[ExI] MAX MORE in Second Life yesterday
msd001 at gmail.com
Fri Jun 13 03:26:07 UTC 2008
On Thu, Jun 12, 2008 at 10:11 PM, Bryan Bishop <kanzure at gmail.com> wrote:
> On Thursday 12 June 2008, Michael Anissimov wrote:
> > I await your argument for why the Singularity would be a drawn-out
> > affair... so I might criticize it. ;-)
> Exponential growth looks drawn out when it starts. That's why. It's the
> typical story of a small pond being not-so-covered with little
> organisms, and then all the way up until the last few days of the month
> everything looks okay, but then *boom*. Those exponentials start
> kicking in.
In anticipation of the next 2 or 10 years, that 5x difference is
significant. Given those 2 or 10 years as a percentage of the total
duration the human record, there is no appreciable difference. I don't
believe we will ever reach "The Singularity." I feel it is a useful concept
to describe an asymptotic limit of accelerating change, but our ability to
adapt will likely have us perpetually feel as though we are at the bottom of
the exponential curve.
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