[extropy-chat] Bayes, betting and derivatives

Eugen Leitl eugen at leitl.org
Tue Jun 6 09:14:02 UTC 2006


On Mon, Jun 05, 2006 at 02:39:06PM -0700, Damien Sullivan wrote:

> an outcome than the other guy.  But if a Bayesian offers a bet and
> another Bayesian takes it, seems like both should pause for further
> thought.  Actually, simple knowledge that someone was offering a bet
> should make the second Bayesian pause to reconsider.

Perfect knowledge about the real world doesn't exist. No two bases
of knowledge are alike. I must be missing something, since I don't 
see this as a problem.

-- 
Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org">leitl</a> http://leitl.org
______________________________________________________________
ICBM: 48.07100, 11.36820            http://www.ativel.com
8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A  7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE
-------------- next part --------------
A non-text attachment was scrubbed...
Name: signature.asc
Type: application/pgp-signature
Size: 191 bytes
Desc: Digital signature
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20060606/9ee77a6a/attachment.bin>


More information about the extropy-chat mailing list