[extropy-chat] Extropy Institute Newsletter
Eugen Leitl
eugen at leitl.org
Thu Jul 15 09:21:42 UTC 2004
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On Wed, Jul 14, 2004 at 08:35:12PM -0400, Extropy Institute wrote:
> Extropy Institute Newsletter
> July News (07-14-04)
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
>
> Greetings!
>
> We are featuring four topics in this month's Exponent
> Newsletter. <br><p>First is the new article by R.U.
> Sirius in <i><b>NeoFiles</i> </b> on Max More. "R.U.
> Sirius is co-
> founder of <i>MONDO
> 2000</i>, vocalist-and-lead theoretician for MONDO.
> R.U. co-authored two books with former
> <i>MONDO 2000</i> Senior Editor St. Jude, <i> How to
> Mutate
> and Take Over the World</i> (fiction, Ballantine Books,
> fall,
> 1995) and <i>Cyberpunk Handbook: The Real
> Cyberpunk
> Fake Book</i> (humor, Random House, fall, 1995)."
>
> Also in this <i>Exponent</i> is the announcement of
> the new meeting hall for the <i><b>Transhumanist
> Cooperative Colloquium</b></i>, for
> better communication amongst transhumanist
> organizations.<p>
>
> Another point of interest is space architect John
> Spencer and his new
> book, <i><b>Space Tourism: Do You Want To Go?
> </b></i>.
> John has been an early advocate of
> transhuman ideas in Los Angeles since way back in the
> early
> 1980s. He is also on ExI's
> Executive Advisory Team (EAT).<p>
>
> Lastly, and with a finger on a rapid pulse, is a reminder
> to register for the TransVision 2004 Conference
> to be held in Toronto, Canada from August 6 - 8th.<p>
>
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
> In the News:
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
> * R.U. Sirius Talks with Max More
> * <b>"Transhumanist Mainman" in NeoFiles</b>
> * <b>Transhumanist Cooperative Colloquium</b>
> * John Spencer - Space Architect - <b>"Welcome Aboard"</b> to Space!
> * Register for <b>TransVision 2004</b> - Toronto, Canada August 6-8, 2004
>
>
> R.U. Sirius Talks with Max More
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
>
> Read R.U. Sirius's NeoFiles Article here - >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.wsx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.life-enhancement.com%2FNeoFiles%2Fdefault.asp%3FID%3D39
>
> <b>"Transhumanist Mainman" in NeoFiles</b>
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
> <b>Max More: Transhumanist Mainman</b><br>
> Max In Conversation With R.U. - an excerpt from the
> article.
>
> NF: One thing both the precautionary and Proactionary
> principles have in common is that they are based
> largely on foresight and prediction. These are ultimately
> subjective thought processes, even when factually
> based, true? How do we develop forecasting to the
> highest level of possible accuracy?
>
> "MM: Thank you, RU, for such a vital closing question.
> If
> we're going to avoid costly, even deadly, errors of
> judgment, and if we're to make the most of the future,
> we must improve our forecasting abilities. Human brains
> really stink when it comes to forecasting; they evolved
> to enhance survival under radically different, simpler
> circumstances. The challenge just keeps mounting as
> the social-technological environment becomes more
> complex. Information technology, as we all know, is
> accelerating the transmission of ideas, practices, and
> responses. Various human biases and tendencies, such
> as our imitative behavior, is generating faster and
> faster cycles, greater instability, and higher levels of
> uncertainty (at least over short periods of time).
>
> And further -
>
> "MM: Now, I'm not sure that forecasting and prediction
> are
> always or necessarily "ultimately subjective thought
> processes." Forecasting methods can be tested. Scott
> Armstrong has done amazing work in this area. The
> book he produced in collaboration with many others,
> The Principles of Forecasting should be in the library of
> neophiles of every stripe. As Armstrong and others
> have demonstrated, some forecasting methods are
> more reliable than others, or work better in particular
> kinds of situations. Scott especially likes role-playing,
> and has shown that it routinely beats out other
> methods such as expert opinions.<p>
>
> "MM: We neophiles now have a large toolkit of
> forecasting
> and decision-making methods available to us. We need
> to be aware of the options, and learn how to choose
> the right tool for the job, then use that tool carefully.
> I've written quite a bit about this, most recently
> summarizing a major chunk of the challenge
> in "Debugging Executive Decision Making." Simply
> finding forecasting methods that reduce subjectivity in
> judgment is easy. There are plenty of them: Scenario
> planning, role playing, agent-based modeling, idea
> futures markets, prospective hindsight, Delphi Survey,
> peripheral sensing and scanning, reference-class
> forecasting, sensemaking software, even the emerging
> fields of neuroeconomics and psychomarketing, or the
> tongue-twisting, Nobel Prize-winning tool of
> autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Far more
> challenging is the task of choosing the most effective
> and fitting method."
>
> Read more ... >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.wsx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.life-enhancement.com%2FNeoFiles%2Fdefault.asp%3FID%3D39
>
> <b>Transhumanist Cooperative Colloquium</b>
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
> The TransColloquium is a meeting place for futurist
> organizations in our community to come together,
> calendar events, leverage our joint knowledge and
> capabilities, discuss issues, and exchange ideas
> concerning our shared transhumanist culture. Since our
> community has grown over the years, it is time that we
> have a forum where no one organization dominates, and
> one which provides a fluid, shared space for our
> community.
>
> The first meeting will be held in the online meeting room
> from August 22 through 24, 2004. <p>
>
> Each meeting will be chaired by a different organization.
> That organization will set the agenda, accepting
> suggestions from the Colloquium community.
>
> Extropy Institue will be chairing the first meeting and
> Foresight Institute has been selected to moderate.
>
> Transhumanist Cooperative Colloquium >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.6sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.transcolloquium.org
>
> John Spencer - Space Architect - <b>"Welcome Aboard"</b> to Space!
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
> <i><b>Space Tourism: Do You Want To Go? </i></b>
>
> "The Space Tourism Quest is the first book published in
> the United States on the space tourism theme. It was
> written and designed by one of the worlds leading
> authorities and pioneers in the growing field of space
> tourism, space architect, John Spencer. Founder and
> president of the Space Tourism Society, (STS)
> www.spacetourismsociety.org. <p>
>
> "In it he premieres his vision, the "Destiny" orbital super
> yacht design and master development industry plan for
> expanding the space tourism movement and creating
> the long-term space tourism industry. <p>
>
> "His plan offers opportunities for non-rocket scientists
> to participate today, to make a difference, and to have
> a wonderful time in the process."
>
> - We asked John says he would like to participate as a
> space architect in an Extro Conference <i>Designing
> the Future</i> in 2005/2006. All go and thumbs-up to a
> positive and resounding, "Yes I would!"
>
> John Spencer has been making a difference ever since
> he started his first space architecture firm in Hollywood
> in the late 1970s. Keeping one foot in front of the
> other and practicing his space walk, he will pioneer
> what he calls "the design frontier."
>
> <p>John sees us (transhumans) in a highly positive
> light with "limitless opportunities to improve our
> species in a consicous and meaningfull way."
>
>
> In doing so, he says that we need to find
> the "Simplest
> solutions and do that again and again until it all looks
> so obviously simple that everyone will say 'Anyone
> could design that, and they will
> never know what you went through, how much
> [<i>God</i>]
> went through before developing
> his hydrogen atoms and blades of grass and eggs.'"
> Buckminster Fuller, April 18, 1974
>
> Check it out on Amazon - >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.5sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.amazon.com%2Fexec%2Fobidos%2Ftg%2Fdetail%2F-%2F1894959086%2Fqid%3D1089829613%2Fsr%3D1-13%2Fref%3Dsr_1_13%2F002-0090227-5260007%3Fv%3Dglance%26s%3Dbooks
>
> Register for <b>TransVision 2004</b> - Toronto, Canada August 6-8, 2004
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
> Don't forget to register for TransVision 2004!
>
> Register Now! >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.4sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.transhumanism.org%2Ftv%2F2004%2Fregistration.shtml
>
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
> Quick Links...
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
> Extropy Institute >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.ysx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fnew.extropy.org%2F
> The Proactionary Principle >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.zsx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.extropy.org%2Fproactionaryprinciple.htm
> How do I join ExI? >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.9sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.extropy.org%2Fmembership.htm
> Subscribe to Extropy-Chat email list? >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.8sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.extropy.org%2Femaillists.htm
> Go to Transhumanist Arts & Culture to Exhibit your Digital Arts at TransVision 2004! >> http://rs6.net/tn.jsp?t=kfo7m8n6.rmatvyn6.7sx7n8n6.yb4rxun6.2058&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.transhumanist.biz
>
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
> email: info at extropy.org
> voice: 512 263-2749
> web: http://www.extropy.org
> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
>
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--
Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org">leitl</a>
______________________________________________________________
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http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net
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