[extropy-chat] IRAQ: Weapons pipeline to Syria

Alfio Puglisi puglisi at arcetri.astro.it
Sun Oct 31 11:40:05 UTC 2004


On Sat, 30 Oct 2004, Mike Lorrey wrote:

>
>--- Stephen Van_Sickle <sjvans at ameritech.net> wrote:
>>
>> I am not a statistician, so I would be very interested
>> in the opinions of anyone on this list with a more
>> extensive background than I have.  In particular, if I
>> am reading it correctly, they are extrapolating the
>> 100,000 figure from 21 violent deaths.  This does not
>> fill me with a great deal of confidence, but I'm
>> willing to be set straight.
>
>Well, as I warned, they are apparently cherry picking data (just like
>they've done in the past with gun crime stats) and extrapolating
>completely unrealistic conclusions to fit their political agenda.

Except that they are cherry picking the data to lower the total amount,
the way someone trying to make the war look better would do. So if this is
to fit some political agenda, this agenda would be fairly aligned with
Bush.

To solve the contradiction, one has to recognize that one hypotesis is
wrong, i.e. that they are trying to follow a political agenda.

Alfio



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