide Mohammad > Duntoldme spoke to me about it in a dream. > > PS: I am also confident I can make this very same prediction one year > from today. > > John K Clark > =========================== > > Ben > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From atymes at gmail.com Sun Dec 31 16:43:02 2023 From: atymes at gmail.com (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2023 08:43:02 -0800 Subject: [ExI] A Paranormal Prediction In-Reply-To: References: <45f0fb30-8e5e-4f45-b7b2-c55b42bcc5d1@zaiboc.net> Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 31, 2023, 8:03 AM Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > On 2023. Dec 31., Sun at 12:13, Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> >> As John K Clark has been banished from this list, and I feel that his >> annual paranormal prediction is an important message for all those who >> consider themselves to be rational, I'm posting this in his place. > > > If this is your definition of rationality, then I consider myself > irrational, and very proudly so. > And I look forward to see John?s prediction fail. > Well, actually, John?s prediction will not literally fail, because psi > breakthroughs will not be published in Nature and Science, which are legacy > journals that lick politically correct ass. But they will be published > elsewhere. > If there was scientifically rigorous evidence of psi, Nature or Science might publish it. I do recall Science publishing what might be called "technopsi" this year - neural tissue fused with silicon to achieve results that neural tissue alone could not - though there was nothing supernatural about it. Likewise there have been social and cognitive studies published where, if one just voted the results without noting the science of how they came to be, some might believe they were psi - but with the curtain pulled back, they are not generally called psi. I foresee this post chain continuing on December 31st, 2024. Am I therefore psychic? > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From pharos at gmail.com Sun Dec 31 16:43:35 2023 From: pharos at gmail.com (BillK) Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2023 16:43:35 +0000 Subject: [ExI] Reverse Flynn Effect - Blame Smartphones! Message-ID: The Atlantic It Sure Looks Like Phones Are Making Students Dumber Opinion by Derek Thompson ? 19 Dec 2023 Quotes: For the past few years, parents, researchers, and the news media have paid closer attention to the relationship between teenagers? phone use and their mental health. Researchers such as Jonathan Haidt and Jean Twenge have shown that various measures of student well-being began a sharp decline around 2012 throughout the West, just as smartphones and social media emerged as the attentional centerpiece of teenage life. Some have even suggested that smartphone use is so corrosive, it?s systematically reducing student achievement. I hadn?t quite believed that last argument?until now. The deeper, most interesting story is that test scores have been falling for years?even before the pandemic. Across the OECD, science scores peaked in 2009, and reading scores peaked in 2012. Since then, developed countries have as a whole performed ?increasingly poorly? on average. ?No single country showed an increasingly positive trend in any subject,? PISA reported, and ?many countries showed increasingly poor performance in at least one subject.? Even in famously high-performing countries, such as Finland, Sweden, and South Korea, PISA grades in one or several subjects have been declining for a while. -------------------- Although this report refers to students, smartphone use is now endemic throughout the whole population. So the IQ declines affect the entire population of developed nations. BillK From foozler83 at gmail.com Sun Dec 31 16:58:13 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2023 10:58:13 -0600 Subject: [ExI] Reverse Flynn Effect - Blame Smartphones! In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, Dec 31, 2023 at 10:46?AM BillK via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > The Atlantic > > It Sure Looks Like Phones Are Making Students Dumber > Opinion by Derek Thompson ? 19 Dec 2023 > > < > https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/it-sure-looks-like-phones-are-making-students-dumber/ar-AA1lIX7i > > > > Quotes: > For the past few years, parents, researchers, and the news media have > paid closer attention to the relationship between teenagers? phone use > and their mental health. Researchers such as Jonathan Haidt and Jean > Twenge have shown that various measures of student well-being began a > sharp decline around 2012 throughout the West, just as smartphones and > social media emerged as the attentional centerpiece of teenage life. > Some have even suggested that smartphone use is so corrosive, it?s > systematically reducing student achievement. I hadn?t quite believed > that last argument?until now. > > The deeper, most interesting story is that test scores have been > falling for years?even before the pandemic. Across the OECD, science > scores peaked in 2009, and reading scores peaked in 2012. Since then, > developed countries have as a whole performed ?increasingly poorly? on > average. ?No single country showed an increasingly positive trend in > any subject,? PISA reported, and ?many countries showed increasingly > poor performance in at least one subject.? Even in famously > high-performing countries, such as Finland, Sweden, and South Korea, > PISA grades in one or several subjects have been declining for a > while. > -------------------- > > Although this report refers to students, smartphone use is now endemic > throughout the whole population. So the IQ declines affect the entire > population of developed nations. > > BillK > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From foozler83 at gmail.com Sun Dec 31 17:02:19 2023 From: foozler83 at gmail.com (William Flynn Wallace) Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2023 11:02:19 -0600 Subject: [ExI] A Paranormal Prediction In-Reply-To: References: <45f0fb30-8e5e-4f45-b7b2-c55b42bcc5d1@zaiboc.net> Message-ID: Sorry - you have confounding here. Cell phone use and any other variable you choose to correlate it with are confounded by all the other stuff that has happened in those years. Watch for assuming correlation means causation bias. On the same note, violent crime is down. Watch for all the theories to account for it. All will be subject to confounding. bill w On Sun, Dec 31, 2023 at 10:45?AM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat < extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > On Sun, Dec 31, 2023, 8:03 AM Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat < > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: > >> On 2023. Dec 31., Sun at 12:13, Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat < >> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote: >> >>> >>> As John K Clark has been banished from this list, and I feel that his >>> annual paranormal prediction is an important message for all those who >>> consider themselves to be rational, I'm posting this in his place. >> >> >> If this is your definition of rationality, then I consider myself >> irrational, and very proudly so. >> And I look forward to see John?s prediction fail. >> Well, actually, John?s prediction will not literally fail, because psi >> breakthroughs will not be published in Nature and Science, which are legacy >> journals that lick politically correct ass. But they will be published >> elsewhere. >> > > If there was scientifically rigorous evidence of psi, Nature or Science > might publish it. I do recall Science publishing what might be called > "technopsi" this year - neural tissue fused with silicon to achieve results > that neural tissue alone could not - though there was nothing supernatural > about it. Likewise there have been social and cognitive studies published > where, if one just voted the results without noting the science of how they > came to be, some might believe they were psi - but with the curtain pulled > back, they are not generally called psi. > > I foresee this post chain continuing on December 31st, 2024. Am I > therefore psychic? > >> _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: