[extropy-chat] Harv's Explanation for Slow Progress

[Damien Broderick]

----- Original Message -----
From: "Harvey Newstrom" <mail at HarveyNewstrom.com>
Sent: Monday, November 17, 2003 10:01 PM

> Technology is progressing at exponentially increasing rates.
> Accomplishments are being made at exponentially increasing rates.  But the
> predicted breakthroughs that we are expecting will be slow in coming and
may
> actually be receding into the future as our predictions get better.

Yeah, but consider: the genome got done faster than anyone expected, or at
least *as* fast if you're scrupulous in your accounting. It's a pretty good
paradigm. (True, the Powers That Be, public and private, flung a shitload of
$$$ at it.)

Damien Broderick