[extropy-chat] MARS: Because it is hard
Dan Clemmensen
dgc at cox.net
Thu Apr 15 20:08:47 UTC 2004
Adrian Tymes wrote:
>--- Dan Clemmensen <dgc at cox.net> wrote:
>
>
>>Projects to kill:
>> manned spaceflight
>>
>>Projects to fund:
>> Singularity research
>>
>>
>
>You know, of course, some of us are looking to manned
>spaceflight in case the Singularity turns out
>undesirably (to us as we are at the time). Similar
>arguments can be made about the other projects on your
>kill list (with the possible exception of fusion, at
>least anything involving fusion reactors larger than a
>standard workbench).
>_______________________________________________
>
>
Unless someone can develop and implement a way to actively stop it, the
Singularity will occur some time between now and 2020 with very high
probability. Do you think you will get manned spaceflight at a level
that can usefully avoid a "bad" Singularity in that timeframe?
Alternatively, do you believe my estimate of the timeframe is wrong? The
Singularity research is listed as a desperate and probably futile effort
to increase the probability of a "good" outcome. Low cost, low
probability, extremely high payback.
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