[extropy-chat] Harv's Explanation for Slow Progress

[Emlyn O'regan]

> Harvey Newstrom wrote:
> 
> > Hal Finney wrote,
> > > Harvey writes:
> > > 
> > > > Why no singularity 10 years after somebody predicted
> > > >  it on this list? 
> > > 
> > > I question whether anyone on this list made those 
> > > predictions. Who predicted the Singularity by 2003?  I 
> > > remember Eliezer saying 2008, and Dan Clemmensen is 
> > > apparently sticking to 2006.
> > 
> > Unless you are seriously arguing for the singularity within the 
> > next 2 or 5  years, you are not refuting my point.
> 
> If anybody wants to put money on the singularity occuring in
> the next 5 years I'll be happy to discuss the terms of a bet
> to the contrary.  Just spell out the determining conditions 
> so that they can be determined by an impartial third party. 
> 
> Regards,
> Brett
> 

Who's going to bet on the singularity occuring at any given date? Either it
doesn't happen, and you lose, or it does happen, and the bet is irrelevant.
Drawing on a post of Eliezer's in the last day or two, it's like betting on
the end of the world.

Emlyn