[extropy-chat] double aargh

[Eliezer Yudkowsky]

Damien Broderick wrote:
> 
> I'm going to stop now, because I've been winging it from memory instead 
> of diligently looking up the actual results. When I said `success rate' 
> which implies number of correct guesses) I should have said `excess 
> above mean chance expectation'. And his controlled results in that 
> poster were 28.08% cf. MCE of 20%, an excess not of 70% but of 40.40% 
> This is still impressive, but not as wonderful as I'd suggested.

I'm claiming this as another successful prediction, y'know.

-- 
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                          http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence