[extropy-chat] LP NH:The Wrath-tionality of Kahn
Al Brooks
kerry_prez at yahoo.com
Wed Nov 3 18:57:59 UTC 2004
Scraping together- and i do mean scraping- 100,000
votes in a state as stodgy as NH will (or would) take
decades. Right now you are of the scale of Naderites.
> Of course, this is a pretty bold extrapolation to
> make off of only a
> few data points. A diminishing utility curve would
> likely temper that
> significantly. I believe a truer curve will start to
> take shape over
> the next few years. If we could get even 100,000
> state-wide votes for
> us in any given race we will be competing head to
> head with the GOP and
> Democrats on their own terms, and will command a
> significant minority
> of the legislature.
>
> I believe once we penetrate the statutory thresholds
> required for major
> party status (4% of the vote in state wide
> elections) regularly, we
> will start to build a popular synergy of legitimacy
> that won't level
> off until we reach at least 20% popularity. We might
> have done that
> this year if our Senate candidate had made it onto
> the ballot, since
> the 1st district is actually much more supportive of
> us, but our 1st
> district congressional candidate's poor ballot
> access petitioning
> screwed that up (in addition to many Democrat dirty
> tricks).
>
> Past performance in the 1st district has typically
> been 3.1-3.3%. If
> they had shown similar improvement of 50%, they'd
> have gotten 4.6%-4.9%
> this election, statewide we'd have averaged over 4%,
> and gotten major
> party status for the first time since 1996 (when the
> statutory
> threshold was raised from 3% to 4%). This is rather
> bittersweet to
> contemplate, since I just assumed the
> vice-chairmanship.
>
> So, the FSP is having a significant positive impact.
> Not as big as
> indicated by my irrational exhuberance of yesterday
> after spending the
> day at the polls (I was high on the democratic
> process, sorry, I'm
> still recuperating), but quite significant none the
> less.
>
> =====
> Mike Lorrey
> Vice-Chair, 2nd District, Libertarian Party of NH
> "Necessity is the plea for every infringement of
> human freedom.
> It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of
> slaves."
> -William Pitt
> (1759-1806)
> Blog:
> http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=Sadomikeyism
>
>
>
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