[ExI] Psi and gullibility

[Damien Broderick]

By the way, the usual gibe is this:

"If you're so psychic, why don't you win the lottery?"

It's possible (I suggest) that psi trawls through alternative possible 
futures, weighted by their current but contingent probability. Some 
targets (such as the date of the next lunar eclipse) should be highly 
stable and hence maximally precognizable, perhaps earthquakes 
similarly--unless they are *extremely* subject to chaotic triggers, 
horse races fairly open to small changes or nobbling, while lotteries 
might be almost totally unpredictable unless they are rigged.

Against this picture (which might appeal to the MW enthusiasts on the 
list), there does seem to be a lot of evidence of successful 
precognition, in the lab, of quantum-random-driven outcomes (a 4-state 
machine flickering very fast inside its black box that contains a 
radioactive source, e.g.).

Damien Broderick