[extropy-chat] The Long Now: Bets and Predictions Over Time

[Mike Lorrey]

--- Trend Ologist <trendologist at yahoo.co.uk> wrote:

> Bush does not want a draft at this time. However after
> November 2nd, when he no longer need concern himself
> with re-election, Bush will be free to modify his
> policy towards conscription, if he so chooses.
> The military at this time does not need a draft
> either, yet in the past  emergencies have arisen
> prompting not only the C. in C. but also the Joint
> Chiefs & others in the high command to alter their
> plans drastically. 

Alteration of plans: like reducing overseas deployments to peaceful
nations? Just saw in the news that Bush and Japanese PM Koizumi reached
an agreement to reduce the US presence in Japan, especially on Okinawa.
This will free up a significant number of troops, which could either
bolster those in Iraq, build up those in South Korea, or expand the
hunt for bin Laden. 

Prediction: A similar agreement will be forthcoming in europe. US bases
in Britain will be drastically cut back or eliminated, US bases in
Germany will be cut back and/or moved entirely to more sympathetic
countries like Poland. The US will have another 20k-40k troops to put
in the field without a draft by some time in 2006.

=====
Mike Lorrey
Chairman, Free Town Land Development
"Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom.
It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves."
                                         -William Pitt (1759-1806) 
Blog: http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=Sadomikeyism


		
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