[extropy-chat] Re: peak oil debate framed from a game theory standpoint ?

[Robert Lindauer]

Hal Finney wrote:

>The problem with the predictive ability of futures markets isn't with
>the markets, it's with that darn future.  It's just hard to predict.
>  
>

A future devoid of people is usually pretty easy to predict.  It's when 
you have chaotic factors that it becomes near impossible, especially 
when greed, fear, stupidity, wisdom and force interact in the 'free 
market'.  As a consequence, the only sure things are the things that 
everybody knows.  All the people you just had to meet without your 
clothes...

R