[ExI] BREAKPOINT: terrorists vs. transhumanists
Amara D. Angelica
amara at kurzweilai.net
Sat May 19 04:31:39 UTC 2007
Lee Corbin said:
>It's well to remember that 2012 is as close to us as 2002 was.
> I don't expect anything significantly more radical
> to happen in the next five years than in the past five.
The Law of Accelerating Returns
by Ray Kurzweil
An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is
exponential, contrary to the common-sense "intuitive linear" view. So we
won't experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century -- it will be
more like 20,000 years of progress (at today's rate). The "returns," such as
chip speed and cost-effectiveness, also increase exponentially. There's even
exponential growth in the rate of exponential growth. Within a few decades,
machine intelligence will surpass human intelligence, leading to The
Singularity -- technological change so rapid and profound it represents a
rupture in the fabric of human history. The implications include the merger
of biological and nonbiological intelligence, immortal software-based
humans, and ultra-high levels of intelligence that expand outward in the
universe at the speed of light.
http://www.kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?main=/articles/art0134.html
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