[extropy-chat] Impeachment of President Bush What odds amIoffered?

[Brett Paatsch]

Samantha Atkins wrote:

> I can't give odds on this with any confidence.  I have seen
> too many things swallowed by the American people in the
> last five years that I thought would never be accepted.  The
> people may keep on swallowing for the rest of his term, 
> although I would expect them to choke and upchuck real
> soon now.  

Perhaps it might help you think about the odds if you break down
into a sequence what has to happen procedurally in order for 
Bush to be impeached. Think for instance about how important
the 2006 elections might be.

In the link I posted 52% of those polled said they'd be LESS
LIKELY to support someone running for congress who 
announced that they were pro-impeachment, only 30% said
they'd be more likely.  


Hal's offer of  US$4000 against US$1000  is the best so far
but perhaps Spike is crunching some numbers, and there's no
word from Robin or anyone else yet so I'll leave it a bit longer. 


[Aside. As a reader of Robin's papers I'm aware that some 
interesting things might perhaps be done with a pool of  US$5000
or thereabouts, but thats for exploration later.  It might have to 
be located and the formal process of a bet finalised in a 
jurisdiction like the UK perhaps.]


Brett Paatsch