[extropy-chat] A Grim Vision ...?
sjatkins at mac.com
Thu Apr 12 04:42:36 UTC 2007
On Apr 11, 2007, at 8:45 PM, Morris Johnson wrote:
> We need not look farther than the massive trial of bio-energy this
> year in North American agriculture.
Basing bio-energy largely on corn will be a colossal failure with the
side-effect of driving various food costs higher. A later side-
effect will be a lot of farming business problem, calls for subsidies
and bail outs and so on. It is very predictable.
> Fertilizer takes petroleum. Crops can go to food or fuel subject
> only to market drivers.
> crop Inputs are being diverted to energy over food.
Do your bio-energy as much as possible using fast growing weeds that
take little in the way of such inputs.
> Some food sectors will have to adjust economics, marketing, or
> simply reduce available food supply.
Yep, as long as we are stupid enough to turn a primary, relatively
high input, food into ethanol.
> North americans will not starve in 2007, but will consumers revolt,
> will changes to diet occur , will consumption patterns and
> personal budget decisions adjust and if so how fast?
> The other question is .. how stable a long term pattern is this.
> Is it a paradigm shifted or a fad?
It is a meaningless sop that will enrich many "in the know" and
various opportunists while in the long run making a valid timely
energy solution less likely in the US. DOA
> Is the shift just starting with more evolution on the way or is it
> more fixed in stone?
Fixed in stone? Only until the next Directive comrade.
More information about the extropy-chat