[extropy-chat] An advance prediction for Tuesday

[Eliezer S. Yudkowsky]

I offer the following advance prediction:

Initially, pollsters will predict that Democrats will take the House, 
but not the Senate.

When the actual election results are reported, it will turn out that 
Republicans kept control of the House by a significant margin.  There 
will be much anguished recrimination among Democrats, but few mainstream 
media sources will suggest that the election was stolen.

Later, an eminent statistician will publish a study showing that there 
were significantly wider differences between polls and reported results 
in districts that use electronic voting machines.  The story will not be 
taken up by the mainstream media.  It will make a brief flurry in the 
blogosphere, then vanish.

I could be wrong about all this.  I hope I am.

-- 
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                          http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence