[ExI] Multiplying engineers

[Keith Henson]

The sample I am going on is small, but one engineer I know who also
knows a fair number of other engineers tells me that GPT-4 increases
the productivity of software engineers today by a factor of 3 and
expects it to double again and spread to the far reaches of
engineering on a time scale of a few months.

I have wondered in posts on Power Satellite Economics (or maybe Howard
Bloom's mail list) if China with its 3x number of engineers would
outstrip the US, particularly in space.

If the CCP comes down as hard as they say on AI, and engineers in the
US use AI as a multiplier this may be reversed and the US will surge
ahead.

This should be apparent in a year or two if it is true.

Keith