[extropy-chat] Re: Bad Forecasts!

Brett Paatsch bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au
Sun Sep 12 03:51:55 UTC 2004


Mike Lorrey wrote: 

> > Yep. People laughed at Christopher Collumbus but they also laughed
> > at Bozo the clown. 
> > 
> > Predictions are really beside the point. Projections and plans on the
> > other may be weighted and critiqued and sometimes falsified.
> 
> I hereby predict that the inaccuracy of predictions will continue to
> expand at exponential rates....

Due to scale changes in the predictions or to increased 'density' of
the underlying 'media' ? 

Move over Moore's Law.... Lorrey's Law is truckin' through :-)

Brett




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