[extropy-chat] Futures idea game (was Nano-assembler feasibility - politics)

[Harvey Newstrom]

> Hal Finney wrote:
>> For reference, the FX idea futures game predicts around
>> 2023-2025 for the date of awarding the Feynman Grand Prize,
>> which requires the construction of a couple of small nanotech-type
>> devices, http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=FyGP .

For reference, the FX ideas futures game predicted all of the following 
around 1996-2003:

Terrorists would attack the 1996 Olympic games and kill at least some 
athletes.
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=OLAT>
Governor Christine Todd Whitman would be the republican VP nominee 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=NJVP>
Colin Powell will run for President 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=CPfP>
US will restrict melatonin 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=MelX>
Dole will beat Clinton for President 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=dole>
Presidential assassination attempt 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=As97>
Original Star Wars rereleased in theatres 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=SW1b>
Mac clone sales outnumber Mac sales 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=MacC>
Communist Chinese government overthrown 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=DENG>
Big Bang theory disproven 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=Bust>
Sustained military conflict between US and China 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=ChUS>
MiniDisks will outsell CDs 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=MdCd>
US Flat Tax <http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=TAXX>
Netscape wins browser war 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=NSWN>
Same-sex marriages legal in most US states 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=SSma>
Terrorists have nuclear weapons 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=Terr>
OJ pays $1 million <http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=OJpay>
UFOs proven real <http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=UFOx>
Automated sports umpire instead of human 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=eUmp>
Newt Gingrich runs for president 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=NG2K>
Hillary Clinton runs for president 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=HClOff>
25% of phones are ISDN 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=ISDN>
Non-Intel PCs dominate market 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=NIPC>
Unix irrelevent <http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=UNIX>
More constitutional amendments 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=Am30>
Space shuttle using magnetic flux propulsion 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=NASA>
Steve Jobs leaves Apple 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=NoJobs>
Radio pulse replaces standard radio 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=PlsCom>
Single stage rocket to orbit 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=SSTO>
Linda Tripp goes to jail 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=TRIPP>
Another major 9/11-style attack within US 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=Terr02>
China breaks up <http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=ChBr>
10,000 people cryonically frozen 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=Cryo>
Mammal cryonically frozen and revived 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=cryoni>
US Balanced Budget <http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=BB2002>
US Balanced Budget with Republican President 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=BBRP>
Clintons divorce <http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=Bilary>
New Korean war <http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=KorWar>
Condit indicted in Levy case 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=Condit>
New dollar bill <http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=$bill>
Hemp legalized in 25% of states 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=He25>
100,000 SARS cases <http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=sarspd>
Donald Rumsfeld out 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=Rmsfld>
Ecstasy decriminalized 
<http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=MDMAUK>

--
Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC
Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec 
Manager,
NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC
<HarveyNewstrom.com> <Newstaff.com>