[extropy-chat] Kerry to win, 2.5 to 1

[BillK]

On Wed, 03 Nov 2004 15:34:55 -0500, Eliezer Yudkowsky wrote:
> 
> What would you have given me for the "sophisticated and correct" prediction
> if Kerry had won?
> 

This is like astrologers or psychics. If enough people make enough
forecasts, somebody will claim that they can forecast the future
correctly. We just have to ignore the wrong forecasts (which are
uninteresting anyway) and we can start believing in mediums seeing
future events.

BillK