[extropy-chat] Extropy Institute Newsletter
exi-info at extropy.org
Thu Jul 15 00:35:12 UTC 2004
Extropy Institute Newsletter
July News (07-14-04)
We are featuring four topics in this month's Exponent
Newsletter. <br><p>First is the new article by R.U.
Sirius in <i><b>NeoFiles</i> </b> on Max More. "R.U.
Sirius is co-
founder of <i>MONDO
2000</i>, vocalist-and-lead theoretician for MONDO.
R.U. co-authored two books with former
<i>MONDO 2000</i> Senior Editor St. Jude, <i> How to
and Take Over the World</i> (fiction, Ballantine Books,
1995) and <i>Cyberpunk Handbook: The Real
Fake Book</i> (humor, Random House, fall, 1995)."
Also in this <i>Exponent</i> is the announcement of
the new meeting hall for the <i><b>Transhumanist
Cooperative Colloquium</b></i>, for
better communication amongst transhumanist
Another point of interest is space architect John
Spencer and his new
book, <i><b>Space Tourism: Do You Want To Go?
John has been an early advocate of
transhuman ideas in Los Angeles since way back in the
1980s. He is also on ExI's
Executive Advisory Team (EAT).<p>
Lastly, and with a finger on a rapid pulse, is a reminder
to register for the TransVision 2004 Conference
to be held in Toronto, Canada from August 6 - 8th.<p>
In the News:
* R.U. Sirius Talks with Max More
* <b>"Transhumanist Mainman" in NeoFiles</b>
* <b>Transhumanist Cooperative Colloquium</b>
* John Spencer - Space Architect - <b>"Welcome Aboard"</b> to Space!
* Register for <b>TransVision 2004</b> - Toronto, Canada August 6-8, 2004
R.U. Sirius Talks with Max More
Read R.U. Sirius's NeoFiles Article here - >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.wsx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.life-enhancement.com%2FNeoFiles%2Fdefault.asp%3FID%3D39
<b>"Transhumanist Mainman" in NeoFiles</b>
<b>Max More: Transhumanist Mainman</b><br>
Max In Conversation With R.U. - an excerpt from the
NF: One thing both the precautionary and Proactionary
principles have in common is that they are based
largely on foresight and prediction. These are ultimately
subjective thought processes, even when factually
based, true? How do we develop forecasting to the
highest level of possible accuracy?
"MM: Thank you, RU, for such a vital closing question.
we're going to avoid costly, even deadly, errors of
judgment, and if we're to make the most of the future,
we must improve our forecasting abilities. Human brains
really stink when it comes to forecasting; they evolved
to enhance survival under radically different, simpler
circumstances. The challenge just keeps mounting as
the social-technological environment becomes more
complex. Information technology, as we all know, is
accelerating the transmission of ideas, practices, and
responses. Various human biases and tendencies, such
as our imitative behavior, is generating faster and
faster cycles, greater instability, and higher levels of
uncertainty (at least over short periods of time).
And further -
"MM: Now, I'm not sure that forecasting and prediction
always or necessarily "ultimately subjective thought
processes." Forecasting methods can be tested. Scott
Armstrong has done amazing work in this area. The
book he produced in collaboration with many others,
The Principles of Forecasting should be in the library of
neophiles of every stripe. As Armstrong and others
have demonstrated, some forecasting methods are
more reliable than others, or work better in particular
kinds of situations. Scott especially likes role-playing,
and has shown that it routinely beats out other
methods such as expert opinions.<p>
"MM: We neophiles now have a large toolkit of
and decision-making methods available to us. We need
to be aware of the options, and learn how to choose
the right tool for the job, then use that tool carefully.
I've written quite a bit about this, most recently
summarizing a major chunk of the challenge
in "Debugging Executive Decision Making." Simply
finding forecasting methods that reduce subjectivity in
judgment is easy. There are plenty of them: Scenario
planning, role playing, agent-based modeling, idea
futures markets, prospective hindsight, Delphi Survey,
peripheral sensing and scanning, reference-class
forecasting, sensemaking software, even the emerging
fields of neuroeconomics and psychomarketing, or the
tongue-twisting, Nobel Prize-winning tool of
autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Far more
challenging is the task of choosing the most effective
and fitting method."
Read more ... >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.wsx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.life-enhancement.com%2FNeoFiles%2Fdefault.asp%3FID%3D39
<b>Transhumanist Cooperative Colloquium</b>
The TransColloquium is a meeting place for futurist
organizations in our community to come together,
calendar events, leverage our joint knowledge and
capabilities, discuss issues, and exchange ideas
concerning our shared transhumanist culture. Since our
community has grown over the years, it is time that we
have a forum where no one organization dominates, and
one which provides a fluid, shared space for our
The first meeting will be held in the online meeting room
from August 22 through 24, 2004. <p>
Each meeting will be chaired by a different organization.
That organization will set the agenda, accepting
suggestions from the Colloquium community.
Extropy Institue will be chairing the first meeting and
Foresight Institute has been selected to moderate.
Transhumanist Cooperative Colloquium >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.6sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.transcolloquium.org
John Spencer - Space Architect - <b>"Welcome Aboard"</b> to Space!
<i><b>Space Tourism: Do You Want To Go? </i></b>
"The Space Tourism Quest is the first book published in
the United States on the space tourism theme. It was
written and designed by one of the worlds leading
authorities and pioneers in the growing field of space
tourism, space architect, John Spencer. Founder and
president of the Space Tourism Society, (STS)
"In it he premieres his vision, the "Destiny" orbital super
yacht design and master development industry plan for
expanding the space tourism movement and creating
the long-term space tourism industry. <p>
"His plan offers opportunities for non-rocket scientists
to participate today, to make a difference, and to have
a wonderful time in the process."
- We asked John says he would like to participate as a
space architect in an Extro Conference <i>Designing
the Future</i> in 2005/2006. All go and thumbs-up to a
positive and resounding, "Yes I would!"
John Spencer has been making a difference ever since
he started his first space architecture firm in Hollywood
in the late 1970s. Keeping one foot in front of the
other and practicing his space walk, he will pioneer
what he calls "the design frontier."
<p>John sees us (transhumans) in a highly positive
light with "limitless opportunities to improve our
species in a consicous and meaningfull way."
In doing so, he says that we need to find
solutions and do that again and again until it all looks
so obviously simple that everyone will say 'Anyone
could design that, and they will
never know what you went through, how much
went through before developing
his hydrogen atoms and blades of grass and eggs.'"
Buckminster Fuller, April 18, 1974
Check it out on Amazon - >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.5sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2Fexec%2Fobidos%2Ftg%2Fdetail%2F-%2F1894959086%2Fqid%3D1089829613%2Fsr%3D1-13%2Fref%3Dsr_1_13%2F002-0090227-5260007%3Fv%3Dglance%26s%3Dbooks
Register for <b>TransVision 2004</b> - Toronto, Canada August 6-8, 2004
Don't forget to register for TransVision 2004!
Register Now! >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.4sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.transhumanism.org%2Ftv%2F2004%2Fregistration.shtml
Extropy Institute >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.ysx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fnew.extropy.org%2F
The Proactionary Principle >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.zsx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.extropy.org%2Fproactionaryprinciple.htm
How do I join ExI? >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.9sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.extropy.org%2Fmembership.htm
Subscribe to Extropy-Chat email list? >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.8sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.extropy.org%2Femaillists.htm
Go to Transhumanist Arts & Culture to Exhibit your Digital Arts at TransVision 2004! >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.7sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.transhumanist.biz
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