[ExI] interesting take on nuclear power

[Adrian Tymes]

On Sun, Mar 10, 2024 at 11:10 AM BillK via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

> On Sun, 10 Mar 2024 at 17:55, Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat
> <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> > On Sun, Mar 10, 2024 at 9:56 AM BillK via extropy-chat <
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> >> On Sun, 10 Mar 2024 at 16:28, Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat
> >> <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> >> > On Sun, Mar 10, 2024, 4:41 AM BillK via extropy-chat <
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> >> >> Quote:
> >> >> In a previously unreported quote, Sam Altman says that AI will do
> "95%
> >> >> of what marketers use agencies, strategists, and creative
> >> >> professionals for today."
> >> >> And, he says AGI will be a reality in "5 years, give or take, maybe
> >> >> slightly longer."
> >> >>
> >> <snip>
> >> >
> >> > That's well short of the Singularity.
> >> > _______________________________________________
> >>
> >>
> >> Opinions vary on the timing of the arrival of the Singularity.
> >> If AGI achieves the ability to recursively improve itself, then an
> >> intelligence explosion could take place at exponential rates. It would
> >> only be a relatively short time, possibly only a few years, before the
> >> Singularity upheaval.
> >
> >
> > My point is, replacing 95% of marketers is a far cry from recursive
> self-improvement.
> > _______________________________________________
>
>
> That's not what Altman said.
> He said today's AI has started to replace jobs of agencies,
> strategists, and creative professionals *now*.
> (As news reports say).
> In 5 years time, AGI will be doing much, much more.
>

It is not the case that AGI has replaced 95% of marketers today.
Therefore, it seems logical to take the quote as a prediction that,
perhaps, 95% will be replaced 5 years from now.  (Otherwise it's a
prediction that 95% will be replaced with no timestamp, which could be in
100 or 1,000 years.)
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